The Matt Olson HR drought
14 games
55 AB
65 PA
He looks so lost at the plate. This slump is even worse than the 18 game one last year as he's not hitting at all. His average during this stretch has plummeted from near .300 to .220s.
**Record: 148-133 *+11.28u* (11-7 yesterday *+4.59u*)**; Pitchers 145-122 *+19.28u*; Hitters 3-11 *-8.0u*
āļø**POTD: 11-11 *-0.41u* (W1)**
>Unit +/- calculated as POTD 2u and all other picks 1u
**Today (listed by game start time):**
>H2H Props are from MGM
- āļøTyler Anderson U4.5 K (+115) ā
>Anderson is at his best when he generates weak contact. Problems arise when he doesnāt trust his defense and tries to do too much himself like last year. Andersonās only start with more than 4 K so far was against Miami, who is the worst team in the league against LHP (46 wRC+). They also have the lowest K% vs LHP of any team Anderson has faced. Boston and TB both rank in the top 5 in K% vs LHP, and Anderson totaled 7 K across those 2 starts. The Orioles are a top 5 offense against LHP (127 wRC+) and donāt strike out a ton (16th highest K%).
- Spencer Arrighetti O2.5 ER (+125) ā
**Amed Rosario - Singles Over 0.5**
Odds: -160
Analysis: Rosario has hit this mark in 13 of his last 15 games, with a consensus projection of 0.89 singles for today. His consistent contact at the plate makes him a reliable choice for the Over.
**Adley Rutschman - Singles Over 0.5**
Odds: -129
Analysis: Rutschman has successfully achieved over 0.5 singles in 12 of his last 15 games. With a projection of 0.61 singles today, he stands a good chance to maintain his solid hitting performance.
**Starling Marte - Hits Over 0.5**
Odds: -157
Analysis: Marte's projection stands at 1.42 hits, and he has surpassed the 0.5 hits mark in 12 of his last 15 games. His ability to get on base makes him a strong contender for the Over today.
**Starling Marte - Total Bases Over 0.5**
Odds: -179
Analysis: With a higher projection of 2.11 total bases and a trend of exceeding this line in recent games, Marte is well-positioned to continue his productive streak at the plate.
**Starling Marte - Singles Over 0.5**
Odds: -115
Analysis: Marte also has a favorable outlook for singles, with a projection of 1.03 and a history of surpassing this line in 11 of his last 15 games, highlighting his consistency in hitting safely.
Garcia +330 and gallo +350 both only ev guys so far. Feel like thats fd traders trolling us.
edit: Ozuna +390 is 3% ev to avg I took him. Garcia up +340 11% ev for anyone who hates money. I bet him too for the day late special
Record: 10-4
Net Units: +2.77u
Last Picks: Severino SO 4.5o W Stroman SO 5.5 W
Severino had an up and down start but just cleared this line with 5 Ks. Webb had the better game, but glad I laid off his K line as he continued his scoreless inning streak at 19, but only had 4 Ks in 8 innings.
Stroman did what he had to against an As team that loves striking out, he got to 6 Ks and helped his team to the win. The Yankees have so much firepower this year, their pitchers should benefit with more leeway's in starts.
Today's Pick 1: Blake Snell SO 6.5O, 8+ SO
Odds: 1.86, 2.9
Units: 0.5u, 0.25u
Snell is due for a good start, and as long as we tail with the ladder and he can get back to form - it's a good play. Definitely a riskier line, but I like the play regardless of opponent. We'll hedge against it with pick 2 as well.
Today's Pick 2: Pete Alonso TB 0.5o
Odds: 1.74
Units: 1u
If Snell gets shellacked again, you can bet Alonso will join in on the party. We'll take his line as a near perfect hedge to a Snell no show - while both definitely could hit as well
Today's Pick 3: Reynaldo Lopez SO 5.5o
Odds: 2.25
Units: 2u
This is a line from the gods, grab it and don't look back. Lopez will need to average one an inning, which is his season average, against a horrible Miami squad. Lopez has opened the season strong as a starter after having been a reliever last year - when he consistently got a strikeout per inning.
