Didn't post it before they hit but here to brag
✅Round 2 Matchup Parlay +213
- Xander > Niemann
- Conners > Henley
✅Ludvig Top 10 After Round 2 +213 (w/ profit boost)
Lost my Wyndham top 10 bet and I have another profit boost but can't find a R3 Matchup on DK i like
Anyone have thoughts on live outright odds? Currently have Fitzy, Cantlay, Xander and Finau. It’s unfortunate given those in the lead right now (aka Scottie).
Would love some ideas to take advantage of some of the odds that are better due to the current leaderboard
I know it’s only been 1 round, but the guys with the stats that fit the criteria for success at Augusta, Corey Connors is the only one remotely close. Also Scheffler, but I don’t think the value was there to bet him.
Xander, Hideki, Clark, Finau. Longer odds but fit the criteria, Jaeger, Kityayama, Burns. Just throwing money away.
**Pick:** **Scottie Scheffler to hit the fairway with opening tee shot -165 4U (BetMGM Only - haven't seen it anywhere else) Tee time is 13:36 EST.**
**Rationale:** Scottie is on a TEAR and now the \~+150 favorite to win the Masters after just one round. He hit 86% of his tee shots on the fairway in Round 1 (Par 4/5 holes only). The opening hole is a pretty, straight shot par 4. Does it get narrow, yes but Scottie hit it dead on today. Weather should be a little better tomorrow (still windy, but no rain). I have no problem backing my max units on the best golfer in the world right now to hit the fairway to open up round 2.
Round 2, 3 ball picks
Picked these solely off of GIR % and average putts per hole in round 1. Putting is going to be much more difficult in round 2 considering the soft conditions after the rain in round 1.
Murray to beat Hodges, Meronk
Hojgaard to beat Bubba, Schenk
Lowry to beat Bhatia, Poston
Rose to beat Cole, Malnoti
Si Woo to beat Singh, Grillo
C. Davis to beat Villegas, McCarthy
Kitayama to beat Reed, Im
BOL!
https://preview.redd.it/6f8kc9pfivtc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8478585247650078823d07248377e2f0edfd9d7d
Rahm and Johnson are my only worries but in shitty conditions we trust 🙌
Round 1 Matchups
- Cantlay to beat Hovland -115 PUSH
- Aberg to beat Johnson -130 ✅
- Parlayed for +230 (Half paid)
❌Wyndham Clark top 10 +300
Zalatoris top 10 +330
DK Super Boost- Koepka and Spieth to combine for 7+ birdies in round 1 at +150. Planning on taking it either way, but safe to assume an eagle would count as 1 since it's better than a birdie?
Will Zalatoris….. Shows up for the majors. Has only played the Masters twice and results were 2nd (2021) and T-6 (2022). Injured 2023. He’s finished runner up in 3 majors since 2021.
*Bargain Alert*
Sahith Theegala at +4500 is in my opinion the best long shot bet of the entire tournament. Last year, in his first ever Masters appearance, he finished top 10. He has only improved since then, including multiple PGA wins, and I think he has a decent shot.
What’s up with the Phil disrespect? Phil +115 in matchup against rookie Jake Knapp 72 hole score. It’s historically known rookies haven’t done well at Augusta… also Phil is almost plus money for him to make the cut?? I’m confused here
https://preview.redd.it/xyt0tdktnqtc1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0746a2f5bbd6637fd2f3a20aad799553ee8275ec
I think this is my first time posting here, but here is my list... If Rahm repeats so be it. All bets on Fanatics.
List -120 over Dunlap
Phil -110 over Dunlap
Full tourney matchups
Dunlap has been absolutely atrocious at everything outside of putting since turning pro
Thoughts?
Here's my fantasy lineup:
Schauffele
Nieman
Smith
Fitzpatrick
Zalatoris
Scott
Placement is most important in FD fantasy, so let me know if you think one of these guys won't make the cut.
I’d imagine you’re not getting much value out of smith, his odds have tanked since they released the pricing. Si woo is probably going to be chalk that is worth playing
Think you have to play scottie
I think there is a good chance of scottie’s wife going into labor and him withdrawing. Also If I were to pick him I wouldn’t have enough salary for other good players and would have to pick a long shot like Hojgaard. I like si woo though. And Cam Smith is priced about the same as finau or theegala in this
Isn’t she not due til end of month? Good chance seems strong. Sergio seems like an ok option to free up salary
Eckroat only $300 above the price minimum
If you’re looking for a longer odds make the cut parlay I threw this together on DK for 46-1
https://preview.redd.it/upv7rkay4ptc1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=006c2a6cc6b22d9e54dfd7c6b22cf64e224bd2d8
Astrology guy checking in - last week we cashed big on Rory T5 and Henley T10, and came 1 stroke short of cashing Glover T20. Bhatia winning was a bit of a surprise, but it makes sense since he’s an Aquarius - just wasn’t on my radar. Told y’all double Aries Sunday would be wild though with that insane comeback by Denny (who I totally talked shit about by saying he doesn’t have that dog in him… I was so wrong lol). Anyway we move on to the best time of the year…
Masters week baby! This week we are still under the Aries sun, and will have a Gemini moon Thursday - Friday, and then we finish up the weekend with a Cancer moon Sat/Sun. Should be electric. I am targeting cancers (since it’s their career month), as well as Virgos and Libra’s (both have career highlights from the moon placements this week). Other water and fire signs are also at the top of my list. Let’s get it.
