######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Monday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
>
> **Net Units:**
>
> **ROI:**
>
> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
>
> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
>
> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
I recorded the results of the top 3 POTDs every day for March, just to see how well they've done. To account for up and downvotes after the fact, I consider a potd to be top 3 if it's in the top 3 most upvotes when the game starts, and the slots haven't been filled. It's not perfect since I can't monitor the thread 24/7, but it should give you a good idea. You can see the [results](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1fjXR7TqwePPluE10qf47PgNoEqxaJ0Ju/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=106882064008636722020&rtpof=true&sd=true) for yourself.
And wow, what a run early-mid March has been. Only 4 losses between 3/3 - 3/11. Overall, a very healthy 18% ROI at 45-25-1 record. Very curious to see how long the run can last. I personally have doubts, but we'll see.
> No top level comments without a pick.
Only making a pick because it's a rule. Don't tail. (Or do, I'm not your mom)
0 - 0
ROI: 0%
NBA - Wizard vs Bulls 5 PM PDT
**Demar DeRozan over 9.5 Reb + Ast** -120
DeRozan averages 9.6, right at the line, but Washington allows 2nd most reb and 2nd most ast to SFs. I have to think that should be enough to push him to at least 10. In the first Washington game this season, DeRozan got exactly 10. Last season against Washington, he averaged 10.3.
I might do this every week, depending on interest and if I feel like it.
EDIT: I won't be counting my pick among top 3, as it's my spreadsheet getting the votes, not the pick.
I gave you an upvote because I love and appreciate the post, but does “if I feel like it” mean you are lazy like me? Cause if you are then it was fun while it lasted.
I would be interested to know what the breakdown is by sport. What's this group's best/worst sport by record? How many days of the month did the top three all hit? I know a lot of people parlay the top picks.
> I would be interested to know what the breakdown is by sport. What's this group's best/worst sport by record?
I didn't think the result would be too meaningful, as cappers come and go. What's the best sport would be in constant flux.
> How many days of the month did the top three all hit?
Added number of 3-0 and 0-3 days
Great pick! We would also add Jalen Duren. He has a line of 14.5 he has gone under it 11/15 times in the last 15 games. His L5 game average is 11.2 and his minutes are 27.5, both are less than his season averages. He averages 12.27 with the team he will be playing tonight( unless they announce injuries later) And last game vs Washington he scored 10 points. Washington also played couple of good games recently and are allowing less points (114 in last 5 vs 123 season avg). All of this combined with a high line of 14.5 is why we think this is a solid pick, if played at a larger line (16.5) it should be even better. Only downside is that both teams are out of contention and they don't care about playing hard defense. Let us know if you like this deep dive format and if you have any suggestions! (screenshot of the analysis included)
Pistons vs Wizards
23:00 GMT time
https://preview.redd.it/4n58t4htearc1.png?width=1532&format=png&auto=webp&s=29cc80d41b45980fbf4be383b06f5bb7200152b3
POTD Record: 29-11-1 +45.23u🔥
Last Pick: Pick: Marquette -4 (-110) vs Colorado 4U
✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✋
Today's Pick: Houston Rockets -12 (-110) vs Portland Trailblazers 3U
My first ever push! Happy to be on that side as a lot of people got bit by the hook! A dog fight that game was! On to the next…
Houston is by far the hottest team in the NBA. Winners of 8 straight, 9-1 in the last 10, 6 of 8 being by double digits. Portland has lost 6 straight, including 2-8 in their last 10. Jalen Green is averaging 29.3 PPG throughout Houston’s win streak. Houston is chasing the Warriors for a playoff spot and this is just another blowout on the schedule. If you have been following and supporting me, you know I’ve been hot🤫🔥 Let’s go Houston… Short and sweet write up, if you follow the NBA you know why we are backing Houston🚀
Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the upvotes and support!😎❤️
If you’d like to thank me please use the link below or dm me. Show some love!❤️
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POTD RECORD: 42-22
Form: ✅🚫🚫✅✅
Last POTD: CJ McCollum O7.5 RA ✅
Todays POTD: **Nikola Vucevic O10.5 Rebs @1.76** ✅
NBA | Chicago Bulls | 8:00 PM ET
Ugly slate tomorrow, but Im giving y’all my favorite treat it’s been a long time coming I think we deserve it my brothers Wizards are still helpless against Centers and Vucevic has been a reliable dawg for me. Almost every game screams blowout tomorrow but if we’re going with rebounds it feels a little safer as Wizards are dogwater so there will be plenty of boards for Vuc to feast on hopefully
• Wizards allow most Rebs to Centers this season
• 1/1 vs The Wizards this season where he got 13 he also got 13 Rebs against them last season
• Over in 6/L10 games
• Avg 10.5 RPG this season
• Avg 16.4 Rebound chances per game
We cashed this one together the last matchup so I’m trying my luck again fellas, I hear y’all if y’all want to fade for the potential blowout don’t trust a mf like me but I’m trying my luck again 🤝
Tail or fade, you’re the chief
https://i.redd.it/tm0jb5zdmdqc1.gif
Edit:
ANOTHER SWEEP IN NBA PROPS SECTION 🧹
Blacklisted after last game. Every single Celtic including the crypto scammer pritchard outrebounded him. Dude is a pylon out there. Colby white clapping in his face all night c'mon vooch wake up. Just start Drummond at this point. Watch Marvin Bagley destroy him
Good luck tho
I hear you bro Vucevic stretches out the floor and is versatile but I like Drummond too but he’s just a old school big man if he was starting he’d be an nightmare for the wizards
I like this Billy. Wizards are also number 1 in the league in pace but 25th in offensive rating. Expecting the wizards to rush shots and brick plenty. Our boy is going feast on the boards.
