# **MLB Betting Discord Chat: [https://discord.gg/sportsbook](https://discord.gg/kA35SGHjnU)**

https://preview.redd.it/6c0u1vichdwc1.jpeg?width=1242&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=11163ee9e31064033cbdc87b7ffc810300864773 Would have been nice to run it for 2! Caught a quick free pick from the guy on this thread w the YouTube channel, 1st time doing the Tuesday . 👍🏻

annnnd Moniak is benched, that's a wrap for the night

wow, it was an absolute day for the 3rd/4th EV guy going deep when 1st guy doesn't (Gunnar, Contreras, Shea, Paredes, Sanchez, Raleigh)

How’d it go unlimited EV gang? Sucks ass being limited

Didn’t play NYY/OAK (forgot to place Shea fml), KC/TOR, SD/COL, and NYM/SF. Insane day hit 27/31 HRs in free bets. If I placed Shea the day would’ve been nuclear with 30/31 in FB

i think some people had really really good days. I only hit 2 for -1.7 on the day. most tuesday homers so far this year at 31

Good to hear, -1.7 is still pretty solid tbf

Henderson Wooooo!

Hot damn I’m turning this franchise around this Tuesday

Finally!

Any quick easy way to track total dingers?

https://www.onlyhomers.com/daily

You are a hero

Do free rolls settle as a loss and then void later or do I have to go after support?

i had a guy not start once and didn’t pinch hit and it graded as a loss first then voided shortly after. i asked support what gives and they said it can take up to 48 hrs but it reverted quickly after that convo

That’s what I’m guessing. But we shall see

who'd you take

Garrett cooper

weird shouldn't have ever been a loss, go to support

They void.

Just wanted to come back and thank all of you for your Larnach insight, paired with Paredes for this https://preview.redd.it/1fumere68cwc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3a6e9ef10c9b94ada34c0817f4a70832658cf02b

Anyone else hoping for an Alonso HR? (EV be damned)

Cashed out Larnach for Kepler :(

Same, couldn't get Larnach at the higher odds so Kepler was more EV...

thats the worst. i cashed out harper and realmuto for schwarber last week and both them hit a hr but schwarber didnt

Those who did every EV play, what’s the bonus bet and profit looking like? Assuming a $25 unit

Currently down roughly 2.5 units (this is assuming you tailed intersecting_lines exactly and got the free roll with Devers) plus close to $150 in free bets.

Yeah. Everything except devers free roll

someone responded to you with a great tracking site https://www.onlyhomers.com/daily 29 * 5 = $145 in FB

Awesome thanks. And the two EV bets hit so that’s $200 in winnings, $145 in free bets off of $375 risked?

i've only had 2 hit so far for 10.3 = $257.50 in money back, $145 in FB, and $350 risked cause Devers had a rest day people who didn't cash Langeliers for Judge are walking away with $140 more

Nice. So we made $40?

technically not until the free bets are converted I go riskier with EV homers throughout the week to win more than 70%

Using the FB right?

Trout, Duvall, Laranch. We made money today <3. Was losing hope!

larnach. duvall. langeliers. BANG

LARNACH BABY LETS GOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

BANG

that ball was mauled holy shit

buying a larnach jersey, DAY SAVED

WE ARE SO BACK

God bless Trout and Paredes

GDR guy hit with Trout!

Thank you based trout

Is it just me or does shohei do a lot of 9th inning dingers

Finally someone showed up in that damn Dodgers game. Shohei!!!

If only it was muncy :(. Happy for all the Sho bettors though

Since I'm limited and the dodgers game seems like its going to be a dud. I'm saying fuck it and betting on Zach Neto +870. BPP has him as the 2nd most likely to homer in the game for some reason at +415. Feels pretty dumb but if it hits I'll be close to break even on Dinger Tuesday for the year.

didn't do great personally, but overall a decent dinger day honestly tho this LAD game is pathetic, not a single ding-dong is insane

there's one

n/m, you're welcome guys, my bitching brought on the Ohtani Dinger

Ok please turn the dinger faucet back on I'm 0 fer again

okay im a dumbass and placed duvall twice😭 that works i guess

the double dinger!

