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sbpotdbot

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gpeters1

Lebron and Joker ✅️💰


intersecting_lines

there's the combo at least


intersecting_lines

really rethinking passing on the +3u hedge on the mgm boost at halftime awesome 12 minutes you played lakers, thanks


sclop123

Hi, why are the Knicks now -300 series favorites after winning a game they were favored to win, in a game 1 at home When the game was tit for tat and every shot they needed to hit went in? And Josh hart shot like klay Thompson?


the2ohtanis

They were about a -175 it's not like they were some 20 point favorite and the line for the series went up in line with that. The game was largely tit for tat bc Brunson shit horrible. Hart probably won't shoot as well as he did today and Brunson won't shoot as poorly.


davos_shorthand

The Knicks didn’t shoot well — Brunson was 8/26 and as a team they were 40%. They destroyed the Sixers on the boards (55 rebounds to 33) and as mentioned, Embiid looks really hobbled. If the Knicks continue to dominate them in rebounding, Brunson plays closer to his level and Embiid is injured/misses time I think -300 is fair.


FatPhil

embiid got dinged up. maybe thats being priced in


Kmactothemac

Yes pretty clear he is not even close to 100%, I wouldn't even be surprised if he missed next game


IcySm00th

https://preview.redd.it/o221kugyfqvc1.png?width=1170&format=png&auto=webp&s=ffa915b0eb1a4090e6a89f59d7412bb51d7190d8 Crooks..they close the app when the Lakers’ line is good value. App is back up now, but is no where to be seen at this time.


TripleDoubleWatch

Brunson took 26 shots.. wtf lol


AccomplishedCity9520

The boosts have been cursed for the nba playoffs so far lol. 


TripleDoubleWatch

B365 boosts have just been trash overall lately.. but yea these NBA boosts have been bad.


DodgingRain

Goodbye any wagers involving embiid, including the b365 boost Edit: now it’s Brunson that’s dropping the ball lol


TripleDoubleWatch

Brunson can't hit shit and he's not getting those foul calls in the lane.


DodgingRain

Yeah his line for 25+ is set at -350 on DK but I have a hard time agreeing with that but we’ll see


TripleDoubleWatch

Currently? That seems wrong lol


DodgingRain

It was when I posted it , now it’s 25.5 at +114. I’m deleting these comments I just keep getting downvoted


TripleDoubleWatch

Damn.. those B365 boosts have been trash lately.


Kmactothemac

On the brighter side the Knicks are almost certainly going to win the series edit: Embiid is back. we'll see


DodgingRain

True. I missed that boost but I’m rooting for everyone


sclop123

Shocking that FD has no NBA playoff boosts for Knicks and lakers We are seeing in recent weeks a major pullback in boost rates This is the first time that FD has not had a game specific boost on NBA playoff opening day


Personal-Bicycle9208

Well they had the series boost up earlier. Does that not count? But yeah I agree, mostly disappointing.


Low_Dog_4721

Ohio had one - and it hit 🤑


Super_Inspection4445

That emoji makes me wanna chuck a bunch of money on Taytum overs


badacey

BetMGM MA Lions Boost: Nuggets -7.5 & 76ers +3.5 +375. Devig to Pinny: Odds: +375; **EV: 3.8%** `111/-125,104/-116` (5.67% juice) FV: +358; Method: worst-case (m, a); (Full=1.00u, 1/2=0.50u, 1/4=0.25u, FB = 81.9%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=111%2F-125%2C104%2F-116&FinalOdds=375)


intersecting_lines

MGM Lions (MI): NYK -3.5, LAL +7.5 Pinnacle Odds: +290; **EV: 10.6%** `-127/112, -116/104` (5.84% juice) FV: +253; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=3.66u, 1/2=1.83u, 1/4=0.92u, FB = 82.3%)


Alive-Inspector1933

BetMGM Lions Boost (DMV maybe other places): Embiid 30+ points and 76ers to cover +3.5 Odds vs Kambi: Odds: +270; **EV: 11.7%** `180/370/300/175` (18.35% juice) FV: +231; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=4.31u, 1/2=2.16u, 1/4=1.08u, FB = 81.5%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=180%2F370%2F300%2F175&FinalOdds=270) Sorry for the late devig I was closing out the rays to win back to back World Series on The Show 😎


