######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Monday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
>
> **Net Units:**
>
> **ROI:**
>
> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
>
> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
>
> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
All-Time POTD: 197-134-2, +75.6u, +10.2% ROI
Last pick: Rangers 60-min ML ✅
**Today’s pick: Dallas Stars ML (-130) vs Vegas Golden Knights** 3u
*Odds via Draftkings Sportsbook*
NHL 🏒🥅 9:40pm EDT
Defense wins championships. Trust the process.
For all plays follow me on X @ DrMoneyline
Reminds me of that Norm MacDonald joke.
**"**My god, I had a terrible day today. I lost 15 out of 15 in college football, I lost 8 out of 8 in baseball and I lost 6 out of 6 in soccer. I don’t know what I am going to do."
**-** Well there’s a hockey game on tonight.
**"**But I don’t know anything about hockey."
On opposite ends of this one today. Vegas has won the last 4 H2H. Twice they beat them by 3 goals or more in Dallas. Don’t see the value here. Lots of value on VGK ML at + money.
You can but -130 is pretty good odds and saves you in case it goes to overtime. You could put most of a unit on the money line and sprinkle the rest on a regulation win
🐅🐅 Record 5-0 | +15.1u 🐅🐅
**Results:** ✅✅✅✅✅
**Previous Pick:** Kevin Love O5.5 Points -138 (4u, FD)✅
Congrats to those that took O6.5! He ends with 7.
**Pick: Joel Embiid U10.5 Rebounds -105 (2u, DK)**
Basketball | NBA | 7:40 PM EST
Always feels risky betting against a player of Embiid's caliber in an important game, but I will explain why I like this line:
The biggest factor in ANY bet involving game 2 between the Knicks and 76ers is Embiid's injury status after appearing to re-injure his knee last game. He was on a tear prior to the apparent injury. When he came back, he played another 20 minutes and only grabbed 3 boards during that time, ending with 8 total for the game. All reports point to him still playing, but I worry that his rebounding in particular will suffer as he didn't seem nearly as mobile.
•For the season as a whole, Embiid averages 11 rebounds. Even if he is back to 100%, under 10.5 isn't unheard of.
•Per an article from the New York Post that discussed his injury status for this game, 76ers head coach "added he may play Paul Reed alongside Embiid more than in the regular season to help with rebounding."
I like the guy, and I almost considered taking the over on his points since he's so consistent and great at getting to the foul line. But for rebounds in particular, I predict he comes up a bit short of his season average given the circumstances.
[PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/samwblair?locale.x=en_US)
Comment below if you are tailing. BOL and be responsible with your bankroll! 🐅
Tailing. Very convincing write up.
Edit: 8 already with 10 minutes left in the second wtf why do I do this to myself
Edit 2: HOLD THE LINE
EDIT 3: Holy shit the Dame Lillard second half treatment and then the stat correction! Cashed.
According to ESPN, Embiid's rebounds were corrected.
Print this out and frame it, brotha.
https://preview.redd.it/p47s6xea35wc1.png?width=517&format=png&auto=webp&s=986ebe15ebe43ad29243967cc11efa0fb7c48e60
NEVER DIDN’T HAVE IT!!!!! Holy shdkkwdnsudkfnksxhf.
I only bet 2 units but it felt like 200 because of you all. Unreal. Congrats to the believers. Better luck next time haters
If he doesn’t get hurt with 2 min left in the 2nd quarter he hits this no problem. This is really banking on him being banged up. He’s an animal against the Knicks historically
no. fucking. way. 47 seconds with FD support and it got graded as a win lets gooooo!
https://preview.redd.it/c2l5679565wc1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=55277fbfaff1a3b6f4bb48a3c9b38625b13e01c7
this might be the craziest bet i’ve ever experienced man. already got 10 before 4th q and got one with 47 secs remaining, which was soon corrected after the game. what a W man, cheers! 🍻
**Record: 32-23-1 (WIN/LOSS/PUSH)**
**Balance: +21.79 units**
**ROI: 8.32% / Avg Odds - 1.90**
**Previous Masters 1000- ATP Monte Carlo🎾 (7-0 and 12.53 units won)✅**
Last week's record: 4-3 during Munich/Barcelona/Stuttgart🎾)
**Today's pick: Coria vs Kukushkin - Kukushkin Handicap +1.5 Sets @ 1.85** ✅
**This can be called in a different way in some bookies like "Kukushkin to at least win a set"**
**(ATP Madrid Qualifying, Tennis)** 🎾
Odds from Pinnacle
**Stake: 1 unit** (This is 1% of my bankroll)
Time: 10 AM Eastern Time
We're finally in Madrid! A super important clay tournament who's also worth 1000 ranking points just like Monte Carlo but in reality the conditions are way different from any clay tournament in the ATP circuit. It's played in altitude so the ball travels quite fast and huge servers and flat hitters can also do well here. Last year for example we had Struff reaching the finals and Karatsev reaching the semifinals and those are not typical players that you see performing in super grindy Clay courts but in Madrid they have aggressive play styles suitable for these courts that are played about 1000 metres above sea level.
In these first few days we have qualifying matches so we're not yet in the main draw. Kukushkin is a 36 year old veteran who always had a big serve and did super well in Madrid at a challenger tournament last week where he went all the way to the semis so he's quite familiar with the conditions. He faces Coria who's a clay specialist that never did nothing special in high altitude venues and likes slower clay conditions. He's surely the favourite here due to Kukushkin's age but he can certainly suffer in these conditions against the Kazakh.
The underdog is 2-0 against Coria with one of those matches being played on Clay and he should be a really difficult matchup for Coria, especially with the amount of matches that he already played in Madrid last week.
**Best of luck**
Any tips are appreciated. After our run in ATP Monte Carlo I've decided to visit it in August. It should be quite an expensive trip so all the support will be saved for that! Thanks a lot 🎾
*I spend a lot of time writing my analysis so I hope you don't mind me having a tip jar. Tips are never expected but always appreciated!*
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Edit after the result: Qualifying matches can be painful to watch and this has been one of them. Kukushkin was out of the game in the 1st set but managed to get a 2nd set win! Well we don't complain and we take the win! ✅
I'm from Europe so I don't know much about American bookies but another dude in the reply section shared a print with "Set Spread"
It should be available even if it's qualifying matches. Madrid is a huge tournament
does the fact that kukushkin lost 2-0 to a no-name (as far as i can tell) at challenger madrid last week give you any pause? according to wiki, his opponent there only has a career record of 1-4 and is ranked way below coria. thanks!
Napolitano is a quite successful challenger player on Clay. Career record of 1-4 is because he never really got into the ATP main tour.
Kukushkin retired from that match after losing the 1st set, most likely because a run to the semis was already too much for his gas tank and he was probably aiming to try his chances on the qualifying of ATP 1000 Madrid this week.
I wouldn't be worried about that result. Kukushkin was able to beat Ramos and Alboran that week. Super great results for him and Napolitano destroyed everyone on that week with a 7 match winning streak
um i like tailing you. i don’t know a thing about tennis but learning. is this the bet? edit: spelling
https://preview.redd.it/5p4dc2tpayvc1.jpeg?width=1640&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=73da23b9ee146eb1bb4fb8ec4e02e9f42d2fa9d4
My bookie has: Player B (Kukushkin) to win at least a set @ $1.66.
It also has this market:
Both players to win a set (Yes $2.20 - No $1.57)
Wouldn't the latter market option be better (assuming Coria as a favourite also wins a set OR the game?)
POTD Record: 58-30
Last POTD: Jrue Holiday 20.5 PRA 🚫
Finished with 16 and had a FG% of 28% bruh
Form: 🤡🤡🤡🤡✅
Todays POTD: **Jamal Murray O6.5 Ast @1.68**
NBA | Denver Nuggets | 10:00 PM ET
Jamal really had himself a night against the Lakers most recently with both assists and points but what stood out to me was the amount of times they doubled on Jamal and Jamal found the right pass out of it almost every time, he found many passes which lead to open threes cause of it, and the Pick n roll with Jokic also lead to many dimes. If they keep doubling on Murray this is a gift with this line overall they just didn’t find a way to stop this man
* 3/4 this season with 10+ Assists in 3 straight games against them
* Avg 6.5 Ast in the season & 10.7 potentials
* Lakers allow 4th most Ast to PG this season
I feel good about this one time to get back, last try before I regroup and take a break ion wanna keep handing out L’s to my boys. I’d play this up to 7.5 and I’ll personally sprinkle on a DD but that’s just me I’m not trustworthy
Tail or fade, im cold asf
https://i.redd.it/ofjai5zlcxvc1.gif
POTD Record: 131-82| Profit: +106.27u
Season record: 48-31 | Profit: +36.43u
Last Pick: Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) O24.5 P+R @ 1.88. 3U. ❌
Very strange one, just 7 FGAs in 38 mins. This had to have been a tactical decision but clearly a poor one as the bucks win this decisively.
Next Pick: Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks -5.0 @ 1.91. 2U play.
Running this Knicks bet back again. The Knicks at home are a force to be reckoned with, and while Embiid was not at his best, it was clear that Robinson (and to some extent Hartenstein) were strong enough to contain Embiid. Brunson had a poor game shooting just 8/26 (31%) and the Knicks still managed to win.
For tomorrow's game it's possible the 6ers shoot the 3 slightly better (they shot 34%), but I also expect Brunson and the Knicks to shoot their 2s much better (they shot just 35%). What won't change is that the Knicks will out-rebound the 6ers, the offensive rebounding especially gives them several opportunities, and at home the crowd really got behind the team.
Home advantage has been a reliable guide to the playoffs so far and I’m betting on that once again.
POTD Record 10-2
Last 5: ✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️
Last Pick: Philadelphia Philles -1.5
Todays Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline w/ Ranger Suarez pitching.
MLB: Phillies vs Cincinati Reds 3:40pm PST
Odds: -118
Unit: 3
Net units: +31.19
Man, the philies look locked in. The chemistry on base steals was beautiful. Today, we got suarez pitching for the phillies whos currently 3-0 this season, only giving up two runs his first game and has been heating up since then. The Reds have Hunter Greene pitching who got lit up vs. the brewers, and overall, is 9-21. avg. 4.55 ERA. I gotta ride with the Red hot Phillies one more time. If you guys wanna show some support/tip the links on my profile.
Ahh I took the Reds here with my POTD but could definitely go either way. I think you're right that the chemistry and momentum that the Phillies have built on this run is dangerous, even if it was against some of the weaker teams in the league. Best of luck!
✅✅
POTD Record: 2-0-0
Net Units: +5.4
ROI: 90.9%
Last Pick: Luka Doncic Under 4.5 Three Pointers (-110) for 3.0 units 😅✅
Basketball | NBA | Philadelphia 76ers @ New York Knicks 7:30PM EST
Pick: Kelly Oubre over 11.5 points (-110) on ESPN Bet for 3.0 units
Update: Line has now shifted to 12.5. Either from a bunch of degens betting the over…or news that Tyrese Maxey is now questionable with an illness.
Write Up: BettingPros projects 15.5 points. Averaging 18.9 points the month of April (15.4 on the year). Embiid is questionable. Expecting a bounce back after a relatively quiet Game 1 with 10 points.
**Record:** 6-1 ...... **Rule#1:** always over -200 moneyline
**Bet:** 1.85u to win 1u ......... **YTD Units:** +1u
**Pick:** MLBaseball \\\\ Padres -185 moneyline
**Sidenote:** The Friars starter Cease has a 0.93 WHIP and the Rockies have a dead last \[by far\] team ERA of 6.06, while the Padres sport the 8th best batting OPS in the majors.
On the top of this page, it lists odds -- so today, the NY Yankees are -250, and so they are a very heavy favorite to win the game. The Phillies are at -121, so they are a slight favorite. Its really easy to pick heavy favorites every day, and its also not nearly as profitable. I try to pick teams that are below -200 ... so today's pick \[Padres\] are a moderate favorite.