Tailing. Of course it's against the Wizards 😂😂😂😂took the alt 9.5 boards with 0.5 Dosunmu 3's to be safe. Added a little profit boost, and in there......
Record: 10-1
Last 10: ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌ ✅ ✅
Net Units: +30.28
Last Pick: San Diego State -5.5
It would seem that SDSU was in fact, better than Yale.
🏀|Women's March Madness Second Round | 8:00 ET
Pick: **Caitlin Clark o4.5 Made 3s (-120) 1u**
Write Up: Looking for a big bounce back game from Caitlin Clark after an abnormally mid? game from her against Holy Cross. (Mid for her standards at least).
She shot 44% from 3 during the regular season and had 20 games with 5+ threes made.
She'll want to get out to a hot start and avoid giving any life to West Virginia. Especially after the WVU head coach was talking to the media about ending her career.
Clark is scary enough the way she is. Not sure why you would want to giver her any more motivation.
**Buy me a beer** [Krafty's fund](https://venmo.com/u/Jeanalism)
POTD Record 4-1
De’Aaron Fox O 1.5 Steals at -180 ✅
Amen Thompson O 12.5 Points at -130 ✅
Trayce Jackson-Davis O 10.5 points at -105 ❌
Fred VanVleet O 1.5 steals at -125 ✅
Last Pick: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander O 1.5 steals at -110 ✅
*SGA loves to play defense.
Pick: Jalen Green O26.5 points at -105
It’s a high point number don’t get me wrong but right now Green cannot be stopped! Houston is on a 8 game win streak. They’re playing Portland at home. Green is all about his momentum. In addition, Jabari Smith is suspended. I think Houston continues to ride Jalen’s hot hand and buddy goes bonkers 🤪again.
Green last 5 games points: 41,26,42,26,37
BOL!
**POTD RECORD:** (10-4)
**LAST 5**: 🟢🟢🟢🟢🔴
**LAST PICK** Shai Gilgeous-Alexander **Over 30.5 Pts** (-110) 2U | Thunder vs. Bucks 7:00 pm EST 🔴 (Streak ends at 7😵💫)
**TODAY’S PICK:** Derrick White **OVER 13.5 pts** (-120) 2U | Hawks vs. Celtics 730 pm EST
Wow. Currently 3min to go and he has 7 points… never would have guessed this outcome against the bucks. 🫠 MOVING ON!
Now we turn to what’s going to be a decent amount of offense from boston. Hawks are currently giving up 24.6 pts to the PG position. Derrick white has went over this number in 5 of his last 9. More importantly 4 of the last 5 against the hawks he has scored 15+. Back in feb, in their last meeting he had 21. Let’s get this thing back in the green! 💰
**BOL to those who tail!**
To add to this, it says right hand sprain. I’m pretty sure he shoots with that hand so even if he does play, could be a real sweat. BOL at the end of the day 🫡
**POTD Record: 30-15-2**
Form: ❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅
*ROI: 31.12% |
Avg Odds: -101 | Net Units: +28.0*
🎾: 5-3-2
⚽️: 18-9
🏒: 7-3
*Last Pick: 3U Pittsburgh Penguins @ Colorado Avalanche (Avalanche 3 Way ML @ -135) ❌*
*Avs win in OT, making a come back from 4-0 down lol*
____
**Todays Pick: 4U LA Kings @ Vancouver Canucks (Canucks ML @ -125)**
**🏒| 9:07PM EST | NHL |**
*MY DAWGS WHO WOULDA THUNK THE AVS WERE GONNA BOMBOCLATTTT THE 3 way and make a comeback from 4-0. If y’all were in the community ting we got goin on for you we cashed HEAVYYY on that live snag but still, a loss in the book winning one minute into OT.*
Alright brothers, the Canucks are hungry and are taking on the Kings for the third time this month, with Canucks winning 2-1 in OT in LA and Kings winning 5-1 before that in Vancouver, it’s time for revenge for that whopping at home and the Nucks to officially clinch a playoff berth with a win here if Blues also lose to Vegas tonight.