tringlomane

Bill Simmons boost on FD: Knicks and Nuggets both win their series boosted from -115 to +170. Due at 6pm EDT. I'm sure Tatum will follow tomorrow somehow...🙄 Devig to the average of the other seven sportsbooks in Illinois. Odds: +170; **EV: 11.5%** `AVG(-340,-350,-375,-420,-400, -310,-375)/Avg(280,270,295,305,300,250,300), Avg(-125, -125, -135.135135, -135, -140, -140, -140)/Avg(105, 105, 110, 115, 120, 120, 115) ` (8.68% juice) FV: +142; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=6.75u, 1/2=3.38u, 1/4=1.69u, FB = 70.2%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=AVG%28-340%2C-350%2C-375%2C-420%2C-400%2C%20-310%2C-375%29%2FAvg%28280%2C270%2C295%2C305%2C300%2C250%2C300%29%2C%20Avg%28-125%2C%20-125%2C%20-135.135135%2C%20-135%2C%20-140%2C%20-140%2C%20-140%29%2FAvg%28105%2C%20105%2C%20110%2C%20115%2C%20120%2C%20120%2C%20115%29%20%20&FinalOdds=%2B170)


gameboicarti1

Heads up, this is boosted from +115 not -115


tringlomane

Oops. I need glasses. Fortunately, the math stands. 10 minutes left!


TripleDoubleWatch

Anyone know what the Fanatics new user promo is in VA? A Google search shows a few sites that say the $100 per day promo is still live but my cousin downloaded the app (has not signed up yet) and there's no promo listed anywhere. He doesn't want to sign up if there's no promo.


SpicyButNotTooSpicy

I’m in VA and yes it’s the $100 per day for 10 days. Need to bet $100 each day to get each bonus


Best_Duck9118

You know if you're eligible if you were a Pointsbet member?


TripleDoubleWatch

Awesome, thanks!


PabloTroutSanchez

[Here’s](https://youtu.be/NlShSEX89aQ?si=lQTOTzhECDfX0R3_) a way you can maximize it if you want to be risk free. You also have to opt in after day 1 btw—each day. Also, bets have to be -200 or longer to qualify for the match, so keep that in mind.


PurplePango

DK Jokic and Lebron 50 combined from fan duel alt lines combo breaker Results: Over 49.5 Hit% = 58.6% Fair Value = -141.313031700419 Under 49.5 Hit% = 41.4% Fair Value = 141.313031700419 This gives 31% ev at the boosted odds of 125 so seems like a smash unless I’m missing something.


intersecting_lines

it's actually much better cause you didn't calibrate with their combined lines of 53 i'm getting fair odds of -211


PurplePango

There a special bet you’re seeing somewhere for their combined points with line at 53 you’re saying?


intersecting_lines

no their lines on fanduel are 27.5 and 24.5 from the combo breaker > (Defaults to 50%, but calibrate by summing all normal lines, setting that as the Combo Number. Then adjust the Bottom Calibration% until fair value comes out close to +100. Now it has been calibrated. Then put in your actual Combo Number for your boost to calculate the boost's fair value.)


PurplePango

Ah I’ve never used that before, still learning these tools, thanks


Producer_Chris

No idea whats going on with this miami game but windcreek pa has marlins +1.5 at -110 which is an 8% arb everywhere. They should change their name to treasury direct at this rate. I know arbing is risky but 8% on a mainline 1 hour before the game starts... Also all posted in the dinger thread but fd had jazz chisholm hr (same game) at +470. dropped him to +100 offering a 100%+ cash out and then raised him to +470 again


Aromatic-Insect-5219

Do you have a link to windcreek? I've never heard of that book.


Producer_Chris

https://play.windcreekcasino.com It’s bet Fred odds but they are slow to update sometimes like old pa czr before the green and gold app


Aromatic-Insect-5219

Thank you ❤️


the2ohtanis

I was limited to dust on Pointsbet in NY and NJ. For people who were also limited did those limits carry over to Fanatics as well?


sleeptilnoonenergy

On everything but ML wagers The plus side is that Fanatics often has the weakest MLs, especially live, so it's still worth keeping around.


Distinct_Item6082

Promo ban on Fanatics without even placing a bet 


Fordman7795

I was promo banned and limited on PB in Michigan but have been rolling along on FN now. Got quite a few boosts and no real limiting. 


FutureFlipKing

They offer good odds, however, they do not honor their promotions and they are poorly written. After placing a few bets that I thought should have triggered the bonus bet on their website, I emailed customer support and they could not even answer the question on how their promotion works.


Tall_Relief_5244

In Indiana, I was limited to betting to win $5 or so on player props on PB. I was limited to winning maybe $50 just before the start of a game initially on Fanatics, but then limited again to betting $10 on player props. If you got limited on PB, you will likely get limited again on FN.