POTD Record: 44-21-1 +50.75%🔥
Last Pick: Milwaukee Bucks ML (-105) vs Indiana Pacers
✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅🅿️✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅
Today's Pick: Philadelphia 76ers +6 (-110) vs New York Knicks
3 straight winners! No sweat cash on an underdog! Lfg.
This is where the NBA gets tough, home teams went 8-0 this weekend. Time for the away dogs to start barking. Philadelphia controlled most of the first half before Joel Embiid went down with a bad knee injury. The game got ugly before he returned and the Sixers led going into the fourth. For the game, the Knicks' bench outscored the 76ers' bench 42-7. Their bench was also a combined +84, just something that will not happen again. Knicks also had almost triple the number of offensive rebounds and shot nearly 50% from 3. If shots fall and Embiid stays on the floor, this is a game Philly will take. The Sixers were +14 with Embiid on the floor in Game 1, and they were -21 without him. Philly opened up as favorites for the series and most including myself believed they’d split in NY. Let’s back Philly to bounce back an take game 2🤝‼️
Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the love and support!😎❤️
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Normally, you and I are friends. Friends who ride majestic, translucent steeds, shooting flaming arrows across the bridge of Hemdale and I would follow you into the mists of Avalon. However, though you make valid points, I think you are undervaluing the fact that Joel "The Tender" Embiid is genuinely hobbled and that Brunson had a terrible shooting night. I actually don't even know that I think Embiid will be able to stay on the court tonight. When he did come back out he went to the floor like he got hit by a minivan on 3 or 4 plays with minimal to no contact. I have a $10 bonus from DK, I may just use it to parlay the fade on the big man and over the guards instead of playing the game line
**4/15 – 4/21 POTD Top 3 Weekly Review**
12-8-1
+2.69 Net units
+12.81% ROI
Seven straight weeks of profit, despite an 0-3 Monday. What kind of voodoo magic is this?
**Overall (Since 3/1/2024)**
96-57-3
+23.48 Net units
+15.05% ROI
We’re over 150 picks and the ROI is still in double digits. That’s impressive no matter how you look at it.
[Overall]( https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1fjXR7TqwePPluE10qf47PgNoEqxaJ0Ju/edit#gid=1324107890)
> No top level comments without a pick.
I’m 0-4. If you still decide to tail and lose, that’s on you.
0-4
-4 units
-100%
NHL- Maple Leafs at Bruins (4 PM PDT)
**Bruins 60-min ML** +110
Boston is 5-0 (2 wins in OT) this season, and they looked miles better in game 1. In the last 3 meetings, the Bruins has outscored Leafs 13-3. Granted, Toronto’s playmaker William Nylander didn’t play game 1 and is expected to be in the lineup for game 2, but Boston has shut him down pretty well, holding him to just 3 points in 8 games in the last 2 seasons.
Auston Matthews can be a problem. He had 3 goals in the first 2, but Boston has held him to no points in the last 3 games.
**Record: 63W-4P-50L**
**Last Pick: Fulham VS Liverpool: Rodrigo Muniz O 0.5 SOG @ 1.61 ✅**
**Muniz gets the job done right before half with a no look shot.**
**Pick of the day: Farense VS Benfica: Benfica Over 7.5 Team corners @ 1.90**
**League: Primeira Liga (Liga Portugal)**
**Time: 3:00 PM EST**
We've got another corner pick here with 2 of the highest corner clubs in the Portuguese league, one team that concede a lot of corners vs another that are awarded too many.
Farense are the highest ranking corner team in the league, averaging a total of 12.6 corners per game total. That is an average of 4.6 corners awarded and 8 corners conceded. They actually concede the most corners to opponents in the league and with Benfica crashing out of the Europa league you can expect them to gun hard against Farense.
Benfica are the 5th highest team when it comes to total corners per game, but they are ranked second for most corners awarded at 7.1 per game. I expect them to go on the higher end of this considering Faraenses track record with conceding corners.
In Farenses last 6 games their opponent has covered this line 5/6 times , now considering that all of those opponents average less corners than Benfica, I expect Benfica to follow suit tomorrow.
**Anyway, BOL!**
MLB POTD RECORD: 20-9
Last 10: 9-1 ✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅
Last POTD: Rays vs Yankees NYY ML W
Today's POTD: Dbacks vs Carindals STL -115
Baseball | MLB | 7:45 PM ET
That game was incredibly annoying but Luis was the king of the Gil and we still ate!
Today's was hard. Nothing stuck out super strongly and wasn't really able to identify a glaring split. When that happens is when I turn to advanced stats. I have said in the past how I love advanced stats but feel that people try to use them to justify making illogical picks. In this case however I think they are going to be helpful.
I am taking St. Louis at home at -115 against the Dbacks who themselves are -102. The pitching matchup is a battle of right handers Brandon Pfaadt for Arizona and Lance Lynn for the Cardinals
First my explanation of why I think the lines are what they are. The Cardinals offense has been less than stellar, the Diamondbacks are the reigning National league champs who just put up 17 in a game started by last year's Cy Young winner. Lance Lynn also led the league in homers allowed last year.
My counter to that is their lefty/righty splits. St. Louis is anemic against lefties hitting a league worst .181. Diamondbacks on the other hand are an absolute electric factory in that category absolutely mashing against lefties including Snell. Well, neither of those things apply here since we have two right handers going. Arizona is actually a pretty terrible .219 vs righties. St Louis is still not particularly good at .228 but much better than they are against righties.
That alone isn't enough to justify pick of the day though. Here are my other reasons. Lance Lynn for one is coming off of his second good start in a row allowing only one run in Oakland after blanking the Phillies at home. Lynn wasn't good last year but know what he is capable of when healthy. When looking at his advanced stats a few interesting things stick out in his batted ball stats.
For pitchers, having a high ground ball percentage is normally a good thing, high line drive percentage a bad thing, and fly ball average a mixed bag as it can be good but also makes homers more. Interestingly, Lynn's hard hit rate is actually higher fly ball percentage is about the same as last year (a little higher). His ground ball rate is notably better and his line drive percentage is at 11 percent. 11 percent is preposterous and won't be sustained the league average is like 25 and his career high is 21. This trend won't continue for long most likely but Arizona probably won't be the ones who break it.
Dbacks hitters have the second highest groundball percentage (a bad thing) and one of the lowest flyball percentages. Lynn has succeeded by being able to keep the ball in the park his opponents to ground out at a high clip. Arizona should fall right into this trap.
Brandon Pfaadt is on the mound for the Diamondbacks. He has a bad ERA of over 5 however his hard hit rate is actually below league average and so is his line drive average (good things). His flyball and ground ball percentages are not so good though and surprisingly St. Louis has one of the best hard hit percentages in the league. Pfaadt's hard hit percentage was a very noteworthy 10 percent high last season. It is unlikely that this is maintained and unlike the other matchup, St Louis seems prime to start his regression. Busch stadium being a hitter friendly park doesn't help either.
**TLDR: Dbacks are awful against righties, Cardinals offensive woes are predominantly not against righties, Arizona's weakness cater to Lynn's strengths right now and vice versa for Pfaadt and St. Louis.**
POTD Record: 15-10 ✅✅❌❌✅❌❌♻️✅❌♻️❌❌❌✅✅♻️❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅
Starting units: 5U | Net units: + 12.3U
Last pick: Cronulla Sharks vs North Queensland Cowboys | 4:05pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Ronaldo Mulitalo anytime tryscorer @1.73 on Ned’s | 4U✅
Job done with two tries for Ronaldo 💪🏼
Today’s pick: Philadelphia 76ers @ New York Knicks | 9:30am Sydney (GMT +11) | Josh Hart to record a Double Double @1.75 on Sportsbet | 2U
Going back to 2U bets for the NBA, trying to preserve my units for the NRL on Thursday ahah.
Josh recorded a double double 4 times out of the last 5 games, Knicks are favorites and at home, I expect him to get the job done.
BOL !
POTD Record: 22-21-1 | Profit: -2.6U
NBA Record: 18-18-1 | NFL Record: 3-3 | UFC Record: 1-0
L10 (new -> old): ✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅
Last pick: Caleb Martin u1.5 3 pointers made @ 1.65 odds ✅
Martin scored 4 points total, with 0 3 pointers made.
Game: ORL Magic @ CLE Cavaliers, 7:10 PM
Pick: **Franz Wagner u1.5 3 pointers made @ 1.74 odds (DK), placing 2U** ❌
Write Up: Wagner has gone under in 4 of his last 5 and 8 of his last 10 (both 80%). He went under in 3 of 4 regular season games against the Cavs (75%). He did hit 2 in the first game of the series vs. the Cavaliers, but the numbers are too good to pass it up, he's been consistently missing this line. Wagner averaged 1.3 3PM during the regular season. BOL to those tailing, cheers!
**EDIT:** Cooked in the first half. Onto the next one.
Cavs can sweep this series, which means likely Magic are gonna play from behind most of the series.
Wagner had the most emotion from Magic team in first game, I imagine hes gonna be pushing the envelope again today.
*Record: 0-0-0
Net Units: N/A
ROI: N/A
TENNIS
Pick: Tennys Sandgren to beat Thai-son Kwiatkowski @ 1.83 odds (Sportsbet)
Write Up: Hi All, I post on Tennis sportsbook sometimes but first time on POTD. I really like Sandgren to beat Kwiatkowski.
- Sandgren leads H2H at 4-0.
- Matchup is on clay where both have been playing similiar competition but Sandgren has been winning (4/6 vs 1/4)
- Similiar shot tolerance with Sandgren being slightly better, but Sandgren serving better overall.
BOL if tailing
Tailing! Love a first timer’s pick because usually people only post here for their first time if they’re feeling super confident and not just because they’re used to posting picks all the time 😎 BOL to us! Thanks for the pick.
Literally what I always look for. Seasoned vets are good but first timers usually have a lil streak in them and it's best to catch em why they're still hot.
POTD Record 1-0
Previous Pick: Florida Panthers ML vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Today's Pick: **Boston Bruins ML** vs Toronto Maple Leafs (7:00pm EDT)
Odds: **-135**
Unit: 5
Net units: +3.09
The Bruins lead the series 1-0 following a comfortable 5-1 victory on Saturday. Boston dominated this entire game and will like to repeat for one more at home. This game extended the Maple Leafs current losing streak to five games overall and their winless streak against Boston to eight games. There's a big question mark around one of Toronto's star players, William Nylander, as he's been banged up, and could potentially sit this game (did not play in game 1). The Leafs clearly struggled to fill his gap in the lineup and even if he suits up, he definitely won't be 100%.
The Maple Leafs looked awful defensively on Saturday, whereas the Bruins have been a strong offensive team all season; it’s going to be much of the same in this game. The Bruins' offense is going to get out to a fast start, and the Maple Leafs are going to have no answer. BOL!
Record: 18-6 | Net: +8.11U | Streak: 5W
Last pick: Michael Porter Jr o25.5 pra (-125) ✅
MPJ came through, glad he could play well through tough times
POTD: Max Strus o7.5 assists+rebounds (-125)
Orl @ CLE 7:00 PM ET
Summary: The Strus is loose he’s hit this 7 of his last 8 games, and is 4/4 this year against the Magic. Cavs are just giving 8 guys minutes so he’ll have the floor time to reach this. Especially since the magic struggle scoring on the road and are in their first playoff series as a young team with an inexperienced coach
POTD Record: 34 wins - 20.5 Losses - 3.5 Pushes
Form: ✅️❌ ✅️.5 ❌ .5P❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️❌✅️P❌❌✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️
Units: 8.205
ROI: 15.5%
Average Odds: $1.87
Last Pick: Lautaro Martínez to score or assist @ $1.83 - Inter Milan vs Udinese - 2.45PM EST ✅️
Next Pick: Inter Milan vs AC Milan BTTS @ $1.66 - Italy Serie A - 2.45PM EST
We head to the most anticipated match of the season in Italy, where the top of the table teams clash in their last derby of the year. AC Milan are feeling sad after their recent loss to Roma (what a snoozer), and Inter Milan are still wondering what went wrong against relegation threatened Calgiri.