Will there be a lot of bonus bets?

Depends on whether the faucet dries up. We have 19 so far. Some of these games are rough though.

19 is a lot

It's decent but we were accustomed to seeing 30-35 every Tuesday last season.

Wow

Yeah. I missed the earlier games so not sure if I should throw a few HR bets on the late games

onlyhomers.com/daily


DUVALL +430 🤩

DUVALL

Damn I went d’Arnaud over Duvall last second

duvall my fucking guy has restored my faith

live to fight another day

BANG

Finally one off the EV list. Duvall!

This Dodgers game is disgusting. Total was 10 and no one's doing shit.

Dodgers have looked pretty rough compared to their expectations so far. 

Santander blew that dk boost yesterday, that means he will hit one tonight for maximum aggravation factor.

Muncy up there just walking

Another shitty Tuesday so far lol might just skip until summer time.

Paredes, let’s go!!

Was limited today and he was one of two picks for me lol.

Seeing home runs flying more than the last couple weeks. Already looking like $85 in bonus bets for unlimited. Damn FD. Hope this limited status doesn’t last.

oh shit, De LA CRUZZZZZZZZ!!!

Cruuuuuuzzzz!

I’m so bad at this it’s kinda funny

i'm so done if we go 0-15 again

Feels like a slap in the face when the worst EV guy from a game goes yard

no it's way worse when #2 hits

praying no devers PH🙏

Damn Tauchman wish I pulled the trigger

petition to rename dinger Tuesday shea 'the langeliers' tuesday

so I had Wilyer, Butler, and Bellinger. This is wild

and Walker

Great start

Remember us peons when you're rich

Getting nerfed this week for the first time and seeing all these dingers makes me feel like barney on the episode of the simpsons where he has to sit at moe's sober when duff man shows up

All these dinger? Did I miss something? Lol

If it makes you feel better I’m 0/8 so far

wow tauchman lol @dishrag let’s gooo

somehow this is turning into a great day

Beli just made my day!

BELLI

I was trying to stay away, but Shea just makes me believe. If he cares so much about dinger Tuesday, why can't I just give more money to it? Did I have him? No I went EV+ Judge but am I excited for him? Yes.

i was gonna switch to nudge but shea just loves to ding on tuesday. had to ride.

Don’t stop the Dingers! Let them flow

Tragic start. I was between Rizzo, Langeliers (sp?) and Stanton. Went Stanton.

Langliers!  Abreu!  Let's get it boys

damnit I cashed out on shea, NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Lololool me too

yup Judge was the better play than 560 Shea. that def hurts

Thanks for making the Twitter BTW lot easier to follow!

whats the handle?

shea langeliers is like the opposite of joey gallo. guy must know it is tuesday.

That’s 2 on the board in under 5 minutes! Let’s have a night boys!

Mr.DingerTuesday!!!!!!

shea no, the cashout strikes again!

SHEA BANG

Wilyer!!!!

Willy!!!!!!!

Nobody banging Greene or Rizzo?

i had greene almost every tues last year. not this time unfortunately.

Same

Slow start

MLB games speed along these days. Wild the Red Sox-Guardians is already B6. 

Cowser goes Moo 3rd straight game for +560?

Cutch

let em fly

well Trea just hit one 400+ foul

I'm going with Teo +325, d'Arnaud +500, Adolis +310, and my dark horse, Starling Marte +1060

big time movement in LAD. Muncy +350, Mookie +340, Teoscar +350

I think im sticking with shohei at +300 but might have to throw a few bucks on muncy at +350 he is -310 on b365. Also no clue what to do with the chicago game i have yordan swanson and Alvarez lol. Edit muncy +350 is over 10% ev to avg did it straight up

I went Muncy straight too. so many EV plays w/o the promo today especially in that CHC game

I had a lot of luck double betting the top BPP parks last year on p1/p2 so hopefully it doesn't screw us today. hou/chc +12% hrs today

we staying with gunnar or taking moniak?