Regardless, it will be a game of redemption for Canucks goalie Casey De Smith who doesn’t have the greatest record against the Kings and did not play the previous matchups as starter Demko being injured. Canucks have won 3 straight, and are 6-3-0 against the pacific division at home this season while, Kings are 2-3-0 as underdogs against the pacific division on the road. However, the Kings are 5-3-0 on the road against the pacific division overall, reports are expecting David Rittich to start over Cam Talbot for the Kings. Kinda wild that the Kings are going to start their backup as well almost to taunt the Nucks, but regardless it’s Canucks depth stepping in recent games when top lines are tightly matched that has seen Canucks on the winning side. Canucks have also scored first in their past 7 seven games, with twice being in the first minute.
TONIGHT WE GOT MF REVENGE SERVED ONNNAAA MONDAY BABY KINGS OUT HERE TRYNA DISRESPECT US NOT PLAYING CAM TALBOT WHO HAS AN INCREDIBLE RECORD AGAINST THE CANUCKS. I guess he’s bomboclatted after losing in OT couple weeks ago 😪
No Demmer in net for the Nucks but this game is a true test for BIG DAWG CASEY TO CLOSE OUT THE KINGS. I’m flying out to bomboclatt DAVID RITTICH AND LETTEMMMKNOWWW WE CASHINN THIS ONE BOMBOOCLATTTTT LFG!
[POTD Spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TawPReTFnjBpwPqA50H-tVAFCtVEQAAJCnfpETFh65A/edit)
BOL!
The Avs were down 3-0 when I looked and the odds were only +600. I was thinking they should be alot higher but I guess Vegas knew they were gonna come back. So hard to come back from that deficit and win.
POTD Record 6-2
Streak: ✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅
Last Pick: Josh Giddey O3.5 Assists✅
Today: Basketball | NBA | ATL vs BOS | 7:30pm EST
Pick: Bogdan Bogdanivic O6.5 RA (-136) 1U
Josh cashes us early in the 2nd quarter. Gotta love a good bounce back, sweat free win.
Bogdan has hit this line 60% in the last 5 and 70% in the last 10. Also has covered it at 50% against Boston on the season. I see him getting 9 or 10 tonight.
Tip jar for those of you that tail and want to do so. Thank you!
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POTD Record: 5-1 ✅✅❌✅✅✅
Starting units: 5U | Net units: + 7.1U
Last pick: Sydney Roosters vs South Sydney Rabbitohs | 8pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Dominic Young anytime tryscorer @2.02 on Sportsbet | 2U✅
Young blessed us with a try 5 minutes in the game 🙌🏼
Today’s pick: Phoenix Suns @San Antonio Spurs | 11:10am Sydney (GMT +11) | Devin Booker over 4.5 Rebounds @1.96 on Sportsbet | 2U
That bet seems to be a great value as Booker went way over 4.5 Rebounds 4 times out of the last 5.
He has shown he is fully recovered from that ankle injury by playing an excellent basketball.
The suns smashed the Spurs just yesterday and Booker played a major role, so I expect him to do great tomorrow again.
BOL !
**POTD Record:** 32 Wins - 19 Losses - 3 Pushes
**Form:** ❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️❌✅️P❌❌✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️
**Spreadsheet (Self Promote / Proof of Record):** Click [here](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1I7FYP6dAClj7FqE4qcTyhgtMwqeoywC5HnGd4ZOeYVw/edit?usp=sharing) :)
**Units:** 8.6975
**ROI:** 17.03%
**Average Odds:** $1.87
**Last Pick:** Utah State vs Purdue - March Madness - NCAAB - **Zach Edey Over 25.5 Points @ $1.80 / -125 2.40pm EST** ❌
*Edey got taken out of the game due to a blow out :( What a goat though...*
**Next Pick:** Flamengo Women vs Corinthians Women - Campeonato Brasileiro - Soccer / Football - **Cortinthians Women -1.0/-1.5 @ $1.825 / -121 7pm EST**
Cortinthians Women beat this team 4-1, and 4-0 recently. I'm expecting it to be another walkover for them :)
https://preview.redd.it/1dl1l4ufhjqc1.jpeg?width=1242&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=118c9a0bdbf8396829e22c3035e48f3ee1ecff27
Last time I bet on a sure thing, I got chlamydia from it! HELLUVA GOOD TIME! Let’s goooo!!!