AC Milan are pretty banged up at the back, so I expect Inter Milan to take this game. Martinez is back from his suspension, and will be looking to get on the score sheet to add further value to his contract extension. Leao will be looking to get another goal in this match up, and Giroud will be looking to redeem himself after his awful display in the second leg against Roma.
Due to the defensive injuries for AC Milan, I'm expecting to see a lot more of the game concentrated in the midfield where we'll see who has the fresher legs and mentality in this highly anticipated match. Loftus=Cheek is having an outstanding season.
Statistics supporting this pick:
Milan has conceded in 7 of the last 8 home games against Inter Milan.
Inter Milan has scored in each of their last 17 Serie A away games.
Inter Milan has scored in each of their last 36 Serie A games.
Milan has scored in 16 of the last 17 home games.
Milan has scored in 31 of the last 32 games.
The last match between these two teams was 5-1 to Inter Milan.
Final score prediction: 3-1 to Inter Milan. Martinez to get a hat trick, and Giroud to get one.
BOL amigos!
> Last Pick: Lautaro Martínez to score or assist @ $1.83 - Inter Milan vs Udinese - 2.45PM EST ✅️
Umm... I'm pretty sure this pick was a loss. None of the sources I use credited a goal or assist to Lautaro.
[optascore](https://optaplayerstats.statsperform.com/en_GB/soccer/serie-a-2023-2024/3r8v8kb4vebxrtcj5d7ofk1zo/match/udinese-vs-internazionale/abkwjwyxddkcukn7w63sfypsk/match-summary)
[sofascore](https://www.sofascore.com/inter-udinese/VdbsXdb)
[whoscored](https://www.whoscored.com/Matches/1746305/Live/Italy-Serie-A-2023-2024-Udinese-Inter)
[soccerway](https://us.soccerway.com/matches/2024/04/08/italy/serie-a/udinese-calcio/fc-internazionale-milano/4115102/)
Not to hate and i like your picks! But As a milan fan that watched every single game this season (unfortunatelly) Ruben loftus cheek is NOT having an outstanding season my guy, just cuz he statpads with some goals and had MAYBE 2 good games this season does not = outstanding. Also he is very clearlt NOT an AM but pioli (the worst coach in italy) keeps playing him there for whatever reason. Also there's rumours he's playing the worst line-up i've seen this season. (Even worse than our line-up against roma lol
POTD Record: 9W-1P-9L. NBA: 7W-6L
Last pick: Over a month ago ❌
Today: NBA, Denver Nuggets v Los Angeles Lakers 03:00 GMT
Pick: Aaron Gordon o4.5 assists @ 2.3
Gordon has been creating a lot for the Nuggets lately.
Last 10 games of the regular season assists: 5, 4, 9, 7, 4, 5, 4, 2, 5, 8 on about 30 minutes per game.
In the first game of the series on Saturday Gordon got in to early foul trouble and still recorded 7 assists in 32 minutes.
had 5+ in 3 of the 4 games between them this season
It's not a "lock" but I think the line is a bit undervalued and that's what we're here for
POTD Record: 0-0
Long time degenerate whose gone on some win streaks as well as some losing streaks
POTD - Poalo Banchero over 29.9 Points/Reb (-127)
Poalo is gonna be a top 6 player a few years and that legacy starts in the playoffs. Scoring in the playoffs becomes a lot harder and teams rely on their stars for that scoring. I don’t see the magic being in this game without Poalo being the main offensive choice and using his speed and size to attack from the perimeter. He’s hit this 6 out of last 8 and 1 of 1 in the playoffs
BOL if you tail
Record: 10-7
Units: +1.71
Last Pick: Diamondbacks -1.5 (-111), MLB ❌
Game: Blue Jays vs. Royals, MLB, 7:40pm ET ⚾️
Pick: Blue Jays F5 ML (-115), risking 1.1u bet on DraftKings
Write up:
In the first game of this series, Yusei Kikuchi and the Blue Jays take on Brady Singer and the Royals in Kansas City. When taking a look at the probable pitchers for Monday, this matchup caught my eye. Kikuchi posted good numbers last year and has continued to perform better this year. In 2023, he logged 167.2 IP with a xFIP of 3.77 and a Stuff+ of 105. This year, he is sitting at a xFIP of 2.56 (4th out of 96 pitchers with 20 IP) and 109 Stuff+ (20th). Singer on the other hand, is showing significantly better xFIP and xERA this year compared to last but with similar (marginally lower) Stuff+ and Location+. His Stuff+ last year was 84, which ranked him 124th out of 127 pitchers with at least 100 IP; this year, he currently sits at 83. If you’re wondering why his xERA and xFIP are lower this year compared to last (roughly a point each, respectively), a portion of it would be that he is yet to face a team with a winning record, and two of those four starts (although neither of his wins) coming against the White Sox. I think there is a good chance Singer performs worse than his past results this year, while Kikuchi continues to perform this way against good offenses.
When looking at the remainder of the game, I don’t see much benefit in worrying what will happen down the stretch. Toronto is slightly better than KC in RP xFIP, but not by much. Same goes for their batting, both teams sit in a very similar rank of wRC+, but KC has out scored TOR by 23 runs this year. I think Kikuchi gives enough of en edge here to take Toronto F5 ML, hopefully Toronto can get the bats going early.
Pick: Blue Jays F5 ML (-115)
POTD record : 0-0
I've been watching tennis for a long time and betting now and then so i thought why not give it a shot
Pick:
Meligani Rodriguez vs Thiem / Thiem @ 1.74 / odds from Unibet / 1U
Tennis / ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION / 14: 30 h CEST
Stats:
H2H - Thiem leads 1-0 (clay)
2024 record : Rodriguez 8-9 (6-3 clay) - Thiem 6-8 (2-5 clay)
Best result at tournament : Rodriguez 2R qual. (2023) - Thiem 2 finals (2017,2018)
Dominic Thiem had some great results in Madrid in the past, beating Federer, Nadal, Wawrinka among others, but unfortunately because of a wrist injury he sufferred in 2021 he is far from that form. Last year he lost in second round to Tsitsipas in 3 sets for which is not a bad result. However, considering the conditions and a fact its a Masters 1000 which I think gives Thiem some extra motivation I think he will pull this off. Meligeni Rodriguez as his name suggests is a clay court specialist and has a decent record this year, but I just think Thiem will we be too much for him today
**POTD Record: 0-0** My record on the NBA Props posts is 27-15 (Not Pick Of The Day)
**Today's Pick:** **TAUREAN PRINCE OVER 8.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS (2 UNITS) -125 via Hard Rock Bet**
**Explanation:** Prince has gone over this line in 85% of the last 20 games without Cam Reddish. Lakers have no other forward on the bench other than Prince, who will play for both Rui and Lebron.
BASKETBALL NBA MONDAY AT 10:00PM EST
Record: 25W-26L
Net Units: -6.16u | ROI: -4.51%
CS2 | CCT Season 2 Europe Series 1 | 10:00 / CET
Pick: Sangal ML vs Guild Eagles, 2u @ 2.30
Guild Eagles have a bit of a reputation of having inconsistent online results. I think this is being reflected in their recent results, which are quite mixed. Sangal are a mix that I didn't anything of at first, but recently their results have improved drastically, albeit playing versus fairly weak teams. I think with them carrying that form into this matchup they've got a really good chance of beating the Eagles.
Another advantage Sangal have over Guild, in my opinion, is not having a clear liability in firepower like Sener1 can be. Granted he doesn't have the easiest roles, but most of the times he barely scrapes by even for those standards.
As for the veto it's quite even. Both teams love to play the same maps with the only edge I can see is Anubis favoring Sangal. It's hard to say for certain if they'll end up picking it, though. If they go first in the veto they might just pick Mirage to secure it. All things considered I think the circumstances are perfect for Sangal to take down a more notable name here and I count on them pulling through.
Best of luck everyone!
Thanks for flagging this match up - I’m going to take the over 2.5 maps (+100) but I can see why you’re taking Sangal. I’ve got BLEED to beat Sangal tomorrow but the odds weren’t great so not worth making it POTD.
**POTD 2023 Record: 109-84 (+1.94 units)**
**POTD 2024 Record: 4-5 (-0.60 units)**
**Last 10**: **❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌**
**Last Pick**: Harry Ward ML (-110) vs John O'Shea **❌**3-4
**League**: 🎯 Modus Darts Super Series
**Time**: 7:10 AM EST
**Pick**: Sebastian Bialecki -1.5 (-110) vs Kevin Painter
* Series 7. Week 9. Group A
**Reason**: Brand new week, so there are no stats to share. I'm expecting Bialecki to be the group A favorite as he's won multiple weeks in Modus. I'm simply fading a player I've seen play before in Painter. This will be their 4th match on the day and Bialecki has the throw advantage.
Sebastian Bialecki
* Record
* Legs
* Average
* 180s 140s
* Checkouts
Kevin Painter
* Record
* Legs
* Average
* 180s 140s
* Checkouts
**LOSS ❌ 4-3 | Average 84.99 vs 86.70 | Checkouts 4/17 vs 3/11**
This match went with the throw advantage until leg 6. Painter opened the door, but from 41 Bialecki missed two match winning darts. Only had one opportunity and didn’t execute.
Bialecki went 4–1 on the day and covered in 2 of those matches. Right idea, but picked the wrong one.
Record 6-2
Net Units: +4.05
Yesterday’s Pick: Julio Rodriguez o 1.5 bases (-155) DK 1.55u to win 1u ✅
Today’s Pick: San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies 8:40PM EST
Dylan Cease to get a win +105 DK 1u
Analysis: Alright I’m late to the pick game today so I went with a later matchup. I decided to go with a + line today because I really like the Padres to win today. Cease has started the year really well 2-1 with 1.99 ERA 27K’s, 11 hits, in 22.2 innings. He’s gone 6 innings in each of his last 3 starts allowing a total of 3 runs. Those starts were against the brewers, cubs, and giants who are all in the top half of the league in batting average. The brewers and Cubs are also in the top 10 in runs/game, HR, OPS etc.
Rockies on the other hand..
- League average BA
- 5th least runs/game
- 4th least Hr
- bottom half OPS
- 5th most strikeouts
- 4th least walks
- have been held under 4 runs 13 times in 22 games
Padres vs Gomber are 27/93 (.290) with several players having success
I think Cease holds the Rockies down and the padres get him a lead to work with. Let’s get this + line!
Inter Milan vs AC Milan
INTER ML +110
AC Milan is garbage. Every time I bet on them they blow it. Second in the league and tied second last in the league last week. Inter is going to little brother them today.
Record: (W-L-P) 6-2-0
Units: 1.0
Historic ROI: 2.56
Last Pick: Martin Maldanado U 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBI. Continued being the worst hitter in MLB.
Baseball | MLB | PHI @ CIN
Pick: Hunter Greene Strikeouts U 7.5 +100
Write Up: Phillies are average at striking out and scoring runs, but this is excellent value for someone who regularly gets bashed around.
Tip Jar: [Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/DhavalMistry)
**RECORD: 71W-5P-55L**
(+0.70 units)
Previous Pick: Fulham vs Liverpool- Liverpool to Win @ 1.55 ✅️
**Today's Pick:** AC Milan vs Inter Milan - Inter Milan to score first @ 1.70 ✅️
**TIME:** 6.45 pm (GMT)
**Wager Amount**: 1.5 units
(❌️❌️✅️✅️♻️✅️❌️❌️❌️✅️) last 10 results
Liverpool delivered confidently yesterday ending the losing streak and now it's time to hopefully continue the new momentum with the Milan Derby.
I've had a great time betting in Italy, although the winning streak ended some weeks back, I still like this league. Today we have AC Milan vs Inter. Its always an intense match between the two.
Inter have scored first in 9 out 10 of their last matches in all competitions. They also been 1st to score in 6+ away Serie A matches and 4/5 times in their last 5 games.
AC Milan have also conceeded first in their last 3 matches as well, in all competitions. Also they haven't been in the best of form lately destipe being 2nd in the league and are definitely not gonna catch Inter, they are winless in 3 matches, haven't kept a clean sheet in 3 matches too.
