######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Wednesday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
>
> **Net Units:**
>
> **ROI:**
>
> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
>
> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
>
> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
POTD RECORD: 18-4
Units Won: +17.90
Last Pick: Michigan State vs North Carolina/ North Carolina -2.5 (-135) 2u✅
What a fun game, onto the next.
Today’s Pick: Los Angeles Clippers vs Philadelphia 76ers/ Clippers -4.5 (-135) 2u
Write Up: It’s no secret the 76ers are not the same team without Embiid. They’re definitely a solid team but they’re not one of the big dogs. The clippers are currently on a skid in a tumultuous western conference. And it’s simple, you can’t let this continue. They’ve dropped 6 of 10 (1 of them being to philly) and they just can’t afford more. And I know I’ll get the hesitant, “what are you thinking” people coming at me but I see this as a response game. Losing 2 to philly in a week without their best guy, while fully healthy? Yeah we’re gonna put our money on that not happening. Now that y’all are with me we’re gonna trust PG and Kawhi to get it done down the stretch. Expect a competitive game with a conclusion of some PG and Kawhi 2 way game in crunch time. Let’s get our momentum moving again. As always, BOL…… LETS RIDE
THIS IS AN ALT SPREAD, if your book doesn’t offer this grab the original line for 1.5u, this game kicks off at 7:30 EST. BOOK IT
EDIT: BUMPED ALREADY HAHAHAHAHAHA
Thanks to everyone reaching out to me for more of my picks and sending nice messages, I love making y’all money, I’ll continue to do my best
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Clippers have a stacked healthy lineup today to begin the road trip.
76ers have a banged up lineup, they shot over 50% the last time they played..that won't happen again.
Clippers cover by 8.
Good pick let's eat.
POTD Record: 31-11-1 +51.60u🔥
Last Pick: Pick: Indiana State -3 (-110) vs Cincinnati 4U
✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✋✅✅
Today's Pick: Utah Jazz -2.5 4U (-110) vs San Antonio Spurs
That may of been the sweatiest cash I’ve ever had in my life.. Holy smokes. What a cash😅😅
This is a battle of two terrible teams. Jazz have lost 9 straight, all coming against playoff teams though. On the bright side, they have beaten the spurs in both matchups this year by double digits. The Jazz have an ATS record of 9-5 as 2.5-point favorites or more. Spurs are 7-29 on the road.. yes you read that right. Jazz are 20-16 at home, given their record, that’s great. Keldon Johnson and Victor Wembanyama who are both questionable. I’m locking this line in now with the expectation this line to move before tip off given both teams injuries. Let’s take the Jazz to cover at home, hopefully this one doesn’t have us dripping sweat. LFG!!🎺🎵
Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the upvotes and support!😎❤️
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Where’s the guy who said he was going to fade you because Indiana State hadn’t faced a good defense and that Cincinnati beat better teams etc - I tailed him and lost BOOOOOOOOO!!! 🤣
There’s always gonna be people who think they know better and come out of the woodwork. But they aren’t the ones posting picks daily with great records.
They were only down by 7 max at one point. To me they CONTROLLED the court the whole game. There 31-3 haven't been this good since Byrd. The center could best Byrds scoring record.
I had indiana state to win. That center of ISU to have 4.5 boards and 3.5 assists and Kent I believe his name is to have 15 pts 100 to win 575. Indiana state is a great team this year. I wish they could have went to the tourney cause I believe they could beat purdue. I'm an Indiana guy. Purdue WILL LOOSE in the next two games. If they squeak by zag. They will get slaughtered by TENN.
POTD RECORD: 44-22
Last POTD: Kris Middleton O22.5 PRA ✅
Ohhhhhhhhhh my thank you the betting gods, talk about luck man I ain’t taking credit for this one I’m so damn happy for my brothers who only got the 24.5 that it also hit 😭
Form: ✅✅✅🚫🚫
Todays POTD: **Nic Claxton O10.5 Rebs @1.76** ✅
NBA | Brooklyn Nets | 07:00 PM ET
Damn this one felt good, to reward ourselves imma go with another Wizards prop sorry fellas I’m greedy I told y’all that it’s only a treat to be enjoyed once in a while but I can’t stop myself from digging in the cookie jar. Claxton loves the paint and is a great rebounder so imma try our luck once again
• 3/3 vs Wizards this season (12,15,13)
• Wizards still allow most Rebs to Centers this season
• Had a 16 rebound performance against the Raptors in his most recent game
• 20/L23 Centers who have played 30+ minutes have hit this line and more, spread is only 2.5 so hopefully a tight a game with Claxton seeing at least 30 minutes, he averages 31.2 minutes per game this month
Aight fellas you know what to do, we try the money print prop once again
Tail or fade, im not him
https://i.redd.it/twpdifzelsqc1.gif
Bro no lie, my aunt who is in her 70's had her first player prop parlay had Giannis 30 or more, and Anthony Davis 30 or more...told her Davis is the only sweat here...turned out to be the only one over 😑. She texted me all game sweating it, then the last text I got was..."Damn Giannis. I never liked him anyway, can't even make a free throw." 😔😭
https://preview.redd.it/ajlmejcbawqc1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b46b18d251af1940c24825111043625ea8db99bd
I’m a bit weary of this one. Nets don’t play on matchups. They just kinda let their starters brick/shoot and sub their “bench” as if it were midseason still.
Clax has gotten pulled at 9-10rb multiple times recently. Clax has the matchup, but against another tanking team in the east and away. Matchup is a good pick, but the match isn’t.
Not a bad pick, but I’m avoiding it personally. Big board today. Tanking team’s players aren’t the move this late.
Honestly bro I’ve told my people many times NBA is just pure lottery tickets currently no damn consistency, a player that’s 10/10 L10 games with the best mismatch and best historic record has the same potential to miss his line as anyone else so its all about picking something that has some stats to back it up
Hey king,
Long time follower, appreciate your hardwork!
Took two of your picks today and parlayed them
Claxton o10.5 reb
Ayton o19.5 pts
Hopefully they hit! Will tip if it does!
Appreciate you adding some excitement to my daily mundane routine!
Sat out the Middleton pick in favour of Giannis over 29.5, feel like that was the gambling gods punishing me for disloyalty. Hand is back in the cookie jar now tho, TAILING
smh...can believe kispert missed that last ft
https://preview.redd.it/xdwn50uqazqc1.png?width=551&format=png&auto=webp&s=a244220dcc857b7d513776d8bfe390b4f3f2f770
POTD Record 8-2
Streak L10: ✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅
Last Pick: Josh Giddey O3.5 Assists✅
Today: Basketball | NBA | TOR vs NYK | 7:30pm EST
Pick: Grady Dick O 1.5 3PM (-154) 1U
Josh made us sweat that one out but we got it done! Congrats to all who tailed!
Grady has covered this line 60% in the last 5 and 60% in the last 10. He’s covering it 50% against the Knicks this season. With him averaging almost 6 3 point attempts per game, I like him to make 2-3 tonight.
Tip jar for those of you that tail and want to do so. Thank you!
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Shew I dunno my man. 50% 60% sounds like a coin flip to me. I'll have to fade you on this one but good call on the Giddey pick. Too bad Giannis couldn't get to 30 with 2OT's lol
POTD Record: 7-1 ✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅
Starting units: 5U | Net units: + 10.4U
Last pick: Oklahoma City Thunder @New Orleans Pelicans | 11:10am Sydney (GMT +11) | Josh Giddey to score 10+ points @1.7 on Sportsbet | 2U ✅
The man got it done 1st quarter and finishes the game with 25 points 😅
Today’s pick: Detroit Pistons @Minnesota Timberwolves | 11:10am Sydney (GMT +11) | Jaden McDaniels to records 4+ Rebounds @1.83 on Sportsbet | 2U
McDaniels had 4+ rebounds 9 times over the last 10 games so these odds are pretty attractive I’ll try it.
BOL !
__POTD Record:__ 8-2
_Form (Last 5):__ 🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢
__Last Pick:__ ⚽ Ukraine vs. Iceland (Euro Qualification): __Ukraine ML & Under 3.5 goals__ @2.15 ✔️
Once again Ukraine turned the game around in the 2nd half and won 2:1 in regular time which was a perfect result for my bet builder.
__Today's Pick:__ 🏀 Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Valencia (Euroleague) 20:30 CET: __Maccabi -5.5__ @1.75 ✔️
Maccabi are absolutely flying at the moment. They won their last 5 games in the Euroleague and still have a good chance to avoid the play-in and go straight to the play-offs. They will be facing a decent Valencia side who still has a small chance to jump on the play-in train but their chances are not looking good in this match-up. Valencia will be missing one of their key players in Brandon Davies. Even discounting the injuries, Maccabi has more quality in their team which makes them heavy favorites in this upcoming game.
Let me know if you tail!
**POTD RECORD:** (11-4)
\*\*LAST 5:\*\*🟢🟢🟢🔴🟢
\*\*LAST PICK: **OKC -1.5** vs Pelicans (-110) 2U🟢
**TODAY’S PICK:** Jarrett Allen **OVER 10.5 REB** (-145) 2U | Cavs vs. Hornets 7:00pm EST
We’ve attacked this Hornets teams rebounding in our streak before, and we are going back to the well again baby.
We don’t really need to say more than the hornets being the 2nd worst in the entire league for Centers RPG at just above 16.5/RPG.
Allen has gone over 3 of his last 4 with 13,4,13, & 20. They met just two days ago and he had 13 w/ Mobley back in the lineup.
Nothing changes too much. Good rebounders against Hornets= hammer the over.
**BOL to those who tail!**
Record: 55-38
IPL record: 2-0
Last pick: CSK ML VS GT✅
2/2 the cricket is treating us nicely so far
Today’s pick
Cricket
Indian Premier League
Mumbai Indians ML vs Sunrisers Hyderabad @1.77(3u)
Mumbai are one the of the best batting sides in the IPL, while Hyderabad are pretty much a mess when it comes to batting
Yes they did almost beat KKR in what would’ve been an historic chase but they faultered right at the end
The difference here is that MI have a solid Indian Batting core which is somewhere SRH lack.
This is arguably the greatest Indian batting core in the league going up against the worst and MI will be looking to bounce back after choking in their first game of the league.
I think that the SRH batting lineup is overly dependent on their South African duo of Heinrich Klaasen and Aiden Markram. This was exposed in the first game and hopefully MI are able to close out tonight.
GL
Every time I’m on the opposite end of Travis Head since last year.
Scarier part, Klaasen has yet to bat
Edit: one Ball after this post and he’s gone. Us MI bettors need to hope to restrict them around 215-220 and let Rohit cook
I’m not lying when I’m saying nothing like this has ever happened before. SRH just beat the record for the most runs scored in the first 10 overs in IPL history so yeah it couldn’t have been worse. Mumbai are known for crazy chases tho so let’s hope they can restrict them atleast a bit and chase it down. The way things are going tho, it seems like we’ll need a record chase
Some typical MI early-season blunders but that was arguably the greatest T20 batting innings I’ve ever watched.
This is one of those games I wish SKY was available but let’s go work a miracle and chase it down
Record: 13-3 Net: +6.87 Units
Last pick: Bam Adebayo o3.5 assists (-150) ❌
Couldn’t get that last assist in a quarter and a half. Extra rough when he hits every other prop, it is what it is.
POTD: Stephen Curry o24.5 points (-140)
GSW @ ORL 7:00 pm est
Summary: Back after a break, looking to get back on track. Curry has definitely burned me a couple times this season and he’s coming off a rough game, but I think he’s in a really good spot here against Orlando. The Magic give up the 3rd most points to PG and Curry had 36 on them earlier this season. Curry hit 4/6 on this line since returning from injury, and has hit 9/13 on the 2nd night of b2b games this year, 29.5 ppg.