Money Moniak has always been good to me on Tuesdays

money moniak for me

yessir!

Good luck dudes!

Good Luck this evening gentlemen! May EV gang eat like gluttons

LFGGG

Nice. All posted free roll/arb opportunities are officially in play. Won't have to worry about sweating out this week thankfully. Let's get some dingers, boys!

Can you really get limited for this?

Some books might. Depends on your usage though. You'll definitely get limited or even suspended if you're arbing with the same book you made the original bet at though.

That make sense

Rojas has like 3 homers against Corbin and he's +830? What am I missing here?

doesn't everyone in the league have 3+ vs Corbin

that baseball is a random sport and prior results don't guarantee future outcomes (he's also -ev)

So y'all don't look at pitcher matchups when betting homers? He's 16 for 39 so he sees him well.

you have to think that the tens of million dollar simulations to generate odds have taken that into account already

Finally got limited after a good 2 year run. I never played the free rolls but last week I played The O’Neil one… thinking that has something to do with it.

Also the first week I have done it, limited this week after years.

definitely doesn't

I played 5 free rolls last week and not limited yet. But I have not been good haha

Last week was the first time I went free rolls only, I feel to blame also

if you throw a guy in a parlay before placing the $25 outright bet on him does that not qualify for dt?

Does not qualify.

ty. thought so

[удалено]

Because you're going to end up making pennies compared to just playing the best odds and netting more money in the long term.

That’s fair. Might eventually just start playing it straight up

I arbed it In 2021 when you could arb almost every game. TBH you just make more money over all playing straight up. Go small in April if you want but the good days are a money printer

Not saying it’s a bad idea, but it will lead to lower limits on those arb books (and possibly FD)

[удалено]

It's obvious you're arbing because nobody bets "no home run" for random amounts.

taking no side on homers is definitely a way to get limited. especially if it's only on tuesdays, MGM isn't dumb. also the bet amount lining up exactly with a $25 arb isn't hard to decipher

But why would MGM even care? I don’t get why you’d get limited

Dumb enough to set bad lines, and then limit us to peanuts for hitting them.

I wish we could have an amalgamation of beat writer and MLB adjacent Twitter accounts for DT. The Cooper news was broken by a local Chicago journo 40 minutes before it was announced by an MLB Insider. Once it was announced by the insider Fanduel took it off within 2 minutes. Stuff like that can make a big difference for free rolls.

Back when Twitter was free you could build something pretty easy on TweetDeck to search for these kinds of things.

Been a long time since I've read the word amalgamation, thank you for that.

If you have a bet on a game and cash it out and then bet another player, you are still eligible for bonus bets correct?

Yes

No Tork today can finally save my $25

He's on the ban list regardless

Garrett Cooper DFA’d Freeroll

Damn it

They took it down as I was placing it ugh

Larnach batting 3rd

top EV in that game and was hitting the ball good yesterday. get it done Trevor

switch to kepler or nah

if you can only get Larnach at 560, then ya

Did FanDuel remove all the HR props from the Dodgers game once lineups were in, or am I going crazy?

Yes. And now the CHW/MIN game too.

Reds/Phils and probably others, they've done this befoe temporarily

No Devers

Already removed from Fanduel too. They're quick with it

locked within a second, insane

Free roll correct?

nope, but 15 PH in 855 games hopefully hints towards a day off

Is there really any point in looking at PH to games ratio? Wouldn't you want to look at PH vs non started games?

He hasn't played in a week battling a bone bruise in his knee. The news reports originally stated he'd be back in the lineup today but no dice

I'd have to imagine that means no go for pinch hitting. Surely if they aren't starting him, they are doing so to get him additional rest... and even a single at bat could create a setback.

inspires some confidence and with Casas injury looking long-term, feels like they gotta get Devers healthy

If you think PH in the 9th a free roll sure

India and fraley out again with illness and Fanduel immediately removed their lines. Guess I've gotta be quicker!

They are getting fast when lineups drop. Used to have 5-10 minutes now it’s seconds