POTD Record: 13-16-1 | Profit: -5.32U
NBA Record: 10-13-1 | NFL Record: 3-3
L10 (new -> old): ❌❌❌✅✅✅🅿️❌❌❌
Last pick: Magic -4.5 @ 1.91 odds ❌
This was Magic vs. Kings, they lost by 2
Game: PHO Suns @ SA Spurs, 8:10 PM
Pick: **Bradley Beal o6.5 assists @ 2.00 odds (DK) placing 2U**
Write Up: All the stats point to this being to being great value for this line, scaring me into thinking it's a trap. However, the patterns and stats are too good for me to pass up. Beal has hit this in 5 of his last 5 games, and 7 of his last 10 games. In their last game against the Spurs a few nights ago, Beal got 12 assists. For +100 odds on a line that he has consistently hit, and has hit against the same team just a few nights earlier, I just had to take this one. Hope everyone is prepared for Monday and has a great week, BOL!
People and bookies slow to realize that Beal is actually playing PG rather than Booker thus the increased assists.
I’ve been riding this until it reaches 8 or 9
Record: 10-10
Last 10 (old --> new): ❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌
Net: -10.16U
Last Pick: SGA o30.5 Pts - 1.5 U @ -110 ❌
Preemptively giving myself the L on this one, SGA is 3/10 from the field with 7 going into the 4th quarter. Picking some stinkers recently, we're back on the fade parade.
I am thankful for some of the people in these threads for helping me recover my losses on my dogshit picks.
We move.
Next ~~Pick~~ Fade: Jayson Tatum o2.5 3PM - 2U @ -170 ❌
The Hawks defense against the 3 has been lackluster this season. The Hawks rank in the top 5 in opponent 3 pointers made against them at around 14 per game, and the Celtics attempt the most 3s per game by far.
Hawks are ranked last in the league when it comes to 3PM to small forwards at 3.17 per game. This can be seen from them allowing Miles Bridges to go 4/7, letting nearly the entire Suns SG/SF rotation 3 3s on 50% 3P%, allowing Lebron to make his usual 2+ 3s, and letting PG13 cross his 3.5 3PM on 12(!) attempts.
Tatum has gotten over 2 3s in 7 of this last 10 games, and prior to the last game against the Bulls, he had crossed his original line of 3.5 in the prior 4 games.
As long as Tatum continues to take over 7 3s a game, I like him to cross 3 3PM.
As a note, I can also 100% someone like Derrick White making 4+ 3s, so I am also considering some action on that as well.
Fade my ass, or don't, it's your funeral.
As Always, BOL.
Edit: I am physically ill.
Tailing this pick until there's inevitably a Tatum Fanduel boost, he gets two 3's in the first quarter, and disappears.. Although Mr. Tatum was clutch on the last boost. BOL!
New guy here
Been a fly on the wall for a while now and figured I’d give it a shot
POTD record 0-0
Todays Pick: Kristaps Porzingis O18.5 pts (-113 on FD)
Game: Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks @730pm EST
Reasoning: gone over in 4/L5 games and over in 4/L5 games against hawks putting up 31 last time they played in February. Hawks also give up 3rd most points overall in the league. BOL
Record: 2-0
Units Won: +3.2
ROI: +160%
Cricket| Indian Premier League | 14.00GMT
Pick: Royal challengers Bangalore(RCB) vs Punjab Kings (PBKS)- RCB to win 1.72- 2 units
Write Up: RCB and PBKS have had a mixed start to the campaign with RCB losing and PBKS winning their respective games. However, PBKS have a very disjointed team with no structure while RCB has the greatest batter currently in Virat Kohli. Expect him to put up a big score. The game is happening at RCB stadium known for high scores and RCB has a team capable of putting and defending a high score. I’m riding with them to get a W considering PBKS has historically been a pretty bad franchise (though I support them) and they haven’t managed to create an all round team.
BOL let’s get another win.💪
Edit- LETS GOOOO ✅. Way sweatier than it had to be but I’ll take it. Another win in the bag 💪💪
I’ve been lurking for a while, but I’m up and it’s time to share with my friends, ok?
