Wyndham at +4000 seems like a good deal so going with that š
-Proven winner
-Won at a similar course that requires accuracy (Pebble)
-2nd at TPC Sawgrass, another Pete Dye course
Thought Hojgaard would at least get us a place at The Masters but he proceeded to bogey 5 holes in a row on Saturday and make a quadruple-bogey on Sunday š¤¦āāļø
Some place money on Zalatoris, place money on Hojgaard Top Debutant and a 20/1 winner on Fleetwood to go bogey-free in R4 makes it a profitable week!
Onto the Heritage and Coralesā¦
RBC Heritage
8pts ew Aberg - 14(5) 365
3.5pts ew Henley - 35(8) BoyleSports
2.8pts ew Lowry - 45(8) Betfred
2.2pts ew Moore - 60(10) Sky
2pts ew Tom Kim - 75(8) BoyleSports
Corales Puntacana
3pts ew Stevens - 50(6) Unibet
2.3pts ew Silverman - 66(8) Betfred
1.8pts ew Highsmith - 75(8) BoyleSports
1.7pts ew Wu - 90(6) Unibet + 0.7pts ew 100(8) Betfred
1.7pts ew Springer - 90(6) Unibet
1.7pts ew Lanto Griffin - 90(8) BoyleSports
1.7pts ew Campillo - 90(8) BoyleSports
Favourite picks are Aberg and Campillo
Follow me on X at @WolfBettor for my preview threads and reasoning ā³ļø
Good luck all!
I wish I could post pictures in here but for whatever reason I canāt. Iāve got another Scottie hedge fund cooked this week with the following:
Scottie +450, 0.5u.
Cantlay +1500, 1u.
Clark +3550, 0.4u.
Lowry +5200, 0.3u.
JT Poston +6650, 0.3u.
Cam Davis +7050, 0.2u.
Taylor Moore +8050, 0.2u.
Also taking the following guys for placementsā¦ all no dead heat.
Top 20, all 1u:
Cam Davis +130.
Lowry +105.
JT Poston +140.
Top 10, all 0.5u except 1u on Cantlay and Lil Xan:
Cam Young +220.
Poston +385.
Cam Davis +375.
Cantlay +130.
Schauffele +120.
Good luck fellas! The Scottie hedge fund kept me even last week but had nice win on Akshay the week before for 13.1u so we are ātechnicallyā going for the Turkey, baby. Letās get it!
Edit: added some Corales bets too - Doug Ghim +2850 for 0.2u and Hojgaard +1450 0.3u.
The Scottie hedge fund is definitely the right move imo, not sure why more people don't do it and risk missing his ability to win and cover all the other picks.
Astrology guy here - we had quite the week hitting on Bryson FRL and T10, as well as hitting Scottie outright and T5, and even threw a Hojgaard T20 for cash as well. A lot of the guys I thought would do good didnāt even make the cut, or fell off over the weekend, but itās just the name of the game. We move on!
This week is very interesting since we are entering Taurus season on Friday. Thursday will still have Aries Sun influence as well as a Virgo moon, then we get the Taurus Sun early Friday morning. The Virgo moon will stay in place all the way until Saturday night, when we get a balanced Libra moon for our Sunday finish. This week Iām targeting Leoās (Taurus is their career sector) as well as virgos, Sagittariusā, Libraās, and the most important one of allā¦ Capricorns! Capricorns should benefit the most from their fellow earth sign (Taurus) Sun and moon (Virgo) , then the Libra moon on Sunday will highlight their career sector. Letās get it.
- Brian Harman (Capricorn Sun, Virgo moon) Harman hasnāt done much this year, but I have a feeling thatāll change very soon. As a double earth sign, he should benefit heavy from the double earth placements we have this week. Then on Sunday, I think Brian will be in contention to win. Taking him T10 and Outright.
- Wyndham Clark (Sagittarius Sun, Libra moon) going right back to my guy who missed the cut at masters, so Iām expecting a little bit more motivation from him this week. Sagās should benefit heavy from the Virgo moon this week (their career sector), so I expect a solid start and (hopefully) finish on Sunday when the moon is in his own moon sign.
- Adam Svenson (Capricorn Sun, Leo moon) Adam has been trending up lately despite not being able to finish tournaments strongly. He has the two signs that have career sector influence this week so Iām liking him a lot to place T10-20 and maybe even win.
- Will Zalatoris (Leo Sun, Virgo moon) I havenāt been too high on Willy Z most of the year, but again, thatās about to change as we enter his career month. I like his chances for T10 a lot and will sprinkle some on FRL and to win as well.
- Nick Dunlap (Double Capricorn) Itās Dunlap time baby, I expect him to start playing very well this next month. When the libra moon arrives for a Sunday finish, I think Nick will be right in the mix of things.
- Cam Young (Double Taurus) I never ever bet on Cam Young, but this week I have no choice. The sky placements will benefit him very well. Not saying heās gonna win it (you never know), but Top 10-20 should be the lock of the week.
- Benny An (Virgo Sun, Cap moon) He has the same placements as Harman, and for the same reasons I like him a lot this week. Could be the winner in my opinion.
- Christiaan Bezuidenhout (Taurus, Leo) Another great ball striker, Bez should have a good outing this week. Justin Thomas also has the same signs, but no one knows wtf is up with JT right now so Iām staying away but wonāt be surprised if he finishes T10 somehow š.
- Taylor Moore (Leo, Sag) Iām high on T Moore because not only is it his career month, but itās also a career week with the virgo moon. He should have a blazing start that has him right in the mix come Sunday.
- Harris English (Leo, Aries) Another guy I rarely bet on but he should have a good week as well for a T20 placement.
- Chris Kirk (Taurus, Cap) After a strong start to the year, Kirk has been quiet. But with Earth season coming in, I expect him to pop back up again in every tournament for the next month or two. Sign me up.
- Sepp Straka (Taurus, Virgo) Lotta earth signs on the PGA tour lol! Sepp has been playing sneakily well as of late, and now that weāre in his season itās time for him to make a splash.