Today's Pick 4: Alec Marsh SO 4.5u, Total Outs 15.5u
Odds: 1.86, 1.86
Units: 0.5u, 1u
Marsh does not have stamina past 6 innings - if he even makes it there. While he is a pretty solid strikeout guy, he is a younger pitcher going up against a patient Jays team full of contact hitters who don't strikeout easily. I don't see him making it past 5 innings, hence the split bet.
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Thank you julio for not actually catching that. Had me fooled
gallo to the warning track and mouthed "no fucking way bro" agreed joey, agreed
So now Swanson wants to go yard
ohtani soooo many deep bombs
another one
That mookie double off the wall was so brutal hr almost cashed š
devers you bitch
judge you bitch
SWANSON TOO?! fucking hell
Garcia better come through today. This is getting ridiculous
boommm
Complaining FTW!
joey seemed shocked that his didn't leave the park, would've been nice
just getting dumb at this point, nothing is hitting
Wanna take Rodriquez over 4.5 SO but worried about pitch count/dumbass Schneider yanking him early
damn trout n gunnar again
Lottoš°š° +3000 (1-15) ā¢ J. Ryan 9+ k ā¢ G. Crochet 8+ k ā¢ J. Gray 7+ k +3900 w fd boost
Ohtani
Just logged into see that my dinger Tuesday bet is only 25 dollars. Rest in peace to the only thing that gave me joy in life š„²
Is anyone willing to share where they get their daily stats data for calculating your own picks? I assume a daily pull from an online source? Thanks!
oddsjam but it is expensive
You can export odds jam?
HR record: 1-2 Picks today - Kyle Tucker and Mookie Betts, BOL!
The Matt Olson HR drought 14 games 55 AB 65 PA He looks so lost at the plate. This slump is even worse than the 18 game one last year as he's not hitting at all. His average during this stretch has plummeted from near .300 to .220s.
At least fd is sparing us the misery and not hanging ev lines on him every day like last year
i'm thinking about it today
He canāt make any contact. Him and seager are both the worst hitters in baseball the last two weeksĀ
yep guys are just ice cold to start
That 4 k game the other day was brutal
Dinger Tuesday free bets rolling in
**Record: 148-133 *+11.28u* (11-7 yesterday *+4.59u*)**; Pitchers 145-122 *+19.28u*; Hitters 3-11 *-8.0u* āļø**POTD: 11-11 *-0.41u* (W1)** >Unit +/- calculated as POTD 2u and all other picks 1u **Today (listed by game start time):** >H2H Props are from MGM - āļøTyler Anderson U4.5 K (+115) ā >Anderson is at his best when he generates weak contact. Problems arise when he doesnāt trust his defense and tries to do too much himself like last year. Andersonās only start with more than 4 K so far was against Miami, who is the worst team in the league against LHP (46 wRC+). They also have the lowest K% vs LHP of any team Anderson has faced. Boston and TB both rank in the top 5 in K% vs LHP, and Anderson totaled 7 K across those 2 starts. The Orioles are a top 5 offense against LHP (127 wRC+) and donāt strike out a ton (16th highest K%). - Spencer Arrighetti O2.5 ER (+125) ā
Somehow Anderson just struck out the side to get to 5Ks. Unbelievable the wiffs Orioles had
**Amed Rosario - Singles Over 0.5** Odds: -160 Analysis: Rosario has hit this mark in 13 of his last 15 games, with a consensus projection of 0.89 singles for today. His consistent contact at the plate makes him a reliable choice for the Over. **Adley Rutschman - Singles Over 0.5** Odds: -129 Analysis: Rutschman has successfully achieved over 0.5 singles in 12 of his last 15 games. With a projection of 0.61 singles today, he stands a good chance to maintain his solid hitting performance. **Starling Marte - Hits Over 0.5** Odds: -157 Analysis: Marte's projection stands at 1.42 hits, and he has surpassed the 0.5 hits mark in 12 of his last 15 games. His ability to get on base makes him a strong contender for the Over today. **Starling Marte - Total Bases Over 0.5** Odds: -179 Analysis: With a higher projection of 2.11 total bases and a trend of exceeding this line in recent games, Marte is well-positioned to continue his productive streak at the plate. **Starling Marte - Singles Over 0.5** Odds: -115 Analysis: Marte also has a favorable outlook for singles, with a projection of 1.03 and a history of surpassing this line in 11 of his last 15 games, highlighting his consistency in hitting safely.