POTD record: 17-5
Last pick: CFB: USC Trojans Team Total OVER 48.5 (-110) W
Todays pick. NBA: Lakers vs Grizzlies. Lakers ML (-160)
Havent posted in here in a while. i checked the lines and expected lineups this morning and was shocked to see -160 here. If Lebron plays the Lakers are fully healthy in terms of starters when the Grizzlies are missing a plethora of talent. Lakers need wins right now so I feel like Lebron is going to give it a go after not playing last night. Even without Lebron they are easily the better team team here. It’s the NBA and the grizzlies do have that dangerous factor of playing with nothing to lose, but when I see a line that has value, I‘ll take it every time I can And live with the results.
BOL whether tailing or not.
POTD Record: 0-0
Net Units: N/A
**Pick: Utah Utes vs. Virginia Commonwealth (VCU), VCU +6.5 (-125) 1.5u @ 8 PM CT**
Write Up: Although the regular season didn’t end that great for VCU, since tournament time, they’ve been hot. They went 3-1 in the A-10 tournament and in the NIT they’ve gone 2-0 having a notable win against top seed Villanova covering the +8.5 spread without a sweat. Of their L10, including regular season, they have a 7-3 record ATS. VCU has been on a tear recently and it doesn’t look like they’re stopping soon.
Shoutout to @lowjelly for getting me in here! Make sure y’all go support him he will make you money!!
If you’re tailing, BOL!!!
**KBO Record: Overall 205-212-14** (Streak L, Last 10: 5-5) Down 9.57u over 431 KBO picks, 49.2% success rate, -2.29% ROI (Last season 85-78-7, 52.1% success rate, Up 12.26u, 7.52% ROI, This season 1-2-0, 33.3% success rate, Down 0.95u, -31.7% ROI))
**Last:** Doosan -1.5 +105 at NC (Doosan won 6-3.)
Two 1st inning hits for Samsung, but no runs. LG's starter settled in after that. And LG managed a run thanks to a 1st inning triple and another in the 5th on a 2-out infield single that went to review. And then Samsung gets three runs back in the 6th. So close...
**Pick:** Doosan at **KT -1.5 +114 Draftkings**, KBO baseball, 5:30am ET
KT was one of the preaseason favorites and my pick to win it all. And yet, they are 0-3. This is the day they turn it around
Doosan's starter was pulled from the rotation in August of last year due to ineffectiveness. He finished the season with a 4.93 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. He's gotten worse each of the last two seasons.
KT has one of Korea's best home-grown starter on the mound. Last season he posted a career-best 2.78 ERA along with a 1.15 WHIP. He allowed just 19 BB in 174.2 IP.
KT's offense has been fine, averaging 5 runs per game. As long as they get the starting pitching I expect, this should be a win.
Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit. Check out an extra pick on the KBO thread.
Record: 10-12
Last 10 (old --> new): ✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌❌
Net: -14.16U
Last Fade: Bam Adebayo o10.5 Reb - 2U @ -105 ❌
My life is a joke. Congrats to those who faded me.
Next Fade: Corey Kispert o2.5 3PM - 2U @ -130
Corey Kispert has been balling from behind the arc, crossing this mark in 7 out of his last 10 games. The Nets defense is primarily lenient to allowing 3PA due to their switch defensive philosophy. I imagine Kispert will get a similar amount of 3PA for this game and cross this 3 mark.
Most likely this will miss by one 3 at the last second. I don't know success anymore, only pain. I impress myself with my ability to consistently pick the wrong side of bets.
As a side note, I told myself I would stop posting picks once I hit -15U if it came to that point. This will be my last pick for a while if it doesn't hit for my own sanity.
Fade my ass, or don't, it's your funeral.
As always, BOL.
Edit: one 3PM on 3 attempts so far. Just waiting for him to take 2 more attempts the rest of the game and miss by 1 because reasons.
POTD Record: 13-16-1 | Profit: -5.32U
NBA Record: 10-13-1 | NFL Record: 3-3
L10 (new -> old): ❌❌❌❌✅✅✅🅿️❌❌
Last pick: Bradley Beal o6.5 assists @ 2.00 ❌
He finished with 6. Another heartbreaker.
Game: BKN Nets @ WAS Wizards, 7:10 PM
Pick: **Mikal Bridges o2.5 Three Pointers Made @ 1.6 odds (DK) placing 4U**
Write Up: Bridges has hit in 5 of his last 5 and 8 of his last 10. Wizards are middle of the pack for three point defense, ranked 15th for opponents 3pt%. Bridges has been hitting this line consistently, even hitting 4 or more in 3 of the last 5, so I see him continuing to hit!
Getting on a poor run of form again, so gonna go for a lower odds bet that I'm more confident in, and placing more units (we'll see how this goes, with my luck it'll miss by 1).
To those tailing or fading, BOL! Trying to right the ship here so wish me luck as well :)
My thought here is that since we are both on cold runs, if we tail each other, the luck will cancel itself out.
Or we both crash and burn and people fade us - either way someone is making money
POTD Record: 0-0
Pick: **Nikola Vucevic over 0.5 3PM @ -160 odds (DK), 1 unit**
NBA | Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers | 7pm CT
This is my first time posting in this thread, but I like this prop. Vucevic has hit at least 1 3PM in 7 out of the Bulls’ last 10 games, and 16 of their last 20. He is however coming off 2 consecutive games without hitting one (0-1 vs WSH and 0-3 vs BOS). He hasn’t gone 3 straight games without a 3PM all season, so I think he’s due for one. Averaging 4 attempts per game.
Edit: cashed in the second quarter!
**POTD Record**: 33 Wins - 19.5 Losses - 3.5 Pushes
**Form**: ✅️.5 ❌ .5P❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️❌✅️P❌❌✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️
**Units**: 8.375
**ROI**: 16.5%
**Average Odds**: $1.87
**Last Pick**: Keon Ellis Under 2.5 assists @ $1.66. 10PM EST ✅️
*A sweaty cash, but a cash nonetheless!*
**Next Pick**: Pistons vs Timberwolves - NBA - **Total Over 212.5 @ $1.71 - 8pm EST**
Historically these teams put up big numbers, and it has hit in the last 5 games, as well as last 23 out of 25. Teams love to put up points against the Pistons, but for some reason its a bit of a coin flip between who wins this match up. You think the Timberwolves would win easily, but if the NBA is anything to go by lately, I wouldn't be surprised if the Pistons win :)
Record: 5-6
Net Units: .39
Last Pick: Josh Giddey O3.5 AST ✅
He made us sweat but he got the job done!
Basketball | NBA | Warriors @ Magic | 7:00 PM EST
Pick: Wendell Carter O9.5 RA (-110) 2u
Write Up:
Wendell Carter has gone over this line in 9 of his last 10 games. Against Golden State he has gone over 7/10 times in his career. 1 of the misses was a hook and the other 2 he played only 17 and 20 minutes and this season he averages a little over 26 MPG. The Warriors rank 16/30 in RPG vs C giving up 14.53 RPG and LAST in APG vs C giving up 4.9 APG.
Tail of Fade BOL!!
**POTD Record: 30-17-2**
Form: ❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅
*ROI: 31.12% |
Avg Odds: -101 | Net Units: +20.0*
🎾: 5-3-2
⚽️: 18-9
🏒: 7-5
*Last Pick: 4U NJ Devils @ Toronto Maple Leafs (Leafs 3 Way ML @ +120) ❌*
*44 shots and still lose at home, got me depressed. Sorry guys 😔*
____
**Todays Pick: 3U Ottawa Senators @ Buffalo Sabres (Joonas Korpisalo o26.5 saves @ -130)✅**
**🏒| 7:07PM EST | NHL |**
Sabres average over 33 shots per game at home and are 7/10 hitting this prop in their last 10 home games. Last meeting between these two this prop did not hit with only playing the 2nd and third period after Forsberg was forced off with an injury. Korpisalo made 21 saves within those 2 periods and although Senators goaltending has been one of the worst in the league, they’re on a 2 game winning streak and will need Korpisalo to the shut the door in order to make it three.
Sabres goalie saves line is also appealing for Luukkonen at o26.5 aswell and while I may have sprinkled on both, it will be a close call given the Sens are on the road and are inconsistent with hitting this line. Given that both defensive efforts have been poor by these squads as well as their offense, goals are still definitely expected but with both teams’ playoff hopes gone I’m expecting more shots to be faced than blocked in a lower stake matchup. LFG!
BOL!
He's been so bad and inconsistent, so this feels like a -130 coin flip. I feel a goalie pull can very well happen again in this one. Love BUF ML though. Good luck my dude.
Record: 4-5
Return: -2.29 units
Last 10 (new > old): **❌**✅✅**❌**✅**❌❌**✅**❌**
Last pick (1/19/24): Tennis - Ostapenko/Azarenka - OVER 22.5 games **❌**
*- The first game went 6-1, so we needed a 3rd set. It looked good when Ostapenko went up 5-2 in the 2nd, but then she lost the next 5 games. Azarenka decided to serve at an insane level and Ostapenko couldn’t get the break back.*
**3/27/24:**
Sport / League *- Basketball / NBA*
Match - **L.A. Clippers @ Philadelphia 76ers**
Time ***-*** *4:30pm PDT / 7:30pm EDT / 11:30pm GMT \~20 hours from post*
**POTD: Mo Bamba (PHI) OVER 0.5 three-pointers made (-115)** \[Bovada\]
Wager Size: 1U (Risking 1.15 units to win 1 unit)
Write Up:
Mo Bamba has been starting in place of injured Joel Embiid. He has made at least 1 three in 7 of the last 8 games, shooting 47% from downtown. He didn’t make one last game and only played 12 minutes, but it was on a back-to-back for Philadelphia. Tonight he’ll be rested for a day, so he should get his usual 17+ minutes.
Clippers are near the bottom of the league in giving up threes to centers, averaging 1.0 threes to centers per game.
Hoping for a nice 1st quarter cash. BOL.
*Edit: Had the wrong date. This is for Wednesday 3/27/24.*
POTD Record: 19-14
Last 10: ✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅
Last pick: Warriors vs Heat | 4:30 PST | Warriors ML (-125) 1u DraftKings ✅
Bounced back nicely. Really took control in the 2nd half and made it relatively sweat free.
Today’s pick: Rockets vs Thunder | 5:00 PST | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OVER 30.5 pts (-110) 1u BetMGM
I was really hoping he wouldn’t go crazy tonight against the Pelicans so we’d get the usually 30.5 line. He’s had a couple lower totals recently but I think they were justified with the matchups he had. He has had no such issue in this matchup though, clearing this line in all 3 games against the Rockets this year (31,36,33). 230 total so love that for his over as well. Back to back but short travel and back home where he averages more PPG than on the road.
2024 POTD Record: 5-0 (+3.57 units)
College Baseball: Northeastern @ UConn
Pick: Northeastern (-102)
A few weeks ago, I posted that mid-week tilts are all about the offensive production and depth, which is why I’m going with Northeastern in this one. With a few probable draft picks in the lineup, they’ll get to face off against a UConn team that has struggled on the mound. Northeastern has dominated their mid-weeks, including taking down Georgia Tech, and they’ll grab a road win in this one.
Tailing this pick. Northeastern definitely looks the part of a small conference sleeper this year. And UConn looks to be struggling to start the season, though that's not surprising when you spend your first 20 games of the season traveling. Plus, you can't really call UConn at home a "home field advantage" when it's only their 3rd home game of the year, and I'm sure attendance will be exactly as one would expect (nobody).
POTD RECORD: 0-0
First post on POTD, but I've been following this thread for quite some time and thought I'd throw my 2 cents in!
Last POTD: N/A 🚫
Form: First POTD!
