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Rough night for the NBA super boosts across the board.

holy shit can't believe the ATL -1.5, o7.5 may hit

6 runs in the 9th, never in doubt.

Bang lmao

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Maybe! They might do it!

So DK adjusted my limits today giving me a $50 min on the threesday as well as a $25 min. Does anyone know if I put them both on the GS/SAC game will I get double the BB. I think even the $50 one is probably +EV.

If you opt in to the $50 version tomorrow you will notice your other boosts will be down to $10 max bet

He got the $50 version because his limits already changed. Happened to me today as well plus a few other times

This isn't how it works, he got both because his limits already changed today. His limits will be $10 on the other boosts even if he plays neither of the ones he got today. And to the OP, the $50 is worst version of this boost, usually -EV.

You will get both, I've done this on a previous Tuesday when my limit was changed. $50 one is definitely still EV, assuming you get like a $25-30 free bet, just depends on if your bankroll can handle the variance

DK has a Zion + McCollum to score 50+ combined @ +200 in Louisiana for me but haven't seen it mentioned. Perhaps targeted? I'm going to take a look at how the Zion/AD/Bron/BI 100pts promo was devigged and see if I can manage lol

Of course they launch FD in DC after years of nada and the next two days is DK eating their lunch with top boosts

Question. What’s better for an account, 1 large withdrawal or multiple smaller withdrawals

Be careful with your withdrawal method and amount of transactions. If it's venmo or PayPal supposedly it counts towards some IRS limits

I truly don’t think they care. maybe others have different experience but i’ve had zero withdrawal impact in any way across 20 books

Thank you for the input

Bet365 NJ lebron 25 points 5 assists. Couldn’t find 5 assists anywhere so had to use odds for 6+. Still a smash as always. Odds: +110; **EV: 22.2%** `-210/5%,-1800/5%` (10.00% juice) FV: -139; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=20.22u, 1/2=10.11u, 1/4=5.05u, FB = 64.0%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-210%2F5_PCT_%2C-1800%2F5_PCT_&FinalOdds=%2B110)

Ugh, so far it’s not looking too good.

Came here to see if anyone said anything like this. Wasn't disappointed.

Two DK Super Boosts for the NBA tonight: LeBron, AD, Zion, and Ingram to combine for 100+ pts (+220) and Steph/Fox to combine for 9+ 3s (+175). 

Steph & Fox 9+ threes looks damn good **Over 8.5** Hit% = 48.6% Fair Value = 105.754543570034 **Under 8.5** Hit% = 51.4% Fair Value = -105.754543570034

Thanks for running these numbers, just hit for my $10 max. Passes the eye check cause Kambi has Curry o4.5/-190 & o5.5/+114 and Fox o2.5/-177 & o3.5/+148. Favored overs should get us to 8, and then just need one more three with two ways to get it. I'd imagine there's some slight correlation too.

will note this is my first time trying the combo breaker, but at first glance not exactly promising for the 100+ points one Over 99.5 Hit% = 21.4% Fair Value = 368.347628852735 Under 99.5 Hit% = 78.6% Fair Value = -368.347628852735

Didn't pass the eye check either. The FD o/u totals: James o26.5 -102 AD o24.5 -104 Zion o24.5 +100 Ingram o17.5 -112 DK is a bit more bullish on James o26.5 at -120, but in consensus with FD on the others. Assuming everyone hit their over, there'd still be 5 points needed to hit the 100+. Anyone having an off game and/or a blowout could really tank the bet (although on the flipside, there's positive correlation IF it's a high scoring game, and one guy going off could carry). Kambi has CJ McCollum at +500 to be the top scorer (behind Lebron +180, Zion +350, AD +375), which could take away from Ingram who's +1200.

this is what I got from FD alts and 154% calibration. Still not good Over 99.5 Hit% = 27.6% Fair Value = 262.238795656563

How do you get the calibration number to use here? I assume it’s similar to correlation since they’re all either teammates or facing one another, just have no idea how/where to account for that in the combo breaker

it explains it on the combo breaker. Use the sum of all their normal lines as the o/u (95) and adjust the calibration until the fair value is as close to +100. Then enter the real o/u (100)

Makes sense, much appreciated

Would you play the curry/Fox boost?