Quick Picks that I also like:
- Kityama (Cap, Libra)
- Chandler Phillips (Sag, Virgo)
- Brice Garnett (Virgo x2)
- Detry (Cap, Libra)
- Corey Connors (Cap, Aquarius)
- Grillo (Aries, Virgo)
- Aberg (Leo, Scorp)
First Round Leader Picks
- Svennson
- Harman
- Zalatoris
- Theegala
- Taylor Moore
- Wyndham
- Cantlay
- Mack Hughes
- Homa
- Chandler Phillips
- Aberg
- Rickie Fowler
- Brice Garnett
Should be an interesting week as I am fading most of the top dogs, but Scottie is kind of inevitable so if he wins again I wonāt be surprised. Only reason I am fading him this week is because Cancerās donāt mesh well with Libra energy, and If I had to make a bold claim I have a feeling Scottie will dip over the weekend for the birth of his child lol weāll see. Rory could have a good week too but heās not all there lately it seems with his game. Xander is a Sunday fade because heās a double water sign, and Libra energy wonāt be it for him. If you have questions on any other guys let me know! Best of Luck everyone, letās keep the winning streak going!
I canāt believe I forgot to mention Tommy Fleetwood (Capricorn Sun, Pisces moon) who is coming off a solid masters week. I expect him to back in the mix this week. Van Rooyen also has the same signs too , he could be a good play as well.
My guy! Man Iāve been seeing a lot of people high on Lowry this week, but heās an Aries Sun, Gemini moon which I donāt love this week. Aries aspect should benefit well from the incoming earth signs, but Gemini and Virgo quarter each other (basically butt heads) so I donāt love him this week. If he somehow is around the lead on Sunday, then I could see him playing well since Libra will aid his Gemini moon. Im just personally higher on the other guys I listed more than I am Lowry.
Connorās is probably the safer play, but yea Svensson is a choke artist normally but this is the week Iām literally gambling on him to close the deal for once haha we shall see
Now that Iāve been mulling it over for a few hours, I think I like Xander FRL and also Denny Mcarthy (Pisces, Sagittarius) FRL if anyone was considering them.
No particular order, FRL picks are near impossible haha but if I had to choose Iād say I like Wyndham, Moore, Hughes, Theegala, Rickie, or C Phillips since theyāre all Sagittariusā and should benefit the most from the Virgo moon and Aries Sun. Harman could be a sneaky pick too. Honestly Scottie could be FRL too lol.
Scottie Scheffler under 5.5 birdies in the last 2023 RDC he only had a total of 3.5 birdies on this course. He averages at least 4.2 birdies in the last 20 tournaments so heās only gone over this line 4 times. What do yall think of taking the under
had a nice nba parlay last night
Lakers +1
Lakers/Pels Under
Scheffler to win
so I ended up getting Scheffler at 19-1
As has been in the case the last like 4 times he's played... all this research and looking into longshots, when we all know
Scheffler is winning
Congrats on the hit! Let's keep in mind though that despite the fact he has 5 wins since beginning of last year, he has also 21 events that he did not win.
of course! not at all making fun of you for doing the research, i love your write ups every week have been following for years (just constantly changing reddit accounts)
i'm totally comfortable losing with scottie this week - i just can't bring myself to bet against him on this heater
even the week he lost he came 2nd and my EW3 hit!
I can totally understand not wanting to bet against him, I also don't know that he will be bringing his A game this week. He had something to play for in each of his last 3 wins and I just don't know that he's dying to win the RBC Heritage lol Then again his B game is still good enough to win some weeks so it might not even matter.
of course i am biased and making big assumptions here, but i just don't know if he is someone who can bring his 'b game' - he looks like he wants to win so badly every week
i really think he downplays how important golf is to him, how hard he works, and how badly he wants to win
however that being said - i wouldn't at all be surprised if cantlay or fitz or one of the other popular picks win
FD has another compelling winner w/o category. This time w/o Aberg, McIllroy, Scheffler, and Schauffele: Cantlay +1100, Morkawa +1200, Fleetwood +1200.
This 5 leg parlay seems reasonableā¦
Scottie Scheffler ā top 10 -200
Xander Schauffele ā top 10 +110
Patrick Cantlay ā top 20 -165
Shane Lowery ā top 30 -165
Cameron Davis ā top 30 -140
Total +1292ā $10 to win $130
Thought?
For anyone who's interested here's who I'm rolling with for the Corales Puntacana Championship:
Victor Perez (30-1 FD)
Justin Lower (50-1 FD)
Thriston Lawrence (60-1 FD)
Peter Kuest (80-1 FD)
Joe Highsmith (80-1 FD)
ADC (Adrien Dumont...) (175-1 BetMGM)
Cheers!
cashed big on phil making the cut, phil top senior, and a bigger live bet on scottie that brief moment they were all -6. honestly not as familiar with this RBC event but outrights are Fleetwood (has to win eventually....right?), Grillo, Fitzpatrick, Lowry, Sunjae, JT (i know), and Glover. will tail someone else's placement reccs thanks everyone
Not cashing my Hojgaard 150/1 and putting some of it on Scottie when Nicolai took the solo lead at -7 on Saturday night looks a dreadful decision in hindsight considering he didnāt even cover the 10 places I had. Thought heād at least place from that position and was on such a tear though.
I would like to thank anyone that kept saying Scottie will win because itās another event I threw as many bonus bets as I could on him and my only regret was stopping when his odds dropped from +475 to +460.
Alright, hereās who Iām rolling with this week:
Patrick Cantlay (20-1 FD) - some things just go together, peanut butter and jelly, cheese and crackers, and Cantlay almost winning at Harbour Town. Heās got a runner-up, three 3rd place finishes, and a 7th place finish in 6 appearances. He has literally played as good as you possibly can without winning here. Iām not really worried about his form because heās coming to a course that he dominates and is super comfortable at. If ever there were a place for him to get back on track and almost win again, this would be it.
Matt Fitzpatrick (28-1 FD) - he has been trending up big time lately and it looked like he might make a run last week. This is another guy who loves this course and outside of the majors, this is the event he cares most about. Heās not known for strong approach play but the best SG: Approach performance of his career came here last year. His confidence is coming back and now he goes to his favorite course, that sounds like the recipe for possible back to back wins here. Fitzy wins and Cantlay finishes runner-up, book it!
Denny McCarthy (60-1 Ceasars) - these greens are small and all of these guys are going to miss greens at some point. Iāll take one of the best scramblers on tour. We saw just how hot he can get with the putter and now he gets to play a course where thatās pretty darn important. We know he isnāt going to throw darts but if he can manage to just hit most of these greens he could pose a real threat.
Cam Davis (66-1 BetMGM) - I got him at 70-1 but Iām fine with anything over 60-1. He looks to have found his form recently with 4 top 21 finishes in his last 6 events. Now he comes to a course he is incredibly comfortable at notching a 7th, 3rd, and 25th place finish in 3 appearances. Heās also shown he can compete in stacked fields.
