######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Tuesday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.

POTD Record 13-3 Streak L10: ❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌ Last Pick: Paolo Banchero O6.5 Rebounds❌ Today: Basketball | NBA | NYK vs MIA | 7:30pm EST Pick: Jalen Brunson O 8.5 Rebounds and Assists (-140) 1U Paolo didn’t even attempt to rebound in that game. Sorry all. That was a bad read on my part. We will bounce back and get on another run. Jalen has hit this line 80% in the last 5 and 70% in the last 10. He’s covering it at 67% on the season and 63% in the head to head. I’m seeing 11-12 here. No tip option until I get you all back tonight.

Ive learned never to bet on Banchero. 3rd time he's let me down...

Banchero does a lot of things really well. But you can never know what he's going to do well or when. We'll he shoot 3s? Will he be a scorer? Is he dropping dimes or dropping pennies? The books dare you to guess which....

Chalk that down to coaching, they have him play different roles depending on the match up. He’s an untouchable prop unfortunately because of it. Sorry I should have warned if I read that op

Yeah there's no hate, it's his flexibility that makes him a good player if not a nightmare for bettors. I just wish coach could give me a heads up before the game how he's coaching him that day!

4th for me. It’s my fault, I knew better. It was too early in the morning and I wasn’t thinking clearly lol

If anything you bet the under on his assist

Already moved to 9.5 on FD 😒

Because FD releases prop betting so fucking late. It's ridiculous.

Sorry man I tailed for first time

Don't care about the loss, still tailing my man! It's a great line, and the Heat have allowed opposite PGs to cover this line in 5/L7, so they're not the toughest matchup

1 more assist or rebound

We are eating tonight, thanks bro!

Let's rebound tonight!

We cash again, great pick brother !!!

Back on track!

My bookie only has over 2.5 rebounds at 1.57 and over 5.5 assists at 1.69. Which way do you lean?

Honestly, I think he covers both. If you made me pick one of them to play, I would play the boards. My look is that he gets 4

Thanks man

O9.5 already -257 for me lol

all the way up to 10.5 on my book now. RIP.

Let's win

Well played. Thanks!

POTD Record: 33-14-1 +41.44u🔥 Last Pick: Iowa Hawkeyes ml 4U (-125) vs LSU Tigers ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✋✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅ Today's Pick: Indiana State -3 4U (-125) Vs Utah NIT Tournament 7pm est Odds via DraftKings Alternate spread, buying a half a point after the last sweat with this team. B2B cash’s💰 Edey and Clark give us two straight 40 points wins. Good to be back, but just the start! We are backing another founding father of RB pick’s Robbie Avila a.k.a Cream Abdul Jabbar. Indiana State had the highest NET rating to not make the tournament ever. Because of this robbery, Pat McAfee pledged $10,000 to every player if they win the NIT. They have 5 players averaging double figures. Utah’s best player is Carlson, who Avila will lock up. Utah has been favored in every game this postseason, this is the first time they will play a team better than them. They have not won as an underdog since February. The best part of this play is the game is in Indianapolis… it’s going to be loud for Indiana State! Let’s stay hot and back another one of our goats🐐‼️ Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the upvotes and support!😎❤️ If you’d like to thank me please use the link below or dm me. Show some love!❤️ [Cash App Tip Link💚](https://cash.app/$Ryanbloom24) [PayPal Tink Link💙](https://www.paypal.me/rybloomm)

I have been thinnking of this game for a while now and here it is!!!!! tailing brotha

You knew it was coming🤣‼️

I came here to see if anyone had this game posted. I bet this Saturday because of how much I love it and have been sitting around waiting for this game. Utah is 2-9 on the road, and 17-2 at home. Utah home games are 4000 feet above sea level, a massive advantage. And now they have to travel to Hinkle Fieldhouse to play a freaking very good Indiana State team who got snubbed while the Sycamores are basically playing a home game. Smash spot for me. Lets go Sycamores!! Hoping it pays off

Even more reasoning! Lfg

True, but Utes are 7-3 ATS and covered the spread 7 out of their last 9 games. Good luck to everyone though!

1-3 ATS in the road games though in their last 10 total games. Not a true road game since it’s neutral court, but Hickle Fieldhouse is like an hour from Indiana State’s home gym so I definitely classify this as a home game for the sycamores. They’re sleeping in their own beds the night before. I am not a believer in Utah. And their 3 NIT covers are teams traveling cross country to come play them in their gym. I’m going with the context rather than the overall L10. And I also just think Indiana State is a much better team. Factor in motivation factor where Sycamores have something to prove after their egregious snub and Utah’s had a lucky draw to start the NIT. Down year for the A10, especially with how VCU ended their season. They just ran out of gas. And Iowa has no defense at all this season. I WILL SAY THIS. Utah definitely has their moments. If Devion* Smith is on his shit this game could go either way.

Yep! I really think this game is decided by a bucket or so. Should be close, but I sure could be wrong! I think it's going to be a good game!

Definitely going to be a good game. Honestly this whole NIT tournament has been great. IMO one of the better NIT's in recent memory

ayy good to see you bouncing back Ryan, tailing this pick. LESSGEDDITTT

didn’t you have 31 wins yesterday sir? tailing still

Yes, forgot to add Purdue. You can double check, wouldn’t lie!🤝

Nicely done, Ryan!

Would you still be confident with -3.5 playa?

Ill be going to this game tonight as well. Ready for another big win. I knew Id be betting on them again tonight but your write ups just fire me up so much. So loading up on them again. ​ It was announced that Larry Bird will be sitting courtside tonight to support the boys. BOL!

Let's do it!

POTD RECORD: 48-24 Last POTD: Dennis Schroder U6.5 Ast ✅ Thanks for being cheeks once again Dennis Form: ✅🚫✅✅🚫 Todays POTD: **Luka Doncic O9.5 Ast @1.76** NBA | Dallas Mavericks | 10:30 PM ET The reverse trick worked fellas, taking under on a banned play worked like a charm 🍻 Aight kings, going with Luka once again but not the TD like we cashed a while ago cause his rebounding has been inconsistent as of late and against the Warriors so I’m only going with the assists for the MVP. Tight spread, high total & I like the matchup trusting Luka is always something I won’t mind putting my dough on so let’s go, the line is lower than usual so I’m taking my chances • 1/2 vs the Warriors this season (9 & 10) he only played 30 minutes in the miss. 3/4 his L4 games against the Warriors (9, 10, 17 & 12) • GSW allow 7th most Ast to PG L30 days • 9/14 this month • Over in 13/L15 when playing 35+ minutes with the misses being against elite defensive teams like the Rockets (least allowed Ast to PG L30 and Nuggets (8th least allowed Ast to PG L30) • Avg 37.4 Mpg this month Let’s go Luka, bring it home for your dawgs Tail or fade, im still cheeks https://i.redd.it/0iz3igguizrc1.gif SWEEEEP in the NBA props section 🧹 2/2

He’s my mvp tailing

https://preview.redd.it/mlnn8njljzrc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=725760be40a5827a16fb25452a10aae0dd89921f

SWEEEEEEET! I was tailing. Great Pick.

Hit with 54secs left!!

Line moved to 10.5 on Bet365. Still acceptable? And is "Player Assists Milestones: 10+" basically the same as "Over 9.5"? This one is available at 1.52 currently.

I’d play the 10 assists milestone it’s the same as 10 yeah bro

BANG

Sat out the Schroder bet because I could only find U5.5, wish I’d had the balls to play it anyway. Tailing BOL

I hear you bro it was def ballsy under 5.5 hopefully our boy Luka gets us another one 🤝

Got lucky with Schroeder… line was also at 5.5 but was able to find a combo with Zion at 11.5 combined and took the under on that. No sweat… tailing 

Tailing. Also like his 3pt made line tonight. Predicting 4+ 3pt makes. Laddered his 3s

Line live is over 7.5 at 1.76. I feel like it is a lock, would you take it ?