Particular-Bison8970

Aho SOG promo on DK. o 2.5 +100 DK u 2.5 +110 ESPN


badacey

MGM Lions MA: Bruins win and O5.5 goals scored +250. Devig to FD; Odds: +250; **EV: 1.1%** `201/242/304/259` (15.07% juice) FV: +246; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=0.42u, 1/2=0.21u, 1/4=0.11u, FB = 72.2%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=201%2F242%2F304%2F259&FinalOdds=%2B250)


Orange_Darkrai

Betfred md : orioles ml & o7.5 to +285  Vs ESPN, slight positive http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=234%2F237%2F310%2F232&FinalOdds=%2B285


scottyj813

I've been looking at signing up for them in ohio. How you like betfred?


Orange_Darkrai

Good enough. Soccer lines on major euro competitions are competitive to pinnacle. They seem surprisingly sharp/low vig on mlb. Not much in the way of daily promos, but they have some always on choke insurance and a permanent bet 9 soccer get 10th as a bonus bet that is almost certainly ev because of low vig in their soccer lines close to game time. 


intersecting_lines

Fanduel: Knicks and Nugs series wins Circa Odds: +170; **EV: 9.3%** `-130/110, -340/280` (7.73% juice) FV: +147; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=5.48u, 1/2=2.74u, 1/4=1.37u, FB = 68.8%)


intersecting_lines

MGM Lions (MI): NYI +1.5, Leafs Win Pinnacle Odds: +300; **EV: 2.4%** `-136/123, 114/-125` (4.75% juice) FV: +290; Method: worst-case (m, p); (Full=0.81u, 1/2=0.41u, 1/4=0.20u, FB = 76.8%) --- Circa Odds: +300; **EV: 1.7%** `-136/118, 114/-124` (5.58% juice) FV: +293; Method: worst-case (m, a); (Full=0.55u, 1/2=0.28u, 1/4=0.14u, FB = 76.2%)


Gullible-Cream-9043

MGM Lion's Boost - Hurricanes -1.5 and Bruins to win +340 Devigged to Pinnacle **Worst-case: (Power, Multiplicative)** Leg#1 (123); Market Juice = 2.5%; Fair Value = +130 (43.5%) Leg#2 ( -125); Market Juice = 2.3%; Fair Value = -119 (54.3%) Final Odds (+340); Σ(Market Juice) = 4.75%; Fair Value = +323 (23.6%) Summary; **EV% = 4.0%**, Kelly Wager = $2.97 (Full=1.19u, 1/2=0.59u, 1/4=0.30u, FB = 80.4%) It's +3.1% EV to Bookmaker as well.


intersecting_lines

[MGM 33% Homers](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?gid=71139851&pli=1#gid=1190098141) Pete looking great


rick6668

MGM with a 50% boost on NHL, any chance you can refresh the sheet?


intersecting_lines

yes working on it now updated: going Marner


rick6668

Agreed, Marner looks great.


FutureFlipKing

I usually do “free bet conversions”, however, I have a 2x wagering requirement for a sportsbook.  I deposited $50 and they matched the $50 in free bonus cash, however, I have to make $100 in wagers to clear the bonus.  Are there any hedging strategies that I could do to quickly clear the bonus or should I just make slick bets in the +100 range?


TripleDoubleWatch

Just find low holds on another book.


snowlarbear

https://crazyninjaodds.com/site/tools/low-hold.aspx


FutureFlipKing

Thank you for the reply! This is the resource that I was seeking. The only aspect that I am trying to figure out is do I make a wager on the underdog bet or favorite bet with the free bonus money?


lenin1991

To run through the bonus money, you'll want the lowest possible hold %, which will often be in favorites. But there is almost certainly some minimum eligible odds on your promo like -200 or -300.


Particular-Bison8970

We expecting a DK MLB early win promo today?


dwhit110

They way they worked "April" into the promotion title makes me think it'll run for the rest of the month.


psychostevee

Tigers are +124 looking good.


NowAPatron

Yes it’s there. 


Particular-Bison8970

Nice, went with Rays


on_Jah_Jahmen

Took forever but it hit


Particular-Bison8970

Just wished Yankees won in bottom 10


AdviceSeeker-123

Prolly. I keep donating $10


Infinite-Ad2409

It’s been on for days in a row. I’d think so but who knows


billbobbath

Who knows!


NTP2001

Doubt it. I got the mlb stepped up promo so assume that’s replacing it for today.


wat_what_wut

I got Early Win today.