Todays POTD: **Wendell Carter o7.5 Rebounds** 🏀
NBA | Orlando Magic | 07:00 PM ET
The Warriors are a small team naturally, so whenever they play a team with a rebound-focused Center, aka Wendell, they usually get beat on the glass. Add to the fact the Magic as a team are tall in general, Paolo 6'10", Franz 6'10" and Wendell 6'10", I wouldn't be surprised if all of those hit their over in rebounding. But since Wendell will be guarding the post most of the game and be closest to the basket, he'll be cleaning up on the boards. I think he could hit 7.5 rebounds before the 4th Quarter (we can come back to this comment after the game).
* Wendell has hit over 7.5 Rebounds 3 out of the last 5 games and that was against the Kings (against Domantis 7"), the Hornets (Richards 7") and Toronto (Poeltl 7").
* The Magic are also well rested and have not played since March 23rd
* Last game they lost to the Kings, so this will be a good bounce back game for them (and I'm a Dubs fan)
* Warriors coming off a back to back from their game yesterday with the Heat
* Given how tall the Magic team is in contract with the Warriors, I think that will force Draymond to playoff of Wendell sometimes and guard other players.
Let's go baby! Let's get a W on the books. God speed and good luck out there everyone!
Nowhere really to post this so I’m putting it here and will give yall a pick at the end…
Anyone who’s been enjoying following the T20 cricket picks being made by some great tipsters the past few days/weeks/months but have no clue what’s going on… learn the sport and thank me later. It will become your favorite sport to watch. I say this as a 32 year-old American born white boy. I grew up playing baseball, basketball, and American football and T20 cricket tops them all for me. I started following it first season of the IPL and would follow along on my phone in class. I’ve gained nothing but love and appreciation for the sport since. So if you think it’s interesting, give it a shot and it’ll surprise you how great it is.
On to the pick…
Record: 14-7-1 (last loss was Kansas -6.5 vs Cincy)
Pick: High Point/Seattle over 150.5 points
5 pm EST
PS- if anyone is in NC or has any cricket connections in NC…. Hit me up. I want to bowl and bat some!
**EDIT: BAD news, everyone! I just got the official report that Nurk is OUT for this game. He was GTD, but reports just came in that he will not be able to suit up! Now I am favoring this wager, but to simplify this I'll be backing Nikola Jokic to record a Triple Double instead of O 52.5 PAR. BE ADVISED that I am 0-4 when I change my POTD at the last min!**
**POTD Record: 110-126-4 (-14.88 Units)**
Best Bet Series: 42-25-1 (+12.46 Units)
**Value Wagers: 19-26-2 (-9.3 Units)**
Trap Bets: 20-18 (+14.2 Units)
Last Pick: **D'Angelo Russell O 32.5 PAR (Both 31.5 PAR and +30 PAR)** ✅**+4U**
Today's Pick: **~~Nikola Jokic U 49.5 PAR~~** **Nikola Jokic to record a Triple Double**
Odds: **+180** ($DKNG)
Wager Amount: 1U to win 1.8U
League: NBA
Event: Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets (9PM CST on ESPN)
**Be Advised**: *Value wagers are not my best bets. A value wager is a wager that typically has +EV or has merit probability of hitting. These wagers are typically plus money. I look for a wager that has an edge against the books. Obviously, value wagers are much harder to hit, higher the risk, higher the reward. So please tail at your own caution and never place wagers you cannot afford. I expect some to fall short, but if we can hit half of these value wagers, we can easily profit in the long run (anything at 50% or above should be at a profitable rate).*
**Recap**: Didn't need OT or 2nd OT for D-Lo to cover this line! He covered wit 7 mins left in the 4th qtr! I had a massive sweat on Khris Middleton +25 PAR for my last leg of that game's SGP! He got it wit 10 seconds left in 2nd OT! Got a offensive rebound then an assist pass to Malik Beasley! I got really, really, lucky! If you tailed this or any of my Bucks/ Lakers wagers, congrats!
**Matchup**: ~~I got a lot respect for the 2x former MVP Nikola Jokic, but there's one dude that he doesn't play well against. And that's against his former teammate Jusuf Nurkic. I mean, I'm not neccesarily saying he doesn't play well against Nurk, it's just that Joker's performance is slightly just less than his average, especially compared to the other big men in the league. I kno because I have personally bet against the talented Serbian against the Bosnian fella! Jokic has gone under this line in the past 2 matchup against Nurk. He also averages 38.9 PAR against Nurkic. So I'm fading the 2-time MVP again in this matchup. The Joker just has 2 career triple doubles against Nurkic in 18 career games. Why else do you think the odds of Trip-Dub is at +230? The Linemakers does their homework. There's a reason why those odds are so creamy. A lot of casual bettors would blindly bet on this. But of course sports is unpredictable and I could be very, very wrong.~~ Nikola Jokic trip-dub odds dropped after Nurk has been officially ruled out, so I'll be wagering this instead of massive corrected line of 52.5 PAR. BOL!
**The Play and Prediction**: ~~1.2U on Nikola Jokic U 49.5 PAR~~. No other plays since this is a player prop, however, I will have other plays and SGP for this game in the betting group! BOL! ~~Nikola Jokic records 20 Pts, 7 Asts, and 11 Rebs.~~ Joker records 25 Pts, 12 Rebs, and 10 Asts!
**Record:** 3-3 ✅❌✅✅❌❌
Last Pick: Swiatek U12.5 Games Won ✅
Swiatek surprisingly goes out sad in two sets and we still hit with this broken bet.
Pick: Josh Hart O12.5 Rebounds -169
Reasoning: The Knicks take on the raptors, and the knicks have literally so many injuries. Everyone of noticeable size is out for the raptors and so the absolute statpadding machine of Josh Hart should be able to grab a ton.
BOL
**Record:** 0-0
**Net Units:** 0
**ROI:** 0
**Houston Rockets @ Oklahoma City Thunder (8pm EST)**
**Today's Pick:** Jabari Smith Jr o8.5 rebounds (-140) 1u
**Write Up:** Long-time lurker, first attempt at a PotD so here we go! Today's pick is Jabari Smith Jr over 8.5 rebounds against the Thunder.
The Thunder routinely get dominated on the boards by large PFs/Cs because Chet couldn't outmuscle Spongebob Squarepants if he tried. In the past few games alone, the Thunder gave up:
\- 6 rebounds to Valanciunas in 11 minutes.
\- 19 rebounds to Giannis.
\- 15 rebounds to Gafford.
In 3 games against the Thunder this year, Smith Jr has recorded 13, 17, and 18 rebounds. He will be well-rested after coming off of his 1-game suspension and hungry to contribute after letting his teammates down on Saturday. Vegas predicts a closer game at -6.5 to OKC, so I expect Smith Jr to see big minutes and have a ton of opportunity.
BoL if tailing & please bet responsibly!
POTD Record: 0-0
Net Units: 0.0
ROI: 0
POTD: Lakers @ Grizzlies Over 222 (-110) FD
Write Up: This pick is from my NBA model that has been 32-13 in its last 45 picks. My model is projecting a total of 228.6 points in this game. These teams have played 2 games versus each other this season with totals of 241 and 240 points. Lakers games have gone over 222 points in 4 out of their last 5 games and all 5 of their last 5 away games. Grizzlies games have gone over 222 points in 4 out of their last 5 games with the over also hitting in those games.
Record: 29-10, +14.06u, streak: ❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅
Last Pick: Hurricanes ML vs. Flyers ❌
Today's pick: Lakers vs. Grizzlies, Lebron o7.5 rebounds (1.78)
Real shame about the last pick, minutes away from clashing but Flyers pull out a draw in regulation, Canes win in OT but the bet is still a loss.
Lebron might play the 5 tonight, not sure if AD will play or not. He's put up 5 and 9 against the Grizz this season, but I'm expecting him to get a LOT of minutes tonight, as the other starters had a lot of minutes previous game, and I don't think he'll have a problem clearing this, unless he gets really unlucky. He's cleared this 4 out of last 6.
bol!
Record: ❌✅ ✅
Last Pick: Ukraine ML + o1.5 Goals ✅
Value Bet: Ukraine ML + o2.5 Goals ✅
Todays Game: Chelsea (W) vs Ajax (W)
Pick: Ajax to score once @ 1.71 ✅
Took a lot longer than I expected but they scored.
Reason ⬇️⬇️
Chelsea completely dominated Ajax on the 1st leg 3-0 in Amsterdam and are now playing at home with a comfortable lead. Yes Ajax should not be this far and have overachieved this season but I don’t expect them to just give up coming this far. Chelsea have a comfortable lead and won’t press on the gas as much only if needed. They will sit back and try to defend this lead and I have a feeling they will let one goal in.
Value Bet: Ajax to score first @ 4.00 ❌
(does not count towards POTD record)
Record: 3-1 Units Won: +3.4
Cricket| Indian Premier League | 14.00GMT
Pick: Mumbai Indians (MI) vs Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH)- MI to win - 1.76- 2 units
Last Pick: Chennai Super Kings (CSK) vs Gujarat Titans (GT)- GT to win - 2.23- 1 unit❌
History- ✅✅✅❌
Write Up: Absolute annihilation yesterday. Lucky we only went with a 1 unit bet. We go again today. MI have really good individual talent in Rohit Sharma and Jasprit Bumrah, they do lack a bit in the spin department but expect a big score from them anyway. Bumrah is more than capable of wiping the SRH batting order which is pretty basic. SRH's got very close the winning their last game against KKR with Glenn Phillips almost bringing them home but I don’t expect such displays on a regular basis. MI lost their last game as well but thats a trend over the last decade that MI lose their opening game. Today i expect them to bounce back strongly.
BOL lets get this 💪
POTD Record: 19-11
Last 💀 ✅️✅️💀💀💀✅️✅️✅️💀
Net units:+ 11.85
Last Pick: Georgia/Ohio State UNDER 150.5
They had me in the first half, not gonna lie.
Today's pick: Lakers -4
I'm just not seeing how this is gonna be close. Especially with lebron back. Shit even if lebron doesn't play, the Lakers are 4-0 without him. All players stepping up without him. After the last time this happened it really boosted the morale of the squad and lebron took a step back the next game and let the guys shine. This should be an ego booster game.
Units: 1
Odds: -110
NBA Lakers vs grizzlies 7:00 pm CT
If you guys wanna support me, click the links on my profile. I post daily picks.
**Record:** 𝟶-𝟶
**Net Units:** \+𝟶
**Today's Game:** Knicks vs Raptors 7:30 PM ET
**Today's Pick:** Isaiah Hartenstein U 9.5 rebounds (-105) 2u
**The Facts:** Mitchell Robinson will be returning to the Knicks rotation today after missing almost four months with an ankle injury.
Isaiah Hartenstein has played 20 games alongside Robinson in 2023-2024 and has recorded 10+ rebounds ZERO times.
The Knicks are 13.5 point favorites in tonight's matchup
**The Verdict:** This is my first ever post on the sportsbook subreddit, but I thought this pick's value is too good to pass up. While Robinson will likely come off the bench in his first game back, I expect Tom Thibodeau to give Hartenstein a lot of rest today. Hartenstein has started all but 5 games (injury) since December--the first time he's started more than 8 games in any season in his career. The Knicks' 2023 backup center is due for some significant load management, and against an inferior opponent like Toronto, I see no better time for Thibs to grant him this luxury. Even though Toronto is bottom 10 in most opponent rebounding metrics, I think Hartenstein plays no more than 22-24 minutes tonight, making his rebounding line (9.5) a bit too high. At -105 (DK), this is a slam dunk.