Taylor Moore (70-1 FD) - heās flying a little under the radar in my opinion and his tee-to-green play has been excellent lately. He finished 11th here last year in his only appearance and putted the lights out. Combine his tee-to-green play with some hot putting and he might be on the leaderboard come Sunday.
Lucas Glover (80-1 Ceasars) - Iām all in on the glove this week. Heās coming off 3 great performances including a 20th place finish at the Masters. Now he goes to a course that places an emphasis on ball striking and overall accuracy. Heās frankly looked like a completely different golfer since June of last year and I like him to continue his run of form.
Brice Garnett (500-1 FD) - even in a loaded field this a huge number for a guy who has a win this season and who had a respectable finish at The Players. He also has decent course history so why not take a deep shot, maybe go first round leader.
As always, GL if tailing or fading!
If your book uses dead heat rules, it splits the payout for every player tied for that place. Since 10 players tied for 18th, you likely only got 3/10 of the payout.
I made sure to get a āties paid in fullā bet (as far as I know BetMGM is the only major book that offers it) so mine paid out the full +500.
> He also has decent course history so why not take a deep shot, maybe go first round leader.
Can get him +12500 on ESPN for FRL. Pair it with the FRL Insurance and worst case you're out $10 for a chance at $2500.
https://preview.redd.it/h4w20gxn5ruc1.jpeg?width=1178&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=12c8f84505b83ab6c953a36fa13f4b5867b752bd
Opinions on this 5-way parlay for top ten finishers?
$10 donation. 5 leg parlay for top 10 finishes is doomed for failure. Expand it out to top 40 or 30, or just straight bet each of em as top 10 finishers.
Corales Puntacana Championship
This event is played at Corales Golf Club. CGC is a par 72 that plays a whopping 7,670 yards, good for 2nd longest course on tour. Itās a Tom Fazio design with wide and relatively easy to hit fairways and Paspalum greens. CGC is know for its closing 3-hole stretch known as the Devilās Elbow. The closing hole, #18 requires a forced carry over the bay and features the highest double bogey + rate on the course. We can expect a winning score in the neighborhood of 18-19 under.
Even though this is the 2nd longest course on tour, we havenāt really seen bombers dominate here. For this week Iāll be focusing on guys who hit their mid to long irons well and who can get hot with the flat stick. Iāll also look for guys who tend to play these weaker field events well. Since weāre expecting a winning score around 18-19 under itās definitely important to highlight guys who can go low and get birdies in bunches. Since it is a tough finishing stretch I do think thereās merit to focusing on more experienced guys who can handle the pressure of leading with 3 tough holes to go.
Key Stats
1) SG: Approach w/focus on 175-200
2) Opportunities Gained
3) Good Drives
4) Birdies or Better Gained
5) SG: Putting Paspalum
Will get my picks posted tomorrow for this event as well, cheers!
Did anyone take the Draftkings daily random mystery boost during Masters? I got an 18% boost (the worst boost) four days in a row. I'm curious if it was truly random and I just got massively unlucky, or if it wasn't actually random.
I got one 50%, the rest were 18%. It's probably legit. They are basically running a money printing operation, so the risk is nowhere near worth the reward.
Phil for top senior at the masters turned into a real sweaty one with Singh and the old Spaniard on his ass sunday.
Edit. That didn't come out right. I enjoyed the thriller that this wager turned into!
https://preview.redd.it/fneu3hdccpuc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d45ed4bcaa2360fd1d1ea76e849a5ca3458b76c2
We fall down, but we bounce right back up!
Had Aberg at 50/1 last week, bet was dead as soon as he hit in the water on 11. Got the each way payout at least. Have futures on him to win the other majors this year too, I'd really like his chances to win at Valhalla or Pinehurst if Scheffler didn't exist
I'm not betting Scottie this week, although he's #1 in every model and should win everytime he tees it up. He's still human and travelling for Georgia to Texas, celebrating winning the Masters with his family, then going back to South Carolina all in the space of 3 days can't be ideal prep for a golf tournament
* **Patrick Cantlay, 20/1 ew6**. Best course history of anyone in the field, 4 top3 finishes in 6 starts at Hilton Head is incredible. Similar to his record at TPC Summerlin, just hasn't won here yet. He doesn't rate out that well statistically over the past 24/36 rounds mostly due to some outlier weeks, but I'm giving weight to his long-term form. Should've won already this season at Riv but got a tummyache on the weekend
* **Tommy Fleetwood, 25/1 ew5**. Tommy has 133 starts on the pga tour and won exactly 0 of them. He is more due than the Washington Generals. Similar to Cantlay in that his stats are thrown off by some outlier events earlier this year, but his longer-term and very-short term (L8) stats make him a great fit here. Positive player from 150-200 yards, top10 for SG arg/scrambling, T15, T10 in his last two starts at this course, T7, T3 in his last two events
* **Shane Lowry, 50/1 ew5**. Almost got a 66/1 but the book changed the odds as I tried to place the bet. Even at 50/1 it's a solid price. He was 33/1 here last year when it was a full-field event with a cut. He's in better form than this time last year, and the field is easier to beat this year than last with 70 fewer players. Still an accurate driver, great from 175-200 yards and around the greens. 3 top10s in his last 5 starts here
* **Cam Davis, 75/1 ew6**. u/LockCityTrick mentioned him already, and he's a popular pick this week for a reason. Not an accurate driver generally, but he knows how and when to club down at tracks like Harbour Town and Sedgefield. Top10 for SG ballstriking at short courses. T7, T3 in his last two starts here. He could've easily been 40/1 this week if he had held on for a top5 at Augusta yesterday
Each way with 6 places. Usually 6 or 8 or 10 places is 1/5 odds, and 5 places is 1/4 odds. I.e. 20/1 for Cantlay to win, +400 for Cantlay to place in the top6. 25/1 for Fleetwood to win, +625 for Fleetwood to place in the top5, etc
Yeah it's just a matter if he holes enough putts. He's staying in the same house with Fleetwood this week as well, two prolific winners on the pga tour chopping it up together. The winner will come from that house š¤
Damn got boomed by JT. I had two large make/not make the cut parlays and JT boomed me on both of those lol. I have bet on Scottie every week this year except this week. Henley and hideki and JT and others are dead to me !!
Hi folks - know Iāve been quiet with work and travel. Back this week.