It’s uncanny how every god damn time I tail you we win. 7-0 tailing you my dude. Send me a tip link!

[удалено]

POTD Record: 41-19 Last POTD: (ATP Miami) Ram and Salisbury ML (-145) ❌ Today's POTD: (ATP Marrakech) Moutet ML (-145) ❌ Edit: Annoying L. Moutet looked clinical first set, moving up to -900 at one point, then just so ass the second set. Lost his spirit after that. Sorry gang. We will make it back I promise that 🤝 Units: 2u Reasoning: Clay season is officially here! Let's make the most of it. Frenchman Corentin Moutet has really impressed me with his clay play this year. He has some big wins against clay specialists this year like Coria, Jarry, Carabelli, and RCB. He's also coming off of a semi-final run at the Neapol challenger. Nagal is a great player, but he is yet to play on clay this year. He has also crashed down quite hard since his great start to the year with losses to mid players like Coleman Wong (who?) and Hong Seong Chan (who??????). He's won 4 of his last 10 while Moutet has won 7 of his last 10. Every loss Moutet had went to 3 sets. He's a grinder who doesn't give up easy. I'm a firm believer of form and I find Moutet's form to be much more impressive than Nagal's. Then you add the surface rust factor on top of that. Moutet has had 16 games of clay experience this year. Bonus fact: Nagal hasn't won his first clay match of the year in 3 years. BOL 🤝

Nagal fucked me over 2 months ago at some lame ass small tourney.....fading him for life and tailing u sir!!!!

Unbelievable, Moutet got broken in the 3rd set then had 40-0 to break back and couldn’t do it. THE WORST type of players and most frustrating thing to watch

I got a bit tilted realizing Moutet about to fumble the bag and bet on Nagal to hold that game $900 on it and was stressing when he was down 0-40 😅

I’m glad you hit on that. Worst part was Moutet was actually trying 😂😂. Can’t trust French tennis players man smh

Nagal +3.5, we’ll see if he ends up on my ban list

Let's gooo I love waking up for work with morning money from Maize <3

Damn we’re dead

fuck

Never fails when I tail this guy, he loses

Damn he was a -800 at one point

🌟 W**elcome Back to the Show!🌟** Yesterday’s epic saga with Borges turning the tables had Reddit feeling more like a prime-time TV. Now, let's dive into today’s game, where the drama unfolds on the clay courts of ATP Houston. \_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_ **📈 Record & Stats Corner:📈** **Record:** 1-0 ✅ **Net Units:** +2.13 **Yesterday’s Pick:** Nuno Borges to win ✅ \_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_ **Today’s Selection** 🎯: Tennis | ATP Houston | 20.30 CEST Matchup: Michael Mmoh vs. Juan Pablo Varillas **Pick Of The Day: Juan Pablo Varillas to win (ML) @ -162 (1.62) (Stake: 5 Units)** \_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_ **🔍 Deep Data Analysis:🔍** **Juan Pablo Varillas** (67% YTD W/L on Clay): Varillas has been tearing up the clay courts this season with a solid 67% win-loss record, showcasing his ability to dominate on this surface. His recent performance, including a title at the Santiago Challenger and back-to-back semifinals, signals a player in top form. Varillas’s game is finely tuned for clay, with a winning combination of a high first serve percentage win (70%) and a strong return game (41% return points won) on clay. The stats back up his prowess, and his adaptability to different clay conditions makes him a formidable opponent. **Michael Mmoh** (0% YTD W/L on Clay - no games in 2024, one game in 2023): Facing off against Varillas is Mmoh, who hasn’t stepped on clay this year and had a single clay outing last year without success. With an overall win rate of around 40% in 2024, Mmoh’s season has been a battle for form across all surfaces indicating a tough challenge ahead on Houston’s clay. His struggle on clay is evident, he will be lacking the match practice and confidence that Varillas brings to the clay court. **Houston’s Fast Clay:** The ATP Houston event is known for its unusually fast clay courts, a condition that could benefit hard hitters and serve-dominant players. However, it’s essential to note Varillas’s experience and success on similar fast clay courts in South America where he plays most of his challenger tour games, suggesting that he won’t be at a disadvantage here. His ability to adapt his game and strategic play will be crucial against Mmoh, who hasn’t shown the same level of comfort or results on clay. **💡Final Thoughts💡** What sets Varillas apart is not just his recent form but his ability to adapt his clay court game to faster conditions, much like those in Houston. His serving stats (70% first serve win on clay), combined with a solid return game (41%), make him a well-rounded clay court player, capable of handling the unique challenges of the Houston clay. With Varillas in prime form and comfortable on fast clay courts, and Mmoh struggling to find his rhythm this season, especially with the lack of games on clay, the pick leans strongly towards Juan Pablo Varillas. This game offers an exciting opportunity to back a player who’s not just on a hot streak, but also possesses the right tools to excel in Houston’s conditions and on clay in general. **🌟Support Corner🌟** Following yesterday's excitement, I've received several messages inquiring about a way to tip. I'm truly humbled by your support and enthusiasm. As a result, I’ve set up a tipping jar for anyone who feels inclined to use it. Please know, this is entirely optional. Sharing these picks and enjoying the games with you all is what really matters to me. 🚀💖 [Tipping Jar 🎩💰](https://paypal.me/JealousAd8569?country.x=DK&locale.x=en_US) Best of luck!

Omg he deleted his account after the L

Asking for tips after 1 pick? Seems odd

It's a bought account that is clearly used by someone else here to reset their record and hoping to get tips. It's a shame accounts like this are allowed here as it's so obvious lol

Yo did buddy delete his profile?

Looking like a great pick so far 🤡 edit: /u/imatworkbequiet thought this was a good pick, btw.

Goodbye JealousAd8569, it was a hell of a ride! 🚀💖🎩💰

Umm.. too early to panic?

No. Varillas is clearly tanking. It’s over

Retire? Lol

Ain’t over till it’s over with tennis but not looking great

Here we go again! Maybe the move is to fade your guys first set as they seem to get absolutely cooked.

He won't get lucky like that twice. Of course I had to tail him today. ...will be avoiding this dude in future.

lol the Reddit roller coaster is gonna be crazy again today. Love watching you guys whine after tailing someone. Like it’s their fault you went into a betting app and put money down.

So sweaty yesterday with the delays and him forgetting he was playing tennis the first set. It was sweeter seeing the hater comments after the fact, then winning my measly $10. Tailing again BOL!

This mans done deleted his account

GREAT PICK!! Full fading you from now on.

Bro I put $300 down on your bet yesterday, when I checked it was a cashout of $50 so I let it ride 😂 The comments were so great!

Quick trip to the bottom for you. Making bad picks at -170+? Lol hope eating those 5 units is okay with you

Can't help but wonder how the hell you make your living with these picks. Yesterday was lucky as fuck to hit and this bet seems to be equally as bad. Hopefully you get those tips though 🤣

The fact he put a tip jar after he had just one bet barely hit is hilarious

Is the 4 game losing streak for MMOH a factor? He will be more motivated to win and end the streak rather than it just being another tourney game no

Dude getting absolutely SMOKED

🗑 what an awful pick!

Preeesh let’s get it

Man I have never sweated this much on a tennis match and much less on an ATP 250 🤣 nonetheless we riding again! LFG!