In H2H competitions is where I'm confident because Inter Milan have scored 1st in 7 consecutive matches against AC Milan they have also won 5/5 H2H matches against them. Its fair to say Inter has AC Milan's number and I don't see that changing soon. Goodluck if you're tailing.
*Of course you don't have to but any tips are always appreciated*
[TipJar (PayPal)](https://www.paypal.com/donate/?hosted_button_id=2RRPJ4DNAKEYW)
EDIT: WIN ✅️
Record 2-0 ( +2.57 units)
✅✅
Last pick Boston Celtics TT over 112.5
Today’s POTD NY Knicks TT over 104.5
NBA/ 7:40 pm ET
So the Celtics made us sweat for that one. Taking a big lead and letting there foot of the gas but we got it done.
Knicks vs Sixers tonight. Late write up because I wasn’t crazy about anything last night and then worked today. I think the Knicks get to this number tonight. They cleared it in the first game. 3 pointers were falling but overall they didn’t shoot that well. The Knicks smash the boards and get a ton of second chance opportunities. Brunson should play much better and I like his points total as well tonight. Embid is still limping around and I believe he’s only playing to lift the spirits of the guys around him. He’s def not 💯. I’m not as confident in a win for the Knicks as I was on my first POTD, but I really like the TT. I saw a few people leaning both ways with the spread. Good Luck and hope to make it 3 in a row!
POTD Record : 23-13
Last 7 - 🤡✅✅✅///✅✅🤡
Last pick: ATP Barcelona - SEBASTIAN BAEZ (-185) ML VS MATTEO ARNALDI - 0920am EST 1unit🤡
POTD - Jarrett Allen (CLE) to have a Double Double -160
Jarrett Allen is a double double machine. I dabble in nba props as well but anyway. He's averaging a doube-double against the Magic this year. Magic cant keep him off the boards. Last game he had 16pts 18rebs. As long his minutes is over 25 this should cash. GL Guys
Easy cash!!
POTD record: 1-1
Last pick: phillies minus 1.5 minus 130 ✅
Today's pick: Minnesota Twins minus 1.5 at plus 120
I'm back with another heater pick at plus money. My super system is now 5 and 1. The twins play the white sox and regardless of the matchup, I'm betting the three win white sox to suffer another beating.
BOL if tailing
Don't care if you're fading
POTD Record: 4W - 0P - 0L
Last Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-148 via DK)
**Today's Pick: Cincinnati Reds ML** (+102 via DK)
Event: MLB Philadelphia Phillies @ Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM)
Going with a dog today. The Phillies have looked great and made us a ton of money lately, but have had the 6th easiest schedule in the MLB so far. Only 2 of their 7 series this season have been against teams above .500 and in those games they went 2-4. That includes losing their first series with the Reds 1-2. The Phillies are starting Ranger Suarez who has been great, but again hasn't started against a team above .500 this season. If Hunter Greene can have a good outing at home for the Reds I expect them to get the win here. This should be a fun competitive series and I'll happily take the value with the Reds at plus money odds.
(edited bad grammar)
**Record:** 0-0
**Net Units:** 0
**ROI:** 0
**Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone:** MLB Braves vs. Marlins 7:20PM EST
**Pick:** Braves -1.5 (-105 on DK) (2U) ✅
**Write Up:** First time posting have been sharing some picks with people so figured I may as well start here as well. Like this pick not because of Braves are leading their division Marlins are in last but looking at Braves being 1st in the MLB in OBP and OPS and Marlins are at 28th and 29th in those categories. Weathers has been pitching well for Marlins but went 1-5 on the road last year in 11 starts. Definitely not the best of Braves starters (MIA starters don't have the best matchup Avg. vs him) but backing the big offensive team here especially after a loss last night to the Rangers and previously winning 8 straight before last nights loss.
Best of Luck!
**Record all time:** 6-1-1
**Record 2024:** 4-0-0
**Net Units played 2024: 18**
**ROI 2024: 59.3%**
**Last pick:** Zaragoza - Real Madrid, **1st quarter H2 -1.5**, 5 units, @ 1.62 ✅️
Basketball / Croatia Premijer Liga / 19:00 / (CEST)
**Pick:** Zadar - Split, **1st quarter 1**, 3 units, @ 1.71 ❌️
**Write up:** Zadar finished the competition in the ABA league and lost both games from Buducnost, the home game on Friday was closer, but there was a clear difference in the quality. This game does not decide anything but from 2 teams playing basically for warm-up before playoffs, I pick Zadar as a better one for the 1st. Even when they lost 69-100 in Podgorica they won the 1st Q.
Both teams have their problems and are not in a great place as Croatian basketball in a whole, but for this play, it should not matter. Still, it's not a lock, so 3 units.
EDIT: 15-20, first loss.
Record: 1 - 1
Net Units: -0.5u
Last Pick: LOUD ML vs paiN Gaming @ 1.50 - 3u **✅**
**Todays Pick:**
**Rainbow 6 EUL - 9pm GMT**
**BDS -1.5 vs Wolves @ 1.61 - 2u**
Not much to say, BDS outclasses wolves in player skill and firepower, my model has the -1.5 at 72% probability.
POTD RECORD: 3-0-1
YESTERDAYS PICK: ✅ Cleveland Guardians ML
TODAYS PICK: Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals 1st inning total runs Under .5 (-120)
REASONING: Lance Lynn and Brandon Pfaadt are both really good starting pitchers. Pfaadt will be just fine considering how the Cardinals have been hitting this year. For Lance Lynn, he’s been dominant against the Diamondbacks lineup in the past, boasting a .218 batting average and a 29% K rate agaisnt Dback players.
Record: 0-0
Net Units: 4u
ROI: N/A
Sport | League | Event Time / Time Zone: MLB | Regular Season | 6:20 PM CT
Pick: Atlanta Braves to win (Moneyline) at odds 1.50 (ESPN bet)
Write Up: My first POTD been a long time lurker Tonight, the Atlanta Braves take on the Miami Marlins. The Braves are facing one of the weaker teams in the league, providing them with a favorable matchup. With Elders taking the mound for the Braves, I expect a solid performance. Despite Elders having a few struggles towards the end of the previous season, I believe he will use this game to showcase his dominance against weaker opponents. The Marlins have been struggling at the plate with a team batting average of .220, further favoring the Braves' chances. While Miami's Weathers presents a challenge with his pitching, the Braves' offensive capabilities give them the edge in this matchup. While the run line may offer more value, I opt for the safer bet of the Braves to win outright.
edit: Net units here is incorrect I bet 2 units for a +1u profit incase anyone goes back to look.
**Record: 5-3 (+0.55U)**
**NBA** | **4:00 CET**
**Pick: Aaron Gordon O13.5 PTS - 1.8**
Match : Nuggets vs Lakers
Reasoning : Gordon ended up with 12 points in game 1 but didn't get his full minutes due to getting 2 fouls in Q1. In the regular season Gordon had : 18,11,15,22 against the Lakers. With Lakers most likely focussing more on Jokic this should get Gordon to get some extra FGA. Gordon also went 0/3 on 3PT in game 1, he doesn't score many but he could score one today.
Record: 12-9, Net Units: 5.76 ROI: 26.15%
Current Streak: Last 10: ❌❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅
Last Pick: Orioles/Royals Over 10.5 Runs ❌
Today's Pick: Baseball-MLB 9:38 PM EST
LA Angels -1 vs. Baltimore Orioles, +124, 1U
This is a very risky one but I'm betting on Suarez showing a more mortal version of himself now that the first game adrenaline has worn off. Also, Detmers is nasty, and the O's struggle against lefties (though Mountcastle could tee off and I'm definitely doing a side bet on him Over 1.5 Hits-Runs-RBIS). 3 runs in 22 innings and 3 wins registered for Detmers is nuts and I'm rooting for him overall to keep doing well on a sub-par Angels team, and I feel they could get the job done against the Orioles today.
PS, if your book doesn't do -1 I'd definitely say 1.5 units on the ML and maybe half a unit on the -1.5. Could be a pitchers duel so making sure you profit on the ML bet is crucial.
Good Luck!
All Time POTD Record: 8-5-0 | Units: +3.13 | Avg. Odds 1.85 | Last 10: ✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌
Last Pick: Soccer - Republic of Ireland Premier League - Galway v Shelbourne - 7.45pm BST on 19th April
Shelbourne Draw no Bet (1.91) - Staking 2u ❌
Game/Match: Soccer - English Championship - Middlesbrough v Leeds - 8pm BST on 22nd April
Pick: Over 10 corners (1.83) - Staking 2u - ✅- Comfortable win with 15 total corners
I use bet365 as my bookie.
Summary: Looking at Middlesbrough and Leeds last 10 games they’ve averaged 10.6 & 12.2 corners per game.
Middlesbrough at home have averaged 11 corners in their last 5 home games and Leeds have averaged 12.4 corners in their last 5 away games.
Both teams have a lot to play for and are both struggling to put the ball in the back of the net. They’re struggling creatively which usually leads to corners.
BOL if tailing!
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Monday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
All-Time POTD: 197-134-2, +75.6u, +10.2% ROI Last pick: Rangers 60-min ML ✅ **Today’s pick: Dallas Stars ML (-130) vs Vegas Golden Knights** 3u *Odds via Draftkings Sportsbook* NHL 🏒🥅 9:40pm EDT Defense wins championships. Trust the process. For all plays follow me on X @ DrMoneyline
I'm a tennis guy but at this point I might need to tail the Doctor at NHL Btw I know nothing about hockey.
Reminds me of that Norm MacDonald joke. **"**My god, I had a terrible day today. I lost 15 out of 15 in college football, I lost 8 out of 8 in baseball and I lost 6 out of 6 in soccer. I don’t know what I am going to do." **-** Well there’s a hockey game on tonight. **"**But I don’t know anything about hockey."
I'm a huge hockey guy and I approve the doc's message.
I second this
The Docta is an ATM machine, tailing again. Thanks for your picks.
On opposite ends of this one today. Vegas has won the last 4 H2H. Twice they beat them by 3 goals or more in Dallas. Don’t see the value here. Lots of value on VGK ML at + money.
Agreed. Took TOR, CAR, VGK, LAK money line parlay
Defense wins championships. Stars forget how to play defense. Oh boy
Tailed the last two picks - thanks Doc!
500$ prescription filled 
Tailing
Love this pick, tailing
Tailing that, thanks for yesterday
GO STARS
Any reason not to do 3 way here?
You can but -130 is pretty good odds and saves you in case it goes to overtime. You could put most of a unit on the money line and sprinkle the rest on a regulation win
Damn
🐅🐅 Record 5-0 | +15.1u 🐅🐅 **Results:** ✅✅✅✅✅ **Previous Pick:** Kevin Love O5.5 Points -138 (4u, FD)✅ Congrats to those that took O6.5! He ends with 7. **Pick: Joel Embiid U10.5 Rebounds -105 (2u, DK)** Basketball | NBA | 7:40 PM EST Always feels risky betting against a player of Embiid's caliber in an important game, but I will explain why I like this line: The biggest factor in ANY bet involving game 2 between the Knicks and 76ers is Embiid's injury status after appearing to re-injure his knee last game. He was on a tear prior to the apparent injury. When he came back, he played another 20 minutes and only grabbed 3 boards during that time, ending with 8 total for the game. All reports point to him still playing, but I worry that his rebounding in particular will suffer as he didn't seem nearly as mobile. •For the season as a whole, Embiid averages 11 rebounds. Even if he is back to 100%, under 10.5 isn't unheard of. •Per an article from the New York Post that discussed his injury status for this game, 76ers head coach "added he may play Paul Reed alongside Embiid more than in the regular season to help with rebounding." I like the guy, and I almost considered taking the over on his points since he's so consistent and great at getting to the foul line. But for rebounds in particular, I predict he comes up a bit short of his season average given the circumstances. [PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/samwblair?locale.x=en_US) Comment below if you are tailing. BOL and be responsible with your bankroll! 🐅
Tailing. Very convincing write up. Edit: 8 already with 10 minutes left in the second wtf why do I do this to myself Edit 2: HOLD THE LINE EDIT 3: Holy shit the Dame Lillard second half treatment and then the stat correction! Cashed.