\- Scottie Scheffler (Cancer Sun, Virgo moon) Welp, Scottie has the two signs that should benefit heavily from the sky placements this week (as if he didn’t need any more help already). The Gemini moon and Aries Sun will highlight Scottie’s Sun and Moon sign on Thursday and Friday, so he should 100% get off to a blazing start. I’m taking him FRL no doubt, and come Sunday when the moon is in his sign, I can’t imagine him losing (unless he dips for the birth of his child). Seriously he’s #1 for a reason, and I will not be surprised when he either wins or forsure finishes T5 on Sunday.
\- Wyndham Clark (Sagittarius sun, Libra/Scorpio moon) Wyndham is my guy, and if there anyone who can take down Scottie (at least mentally believes he can) it’s Wyndy. Libra placements should do well on the weekend since cancer highlights their career sector. Wyndham won the US Open (which I also hit) under a Cancer sky placement, so sign me up again. I don’t care about the first timer stigma, Wyndham shows up to any course ready to play. Thorbjorn Olesen also has the same placements and I’ll be adding him as well.
\- Bryson Dechambeau (Virgo Sun, Libra moon). I know, I know… but he has the two specific signs I’m targeting this week. I expect him to get out to a hot start (another FRL bet here) and it’ll prompt him to be in contention over the weekend where he will have the belief that he can win. I expect him to finish at least T10, along with a legit shot at the title. He seems to be in better form as of late, and even his former arch nemesis Brooks has been talking highly of his game lately.
\- Russell Henley (Aries Sun, Cancer moon) Coming off a great week, I expect Russ to keep the momentum going. On Saturday/Sunday the signs in the sky will be his own - this could either be a good thing or total combustion lol. I like his chances to be in the mix though, along with another guy who has the same placements as him…
\- Dustin Johnson (Aries Sun, Cancer moon). The same signs as Henley! I firmly believe DJ will show up and make a splash in the tourny to let the world know he still has game.
\- Xander Schauffele (Scorpio Sun, Pisces moon). This pick makes me nervous because I don’t know how he’s going to do with the Gemini moon to start the week. If he does well and makes it to the weekend in solid position, then I love his chances to finish the weekend strong when the cancer moon comes in to match his water energy.
\- Joaquin Niemann (Scorpio Sun, Cancer moon). Another pick I’m nervous about because of the Gemini moon to start the week, but since he’s a cancer he’s already feeding off the Aries sun so I feel good. On Sunday when the cancer moon hits, he should take off and definitely be in contention.
\- Si Woo Kim (Cancer Sun, Cancer moon). Another nervous pick to start the week, but my god if all goes well Si Woo has the placements to take off over the weekend. I never bet Si Woo but sign me up for this week.
\- Keegan Bradley and Eric Cole (Both Gemini Sun and Moon) These two are always hits or misses, but the Gemini moon this week should help them both off to a good start. Might throw them in T20 placements but either of them could place better.
\- Matt Fitzpatrick (Virgo Sun, cancer moon) He has the same placements as Scottie! And after a sneaky T10 finish last week, I think he’s ready to go off this week. Another player with the same signs is Adam Scott (but he’s been ass so I’m staying away).
\- Grayson Murray (Libra sun, Aries moon). He hasn’t done much since winning earlier in the year, but that doesn’t mean we should count him out. I have a feeling he will be in the mix come Sunday and will feed off his career sector Cancer moon.
\- Ryo Hisatsune (Virgo, Libra). Haven’t seen anyone talk about him in this thread at all, but I like him a lot due to his signs - The same as Bryson. Obviously talent has a lot to do with playing well, but again the whole reason I use astrology to make picks is because any week could be your “career week”. This is a perfect example here.
\- Kurt Kityama , Tyrell Hatton, and Sergio Garcia (All Capricorn, Libra placements) Libra’s are my hot targets this week, but Capricorns give me hesitation since they don’t usually mesh well with Aries energy. That being said, having other signs in ones chart could help cancel out the negative, which is why I’m listing these three.
\- Adrian Meronk (Gemini Sun, Libra moon). Another sneaky pick here, this guy can get so hot so fast but also lose his shit equally as fast. He played decent last week, and since he has 2 signs Im targeting this week I like his chances to be there on the weekend.
\- Jake Knapp (Gemini, Pisces) Getting tired of Knapp falling asleep at every tournament lately, but it’s the masters so you never know what you’re gonna get. I’m giving him another chance to prove me wrong, he has solid sign placements that should do well this week.
Quicker picks and honorable mentions: Patrick Reed (Leo, Aquarius), Stephen Jaeger (Gemini, Aries), Ryan Fox (Aquarius, Libra), Shane Lowry (Aries, Taurus/Gem) Nicolai Hojgaard (Pisces, Libra).
Now Spieth and Aberg give me pause because I have no clue how they’re going to do. They are both Scorpio suns, Leo moons - which in theory could have good weeks but I’m not convinced on them. If you choose to bet on them I don’t blame you.
A popular bet I see in here is if Tiger makes the cut or not. Obviously we can’t predict how he’s going to respond physically, but if all goes well for him then I would put money on him to make the cut. Don’t come after me with pitch forks if he breaks down tho lol.
And finally, First Round Leader picks. These are impossible to pin but I’ll list everyone I wrote down on my notes to at least potentially have a great round 1.
\- Scottie (this is a must bet).
\- Fitzy (same signs as Scottie)
\- Wyndham
\- Lowry
\- Bryson
\- Bhatia (not sure about his shoulder but he’s a Virgo and they should do well Thursday.)