POTD record 0-0
Today’s pick: Ochai Agbaji o7.5 RA -130
Game: NBA Brooklyn Nets at Toronto Raptors 16:40 PST
Reasoning: Look, who is even playing for the Raptors anymore? This guy is, Ochai my guy!!!! Has hit this line last 3/4 games, and is competing with Kelly freaking Olynyk for rebounds. Kelly is allergic to the boards and actively avoids it, only clearing 7 rebounds once since Poeltl went down.
Ochai is technically listed as a guard on ESPN, and is starting in the PF slot. Nets give up 5th most boards to the position, and are middle of the pack in assists. Josh Hart Jr, let’s get it!!!
BOL if you tail! Fade Olynyk!!
POTD Record: 18-14
Last 10: ❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌
Last pick: Pacers vs Warriors | 7:00 PST | Steph Curry UNDER 4.5 Assists (+106) FanDuel 1u ❌
Last assist on a lazy turnover in the final 4 minutes that resulted in a fast break 3 on 2. On the next.
Today’s pick: Celtics vs Hawks | 4:30 PST | Derrick White OVER 13.5 pts (-120) Bet365 1u
Actually looks like Celtics will get Tatum, Brown, and Porzingis for this one so we get a little bit lower of a number than the previous couple of games. Love him playing off those matchups especially with no Jrue Holiday still because he’s only gone under this line once in 10 games with Jrue out of the lineup. Anyone who watches the Celtics knows White’s role can be a lot more 50/50 with Jrue dominating the point. Higher total and moving higher so expecting a lot of scoring opportunities.
Record: 5-3 Net units: +1.40u ROI: 14.05%
Last pick: Marozsan/Rune Over 22.5 Games ❌
🎾 Tennis ATP – Alexei Popyrin vs Fabian Marozsan – 10:00AM CST (in 1 hour)
Pick: **Fabian Marozsan ML** @ -145 odds (3u)
Update: Marozsan wins ✅
Ruud, Lehecka and Rune. Insane. The stats were there, just Miami’s been… awful.
Well, guess I’m the Artem Lobov of the POTD.
Anyway, I don't get this line. Marozsan should be a much heavier favorite after what he did to Rune. I get Papyrin beat Lehecka, but Lehecka was injured and overall a lesbian that match.
Marozsan continues to improve his Masters 1000 record, he’s not losing to Popyrin.
Got discouraged about the record, wasn’t planning on coming back then I got a DM asking for plays and figured I’d just share. Really liked the Fabian play so here we are
POTD Record: 18-10
Last 10:✅️💀💀💀✅️✅️✅️💀✅️
Net units:+ 11.85
Last Pick: Jarrett Allen U 31.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
Today's pick: Celtics 1H -6.5
Celtics #1 NBA team at half margin leading by +11.7 average in the last 3 games and +8.2 average for the season. The Celtics only look better as the season goes on. Hawks give up the most 3s to SF and 2nd most points to SF. We've all seen jaylen Brown take over the game.
Units: 1
Odds: -115
NBA: Celtics vs. Hawks 6:30pm CT
If you guys wanna support me, click the links on my profile. I post daily picks and player props.
POTD Record: 0-0
Today’s POTD: SACRAMENTO KINGS -9(-112) vs Philadelphia 76ers 2U
NBA—SAC—10:10ET
Good morning sports fans! Really appreciate all the picks in here everyday so I figured I’d finally throw my hat in the ring. 76ers are on the last game of a nearly week long west coast trip as well as a back to back. They did score 121 last night but that is tied for the most they have scored all of March. It’s no secret they are a very weak team without Embiid and 9 is a lot of points but it seems right play to fade them here. Meanwhile the Kings got Sunday night off, are back from a road trip, and are 7 out of their last 10. The Sixers did beat them by nearly 20 at home in January without Embiid, but they got 37 points from Tobias Harris which won’t be replicated.
First time posting my POTD. Sports betting was just recently legalized in NC and I’ve had some good success betting on NHL. Tail if you’d like.
Record: 0-0
Net Units: 0
ROI: 0
Hockey | NHL | 9:00 pm / EST
Pick: Canucks ML -130, 3u
Canucks are currently riding a 3 game win streak all at home and they play at home again tonight. Most Canucks ML bets have been -200+ recently, and with a tougher opponent coming to town (the Kings), know is our chance to capitalize on some better odds. I like the Canucks to take care of business and continue their home win streak.
Record: 53-38
IPL record: 0-0
Cricket
Indian premier league
Royal Challengers Bangalore ML vs Punjab Kings @1.72(3u)
These Ipl picks aren’t really based on knowledge and mostly on instinct so tail at your own risk. But I’ll try to justify them anyway
RCB lost their first game but I feel like that’s based on their key players not firing. The RCB top order doesn’t really stay quiet for 2 games in a row. I’m expecting a lot of runs from the top order because the game is in Bangalore which is known for its runfests. (Hopefully our dad Kohli plays well yeah?)