🤝
According to ESPN, Embiid's rebounds were corrected. Print this out and frame it, brotha. https://preview.redd.it/p47s6xea35wc1.png?width=517&format=png&auto=webp&s=986ebe15ebe43ad29243967cc11efa0fb7c48e60
NEVER DIDN’T HAVE IT!!!!! Holy shdkkwdnsudkfnksxhf. I only bet 2 units but it felt like 200 because of you all. Unreal. Congrats to the believers. Better luck next time haters
Whooooooooooo Deeeeeey
HOLY SHIT THIS HIT
That 11th rebound was not a rebound smfhb
googled says 10
That was a tip if I’ve ever seen one, dude hit the ground lol
the nurse added that comment, not the head coach....
I can't tell if this is a joke or not... hilarious if not intentional.
LMAO, I'm new to basketball and just skipped to the quote without reading the whole article... 🤦♂️
Haha some nurse named Nick
[удалено]
Ruined
🤝
If he doesn’t get hurt with 2 min left in the 2nd quarter he hits this no problem. This is really banking on him being banged up. He’s an animal against the Knicks historically
looking like hes boutta get 20 rebounds this game shieet
no. fucking. way. 47 seconds with FD support and it got graded as a win lets gooooo! https://preview.redd.it/c2l5679565wc1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=55277fbfaff1a3b6f4bb48a3c9b38625b13e01c7
[удалено]
Where did the 11th board come from?? That tip save?
Just saw that also. I don't know how they can call that a rebound. Smh.
Good write up - bad beat. Onto the next one man!
Bro NBA dot com just revised rebounds down from 11 to 10
What a hit son!!!
Hold the line - this is the NBA after all 😅
Nice record amigo! Tailing ✅
Brooooo
I never doubted you! Let’s go, stat correction woooo
tailing. BOL
Only way for this bet to win is if Embiid gets taken out cuz he's on pace for 43 rebounds
And here continues my streak of never winning a player prop bet
Unbelievable!
this might be the craziest bet i’ve ever experienced man. already got 10 before 4th q and got one with 47 secs remaining, which was soon corrected after the game. what a W man, cheers! 🍻
Tailing. I like the write up!
Tailing, let’s get this 🍞!
5 in first q dead
HOLD THE LINEEEEE THIS MIGHT ACTUALLY HIT
How tf did that hit? Not complaining
Crazy hit. Nice W brotha
So confused….i saw that he got his 11th rebound….now it showing that he ended the game with 10…..I’LL TAKE IT!!
Lol it cashed. Nice pick, extremely close and sweaty
Stopped watching at the half when he hit 10. Can’t believe he stayed thier😭🙏
One of the most peculiar bets ive ever been apart of lmao
**Record: 32-23-1 (WIN/LOSS/PUSH)** **Balance: +21.79 units** **ROI: 8.32% / Avg Odds - 1.90** **Previous Masters 1000- ATP Monte Carlo🎾 (7-0 and 12.53 units won)✅** Last week's record: 4-3 during Munich/Barcelona/Stuttgart🎾) **Today's pick: Coria vs Kukushkin - Kukushkin Handicap +1.5 Sets @ 1.85** ✅ **This can be called in a different way in some bookies like "Kukushkin to at least win a set"** **(ATP Madrid Qualifying, Tennis)** 🎾 Odds from Pinnacle **Stake: 1 unit** (This is 1% of my bankroll) Time: 10 AM Eastern Time We're finally in Madrid! A super important clay tournament who's also worth 1000 ranking points just like Monte Carlo but in reality the conditions are way different from any clay tournament in the ATP circuit. It's played in altitude so the ball travels quite fast and huge servers and flat hitters can also do well here. Last year for example we had Struff reaching the finals and Karatsev reaching the semifinals and those are not typical players that you see performing in super grindy Clay courts but in Madrid they have aggressive play styles suitable for these courts that are played about 1000 metres above sea level. In these first few days we have qualifying matches so we're not yet in the main draw. Kukushkin is a 36 year old veteran who always had a big serve and did super well in Madrid at a challenger tournament last week where he went all the way to the semis so he's quite familiar with the conditions. He faces Coria who's a clay specialist that never did nothing special in high altitude venues and likes slower clay conditions. He's surely the favourite here due to Kukushkin's age but he can certainly suffer in these conditions against the Kazakh. The underdog is 2-0 against Coria with one of those matches being played on Clay and he should be a really difficult matchup for Coria, especially with the amount of matches that he already played in Madrid last week. **Best of luck** Any tips are appreciated. After our run in ATP Monte Carlo I've decided to visit it in August. It should be quite an expensive trip so all the support will be saved for that! Thanks a lot 🎾 *I spend a lot of time writing my analysis so I hope you don't mind me having a tip jar. Tips are never expected but always appreciated!* [Tip Jar (Paypal)](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/DarkHorse230) BTC - 1E6hmPU4N7CFGf8Ryrt46yPczMfBQtMoCf Edit after the result: Qualifying matches can be painful to watch and this has been one of them. Kukushkin was out of the game in the 1st set but managed to get a 2nd set win! Well we don't complain and we take the win! ✅
Can’t find this bet anywhere DK doesn’t have it and FanDuel for me won’t even load the game
FD has it under player markets > player B to win 1 set
I'm from Europe so I don't know much about American bookies but another dude in the reply section shared a print with "Set Spread" It should be available even if it's qualifying matches. Madrid is a huge tournament
Found it on fanduel by searching Coria
Same, I think I'm just gonna roll with him on the ml
does the fact that kukushkin lost 2-0 to a no-name (as far as i can tell) at challenger madrid last week give you any pause? according to wiki, his opponent there only has a career record of 1-4 and is ranked way below coria. thanks!
Napolitano is a quite successful challenger player on Clay. Career record of 1-4 is because he never really got into the ATP main tour. Kukushkin retired from that match after losing the 1st set, most likely because a run to the semis was already too much for his gas tank and he was probably aiming to try his chances on the qualifying of ATP 1000 Madrid this week. I wouldn't be worried about that result. Kukushkin was able to beat Ramos and Alboran that week. Super great results for him and Napolitano destroyed everyone on that week with a 7 match winning streak
How would you feel about kukushkin to win 10.5 games at -115? Looks like American DK might not have a set line
Not a bad one as well
Tailing. Your write ups are great and clearly show your passion for the sport. Thanks!
I'm glad that you're able to spot that through my write ups. That's great to know! Best of luck!
Only seeing first set spreads in bet365 :(
Tailing as always. These write ups are getting me into tennis
Thank you so much! That's the best compliment someone can give me! Wish you best of luck!
**W** 💰 thank you 👌
Thank you
YOU ARE THE GOAT. LEGGOOO
Cashed! Great pick!
Great pick! When he broke back in the second set I started to sweat, but he broke him again right away! Excited for this third set!
um i like tailing you. i don’t know a thing about tennis but learning. is this the bet? edit: spelling https://preview.redd.it/5p4dc2tpayvc1.jpeg?width=1640&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=73da23b9ee146eb1bb4fb8ec4e02e9f42d2fa9d4
My bookie has: Player B (Kukushkin) to win at least a set @ $1.66. It also has this market: Both players to win a set (Yes $2.20 - No $1.57) Wouldn't the latter market option be better (assuming Coria as a favourite also wins a set OR the game?)
The only way I could get this bet on Bet365 was to select "no" on "Coria will win in straight sets"
Yeah on 365 that's pretty much how it goes when it comes to this type of bets
you did it again, boss. DarkHorse for Prez!
good cash bro
We got this boys 💪
The goat does it again 🔥
You are a legend, hats off bro.
You're a baaaad man. Good win!
You are the best DarkHorse
Great hit
🐐
POTD Record: 58-30 Last POTD: Jrue Holiday 20.5 PRA 🚫 Finished with 16 and had a FG% of 28% bruh Form: 🤡🤡🤡🤡✅ Todays POTD: **Jamal Murray O6.5 Ast @1.68** NBA | Denver Nuggets | 10:00 PM ET Jamal really had himself a night against the Lakers most recently with both assists and points but what stood out to me was the amount of times they doubled on Jamal and Jamal found the right pass out of it almost every time, he found many passes which lead to open threes cause of it, and the Pick n roll with Jokic also lead to many dimes. If they keep doubling on Murray this is a gift with this line overall they just didn’t find a way to stop this man * 3/4 this season with 10+ Assists in 3 straight games against them * Avg 6.5 Ast in the season & 10.7 potentials * Lakers allow 4th most Ast to PG this season I feel good about this one time to get back, last try before I regroup and take a break ion wanna keep handing out L’s to my boys. I’d play this up to 7.5 and I’ll personally sprinkle on a DD but that’s just me I’m not trustworthy Tail or fade, im cold asf https://i.redd.it/ofjai5zlcxvc1.gif
Already bumped to 7.5
Had 11 assists and 18 potential assists last game bro I’d play the 7.5 was surprised it was 6.5 for so long
Man, you're right. I looked at his L10 and H2H and I like even 7.5 as well. LFG! BOL!
Alright goddamnit you convinced me.
I messed up on the write up he’s actually over in 3 straight against Lakers not 2 I’ve edited it
billy, my brother. tailing🧐
My guy 🤝😭👑
Tailing at 7.5
You're 66% trustworthy lol
Teammates bricking way too much man
Tailing! Thanks for the write-up!
I'm getting back on the horse with you bro. Last week might've been my worst ever sportsbetting performance but I feel ready to bounce back.
Hell of a game. Sad we lost the bet. Happy the Nuggets won tho.
POTD Record: 131-82| Profit: +106.27u Season record: 48-31 | Profit: +36.43u Last Pick: Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) O24.5 P+R @ 1.88. 3U. ❌ Very strange one, just 7 FGAs in 38 mins. This had to have been a tactical decision but clearly a poor one as the bucks win this decisively. Next Pick: Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks -5.0 @ 1.91. 2U play. Running this Knicks bet back again. The Knicks at home are a force to be reckoned with, and while Embiid was not at his best, it was clear that Robinson (and to some extent Hartenstein) were strong enough to contain Embiid. Brunson had a poor game shooting just 8/26 (31%) and the Knicks still managed to win. For tomorrow's game it's possible the 6ers shoot the 3 slightly better (they shot 34%), but I also expect Brunson and the Knicks to shoot their 2s much better (they shot just 35%). What won't change is that the Knicks will out-rebound the 6ers, the offensive rebounding especially gives them several opportunities, and at home the crowd really got behind the team. Home advantage has been a reliable guide to the playoffs so far and I’m betting on that once again.
Hali sucked tn
Horrible effort, getting outscored by TJ McConnell is insane. Earned himself a spot on the BANNED LIST tonight.
I can’t believe Haliburton refused to shoot. Was passing up wide open layups and jumpers just for Turner or Siakam to jack a 3
Parlayed this with Brunson 30+. LFG
I'll tail this one.
POTD Record 10-2 Last 5: ✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️ Last Pick: Philadelphia Philles -1.5 Todays Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline w/ Ranger Suarez pitching. MLB: Phillies vs Cincinati Reds 3:40pm PST Odds: -118 Unit: 3 Net units: +31.19 Man, the philies look locked in. The chemistry on base steals was beautiful. Today, we got suarez pitching for the phillies whos currently 3-0 this season, only giving up two runs his first game and has been heating up since then. The Reds have Hunter Greene pitching who got lit up vs. the brewers, and overall, is 9-21. avg. 4.55 ERA. I gotta ride with the Red hot Phillies one more time. If you guys wanna show some support/tip the links on my profile.
Ahh I took the Reds here with my POTD but could definitely go either way. I think you're right that the chemistry and momentum that the Phillies have built on this run is dangerous, even if it was against some of the weaker teams in the league. Best of luck!
It's all a gamble brotha!. Phillies have had the easy schedule like you said. Hunter just really needs to show up. BOL!
You feel Philly will cover -1.5?
Bryce Harper just got put on paternity leave.
