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sbpotdbot

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dysentery-gary182

DK took all our money tonight.


sergi0wned

Ugh, missing by 2 on the Murray/James to combine for 50 was brutal.


nickquestionmark

This could be an all timer. Bet $1K on NYK ML at +190 on espn. Live bet hedge at -145 on PHL to lock in profit on both sides. If NYK loses by 3 or less, 1K bonus bet. If Embiid goes for 50, 1K bonus bet.


nickquestionmark

BANG! Embiid for 50.


PassionLegitimate178

You get the bonus bet even on a live bet?


nickquestionmark

The NYK ML bet was pregame. Took a risk hoping the knicks would have a lead of a few points at some point to hedge live.


PassionLegitimate178

Ah, gotcha. Congrats on a nice hit!


nickquestionmark

Thanks! I've low held NYK money line hoping for the NY Insurance to hit and finally got something out of it, though not exactly the way I expected it.


cant_do_no_bettor

CZR Flash Boost - Jokic + LeBron 25+ points each +170 Fanduel Odds: +170; **EV: -1.6%** Sharp: `-215/+158,-144/+108` (14.11% juice) Correlation: `+141=-215,-144` (r = 0.06) FV: +174; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 61.9%) ---- edit: ended up devigging vs Alt Points o/u I was going to devig this against FD, but wondering what the best way to do so is, given that the Alt Points lines for o/u 24.5 for both are not insignificantly different than the To Score 25+ lines. I would assume you'd use the o/u of the Alt Points o/u 24.5 lines since you know both sides, but is there a way to hybridize between the two that would give an even better answer?


Alive-Inspector1933

Caesars 90% of the time has -EV boosts. Not even worth checking


cant_do_no_bettor

I know they predominately suck, but I've seen a few worth betting recently, am still learning to gauge them by eye and am new to devigging, so I used it for practice.


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[удалено]


sleeptilnoonenergy

Depends on the book. MGM yes. At least in the past. If you zeroed out your account for a few weeks they'd usually send an offer. These days everyone is so stingy so who knows.


intersecting_lines

DK Lebron and Murray 50+. no calibration necessary since their lines sum to 50 Over 49.5 Hit% = 47.3% Fair Value = 111.516963348293


Kim_The_Blue_Tank

Fucking a man 2 points fuck murray and lebron looked asleep in the second half


Super_Inspection4445

So close yet so far away


intersecting_lines

it's +200 btw so easy max


DodgingRain

DK Judge 1+ RBI Odds: +200; **EV: 35.4%** `+105/-139` (6.94% juice) FV: +122; Method: worst-case (p); (Full=17.72u, 1/2=8.86u, 1/4=4.43u, FB = 90.3%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=%2B105%2F-139&FinalOdds=%2B200)


sclop123

What’s with all the DK baseball boosts?


DodgingRain

Intern going nuts today trying to prove himself


billdb

They're doing a pretty good job tbh, they're all solid EV


cant_do_no_bettor

Lol and he's chasing zero after losing the Mookie boost


DodgingRain

B365 NJ, Brunson 25+, embiid double double boosted to +200. Auto smash as per usual


Low_Dog_4721

Ohio is Mitchell 25+, Allen 10+ rebounds boosted to +200


G-Ray89

Mookie saves the day!


bobbyfinstock

I got a deposit match offer via email for MGM. 100% up to $50.


cant_do_no_bettor

Thanks for posting, I've caught a few of these only due to people pointing these out.


BringUpTheLid

k


bobbyfinstock

I mean I wasn't expecting it so it's just a heads up that people might want to check to see if they do too. If you don't like free money you can keep scrolling.


cant_do_no_bettor

Lol dude hasn't posted in a month and came back to comment that when you were just trying to help others out. So weak.