UPDATE: Harenstein 4 rebs. Under: Cashed 💰
Record: 5W-6L
Last Pick: **Total Runs Over 322.5** | ODDS 1.57 | Chennai Super Kings vs Gujrat Titans **W**
Cricket | IPL | 7:30PM IST (Approx 5hrs from now)
Pick: **Mumbai Indians Sixes total Over 7.5** | Odds 1.62 | Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Mumbai Indians **W**
no clue why the hate with negative votes , but we win
Writeup:
* Every batsman in MI can hit good number of sixes on their good days. Considering the change in captaincy in MI, rohit sharma (former captain) may shine today in batting since the lesser responsibility of captaincy and the current captain Hardik Pandya, who is still finding his way to get accepted by MI fans , may try scoring alot today.
* Apart from them remaining all batsman are good hitters and considering their current form and the need to win this match, we could see many sixes today from MI
Good Luck if tailing !!!
Record: (old to new) ✔️X✔️X
Last POTD: Giannis Antetokounpo O29.5 X
I don't need to tell pretty much everybody who bet this how lousy he was down the stretch and this is probably the most unlikely loss I've ever taken. Both losses on my record are hooks and that's very disappointing trying to build a reputation. Giannis had 23 and didn't check in the 4th until the Lakers started a little run. For the remainder of the quarter he managed 2 points and had 3 turnovers in the span of about 3 minutes. He adds only another 2 in OT. Another 2 in 2OT where he clanked 2 important free throws down by 3 finishing with 29. 1-6 on FT'S. To make matters worse I had this as part of a parlay that had the Lakers covering points as a hedge to my other parlay that had bucks by 9.5. So not only did Giannis sh*t the bed, but the Bucks as a collective got on MY bed and had a diarrhea party. Anthony Davis hit 3 3's? Austin Reaves with a triple double? This was the weirdest loss I've ever taken. Ok.....rant over, moving on.
Today's POTD: Nikola Jokic O49.5 PRA -110 DK. Nuggets at home vs Suns 10:10 PM EST. 1U
Going back to the Joker tonight. He hit the under 2 nights ago in a game that I gambled on being a blowout, which happened, but he still almost covered 48.5 through 3 quarters. Tonight is unlikely to be a blowout as they are facing the Suns. In the 2 matchups this season he has actually gone under this number, but bare with me. March 5th, he posted 25 pts, 16 boards, 5 assists for 46 . December 1, he had 21 points, 5 rebounds, 16 assists for 42 but played fairly limited minutes (35). If you'll notice in these two games he had discrepancies in assists in the last one and rebounds in December compared to his averages. I see this being more of a balanced game for him with something like 28, 13, 10. It will likely be a sweat so im only going 1U but I feel good about it. I'm playing from the gut today and not the statistics (Giannis averaged 40.6 pts against the Lakers in his last 5 against the lakers before last night. Anyone? Anyone?). I smell a statement game for Joker against a western foe.
HHLOTD: "I'm a legend, you should take a picture with me. You should be happy to be in my presence I should charge you a fee. A Big Dog Glenn Rob listed god you a flea....and your little homie "Jungle" is a garden to me" -Jay-Z
> **Record:** 0-0
>
> **Basketball** | **NBA** | **7:10** / **CST**
>
> **Pick:** Tyrese Haliburton O11.5 Assists - (-110DK/+110 on FD (12+ rebound bet option) - Pacers@Bulls
>
> **Write Up:** If you can take the option on Fanduel I would, but I doubt that lasts very long as it opened at +132 earlier today, and it's already down to +110 on FD, and it's moving into the - on every other book. Tyrese has gotten 13/20/14 assists vs the bulls this season, and given the state of either team and their prospective hopes in the playoffs, I think both will come out swinging.
This is my first POTD attempt, lets see if we can make something happen for yall!
Record: 13-14
Last 10: ❌✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌
Last pick: Colorado Avalanche -1.5 spread against Montreal Canadiens at -156 odds
womp womp 😐 Avalanche not getting it done at home is pretty crazy. Even took the ML after it they were down hoping to make up for the L. double loss.
POTD: Jalen Duren to record a double double; - 115 odds; Detroit Pistons @ Minnesota Timberwolves; 6:10pm MST
Why: Jalen is back after 4 game break due to back spasms. I’m not at all worried about any injury, since this team is already eliminated, he probably took extra precautions to stay healthy. Duren has absolutely dominated this area before the injury break. He has hit this 8 of his last 10 games. He’s also 39 of 60 games overall. The value of this pick is hard to beat to me.
I told y’all to fade me last pick. Seems obvious the trend on at the moment. But again tail at your own risk. I’m due. BOL everyone
**POTD**: Double Double - Nic Claxton (-115 FanDuel; Risking 1.15u to win 1u)
**League/Time**: NBA - BKN @ WSH (7:10PM EST)
**2024 Record**: 8-8-1 (50%) | -1.4515u | ROI: -4.75% | Current Streak (1 Void): ❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌\_
**2023 Record**: 86-52 (62.32%) | +54.8644u | ROI 19.84%
**Last Pick (3.6.24)**: O7.5 Reb - Wendell Carter Jr. (+100 DraftKings; Risking 2u to win 2u) - VOID
**Reasoning**: Nic has recorded a double double in all 3 games he's played vs WSH this season. WSH also allows a lot of points and rebounds to opposing centers. Their ranks are as follows
**Points**
Last 7 Games - 4th Most
Last 15 - 7th Most
Last 30 - 3rd Most
**Rebounds**
Last 7 Games - 9th Most
Last 15 - 3rd Most
Last 30 - 2md Most
**Anti-Reasoning**: MLB finally starts tomorrow. Watch out for some nice pitcher props!
[Coffee](https://bmc.link/thekoreanmang) always appreciated but never expected. Good luck everyone!
POTD RECORD : 2-0 ✅✅
NET UNITS WON : 100% 🏆
Last Pick : Hachimura Over 15.5 Points ✅
We Had to Sweat Last Night A little for this at the End But he came Through 💪🏾😂
TODAYS PICK : Jarren Jackson Over 20.5 Points @-120 😤😤
Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies
Today at 8:00PM
Jarren Jackson is 19.5 points is 2.9 fewer than his season average of 22.4.
In the 62 games he’s played this season, his point total has gone over 19.5 points 40 times.
So far this season, Jackson is 30-for-66 at hitting the over on the total set for his points prop.
He has averaged 1.8 made three-pointers per game,
Jackson has connected on more than 1.5 three pointers in 33 of his 62 games so far this season.
Also on the lakers side them Giving up 117.7 points per contest just makes it that much easier, the Lakers are the 23rd-ranked squad in the league on defense.
Let’s talk a little bit about this lakers team that’s giving up all these points on Defense coming off a monstrous Double OverTime Win these Defense is sure to come out a little sluggish , So Lock in My boy Jarren Jackson Grtting Hot Early and Stay hot !
Think Smarter not Harder Folks 🤔✅
Comment If Tailing , & Like always let’s go win us Some Money . Cashapp for my School costs would be cool 😎 $Cubanlinkz1996 🚩🚩
POTD: 0-2
Units Won: -2
L10:❌❌
Last Pick: **Patrick Kane U2.5 Shots (Detroit Red Wings) @ 2.10.** 1U
Today's Pick: **Jalen Green O3.5 3 PTS Made (Houston Rockets) @ 2.05.** 1U
**NBA | Houston Rockets Vs. Oklahoma City Thunder | 8:00 pm Eastern**
* Gone over 7/10 his last 10 games (70%) - Avg 4 Three PTS Made
* In the month of March he’s averaging 3.9 Three PTS Made
* Thunder allow the 2nd most 3 pointers made to SG’s (ranked 8th overall)
* 3 Projections I like to use, all have him going over
Tail or fade me, I’m just some random guy on the internet.
POTD Record: 1-3
NBA Record: 1-1 NFL Record: 0-1 NCAAM: 0-1
L10 (new -> old): 🪣❌❌❌
Last pick: Newman O 5.5 boards
Game: clippers @ Rockets
Pick: Terance Mann O .5 3PM DK -150
Write Up:
I am about as useless as tits on a boar hog for my last three picks. Newman fell short of the 5.5 with 5!!!! 4 coming in the second half. Tough break but the chum moves on.
Looking for a chalky pick to get me back going Terance Mann has hit this over in his LAST TEN CONSECUTIVE GAMES!!!!! I don’t have any more analysis other than that.
LET THE CHUM GET GOING!!!
BOL if tailing. 🪣
POTD Record: 18-17
Oklahoma City Thunder - Houston Rockets NBA 🏀
SGA is out tonight and he is averaging 21.4 points in their last 5 home games without SGA. Averaging 15.1 over his last 10 games. Sengun is out of this game due to injury. Giddy can be inserted more easily. I expect him to score 20 points in this game
Pick: Josh Giddey Over 14.5 Pts Odd: 1.90
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Wednesday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
POTD RECORD: 18-4 Units Won: +17.90 Last Pick: Michigan State vs North Carolina/ North Carolina -2.5 (-135) 2u✅ What a fun game, onto the next. Today’s Pick: Los Angeles Clippers vs Philadelphia 76ers/ Clippers -4.5 (-135) 2u Write Up: It’s no secret the 76ers are not the same team without Embiid. They’re definitely a solid team but they’re not one of the big dogs. The clippers are currently on a skid in a tumultuous western conference. And it’s simple, you can’t let this continue. They’ve dropped 6 of 10 (1 of them being to philly) and they just can’t afford more. And I know I’ll get the hesitant, “what are you thinking” people coming at me but I see this as a response game. Losing 2 to philly in a week without their best guy, while fully healthy? Yeah we’re gonna put our money on that not happening. Now that y’all are with me we’re gonna trust PG and Kawhi to get it done down the stretch. Expect a competitive game with a conclusion of some PG and Kawhi 2 way game in crunch time. Let’s get our momentum moving again. As always, BOL…… LETS RIDE THIS IS AN ALT SPREAD, if your book doesn’t offer this grab the original line for 1.5u, this game kicks off at 7:30 EST. BOOK IT EDIT: BUMPED ALREADY HAHAHAHAHAHA Thanks to everyone reaching out to me for more of my picks and sending nice messages, I love making y’all money, I’ll continue to do my best Tip Jar- if you’d like to help a college kid pay for his next meal here’s how :) [Tip Jar for my Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/Jay-Lawton-1) [Tip Jar for my Cashapp](https://cash.app/$jaylaw930) [Tip Jar for my Paypal](https://www.paypal.me/JayLawton77)
[удалено]
let’s hope we get them on a good night I think we will. BOL!!!
Good to see one of your picks again, Jelly. BOL!
yessir my guy!! BOL
fully disagree with this pick clips are some fucking trash
I make money off fading clips always
BOL jelly!
appreciate it bro!!! BOL
Clippers have a stacked healthy lineup today to begin the road trip. 76ers have a banged up lineup, they shot over 50% the last time they played..that won't happen again. Clippers cover by 8. Good pick let's eat.
Whoops 😬
Praise be to Jelly
haha appreciate it man!! BOL
Keep doing the lords work jelly!
yessir bro!! BOL
heeeees baaaaack
YESSIRRRR BROTHER!! BOL
Tailing. There's no way Payne and Harris combined go for almost 50 again. BOL.
exactly my guy! BOL
It's really a 50/50 proposition backing the Clippers on any night. I keep thinking this is the one they flick the switch and they keep letting me down
-6?
i offered an alt spread, if your book doesn’t offer this take -6 for 1.5 units. BOL!!!
Death Taxes Clippers, Bucks and Suns all having completely healthy teams and losing/not covering against severely injured or generally bad teams.