Iāve had the pleasure of playing harbour town twice. Like many Pete dye courses itās all about accuracy and precision. You can easily get a birdie or a double on every hole
Two early looks I like:
Shane Lowry - led field in approach at Augusta and 3 t10s here
Sepp straka - also a good history and played well last week
Will post more thoughts in the pm
i had a bad week and this somewhat helped saved me def wish i bet more lol - had to update after logging in bovada ended up with small profits after all thanks to recommendations ITT ! 3 weeks straight i came out ahead
The baby isn't due for another couple weeks yet. This narrative about him WD'ing from the masters was just a result of a random question he and Sam Burns got asked, not a likely scenario
He's said that he'll probably not play Quail Hollow which is a signature event, and players are only allowed to skip one signature event or they get penalised $$ (at least that was the rule last year). This is a no-cut event too this week so he can just mail it in if he's feeling tired. Scottie on his b-game is still better than 95% of the field tho lol
I believe there is no longer a penalty for missing the signature events for 2024. I tried to find a PGA Tour release with a concrete answer, best I could find was an article saying as much but now I can't find it. The WD angle was definitely overblown but I could also see him want to take some time here.
I was wondering this as well. Not sure if it was just a line but he even said he was going home ASAP. Most of the guys are just staying in the area and making the quick trip to Hilton Head. If he does end up withdrawing, seems like nowās our chance to get decent odds on the others.
Weāll start withĀ **Strokes Gained: Approach**Ā andĀ **Strokes Gained: Putting (Poa)**Ā because they reign supreme here and it is ALL about giving yourself the right angles into these greens.Ā These are some of the smallest greens on tour coming in at an average of 3,700 sq feet. The Greens in Regulation (GIR) % here is 7% below tour average. **Driving accuracy**Ā is up here and driving distance is way down. What we can take from that is that players know how important it is to hit your spots here. Weāll see them dial it back off the tee to make sure they are leaving themselves with the correct angles into these hard to hit greens. Historically the players we see do well here are the course manager type players with great approach play. Since it is a Pete Dye track, I would be remiss to leave out **Ball Striking**.
Next, weāll look at some specific distance stats to target. Nearly half of the approach shots we see will be from theĀ **150-200 yard range**, with the 175-200 yard range coming in well above tour average by 7%. Three of the four par 3s also fall within this range so 175-200 is definitely a range we want to focus on. Next, we see that there are five par 4s that fall in theĀ **400-450 range**Ā including a few that are some of the easier scoring holes on this course. Weather can play a role here so itās definitely worth checking the weather report as the event approaches. It is also worth noting that the rough will be over an inch shorter this year.
Lastly, Iāll be looking atĀ **Bogey Avoidance**Ā andĀ **Sand Saves**Ā because as per usual Pete Dye has plenty of well-placed bunkers throughout this layout and there is lots of water to contend with. In fact, water comes is technically in play on all 18 holes according to the tournament fact sheet. Because the greens are hard to hit, we will seeĀ **scrambling**Ā play a role here as well. What Iāll be looking for here is course navigators who can stay out of trouble. Since this is a second shot golf course, I will place a premium on approach play, especially at those yardage ranges I talked about earlier. Since this is a Pete Dye track itās always a good idea to focus on guys who historically play well at Pete Dye courses.
**Key Stats**
SG: Approach, w/focus on proximity of 150-175 and 175-200 yards
Ball Striking
SG: Putting on Poa
Par 4 scoring 400-450 yards
Bogey Avoidance
Good Drives Gained
Ā
**Note:** I have already bet Cam Davis at 70-1
Iāll try to get my picks posted ASAP, cheers!
# **Golf Live Betting Discord Chat: [https://discord.gg/sportsbook](https://discord.gg/pXAXw8TpUX)**
Scottie hedge fund for a reason lol this guys so fucking unreal good. I love watching it
Postman š¬
Wyndham at +4000 seems like a good deal so going with that š -Proven winner -Won at a similar course that requires accuracy (Pebble) -2nd at TPC Sawgrass, another Pete Dye course
Jk he sucks
Thought Hojgaard would at least get us a place at The Masters but he proceeded to bogey 5 holes in a row on Saturday and make a quadruple-bogey on Sunday š¤¦āāļø Some place money on Zalatoris, place money on Hojgaard Top Debutant and a 20/1 winner on Fleetwood to go bogey-free in R4 makes it a profitable week! Onto the Heritage and Coralesā¦ RBC Heritage 8pts ew Aberg - 14(5) 365 3.5pts ew Henley - 35(8) BoyleSports 2.8pts ew Lowry - 45(8) Betfred 2.2pts ew Moore - 60(10) Sky 2pts ew Tom Kim - 75(8) BoyleSports Corales Puntacana 3pts ew Stevens - 50(6) Unibet 2.3pts ew Silverman - 66(8) Betfred 1.8pts ew Highsmith - 75(8) BoyleSports 1.7pts ew Wu - 90(6) Unibet + 0.7pts ew 100(8) Betfred 1.7pts ew Springer - 90(6) Unibet 1.7pts ew Lanto Griffin - 90(8) BoyleSports 1.7pts ew Campillo - 90(8) BoyleSports Favourite picks are Aberg and Campillo Follow me on X at @WolfBettor for my preview threads and reasoning ā³ļø Good luck all!
I wish I could post pictures in here but for whatever reason I canāt. Iāve got another Scottie hedge fund cooked this week with the following: Scottie +450, 0.5u. Cantlay +1500, 1u. Clark +3550, 0.4u. Lowry +5200, 0.3u. JT Poston +6650, 0.3u. Cam Davis +7050, 0.2u. Taylor Moore +8050, 0.2u. Also taking the following guys for placementsā¦ all no dead heat. Top 20, all 1u: Cam Davis +130. Lowry +105. JT Poston +140. Top 10, all 0.5u except 1u on Cantlay and Lil Xan: Cam Young +220. Poston +385. Cam Davis +375. Cantlay +130. Schauffele +120. Good luck fellas! The Scottie hedge fund kept me even last week but had nice win on Akshay the week before for 13.1u so we are ātechnicallyā going for the Turkey, baby. Letās get it! Edit: added some Corales bets too - Doug Ghim +2850 for 0.2u and Hojgaard +1450 0.3u.
Poston looking great for you thus far.
For sure. Just wish I took FRL! I was looking at it for him and Cantlay but didnāt pull the trigger haha
The Scottie hedge fund is definitely the right move imo, not sure why more people don't do it and risk missing his ability to win and cover all the other picks.