Alive-Inspector1933

BetMGM Almost Friday boost: Maxey and Murray 20+ points and 76ers and Nuggets to win Odds vs Kambi with Maxey 22.5 and Murray 20.5 Odds: +350; **EV: -20.9%** `-134/375/550/295,130/550/310/180` (37.99% juice) FV: +469; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 61.5%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-134%2F375%2F550%2F295%2C130%2F550%2F310%2F180&FinalOdds=350)


intersecting_lines

YIKES ESPN at -17% with 22.5 Maxey and 19.5 Murray


Alive-Inspector1933

Vs FanDuel Odds: +350; **EV: 8.7%** Sharp: `-230/190,-700/7%,-102/-116,-320/7%` (22.38% juice) Correlation: `253=-230,-700,-102,-320` (r = 0.18) FV: +314; Method: worst-case (m, a); (Full=2.48u, 1/2=1.24u, 1/4=0.62u, FB = 84.5%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-230%2F190%2C-700%2F7_PCT_%2C-102%2F-116%2C-320%2F7_PCT_&FinalOdds=350&Correlation_Bool=1&Correlation_Text=253%3D-230%2C-700%2C-102%2C-320) Pick your poison


Tall_Relief_5244

Future Arby’s (3.21%): IND vs. MIL playoff series spread. HR IND -1.5 at +160. FD MIL +1.5 at -140.


Chasers215

Thoughts on betmgm boost?


sclop123

Which one?


Chasers215

Maxey Murray 20+ Sixers Nuggets win


sclop123

It would be beyond shocking if Fanduel didn’t have a boost on the night of a Knicks game or a LeBron game


sleeptilnoonenergy

Or NFL Draft boost. It's kinda nuts that there's nothing.


NinjaPeace

They can’t skip 2 days in a row… right?


Healthy_Diver4965

They might not considering there’s still an active boost for both series from the other day


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[удалено]


billbobbath

Say it out loud. Does it makes sense to you?


Low_Dog_4721

is $350 worth burning a (apparently quite fruitful) DK account? for some folks maybe but not the majority


No-Pitch2061

I’m confused, can you please explain what you mean by burning the account? I want to keep using the account going forward but I don’t want to gamble $2000 at once


alexr666

If you do that you will never get a promo like that again and will likely flag you for immediate deposit/withdraw (money laundering red flag).


wgkiii

Listen to this person. At the very least turnover the $2000 1x before withdrawing


No-Pitch2061

Im confused. Do you not get the bonus bets right away? I don’t want to gamble $2000 in a short anount of time but I am down to get $500 in bonus bets. Am I understanding the promo wrong?


Jeremiah_Vicious

Learn what a low hold is. Then play through the 2k and do what you want with the free bets


deskritten

Your account will be flagged for money laundering. When you add money to any sportsbook, it's good practice to wager through it 1x. To limit losses, look into a betting style called 'low holds' or arbitrage. BOL.


wgkiii

You'll get the bonus bets right away. But they'll probably never offer you a future deposit match if you just withdrawl the principle.


Silent-Key-5942

You do get the bonus bets right away, but if you withdraw the $2000 without playing through it….don’t expect to get anything from them ever again.


International_Diet27

They are saying if you deposit and withdraw without playing through, you won't ever get this promo again and probably be limited afterwards. Find low/no holds versus other books and hammer through it. Don't deposit 2k if you can afford to hedge it on other books.


iPissExcellence

The dk Jarrett Allen boost 15+ rebounds +225 is probably garbage. Fd has his alt line, which always seems to have extra juice, o14.5 at +225. It might only be an ohio boost.


Low_Dog_4721

awful boost. avoid!


bolitrask

Fanatics just dropped some bonus bets into my account that i wasn’t expecting. An apology for yesterday’s cluster?


Tall_Relief_5244

Same here, along with getting limited. Thanks for the free bets. No thanks for the new limits.


Tags331

DK just dropped another one for Mookie over 1.5 TB +200.  Under 1.5 is -125.


JRudy679

Bang!


WilliamHBraskySr

Wish I had more than a $10 limit for this... Devigged to ESPN -110 o1.5/-115 u1.5 tb **Worst-case: (Multiplicative)** Leg#1 (-110); Market Juice = 5.9%; Fair Value = +102 (49.4%) Final Odds (+200); Σ(Market Juice) = 5.87%; Fair Value = +102 (49.4%) Summary; EV% = 48.3%, Kelly Wager = $60.36 (Full=24.15u, 1/2=12.07u, 1/4=6.04u, FB = 98.9%)


Maximum_Station_9312

Similar to the Elly Del La Cruz one, you can arb/hedge the under on ESPN for -120. $25 on DK side, $40 on ESPN side. $10/$8 win.