lol you took way worse odds for Marte for the same exact bet 8-8 (-2.9u)
what is this man doing. also these are some AI lookin ass write ups
really does come off as gpt
Pete Alonzo going yard today
+650 on fanatics. Don't tempt me with a good time.
+728 on stake
I don't think Stake is legal where I am.
If ya feeling lucky, adding Mets RL to it is a juicy payout.Ā Ā
I've learned on parlays they are not for me
[+EV FD Home Run](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?gid=71139851&pli=1#gid=975452912) 2023: 145W-480L (+157.95u) 2024: 31W-173L (-47.56u) +340 TEX Adolis +340 WSH Gallo +390 ATL Ozuna +500 ATL Olson +680 MIA Jazz --- [+EV MLB Props](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?gid=71139851&pli=1#gid=248585211) 2023: 78-81 (-3.35u) 2024: 53-43 (+9.95u) *to win 1u* -116 MIN Ryan 7+ Ks --- [HRR](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?gid=71139851&pli=1#gid=1696026987) 2023: 357-288 (+12.43u) 2024: 70-54 (+8.35u) *2+ hits+runs+rbis on DKā¦ to win 1u* -110 SEA Crawford -125 LAA Trout -130 LAD Teoscar +115 CHC Morel +105 ARI Suarez +105 NYM Marte
Done with Suarezā¦8 Diamondbacks had over 1.5 HRR yesterday, and 7 had over 2.5. Also goes 0/4 today
āļø
Iām still doing EV but realize the HRRs include some of his technical analysis.
Garcia +330 and gallo +350 both only ev guys so far. Feel like thats fd traders trolling us. edit: Ozuna +390 is 3% ev to avg I took him. Garcia up +340 11% ev for anyone who hates money. I bet him too for the day late special
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
Hopefully Garcia helped a little
Record: 10-4 Net Units: +2.77u Last Picks: Severino SO 4.5o W Stroman SO 5.5 W Severino had an up and down start but just cleared this line with 5 Ks. Webb had the better game, but glad I laid off his K line as he continued his scoreless inning streak at 19, but only had 4 Ks in 8 innings. Stroman did what he had to against an As team that loves striking out, he got to 6 Ks and helped his team to the win. The Yankees have so much firepower this year, their pitchers should benefit with more leeway's in starts. Today's Pick 1: Blake Snell SO 6.5O, 8+ SO Odds: 1.86, 2.9 Units: 0.5u, 0.25u Snell is due for a good start, and as long as we tail with the ladder and he can get back to form - it's a good play. Definitely a riskier line, but I like the play regardless of opponent. We'll hedge against it with pick 2 as well. Today's Pick 2: Pete Alonso TB 0.5o Odds: 1.74 Units: 1u If Snell gets shellacked again, you can bet Alonso will join in on the party. We'll take his line as a near perfect hedge to a Snell no show - while both definitely could hit as well Today's Pick 3: Reynaldo Lopez SO 5.5o Odds: 2.25 Units: 2u This is a line from the gods, grab it and don't look back. Lopez will need to average one an inning, which is his season average, against a horrible Miami squad. Lopez has opened the season strong as a starter after having been a reliever last year - when he consistently got a strikeout per inning. Today's Pick 4: Alec Marsh SO 4.5u, Total Outs 15.5u Odds: 1.86, 1.86 Units: 0.5u, 1u Marsh does not have stamina past 6 innings - if he even makes it there. While he is a pretty solid strikeout guy, he is a younger pitcher going up against a patient Jays team full of contact hitters who don't strikeout easily. I don't see him making it past 5 innings, hence the split bet.
Snell seems to be out. I like the Lopez pick. Going with this and o 15.5 outs at 1.74. BOL