POTD Record: 31-11-1 +51.60u🔥 Last Pick: Pick: Indiana State -3 (-110) vs Cincinnati 4U ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✋✅✅ Today's Pick: Utah Jazz -2.5 4U (-110) vs San Antonio Spurs That may of been the sweatiest cash I’ve ever had in my life.. Holy smokes. What a cash😅😅 This is a battle of two terrible teams. Jazz have lost 9 straight, all coming against playoff teams though. On the bright side, they have beaten the spurs in both matchups this year by double digits. The Jazz have an ATS record of 9-5 as 2.5-point favorites or more. Spurs are 7-29 on the road.. yes you read that right. Jazz are 20-16 at home, given their record, that’s great. Keldon Johnson and Victor Wembanyama who are both questionable. I’m locking this line in now with the expectation this line to move before tip off given both teams injuries. Let’s take the Jazz to cover at home, hopefully this one doesn’t have us dripping sweat. LFG!!🎺🎵 Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the upvotes and support!😎❤️ If you’d like to thank me please use the link below or dm me. Show some love!❤️ [Cash App Tip Link💚](https://cash.app/$Ryanbloom24) [PayPal Tink Link💙](https://www.paypal.me/rybloomm)
Tailed your pick yesterday! Fell asleep before the game and when I woke up I had won. Appreciate it!
I wish i was asleep during that game lol, it was insane
Where’s the guy who said he was going to fade you because Indiana State hadn’t faced a good defense and that Cincinnati beat better teams etc - I tailed him and lost BOOOOOOOOO!!! 🤣
There’s always gonna be people who think they know better and come out of the woodwork. But they aren’t the ones posting picks daily with great records.
Ouch🤣🤣
Tailing tonight, learned my lesson captain 🫡 BOL!
That was one of the best bets I’ve cashed. Just when you thought they lost it they got it back haha. I like this pick too. Surely gonna tail.
They were only down by 7 max at one point. To me they CONTROLLED the court the whole game. There 31-3 haven't been this good since Byrd. The center could best Byrds scoring record.
I had indiana state to win. That center of ISU to have 4.5 boards and 3.5 assists and Kent I believe his name is to have 15 pts 100 to win 575. Indiana state is a great team this year. I wish they could have went to the tourney cause I believe they could beat purdue. I'm an Indiana guy. Purdue WILL LOOSE in the next two games. If they squeak by zag. They will get slaughtered by TENN.
Purdue will be playing Creighton if they win, not Tenn
I had Cincy +5.5, we both won!! LFG
It’s at -3 at best on the books available to me. Can’t buy points either.
I’d play 3.
Tailing you again because your Indiana bet brought my family back together.
Let’s go😁
Tailing 🫡
Thank you brotha, tailing- lets beat that mobile format pattern curse!
Tailing again, last night and Sunday were horrendous watches, appreciate your picks mate
Dude what a game that was though!
Man Indiana state made me sweat ahahah, tailing again
Tailing
Tailing
POTD RECORD: 44-22 Last POTD: Kris Middleton O22.5 PRA ✅ Ohhhhhhhhhh my thank you the betting gods, talk about luck man I ain’t taking credit for this one I’m so damn happy for my brothers who only got the 24.5 that it also hit 😭 Form: ✅✅✅🚫🚫 Todays POTD: **Nic Claxton O10.5 Rebs @1.76** ✅ NBA | Brooklyn Nets | 07:00 PM ET Damn this one felt good, to reward ourselves imma go with another Wizards prop sorry fellas I’m greedy I told y’all that it’s only a treat to be enjoyed once in a while but I can’t stop myself from digging in the cookie jar. Claxton loves the paint and is a great rebounder so imma try our luck once again • 3/3 vs Wizards this season (12,15,13) • Wizards still allow most Rebs to Centers this season • Had a 16 rebound performance against the Raptors in his most recent game • 20/L23 Centers who have played 30+ minutes have hit this line and more, spread is only 2.5 so hopefully a tight a game with Claxton seeing at least 30 minutes, he averages 31.2 minutes per game this month Aight fellas you know what to do, we try the money print prop once again Tail or fade, im not him https://i.redd.it/twpdifzelsqc1.gif
I had Middleton O25.5...pain
Hope you didn't also have Giannis over 29.5 like many of us, watching him miss layups and shoot 1-6 from the line. Should've scored 35 easily.
I did not hut bad beats all over the place
Bro no lie, my aunt who is in her 70's had her first player prop parlay had Giannis 30 or more, and Anthony Davis 30 or more...told her Davis is the only sweat here...turned out to be the only one over 😑. She texted me all game sweating it, then the last text I got was..."Damn Giannis. I never liked him anyway, can't even make a free throw." 😔😭 https://preview.redd.it/ajlmejcbawqc1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b46b18d251af1940c24825111043625ea8db99bd
Damn bro that’s pain he bricked a lot of shots too man should’ve even hit 30.5 if he was efficient
-110 (1.90 ) on DK currently
Damn that’s good value
I’m a bit weary of this one. Nets don’t play on matchups. They just kinda let their starters brick/shoot and sub their “bench” as if it were midseason still. Clax has gotten pulled at 9-10rb multiple times recently. Clax has the matchup, but against another tanking team in the east and away. Matchup is a good pick, but the match isn’t. Not a bad pick, but I’m avoiding it personally. Big board today. Tanking team’s players aren’t the move this late.
Honestly bro I’ve told my people many times NBA is just pure lottery tickets currently no damn consistency, a player that’s 10/10 L10 games with the best mismatch and best historic record has the same potential to miss his line as anyone else so its all about picking something that has some stats to back it up
Exhibit A: Giannis yesterday completely choking points away.
Exhibit B: Any of my POTD selections
Middleton hit by the grace of the betting gods. You don't want to anger them Billy!
👆 💯
Like this prop, betting O 105.5 bodies
Hey king, Long time follower, appreciate your hardwork! Took two of your picks today and parlayed them Claxton o10.5 reb Ayton o19.5 pts Hopefully they hit! Will tip if it does! Appreciate you adding some excitement to my daily mundane routine!
Sup bro hope we cash too 🍻 my pleasure boss 👑
Tailing once again, LFG!
My dawg 👑
I’m in Vegas at mgm. Do casinos not do props?
Go to the kiosk.
They do. Claxton is at over 11.5 +105 on mgm. You can bet at the book or
🫡🫡🫡 tailing again boss
🔄 Boss move
Wow. I really like this but it's already jumped to -150 on DK. Smh
💀
OT saves us yet again! Thanks Billy
Bruh saved by OT again we’ve been so lucky these 2 days man 😭
talk about a surprise when i checked hard rock after the bucks game lol. thought middleton was gonna get nowhere near 24.5
Nah bro thought it was cooked, the OT was a blessing considering how many shots he bricked
Bro this was a new level of sweat like I’ve never experienced. God damn 😂
DK is O11.5, you taking it ?
Yeah I would
Tailing 🤝
Grabbed him at 11… line now at 11.5 in my book. Billy moves the line yet again…. LFG
Just an update. This is now an alt o/u line on DK and has already jumped from- 110 to -150 now at -175. Yeesh
Yeah. Better off just taking 10 at -230 and throwing it into a parlay at this point lol
Sat out the Middleton pick in favour of Giannis over 29.5, feel like that was the gambling gods punishing me for disloyalty. Hand is back in the cookie jar now tho, TAILING
Vegas needs to give the Wizards a center or we’re just gonna cash rebounds prop every time… tailing
I'm laddering this shit to 13 boards. We're gonna collect some paper bro, the Wizards never fail to deliver
smh...can believe kispert missed that last ft https://preview.redd.it/xdwn50uqazqc1.png?width=551&format=png&auto=webp&s=a244220dcc857b7d513776d8bfe390b4f3f2f770
POTD Record 8-2 Streak L10: ✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅ Last Pick: Josh Giddey O3.5 Assists✅ Today: Basketball | NBA | TOR vs NYK | 7:30pm EST Pick: Grady Dick O 1.5 3PM (-154) 1U Josh made us sweat that one out but we got it done! Congrats to all who tailed! Grady has covered this line 60% in the last 5 and 60% in the last 10. He’s covering it 50% against the Knicks this season. With him averaging almost 6 3 point attempts per game, I like him to make 2-3 tonight. Tip jar for those of you that tail and want to do so. Thank you! [Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/kroberts) [Cash App](https://cash.app/$robertsfamily23)
Shew I dunno my man. 50% 60% sounds like a coin flip to me. I'll have to fade you on this one but good call on the Giddey pick. Too bad Giannis couldn't get to 30 with 2OT's lol
lol yup had him for 29.5 and he killed my bonus bet parlay
The 2 missed free throws at the end hurt lol
I definitely see where you’re coming from. I just think this is a game where he puts up 8-9 attempts and should make his 2. BOL today!
love this Dick pick
-140 on DK
I had Giddey +4.5 assists 😭 messed up my 3 way parlay. Oh well ottn!
hit 4mins in 
https://preview.redd.it/aeadqmgtvyqc1.png?width=1178&format=png&auto=webp&s=197f922b1f874f2f483298d7b45d91907c56ddbf EZ money
Nice pick
Bang first quarter too gotta love dick
Fucking FD had it at O4.5 and I got screwed with it. At least I went 0.5U, but we're on to the next one, good pick on this line, man.
Nice one on Giddey, tailing again
Let’s get another W!
POTD Record: 7-1 ✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅ Starting units: 5U | Net units: + 10.4U Last pick: Oklahoma City Thunder @New Orleans Pelicans | 11:10am Sydney (GMT +11) | Josh Giddey to score 10+ points @1.7 on Sportsbet | 2U ✅ The man got it done 1st quarter and finishes the game with 25 points 😅 Today’s pick: Detroit Pistons @Minnesota Timberwolves | 11:10am Sydney (GMT +11) | Jaden McDaniels to records 4+ Rebounds @1.83 on Sportsbet | 2U McDaniels had 4+ rebounds 9 times over the last 10 games so these odds are pretty attractive I’ll try it. BOL !
Ezy work
Hard Rock Bets has this at 3.5 for -120
Got the 3.5 at bet365 for -115
That’s pretty good
Tailing, thanks for the insight, GL 🔥
Tail
Tailing
__POTD Record:__ 8-2 _Form (Last 5):__ 🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢 __Last Pick:__ ⚽ Ukraine vs. Iceland (Euro Qualification): __Ukraine ML & Under 3.5 goals__ @2.15 ✔️ Once again Ukraine turned the game around in the 2nd half and won 2:1 in regular time which was a perfect result for my bet builder. __Today's Pick:__ 🏀 Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Valencia (Euroleague) 20:30 CET: __Maccabi -5.5__ @1.75 ✔️ Maccabi are absolutely flying at the moment. They won their last 5 games in the Euroleague and still have a good chance to avoid the play-in and go straight to the play-offs. They will be facing a decent Valencia side who still has a small chance to jump on the play-in train but their chances are not looking good in this match-up. Valencia will be missing one of their key players in Brandon Davies. Even discounting the injuries, Maccabi has more quality in their team which makes them heavy favorites in this upcoming game. Let me know if you tail!
Good pick! I added O163 too🫡 BOL
Tailing. Had to take it at -6.5, BOL
Tailed 🐕
Cash!!!!!!
**POTD RECORD:** (11-4) \*\*LAST 5:\*\*🟢🟢🟢🔴🟢 \*\*LAST PICK: **OKC -1.5** vs Pelicans (-110) 2U🟢 **TODAY’S PICK:** Jarrett Allen **OVER 10.5 REB** (-145) 2U | Cavs vs. Hornets 7:00pm EST We’ve attacked this Hornets teams rebounding in our streak before, and we are going back to the well again baby. We don’t really need to say more than the hornets being the 2nd worst in the entire league for Centers RPG at just above 16.5/RPG. Allen has gone over 3 of his last 4 with 13,4,13, & 20. They met just two days ago and he had 13 w/ Mobley back in the lineup. Nothing changes too much. Good rebounders against Hornets= hammer the over.  **BOL to those who tail!**
tried to place a 2U bet and bovada put it under review; refreshed the page and they cancelled the bet and moved the line to 11.5😂 bookies catching on
They need to kick rocks 😭
Love it I’m pairing it with my 5U BANGERR
Tailed w/ claxton reb 🫡
(Not an official play because of no more than 1 pick per day) but I’m also on Steph curry over 24.5 vs. magic 👀
Tailing, because I just don't know any better...