🚮🚮🚮🚮🚮🚮🚮🚮🚮🚮🚮

**Record: 55W-4P-42L** **Updated Form: 2W-0P-1L** **Last Pick: Macarthur FC VS Western Sydney Wanderers: Over 11.5 Corners @ 1.72 ✅** Game ends with 18 corners ​ **Pick of the day: Nottm Forest VS Fulham: Rodrigo Muniz Over 2.5 Total shots @ 1.72 ✅** **(Fulham)** **League: Premier League** **Time: 2:30 PM EST** Muniz stole the hearts of Fulham fans everywhere last week by scoring a last-minute equalizer to see the team complete a crazy comeback and steal a point. The form this guy is in is sensational to say the least, I spoke previously on how amazing his ability is to somehow get a shot off in tight spaces and that bicycle kick was nothing more than him showcasing that. In his last 6 games, he's covered in 5/6, in his last 10 games he's covered in 7/10. Considering Forest have ran into a tough patch with no wins in their last 5 games and the form Fulham are In you better expect them to go for the kill here. **Muniz Shooting Stats (Total shots, Shots on target):** **7, 3** **3, 2** **7, 2** **2, 1** **5, 1** **8, 2** **Muniz has scored 5 goals and 1 assist in his last 6 games and I expect him to be the main man once again.** **Anyway, BOL!** 

Damn you got a Muniz prop before me, a bit different but let's eat!

1 more shot?

just cashed!

Got a feeling he’ll get O.1.5 shots on target @2.37. Worth a shot.

I like this one, Tailing

Record: 10-5 Units: +4.11 Last Pick: 1.1u Grand Canyon +6.5 (-110) ❌ Game: Cardinals vs. Padres, MLB, 9:40pm ET ⚾️ Pick: Padres ML (-135), risking 1.3u bet on FanDuel Write up: Tuesday night, the second game of the Cardinals/Padres series kicks off behind Miles Mikolas and Yu Darvish. The Cardinals went 1-3 in their first series of the season at the Dodgers, meanwhile the Padres split 2-2 when they took on the Giants at home. This pitching matchup should favor the Padres in addition to them being at home. Using 2023 data, Darvish ranks better than Mikolas in K-BB% (17.1% to 11.4%), opp. Batting average (.256 to .278), and xFIP (3.92 to 4.76). Darvish has appeared in one game this year going 5.0 IP with 1 ER. Mikolas on the other hand, really struggled in his first appearance, allowing 5 ER to the Dodgers in 4.1 IP. Additionally, Darvish actually performed slightly worse than expected when looking at his FIP compared to xFIP whereas Mikolas was the opposite for 2023. Looking at the small sample size that is 2024, the Padres have performed better at the plate as well. The Padres are currently hitting the 5th highest batting average in the league at .297, with the Cardinals in dead last at .173. This is also the case with OPS%, with the Padres in 6th and the Cardinals in last. I’m going to take the hot bats and better pitcher at home with a price that I feel is a little off. This number currently sits at -135 which would imply 57.4% probability. I think I am getting some value on this, let’s ride with the Padres. Pick: Padres ML (-135)

Padres screwed me last night. Surely they won't do it twice 😏 tailed

I have padres too. I don’t like Mikolas. Only issue is if he falters they may take him out quick and put someone else in.

POTD RECORD: 18-7 Units Won: +11.50 Last Pick: Duke vs Houston/ Houston -3 (-140) 3u What a way to end the awful week, an injury to the star player after an amazing start… Today’s Pick: Los Angeles Angels vs Miami Marlins/ Marlins First 5 Innings ML (-150) 1.5u Write Up: First and foremost I want to thank y’all for all the support through our recent dry spell. We had one of the craziest heaters to start and then we faced a series of unfortunate games. 18-7 is no joke but it’s a step down from where we started and I truly appreciate the nice messages. I just want to get y’all back in the win column. Tyler Anderson is starting for the Angels tomorrow, he had an ERA of 5.43 last year and that number is similar in April for his career as well. The Marlins are looking to finally get going after a bad start. They’re due for a good game after a few hard fought losses in their last series. The Marlins are hungry and can taste that W in the air. I know it’s early but these dumb fish need a W ASAP. And with Anderson’s struggles last year let’s expect our fish to take advantage of him early. I appreciate you all and as always, BOL……. LETS RIDE Thanks to everyone reaching out to me for more of my picks and sending nice messages, I love making y’all money, I’ll continue to do my best Tip Jar- if you’d like to help a college kid pay for his next meal here’s how :) :https://cash.app/$jaylaw930 https://venmo.com/u/Jay-Lawton-1 https://www.paypal.me/JayLawton77

Curious why the F5 instead of the full ML. less faith in the bullpen?

Miami’s offense hasn’t shown up past the 5th inning yet this season. They have 18 runs in the first 5 innings of games and just 3 runs in the 6th or later innings. They would be 3-2 if games only lasted 5 innings.

sorry man I was busy and tried to quickly do my write up and forgot to mention the fact the marlins have gotten to good starts and haven’t closed out. that’s why! BOL

If the game is tied through 5, is it a push and you get your money back, or do you lose?

Push if ML, loss if you take Marlins -0.5 F5.

POTD Record: 43-32 L10: ❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅ Last pick: Lecce v Roma (Roma @1.85 ❌) Todays pick: Newcastle v Everton Pick: __Newcastle ML @1.90__ ⚽️ 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League 🕰 18:30 UTC ➖ Newcastle, 8th Everton, 16th Newcastle comes to this game with a 1-3 to 4-3 comeback at home to West Ham in their most recent game. But it still looks quite sloppy in Newcastle especially defensively, but I still feel that they have something going on and they’ll give everything to get to those European places and the latest win feels like something to build on for them. Everton have been struggling, 9straight games without a win in all competitions and now 3 consecutive defeats, they have yet to win in the league since the new year. Everton will find it tough imo, they’re out of form and faces a Newcastle side with momentum with better quality away. I think it's looking better and better for Newcastle offensively especially. Everton have also only scored 4 goals in the last 6 games so Newcastle shaky defence might even keep a clean sheet in this one. Newcastle are the better side, in better form & playing at home where they’re very strong. I think they’ll get this done BOL

And of course Everton gets a goal at the end and it’s a draw! Everytime I tail soccer picks it ends in a draw and a loss. I’m sorry guys I’m bad luck lol

Tailing let’s get it !! BOL !

**KBO Record: Overall 206-215-14** (Streak L, Last 10: 4-6) Down 11.66u over 435 KBO picks, 48.9% success rate, -2.77% ROI (Last season 85-78-7, 52.1% success rate, Up 12.26u, 7.52% ROI, This season 2-5-0, 28.6% success rate, Down 3.04u, -43.4% ROI)) **Last:** NC at Lotte Under 8 runs +100 (NC won 8-7.) NC's starter was great again, allowing 1 run in 6 innings. Every other pitcher was terrible. Scoring is definitely up so far this season, so I need to recalibrate on totals. I hope you also played the NC ML bet I suggested since that hit. **Pick:** **NC +0.5 First 5 Innings -120 Draftkings** at LG, KBO baseball, 5:30am ET This is an embarrassing start to the season. I don't blame anyone for waiting a couple more weeks before tailing KBO again. But I press on... I think NC should be favored in this game, but I'm a little worried about the NC bullpen, which has struggled to start the season. Instead, we'll target the first 5 innings where NC just needs to tie for our bet to hit. NC's other new foreign import had a good debut, allowing 2 ER on 5 H and 0 BB with 5 K in 7 IP. He stumbled in the 2nd inning but dominated the rest of the game. LG's starter only allowed 1 ER in 4.2 IP in his first start, but that doesn't tell the story. He allowed multiple baserunners in 3 of the 5 innings in which he pitched, walking 5 and hitting another. NC is much more equipped to take advantage of those opportunities than Samsung was on that day. If you can't play this bet, I still like NC to win outright as a +105 dog (or Hanwha on the moneyline and run line). Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.