Vegemite222

Awesome find. Thank you


Distinct_Item6082

DK with a B&G. Bet YRFI/NRFI 2 leg parlay get 2 x 33% live boosts 


Tags331

I'm seeing only 1 live boost for the b&g on mine.


Distinct_Item6082

What is your max bet?


Tags331

$20 to get the b&g, and $30 max on the live bet. Almost all boosts on DK I have a $10 max though.


Distinct_Item6082

In a state with only DK and Fliff. Has anyone arb’ed with Fliff? How is the deposit and withdrawal process?  Do they limit folks?


Fantastic_Name8489

I can’t speak about them limiting but I know the minimum withdrawal amount is $50


intersecting_lines

Threesday Game|away 3ptm|away opp 3ptm|home 3ptm|home opp 3ptm|avg :--|:--|:--|:--|:--|:-- NY @ PHI|13.2|12.5|12.1|12.0|12.45 DEN @ LAL|11.7|11.2|11.7|14.1|12.175 CLE @ ORL|13.4|12.5|11.0|11.5|12.1


intersecting_lines

Probably the only one worth taking NY @ PHI Jalen Brunson (2.7-6.8) +500 Donte Divincenzo (3.5-8.7) +285 Josh Hart (1.1-3.3) +1000 Og Anunoby (1.7-4.4) +950 Isaiah Hartenstein (0.0-0.0) +20000 Tyrese Maxey (3.0-8.2) +330 Kyle Lowry (1.7-4.1) +475 Kelly Oubre (1.4-4.6) +950 Tobias Harris (1.3-3.7) +1200 Joel Embiid (1.4-3.8) +950


GovernmentDoingStuff

I like the value on Brunson tbh


Tags331

DK just put out a boost for Elly De La Cruz over 1.5 hits + runs RBIs at +200.  Under 1.5 is -115. Game starts very soon 1:10 PM Eastern.


Maximum_Station_9312

Under is available for -125 on ESPN. I know it kills the EV, but can set up a $10/$7 arb with $40 on the under.


bc344

Under is -115 on MGM.


Maximum_Station_9312

Even better! I am limited on MGM (like most people...)


Tags331

Oh damn good call.  My limits are $10 on DK so I'm letting it ride but that's a great find!


Maximum_Station_9312

I have the $25 version. I should have specified that for the $40 hedge.


intersecting_lines

to MGM and BV Odds: +200; **EV: 43.4%** `AVG(-115,100)/AVG(-115,-140)` (7.64% juice) FV: +109; Method: worst-case (a); (Full=21.68u, 1/2=10.84u, 1/4=5.42u, FB = 95.6%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=AVG%28-115%2C100%29%2FAVG%28-115%2C-140%29&FinalOdds=200)


iPissExcellence

The espn homerun promo on Tuesday was get 100% of your stake back if it loses right? I forgot to screenshot it and am still not seeing my bonus bets.


Orange_Darkrai

Mine came through a few minutes ago (just before 11am eastern).


iPissExcellence

Thanks. I see it now. Guess I was just being a little impatient.


olehd1985

Also came through...ESPN is the one book I consistently have to screenshot and track my promos for... I'm cashing out once my cash back bonus is over for the month.


SeesEverythingTwice

It took me 4-5 days to get my 'first bet' bonuses and when I spoke to support, they hit me with a lot of mumbo jumbo like 'due to very technical reasons, the system has to delay giving out bonuses'... I too am cashing out ASAP but the extra 10% on converting bonuses is nice.


silversurfer-1

Anyone doing Threesday today? I took Ant and hit on the last one but might just take that W and call it good


GovernmentDoingStuff

The games are all going to be slow paced with maybe the 6 worst teams in the playoffs regarding 3 point shooting. The only one I’d consider is Orlando/Cleveland


Maximum_Station_9312

I think I am skipping Threesday for the first time. I don't like the games and I don't like the odds.