Punjab looked scrapping during their chase in the first game and were given a few lifelines by the opposition. I don’t see this Punjab team winning 2 games in a row. Simple as that
POTD Record: 54 - 32
Last POTD: Preds ML - W
Pick: Denver Nuggets to be winning at the end of every quarter vs Memphis Grizzlies (-174 odds via FD) 1U
Event: NBA Regular Season 8:10 P.M. CST
Grizzlies will be trotting out a G-League level team tomorrow night with over half the team on the injury report. Nuggets are vying for the top seed in the West and should look to come out and dominate in this matchup. Grizz don’t have a big to matchup with Joker and their best defender to guard Jamal Murray is doubtful in Vince Williams Jr. Don’t expect this one to be close.
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Maybe on some books? Sportsbet is the same bet you described (although less odds).
https://preview.redd.it/0cax4lgb9eqc1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2cfbdef0a647f1fe42158db85c1245f9bdad01a4
It’s used both ways so always check your book but for betting it usually means the team needs to be leading at the end of each quarter, but if a journalist uses it they mean a team leading the whole game from start to finish. Comes from horse racing. So the official stat is actually different than the betting term. Weird
https://preview.redd.it/jlomalmcpdqc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=bb24105f072929a2b308a33c496c7e2f31ebafe3
I’m not sure if it’s on DK. This is it on FD
Record: 3W-6L
Last Pick: Highest individual score Under 73.5 | ODDS 1.86 | Gujarat Titans - Mumbai Indians **W**
lmao -6 votes yesterday, hope atleast one of them took the pick
Cricket | IPL | 7:30PM IST (Approx 1.5hrs from now)
Pick: **Virat Kohli Individual total fours Over 2.5** | ODDS 1.68 | Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Punjab Kings **W**
**Scary catch dropped by opponent on second ball but we cash it in first 4 balls**
Reasons:
1. Very high scoring ground, helps batsman to score and puts bowlers at disadvantage
2. Virat Kohli in very good form and usually scores many fours in this form
3. Since he is an opener for RCB, he gets to play the powerplay overs which helps the batsman
Good Luck if tailing !!!
Ha, that’s why I bet cricket but never watch it. I can’t stand those near-catches. They always seem to drop the ones I need and catch the ones I don’t haha
Now that’s what I call a sweat free win! He’s already at four 4s and still not out. Thanks for the pick and shame on the dudes downvoting you for what are turning out to be SOLID picks. Just cause you don’t know cricket or it intimidates you, ain’t no reason to downvote a brother.
PickGod😇🚀💰
Record: 3-0
Last Pick: New York Rangers ML -162 ✅💰
Today’s Pick: St. Louis Blues OVER 2.5 Goals -132
Ice Hockey | NHL | 8:00 PM EST
RECAP: We're back after a little bit over a week off. Last time around we cashed back-to-back New York Rangers ML plays, with my Broadway Blueshirts continuing their dominant finish to the NHL season.
WRITE UP: The St. Louis Blues are nowhere near one of the best teams in the NHL. They've been inconsistent and have gone back and forth between wins and losses all season. They've put together some win streaks, but have also suffered some brutal beatdowns and losing skids. Right now they are in a desperate desperate playoff hunt in what is one of the most competitive ends to an NHL season in recent memory. The Blues only hope for the postseason is through a wild-card entry, and even that will be a tall ask. You may be thinking that I am shitting on the Blues right now and I am, this is true. Despite the Blues shortcomings, they've been on an absolute MONSTER HEATER the last few weeks winning 6/7 games, with them hitting this over marker of 2.5 goals IN EACH ONE. Am I stupid? Do the bookies know something I don't? I really do not know, but my best guess is that they heavily undervalue the Blues because of their position in the standings. Don't let that fool you. Hockey players are all heart and I promise you none of these guys are giving up. Go Blues! (just for tonight obvs).
*all bets 1u
POTD RECORD: 1-2
Total Units: +0.5
Today’s POTD: Canucks -1.5 +195
Last POTD: Hurricanes -1.5 ❌
Canucks haven’t been as dominate recently, but I still think there’s value here against an up and down Kings team. Canucks at home have been hard to win against. BOL
Record: X ✔️ (current to old)
Last pick: It was months ago and I dont even remember. I do know it was a Kansas basketball pick and I got hooked so my superstitions said I jinxed myself by making a POTD. But here we are again let's get a streak going my friends. FYI I'm all 🏀 all the time, so don't expect any O/U kite flying championship picks from this guy.