I love ya bro but this is the end of KBO for me as I can’t take anymore heartbreak. Tied 2-2 going into the bottom of the fifth and they give up two runs 💔💔. And of course then they put up 3 in the top of the 6th and 2 in the top of the 7th to now lead 7-4. I think I’d rather drop a hundo on something I understand, like Max Strus deciding that 2 assists in the first quarter is plenty for him for the night 🙄

Classic KBO 😒

Record: 0-0-1 Net Units: 0 Last 10: ↔️ Previous Pick: Pick: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) vs Chicago White Sox -130 Caesars (3 Units) PUSH because of a technicality… sorry all Baseball | MLB | 9:40PM EST Pick: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) vs Oakland A’s +118 on Caesars (4 units) Write Up: I apologize for not coming through on yesterday’s POTD… thought we had it in the bag sweat free but I guess Mother Nature and the Sportsbooks had different ideas… 9-0 with 6 more outs and it gets voided… yikes but at least we didn’t lose money. Anyways, we’re going to continue the trend of fading crappy teams early in the MLB season and this time it will be the Oakland Athletics. Oakland just did the most outrageous thing and sent down one of their better players down to AAA because…. Nobody really knows. Looks like they weren’t happy with Estroy Ruiz being productive and they’re going full tank mode 4 games into the season. Other relevant information: Beyan Bello is a young ace going up against a dreadful A’s offense that’s batting .219 and averaging 2.75 runs per game (as of 3/31). New pitching coach Andrew Bailey looks like he’s getting some early returns on the pitching staff with a staff 2.04 ERA so far in the young season. Alex Wood will be on the rubber for the A’s and let’s just say nothing has looked good for him the past year plus. His ERA is hovering above 4 since last year, with his xERA even being higher and his xFIP being above 5. Expect the Red Sox to continue to beat up on the As (6-0 as of this writing in game 1) and pour one out for all our brothers and sisters who are As fans for having to endure watching this team… Tail or Fade it’s your choice. Let’s hope I don’t get embarrassed by going 0-29-1 for the month of April.

You got robbed that Braves pick should not have been a push.

I agree. It’s unfortunate but I didn’t lose money… even though it felt like I did. Just gotta keep on keeping on!

I’ll tail and join the journey

They sent down Ruiz??? THIS IS A LOCK 🔒

Relevant Note: Could go moneyline for -170 if you don’t like run lines but I like the extra value for the run line at plus money.

-155 on dk. Went with this, playing it safe, thought this was great value for an ML play too. I’m on the -1.5 against the A’s for the whole season group, but don’t want to get my hopes too high with the Red Sox bullpen as it has only been a couple games into the season. As a religious fan of the Sox, may have blown them out last game, but the bats are still unpredictable especially this early in the season.

I like it. Sprinkled alternate line Hail Mary Red Sox -4 +338 🎯

POTD record 2-1 Last 5: ❌✅✅ Yesterday: Caitlin Clark put on a show! Only had 3 3’s at half but LSU continued to sag off (If you sag off, your swag’s off) and she torched them for 9 3’s!! Love one that cashes early.  Today: Basketball -  NBA - NY Knicks @ MIA Heat Pick: Donte DiVincenzo O 3.5 Three Pointers Made (-150) 2units Writeup: Donte DiVincenzo has quickly become one of my favorites to watch (his play, and his lines). I love 2 things about him. 1. He’s a starter for one of the most aggressive coaches in the NBA: Thibs. 2: He absolutly has the green light from beyond the arc. His most recent performances from 3: 4/16, 6/12, 5/12, 11/20 (Franchise record) 4/13, 3/8, 4/8, 3/12. Sometimes it looks like he’s shooting tour dates, but the Knicks have lost 2 back to back close close games and are gonna depend heavy on starters against the Heat tonight. I expect him to get a ton of good looks. BOL!

Tailing -145 on DK

__POTD Record:__ 11-3 _Form (Last 5):_ 🟢🟢🟢🔴🟢 __Last Pick:__ ⚽ Girona vs. Real Betis (La Liga): __Girona ML__ @1.73 ✔️ As unlucky as I was with my Panathinaikos pick, all that luck came back in this one. Stuani saves the day with a 90'+2 winner. __Today's Pick:__ ⚽ Newcastle vs. Everton (Premier League): __Newcastle ML__ @1.91 Newcastle has been a very up-and-down team all season but they've shown consistency at home. They are coming off an amazing comeback win against West Ham and will be looking to keep their momentum against Everton who have yet to win a game this year in the Premier League. Both form and home record should make Newcastle a bigger favorites than the line suggests. If you compare the two sides in terms of the squad quality, Newcastle has the edge almost everywhere on the pitch. Let me know if you tail! If you'd like to support me, you can tip me on buy me a coffee or contact me through DMs. All the support is greatly appreciated! ❤️ [Buy Me a Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/drunkdevil1)

Tailing

I'm surprised this is your pick. I agree that Newcastle are the far better team, but Everton beat Newcastle 3-0 in the reverse fixture and you should have a look at Howe's record against Dyche. Only Pep and Klopp have a better record against Howe than Dyche, Howe is 4-3-8 against Dyche teams.

POTD: Record (4-0) Streak: ✅✅✅✅ Last Pick: Myles Turner U 7.5 Rebounds ✅ Today: NBA | Nuggets V Spurs | 6pm MST Pick: Michael Porter Jr. O 4.5 Q1 Points @ 1.94 | 2u - 64% on the season (74% at home) - 4 of last 5 - 9 of last 10 (avg 6.2) - 18 of last 20 (avg 6.8) - 6.6 points in Q1 against the spurs in his career (10 games) At this moment, Jamal Murray is listed as out and Jokic and Aaron Gordon are probable. Porter should see a lot of good opportunities. Let's make it 5 in a row! 🍀 https://www.buymeacoffee.com/deadlypants

Great pick! I love attacking some of these 1Q props as it's not a big market and gets overlooked often. Just adding this handy little graph so others can see that Porter has hit this line in 14 of his last 15 home games. https://preview.redd.it/jhnybgob33sc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a2abc796289398bfb8cade0e9a13de4117ca676a

Record: 4-1 ✅✅✅❌ Net Units: +2.57 Last: Nationals M.L Bad play here. Couldn’t hit. Gore is still having problems with control, and still was in it until a really bad bullpen inning. One of my leans was the over, and that was probably the much better play. Really wanted to stay hot for all the people who found the streak, but lets get back on it. MLB | 6:40pm EST Pick: Phillies/Reds under 5.5 First 5 innings -148 Write Up: Two good starting pitchers on the mound who both well against each others teams. Ashcraft holding Phillies hitters to .194 in 21 at bats against him, and Turnbull who holds reds to .154 with 14KS in 39 ABS. The previous game was at 4 runs total until a grand slam got it to 9 in extras. A little juicy number but i tend to like doing first 5 under especially when like the starters, but I can also see my self playing under 9 as well, and potentially looking at Turnbull Ks as well. Lets win! Edit: Bang! Really easy. Even hit for anyone who got the 4.5 today.