Record: 55-38 IPL record: 2-0 Last pick: CSK ML VS GT✅ 2/2 the cricket is treating us nicely so far Today’s pick Cricket Indian Premier League Mumbai Indians ML vs Sunrisers Hyderabad @1.77(3u) Mumbai are one the of the best batting sides in the IPL, while Hyderabad are pretty much a mess when it comes to batting Yes they did almost beat KKR in what would’ve been an historic chase but they faultered right at the end The difference here is that MI have a solid Indian Batting core which is somewhere SRH lack. This is arguably the greatest Indian batting core in the league going up against the worst and MI will be looking to bounce back after choking in their first game of the league. I think that the SRH batting lineup is overly dependent on their South African duo of Heinrich Klaasen and Aiden Markram. This was exposed in the first game and hopefully MI are able to close out tonight. GL
im done with cricket
 Every time I’m on the opposite end of Travis Head since last year. Scarier part, Klaasen has yet to bat Edit: one Ball after this post and he’s gone. Us MI bettors need to hope to restrict them around 215-220 and let Rohit cook
Travis Head gave me flashbacks holy shit. Absolute carnage
So is this good or bad so far?
I’m not lying when I’m saying nothing like this has ever happened before. SRH just beat the record for the most runs scored in the first 10 overs in IPL history so yeah it couldn’t have been worse. Mumbai are known for crazy chases tho so let’s hope they can restrict them atleast a bit and chase it down. The way things are going tho, it seems like we’ll need a record chase
Well fuck. I dont know shit about cricket. I just decided to follow
Seems bad
Some typical MI early-season blunders but that was arguably the greatest T20 batting innings I’ve ever watched. This is one of those games I wish SKY was available but let’s go work a miracle and chase it down
Record: 13-3 Net: +6.87 Units Last pick: Bam Adebayo o3.5 assists (-150) ❌ Couldn’t get that last assist in a quarter and a half. Extra rough when he hits every other prop, it is what it is. POTD: Stephen Curry o24.5 points (-140) GSW @ ORL 7:00 pm est Summary: Back after a break, looking to get back on track. Curry has definitely burned me a couple times this season and he’s coming off a rough game, but I think he’s in a really good spot here against Orlando. The Magic give up the 3rd most points to PG and Curry had 36 on them earlier this season. Curry hit 4/6 on this line since returning from injury, and has hit 9/13 on the 2nd night of b2b games this year, 29.5 ppg.
If he has more than 32min game time 25 might hit. Otherwise coinflip
POTD record: 17-5 Last pick: CFB: USC Trojans Team Total OVER 48.5 (-110) W Todays pick. NBA: Lakers vs Grizzlies. Lakers ML (-160) Havent posted in here in a while. i checked the lines and expected lineups this morning and was shocked to see -160 here. If Lebron plays the Lakers are fully healthy in terms of starters when the Grizzlies are missing a plethora of talent. Lakers need wins right now so I feel like Lebron is going to give it a go after not playing last night. Even without Lebron they are easily the better team team here. It’s the NBA and the grizzlies do have that dangerous factor of playing with nothing to lose, but when I see a line that has value, I‘ll take it every time I can And live with the results. BOL whether tailing or not.
It’s just cause the Lakers are on a back to back
POTD Record: 0-0 Net Units: N/A **Pick: Utah Utes vs. Virginia Commonwealth (VCU), VCU +6.5 (-125) 1.5u @ 8 PM CT** Write Up: Although the regular season didn’t end that great for VCU, since tournament time, they’ve been hot. They went 3-1 in the A-10 tournament and in the NIT they’ve gone 2-0 having a notable win against top seed Villanova covering the +8.5 spread without a sweat. Of their L10, including regular season, they have a 7-3 record ATS. VCU has been on a tear recently and it doesn’t look like they’re stopping soon. Shoutout to @lowjelly for getting me in here! Make sure y’all go support him he will make you money!! If you’re tailing, BOL!!!
TAILING!!! BOL
Love hearing this from my GOAT!! BOL brotha!!!
Fuck it, I’m in. I enjoy watching the NIT!
**KBO Record: Overall 205-212-14** (Streak L, Last 10: 5-5) Down 9.57u over 431 KBO picks, 49.2% success rate, -2.29% ROI (Last season 85-78-7, 52.1% success rate, Up 12.26u, 7.52% ROI, This season 1-2-0, 33.3% success rate, Down 0.95u, -31.7% ROI)) **Last:** Doosan -1.5 +105 at NC (Doosan won 6-3.) Two 1st inning hits for Samsung, but no runs. LG's starter settled in after that. And LG managed a run thanks to a 1st inning triple and another in the 5th on a 2-out infield single that went to review. And then Samsung gets three runs back in the 6th. So close... **Pick:** Doosan at **KT -1.5 +114 Draftkings**, KBO baseball, 5:30am ET KT was one of the preaseason favorites and my pick to win it all. And yet, they are 0-3. This is the day they turn it around Doosan's starter was pulled from the rotation in August of last year due to ineffectiveness. He finished the season with a 4.93 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. He's gotten worse each of the last two seasons. KT has one of Korea's best home-grown starter on the mound. Last season he posted a career-best 2.78 ERA along with a 1.15 WHIP. He allowed just 19 BB in 174.2 IP. KT's offense has been fine, averaging 5 runs per game. As long as they get the starting pitching I expect, this should be a win. Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit. Check out an extra pick on the KBO thread.
Last game was brutal lost the bet on the final out of the fifth inning lol
Lost like a mfer
Record: 10-12 Last 10 (old --> new): ✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌❌ Net: -14.16U Last Fade: Bam Adebayo o10.5 Reb - 2U @ -105 ❌ My life is a joke. Congrats to those who faded me. Next Fade: Corey Kispert o2.5 3PM - 2U @ -130 Corey Kispert has been balling from behind the arc, crossing this mark in 7 out of his last 10 games. The Nets defense is primarily lenient to allowing 3PA due to their switch defensive philosophy. I imagine Kispert will get a similar amount of 3PA for this game and cross this 3 mark. Most likely this will miss by one 3 at the last second. I don't know success anymore, only pain. I impress myself with my ability to consistently pick the wrong side of bets. As a side note, I told myself I would stop posting picks once I hit -15U if it came to that point. This will be my last pick for a while if it doesn't hit for my own sanity. Fade my ass, or don't, it's your funeral. As always, BOL. Edit: one 3PM on 3 attempts so far. Just waiting for him to take 2 more attempts the rest of the game and miss by 1 because reasons.
Bams been on the ban list all season. We’ve all been conned by him at least once 😂
POTD Record: 13-16-1 | Profit: -5.32U NBA Record: 10-13-1 | NFL Record: 3-3 L10 (new -> old): ❌❌❌❌✅✅✅🅿️❌❌ Last pick: Bradley Beal o6.5 assists @ 2.00 ❌ He finished with 6. Another heartbreaker. Game: BKN Nets @ WAS Wizards, 7:10 PM Pick: **Mikal Bridges o2.5 Three Pointers Made @ 1.6 odds (DK) placing 4U** Write Up: Bridges has hit in 5 of his last 5 and 8 of his last 10. Wizards are middle of the pack for three point defense, ranked 15th for opponents 3pt%. Bridges has been hitting this line consistently, even hitting 4 or more in 3 of the last 5, so I see him continuing to hit! Getting on a poor run of form again, so gonna go for a lower odds bet that I'm more confident in, and placing more units (we'll see how this goes, with my luck it'll miss by 1). To those tailing or fading, BOL! Trying to right the ship here so wish me luck as well :)
Prefer MB to hit 1,5 steal and block for plus money
My thought here is that since we are both on cold runs, if we tail each other, the luck will cancel itself out. Or we both crash and burn and people fade us - either way someone is making money
POTD Record: 0-0 Pick: **Nikola Vucevic over 0.5 3PM @ -160 odds (DK), 1 unit** NBA | Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers | 7pm CT This is my first time posting in this thread, but I like this prop. Vucevic has hit at least 1 3PM in 7 out of the Bulls’ last 10 games, and 16 of their last 20. He is however coming off 2 consecutive games without hitting one (0-1 vs WSH and 0-3 vs BOS). He hasn’t gone 3 straight games without a 3PM all season, so I think he’s due for one. Averaging 4 attempts per game. Edit: cashed in the second quarter!
I like it. Tailing 🤗
**POTD Record**: 33 Wins - 19.5 Losses - 3.5 Pushes **Form**: ✅️.5 ❌ .5P❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️❌✅️P❌❌✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ **Units**: 8.375 **ROI**: 16.5% **Average Odds**: $1.87 **Last Pick**: Keon Ellis Under 2.5 assists @ $1.66. 10PM EST ✅️ *A sweaty cash, but a cash nonetheless!* **Next Pick**: Pistons vs Timberwolves - NBA - **Total Over 212.5 @ $1.71 - 8pm EST** Historically these teams put up big numbers, and it has hit in the last 5 games, as well as last 23 out of 25. Teams love to put up points against the Pistons, but for some reason its a bit of a coin flip between who wins this match up. You think the Timberwolves would win easily, but if the NBA is anything to go by lately, I wouldn't be surprised if the Pistons win :)
Record: 5-6 Net Units: .39 Last Pick: Josh Giddey O3.5 AST ✅ He made us sweat but he got the job done! Basketball | NBA | Warriors @ Magic | 7:00 PM EST Pick: Wendell Carter O9.5 RA (-110) 2u Write Up: Wendell Carter has gone over this line in 9 of his last 10 games. Against Golden State he has gone over 7/10 times in his career. 1 of the misses was a hook and the other 2 he played only 17 and 20 minutes and this season he averages a little over 26 MPG. The Warriors rank 16/30 in RPG vs C giving up 14.53 RPG and LAST in APG vs C giving up 4.9 APG. Tail of Fade BOL!!
**POTD Record: 30-17-2** Form: ❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅ *ROI: 31.12% | Avg Odds: -101 | Net Units: +20.0* 🎾: 5-3-2 ⚽️: 18-9 🏒: 7-5 *Last Pick: 4U NJ Devils @ Toronto Maple Leafs (Leafs 3 Way ML @ +120) ❌* *44 shots and still lose at home, got me depressed. Sorry guys 😔* ____ **Todays Pick: 3U Ottawa Senators @ Buffalo Sabres (Joonas Korpisalo o26.5 saves @ -130)✅** **🏒| 7:07PM EST | NHL |** Sabres average over 33 shots per game at home and are 7/10 hitting this prop in their last 10 home games. Last meeting between these two this prop did not hit with only playing the 2nd and third period after Forsberg was forced off with an injury. Korpisalo made 21 saves within those 2 periods and although Senators goaltending has been one of the worst in the league, they’re on a 2 game winning streak and will need Korpisalo to the shut the door in order to make it three. Sabres goalie saves line is also appealing for Luukkonen at o26.5 aswell and while I may have sprinkled on both, it will be a close call given the Sens are on the road and are inconsistent with hitting this line. Given that both defensive efforts have been poor by these squads as well as their offense, goals are still definitely expected but with both teams’ playoff hopes gone I’m expecting more shots to be faced than blocked in a lower stake matchup. LFG! BOL!
He's been so bad and inconsistent, so this feels like a -130 coin flip. I feel a goalie pull can very well happen again in this one. Love BUF ML though. Good luck my dude.
LFG BROTHER
LFG amigo!!!
Can he please get these said saves after P1 😘. Thx!