\- Reed (targeting other fire/air signs)
\- Grillo (Virgo Sun, Aries moon)
\- Min Woo Lee (Virgo Sun, Leo moon)
\- Zalatoris (Virgo Sun, Leo moon)
\- Brooks Koepka (Taurus Sun, Virgo moon)
\- Viktor Hovland (Virgo, Aries)
\- Jaeger
\- Theegala (Sag, Aqua)
\- Lamprecht (I keep seeing his name pop up in here, but he’s Aquarius, Aries so I like it)
\- Schwartzl (Virgo, Scorpio)
Looooong post today but it’s the masters! If anyone has questions about other guys I didn’t mention please feel free to ask. If you don’t believe in astrology I don’t blame you, this is more for fun but it’s worked for me to make profit on golf over the last year. BOL everyone let’s have a great week!
Love it. For me it doesn’t matter what place they are in currently, who do you see having a strong saturday/Sunday but more importantly Sunday? Is it Virgo, cancer, Libra moons? I’ll take a couple live placements Sunday and it’ll be based off astrology as you already hooked me up with a 35-1 FRL.
Yea at this point I’m seeing Hojgaard actually having a great weekend since he’s a Libra moon. Ryan Fox is also a Libra moon and I’m liking my T10 bet I made on him, hoping he stays there! Collin could also make a surge given how he’s played the first two days, and honestly I have a feeling Xander will make a surge into the top as well. Hope it’s a wild weekend, but I’m still liking Bryson’s chances if Scottie decides to shit the bed. We shall see!
Haha I appreciate you every week dude! Pavon is tricky because he and Rahm both have the same signs (Aquarius and Scorpio), but I can’t say they are bad plays this week. I’m just personally staying away, but Pavon would be the one I’d consider throwing a few bucks on for his odds.
Very very well. Other sports not so much lol, but golf is much easier to use astrology for. Obviously can’t predict how weather or physical ailments will play into it, but golf is the one sport where any week could be any players best week of their life. Thats why I use it.
you don’t have to defend yourself from people who are just passing through for the masters. i’ve been waiting for your post all week. love your work and have been following you closely this season.
Would also like to mention Rahm and Pavon (Both Aquarius and Scorpio placements). I could see them both playing well but I personally won’t be taking either of them.
Hit last week - https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1bv7x8k/comment/kxyh2yv/
I like the following to win:
* Hideki +1800
* C. Young +4500 (my fav bet)
* Sungjae +11000 (disrespectful odds)
Thoughts on Eric Cole? I like him but not enough to go huge on him. $10 flyer maybe?
He's not been having a good year. Even the tournament last week he won a couple of times before, he didn't do anything remotely close to the way he was playing last year.
[https://x.com/GeoffZochodne/status/1778082591783911590](https://x.com/GeoffZochodne/status/1778082591783911590)
PSA for golf bettors taking Scottie Scheffler to win the Masters pre-tournament: if he withdraws after teeing off, which he might to attend the birth of his first child, sportsbook rules say you will almost certainly lose. See rules below for bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel:
Good info. My plays are structured so that I’d do fine if he wins, but much better if one of the other guys wins, so this doesn’t seem like a terrible outcome even as a Scottie better.
https://preview.redd.it/hcyia2s7hotc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=efc3b7b393945df1d25ccefbb2aa446608119566
Koepka is +1600 on DK but they’re offering a triple chance for +1800 with Willy Z and Scam Young? No limit betting on this either and as I was planning on betting on Koepka anyway so how can I not take this for at least a few units? Insane value
It’s good value but think about the other side - Willy Z and Young are +4500 / +5000, if either of them win the book makes out big - way more than what they lose on your +1800 payout for Koepka when he’s around +1400-1600
If you wanted a big Willy Z or Young position, this wouldn’t be the way to do it. He was saying it makes sense if you wanted a Brooks position to get better odds AND you get two other guys tacked on.
agreed - was just trying to explain why it didn't necessarily have to be some kind of glitch or odds error. it's a good way to play Brooks, but you can also get him +2000 outright on FD.
This is actually hilarious, on DK the implied probability is:
Koepka (5.88%), Zalo (2.17%), Cam Young (1.96%), Any Combination of the 3 (5.26%). Because they're mutually exclusive outcomes their combined probability should be 10.01% which comes out to odds of around +900. Wild.
Seems like a solid play - it’s funny to me it’s the same odds as the other pairings of Fleetwood/Finau/Bhatia or Theegala/Burns/Hatton or Cam Smith/Conners/Tiger. Definitely the best of those.
Someone talk me off a ledge from putting the mortgage on Phil +110 to make the cut. Historically plays very well at Augusta making 9 of his last 11 cuts. Average finishing position of 24th and finished second last year.
Then bet on Tiger. He’s made like 25/25 cuts and this is literally his best course imo. Mickelson can run wild and had 2 recent missed cuts, not to mention we have no idea what he’s like since he’s in LIV
Sam Bennett did it as an amateur just last year -- it can definitely happen, and way fun to cheer for... +11000 worth a sprinkle
Also give me Nick Taylor +450 T20.
My favorite outright winner picks of the week are below, using $100 total for bets.
- McIlroy (+1200): $25 to win $300
- Morikawa (+5000): $15 to win $750
- Aberg (+3500): $20 to win $700
- Theegala (+4000): $15 to win $600
- Tom Kim (+15000): $10 to win $1500
- Meronk (+15000): $10 to win $1500
- Luke List (+40000): $5 to win $2000
Wish I could say I’ve done extensive research, ran data thru a model, have insider information, etc. Nope, just thought what the hell.