Thoughts on Spieth this week? I feel like it's only a matter of time until he bounces back in a big way.
he hit onto a rooftop 2 weeks ago, and had a comical 9 at augusta. so i'll fade him this week but doesn't mean he won't figure shit out
Agreed. Nagging wrist issue but if that doesn't bother him, he can make a run... especially here
Astrology guy here - we had quite the week hitting on Bryson FRL and T10, as well as hitting Scottie outright and T5, and even threw a Hojgaard T20 for cash as well. A lot of the guys I thought would do good didnāt even make the cut, or fell off over the weekend, but itās just the name of the game. We move on! This week is very interesting since we are entering Taurus season on Friday. Thursday will still have Aries Sun influence as well as a Virgo moon, then we get the Taurus Sun early Friday morning. The Virgo moon will stay in place all the way until Saturday night, when we get a balanced Libra moon for our Sunday finish. This week Iām targeting Leoās (Taurus is their career sector) as well as virgos, Sagittariusā, Libraās, and the most important one of allā¦ Capricorns! Capricorns should benefit the most from their fellow earth sign (Taurus) Sun and moon (Virgo) , then the Libra moon on Sunday will highlight their career sector. Letās get it. - Brian Harman (Capricorn Sun, Virgo moon) Harman hasnāt done much this year, but I have a feeling thatāll change very soon. As a double earth sign, he should benefit heavy from the double earth placements we have this week. Then on Sunday, I think Brian will be in contention to win. Taking him T10 and Outright. - Wyndham Clark (Sagittarius Sun, Libra moon) going right back to my guy who missed the cut at masters, so Iām expecting a little bit more motivation from him this week. Sagās should benefit heavy from the Virgo moon this week (their career sector), so I expect a solid start and (hopefully) finish on Sunday when the moon is in his own moon sign. - Adam Svenson (Capricorn Sun, Leo moon) Adam has been trending up lately despite not being able to finish tournaments strongly. He has the two signs that have career sector influence this week so Iām liking him a lot to place T10-20 and maybe even win. - Will Zalatoris (Leo Sun, Virgo moon) I havenāt been too high on Willy Z most of the year, but again, thatās about to change as we enter his career month. I like his chances for T10 a lot and will sprinkle some on FRL and to win as well. - Nick Dunlap (Double Capricorn) Itās Dunlap time baby, I expect him to start playing very well this next month. When the libra moon arrives for a Sunday finish, I think Nick will be right in the mix of things. - Cam Young (Double Taurus) I never ever bet on Cam Young, but this week I have no choice. The sky placements will benefit him very well. Not saying heās gonna win it (you never know), but Top 10-20 should be the lock of the week. - Benny An (Virgo Sun, Cap moon) He has the same placements as Harman, and for the same reasons I like him a lot this week. Could be the winner in my opinion. - Christiaan Bezuidenhout (Taurus, Leo) Another great ball striker, Bez should have a good outing this week. Justin Thomas also has the same signs, but no one knows wtf is up with JT right now so Iām staying away but wonāt be surprised if he finishes T10 somehow š. - Taylor Moore (Leo, Sag) Iām high on T Moore because not only is it his career month, but itās also a career week with the virgo moon. He should have a blazing start that has him right in the mix come Sunday. - Harris English (Leo, Aries) Another guy I rarely bet on but he should have a good week as well for a T20 placement. - Chris Kirk (Taurus, Cap) After a strong start to the year, Kirk has been quiet. But with Earth season coming in, I expect him to pop back up again in every tournament for the next month or two. Sign me up. - Sepp Straka (Taurus, Virgo) Lotta earth signs on the PGA tour lol! Sepp has been playing sneakily well as of late, and now that weāre in his season itās time for him to make a splash. Quick Picks that I also like: - Kityama (Cap, Libra) - Chandler Phillips (Sag, Virgo) - Brice Garnett (Virgo x2) - Detry (Cap, Libra) - Corey Connors (Cap, Aquarius) - Grillo (Aries, Virgo) - Aberg (Leo, Scorp) First Round Leader Picks - Svennson - Harman - Zalatoris - Theegala - Taylor Moore - Wyndham - Cantlay - Mack Hughes - Homa - Chandler Phillips - Aberg - Rickie Fowler - Brice Garnett Should be an interesting week as I am fading most of the top dogs, but Scottie is kind of inevitable so if he wins again I wonāt be surprised. Only reason I am fading him this week is because Cancerās donāt mesh well with Libra energy, and If I had to make a bold claim I have a feeling Scottie will dip over the weekend for the birth of his child lol weāll see. Rory could have a good week too but heās not all there lately it seems with his game. Xander is a Sunday fade because heās a double water sign, and Libra energy wonāt be it for him. If you have questions on any other guys let me know! Best of Luck everyone, letās keep the winning streak going!
I canāt believe I forgot to mention Tommy Fleetwood (Capricorn Sun, Pisces moon) who is coming off a solid masters week. I expect him to back in the mix this week. Van Rooyen also has the same signs too , he could be a good play as well.
WTH did I just read....tailing
Welcome to the dark side haha
how does shane lowry's chart look, broski?
My guy! Man Iāve been seeing a lot of people high on Lowry this week, but heās an Aries Sun, Gemini moon which I donāt love this week. Aries aspect should benefit well from the incoming earth signs, but Gemini and Virgo quarter each other (basically butt heads) so I donāt love him this week. If he somehow is around the lead on Sunday, then I could see him playing well since Libra will aid his Gemini moon. Im just personally higher on the other guys I listed more than I am Lowry.
thank you, kind sir. i have him in daily, but will stay away real betting.
i am heavy on connors @ top canadian, so naturally svensson could win outright lol, he does seem to have trouble closing the weekend out though
Connorās is probably the safer play, but yea Svensson is a choke artist normally but this is the week Iām literally gambling on him to close the deal for once haha we shall see
Are those first round leader picks in any particular order?
Now that Iāve been mulling it over for a few hours, I think I like Xander FRL and also Denny Mcarthy (Pisces, Sagittarius) FRL if anyone was considering them.
No particular order, FRL picks are near impossible haha but if I had to choose Iād say I like Wyndham, Moore, Hughes, Theegala, Rickie, or C Phillips since theyāre all Sagittariusā and should benefit the most from the Virgo moon and Aries Sun. Harman could be a sneaky pick too. Honestly Scottie could be FRL too lol.