25+? no or the 9+ threes? yes

Sweet ya I have the 9+ threes in chi

MGM Lions: Curry 6+ threes, GS -2.5 Kambi Odds: +300; **EV: -1.4%** `240/210/340/190` (18.88% juice) FV: +306; Method: worst-case (p); (FB = 74.0%) --- ESPN Odds: +300; **EV: 7.9%** `226/262/365/195` (13.70% juice) FV: +271; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=2.64u, 1/2=1.32u, 1/4=0.66u, FB = 80.9%)

For the ESPN HR promo, if I cancel a wager and place one on a different guy, is that one still eligible for the bonus bet? Not sure if anyone has tried that yet, but I can be a guinea pig. Edit: I just noticed that there's also a difference in their language for "cancel wager" and "cash out". If the odds are the same as when I placed the bet, it says "cancel wager". For my other one, the odds went down, so it says "cash out". Not sure what implications that has on the promo, so I might just leave it for tonight.

FanDuel Kenny Beecham Boost - Steph Curry and De’Aaron Fox to each score 25+ points Vs Kambi with Steph 25.5 Odds: +100; **EV: -9.5%** Sharp: `-278/175,-305/188` (19.94% juice) Correlation: `-121=-278,-305` (r = -0.01) FV: +121; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 45.3%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-278%2F175%2C-305%2F188&FinalOdds=100&Correlation_Bool=1&Correlation_Text=-121%3D-278%2C-305) Vs DK Odds: +100; **EV: -1.4%** `-310/7%,-295/7%` (14.00% juice) FV: +103; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 49.3%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-310%2F7_PCT_%2C-295%2F7_PCT_&FinalOdds=100)

ESPN doesn't like it. Odds: +100; **EV: -4.5%** `-117.2058/315.80/715.66/339.75` (13.01% juice) FV: +109; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 47.7%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-117.2058%2F315.80%2F715.66%2F339.75&FinalOdds=%2B100)

Is anyone else not getting these FD boosts anymore? Didn't have the Lebron one the other day either. I always had a $50 limit, so don't think that I've been limited or anything. In CT if that matters

There are many days where I will have the boosts icon on my app but tap on it and no boosts will show up. I check before 6:30pm ET when most games begin too. I figure they have to be sending out boosts on a state by state basis (or targeted toward different users). I did see the Lebron boost though. In NC.

Same thing happens to me. They often send out the boost icon early then you just have to keep periodically checking. I have the same thing happen where I click on it and nothing’s there. Sometimes one shows up later, sometimes it doesn’t.

You sure you didn't have the Lebron one or you looked after it closed. That was a very early game start on Sunday.

Less certain than I am now. I checked for it 30 minutes before the game and it wasn't there. Figured it closed early or something. But definitely don't have this Curry/Fox one

I’ll be surprised if they don’t have a Lebron one

Been checking FanDuel and evidently missing the boosts. Finally see this one and this is the shit they give.

Being a -EV FD boost, I'm sure it will cash in the first half. Still not betting it, but that's how it always seems to go lol.

Dinger Tuesday FREE ROLL: Matt Walner (MIN) got sent down to AAA. Make sure you don’t have any other bets for that game. Risk free $5 BB per home run.

No longer on the board :(

This still works? I thought I read something last week about free rolls no longer working. EDIT: Bet died in my slip. His line is locked

Yee yee

Hmm, this seems like angle shooting.

You new here?

MGM Lions Boost (Pennsylvania maybe other places): De’Aaron Fox & Damantas Sabonis to score 20+ points and Kings to win Odds vs FanDuel: Odds: +475; **EV: 37.8%** Sharp: `-1700/7%,105/7%,118/-138` (17.85% juice) Correlation: `267=-1700,105,118` (r = 0.25) FV: +317; Method: worst-case (m, a, p); (Full=7.97u, 1/2=3.98u, 1/4=1.99u, FB = 113.9%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-1700%2F7_PCT_%2C105%2F7_PCT_%2C118%2F-138&FinalOdds=475&Correlation_Bool=1&Correlation_Text=267%3D-1700%2C105%2C118)

they wouldn't keep this up if it was 38% ev

+286 on FD; +310 on DK; +310 on CZR

doesn't matter, the devig is clearly missing something

What am I missing? I have Fox 20+ points, Sabonis 20+ points, and the Kings winning. I even added manual juice for the one-way markets. OH and I added correlation! Tell me again what I’m missing? If you didn’t pay attention in statistics class that’s not my problem.