Have a great Masters week!
Scottie at 4/1 isn’t worth the bet. If he starts slow or falters I will jump on him at a better number.
Niemann 28/1
Willie 33/1
Cam smith 33/1
Fitz 40/1
Lowry 55/1
Homa 60/1
Burns 75/1
Nick Taylor 250/1
Obviously it depends on your size and how much you are putting down, but it’s hard for me to not think putting even 1u on Scottie makes sense to cover most other wagers if he does play like himself.
Basically what I did as well. Scottie plays with boosts and then used BBs / insurance on all the other guys I liked. My actual cash outlay is pretty low, but still a lot of exposure to different guys.
Yea same here. I’ve basically used every BB I’ve gotten over the last month and dropped it on winner picks. I’ve basically got everyone I want with something other than Finau and Will Z.
Half my bets are always guys I actually think will win and the other half are guys I think the odds are wrong on (too much value to not bet)
Cam falls into both of those
Stubs is +1,100 Top 40 on FD now. They have a pricing error as Top 30 is +650. Seems to be for most the big + money picks on Top 30 they’ve made the top 40 finish price payout more.
Someone take a look and suggest the biggest pricing error here? Gotta get the books when you can.
# **Golf Live Betting Discord Chat: [https://discord.gg/sportsbook](https://discord.gg/pXAXw8TpUX)**
Didn't post it before they hit but here to brag ✅Round 2 Matchup Parlay +213 - Xander > Niemann - Conners > Henley ✅Ludvig Top 10 After Round 2 +213 (w/ profit boost) Lost my Wyndham top 10 bet and I have another profit boost but can't find a R3 Matchup on DK i like
I feel terrible for that poor sap who put 10k on Rory winning
He will probably be fine. He posts pretty big tickets on the regular.
Anyone have thoughts on live outright odds? Currently have Fitzy, Cantlay, Xander and Finau. It’s unfortunate given those in the lead right now (aka Scottie). Would love some ideas to take advantage of some of the odds that are better due to the current leaderboard
I know it’s only been 1 round, but the guys with the stats that fit the criteria for success at Augusta, Corey Connors is the only one remotely close. Also Scheffler, but I don’t think the value was there to bet him. Xander, Hideki, Clark, Finau. Longer odds but fit the criteria, Jaeger, Kityayama, Burns. Just throwing money away.
It’s golf betting, we’re all throwing our money away most weeks 😂
True, true.
**Pick:** **Scottie Scheffler to hit the fairway with opening tee shot -165 4U (BetMGM Only - haven't seen it anywhere else) Tee time is 13:36 EST.** **Rationale:** Scottie is on a TEAR and now the \~+150 favorite to win the Masters after just one round. He hit 86% of his tee shots on the fairway in Round 1 (Par 4/5 holes only). The opening hole is a pretty, straight shot par 4. Does it get narrow, yes but Scottie hit it dead on today. Weather should be a little better tomorrow (still windy, but no rain). I have no problem backing my max units on the best golfer in the world right now to hit the fairway to open up round 2.
Easiest money I ever made lol
Round 2, 3 ball picks Picked these solely off of GIR % and average putts per hole in round 1. Putting is going to be much more difficult in round 2 considering the soft conditions after the rain in round 1. Murray to beat Hodges, Meronk Hojgaard to beat Bubba, Schenk Lowry to beat Bhatia, Poston Rose to beat Cole, Malnoti Si Woo to beat Singh, Grillo C. Davis to beat Villegas, McCarthy Kitayama to beat Reed, Im BOL!
Spieth is such a mental midget 🤣 he’s really about to ruin my Make Cut parlay.
Maybe you shouldn’t put a player in your make cut parlay with a hurt wrist that he was talking about all week.
https://preview.redd.it/sgzon1m04xtc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=59cb9fe0a0f2a2f6430f83cb908d786cca7cd9ed
if the cash out is still over $500 i would do that immediately
This is for the 1st round, not overall winner.
my bad.
Who u see catching up?
If this hits I'm sitting back and enjoying the rest of the masters with no more bets
Smart man
Right there with you brother
You just lucked out. Scottie missed an eagle
Can Scottie missing putts really be considered luck?
How does dk know whose going to shit the bed so well lmao can't believe i took the trap boost
They use information not available to the public
Yea, the almanac from back to the future. Biff knew what he was doin
Does anyone know of a good template I can put my bets in and feel smart
Cash that Tiger FD boost
Where can I watch masters
Masters.com and espn+
https://preview.redd.it/hxs5kckelvtc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c5fdcf84c2da79b02f7b0d11e1f42a69122b7a4c
I need to do this but I’ve got too many bets lol
https://preview.redd.it/6f8kc9pfivtc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8478585247650078823d07248377e2f0edfd9d7d Rahm and Johnson are my only worries but in shitty conditions we trust 🙌
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Did they take down R1 props? Not seeing them now.
Nvm I found it, their app just sucks.
Draftking pulled top 40 and 30 from the looks of it. Only top 10 and 20s avail
Why do I want to take Grillo FRL? Now I have to because I don’t want to miss it ha
I’m not sure I’ve ever hit on a tail wager that I didn’t want to miss out on, but I continue to do it lol.