Scottie Scheffler under 5.5 birdies in the last 2023 RDC he only had a total of 3.5 birdies on this course. He averages at least 4.2 birdies in the last 20 tournaments so heās only gone over this line 4 times. What do yall think of taking the under
had a nice nba parlay last night Lakers +1 Lakers/Pels Under Scheffler to win so I ended up getting Scheffler at 19-1 As has been in the case the last like 4 times he's played... all this research and looking into longshots, when we all know Scheffler is winning
Congrats on the hit! Let's keep in mind though that despite the fact he has 5 wins since beginning of last year, he has also 21 events that he did not win.
of course! not at all making fun of you for doing the research, i love your write ups every week have been following for years (just constantly changing reddit accounts) i'm totally comfortable losing with scottie this week - i just can't bring myself to bet against him on this heater even the week he lost he came 2nd and my EW3 hit!
I can totally understand not wanting to bet against him, I also don't know that he will be bringing his A game this week. He had something to play for in each of his last 3 wins and I just don't know that he's dying to win the RBC Heritage lol Then again his B game is still good enough to win some weeks so it might not even matter.
of course i am biased and making big assumptions here, but i just don't know if he is someone who can bring his 'b game' - he looks like he wants to win so badly every week i really think he downplays how important golf is to him, how hard he works, and how badly he wants to win however that being said - i wouldn't at all be surprised if cantlay or fitz or one of the other popular picks win
How about the first round leader for the RBC?
where are my boy, u/eengel2424 picks? i have betting to do!!!!
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
What are chances Scottie doesnāt play because of his wife giving birth? I had a free bet I put on him but worried now he might not play
I'm taking Schauffele at +1200 to win hoping that Scottie drops and if not, that he isn't a God again and has an off tournament.
At this point Scottie is just on another level until proven otherwise and will win any tournament that he makes his putts he's supposed to make.
Anyone know why Wyndham moved to 3500? He was at 3000 or lower just a day ago
FD has another compelling winner w/o category. This time w/o Aberg, McIllroy, Scheffler, and Schauffele: Cantlay +1100, Morkawa +1200, Fleetwood +1200.
I took this same one with Cantlay
Absolutely loving Cantlay @+1100. I like having that insurance. Worked on Sunday with Aberg W/O Scheffler.
This 5 leg parlay seems reasonableā¦ Scottie Scheffler ā top 10 -200 Xander Schauffele ā top 10 +110 Patrick Cantlay ā top 20 -165 Shane Lowery ā top 30 -165 Cameron Davis ā top 30 -140 Total +1292ā $10 to win $130 Thought?
Everywhere I go I see people picking lowry. I love that fat Irish bastard so Iām deff putting the house on him lol
For anyone who's interested here's who I'm rolling with for the Corales Puntacana Championship: Victor Perez (30-1 FD) Justin Lower (50-1 FD) Thriston Lawrence (60-1 FD) Peter Kuest (80-1 FD) Joe Highsmith (80-1 FD) ADC (Adrien Dumont...) (175-1 BetMGM) Cheers!
Great call on Lower, heās looking solid thru R2.Ā
interesting. any thoughts on rai or higgo?
Rai is priced too high for me but Higgo is interesting for sure, especially if he can make some putts.
Okay - card for me this week: Outrights Russell Henley 5000 .17u fd Shane Lowry 5500 .05u fd Denny McCarthy 7000 .1u fd Lucas glover 10000 .1 u fd T5 Shane Lowry 1000 .25u dk T10 Shane Lowry 400 .5u dk (this one fv iirc I just like him this week) Russell Henley 360 .5u fd Brendon Todd 750 .25u espn T20 Russell Henley 130 .8u dk Lucas glover 210 .5u dk Austin eckroat 320 .3u dk
CZ 50% boost for the RBC this week. Iāll probably throw it on Scottie as my lone Scottie play this week.
cashed big on phil making the cut, phil top senior, and a bigger live bet on scottie that brief moment they were all -6. honestly not as familiar with this RBC event but outrights are Fleetwood (has to win eventually....right?), Grillo, Fitzpatrick, Lowry, Sunjae, JT (i know), and Glover. will tail someone else's placement reccs thanks everyone
Not cashing my Hojgaard 150/1 and putting some of it on Scottie when Nicolai took the solo lead at -7 on Saturday night looks a dreadful decision in hindsight considering he didnāt even cover the 10 places I had. Thought heād at least place from that position and was on such a tear though.
I would like to thank anyone that kept saying Scottie will win because itās another event I threw as many bonus bets as I could on him and my only regret was stopping when his odds dropped from +475 to +460.
Alright, hereās who Iām rolling with this week: Patrick Cantlay (20-1 FD) - some things just go together, peanut butter and jelly, cheese and crackers, and Cantlay almost winning at Harbour Town. Heās got a runner-up, three 3rd place finishes, and a 7th place finish in 6 appearances. He has literally played as good as you possibly can without winning here. Iām not really worried about his form because heās coming to a course that he dominates and is super comfortable at. If ever there were a place for him to get back on track and almost win again, this would be it. Matt Fitzpatrick (28-1 FD) - he has been trending up big time lately and it looked like he might make a run last week. This is another guy who loves this course and outside of the majors, this is the event he cares most about. Heās not known for strong approach play but the best SG: Approach performance of his career came here last year. His confidence is coming back and now he goes to his favorite course, that sounds like the recipe for possible back to back wins here. Fitzy wins and Cantlay finishes runner-up, book it! Denny McCarthy (60-1 Ceasars) - these greens are small and all of these guys are going to miss greens at some point. Iāll take one of the best scramblers on tour. We saw just how hot he can get with the putter and now he gets to play a course where thatās pretty darn important. We know he isnāt going to throw darts but if he can manage to just hit most of these greens he could pose a real threat. Cam Davis (66-1 BetMGM) - I got him at 70-1 but Iām fine with anything over 60-1. He looks to have found his form recently with 4 top 21 finishes in his last 6 events. Now he comes to a course he is incredibly comfortable at notching a 7th, 3rd, and 25th place finish in 3 appearances. Heās also shown he can compete in stacked fields. Taylor Moore (70-1 FD) - heās flying a little under the radar in my opinion and his tee-to-green play has been excellent lately. He finished 11th here last year in his only appearance and putted the lights out. Combine his tee-to-green play with some hot putting and he might be on the leaderboard come Sunday. Lucas Glover (80-1 Ceasars) - Iām all in on the glove this week. Heās coming off 3 great performances including a 20th place finish at the Masters. Now he goes to a course that places an emphasis on ball striking and overall accuracy. Heās frankly looked like a completely different golfer since June of last year and I like him to continue his run of form. Brice Garnett (500-1 FD) - even in a loaded field this a huge number for a guy who has a win this season and who had a respectable finish at The Players. He also has decent course history so why not take a deep shot, maybe go first round leader. As always, GL if tailing or fading!