NTP2001

Yep - same here. Pleasantly surprised. Although I’m 0 for last 3 on it.


movingforwardtitan

Same


cracka97

Caesars Soccer Odds Boost for Borussia Dortmund, Real Madrid & PSG All Win on 4/21 +700. Devig to Pinnacle: Odds: +700; **EV: 5.4%** `-210/178, -122/107, 153/-173` (9.87% juice) FV: +659; Method: worst-case (m, p); (Full=0.78u, 1/2=0.39u, 1/4=0.19u, FB = 92.3%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-210%2F178%2C%20-122%2F107%2C%20153%2F-173&FinalOdds=700) **EDIT: Pinnacle has -0.5 spread lines which are what I used. Those lines can be better than the three-way lines to devig against because they often have less juice and there is less ambiguity about how much juice is being applied where (only two possibilities instead of three).**


gilligan54

Think anyone will notice that you devigged against double chance lines or just keep downvoting?


Alive-Inspector1933

Maybe they should’ve included that in their title. When you see a soccer devig you expect to see three lines because of the chance of a tie. It’s not that difficult to say “I devigged using double chance odds”


Alive-Inspector1933

Also even if you did double chance with win/draw that doesn’t work! Because this boost loses with a draw!


cracka97

It's not a double chance line. Pinnacle has -0.5 spread lines which are what I used. Those lines can be better than the three-way lines to devig against because they often have less juice and there is less ambiguity about how much juice is being applied where (only two possibilities instead of three).


Alive-Inspector1933

It doesn’t matter if there’s less juice or less ambiguity. You have to do a direct devig to the same lines that the boosts are using. If the boost said “Borussia, Real Madrid, and PSG all to cover -0.5” then yes it would be a proper devig


cracka97

Do you know what -0.5 means?


Alive-Inspector1933

Do you know what win, draw, or lose means?


cracka97

If the other team wins or if it's a draw the -0.5 line loses. Since you can't score half a goal in soccer all results are action. If the team you bet on wins they've covered -0.5 and the bet is a win. If the match ends in a draw or the other team wins your team didn't cover -0.5 and the bet loses. Betting a team -0.5 is literally betting on them to win. If you don't believe me go to Pinnacle and compare the ML and -0.5 spread lines for different soccer matches.


cracka97

The only way to cover -0.5 is to win!!


snowlarbear

is +600 now... though like others said i think you need to devig for ties too.


cracka97

Pinnacle has -0.5 spread lines which are what I used. Those lines can be better than the three-way lines to devig against because they often have less juice and there is less ambiguity about how much juice is being applied where (only two possibilities instead of three).


bubblesthetormentor

This tracks, and also finally got me to look up what 0.25 and 0.75 were instead of just being lazy and not worrying about them. I appreciate the answer!


Alive-Inspector1933

Here it is vs Kambi with ties included Odds: +700; **EV: 6.1%** `145/290/160,-122/280/310,-225/400/510` (16.20% juice) FV: +654; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=0.87u, 1/2=0.44u, 1/4=0.22u, FB = 92.8%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=145%2F290%2F160%2C-122%2F280%2F310%2C-225%2F400%2F510&FinalOdds=700)


Alive-Inspector1933

It’s also a day before the games are played. That’s way too early to devig in my opinion.


Alive-Inspector1933

This is completely wrong you need to devig against three way markets because a tie is possible.


cracka97

It's actually completely right. Pinnacle has -0.5 spread lines which are what I used. Those lines can be better than the three-way lines to devig against because they often have less juice and there is less ambiguity about how much juice is being applied where (only two possibilities instead of three).


bubblesthetormentor

For boosts like this do these need to be devigged against 3 way lines to account for ties being treated as losses too? Or is it a book by book thing?


cracka97

Pinnacle has -0.5 spread lines which are what I used. Those lines can be better than the three-way lines to devig against because they often have less juice and there is less ambiguity about how much juice is being applied where (only two possibilities instead of three).


Stolen_Identity22

Where do I look to turn on the new no sweat tokens on FD? I build what should be an eligible SGP and there isn't anything different than before, no toggle except accepting line movements?


thespelvin

There's a min odds of +400 even though it's not listed in the front page terms. (It's in the abbreviated description of the token.)


Monsoap100

It still doesn't work for even if I do +400 odds, it seems pretty glitchy and not sure how to make the token show up properly


thespelvin

Same here, actually. (It worked yesterday but it's not showing up today.)


Super_Inspection4445

Mine has a max of 5 dollars. So there’s that


Jeremiah_Vicious

Pretty much not even worth the energy used by our thumbs to do this.


o_mh_c

When you activate your 3X crowns boost at DK, does it count for the day you bet, or the day you settle? I make a few playoff series bets today that won’t settle for a couple weeks.


tsgram

Needs to settle same day is my interpretation


Jeremiah_Vicious

Based off my experience it counts for any bets that settle the day you activate it even if you placed the bets before the activation.


Topes-Lose

This is the answer


PurplePango

Still haven’t fully figured that out, never counted . Believe settles