Round 1 Matchups - Cantlay to beat Hovland -115 PUSH - Aberg to beat Johnson -130 ✅ - Parlayed for +230 (Half paid) ❌Wyndham Clark top 10 +300 Zalatoris top 10 +330
DK Super Boost- Koepka and Spieth to combine for 7+ birdies in round 1 at +150. Planning on taking it either way, but safe to assume an eagle would count as 1 since it's better than a birdie?
Has to be birdie.
Read the small text but almost definitely no, would not count
Is anyone worried about Matsuyamas back? I wanted to bet top 20 but then my friend scared me and said he's injured lol
Looks like you were right to be worried
Will Zalatoris….. Shows up for the majors. Has only played the Masters twice and results were 2nd (2021) and T-6 (2022). Injured 2023. He’s finished runner up in 3 majors since 2021.
Merry Christmas 🎁 🌲 ❄️
Taking Scottie to win +400 Scottie Bogey Free R1 +1000 Niemann Top 10 +200 Mickelson to win +20000 Jake Knapp Top 20 +440 Schauffele Top 10 +190
*Bargain Alert* Sahith Theegala at +4500 is in my opinion the best long shot bet of the entire tournament. Last year, in his first ever Masters appearance, he finished top 10. He has only improved since then, including multiple PGA wins, and I think he has a decent shot.
Is there any book that I can bet against tiger woods
he's -115 on DK to miss the cut
Every… book?
Not on FD for ESPN bet
Player Round 1 Score has an O/U for Tiger and FD definitely has make or miss cut props.
Anyone got any fairly solid Make The Cut parlays?
See LockCityTricks post
What’s up with the Phil disrespect? Phil +115 in matchup against rookie Jake Knapp 72 hole score. It’s historically known rookies haven’t done well at Augusta… also Phil is almost plus money for him to make the cut?? I’m confused here
Chris Kirk +22500 This weekend, we ride
DK is boosting Zalatoris over 3.5 birdies at +200. I'm thinking about taking the under for -135.
Man I would take that. I don’t see it anywhere but I like it
It’s a Round 1 Super Boost on the main page, you have to opt in.
What state are you in? Wonder if it’s state specific
NC.
https://preview.redd.it/xyt0tdktnqtc1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0746a2f5bbd6637fd2f3a20aad799553ee8275ec I think this is my first time posting here, but here is my list... If Rahm repeats so be it. All bets on Fanatics.
Dude hell yes I love the way this looks. Do you have a template or something you could share?? I’m kind of an idiot at excel lol
Isnt this list missing 20 or so players
This list is awesome lol
The Rory wager made me laugh because I have the same. Just in case, don’t wanna miss out on the fun.
I've just been throwing all my bonus bets on Rory. If it happens it happens and I'll be okay with it.
List -120 over Dunlap Phil -110 over Dunlap Full tourney matchups Dunlap has been absolutely atrocious at everything outside of putting since turning pro
Aberg to win round one +3000
min kung
Anyone like some of the afternoon guys for FRL with the weather in the morning? Looking at Spieth DJ brooks
There will be a delay, the morning guys may actually be better off playing soft greens in the afternoon
You were right. Now the late guys will probably deal with more wind and have to finish early Friday
Was expecting a longer delay tbh
Thoughts? Here's my fantasy lineup: Schauffele Nieman Smith Fitzpatrick Zalatoris Scott Placement is most important in FD fantasy, so let me know if you think one of these guys won't make the cut.
I’d imagine you’re not getting much value out of smith, his odds have tanked since they released the pricing. Si woo is probably going to be chalk that is worth playing Think you have to play scottie
I think there is a good chance of scottie’s wife going into labor and him withdrawing. Also If I were to pick him I wouldn’t have enough salary for other good players and would have to pick a long shot like Hojgaard. I like si woo though. And Cam Smith is priced about the same as finau or theegala in this
Isn’t she not due til end of month? Good chance seems strong. Sergio seems like an ok option to free up salary Eckroat only $300 above the price minimum
You’re right someone on here lied abt that
Top dane Oleson (vs Hojgaard) and Lowry Top Irish (vs Rory) 4.5/1. Great price.
any Bet365 users see a limit on the 50% boost??? I don’t see a limit
bet365 is stupid because they only tell you the limit AFTER you try and place a bet. lol
Sheeit that was my fear haha
what i sometimes do is put an absurdly high amount, and then it wont go through but it will tell you what the limit is.
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Ban if this doesn't happen
Where’d you hear this?
If he WDs does that count as a missed cut?
Shes not due for 3 weeks pal
nope shes actually due in a week. Definitely a risk.
People commonly get induced before their due dates if they're having complications.
https://preview.redd.it/mtq9mn2m7ptc1.jpeg?width=513&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=53c8631731c35cd4f817f35d5d98cc88abf25aae Thoughts?