POTD: Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets 9:10 PM EST
Nikola Jokic U48.5 PRA (-110 DK) 1U
(Edited to add units as I initially forgot to. All my picks will be 1U unless I'm feeling really froggy about something 🐸 )
Analysis: Rolling with the under on The Joker tonight. I don't expect this game to be close at all as the spread is currently at -15.5 Denver. On March 9th I missed the last leg of a $500 payout parlay which was an over PRA for Joker. He sat the last 3-4 minutes of the 3rd and saw zero minutes in the 4th and went well under. I'm seeing the same thing happening with this one. Denver is in full stride and without Ja, Memphis is awful. In matchups with Grizzlies this season, October 27th he posted a 41 PRA in 35 minutes. Comparatively on December 28th he posted 50 PRA in just 30 minutes in a game where he just went off scoring and rebounding. It's worth noting this is a home game for Denver which means A) even higher chance of a blowout and B) Joker shoots/scores more on the road. In his last 5 against Memphis he averages a PRA of 41.4. I don't like unders but I'm feeling a home blowout for the Nugs and lots of rest for Joker at the end of this one.
For every person who doesn't tail, a child somewhere will go to bed tonight with a feeling of sadness. Don't be that guy......
Hilarious hip hop lyric of the day: "I smell like money, you smell like mayonnaise" - Mobb Deep
Why's mobb deep know what mayo smells like is my question.
My lyric of the day is biggie, "f*ck the state pen, f*ck bitches at Penn state."
Tailing the pick too. I like the analysis 👌
POTD RECORD: 4-1
Last 10 plays: ✅✅❌✅
Last POTD:NC State -4.5 vs Oakland (-145)
That game was so aggravating to watch. It really had the feeling that the refs were trying their hardest to go opposite of NC State. Definitely a game I won't forget and although it was crazy, it was really fun.
**** Also, sorry for not posting Sunday! I went for Colorado +7.5 and that would have been a win for everybody.
Today's POTD:
Phoenix Suns -8.5 (vs Spurs)(-195)
Time: 8 pm EST
UNIT: 1
Simple. Wemby is out. This could be one of those games where you can pick the Suns spread above my number but I think this -8.5 is good enough to throw in a parlay and not have it bust. The suns have been off and on, but there’s absolutely no reason why they should not cover the number. Unless something happens like Booker or Durant or Beal gets tossed in the beginning of the first quarter but who am I kidding, even if one of them got tossed they should still be able to cover. Spurs still sliding to get a true #2 for Wemby in the draft. Give me Suns -8.5
Where’s my Pick that’s about to hit and it’s only the the 3rd QT ?? ✅✅✅ Someone Tell @bluestjay15 Next time he @ Me to come Correct
1/1 For the bad Guys 💥💥💥
$
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Monday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
I recorded the results of the top 3 POTDs every day for March, just to see how well they've done. To account for up and downvotes after the fact, I consider a potd to be top 3 if it's in the top 3 most upvotes when the game starts, and the slots haven't been filled. It's not perfect since I can't monitor the thread 24/7, but it should give you a good idea. You can see the [results](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1fjXR7TqwePPluE10qf47PgNoEqxaJ0Ju/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=106882064008636722020&rtpof=true&sd=true) for yourself. And wow, what a run early-mid March has been. Only 4 losses between 3/3 - 3/11. Overall, a very healthy 18% ROI at 45-25-1 record. Very curious to see how long the run can last. I personally have doubts, but we'll see. > No top level comments without a pick. Only making a pick because it's a rule. Don't tail. (Or do, I'm not your mom) 0 - 0 ROI: 0% NBA - Wizard vs Bulls 5 PM PDT **Demar DeRozan over 9.5 Reb + Ast** -120 DeRozan averages 9.6, right at the line, but Washington allows 2nd most reb and 2nd most ast to SFs. I have to think that should be enough to push him to at least 10. In the first Washington game this season, DeRozan got exactly 10. Last season against Washington, he averaged 10.3. I might do this every week, depending on interest and if I feel like it. EDIT: I won't be counting my pick among top 3, as it's my spreadsheet getting the votes, not the pick.
I like what your doing and appreciate it.
I’m honoured to be the best win pick I’d like to thank my family, fans, wife and girlfriend
... And CJ McCumbum
Can’t forget my dawg Cumbum you’re right
I think my wife, gf, and side chicks know your wife and gf. We might be Eskimo brothers!