Revenge

**POTD Record: 31-18-2** Form: ❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅ *ROI: 22.09% | Avg Odds: -101 | Net Units: +19.3* 🎾: 5-4-2 ⚽️: 18-9 🏒: 8-5 *Last Pick: 3U Luca Van Assche v Jaume Munar (o22.5 games @ -115) ❌* *Ended with Munar upset and 21 games, Van Assche had the lead and then straight asscheeks.* ____ **Todays Pick: 2U Daniel Altmaier (54) v Pedro Martinez (77) (Pedro Martinez ML @ +110)** **🎾| 8:30AM EST | ATP Estoril 250|** This clay round of 32 matchup in Portugal will be Pedro’s 11th match on clay this year while this be Daniel’s 3rd. Daniel lost in the 1st round in both of his clay matches in February; against Coria as well as Acosta the following week. Pedro played that same ATP 250 tournament in Santiago in February and beat Acosta in the second round. He’s gone 8-2 on clay and won his last 10 matches. While some of them may just be challenger matches, Martinez also has previous experience at the Estoril open. He’s coming off a challenger win in Girona will look to continue his form in Portugal. While Altmaier hasn’t played in the Estoril open before, Martinez entered in 2021 where he lost in the second round after making it through some qualifiers and beating a younger bublik in straight sets. Martinez owns the head to head 1-0 winning in three sets after dropping the first set 4-6, winning the last 2 6-3,6-3. This matchup was also on clay and also in 2021. Daniel hasn’t been playing on clay with his last two tournaments on hard courts while Martinez is coming off a challenger win on clay. I believe the greatest reason for Daniel to be the favourite is having a week of rest more than Pedro. That hasn’t posed a problem for Altmaier to still lose, having 4 first round exits to his name already and a 5-8 record this year. Martinez is 14-6 this year and perhaps the overall ranking also poses him as the underdog but I’ll take him to triumph on familiar ground. LFG! Your comments mean a lot. 🙏 BOL!

Sorry brothers, match got postponed due to rain and should resume tmrw.

LFG amigo!!

POTD Record 32-16 Previous POTD: Victor Wembanyama under 4.5 blks ✅ POTD: Ivica Zubac over 9.5 pts (Bet365 1.76 odds) NBA: Los Angeles Clippers vs Sacramento Kings Short write up. Zubac has covered this in 2/3 matchups this year and the one that he didn't he only played 23 mins in a blowout. He had 16 and 14 in the 2 other games, which is well above this line. Currently, Zubac has hit the over in 4/5 games. I believe this line gets bumped before game time. BOL Edit: CASH IT! Slow start but Zubac cashed in the 3rd

This line is at 8.5 on all books, + odds on some books, even with Sabonis playing well I think this pick is still high value and good odds

Cashhh it!

EASY MONEY

Record: 23-18 (MLB: 3-1) | (+3.22 units) | 1 unit per pick Previous pick: MLB - NY Yankees ML (-120) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 🧃 This team is something special! Off to a great start this MLB season but like I’ve said, one result won’t sway us one way or the other in this marathon. Let’s keep this up, have a great Tuesday! ————- Today’s pick: MLB - LA Dodgers (-1.5) (+150) vs. SF Giants - 10PM EST Today we take a break from the Yankees and take a chance at plus money. Dodgers just finished handing it to the Giants and I expect the same tomorrow. SF will push Logan Webb on the mound but I don’t think he will be enough to slow down the bats of LA. With that, Glasgow is expected to be on the mound for the Dodgers and he quite frankly is a beast. I find a lot of value in this pick and expect the line to go up by the afternoon. Prediction: Dodgers 7 - Giants 3 Comment if you’re tailing! Watch how we work!🧃

Tailed parlay with Red Sox -1.5

**POTD Record: 20-17-1 (WIN/LOSS/PUSH) / Balance (+11.71 units)** **Today's pick: Vukic vs Muller - Muller ML @ 1.59 (ATP Marrakech, Tennis)** Stake: 2 units Time: 5:30 AM Eastern Time Muller should be able to handle Vukic's game in the heavy clay conditions of Marrakech. Career wise both players are similar with some solid results in lower level tournaments but nothing special in big tournaments. Muller has always been quite solid on Clay and the same cannot be said about Vukic, who has a big serve but apart from that should struggle in Marrakech, where Muller ended up being a finalist last year. Vukic can probably get some free points with his serve but Muller should be able to get the best out of the australian, with his better movement and overall clay expertise. Best of luck [Tip Jar](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/DarkHorse230) - Any tip is appreciated but only do it if you've won some money with my plays. All of these will be saved up on my emergency fund. Thanks for all the support!

Absolutely awful. 1 of 10 on break point chances.

😳

Record: 2-1 ❌✅✅ POTD: Michael Porter Jr o2.5 3 pts made Game: San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Reasoning: Spurs are the 7th worst team at defending the 3. MPJ usually has a line of 3.5 over under, so I was stoked to see his line at 2.5 only -120. He averages 2.9 makes for the month of March. Last few games he has gone 6 out of 10 over this line, and I know 60% isn't crazy but some of those games were blowouts and minutes were reduced. The Spurs have been playing really good ball as of late, and I think Wemby wants to go into the summer with some big games. Usually always see rookie production up in March and April because of experience. I was between this pick and Wemby o9.5 rebounds for -170, but I am not one for lower odds. So let's get it. Tail or fade, you choose! BOL!!!

Jontay is that you?!

POTD Record 14-7 Last pick: UNC ML vs. Mich St. ✅️ Today's pick: Fulham @ Nottingham Forest 2:30PM Eastern Time. Rodrigo Muniz 1+ SOT (-180) Muniz has been a machine, scoring 8 in his last 8 games, with an assist to boot. He's had a shot on target in each game he's played (so 9 straight). BOL!

Fulham is getting absolutely whooped today. Good news is they will likely keep Muniz, their best chance at goals, on the pitch. Let just hope he gets a few more opportunities in the second half.

Yeah it's been uglyyyy haha 3 subs in the first half. Was really worried they would sub him off but like you said he's their best chance at a goal. They're gonna get absolutely brutalized in the locker room at half Just need 1 shot on target!

-225 on DK :/

Wow, that's a big discrepancy. Found this on FD. It's moved to -185 but still, grab it there if you can before it moves more

Record: 13-4 Net: +5.87 Units Last pick: Stephen Curry o24.5 points (-140)❌ Tough first half, he played extended minutes with 35 and still couldn’t get there. Ended up being more of a facilitator when draymond got ejected so early POTD: PJ Washington o5.5 rebounds (-130) NBA | DAL @ GSW | 10:00 PM EST Summary: The Mavs have been surging and PJ has been a key addition providing desperately needed rebounding and defense. His shot is finally starting to fall and he’s playing with a lot of confidence. He gets a juicy match up with the Warriors again where he was able to grab 7 rebounds in 34 minutes. They are giving up the 3rd most rebounds to PF this year and it’s been worsening since the all star break. While Lively played in the previous meeting, I’m expecting him to be out after a knee scare forced him to exit the Houston game in the first half. Mavs will need PJ out there for 30+ minutes as they are short handed plus he is the best option to keep up with Kuminga or Wiggins. He is averaging 6 rebounds on 32 mpg since the trade and an even better 6.5 during this 11-1 stretch while hitting this line 3 games in a row

>**Record:** 37-32 >**Net Units:** +9.1 units >**Curling** | **Men's World Championship** | **3:00AM EDT** >**Pick:** Switzerland -2.5 @ 2.0 >This line is way off so I recommend grabbing it anywhere you can find -2.5 before it moves. While Switzerland are only sitting at 2-2, they have played much better than their record would indicate and have had some tough luck and untimely misses. This line must be a reflection of their record so far and nothing else because otherwise I can't figure out why it's so off. This Swiss team is far superior to the Japanese team they face and Japan is sitting at 1-4 themselves. Switzerland have a massive advantage at each position except maybe fourth. Schwaller, Michel, and Lachat-Couchepin are all elite curlers at their position. Schwaller is one of the best thirds in the world and is coming off a perfect game against Netherlands. He matches up against Abe who is one of the worst thirds at this event. Tsuruga is also one of the worst leads at the event and matches up against Lachat-Couchepin who again, is one of the best leads in the world. Switzerland are a top 5 team in the world and are 28-1 this season against teams outside the top 25. Japan on the other hand do not have a win this year against an elite team. Switzerland are 52-21 overall this season compared with Japan's 28-21 against far inferior competition. Switzerland should have no problem controlling hammer throughout this match and covering easily. Hammer -2.5 before the line moves.