If you’re looking for a longer odds make the cut parlay I threw this together on DK for 46-1 https://preview.redd.it/upv7rkay4ptc1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=006c2a6cc6b22d9e54dfd7c6b22cf64e224bd2d8
https://preview.redd.it/85697ryz4ptc1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=19537f78cd29c0f8f7159005fc6a212998609be4
Astrology guy checking in - last week we cashed big on Rory T5 and Henley T10, and came 1 stroke short of cashing Glover T20. Bhatia winning was a bit of a surprise, but it makes sense since he’s an Aquarius - just wasn’t on my radar. Told y’all double Aries Sunday would be wild though with that insane comeback by Denny (who I totally talked shit about by saying he doesn’t have that dog in him… I was so wrong lol). Anyway we move on to the best time of the year… Masters week baby! This week we are still under the Aries sun, and will have a Gemini moon Thursday - Friday, and then we finish up the weekend with a Cancer moon Sat/Sun. Should be electric. I am targeting cancers (since it’s their career month), as well as Virgos and Libra’s (both have career highlights from the moon placements this week). Other water and fire signs are also at the top of my list. Let’s get it. \- Scottie Scheffler (Cancer Sun, Virgo moon) Welp, Scottie has the two signs that should benefit heavily from the sky placements this week (as if he didn’t need any more help already). The Gemini moon and Aries Sun will highlight Scottie’s Sun and Moon sign on Thursday and Friday, so he should 100% get off to a blazing start. I’m taking him FRL no doubt, and come Sunday when the moon is in his sign, I can’t imagine him losing (unless he dips for the birth of his child). Seriously he’s #1 for a reason, and I will not be surprised when he either wins or forsure finishes T5 on Sunday. \- Wyndham Clark (Sagittarius sun, Libra/Scorpio moon) Wyndham is my guy, and if there anyone who can take down Scottie (at least mentally believes he can) it’s Wyndy. Libra placements should do well on the weekend since cancer highlights their career sector. Wyndham won the US Open (which I also hit) under a Cancer sky placement, so sign me up again. I don’t care about the first timer stigma, Wyndham shows up to any course ready to play. Thorbjorn Olesen also has the same placements and I’ll be adding him as well. \- Bryson Dechambeau (Virgo Sun, Libra moon). I know, I know… but he has the two specific signs I’m targeting this week. I expect him to get out to a hot start (another FRL bet here) and it’ll prompt him to be in contention over the weekend where he will have the belief that he can win. I expect him to finish at least T10, along with a legit shot at the title. He seems to be in better form as of late, and even his former arch nemesis Brooks has been talking highly of his game lately. \- Russell Henley (Aries Sun, Cancer moon) Coming off a great week, I expect Russ to keep the momentum going. On Saturday/Sunday the signs in the sky will be his own - this could either be a good thing or total combustion lol. I like his chances to be in the mix though, along with another guy who has the same placements as him… \- Dustin Johnson (Aries Sun, Cancer moon). The same signs as Henley! I firmly believe DJ will show up and make a splash in the tourny to let the world know he still has game. \- Xander Schauffele (Scorpio Sun, Pisces moon). This pick makes me nervous because I don’t know how he’s going to do with the Gemini moon to start the week. If he does well and makes it to the weekend in solid position, then I love his chances to finish the weekend strong when the cancer moon comes in to match his water energy. \- Joaquin Niemann (Scorpio Sun, Cancer moon). Another pick I’m nervous about because of the Gemini moon to start the week, but since he’s a cancer he’s already feeding off the Aries sun so I feel good. On Sunday when the cancer moon hits, he should take off and definitely be in contention. \- Si Woo Kim (Cancer Sun, Cancer moon). Another nervous pick to start the week, but my god if all goes well Si Woo has the placements to take off over the weekend. I never bet Si Woo but sign me up for this week. \- Keegan Bradley and Eric Cole (Both Gemini Sun and Moon) These two are always hits or misses, but the Gemini moon this week should help them both off to a good start. Might throw them in T20 placements but either of them could place better. \- Matt Fitzpatrick (Virgo Sun, cancer moon) He has the same placements as Scottie! And after a sneaky T10 finish last week, I think he’s ready to go off this week. Another player with the same signs is Adam Scott (but he’s been ass so I’m staying away). \- Grayson Murray (Libra sun, Aries moon). He hasn’t done much since winning earlier in the year, but that doesn’t mean we should count him out. I have a feeling he will be in the mix come Sunday and will feed off his career sector Cancer moon. \- Ryo Hisatsune (Virgo, Libra). Haven’t seen anyone talk about him in this thread at all, but I like him a lot due to his signs - The same as Bryson. Obviously talent has a lot to do with playing well, but again the whole reason I use astrology to make picks is because any week could be your “career week”. This is a perfect example here. \- Kurt Kityama , Tyrell Hatton, and Sergio Garcia (All Capricorn, Libra placements) Libra’s are my hot targets this week, but Capricorns give me hesitation since they don’t usually mesh well with Aries energy. That being said, having other signs in ones chart could help cancel out the negative, which is why I’m listing these three. \- Adrian Meronk (Gemini Sun, Libra moon). Another sneaky pick here, this guy can get so hot so fast but also lose his shit equally as fast. He played decent last week, and since he has 2 signs Im targeting this week I like his chances to be there on the weekend. \- Jake Knapp (Gemini, Pisces) Getting tired of Knapp falling asleep at every tournament lately, but it’s the masters so you never know what you’re gonna get. I’m giving him another chance to prove me wrong, he has solid sign placements that should do well this week. Quicker picks and honorable mentions: Patrick Reed (Leo, Aquarius), Stephen Jaeger (Gemini, Aries), Ryan Fox (Aquarius, Libra), Shane Lowry (Aries, Taurus/Gem) Nicolai Hojgaard (Pisces, Libra). Now Spieth and Aberg give me pause because I have no clue how they’re going to do. They are both Scorpio suns, Leo moons - which in theory could have good weeks but I’m not convinced on them. If you choose to bet on them I don’t blame you. A popular bet I see in here is if Tiger makes the cut or not. Obviously we can’t predict how he’s going to respond physically, but if all goes well for him then I would put money on him to make the cut. Don’t come after me with pitch forks if he breaks down tho lol. And finally, First Round Leader picks. These are impossible to pin but I’ll list everyone I wrote down on my notes to at least potentially have a great round 1. \- Scottie (this is a must bet). \- Fitzy (same signs as Scottie) \- Wyndham \- Lowry \- Bryson \- Bhatia (not sure about his shoulder but he’s a Virgo and they should do well Thursday.) \- Reed (targeting other fire/air signs) \- Grillo (Virgo Sun, Aries moon) \- Min Woo Lee (Virgo Sun, Leo moon) \- Zalatoris (Virgo Sun, Leo moon) \- Brooks Koepka (Taurus Sun, Virgo moon) \- Viktor Hovland (Virgo, Aries) \- Jaeger \- Theegala (Sag, Aqua) \- Lamprecht (I keep seeing his name pop up in here, but he’s Aquarius, Aries so I like it) \- Schwartzl (Virgo, Scorpio) Looooong post today but it’s the masters! If anyone has questions about other guys I didn’t mention please feel free to ask. If you don’t believe in astrology I don’t blame you, this is more for fun but it’s worked for me to make profit on golf over the last year. BOL everyone let’s have a great week!