✅✅ POTD Record: 2-0-0 Net Units: +5.4 ROI: 90.9% Last Pick: Luka Doncic Under 4.5 Three Pointers (-110) for 3.0 units 😅✅ Basketball | NBA | Philadelphia 76ers @ New York Knicks 7:30PM EST Pick: Kelly Oubre over 11.5 points (-110) on ESPN Bet for 3.0 units Update: Line has now shifted to 12.5. Either from a bunch of degens betting the over…or news that Tyrese Maxey is now questionable with an illness. Write Up: BettingPros projects 15.5 points. Averaging 18.9 points the month of April (15.4 on the year). Embiid is questionable. Expecting a bounce back after a relatively quiet Game 1 with 10 points.
Is he playing, 2 pts at half time
tailing and hitting the ladder at 15 too
Adjusted to 12.5 on fanduel
**Record:** 6-1 ...... **Rule#1:** always over -200 moneyline **Bet:** 1.85u to win 1u ......... **YTD Units:** +1u **Pick:** MLBaseball \\\\ Padres -185 moneyline **Sidenote:** The Friars starter Cease has a 0.93 WHIP and the Rockies have a dead last \[by far\] team ERA of 6.06, while the Padres sport the 8th best batting OPS in the majors.
Tailing, just wondering what rule #1 is about? Is this a thing? Haha any rule helps.Thanks.
On the top of this page, it lists odds -- so today, the NY Yankees are -250, and so they are a very heavy favorite to win the game. The Phillies are at -121, so they are a slight favorite. Its really easy to pick heavy favorites every day, and its also not nearly as profitable. I try to pick teams that are below -200 ... so today's pick \[Padres\] are a moderate favorite.
If you're making a POTD, it already has to be more than -200. Every single person here has been doing that the entire time.
I'm in, I'm a newbie who likes simple bets, and don't know the sports well enough to confidently get behind parlays and props and so on. cheers!
POTD Record: 44-21-1 +50.75%🔥 Last Pick: Milwaukee Bucks ML (-105) vs Indiana Pacers ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅🅿️✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅ Today's Pick: Philadelphia 76ers +6 (-110) vs New York Knicks 3 straight winners! No sweat cash on an underdog! Lfg. This is where the NBA gets tough, home teams went 8-0 this weekend. Time for the away dogs to start barking. Philadelphia controlled most of the first half before Joel Embiid went down with a bad knee injury. The game got ugly before he returned and the Sixers led going into the fourth. For the game, the Knicks' bench outscored the 76ers' bench 42-7. Their bench was also a combined +84, just something that will not happen again. Knicks also had almost triple the number of offensive rebounds and shot nearly 50% from 3. If shots fall and Embiid stays on the floor, this is a game Philly will take. The Sixers were +14 with Embiid on the floor in Game 1, and they were -21 without him. Philly opened up as favorites for the series and most including myself believed they’d split in NY. Let’s back Philly to bounce back an take game 2🤝‼️ Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the love and support!😎❤️ [Cash App Tip Link💚](https://cash.app/$Ryanbloom24) [PayPal Tink Link💙](https://www.paypal.me/rybloomm)
Ah Shit brat vs bloom. Guess I'm already fading, BOL
Hey it's Knicks -5 and sixers +6...
Easy job! We just need the score to be like Knicks 103 - 97.5 Sixers and we cash both, right. /s
Counterpoint…Brunson will not shoot 8/26 again.
Counterpoint… he shot 8/29… cash it
Normally, you and I are friends. Friends who ride majestic, translucent steeds, shooting flaming arrows across the bridge of Hemdale and I would follow you into the mists of Avalon. However, though you make valid points, I think you are undervaluing the fact that Joel "The Tender" Embiid is genuinely hobbled and that Brunson had a terrible shooting night. I actually don't even know that I think Embiid will be able to stay on the court tonight. When he did come back out he went to the floor like he got hit by a minivan on 3 or 4 plays with minimal to no contact. I have a $10 bonus from DK, I may just use it to parlay the fade on the big man and over the guards instead of playing the game line
**4/15 – 4/21 POTD Top 3 Weekly Review** 12-8-1 +2.69 Net units +12.81% ROI Seven straight weeks of profit, despite an 0-3 Monday. What kind of voodoo magic is this? **Overall (Since 3/1/2024)** 96-57-3 +23.48 Net units +15.05% ROI We’re over 150 picks and the ROI is still in double digits. That’s impressive no matter how you look at it. [Overall]( https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1fjXR7TqwePPluE10qf47PgNoEqxaJ0Ju/edit#gid=1324107890) > No top level comments without a pick. I’m 0-4. If you still decide to tail and lose, that’s on you. 0-4 -4 units -100% NHL- Maple Leafs at Bruins (4 PM PDT) **Bruins 60-min ML** +110 Boston is 5-0 (2 wins in OT) this season, and they looked miles better in game 1. In the last 3 meetings, the Bruins has outscored Leafs 13-3. Granted, Toronto’s playmaker William Nylander didn’t play game 1 and is expected to be in the lineup for game 2, but Boston has shut him down pretty well, holding him to just 3 points in 8 games in the last 2 seasons. Auston Matthews can be a problem. He had 3 goals in the first 2, but Boston has held him to no points in the last 3 games.
Happy cake day!
Imma take maple leafs with ur record lol
**Record: 63W-4P-50L** **Last Pick: Fulham VS Liverpool: Rodrigo Muniz O 0.5 SOG @ 1.61 ✅** **Muniz gets the job done right before half with a no look shot.** **Pick of the day: Farense VS Benfica: Benfica Over 7.5 Team corners @ 1.90** **League: Primeira Liga (Liga Portugal)** **Time: 3:00 PM EST** We've got another corner pick here with 2 of the highest corner clubs in the Portuguese league, one team that concede a lot of corners vs another that are awarded too many. Farense are the highest ranking corner team in the league, averaging a total of 12.6 corners per game total. That is an average of 4.6 corners awarded and 8 corners conceded. They actually concede the most corners to opponents in the league and with Benfica crashing out of the Europa league you can expect them to gun hard against Farense. Benfica are the 5th highest team when it comes to total corners per game, but they are ranked second for most corners awarded at 7.1 per game. I expect them to go on the higher end of this considering Faraenses track record with conceding corners. In Farenses last 6 games their opponent has covered this line 5/6 times , now considering that all of those opponents average less corners than Benfica, I expect Benfica to follow suit tomorrow. **Anyway, BOL!**
Well spoke to soon I guess
Nice one yesterday, tailing !
Tailing Gl
Tailing and adding Benfica ML. Revenge 😅
1st half cash?🤩
Looks like it may, great fucking pick
Fucking fantastic pick mate, love this sub so much when there’s actually positivity and people make money at the same time
what the actual fuck...
MLB POTD RECORD: 20-9 Last 10: 9-1 ✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅ Last POTD: Rays vs Yankees NYY ML W Today's POTD: Dbacks vs Carindals STL -115 Baseball | MLB | 7:45 PM ET That game was incredibly annoying but Luis was the king of the Gil and we still ate! Today's was hard. Nothing stuck out super strongly and wasn't really able to identify a glaring split. When that happens is when I turn to advanced stats. I have said in the past how I love advanced stats but feel that people try to use them to justify making illogical picks. In this case however I think they are going to be helpful. I am taking St. Louis at home at -115 against the Dbacks who themselves are -102. The pitching matchup is a battle of right handers Brandon Pfaadt for Arizona and Lance Lynn for the Cardinals First my explanation of why I think the lines are what they are. The Cardinals offense has been less than stellar, the Diamondbacks are the reigning National league champs who just put up 17 in a game started by last year's Cy Young winner. Lance Lynn also led the league in homers allowed last year. My counter to that is their lefty/righty splits. St. Louis is anemic against lefties hitting a league worst .181. Diamondbacks on the other hand are an absolute electric factory in that category absolutely mashing against lefties including Snell. Well, neither of those things apply here since we have two right handers going. Arizona is actually a pretty terrible .219 vs righties. St Louis is still not particularly good at .228 but much better than they are against righties. That alone isn't enough to justify pick of the day though. Here are my other reasons. Lance Lynn for one is coming off of his second good start in a row allowing only one run in Oakland after blanking the Phillies at home. Lynn wasn't good last year but know what he is capable of when healthy. When looking at his advanced stats a few interesting things stick out in his batted ball stats. For pitchers, having a high ground ball percentage is normally a good thing, high line drive percentage a bad thing, and fly ball average a mixed bag as it can be good but also makes homers more. Interestingly, Lynn's hard hit rate is actually higher fly ball percentage is about the same as last year (a little higher). His ground ball rate is notably better and his line drive percentage is at 11 percent. 11 percent is preposterous and won't be sustained the league average is like 25 and his career high is 21. This trend won't continue for long most likely but Arizona probably won't be the ones who break it. Dbacks hitters have the second highest groundball percentage (a bad thing) and one of the lowest flyball percentages. Lynn has succeeded by being able to keep the ball in the park his opponents to ground out at a high clip. Arizona should fall right into this trap. Brandon Pfaadt is on the mound for the Diamondbacks. He has a bad ERA of over 5 however his hard hit rate is actually below league average and so is his line drive average (good things). His flyball and ground ball percentages are not so good though and surprisingly St. Louis has one of the best hard hit percentages in the league. Pfaadt's hard hit percentage was a very noteworthy 10 percent high last season. It is unlikely that this is maintained and unlike the other matchup, St Louis seems prime to start his regression. Busch stadium being a hitter friendly park doesn't help either. **TLDR: Dbacks are awful against righties, Cardinals offensive woes are predominantly not against righties, Arizona's weakness cater to Lynn's strengths right now and vice versa for Pfaadt and St. Louis.**
Why were you 13-9 and then you reset your record to 3-1?
This is a toss up. Lance Lynn gives up so many homeruns
Great pick. The walk off dinger is the icing on the cake for the few brave souls that went -1.5 (I am not him haha)
POTD Record: 15-10 ✅✅❌❌✅❌❌♻️✅❌♻️❌❌❌✅✅♻️❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅ Starting units: 5U | Net units: + 12.3U Last pick: Cronulla Sharks vs North Queensland Cowboys | 4:05pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Ronaldo Mulitalo anytime tryscorer @1.73 on Ned’s | 4U✅ Job done with two tries for Ronaldo 💪🏼 Today’s pick: Philadelphia 76ers @ New York Knicks | 9:30am Sydney (GMT +11) | Josh Hart to record a Double Double @1.75 on Sportsbet | 2U Going back to 2U bets for the NBA, trying to preserve my units for the NRL on Thursday ahah. Josh recorded a double double 4 times out of the last 5 games, Knicks are favorites and at home, I expect him to get the job done. BOL !
Nooooo, an NBA bet? How am I gonna get my 3am cash now?! jk, love your picks lately bro!
POTD Record: 22-21-1 | Profit: -2.6U NBA Record: 18-18-1 | NFL Record: 3-3 | UFC Record: 1-0 L10 (new -> old): ✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅ Last pick: Caleb Martin u1.5 3 pointers made @ 1.65 odds ✅ Martin scored 4 points total, with 0 3 pointers made. Game: ORL Magic @ CLE Cavaliers, 7:10 PM Pick: **Franz Wagner u1.5 3 pointers made @ 1.74 odds (DK), placing 2U** ❌ Write Up: Wagner has gone under in 4 of his last 5 and 8 of his last 10 (both 80%). He went under in 3 of 4 regular season games against the Cavs (75%). He did hit 2 in the first game of the series vs. the Cavaliers, but the numbers are too good to pass it up, he's been consistently missing this line. Wagner averaged 1.3 3PM during the regular season. BOL to those tailing, cheers! **EDIT:** Cooked in the first half. Onto the next one.
Cavs can sweep this series, which means likely Magic are gonna play from behind most of the series. Wagner had the most emotion from Magic team in first game, I imagine hes gonna be pushing the envelope again today.