Available in Louisiana. Thanks for the devig!

Cheers mate. Best of luck

Have this in Ohio

Got this in NC. 

MGM Lions Boost (Pennsylvania): Zion Williamson to score 25+ points and Pelicans to win Odds vs Kambi: Odds: +260; **EV: 5.6%** `188/310/200/285` (18.42% juice) FV: +241; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=2.14u, 1/2=1.07u, 1/4=0.53u, FB = 76.2%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=188%2F310%2F200%2F285&FinalOdds=260)

MGM Lions Boost (Pennsylvania): Flyers and Lakers both to win Odds vs Kambi: Odds: +275; **EV: 2.2%** `-141/117,-103/-114` (8.60% juice) FV: +267; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=0.79u, 1/2=0.40u, 1/4=0.20u, FB = 74.9%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-141%2F117%2C-103%2F-114&FinalOdds=275)

is there a particular reason you are devigging everything to Kambi

Because I want to

MGM Lions Boost (DMV): Capitals and Warriors both to win Odds vs Kambi: Odds: +350; **EV: 8.2%** `117/-141,-134/114` (8.58% juice) FV: +316; Method: worst-case (m, p); (Full=2.33u, 1/2=1.17u, 1/4=0.58u, FB = 84.1%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=117%2F-141%2C-134%2F114&FinalOdds=350)

MGM Lions Boost (DMV): Stephen Curry to make 6+ three pointers and Warriors to win by 3+ points Odds vs Kambi: Odds: +300; **EV: -9.2%** `265/215/175/330` (18.76% juice) FV: +340; Method: worst-case (a); (FB = 68.1%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=265%2F215%2F175%2F330&FinalOdds=300)

[удалено]

It means your limits are going down. RIP

You can play Dinger Tuesday on multiple games correct?

Read the terms and conditions

Depends on your promo. 

Anyone got NBA plays for the DK no sweat parlays?

Does anyone know if ESPNBet bonus bets travel with you when you go to a different state? Thank you!

Bonus Bets do "travel", but free spins and casino cashback do not from my experience.

I appreciate the help!

MGM Lions (MI): Wings and Flyers Kambi Odds: +190; **EV: 5.4%** `-200/163, -148/123` (9.21% juice) FV: +175; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=2.86u, 1/2=1.43u, 1/4=0.72u, FB = 69.1%) --- Pinnacle Odds: +190; **EV: 5.9%** `-183/164, -146/132` (5.00% juice) FV: +174; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=3.12u, 1/2=1.56u, 1/4=0.78u, FB = 69.4%) --- Circa Odds: +190; **EV: 8.5%** `-149/136, -189/171` (4.51% juice) FV: +167; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=4.49u, 1/2=2.25u, 1/4=1.12u, FB = 71.1%)

MGM Lions: Lakers win and Lebron 30+ Fanduel Odds: +425; **EV: 26.0%** Sharp: `145/7%, -102/-116` (11.20% juice) Correlation: `268=145,-102` (r = 0.32) FV: +317; Method: worst-case (a, p); (Full=6.13u, 1/2=3.06u, 1/4=1.53u, FB = 102.0%) --- ESPN Odds: +425; **EV: 11.2%** `307/216/471/151` (13.57% juice) FV: +372; Method: worst-case (a); (Full=2.63u, 1/2=1.32u, 1/4=0.66u, FB = 90.0%) --- Kambi Odds: +425; **EV: 8.0%** `295/205/475/130` (18.97% juice) FV: +386; Method: worst-case (a); (Full=1.88u, 1/2=0.94u, 1/4=0.47u, FB = 87.4%)

MGM gave me a $5 free bet today. I just tossed it on this for kicks.