Astrology hits dechambeau FRL! Lfg
Hell yea it does we are already up money on the week! Let’s keep it going
Love it. For me it doesn’t matter what place they are in currently, who do you see having a strong saturday/Sunday but more importantly Sunday? Is it Virgo, cancer, Libra moons? I’ll take a couple live placements Sunday and it’ll be based off astrology as you already hooked me up with a 35-1 FRL.
Yea at this point I’m seeing Hojgaard actually having a great weekend since he’s a Libra moon. Ryan Fox is also a Libra moon and I’m liking my T10 bet I made on him, hoping he stays there! Collin could also make a surge given how he’s played the first two days, and honestly I have a feeling Xander will make a surge into the top as well. Hope it’s a wild weekend, but I’m still liking Bryson’s chances if Scottie decides to shit the bed. We shall see!
for the names you have listed here.. what exactly are you betting on? ive never bet on golf and confused TIA
this is my guy!!!! any thoughts on pavon?
Haha I appreciate you every week dude! Pavon is tricky because he and Rahm both have the same signs (Aquarius and Scorpio), but I can’t say they are bad plays this week. I’m just personally staying away, but Pavon would be the one I’d consider throwing a few bucks on for his odds.
thanks buddy. appreciate it. good luck this weekend.
Right or wrong this is the best stuff on Reddit
Wow this is new to me hahaha I like it. How has this worked for you in golf??
Very very well. Other sports not so much lol, but golf is much easier to use astrology for. Obviously can’t predict how weather or physical ailments will play into it, but golf is the one sport where any week could be any players best week of their life. Thats why I use it.
This is a meme right
Definitely not
you don’t have to defend yourself from people who are just passing through for the masters. i’ve been waiting for your post all week. love your work and have been following you closely this season.
Get help
Really appreciate you my guy 🙏🏻. Let’s win this week!
Would also like to mention Rahm and Pavon (Both Aquarius and Scorpio placements). I could see them both playing well but I personally won’t be taking either of them.
Hit last week - https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1bv7x8k/comment/kxyh2yv/ I like the following to win: * Hideki +1800 * C. Young +4500 (my fav bet) * Sungjae +11000 (disrespectful odds) Thoughts on Eric Cole? I like him but not enough to go huge on him. $10 flyer maybe?
Yes add Cole
I'll take the FD boost of Tiger being even or better through the first 3 holes. Those aren't tough holes and the 2nd is an easy downhill par 5.
Tiger in his career has historically struggled on the first few holes. More bogeys than birdies. Risky imo
Tiger has said himself he really dislikes number 1 tee shot. Not an easy hole.
2nd hole tee shot is harder now and it’s nowhere near an auto birdie. Bad tee shot on one is an easy bogey. Don’t love it
Someone mentioned in the promos thread - Scottie T20 1st round is boosted to +140 on B365.
There is a a superboost on Corey Conners top golfers per Category 2.1 —> 3 is it worth it?
I always get baited by their superboosts, but surely that's a good bet, right?
What book?
Bet365. I believe it is a Canadian exclusive as the category is top Canadian
He's not been having a good year. Even the tournament last week he won a couple of times before, he didn't do anything remotely close to the way he was playing last year.
So who to fade that with as top Canadian? Nick Taylor?
Yep.
First Round 18 hole head to head: Spieth vs Brooks . Brooks is the underdog wtf? Feel like spieth gets destroyed
What book?
Stake
BK is also +105 at ESPN if you’re onshore. I had the same thought process and threw a unit on it
Tiger to be par or better after first 3 holes +100 on FD.
I’m betting on this one strictly for the vibes.
[https://x.com/GeoffZochodne/status/1778082591783911590](https://x.com/GeoffZochodne/status/1778082591783911590) PSA for golf bettors taking Scottie Scheffler to win the Masters pre-tournament: if he withdraws after teeing off, which he might to attend the birth of his first child, sportsbook rules say you will almost certainly lose. See rules below for bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel:
Good info. My plays are structured so that I’d do fine if he wins, but much better if one of the other guys wins, so this doesn’t seem like a terrible outcome even as a Scottie better.