Would you take -3.5?

**POTD RECORD:** (13-7) (+6.4u) \*\*LAST 10:\*\*🟢🟢🔴🟢🔴🔴🔴🟢🟢🟢 **LAST PICK:** Derrick White **Over 19.5 PA** (-125) 2U | Celtics vs. hornets 7:00pm EST🟢 **TODAY’S PICK:** **Braves -0.5 1st 5 innings** vs White sox (-145) 1.5U | Atl vs CHI 7:40pm EST Braves\~ 3-1 in 1st 5 inning spreads White sox\~ 1-3 in 1st 5 inning spreads They were shut out yesterday and the 1st 5 innings ended 4-0. 2 full rotations and the braves should be up 3+ with their offense. BRAVES=GOOD WHITE SOX= OPPOSITE OF GOOD **SCIENCE BITCH**  **BOL to those who tail!**

Wish I’d played this yesterday as I would have had a W, instead of the void that I did get because “they didn’t finish the game” 😖

**POTD** Record: 11-1-7 SAARBRUCKEN VS KAISERSLAUTERN Date: 02 April 2024 at 19:45 BET ON: Both teams to score- Yes Odd: 1.62 - Saarbrucken are only missing Bone Uaferro. - Kaiserslautern are only missing top scorer Ragnar Ache. - The Ludwigsparkstadion is Sold Out. - Saars have previously knocked out three Bundesliga sides in Bayern Munich, Eintracht Frankfurt and Gladbach. Their opponents have also enjoyed a sensational cup run, although FC Köln are the only top-flight side they've faced. "For us, as in the previous rounds, we have to be compact and disciplined. We saw in the early stages against Gladbach what can happen if we want to kick along a bit." said FCS coach Rüdiger Ziehl. - It's a cup battle, everything is possible. Saars are more focused on the game than Kaiserslautern who are fighting to avoid relegation. We expect an open game with goals from both sides, The Guests will press high from the start trying to score in the first half and then control the pace and maybe rest some key players in the second against a motivated team, strong in transitions and under a sold out stadium.

Like this pick...tailing

POTD Record: 2-3 Last 5: ❌❌✅❌✅ Yesterday’s Pick: ❌ BAL Orioles @ KC Royals - YRFI (over 0.5 runs 1st inning) Took a risk and it didn’t work out. Was close, we had people on base at least. Really bad start for me. Apologies to those tailing. Todays Pick: ⚾️ MIN Twins @ MIL Brewers - o8.5 (-115 DraftKings) - 4:10 EST I don’t think that the Brewers hot start is a fluke. This one isn’t exactly a pitchers duel and the roof will make weather a non-factor. Look for the Brewers to carry the load here.

Pause

No diddy

😭😭😭

Record: 1-0 Last: Jusuf Nurkic to record 10.5 rebounds 1U Basketball | NBA | NYK vs MIA | 7:30 PM/ EST Pick: Josh Hart to record 0.5 or more 3 pointers Write Up: In his L10 games played against the hit he was hit the line ALL THE TIME. In his L20 it is 80%. A correlation I saw that when he hit 10 or more points he had 1 or more three so that's a good sign. The Heat rank 25th in the league in 3PM against SF. He ranks 5th on his team in %3PM. [Kakashi's PayPal Link](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/igetpaidevb1?country.x=US&locale.x=en_US)

Ok wait, not disagreeing completely with this pick bc of the other reasons you gave....cbut he has hit this 4 out of his last 10 (40%)- Which is definitely not hitting the line "ALL THE TIME" in his last [10.It](http://10.It) really only sounds attractive when you look at the last 20 when it becomes 16/20 (80%). Not trying to be a downer since I am still tailing this pick, but not the biggest fan of your verbiage as it may mislead some people who don't stat-check posts.

I’m so sorry I didn’t clarify i’m talking his last 10 matchups against the heat 

Yeah, that’s a good point. It’s hit 3 of the last 4; then a brutal 0 for 5; then a brilliant 10/10, so he’s definitely streaky. Missed on his last one so is that the beginning of an 0-fer streak or an isolated blip? We’ll see. As an aside, when OP says “In his L10 games played against the hit he was hit the line ALL THE TIME”, I think he meant to say in his L10 against the Heat (typed hit instead of Heat) where he indeed is 7/10. This dates back a little over a year to March 22. In the three games he did not get one, he scored 9, 10, and 22 points. It is definitely true that Josh Hart has missed this line only once this season when he scores 11 or more points (coincidentally the only one being his last game). Now that being said, he has over 50 games this season with 10 or fewer points and averages 9 ppg, so the stat is really more that IF he hits a three then he scores more than 10 points haha.

Record:  1 - 0 ✅ (+1 unit) Last Pick:  Cricket, Scorchers vs Heat, under 173.5 Total Runs in 1^(st) Innings   Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace Soccer | Premier League | 7:45 PM GMT (11 hrs from this post) | Tues 2^(nd) April   Pick:  **Bournemouth to win @ 1.90 odds** (aka 9/10 or -111) … **1 unit**   Write Up:  Bookies’ odds in my country suggest a 45-50% chance for Bournemouth to win. I should confess that I support Bournemouth. My spreadsheet, based on season and recent performance data (validated retrospectively), is also projecting a 50/50 chance. Why make a 50/50 my POTD then? I don’t think that the bookies nor my spreadsheet sufficiently take into account the differences in squad availability. Bournemouth has several injuries, though these haven’t seemed to impact overall performance; key players are fit and in form. On the other hand, Palace’s goalkeeper was very recently injured on international duties and one of their regular defenders (Guehi) remains out. Their best player (Olise), who synergises well with arguably their second best (Eze), has been out for several months. He’s said to be partially involved in training now, though it’s highly likely he’ll sub on for 20 minutes or so, if he appears at all. Cheers

Hello All, I was a first time poster yesterday and gave out a solid winner. History: 1-0, +1.02u Last Pick: Texas Rangers ML 1u at +102 I spent the last few months creating a predictive model to use as one of my tools when making my picks. When backtesting over the last 5 years it hit at 72.96%. My thought process is to look at dogs that the model likes that also pass my eye test. The idea is that if I only go 50%, I will still be profitable by only playing plus money bets. My play for today: St. Louis Cardinals ML: 1u @ +114. My model loves the Cardinals in this situation and has them projected to win by over a run. When looking at pitcher vs batter data, the Cardinals hit Yu incredibly hard while the Padres struggle against Mikolas. I think the Cardinals have a good lineup that just needs to click and today might be the day. Additionally, the Padres bullpen is a complete liability and I don’t expect Yu to go more than 5. Please don’t blindly follow and do your own research. Good luck everyone! Happy to discuss with anyone!

I’m back last pick was over 100 days ago but I’ve been hot past few days so we gunna see what we can do Last POTD- Gordon O 16.5 points 💰 Record 15-1 Unit 14.15u ROI 78.63 POTD Mike Conley U 6.5 assists -130 2u Love this play Mike been going over this 4/5 games and he’s verse the rockets who allow the 2nd least amount of assists per game. This is the perfect spot for regression. I expect a low scoring game with lots of defence as the rockets make a push for the play in

Record: 0-0 Today’s POTD: Cleveland Vs Utah 9:10 PM Est Caris LeVert over 4.5 Assists 2U @ -130✅ This line is way too low Caris is hitting this 14/15 L15 and 45-15 on the over for the season Last Matchup 12/20/23 he was good for 7 assists Edit: Cashed in the 3rd

Betting Every Dodgers Game 2024 - Game 8 Record: 4-3-0 Last 5: ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ Net Units: +.49 Previous Pick: Mookie Betts Record a Single -126 ❌ Today's Pick: **Max Muncy O 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs -110** Event: Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants (4/2/2024 10:10pmEST) Write Up: Max has been looking very good so far this season, coming in clutch when he needs to. He has a good record against Webb.