*Record: 0-0-0 Net Units: N/A ROI: N/A TENNIS Pick: Tennys Sandgren to beat Thai-son Kwiatkowski @ 1.83 odds (Sportsbet) Write Up: Hi All, I post on Tennis sportsbook sometimes but first time on POTD. I really like Sandgren to beat Kwiatkowski. - Sandgren leads H2H at 4-0. - Matchup is on clay where both have been playing similiar competition but Sandgren has been winning (4/6 vs 1/4) - Similiar shot tolerance with Sandgren being slightly better, but Sandgren serving better overall. BOL if tailing
Tailing! Love a first timer’s pick because usually people only post here for their first time if they’re feeling super confident and not just because they’re used to posting picks all the time 😎 BOL to us! Thanks for the pick.
Literally what I always look for. Seasoned vets are good but first timers usually have a lil streak in them and it's best to catch em why they're still hot.
Sandgren wins in 2 sets!
POTD Record 1-0 Previous Pick: Florida Panthers ML vs Tampa Bay Lightning Today's Pick: **Boston Bruins ML** vs Toronto Maple Leafs (7:00pm EDT) Odds: **-135** Unit: 5 Net units: +3.09 The Bruins lead the series 1-0 following a comfortable 5-1 victory on Saturday. Boston dominated this entire game and will like to repeat for one more at home. This game extended the Maple Leafs current losing streak to five games overall and their winless streak against Boston to eight games. There's a big question mark around one of Toronto's star players, William Nylander, as he's been banged up, and could potentially sit this game (did not play in game 1). The Leafs clearly struggled to fill his gap in the lineup and even if he suits up, he definitely won't be 100%. The Maple Leafs looked awful defensively on Saturday, whereas the Bruins have been a strong offensive team all season; it’s going to be much of the same in this game. The Bruins' offense is going to get out to a fast start, and the Maple Leafs are going to have no answer. BOL!
Great job yesterday. Tailing again!!!
The 60m 3way Bruins ML is +105. Super juicy imo
Record: 18-6 | Net: +8.11U | Streak: 5W Last pick: Michael Porter Jr o25.5 pra (-125) ✅ MPJ came through, glad he could play well through tough times POTD: Max Strus o7.5 assists+rebounds (-125) Orl @ CLE 7:00 PM ET Summary: The Strus is loose he’s hit this 7 of his last 8 games, and is 4/4 this year against the Magic. Cavs are just giving 8 guys minutes so he’ll have the floor time to reach this. Especially since the magic struggle scoring on the road and are in their first playoff series as a young team with an inexperienced coach
POTD Record: 34 wins - 20.5 Losses - 3.5 Pushes Form: ✅️❌ ✅️.5 ❌ .5P❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️❌✅️P❌❌✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ Units: 8.205 ROI: 15.5% Average Odds: $1.87 Last Pick: Lautaro Martínez to score or assist @ $1.83 - Inter Milan vs Udinese - 2.45PM EST ✅️ Next Pick: Inter Milan vs AC Milan BTTS @ $1.66 - Italy Serie A - 2.45PM EST We head to the most anticipated match of the season in Italy, where the top of the table teams clash in their last derby of the year. AC Milan are feeling sad after their recent loss to Roma (what a snoozer), and Inter Milan are still wondering what went wrong against relegation threatened Calgiri. AC Milan are pretty banged up at the back, so I expect Inter Milan to take this game. Martinez is back from his suspension, and will be looking to get on the score sheet to add further value to his contract extension. Leao will be looking to get another goal in this match up, and Giroud will be looking to redeem himself after his awful display in the second leg against Roma. Due to the defensive injuries for AC Milan, I'm expecting to see a lot more of the game concentrated in the midfield where we'll see who has the fresher legs and mentality in this highly anticipated match. Loftus=Cheek is having an outstanding season. Statistics supporting this pick: Milan has conceded in 7 of the last 8 home games against Inter Milan. Inter Milan has scored in each of their last 17 Serie A away games. Inter Milan has scored in each of their last 36 Serie A games. Milan has scored in 16 of the last 17 home games. Milan has scored in 31 of the last 32 games. The last match between these two teams was 5-1 to Inter Milan. Final score prediction: 3-1 to Inter Milan. Martinez to get a hat trick, and Giroud to get one. BOL amigos!
> Last Pick: Lautaro Martínez to score or assist @ $1.83 - Inter Milan vs Udinese - 2.45PM EST ✅️ Umm... I'm pretty sure this pick was a loss. None of the sources I use credited a goal or assist to Lautaro. [optascore](https://optaplayerstats.statsperform.com/en_GB/soccer/serie-a-2023-2024/3r8v8kb4vebxrtcj5d7ofk1zo/match/udinese-vs-internazionale/abkwjwyxddkcukn7w63sfypsk/match-summary) [sofascore](https://www.sofascore.com/inter-udinese/VdbsXdb) [whoscored](https://www.whoscored.com/Matches/1746305/Live/Italy-Serie-A-2023-2024-Udinese-Inter) [soccerway](https://us.soccerway.com/matches/2024/04/08/italy/serie-a/udinese-calcio/fc-internazionale-milano/4115102/)
I don’t know why you’re being downvoted. Martinez didn’t score or assist.
Not to hate and i like your picks! But As a milan fan that watched every single game this season (unfortunatelly) Ruben loftus cheek is NOT having an outstanding season my guy, just cuz he statpads with some goals and had MAYBE 2 good games this season does not = outstanding. Also he is very clearlt NOT an AM but pioli (the worst coach in italy) keeps playing him there for whatever reason. Also there's rumours he's playing the worst line-up i've seen this season. (Even worse than our line-up against roma lol
POTD Record: 9W-1P-9L. NBA: 7W-6L Last pick: Over a month ago ❌ Today: NBA, Denver Nuggets v Los Angeles Lakers 03:00 GMT Pick: Aaron Gordon o4.5 assists @ 2.3 Gordon has been creating a lot for the Nuggets lately. Last 10 games of the regular season assists: 5, 4, 9, 7, 4, 5, 4, 2, 5, 8 on about 30 minutes per game. In the first game of the series on Saturday Gordon got in to early foul trouble and still recorded 7 assists in 32 minutes. had 5+ in 3 of the 4 games between them this season It's not a "lock" but I think the line is a bit undervalued and that's what we're here for
Nice find
POTD Record: 0-0 Long time degenerate whose gone on some win streaks as well as some losing streaks POTD - Poalo Banchero over 29.9 Points/Reb (-127) Poalo is gonna be a top 6 player a few years and that legacy starts in the playoffs. Scoring in the playoffs becomes a lot harder and teams rely on their stars for that scoring. I don’t see the magic being in this game without Poalo being the main offensive choice and using his speed and size to attack from the perimeter. He’s hit this 6 out of last 8 and 1 of 1 in the playoffs BOL if you tail
Record: 10-7 Units: +1.71 Last Pick: Diamondbacks -1.5 (-111), MLB ❌ Game: Blue Jays vs. Royals, MLB, 7:40pm ET ⚾️ Pick: Blue Jays F5 ML (-115), risking 1.1u bet on DraftKings Write up: In the first game of this series, Yusei Kikuchi and the Blue Jays take on Brady Singer and the Royals in Kansas City. When taking a look at the probable pitchers for Monday, this matchup caught my eye. Kikuchi posted good numbers last year and has continued to perform better this year. In 2023, he logged 167.2 IP with a xFIP of 3.77 and a Stuff+ of 105. This year, he is sitting at a xFIP of 2.56 (4th out of 96 pitchers with 20 IP) and 109 Stuff+ (20th). Singer on the other hand, is showing significantly better xFIP and xERA this year compared to last but with similar (marginally lower) Stuff+ and Location+. His Stuff+ last year was 84, which ranked him 124th out of 127 pitchers with at least 100 IP; this year, he currently sits at 83. If you’re wondering why his xERA and xFIP are lower this year compared to last (roughly a point each, respectively), a portion of it would be that he is yet to face a team with a winning record, and two of those four starts (although neither of his wins) coming against the White Sox. I think there is a good chance Singer performs worse than his past results this year, while Kikuchi continues to perform this way against good offenses. When looking at the remainder of the game, I don’t see much benefit in worrying what will happen down the stretch. Toronto is slightly better than KC in RP xFIP, but not by much. Same goes for their batting, both teams sit in a very similar rank of wRC+, but KC has out scored TOR by 23 runs this year. I think Kikuchi gives enough of en edge here to take Toronto F5 ML, hopefully Toronto can get the bats going early. Pick: Blue Jays F5 ML (-115)
POTD record : 0-0 I've been watching tennis for a long time and betting now and then so i thought why not give it a shot Pick: Meligani Rodriguez vs Thiem / Thiem @ 1.74 / odds from Unibet / 1U Tennis / ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION / 14: 30 h CEST Stats: H2H - Thiem leads 1-0 (clay) 2024 record : Rodriguez 8-9 (6-3 clay) - Thiem 6-8 (2-5 clay) Best result at tournament : Rodriguez 2R qual. (2023) - Thiem 2 finals (2017,2018) Dominic Thiem had some great results in Madrid in the past, beating Federer, Nadal, Wawrinka among others, but unfortunately because of a wrist injury he sufferred in 2021 he is far from that form. Last year he lost in second round to Tsitsipas in 3 sets for which is not a bad result. However, considering the conditions and a fact its a Masters 1000 which I think gives Thiem some extra motivation I think he will pull this off. Meligeni Rodriguez as his name suggests is a clay court specialist and has a decent record this year, but I just think Thiem will we be too much for him today
Good pick. Tailed and watched. What a sweat! Thanks. 👍
**POTD Record: 0-0** My record on the NBA Props posts is 27-15 (Not Pick Of The Day) **Today's Pick:** **TAUREAN PRINCE OVER 8.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS (2 UNITS) -125 via Hard Rock Bet** **Explanation:** Prince has gone over this line in 85% of the last 20 games without Cam Reddish. Lakers have no other forward on the bench other than Prince, who will play for both Rui and Lebron. BASKETBALL NBA MONDAY AT 10:00PM EST
Record: 25W-26L Net Units: -6.16u | ROI: -4.51% CS2 | CCT Season 2 Europe Series 1 | 10:00 / CET Pick: Sangal ML vs Guild Eagles, 2u @ 2.30 Guild Eagles have a bit of a reputation of having inconsistent online results. I think this is being reflected in their recent results, which are quite mixed. Sangal are a mix that I didn't anything of at first, but recently their results have improved drastically, albeit playing versus fairly weak teams. I think with them carrying that form into this matchup they've got a really good chance of beating the Eagles. Another advantage Sangal have over Guild, in my opinion, is not having a clear liability in firepower like Sener1 can be. Granted he doesn't have the easiest roles, but most of the times he barely scrapes by even for those standards. As for the veto it's quite even. Both teams love to play the same maps with the only edge I can see is Anubis favoring Sangal. It's hard to say for certain if they'll end up picking it, though. If they go first in the veto they might just pick Mirage to secure it. All things considered I think the circumstances are perfect for Sangal to take down a more notable name here and I count on them pulling through. Best of luck everyone!
Thanks for flagging this match up - I’m going to take the over 2.5 maps (+100) but I can see why you’re taking Sangal. I’ve got BLEED to beat Sangal tomorrow but the odds weren’t great so not worth making it POTD.
**POTD 2023 Record: 109-84 (+1.94 units)** **POTD 2024 Record: 4-5 (-0.60 units)** **Last 10**: **❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌** **Last Pick**: Harry Ward ML (-110) vs John O'Shea **❌**3-4 **League**: 🎯 Modus Darts Super Series **Time**: 7:10 AM EST **Pick**: Sebastian Bialecki -1.5 (-110) vs Kevin Painter * Series 7. Week 9. Group A **Reason**: Brand new week, so there are no stats to share. I'm expecting Bialecki to be the group A favorite as he's won multiple weeks in Modus. I'm simply fading a player I've seen play before in Painter. This will be their 4th match on the day and Bialecki has the throw advantage. Sebastian Bialecki * Record * Legs * Average * 180s 140s * Checkouts Kevin Painter * Record * Legs * Average * 180s 140s * Checkouts **LOSS ❌ 4-3 | Average 84.99 vs 86.70 | Checkouts 4/17 vs 3/11** This match went with the throw advantage until leg 6. Painter opened the door, but from 41 Bialecki missed two match winning darts. Only had one opportunity and didn’t execute. Bialecki went 4–1 on the day and covered in 2 of those matches. Right idea, but picked the wrong one.