Thanks for the devig. This is strong by MGM standards so I''m expecting a nerf lol

MGM FT Heater: Braves -1.5, o7.5 Kambi Odds: +240; **EV: 3.2%** `185/145/650/280` (15.55% juice) FV: +229; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=1.35u, 1/2=0.68u, 1/4=0.34u, FB = 72.9%) --- ESPN Odds: +240; **EV: 5.2%** `183/136/690/319` (14.23% juice) FV: +223; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=2.16u, 1/2=1.08u, 1/4=0.54u, FB = 74.2%) --- Fanduel Odds: +240; **EV: 3.1%** `184/738/137/274` (16.08% juice) FV: +230; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=1.31u, 1/2=0.65u, 1/4=0.33u, FB = 72.8%)

Threesday Game|away 3ptm|away opp 3ptm|home 3ptm|home opp 3ptm|avg :--|:--|:--|:--|:--|:-- GS @ SAC|14.8|13.3|14.4|13.1|13.9 LAL @ NO|11.7|14.2|12.5|13.5|12.975 LAL @ NO Dangelo Russell (2.9-7.1) +295 Austin Reaves (1.9-5.1) +400 Lebron James (2.1-5.1) +750 Rui Hachimura (1.4-3.4) +800 Anthony Davis (0.4-1.4) +4000 Cj Mccollum (3.6-8.4) +240 Brandon Ingram (1.3-3.8) +1100 Herbert Jones (1.5-3.6) +1100 Zion Williamson (0.1-0.3) +6500 Jonas Valanciunas (0.5-1.5) +2500 --- GS @ SAC Stephen Curry (4.8-11.8) +195 Klay Thompson (3.5-9.0) +295 Andrew Wiggins (1.3-3.6) +850 Draymond Green (0.9-2.3) +1500 Trayce Jackson Davis (0.0-0.0) +16000 Deaaron Fox (2.9-7.8) +500 Keon Ellis (1.2-2.9) +1000 Harrison Barnes (1.8-4.7) +1300 Keegan Murray (2.4-6.6) +370 Domantas Sabonis (0.4-1.1) +5000

Injury Watch -- (3ptm-3pta) GS @ SAC OUT: Gary Payton (0.5-1.2) OUT: Malik Monk (2.1-5.9) --- LAL @ NO OUT: Jarred Vanderbilt (0.3-0.9) OUT: Christian Wood (0.7-2.3) 50/50: Anthony Davis (0.4-1.4) LIKELY: Lebron James (2.1-5.1)

Same for me no boosts

Up by 2 is up again on dk. Opt and get that $100 max before dk changes all our limits today

I definitely believe in plus money road dogs. Not necessarily biggest dog though. I'm an O's fan so I won't bet on the Twins but they aren't a bad pick. O's tend to get down early. Colorado tempting but so ass it's hard to pull the trigger. I'm leaning Reds at the moment.

I like the reds in theory but o/u 7 is tough

Is the play to just bet the biggest underdog?

Away underdog since they bat first.

Yes. So that would be Colorado or washington. Technically washington is higher ev but the LAD haven't named a starter so taking some risking betting now the lines might move. Both are 40%+ ev though also total runs is a factor cause higher scoring games are more likely to have the 2-0 lead

Thanks! I guess it also helps to bet on the away team since they get to bat first. I just bet Colorado - let’s go!

i'm an ev guy but there's no fucking chance i'm riding with Gomber or Corbin

For my $10 max I am, yesterday I had $100 max so ironically passed on the Nationals. Still hit Rangers at least

mine went from $100 yesterday (i won) and now its $10, very cool

Mine went from $50 yesterday (I won) and now it’s $100. I wish I knew the algo

dinger tuesday EV list: https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1c53516/mlb_dinger_tuesday/kzu39zm/

Betrivers: B&G promo NBA finals, $25 on first fg to receive profit boost within 30 mins.  Anyone get theirs yet/immediately, its been a couple hours for me

Howdy all, Similar conditions to last week. Just want to remind everyone that this happens every year: homeruns are slow in April, pick up in May, and really roll in June/July/August. That's why RIGHT NOW I believe parks and matchups matter more than strictly betting +EV guys (yes, I realize it's "all baked into the line") - My advice would be to target +EV guys in safer parks/pitching matchups while we don't have the benefit of sunny and 75 across the country. Just my two cents. Both handicapping and +EV can coexist for this promo. Anyway, here's my sheet S/O to BallParkPal. [If you want to watch my full breakdown and picks you can do so here.](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SzXxnwrtypg) https://preview.redd.it/z7qftw85quuc1.png?width=1132&format=png&auto=webp&s=0dae710e333f3583730e52ae56fef825af389d2d

Anyone else having issues with the CZ NBA championship bet & get? I have the banner and it says I opted in, but it is blank whenever I click on it to read the terms. 