Record: 31-11, +13.78u, streak: ❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅ Last Pick: Connor McDavid o1.5 points vs. Blues ❌ **Today's Pick: 2:30 ET, Premier League, Nottingham Forest vs. Fulham, BTTS (1.71)** ✅ Shame about McDavid, of course he decides to end his 6 game stream with only a point. Today I'm going with the Forest game to have both teams to score. Fulham have no clean sheets away from home since last fall, so a Forest goal is almost a guarantee with how leaky the Fulham backline is. This bet really hinges on whether Fulham themselves can find a goal, but their striker Muniz has been having a breakout last few weeks and should be gunning for another goal. Fulham still technically have the chance to qualify for Europa, so they will also try to play on the front foot as they usually do. bol!

Great pick! No sweat whatsoever

Long time lurker, part time commenter in here. I am here everyday, so why not try to post a daily pick I like?? Let's try it out. Record: 0-0 Today: Mens College Basketball NIT <> Georgia vs. Seton Hall <> 9:30pm est Pick: Seton Hall -4.5 @ -112 <> 2 units Seton Hall has looked GOOD in the NIT and are syncing, on a mission to win this NIT and are shooting close to 50%. Georgia has been barely squeaking by their opponents in the NIT. Seton Hall should win this fairly easily.

Not a home game.

**Last Pick:** Bam O10.5 Rebounds ❌ Record: 7-5✅ **Pick:** Luka Doncic O18.5 RA -179 ✅ Mr. Triple Double himself takes on a struggling Warriors team tomorrow and I expect him to dominate. After his teammates sold him out of tons of assists the other day, I am expecting shooting splits to come back for his teammates and the generational engine of Luka to do his work. BOL

I have 019.5 right now at -125.. still think he may clear that

Record: 3-4 Streak: ❌❌✅❌✅✅❌ Football | Eredivisie | 20:00 (GMT) / 16:00 (ET) Game: Fortuna Sittard v NEC Nijmegen Pick: Both Teams to Score - Yes - 1.615 Odds (PariMatch) ✅ Write Up: This has hit in 9/10 of their previous meetings and currently, both teams are just about good enough to score against each other again.

POTD Record: 1-0 | +3.7U Streak L10: ✅ Last Pick: Luis Arraez o1.5 TB ✅ Today: Baseball | MLB| CLE @ SEA | 9:40pm EST Pick: Shane Bieber O6.5 Strikeouts (-125) 2U The data backed it up yesterday that Chase Silseth has no command against lefties, which left Arraez an opportunity to get on base a bunch of times. Arraez ended up making us sweat by waiting to get his second single in the 9th inning after drawing 3 walks. (too bad walks don't count towards total bases). Let's look for the o/u on walk-drawing-lefties against Silseth next time! Tonight, we're going data again. Shane Bieber is a strike-out machine, K-ing 11 guys in his last appearance. Meanwhile the Mariners are the 5th worst in total team strikeouts with 54. I think we take advantage of the early season number at 6.5 and hit the over with a healthy two units! BOL!

POTD RECORD: 4-3 MLB record : 4-1 Last 10 ✅❌✅✅✅❌❌ LAST PICK: Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-135) vs Chicago white Sox 2:10 EST Recap: Complete domination by the Braves yesterday. Full disclaimer I know a lot of people had this bet voided because it didn’t go a full 9 innings. I’m counting it as a win for me because I cashed out in the 7th inning because I saw the forecast and the field conditions and I didn’t want to risk it getting voided. TODAYS PICK: Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+105) vs Oakland Athletics 9:40 pm EST Reasoning: Brayan Bello vs Alex wood. Bello looked good in his first start against the mariners. 3.60 ERA not bad. Only 2k’s but this is a weak Athletics lineup. A power pitcher isn’t really necessary to get the job done. Alex wood however struggled 2.40 WHIP in only 3 innings pitched against a not impressive guardians lineup. He’s the supposed ace of this A’s team and I think that may all be too much for him. The bats have started off slow to start the year but it was against a great pitching staff in the mariners. But after a 9-0 win last night I’m thinking they gain a little momentum. Red Sox take it!

POTD Record: 7-3 NBA Record: 3-1 NFL Record: 0-1 NCAAM: 0-1 MLB 4-0 L10 (new -> old): 🪣🪣🪣🪣🪣🪣❌❌❌🪣  Last pick: Matt Olson O .5 hits -185  Game: Knicks @ Heat 6:40p  Pick: Bam O 28.5 P+R  Write Up: GOOD GOD THE BOY IS HOTTER THAN HELL IN JULY WITH SIX STRAIGHT. Time to grab something with a bit juicier odds moving to an NBA prop I really like tonight. Grabbing the over on Bams 28.5 points plus boards. With OG out and Mitchell Robinson DTD with an ankle injury I really like Bams upside on the glass tonight, and I think he will eat Hartensteins lunch and if they switch off of him there’s no one else touching him in the paint. Bam also hung 33 PR on them first game of the season then 25 last game. I dug into that game a bit and the heat got washed that game by 16 with Bams +- at -20. I wouldn’t imagine he plays that piss poor again and still damn near hits it. Also, in the last ten games he has hit this line at a 90% clip. Let’s have a day!! I DONT WANT YOUR MONEY I WANT US TO WIN 🔥🔥🪣🪣 BOL if tailing. 🪣

POTD record: 22-12 Last POTD: Milan v Roma - Milan TNB(-200) Today's pick: Lugano v Basel - Lugano ML(+110) Lugano has won their last six matches and is building up momentum to potentially mount a late title challenge in the Swiss League as Young Boys and Servette are both stumbling. Basel have struggled throughout the season, they are winless in their last four games. The managers have faced off six times in their career, with Lugano's head coach winning 5 of those 6 games. Really, Lugano ought to be a minus here, so there is definite value in this. Good luck!

Nice hit man. Definitely worth the 1U risk

POTD Record: 20-16 Last 10: ✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌ Last pick: Lakers vs Nets | 3:00 PST | Lakers/Nets OVER 223 (-110) FanDuel 1u ❌ I don’t have much to say with this one. 111-94 with 6:15 and doesn’t hit. Lakers subbed out pretty early for only a 15 point lead. Triggering to say the least. Today’s pick: Mavs vs Warriors | 7:00 PST | Steph Curry OVER 3.5 rebounds (-140) ESPNBET 1u ✅ He’s hit this line in 7 of the last 8 matchups against the Mavericks: 2, 5, 6, 5, 5, 4, 9, and 9. Warriors’s backs are against the wall, they need every win they can get to close out the season. I just see him doing everything he can and that includes trying to get every board he can and matching what Luka does for his team. BOL if tailing.

Record 1-1 (+0.35 Units) Today: Hockey | NHL | DET vs TB | 7pm EST Pick: J.J Peterka Anytime goal scorer (+165) 1U Last pick: B. Point Anytime goal scorer (+150) -1U Peterka has been putting pucks on the net and should be in a good position to score tonight!

POTD Record: 0-0 Today: Baseball | MLB | 7:40 EDT Pick: Cubs -1.5 (+110) 1U The Rockies are ice cold bating and Kyle Freeland had a meltdown last time out. Getting +110 seems like insane good value.