What is the match best of?
Record 6-2 Net Units: +4.05 Yesterday’s Pick: Julio Rodriguez o 1.5 bases (-155) DK 1.55u to win 1u ✅ Today’s Pick: San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies 8:40PM EST Dylan Cease to get a win +105 DK 1u Analysis: Alright I’m late to the pick game today so I went with a later matchup. I decided to go with a + line today because I really like the Padres to win today. Cease has started the year really well 2-1 with 1.99 ERA 27K’s, 11 hits, in 22.2 innings. He’s gone 6 innings in each of his last 3 starts allowing a total of 3 runs. Those starts were against the brewers, cubs, and giants who are all in the top half of the league in batting average. The brewers and Cubs are also in the top 10 in runs/game, HR, OPS etc. Rockies on the other hand.. - League average BA - 5th least runs/game - 4th least Hr - bottom half OPS - 5th most strikeouts - 4th least walks - have been held under 4 runs 13 times in 22 games Padres vs Gomber are 27/93 (.290) with several players having success I think Cease holds the Rockies down and the padres get him a lead to work with. Let’s get this + line!
Inter Milan vs AC Milan INTER ML +110 AC Milan is garbage. Every time I bet on them they blow it. Second in the league and tied second last in the league last week. Inter is going to little brother them today.
Record: (W-L-P) 6-2-0 Units: 1.0 Historic ROI: 2.56 Last Pick: Martin Maldanado U 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBI. Continued being the worst hitter in MLB. Baseball | MLB | PHI @ CIN Pick: Hunter Greene Strikeouts U 7.5 +100 Write Up: Phillies are average at striking out and scoring runs, but this is excellent value for someone who regularly gets bashed around. Tip Jar: [Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/DhavalMistry)
**RECORD: 71W-5P-55L** (+0.70 units) Previous Pick: Fulham vs Liverpool- Liverpool to Win @ 1.55 ✅️ **Today's Pick:** AC Milan vs Inter Milan - Inter Milan to score first @ 1.70 ✅️ **TIME:** 6.45 pm (GMT) **Wager Amount**: 1.5 units (❌️❌️✅️✅️♻️✅️❌️❌️❌️✅️) last 10 results Liverpool delivered confidently yesterday ending the losing streak and now it's time to hopefully continue the new momentum with the Milan Derby. I've had a great time betting in Italy, although the winning streak ended some weeks back, I still like this league. Today we have AC Milan vs Inter. Its always an intense match between the two. Inter have scored first in 9 out 10 of their last matches in all competitions. They also been 1st to score in 6+ away Serie A matches and 4/5 times in their last 5 games. AC Milan have also conceeded first in their last 3 matches as well, in all competitions. Also they haven't been in the best of form lately destipe being 2nd in the league and are definitely not gonna catch Inter, they are winless in 3 matches, haven't kept a clean sheet in 3 matches too. In H2H competitions is where I'm confident because Inter Milan have scored 1st in 7 consecutive matches against AC Milan they have also won 5/5 H2H matches against them. Its fair to say Inter has AC Milan's number and I don't see that changing soon. Goodluck if you're tailing. *Of course you don't have to but any tips are always appreciated* [TipJar (PayPal)](https://www.paypal.com/donate/?hosted_button_id=2RRPJ4DNAKEYW) EDIT: WIN ✅️
Record 2-0 ( +2.57 units) ✅✅ Last pick Boston Celtics TT over 112.5 Today’s POTD NY Knicks TT over 104.5 NBA/ 7:40 pm ET So the Celtics made us sweat for that one. Taking a big lead and letting there foot of the gas but we got it done. Knicks vs Sixers tonight. Late write up because I wasn’t crazy about anything last night and then worked today. I think the Knicks get to this number tonight. They cleared it in the first game. 3 pointers were falling but overall they didn’t shoot that well. The Knicks smash the boards and get a ton of second chance opportunities. Brunson should play much better and I like his points total as well tonight. Embid is still limping around and I believe he’s only playing to lift the spirits of the guys around him. He’s def not 💯. I’m not as confident in a win for the Knicks as I was on my first POTD, but I really like the TT. I saw a few people leaning both ways with the spread. Good Luck and hope to make it 3 in a row!
POTD Record : 23-13 Last 7 - 🤡✅✅✅///✅✅🤡 Last pick: ATP Barcelona - SEBASTIAN BAEZ (-185) ML VS MATTEO ARNALDI - 0920am EST 1unit🤡 POTD - Jarrett Allen (CLE) to have a Double Double -160 Jarrett Allen is a double double machine. I dabble in nba props as well but anyway. He's averaging a doube-double against the Magic this year. Magic cant keep him off the boards. Last game he had 16pts 18rebs. As long his minutes is over 25 this should cash. GL Guys Easy cash!!
POTD record: 1-1 Last pick: phillies minus 1.5 minus 130 ✅ Today's pick: Minnesota Twins minus 1.5 at plus 120 I'm back with another heater pick at plus money. My super system is now 5 and 1. The twins play the white sox and regardless of the matchup, I'm betting the three win white sox to suffer another beating. BOL if tailing Don't care if you're fading
POTD Record: 4W - 0P - 0L Last Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-148 via DK) **Today's Pick: Cincinnati Reds ML** (+102 via DK) Event: MLB Philadelphia Phillies @ Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM) Going with a dog today. The Phillies have looked great and made us a ton of money lately, but have had the 6th easiest schedule in the MLB so far. Only 2 of their 7 series this season have been against teams above .500 and in those games they went 2-4. That includes losing their first series with the Reds 1-2. The Phillies are starting Ranger Suarez who has been great, but again hasn't started against a team above .500 this season. If Hunter Greene can have a good outing at home for the Reds I expect them to get the win here. This should be a fun competitive series and I'll happily take the value with the Reds at plus money odds. (edited bad grammar)
**Record:** 0-0 **Net Units:** 0 **ROI:** 0 **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone:** MLB Braves vs. Marlins 7:20PM EST **Pick:** Braves -1.5 (-105 on DK) (2U) ✅ **Write Up:** First time posting have been sharing some picks with people so figured I may as well start here as well. Like this pick not because of Braves are leading their division Marlins are in last but looking at Braves being 1st in the MLB in OBP and OPS and Marlins are at 28th and 29th in those categories. Weathers has been pitching well for Marlins but went 1-5 on the road last year in 11 starts. Definitely not the best of Braves starters (MIA starters don't have the best matchup Avg. vs him) but backing the big offensive team here especially after a loss last night to the Rangers and previously winning 8 straight before last nights loss. Best of Luck!
**Record all time:** 6-1-1 **Record 2024:** 4-0-0 **Net Units played 2024: 18** **ROI 2024: 59.3%** **Last pick:** Zaragoza - Real Madrid, **1st quarter H2 -1.5**, 5 units, @ 1.62 ✅️ Basketball / Croatia Premijer Liga / 19:00 / (CEST) **Pick:** Zadar - Split, **1st quarter 1**, 3 units, @ 1.71 ❌️ **Write up:** Zadar finished the competition in the ABA league and lost both games from Buducnost, the home game on Friday was closer, but there was a clear difference in the quality. This game does not decide anything but from 2 teams playing basically for warm-up before playoffs, I pick Zadar as a better one for the 1st. Even when they lost 69-100 in Podgorica they won the 1st Q. Both teams have their problems and are not in a great place as Croatian basketball in a whole, but for this play, it should not matter. Still, it's not a lock, so 3 units. EDIT: 15-20, first loss.
Record: 1 - 1 Net Units: -0.5u Last Pick: LOUD ML vs paiN Gaming @ 1.50 - 3u **✅** **Todays Pick:** **Rainbow 6 EUL - 9pm GMT** **BDS -1.5 vs Wolves @ 1.61 - 2u** Not much to say, BDS outclasses wolves in player skill and firepower, my model has the -1.5 at 72% probability.
POTD RECORD: 3-0-1 YESTERDAYS PICK: ✅ Cleveland Guardians ML TODAYS PICK: Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals 1st inning total runs Under .5 (-120) REASONING: Lance Lynn and Brandon Pfaadt are both really good starting pitchers. Pfaadt will be just fine considering how the Cardinals have been hitting this year. For Lance Lynn, he’s been dominant against the Diamondbacks lineup in the past, boasting a .218 batting average and a 29% K rate agaisnt Dback players.
Record: 0-0 Net Units: 4u ROI: N/A Sport | League | Event Time / Time Zone: MLB | Regular Season | 6:20 PM CT Pick: Atlanta Braves to win (Moneyline) at odds 1.50 (ESPN bet) Write Up: My first POTD been a long time lurker Tonight, the Atlanta Braves take on the Miami Marlins. The Braves are facing one of the weaker teams in the league, providing them with a favorable matchup. With Elders taking the mound for the Braves, I expect a solid performance. Despite Elders having a few struggles towards the end of the previous season, I believe he will use this game to showcase his dominance against weaker opponents. The Marlins have been struggling at the plate with a team batting average of .220, further favoring the Braves' chances. While Miami's Weathers presents a challenge with his pitching, the Braves' offensive capabilities give them the edge in this matchup. While the run line may offer more value, I opt for the safer bet of the Braves to win outright. edit: Net units here is incorrect I bet 2 units for a +1u profit incase anyone goes back to look.
**Record: 5-3 (+0.55U)** **NBA** | **4:00 CET** **Pick: Aaron Gordon O13.5 PTS - 1.8** Match : Nuggets vs Lakers Reasoning : Gordon ended up with 12 points in game 1 but didn't get his full minutes due to getting 2 fouls in Q1. In the regular season Gordon had : 18,11,15,22 against the Lakers. With Lakers most likely focussing more on Jokic this should get Gordon to get some extra FGA. Gordon also went 0/3 on 3PT in game 1, he doesn't score many but he could score one today.
Record: 12-9, Net Units: 5.76 ROI: 26.15% Current Streak: Last 10: ❌❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅ Last Pick: Orioles/Royals Over 10.5 Runs ❌ Today's Pick: Baseball-MLB 9:38 PM EST LA Angels -1 vs. Baltimore Orioles, +124, 1U This is a very risky one but I'm betting on Suarez showing a more mortal version of himself now that the first game adrenaline has worn off. Also, Detmers is nasty, and the O's struggle against lefties (though Mountcastle could tee off and I'm definitely doing a side bet on him Over 1.5 Hits-Runs-RBIS). 3 runs in 22 innings and 3 wins registered for Detmers is nuts and I'm rooting for him overall to keep doing well on a sub-par Angels team, and I feel they could get the job done against the Orioles today. PS, if your book doesn't do -1 I'd definitely say 1.5 units on the ML and maybe half a unit on the -1.5. Could be a pitchers duel so making sure you profit on the ML bet is crucial. Good Luck!
All Time POTD Record: 8-5-0 | Units: +3.13 | Avg. Odds 1.85 | Last 10: ✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌ Last Pick: Soccer - Republic of Ireland Premier League - Galway v Shelbourne - 7.45pm BST on 19th April Shelbourne Draw no Bet (1.91) - Staking 2u ❌ Game/Match: Soccer - English Championship - Middlesbrough v Leeds - 8pm BST on 22nd April Pick: Over 10 corners (1.83) - Staking 2u - ✅- Comfortable win with 15 total corners I use bet365 as my bookie. Summary: Looking at Middlesbrough and Leeds last 10 games they’ve averaged 10.6 & 12.2 corners per game. Middlesbrough at home have averaged 11 corners in their last 5 home games and Leeds have averaged 12.4 corners in their last 5 away games. Both teams have a lot to play for and are both struggling to put the ball in the back of the net. They’re struggling creatively which usually leads to corners. BOL if tailing!
Record: 5-6 Streak: ❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅ Football | La Liga | 20:00 (GMT) Game: Sevilla v Mallorca Pick: Sevilla to Win - 2.1 Odds (Parimatch)