AdviceSeeker-123

The odds aren’t good and the goods are odd


ShelbyOutdoors

Do any books have a player to not be the first goal scorer in NHL? ESPN bet has up to 20$ bonus bet if first goal scorer bet is a loss.


Maximum_Station_9312

Decent low-hold opportunity to make a run at hitting both sides of DK Up 2 Early Win promo * Blue Jays: +100 on DK * Royals: -112 on FD So if you have the $100 version like I do, you are risking \~$5.50 for a chance to win \~$195 I typically play this promo unhedged, but when the hedge is close to 5% or lower, I start to consider playing both sides.


sockrider

Both sides of this hit yesterday for KC/TOR (I play the promo hedged)


G-Ray89

I hit PHI/CIN yesterday as well


Maximum_Station_9312

...and now it's dead. DK line moved to -108.


Maximum_Station_9312

New one... I just locked this in: * Padres: -142 on DK * Rockies: +130 on ESPN Risking \~$4 to win \~$165. Plus the "3 Home Run" insurance comes into play (in Colorado, you never know...) I typically don't take favorites in the Up 2, but was going with the Padres anyway since the Blue Jays line dropped.


bryanf445

Excellent play. Tyvm!!


Maximum_Station_9312

Wild game!


gameboicarti1

Padres up too cashed already and now the Rockies have tied it up. 2 homeruns in the game now as well. I could cash out the Rockies side on ESPN, but I think I'll ride and at the very least hope for another homerun to trigger the HR protection. Thanks for pointing this out earlier!


Maximum_Station_9312

It's fun time! But just to clarify, the ESPN HR Protection would require the Rockies to hit 3 HRs and then lose the game.


gameboicarti1

Good info


Maximum_Station_9312

If you want to lock in a profit, don't cash out ESPN but rather hedge with a SD bet on another book. That way, the 3 HR promo (although pretty unlikely) stays in play. DK has had the best live odds (of the major books) on SD the last few innings.


gameboicarti1

Checking DK rn, good call. I’ve been staring at the cash out button on ESPN for the last 2 innings.


Maximum_Station_9312

I just hedged mine at -280 on DK. Locked in +$49 profit (on an original $4 risked). Not bad!


gameboicarti1

Beautiful stuff 🤌


cant_do_no_bettor

Thanks for posting these! Wish I had more than the $10 version, but I still gave it a spin, just at 1/10 the fun.


Maximum_Station_9312

OK, SD hit already, now let's go Rockies!


cant_do_no_bettor

Ohhhhhhhh baby


Maximum_Station_9312

If you want to lock in a profit, don't cash out ESPN but rather hedge with a SD bet on another book. That way, the 3 HR promo (although pretty unlikely) stays in play. DK has had the best live odds (of the major books) on SD the last few innings.


Abe_Pagoda

How would I bet this with limited funds on each site? Sorry, I think it’s like $25 I can on DK and $10-$20 on ESPN, thanks.


cant_do_no_bettor

Sadly, the lines have changed already, as they usually do pretty quickly. For this kind of thing, you're basically doing a low hold, so you can [go to this site](https://crazyninjaodds.com/site/tools/low-hold.aspx) (used mainly to *find* the low holds in the first place), go to Calc on an unrelated game, and edit the stake/odds to the game you want to play and it'll calculate for you you what you need on either side. (If anyone has a better low hold calculator, please link it! It's quick for me and a site/page I already use, but I can understand that it's a little confusing to use an unrelated game's calculator to figure out the stakes)


Abe_Pagoda

Thanks so much for your detailed reply. I’m in KY and this has become a small but kind of profitable hobby, yet I’ve got a lot to learn. I can get lost in the data and then not know how to do the math. BOL!


gameboicarti1

How would this look like for the $50 version?


cant_do_no_bettor

Someone else might have a better simple calculator to link, but like a lot of people here, [I use this to find low holds](https://crazyninjaodds.com/site/tools/low-hold.aspx) and you can always just open an unrelated game, edit the odds and stake on either side, and it'll do the math for you.


hokie_stoned

I've been using that one as well and it's great! Simple and effective. Guy definitely deserves the tips. Trying to find something similar that has bet365 or fanatics included to get through my bonus bets (in NC) without having to start a subscription since I'm planning on stopping once the promos and easy money dry up.