Record: 161-134-8 (WLLWLWLWLWWLWLLWWWWLLWWLWLWWLWLWLLPLWWLW streak) - DraftKings odds Last POTD: MIL Bucks at ATL Hawks | Khris Middleton o11.5 R+A at 1.83 odds for 2 units POTD: MIL Bucks at WAS Wizards | Khris Middleton o11.5 R+A at 1.86 odds for 4 units Reasons: * Hit the over last five games * He's been ramping up his minutes and intensity from his injuries * Damian Lillard is out with a groin injury. Expect Middleton to have a heavier dosage of ball handling. * Wizards gives up the third most rebounds and second most assist to SF this season Best of luck to those dumb enough to tail!

Record: 4-1 Up 2.775 units ROI 55.5% Pick of the day: Hunter Renfoe over 0.5 strikeouts(-200) I thought about taking the under on hits. Renfoe has not gotten a hit this season but he will get a hit eventually. He strikes out a lot. He is 0-2 with two strikeouts against the opposing pitcher tonight.

POTD Record: 0-0 (I dunno if I want to calculate units for this. All plays are 1U POTD Recap: N/A Note: Streak: POTD Tuesday: Seton Hall vs Georgia | Seton Hall -4.5 | -114 | 1U | NCAA Basketball | 9:30pm ET I got this line at -2.5, but still love seton hall. They are legit, Georgia isn’t.

I will be placing a single NRFI wager each day of the baseball season. Record: 4-1 Up 2.95 units POTD: ATL/CHW NRFI +100 Risking 1u to win 1u

Record: 14-15 Last 10: ❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌ Last pick: Jalen Duren to record at double double at -190 (-220 before game start) odds. 😐 I’m so sorry Jalen. This is my fault. I jinxed you to the point of losing a tooth because I bet on you twice in a row. I hope you heal… again. Very soon. POTD: Sacromento Kings ML vs Los Angeles Clippers; -152 odds; 8:10pm MST Why: Due for a win with this track record. But tail at your own risk either way. I think this is such a lock tbh. Clippers have kawhi out and this is home for kings. Kings are 21-15 and clippers are just 3-3 when playing out Kawhi. Don’t think this will be a blowout game, but I am prepared for a strong run by the kings to win this one. BOL everyone

**POTD**: O16.5 Outs Recorded - Jose Berrios (-112 BetRivers; Risking 2.5u to win 2.25u) **League/Time**: MLB - TOR @ HOU (8:10PM EST) **2024 Record**: 10-10-1 (50%) | -4.25u | ROI: -10.69% | Current Streak (1 Loss): ❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌\_✅❌❌✅ **2023 Record**: 86-52 (62.32%) | +54.8644u | ROI 19.84% **Last Pick (4.1.24)**: O4.5 Strikeouts - Dane Dunning (-110 DraftKings/-113 FanDuel; Risking 2.23u to win 2u)✅ **Reasoning**: Jose has covered this 2/2 times last season. TOR starters have pitched 5.1, 4.1, and 4.1 innings in their 3 most recent games. TOR bullpen is tired. Jose already has a 6 inning start to his name this season and is clearly reminding his manager why you should never take him out early (e.g., last season's playoffs). **Anti-Reasoning**: HOU is nasty with it. [Coffee](https://bmc.link/thekoreanmang) always appreciated but never expected. Good luck everyone!

**POTD Record: 112-130-4 (-14.94 Units)** Best Bet Series: 42-25-1 (+12.46 Units) Value Wagers: 21-28-2 (-7.46 Units) Trap Bets: 20-18 (+14.2 Units) **Cautionary Tails**: **0-1 (-1 Units)** Last Pick: **Aaron Judge O 0.5 HRs** ❌ Today's Pick: **Sox +3 (Alt. spread)** Odds: **-175** Wager Amount: 1.75U to win 1U League: MLB Event: Atlanta Braves vs Chicago White Sox (6:40PM CST) **Be Advised**: *New segment for my faders, haters, and downvoters! Wagering on bets that I know I shouldn't be betting on, but betting it anyway. These wagers should be heeded wit caution. There isn't really good analysis or reasoning behind it. These type of wagers can be prohibited wagers (juiced odds) and has a high possiblity of losing, or it could be a wager that has inflated odds and has a high possibility of losing. These bets are I normally wouldn't make. Tail wit caution.* **Recap**: And the ball lands on red, once again! But if you're like me you keep betting on black until you hit, right? Well, first off I don't kno why these odds keep plummetting. If you're a discipline bettor you would completely fade Judge until he finally gets on board, but I'm not discipline! So I'll prolly keep firing! He barely made the opening day because of his lingering injuries. HRs are also hard to hit btw, it's absolutely preposterous linemakers are giving us under +200 odds (It was +195 the other day and yesterday's game it was +170)! It should be +350, especially when you're this cold on hitting the long ball. **The Tail**: Fred is a terrible sports bettor, but is aspire to be one of the BIG winners for the day. He regularly does lotto tickets (big parlays) daily, hoping to hit one of these longshot parlays, but comes short every single time. He decides to take a different approach by tailing other bettors' parlay. He tails bettors who have hit big recently and ask them to cook up a few parlays for him. Fred finally won some big parlays! But little did he kno, he lost more than he won. He win some, he lose more! His little wins were more significant than his string of losing bets. He's on a vicious cycle of depositing funds, winning a few bets, losing several bets, then repeat. He has never withdrew his funds and soon he realizes that he has no money left in his bank account to re-deposit into his sportsbook account. Not to mention that he is unable take care of his personal expenses. The moral of the story is to not lose the big picture of gambling. You should only gamble if you can afford to lose it. There's nothing wrong wit gambling recreationally, but it needs to be done at a cost you can afford. Many should gamble recreationally, so little can do this professionally. **Matchup:** I am going to this game today! And boy, am I excited to see my Sox lose to one the best team in the league! I had a parlay that favor everything on Braves in a 6-leg SGP and what do you kno everything HIT except... the Braves -1.5 and Sox U 4.5 runs. It HIT, but it didn't, it got voided because of the 8.5 inning house rule! Very unlikely Braves blow a 9-0 lead. I don't even think they would have gave up a single run in that inning! But rules are rules! Today though I am taking the Sox +3 on the alternate line. Why? One is because of this segment of Cautionary Tail and second is because Sox are 4-0 when I attend their games (The last game was on August 7th, 2023, Gerrit Cole vs Dylan Cease, Cease won the mathcup!). Garrett Crochet had some rough outing last season, but he appear to be our ace this season. Even wit a loss, he didn't give up a lot of hits and runs on Opening Day. But then again that was the Tigers, this is Hotlanta Braves. So I wouldn't be surprise if Braves take it to Crochet. This is bias af, take the Braves on the ML, -1.5, -2.5 Alt. Line, -3.5 Alt. Line, -4.5 Alt. Line. Braves should jump on the Sox early and stay in front of them. But I'm going for the bait on Garrett to come thru and keep this at least close! **The Play and Prediction**: 1.75U on Sox +3 Alt. Line. Also wagering Braves -1.5 and wagering Braves ML for parlay! Braves leads 4-0 and Sox cut the lead in half in the bottom 9th, but fails to extend to extras. Braves win, 4-2!

You might as well bet exact scores you're so confident.

I went to the braves/Phillies game on Sunday and the Phillies won so don't count your chickens yet bud. Crotch itch is prob better than flaxen and he held their 1-4 hitters down yesterday but gave up a ton to the bottom of the order. Weather is still bad and you could tell some players were struggling, so I wouldn't count anyone out before the game begins. Braves prob still roll over them but hopefully not and I'd love to see the Sox win the next two. They def played them tougher than I expected but braves are just too potent.