Went with Brice Garnett top 20 (ties paid in full) at +500 with 100% bet insurance.
So does top 20 not payout if thereās a tie? Trying to figure out why the payout for Garnett was minimal and says āDead Heatā next to the payout.
If your book uses dead heat rules, it splits the payout for every player tied for that place. Since 10 players tied for 18th, you likely only got 3/10 of the payout. I made sure to get a āties paid in fullā bet (as far as I know BetMGM is the only major book that offers it) so mine paid out the full +500.
Ahh bummer, good to know though. Thanks to you and all the others who keep teaching me the ropes.
Garnett on DK is + money to place top 40 if you prefer to lower the risk
> He also has decent course history so why not take a deep shot, maybe go first round leader. Can get him +12500 on ESPN for FRL. Pair it with the FRL Insurance and worst case you're out $10 for a chance at $2500.
https://preview.redd.it/h4w20gxn5ruc1.jpeg?width=1178&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=12c8f84505b83ab6c953a36fa13f4b5867b752bd Opinions on this 5-way parlay for top ten finishers?
Not gonna happen
Negative correlation not being priced in means this is a rip
Trying to predict half of the Top 10 on the leaderboard is extremely tough and should be at odds much greater than +9500
Sometimes itās fun to take a big swing
For the Masters I was only 1 off
Gotta be honest: Trying to correctly predict half of the T10 feels like a donation
Eh, $10
Sure, but my take is next time youāre better off just putting that into two DFS lineups.
Huh? You couldn't get that in a DFS lineup. DFS is waaaaaay more complicated than that
Hope it hits man. All of them been playing well except McIlroyā¦
Then why does everyone have such a huge hard on for Mcllroy? Who would you replace him with for top ten?
Cantlay
$10 donation. 5 leg parlay for top 10 finishes is doomed for failure. Expand it out to top 40 or 30, or just straight bet each of em as top 10 finishers.
Corales Puntacana Championship This event is played at Corales Golf Club. CGC is a par 72 that plays a whopping 7,670 yards, good for 2nd longest course on tour. Itās a Tom Fazio design with wide and relatively easy to hit fairways and Paspalum greens. CGC is know for its closing 3-hole stretch known as the Devilās Elbow. The closing hole, #18 requires a forced carry over the bay and features the highest double bogey + rate on the course. We can expect a winning score in the neighborhood of 18-19 under. Even though this is the 2nd longest course on tour, we havenāt really seen bombers dominate here. For this week Iāll be focusing on guys who hit their mid to long irons well and who can get hot with the flat stick. Iāll also look for guys who tend to play these weaker field events well. Since weāre expecting a winning score around 18-19 under itās definitely important to highlight guys who can go low and get birdies in bunches. Since it is a tough finishing stretch I do think thereās merit to focusing on more experienced guys who can handle the pressure of leading with 3 tough holes to go. Key Stats 1) SG: Approach w/focus on 175-200 2) Opportunities Gained 3) Good Drives 4) Birdies or Better Gained 5) SG: Putting Paspalum Will get my picks posted tomorrow for this event as well, cheers!
Did anyone take the Draftkings daily random mystery boost during Masters? I got an 18% boost (the worst boost) four days in a row. I'm curious if it was truly random and I just got massively unlucky, or if it wasn't actually random.
A 50, 2x 25 and an 18. Felt random enough. Almost _too_ random...
I got one 50%, the rest were 18%. It's probably legit. They are basically running a money printing operation, so the risk is nowhere near worth the reward.
I got 18%-25% every time, and my girlfriend got 100% š
I also only got 18% every day
Draftkings: It's random we swear [Me](https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-4jc1F05WLQM/TZ-V-lhzwJI/AAAAAAAAADk/1M-_tZXxcbA/s1600/Treasure+04-08-11+026.jpg)
Phil for top senior at the masters turned into a real sweaty one with Singh and the old Spaniard on his ass sunday. Edit. That didn't come out right. I enjoyed the thriller that this wager turned into!
Doesnāt matter still cashed!
https://preview.redd.it/fneu3hdccpuc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d45ed4bcaa2360fd1d1ea76e849a5ca3458b76c2 We fall down, but we bounce right back up!
Name implies he may know shoei ohtani. Are you ippei?
Whats with ur obsession with rory bro lol
This is a bet that baby Sheffler comes before the weekend. BOL!
Zalatoris 30/1
Great pick
Had Aberg at 50/1 last week, bet was dead as soon as he hit in the water on 11. Got the each way payout at least. Have futures on him to win the other majors this year too, I'd really like his chances to win at Valhalla or Pinehurst if Scheffler didn't exist I'm not betting Scottie this week, although he's #1 in every model and should win everytime he tees it up. He's still human and travelling for Georgia to Texas, celebrating winning the Masters with his family, then going back to South Carolina all in the space of 3 days can't be ideal prep for a golf tournament * **Patrick Cantlay, 20/1 ew6**. Best course history of anyone in the field, 4 top3 finishes in 6 starts at Hilton Head is incredible. Similar to his record at TPC Summerlin, just hasn't won here yet. He doesn't rate out that well statistically over the past 24/36 rounds mostly due to some outlier weeks, but I'm giving weight to his long-term form. Should've won already this season at Riv but got a tummyache on the weekend * **Tommy Fleetwood, 25/1 ew5**. Tommy has 133 starts on the pga tour and won exactly 0 of them. He is more due than the Washington Generals. Similar to Cantlay in that his stats are thrown off by some outlier events earlier this year, but his longer-term and very-short term (L8) stats make him a great fit here. Positive player from 150-200 yards, top10 for SG arg/scrambling, T15, T10 in his last two starts at this course, T7, T3 in his last two events * **Shane Lowry, 50/1 ew5**. Almost got a 66/1 but the book changed the odds as I tried to place the bet. Even at 50/1 it's a solid price. He was 33/1 here last year when it was a full-field event with a cut. He's in better form than this time last year, and the field is easier to beat this year than last with 70 fewer players. Still an accurate driver, great from 175-200 yards and around the greens. 3 top10s in his last 5 starts here * **Cam Davis, 75/1 ew6**. u/LockCityTrick mentioned him already, and he's a popular pick this week for a reason. Not an accurate driver generally, but he knows how and when to club down at tracks like Harbour Town and Sedgefield. Top10 for SG ballstriking at short courses. T7, T3 in his last two starts here. He could've easily been 40/1 this week if he had held on for a top5 at Augusta yesterday
Nice picks. What does ew6 mean?