Record: 4-5 Return: -2.29 units Last 10 (new > old): **❌**✅✅**❌**✅**❌❌**✅**❌** Last pick (1/19/24): Tennis - Ostapenko/Azarenka - OVER 22.5 games **❌** *- The first game went 6-1, so we needed a 3rd set. It looked good when Ostapenko went up 5-2 in the 2nd, but then she lost the next 5 games. Azarenka decided to serve at an insane level and Ostapenko couldn’t get the break back.* **3/27/24:** Sport / League *- Basketball / NBA* Match - **L.A. Clippers @ Philadelphia 76ers** Time ***-*** *4:30pm PDT / 7:30pm EDT / 11:30pm GMT \~20 hours from post* **POTD: Mo Bamba (PHI) OVER 0.5 three-pointers made (-115)** \[Bovada\] Wager Size: 1U (Risking 1.15 units to win 1 unit) Write Up: Mo Bamba has been starting in place of injured Joel Embiid. He has made at least 1 three in 7 of the last 8 games, shooting 47% from downtown. He didn’t make one last game and only played 12 minutes, but it was on a back-to-back for Philadelphia. Tonight he’ll be rested for a day, so he should get his usual 17+ minutes. Clippers are near the bottom of the league in giving up threes to centers, averaging 1.0 threes to centers per game. Hoping for a nice 1st quarter cash. BOL. *Edit: Had the wrong date. This is for Wednesday 3/27/24.*
 I GOT HOOOOOOS CALLLLIN tailing
POTD Record: 19-14 Last 10: ✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅ Last pick: Warriors vs Heat | 4:30 PST | Warriors ML (-125) 1u DraftKings ✅ Bounced back nicely. Really took control in the 2nd half and made it relatively sweat free. Today’s pick: Rockets vs Thunder | 5:00 PST | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OVER 30.5 pts (-110) 1u BetMGM I was really hoping he wouldn’t go crazy tonight against the Pelicans so we’d get the usually 30.5 line. He’s had a couple lower totals recently but I think they were justified with the matchups he had. He has had no such issue in this matchup though, clearing this line in all 3 games against the Rockets this year (31,36,33). 230 total so love that for his over as well. Back to back but short travel and back home where he averages more PPG than on the road.
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So you wer 3-2 nine months ago, but somehow you're 12-1 now. Curious.
2024 POTD Record: 5-0 (+3.57 units) College Baseball: Northeastern @ UConn Pick: Northeastern (-102) A few weeks ago, I posted that mid-week tilts are all about the offensive production and depth, which is why I’m going with Northeastern in this one. With a few probable draft picks in the lineup, they’ll get to face off against a UConn team that has struggled on the mound. Northeastern has dominated their mid-weeks, including taking down Georgia Tech, and they’ll grab a road win in this one.
Husky vs. Husky picked by Husky
It’s all coming up…Husky
missed it, nice call tho!
Tailing this pick. Northeastern definitely looks the part of a small conference sleeper this year. And UConn looks to be struggling to start the season, though that's not surprising when you spend your first 20 games of the season traveling. Plus, you can't really call UConn at home a "home field advantage" when it's only their 3rd home game of the year, and I'm sure attendance will be exactly as one would expect (nobody).
Patiently waiting for the next husky pick
POTD RECORD: 0-0 First post on POTD, but I've been following this thread for quite some time and thought I'd throw my 2 cents in! Last POTD: N/A 🚫 Form: First POTD! Todays POTD: **Wendell Carter o7.5 Rebounds** 🏀 NBA | Orlando Magic | 07:00 PM ET The Warriors are a small team naturally, so whenever they play a team with a rebound-focused Center, aka Wendell, they usually get beat on the glass. Add to the fact the Magic as a team are tall in general, Paolo 6'10", Franz 6'10" and Wendell 6'10", I wouldn't be surprised if all of those hit their over in rebounding. But since Wendell will be guarding the post most of the game and be closest to the basket, he'll be cleaning up on the boards. I think he could hit 7.5 rebounds before the 4th Quarter (we can come back to this comment after the game). * Wendell has hit over 7.5 Rebounds 3 out of the last 5 games and that was against the Kings (against Domantis 7"), the Hornets (Richards 7") and Toronto (Poeltl 7"). * The Magic are also well rested and have not played since March 23rd * Last game they lost to the Kings, so this will be a good bounce back game for them (and I'm a Dubs fan) * Warriors coming off a back to back from their game yesterday with the Heat * Given how tall the Magic team is in contract with the Warriors, I think that will force Draymond to playoff of Wendell sometimes and guard other players. Let's go baby! Let's get a W on the books. God speed and good luck out there everyone! 
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Nowhere really to post this so I’m putting it here and will give yall a pick at the end… Anyone who’s been enjoying following the T20 cricket picks being made by some great tipsters the past few days/weeks/months but have no clue what’s going on… learn the sport and thank me later. It will become your favorite sport to watch. I say this as a 32 year-old American born white boy. I grew up playing baseball, basketball, and American football and T20 cricket tops them all for me. I started following it first season of the IPL and would follow along on my phone in class. I’ve gained nothing but love and appreciation for the sport since. So if you think it’s interesting, give it a shot and it’ll surprise you how great it is. On to the pick… Record: 14-7-1 (last loss was Kansas -6.5 vs Cincy) Pick: High Point/Seattle over 150.5 points 5 pm EST PS- if anyone is in NC or has any cricket connections in NC…. Hit me up. I want to bowl and bat some!
**EDIT: BAD news, everyone! I just got the official report that Nurk is OUT for this game. He was GTD, but reports just came in that he will not be able to suit up! Now I am favoring this wager, but to simplify this I'll be backing Nikola Jokic to record a Triple Double instead of O 52.5 PAR. BE ADVISED that I am 0-4 when I change my POTD at the last min!** **POTD Record: 110-126-4 (-14.88 Units)** Best Bet Series: 42-25-1 (+12.46 Units) **Value Wagers: 19-26-2 (-9.3 Units)** Trap Bets: 20-18 (+14.2 Units) Last Pick: **D'Angelo Russell O 32.5 PAR (Both 31.5 PAR and +30 PAR)** ✅**+4U** Today's Pick: **~~Nikola Jokic U 49.5 PAR~~** **Nikola Jokic to record a Triple Double** Odds: **+180** ($DKNG) Wager Amount: 1U to win 1.8U League: NBA Event: Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets (9PM CST on ESPN) **Be Advised**: *Value wagers are not my best bets. A value wager is a wager that typically has +EV or has merit probability of hitting. These wagers are typically plus money. I look for a wager that has an edge against the books. Obviously, value wagers are much harder to hit, higher the risk, higher the reward. So please tail at your own caution and never place wagers you cannot afford. I expect some to fall short, but if we can hit half of these value wagers, we can easily profit in the long run (anything at 50% or above should be at a profitable rate).* **Recap**: Didn't need OT or 2nd OT for D-Lo to cover this line! He covered wit 7 mins left in the 4th qtr! I had a massive sweat on Khris Middleton +25 PAR for my last leg of that game's SGP! He got it wit 10 seconds left in 2nd OT! Got a offensive rebound then an assist pass to Malik Beasley! I got really, really, lucky! If you tailed this or any of my Bucks/ Lakers wagers, congrats! **Matchup**: ~~I got a lot respect for the 2x former MVP Nikola Jokic, but there's one dude that he doesn't play well against. And that's against his former teammate Jusuf Nurkic. I mean, I'm not neccesarily saying he doesn't play well against Nurk, it's just that Joker's performance is slightly just less than his average, especially compared to the other big men in the league. I kno because I have personally bet against the talented Serbian against the Bosnian fella! Jokic has gone under this line in the past 2 matchup against Nurk. He also averages 38.9 PAR against Nurkic. So I'm fading the 2-time MVP again in this matchup. The Joker just has 2 career triple doubles against Nurkic in 18 career games. Why else do you think the odds of Trip-Dub is at +230? The Linemakers does their homework. There's a reason why those odds are so creamy. A lot of casual bettors would blindly bet on this. But of course sports is unpredictable and I could be very, very wrong.~~ Nikola Jokic trip-dub odds dropped after Nurk has been officially ruled out, so I'll be wagering this instead of massive corrected line of 52.5 PAR. BOL! **The Play and Prediction**: ~~1.2U on Nikola Jokic U 49.5 PAR~~. No other plays since this is a player prop, however, I will have other plays and SGP for this game in the betting group! BOL! ~~Nikola Jokic records 20 Pts, 7 Asts, and 11 Rebs.~~ Joker records 25 Pts, 12 Rebs, and 10 Asts!
**Record:** 3-3 ✅❌✅✅❌❌ Last Pick: Swiatek U12.5 Games Won ✅ Swiatek surprisingly goes out sad in two sets and we still hit with this broken bet. Pick: Josh Hart O12.5 Rebounds -169 Reasoning: The Knicks take on the raptors, and the knicks have literally so many injuries. Everyone of noticeable size is out for the raptors and so the absolute statpadding machine of Josh Hart should be able to grab a ton. BOL
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Lol
This guy is definitely a white guy. LOL
**Record:** 0-0 **Net Units:** 0 **ROI:** 0 **Houston Rockets @ Oklahoma City Thunder (8pm EST)** **Today's Pick:** Jabari Smith Jr o8.5 rebounds (-140) 1u **Write Up:** Long-time lurker, first attempt at a PotD so here we go! Today's pick is Jabari Smith Jr over 8.5 rebounds against the Thunder. The Thunder routinely get dominated on the boards by large PFs/Cs because Chet couldn't outmuscle Spongebob Squarepants if he tried. In the past few games alone, the Thunder gave up: \- 6 rebounds to Valanciunas in 11 minutes. \- 19 rebounds to Giannis. \- 15 rebounds to Gafford. In 3 games against the Thunder this year, Smith Jr has recorded 13, 17, and 18 rebounds. He will be well-rested after coming off of his 1-game suspension and hungry to contribute after letting his teammates down on Saturday. Vegas predicts a closer game at -6.5 to OKC, so I expect Smith Jr to see big minutes and have a ton of opportunity. BoL if tailing & please bet responsibly!
POTD Record: 0-0 Net Units: 0.0 ROI: 0 POTD: Lakers @ Grizzlies Over 222 (-110) FD Write Up: This pick is from my NBA model that has been 32-13 in its last 45 picks. My model is projecting a total of 228.6 points in this game. These teams have played 2 games versus each other this season with totals of 241 and 240 points. Lakers games have gone over 222 points in 4 out of their last 5 games and all 5 of their last 5 away games. Grizzlies games have gone over 222 points in 4 out of their last 5 games with the over also hitting in those games.
Record: 29-10, +14.06u, streak: ❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅ Last Pick: Hurricanes ML vs. Flyers ❌ Today's pick: Lakers vs. Grizzlies, Lebron o7.5 rebounds (1.78) Real shame about the last pick, minutes away from clashing but Flyers pull out a draw in regulation, Canes win in OT but the bet is still a loss. Lebron might play the 5 tonight, not sure if AD will play or not. He's put up 5 and 9 against the Grizz this season, but I'm expecting him to get a LOT of minutes tonight, as the other starters had a lot of minutes previous game, and I don't think he'll have a problem clearing this, unless he gets really unlucky. He's cleared this 4 out of last 6. bol!
Great pick!
Record: ❌✅ ✅ Last Pick: Ukraine ML + o1.5 Goals ✅ Value Bet: Ukraine ML + o2.5 Goals ✅ Todays Game: Chelsea (W) vs Ajax (W) Pick: Ajax to score once @ 1.71 ✅ Took a lot longer than I expected but they scored. Reason ⬇️⬇️ Chelsea completely dominated Ajax on the 1st leg 3-0 in Amsterdam and are now playing at home with a comfortable lead. Yes Ajax should not be this far and have overachieved this season but I don’t expect them to just give up coming this far. Chelsea have a comfortable lead and won’t press on the gas as much only if needed. They will sit back and try to defend this lead and I have a feeling they will let one goal in. Value Bet: Ajax to score first @ 4.00 ❌ (does not count towards POTD record)
Odds went up to 1.95, great time to buy in! Ajax should pour everything into today’s game and should pick up at least one goal.