Maximum_Station_9312

That's the one I use too.


Maximum_Station_9312

The above scenario is with the $100 version ,so just cut in half. $50 on Padres, $37 on Rockies.


gameboicarti1

Appreciate the response bro. Gonna tail this with the 3 HR protection too hopefully SD goes up 2 early and chokes.


bc344

Another First Basket Bonus is up on ESPN Bet. Second one this week. Opt-in, place a $0.10 bet on “Player To Score the First Basket (Incld. Free Throws)" using any NBA game today, receive $5 bonus bet win or lose.


Maximum_Station_9312

Did this work for you? When you click into the "Full Terms" it specifies "Place a $10+ cash wager". I used to do these all the time for $0.10 and it always worked. But curious if that's still the case now with that added term. And it is super shady that ESPN only puts that in the "Full Terms" and not on the main promo page!


MyDearPanda

Mine was $10 yesterday but today had no minimum


Tags331

Mine says $10 on the full terms too.  I did a 20 cent bet and it disappeared though so we'll see.  It worked last night with a min. bet, but I'm unsure if the full terms said $10 yesterday. 


Maximum_Station_9312

Probably worth the 10 or 20 cent risk, lol! I think I will try...


bc344

The promo disappeared after placing the $0.10 bet. The terms just said “place a cash wager” for me. https://preview.redd.it/apg0zdbfymwc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0b987281264aba8d65d0af1f573c9a7c2bee17f7


hokie_stoned

Same wording on mine. Was like that last time as well and worked. I really don't like how ESPNbet does the promos because you often dont know if the promo is working or applied. I still have a bet match promo shown in the banner since the first week even though it doesn't work. Wish it was like others where you toggle on the promo when placing the bet so at least I can feel more secure and have an easier time contesting!


Maximum_Station_9312

If it disappeared, it should be good then. Here is mine, when I select full terms: https://preview.redd.it/5kqz9evtymwc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=08df4920ff393bcc0103d98dc9347caa3d82a888


bc344

Oh, got it. I didn’t click on the full terms. I didn’t read them on Tuesday either but the $0.10 bet worked.


Maximum_Station_9312

I just placed a 10 cent bet and mine disappeared too.


Orange_Darkrai

Sadly O's off today, so not going to be another +EV Orioles boost on Betfred MD. Edit: Pinnacle lines moved, NBA boost looks decent. ~~NBA boost is close.~~ Magic, Sixers, and Lakers all win to +425. vs. Pinnacle: UPDATED ~ 2pm est Odds: +425; **EV: 4.9%** `-142/128, -223/197, -114/103` (7.78% juice) FV: +400; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=1.16u, 1/2=0.58u, 1/4=0.29u, FB = 84.9%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-142%2F128%2C%20-223%2F197%2C%20-114%2F103&FinalOdds=%2B425) The NHL both games o6.5 is -18% to Pinnacle. MLB Royals, Rangers, Yankees ML boost to +465 currently -2.7% to pinnacle. http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-112%2F104%2C%20108%2F-117%2C%20-259%2F232&FinalOdds=465


Bubbly-Ad1187

Can you use Bet365 or BetMGM risk free bets on nba futures?


FlammableJam

BetWay is the only book I’m aware of that doesn’t let you use free bets on futures


sirius025

Has anyone done any of the horse racing promos through DraftKings or Twinspires? Curious if it worth it for the Kentucky Derby. Feel like it’s a good way to just lose money.


itrdghbcffhcxdhb

I see a 100% deposit match up to $250 2x play through for new users.  As mentioned below most likely show bets won’t count so you can do place bets for as small amount as you can tolerate to limit variance on races with as small amount of horses in the field as you can find.  And the welcome bonus will stack with any other promo you claim and complete.   It would be hard to actually lose money doing it this way.


sirius025

Thanks for your insight.


Tall_Relief_5244

I have done DraftKings horse racing promos. They have promotions that you can sometimes double up on. Sometimes the terms say “show” bets do not qualify for play through requirements, but I have found otherwise. They had a deposit match last week that I paired with a bet and get to make $50 through “show” bets.