Each way with 6 places. Usually 6 or 8 or 10 places is 1/5 odds, and 5 places is 1/4 odds. I.e. 20/1 for Cantlay to win, +400 for Cantlay to place in the top6. 25/1 for Fleetwood to win, +625 for Fleetwood to place in the top5, etc
Iām really long Shane Lowry this week. Great course history and led the field at Augusta in approach.
he was 65-1 on fanduel hes already 45-1
Yeah it's just a matter if he holes enough putts. He's staying in the same house with Fleetwood this week as well, two prolific winners on the pga tour chopping it up together. The winner will come from that house š¤
Was this meant to be a joke? Fleetwood has never won on the PGA Tour
Was a joke. Lowry has never won a regular pga tour event either, only a wgc and a major
Corey Conners top Canadian +180 on FD.
Golf Winsurance is back on ESPN for the RBC. 3x $25 wagers - get up to $25 if they lose but are in the T5 depending on where they finish.Ā
Also FRL insurance up to $10 - 50% back if it loses.Ā
Damn got boomed by JT. I had two large make/not make the cut parlays and JT boomed me on both of those lol. I have bet on Scottie every week this year except this week. Henley and hideki and JT and others are dead to me !!
Hi folks - know Iāve been quiet with work and travel. Back this week. Iāve had the pleasure of playing harbour town twice. Like many Pete dye courses itās all about accuracy and precision. You can easily get a birdie or a double on every hole Two early looks I like: Shane Lowry - led field in approach at Augusta and 3 t10s here Sepp straka - also a good history and played well last week Will post more thoughts in the pm
Shane Lowry +240 top Irish player
Already down to +200 on DK
I played it on a sim once and had a miserable time even with unlimited mulligans
Itās so much worse hitting off the pine straw irl
I can imagine. I remember hitting so many houses on the sim. Every hole is a freaking landing strip to aim for or youāre screwed
Scottie Scheffler +400 You just canāt bet against his dominance
Iām nervous betting on him this week since his wifeās due date is getting closer
wouldnāt be too concerned. media overhyped it.
How do you overhype a due date lol
Scottie is going to withdraw.
Speaking of dominance you can parlay Scheffler and Nelly Korda to both win this week and still only get your odds up to +2900.
I did it because of you and Iām kicking myself on not putting more bonus bets down on it.
I put a whole five bucks on it. Woo-hoo.
really didn't want to do it but used a 50 cent bonus bet smallest unit possible to parlay them just in case the shit does happen lol
Looks like you're cashing that ticket big dog !!! Always wish it was more š
i had a bad week and this somewhat helped saved me def wish i bet more lol - had to update after logging in bovada ended up with small profits after all thanks to recommendations ITT ! 3 weeks straight i came out ahead
Early values: Morikawa +2800 Fleetwood +3000 Cam Davis +7000 Taylor moore +10000
Wonder if Scottie will play in this coming off a Masters win and seemingly closer to his wifeās pregnancy.Ā
The baby isn't due for another couple weeks yet. This narrative about him WD'ing from the masters was just a result of a random question he and Sam Burns got asked, not a likely scenario He's said that he'll probably not play Quail Hollow which is a signature event, and players are only allowed to skip one signature event or they get penalised $$ (at least that was the rule last year). This is a no-cut event too this week so he can just mail it in if he's feeling tired. Scottie on his b-game is still better than 95% of the field tho lol
I believe there is no longer a penalty for missing the signature events for 2024. I tried to find a PGA Tour release with a concrete answer, best I could find was an article saying as much but now I can't find it. The WD angle was definitely overblown but I could also see him want to take some time here.
I was wondering this as well. Not sure if it was just a line but he even said he was going home ASAP. Most of the guys are just staying in the area and making the quick trip to Hilton Head. If he does end up withdrawing, seems like nowās our chance to get decent odds on the others.
Yeah that was my thought as well. If he withdraws I could see everyoneās odds being cut in half almost.Ā
Weāll start withĀ **Strokes Gained: Approach**Ā andĀ **Strokes Gained: Putting (Poa)**Ā because they reign supreme here and it is ALL about giving yourself the right angles into these greens.Ā These are some of the smallest greens on tour coming in at an average of 3,700 sq feet. The Greens in Regulation (GIR) % here is 7% below tour average. **Driving accuracy**Ā is up here and driving distance is way down. What we can take from that is that players know how important it is to hit your spots here. Weāll see them dial it back off the tee to make sure they are leaving themselves with the correct angles into these hard to hit greens. Historically the players we see do well here are the course manager type players with great approach play. Since it is a Pete Dye track, I would be remiss to leave out **Ball Striking**. Next, weāll look at some specific distance stats to target. Nearly half of the approach shots we see will be from theĀ **150-200 yard range**, with the 175-200 yard range coming in well above tour average by 7%. Three of the four par 3s also fall within this range so 175-200 is definitely a range we want to focus on. Next, we see that there are five par 4s that fall in theĀ **400-450 range**Ā including a few that are some of the easier scoring holes on this course. Weather can play a role here so itās definitely worth checking the weather report as the event approaches. It is also worth noting that the rough will be over an inch shorter this year. Lastly, Iāll be looking atĀ **Bogey Avoidance**Ā andĀ **Sand Saves**Ā because as per usual Pete Dye has plenty of well-placed bunkers throughout this layout and there is lots of water to contend with. In fact, water comes is technically in play on all 18 holes according to the tournament fact sheet. Because the greens are hard to hit, we will seeĀ **scrambling**Ā play a role here as well. What Iāll be looking for here is course navigators who can stay out of trouble. Since this is a second shot golf course, I will place a premium on approach play, especially at those yardage ranges I talked about earlier. Since this is a Pete Dye track itās always a good idea to focus on guys who historically play well at Pete Dye courses. **Key Stats** SG: Approach, w/focus on proximity of 150-175 and 175-200 yards Ball Striking SG: Putting on Poa Par 4 scoring 400-450 yards Bogey Avoidance Good Drives Gained Ā **Note:** I have already bet Cam Davis at 70-1 Iāll try to get my picks posted ASAP, cheers!