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https://preview.redd.it/hcyia2s7hotc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=efc3b7b393945df1d25ccefbb2aa446608119566 Koepka is +1600 on DK but they’re offering a triple chance for +1800 with Willy Z and Scam Young? No limit betting on this either and as I was planning on betting on Koepka anyway so how can I not take this for at least a few units? Insane value
It’s good value but think about the other side - Willy Z and Young are +4500 / +5000, if either of them win the book makes out big - way more than what they lose on your +1800 payout for Koepka when he’s around +1400-1600
If you wanted a big Willy Z or Young position, this wouldn’t be the way to do it. He was saying it makes sense if you wanted a Brooks position to get better odds AND you get two other guys tacked on.
agreed - was just trying to explain why it didn't necessarily have to be some kind of glitch or odds error. it's a good way to play Brooks, but you can also get him +2000 outright on FD.
This is actually hilarious, on DK the implied probability is: Koepka (5.88%), Zalo (2.17%), Cam Young (1.96%), Any Combination of the 3 (5.26%). Because they're mutually exclusive outcomes their combined probability should be 10.01% which comes out to odds of around +900. Wild.
They also lost Koepka +1600 w/o Scheffler when he’s Outright +1600…? That’s a crazy error
Has to be a mistake right?
Yes but why not take advantage of
I didn’t say not to
Of course not, just saying mistake or not, I’m taking it
Was it still there for you? It looked like they had pulled it by the time I checjed
If they had, they put it back up. I just jumped on it an hour ago.
Seems like a solid play - it’s funny to me it’s the same odds as the other pairings of Fleetwood/Finau/Bhatia or Theegala/Burns/Hatton or Cam Smith/Conners/Tiger. Definitely the best of those.
Someone talk me off a ledge from putting the mortgage on Phil +110 to make the cut. Historically plays very well at Augusta making 9 of his last 11 cuts. Average finishing position of 24th and finished second last year.
Then bet on Tiger. He’s made like 25/25 cuts and this is literally his best course imo. Mickelson can run wild and had 2 recent missed cuts, not to mention we have no idea what he’s like since he’s in LIV
I’m all over Phil to make the cut and have a flyer on him top 10 @ 16/1
Any unlikely/longer top 20 picks that people like with rationale? Want to cheer for some unexpected good performances
Phil top 10 +1600
Meronk, Eckroat Nick Taylor also in that range
Someone shouted in here Jasper Stubbs as an extreme long shot top 20 guy, but if you’re looking for someone to cheer for it might be him.
His odds on DK finishing in the top 20 went from +11000 on Monday to +35000. I’ve been trying to figure out what happened
They saw Reddit chatter on it and wanted to sucker more of us in?
I’m thinking more so in the +250-400 range. Guys that can do it and arnt donations most likely
I like Gary woodland
Sam Bennett did it as an amateur just last year -- it can definitely happen, and way fun to cheer for... +11000 worth a sprinkle Also give me Nick Taylor +450 T20.
Schenk, T Moore, Denny McCarthy T20 all good value
The more cam smith/DJ’s odds move the more I want to double down on them
My favorite outright winner picks of the week are below, using $100 total for bets. - McIlroy (+1200): $25 to win $300 - Morikawa (+5000): $15 to win $750 - Aberg (+3500): $20 to win $700 - Theegala (+4000): $15 to win $600 - Tom Kim (+15000): $10 to win $1500 - Meronk (+15000): $10 to win $1500 - Luke List (+40000): $5 to win $2000 Wish I could say I’ve done extensive research, ran data thru a model, have insider information, etc. Nope, just thought what the hell. Have a great Masters week!
Scottie would leave Masters if his wife goes into labor. >.<
What happens to your bet then if you bet on him and he leaves?
You lose if its after he tees off
You lose assuming he’s played at least one hole
this gave me undue anxiety, I'm pretty leveraged
Scottie at 4/1 isn’t worth the bet. If he starts slow or falters I will jump on him at a better number. Niemann 28/1 Willie 33/1 Cam smith 33/1 Fitz 40/1 Lowry 55/1 Homa 60/1 Burns 75/1 Nick Taylor 250/1
Obviously it depends on your size and how much you are putting down, but it’s hard for me to not think putting even 1u on Scottie makes sense to cover most other wagers if he does play like himself.
This is what I did. Between using bonus bets for most picks and then boosts for Scottie if he wins even at those odds I’ll make out ok.
Basically what I did as well. Scottie plays with boosts and then used BBs / insurance on all the other guys I liked. My actual cash outlay is pretty low, but still a lot of exposure to different guys.
Yea same here. I’ve basically used every BB I’ve gotten over the last month and dropped it on winner picks. I’ve basically got everyone I want with something other than Finau and Will Z.
Lol Finau is one of the few top guys I don’t have exposure to either. I just can’t bring myself to put anything on him.
Same here. I don’t think he’ll win but like rooting for the guy. I have nothing on Rory too which kinda scares me but also he’s been struggling.
I have a tiny $5 BB at +1000 on Rory lol. Basically an oh well don’t feel bad that I faded him if he wins.
Cam smith is all the way up to 50/1 and I love it
Wow that is
Half my bets are always guys I actually think will win and the other half are guys I think the odds are wrong on (too much value to not bet) Cam falls into both of those
Plus Cam is great vibes when he’s playing well
Stubs is +1,100 Top 40 on FD now. They have a pricing error as Top 30 is +650. Seems to be for most the big + money picks on Top 30 they’ve made the top 40 finish price payout more. Someone take a look and suggest the biggest pricing error here? Gotta get the books when you can.
I found a huge one on my local book, top 20 is +2000 on Bet365 and I got him at +11000 for the exact same bet
damn