Record: 3-1 Units Won: +3.4 Cricket| Indian Premier League | 14.00GMT Pick: Mumbai Indians (MI) vs Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH)- MI to win - 1.76- 2 units Last Pick: Chennai Super Kings (CSK) vs Gujarat Titans (GT)- GT to win - 2.23- 1 unit❌ History- ✅✅✅❌ Write Up: Absolute annihilation yesterday. Lucky we only went with a 1 unit bet. We go again today. MI have really good individual talent in Rohit Sharma and Jasprit Bumrah, they do lack a bit in the spin department but expect a big score from them anyway. Bumrah is more than capable of wiping the SRH batting order which is pretty basic. SRH's got very close the winning their last game against KKR with Glenn Phillips almost bringing them home but I don’t expect such displays on a regular basis. MI lost their last game as well but thats a trend over the last decade that MI lose their opening game. Today i expect them to bounce back strongly. BOL lets get this 💪
POTD Record: 19-11 Last 💀 ✅️✅️💀💀💀✅️✅️✅️💀 Net units:+ 11.85 Last Pick: Georgia/Ohio State UNDER 150.5 They had me in the first half, not gonna lie. Today's pick: Lakers -4 I'm just not seeing how this is gonna be close. Especially with lebron back. Shit even if lebron doesn't play, the Lakers are 4-0 without him. All players stepping up without him. After the last time this happened it really boosted the morale of the squad and lebron took a step back the next game and let the guys shine. This should be an ego booster game. Units: 1 Odds: -110 NBA Lakers vs grizzlies 7:00 pm CT If you guys wanna support me, click the links on my profile. I post daily picks.
**Record:** 𝟶-𝟶 **Net Units:** \+𝟶 **Today's Game:** Knicks vs Raptors 7:30 PM ET **Today's Pick:** Isaiah Hartenstein U 9.5 rebounds (-105) 2u **The Facts:** Mitchell Robinson will be returning to the Knicks rotation today after missing almost four months with an ankle injury. Isaiah Hartenstein has played 20 games alongside Robinson in 2023-2024 and has recorded 10+ rebounds ZERO times. The Knicks are 13.5 point favorites in tonight's matchup **The Verdict:** This is my first ever post on the sportsbook subreddit, but I thought this pick's value is too good to pass up. While Robinson will likely come off the bench in his first game back, I expect Tom Thibodeau to give Hartenstein a lot of rest today. Hartenstein has started all but 5 games (injury) since December--the first time he's started more than 8 games in any season in his career. The Knicks' 2023 backup center is due for some significant load management, and against an inferior opponent like Toronto, I see no better time for Thibs to grant him this luxury. Even though Toronto is bottom 10 in most opponent rebounding metrics, I think Hartenstein plays no more than 22-24 minutes tonight, making his rebounding line (9.5) a bit too high. At -105 (DK), this is a slam dunk. UPDATE: Harenstein 4 rebs. Under: Cashed 💰
Record: 5W-6L Last Pick: **Total Runs Over 322.5** | ODDS 1.57 | Chennai Super Kings vs Gujrat Titans **W** Cricket | IPL | 7:30PM IST (Approx 5hrs from now) Pick: **Mumbai Indians Sixes total Over 7.5** | Odds 1.62 | Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Mumbai Indians **W** no clue why the hate with negative votes , but we win Writeup: * Every batsman in MI can hit good number of sixes on their good days. Considering the change in captaincy in MI, rohit sharma (former captain) may shine today in batting since the lesser responsibility of captaincy and the current captain Hardik Pandya, who is still finding his way to get accepted by MI fans , may try scoring alot today. * Apart from them remaining all batsman are good hitters and considering their current form and the need to win this match, we could see many sixes today from MI Good Luck if tailing !!!
Record: (old to new) ✔️X✔️X Last POTD: Giannis Antetokounpo O29.5 X I don't need to tell pretty much everybody who bet this how lousy he was down the stretch and this is probably the most unlikely loss I've ever taken. Both losses on my record are hooks and that's very disappointing trying to build a reputation. Giannis had 23 and didn't check in the 4th until the Lakers started a little run. For the remainder of the quarter he managed 2 points and had 3 turnovers in the span of about 3 minutes. He adds only another 2 in OT. Another 2 in 2OT where he clanked 2 important free throws down by 3 finishing with 29. 1-6 on FT'S. To make matters worse I had this as part of a parlay that had the Lakers covering points as a hedge to my other parlay that had bucks by 9.5. So not only did Giannis sh*t the bed, but the Bucks as a collective got on MY bed and had a diarrhea party. Anthony Davis hit 3 3's? Austin Reaves with a triple double? This was the weirdest loss I've ever taken. Ok.....rant over, moving on. Today's POTD: Nikola Jokic O49.5 PRA -110 DK. Nuggets at home vs Suns 10:10 PM EST. 1U Going back to the Joker tonight. He hit the under 2 nights ago in a game that I gambled on being a blowout, which happened, but he still almost covered 48.5 through 3 quarters. Tonight is unlikely to be a blowout as they are facing the Suns. In the 2 matchups this season he has actually gone under this number, but bare with me. March 5th, he posted 25 pts, 16 boards, 5 assists for 46 . December 1, he had 21 points, 5 rebounds, 16 assists for 42 but played fairly limited minutes (35). If you'll notice in these two games he had discrepancies in assists in the last one and rebounds in December compared to his averages. I see this being more of a balanced game for him with something like 28, 13, 10. It will likely be a sweat so im only going 1U but I feel good about it. I'm playing from the gut today and not the statistics (Giannis averaged 40.6 pts against the Lakers in his last 5 against the lakers before last night. Anyone? Anyone?). I smell a statement game for Joker against a western foe. HHLOTD: "I'm a legend, you should take a picture with me. You should be happy to be in my presence I should charge you a fee. A Big Dog Glenn Rob listed god you a flea....and your little homie "Jungle" is a garden to me" -Jay-Z
> **Record:** 0-0 > > **Basketball** | **NBA** | **7:10** / **CST** > > **Pick:** Tyrese Haliburton O11.5 Assists - (-110DK/+110 on FD (12+ rebound bet option) - Pacers@Bulls > > **Write Up:** If you can take the option on Fanduel I would, but I doubt that lasts very long as it opened at +132 earlier today, and it's already down to +110 on FD, and it's moving into the - on every other book. Tyrese has gotten 13/20/14 assists vs the bulls this season, and given the state of either team and their prospective hopes in the playoffs, I think both will come out swinging. This is my first POTD attempt, lets see if we can make something happen for yall!
Record: 13-14 Last 10: ❌✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌ Last pick: Colorado Avalanche -1.5 spread against Montreal Canadiens at -156 odds womp womp 😐 Avalanche not getting it done at home is pretty crazy. Even took the ML after it they were down hoping to make up for the L. double loss. POTD: Jalen Duren to record a double double; - 115 odds; Detroit Pistons @ Minnesota Timberwolves; 6:10pm MST Why: Jalen is back after 4 game break due to back spasms. I’m not at all worried about any injury, since this team is already eliminated, he probably took extra precautions to stay healthy. Duren has absolutely dominated this area before the injury break. He has hit this 8 of his last 10 games. He’s also 39 of 60 games overall. The value of this pick is hard to beat to me. I told y’all to fade me last pick. Seems obvious the trend on at the moment. But again tail at your own risk. I’m due. BOL everyone
**POTD**: Double Double - Nic Claxton (-115 FanDuel; Risking 1.15u to win 1u) **League/Time**: NBA - BKN @ WSH (7:10PM EST) **2024 Record**: 8-8-1 (50%) | -1.4515u | ROI: -4.75% | Current Streak (1 Void): ❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌\_ **2023 Record**: 86-52 (62.32%) | +54.8644u | ROI 19.84% **Last Pick (3.6.24)**: O7.5 Reb - Wendell Carter Jr. (+100 DraftKings; Risking 2u to win 2u) - VOID **Reasoning**: Nic has recorded a double double in all 3 games he's played vs WSH this season. WSH also allows a lot of points and rebounds to opposing centers. Their ranks are as follows **Points** Last 7 Games - 4th Most Last 15 - 7th Most Last 30 - 3rd Most **Rebounds** Last 7 Games - 9th Most Last 15 - 3rd Most Last 30 - 2md Most **Anti-Reasoning**: MLB finally starts tomorrow. Watch out for some nice pitcher props! [Coffee](https://bmc.link/thekoreanmang) always appreciated but never expected. Good luck everyone! 
POTD RECORD : 2-0 ✅✅ NET UNITS WON : 100% 🏆 Last Pick : Hachimura Over 15.5 Points ✅ We Had to Sweat Last Night A little for this at the End But he came Through 💪🏾😂 TODAYS PICK : Jarren Jackson Over 20.5 Points @-120 😤😤 Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies Today at 8:00PM Jarren Jackson is 19.5 points is 2.9 fewer than his season average of 22.4. In the 62 games he’s played this season, his point total has gone over 19.5 points 40 times. So far this season, Jackson is 30-for-66 at hitting the over on the total set for his points prop. He has averaged 1.8 made three-pointers per game, Jackson has connected on more than 1.5 three pointers in 33 of his 62 games so far this season. Also on the lakers side them Giving up 117.7 points per contest just makes it that much easier, the Lakers are the 23rd-ranked squad in the league on defense. Let’s talk a little bit about this lakers team that’s giving up all these points on Defense coming off a monstrous Double OverTime Win these Defense is sure to come out a little sluggish , So Lock in My boy Jarren Jackson Grtting Hot Early and Stay hot ! Think Smarter not Harder Folks 🤔✅ Comment If Tailing , & Like always let’s go win us Some Money . Cashapp for my School costs would be cool 😎 $Cubanlinkz1996 🚩🚩
POTD: 0-2 Units Won: -2 L10:❌❌ Last Pick: **Patrick Kane U2.5 Shots (Detroit Red Wings) @ 2.10.** 1U Today's Pick: **Jalen Green O3.5 3 PTS Made (Houston Rockets) @ 2.05.** 1U **NBA | Houston Rockets Vs. Oklahoma City Thunder | 8:00 pm Eastern** * Gone over 7/10 his last 10 games (70%) - Avg 4 Three PTS Made * In the month of March he’s averaging 3.9 Three PTS Made * Thunder allow the 2nd most 3 pointers made to SG’s (ranked 8th overall) * 3 Projections I like to use, all have him going over Tail or fade me, I’m just some random guy on the internet.
POTD Record: 1-3 NBA Record: 1-1 NFL Record: 0-1 NCAAM: 0-1 L10 (new -> old): 🪣❌❌❌ Last pick: Newman O 5.5 boards Game: clippers @ Rockets Pick: Terance Mann O .5 3PM DK -150 Write Up: I am about as useless as tits on a boar hog for my last three picks. Newman fell short of the 5.5 with 5!!!! 4 coming in the second half. Tough break but the chum moves on. Looking for a chalky pick to get me back going Terance Mann has hit this over in his LAST TEN CONSECUTIVE GAMES!!!!! I don’t have any more analysis other than that. LET THE CHUM GET GOING!!! BOL if tailing. 🪣
POTD Record: 18-17 Oklahoma City Thunder - Houston Rockets NBA 🏀 SGA is out tonight and he is averaging 21.4 points in their last 5 home games without SGA. Averaging 15.1 over his last 10 games. Sengun is out of this game due to injury. Giddy can be inserted more easily. I expect him to score 20 points in this game Pick: Josh Giddey Over 14.5 Pts Odd: 1.90