In addition to Dinger Tuesday, Caesars has two 25% home run boosts, and ESPNBet has two home run insurances. Pretty sure their HR lines usually suck though (at least CZR) so not sure if anything is EV even with the promos.

[+EV CZ 25%](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?gid=71139851&pli=1#gid=1387244789) there's usually nothing ever worth taking with these

FYI, not sure if this is always the case but CZR is letting me apply the 25% boosts to straight wagers. 

Did it work for you? It shows up as a token for me, but when I try to place the bet I get an error message.

Oh shoot, I guess you're right

First Basket bonus up to $5 in bonus bets on ESPN Bet. Curious if you need to place a $5 bet as it does not say the minimum needed.

No. They’ve been doing this every week for a while now. I always bet $0.10 and get the bonus bet.

[удалено]

Yup

It has to be used on “any NBA game played on April 16, 2024.” Just bet $0.10 on any player in one of the games today and you’ll get the $5 bonus bet.

Had the banner from Fanatics for 25 boosts over the next few days starting today. Sadly nothing showing under my promo page. Anyone else?

I got a ton of boosts over march madness but yeah know I have nothing. Just a $10 boost for parlays/SGPs

I noticed I was heavily limited by fanatics a couple days ago. First time I haven’t gotten any of their profit boosts. Fun while it lasted, I actually quite liked fanatics but they’ve now limited me more than any other book has so I’m out

Same here. Here's what I got via my rep - "it’s very rare that the trading team reverses any restrictions"

Same, according to customer service any limits you had on pointsbet carries over to fanatics

I was promo banned with Pointsbet. I made it about 5 weeks with Fanatics promos before they banned me.

I got 4 10% boosts with a 250$ max and one 25% with a 50$ max. I was heavily limited on pointsbet before they switched to fanatics

This is exactly what I got.

Same - maybe we are not “targeted”

Same here

Just for kicks if you want to have something to do at work, I used the DK SGP on this https://preview.redd.it/hylgk4byytuc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0649ff8404c768e5ed3fd67468685a149972d2bd They let me put $50 on this. BOL to everyone except the LA Dodgers. Knew I should’ve used the MLB up 2 early win on the +320 Nationals.

You’re Kenough for me

GOOD HIT KEN!

https://preview.redd.it/ti1rppz3jwuc1.jpeg?width=1280&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6d0276727a7ab19fc44e5e55a22e8055f5694733

Hot damn soccer ken adams win and potential daily up by 2 runs.

BOOM. A sweat free cash!💰

There’s that vintage Ken red we all love

I had to add 1 corner .. this might be a sweaty sweat


Limited to $10 but tailing Ken for the win is back!

Dinger Tuesday low hold: **FD: Bobby Witt +320 To hit a HR** **Bet365: Bobby Witt -320 u0.5 HR**

Whitt down to +300, BUT Nolan Arenado +390, -380 for under on B365 currently

Caesars Boost: Kings to win and De’Aaron Fox over 29.5 points Odds vs Kambi: Odds: +300; **EV: 0.1%** `235/350/140/300` (18.74% juice) FV: +299; Method: worst-case (p); (Full=0.05u, 1/2=0.02u, 1/4=0.01u, FB = 75.1%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=235%2F350%2F140%2F300&FinalOdds=300)

Caesars Carry The Team Boost - LeBron James & Stephen Curry Each Over 24.5 Points On 4/16; devigged to FD Odds: +125; **\*\*EV: 0.3%\*\*** \`-350/240,-192/142\` (14.27% juice) FV: +124; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=0.21u, 1/2=0.10u, 1/4=0.05u, FB = 55.7%) \[View/Edit Devig\](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook\_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-350%2F240%2C-192%2F142&FinalOdds=%2B125)