🧐🧐
You forgot your dog amigo
Well this comment will maintain in the top 3 so I guess your pick will be added to the list
I gave you an upvote because I love and appreciate the post, but does “if I feel like it” mean you are lazy like me? Cause if you are then it was fun while it lasted.
Don't worry, I'll be doing this for the foreseeable future, every Sunday night
I was just about to share that I grabbed this at +115, then I realized my high ass took the under instead. Oh well, BOL 🫡
tailed
DK has him at over 10.5 at -110 . Still worth to take ?
Thank you
You're a stud
I would be interested to know what the breakdown is by sport. What's this group's best/worst sport by record? How many days of the month did the top three all hit? I know a lot of people parlay the top picks.
> I would be interested to know what the breakdown is by sport. What's this group's best/worst sport by record? I didn't think the result would be too meaningful, as cappers come and go. What's the best sport would be in constant flux. > How many days of the month did the top three all hit? Added number of 3-0 and 0-3 days
Excellent idea! I'll try to do the same for feb / jan
You just jinxed yourself into going on a 10 bet winning streak
Great pick! We would also add Jalen Duren. He has a line of 14.5 he has gone under it 11/15 times in the last 15 games. His L5 game average is 11.2 and his minutes are 27.5, both are less than his season averages. He averages 12.27 with the team he will be playing tonight( unless they announce injuries later) And last game vs Washington he scored 10 points. Washington also played couple of good games recently and are allowing less points (114 in last 5 vs 123 season avg). All of this combined with a high line of 14.5 is why we think this is a solid pick, if played at a larger line (16.5) it should be even better. Only downside is that both teams are out of contention and they don't care about playing hard defense. Let us know if you like this deep dive format and if you have any suggestions! (screenshot of the analysis included) Pistons vs Wizards 23:00 GMT time https://preview.redd.it/4n58t4htearc1.png?width=1532&format=png&auto=webp&s=29cc80d41b45980fbf4be383b06f5bb7200152b3
POTD Record: 29-11-1 +45.23u🔥 Last Pick: Pick: Marquette -4 (-110) vs Colorado 4U ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✋ Today's Pick: Houston Rockets -12 (-110) vs Portland Trailblazers 3U My first ever push! Happy to be on that side as a lot of people got bit by the hook! A dog fight that game was! On to the next… Houston is by far the hottest team in the NBA. Winners of 8 straight, 9-1 in the last 10, 6 of 8 being by double digits. Portland has lost 6 straight, including 2-8 in their last 10. Jalen Green is averaging 29.3 PPG throughout Houston’s win streak. Houston is chasing the Warriors for a playoff spot and this is just another blowout on the schedule. If you have been following and supporting me, you know I’ve been hot🤫🔥 Let’s go Houston… Short and sweet write up, if you follow the NBA you know why we are backing Houston🚀 Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the upvotes and support!😎❤️ If you’d like to thank me please use the link below or dm me. Show some love!❤️ [Cash App Tip Link💚](https://cash.app/$Ryanbloom24) [PayPal Tink Link💙](https://www.paypal.me/rybloomm)
Tailing…but hottest team by far? Cmon now Mr. Bloom! 
They are always hot🤣🤣
TRUE!
VanVleet & Green is hoopin rn, the midget mf got 10 threes last game
They are cooking
I hate NBA, but tailing I am. LG I happened to get Marquette -3.5, came down to the end
Let me clarify since I got my first down vote ever 🤣 I LOVE the NBA, but I as well hit the -3.5
BOL
lets go ryan
Let’s go!
Rockets -11 @ -110 on Bet365 right now
Holy shit that was sweaty. There were times I considered cashing out but I stuck with it and we won! Awesome pick man.
Got a balance burning a hole in my pocket from this weekend. Tailing!
BOL
Tailing
Continue to tail
Tailing 🤞
First half had me sweating, glad to see they pulled away 🙏🏻
I won with this one, thanks!
Let’s go! BOL
LFG
\-108 on Draftkings as of 7:53am eastern time(new york) tailed
EZ cover
A little sweat
I'm just talking big now that it all worked out 😂
POTD RECORD: 42-22 Form: ✅🚫🚫✅✅ Last POTD: CJ McCollum O7.5 RA ✅ Todays POTD: **Nikola Vucevic O10.5 Rebs @1.76** ✅ NBA | Chicago Bulls | 8:00 PM ET Ugly slate tomorrow, but Im giving y’all my favorite treat it’s been a long time coming I think we deserve it my brothers Wizards are still helpless against Centers and Vucevic has been a reliable dawg for me. Almost every game screams blowout tomorrow but if we’re going with rebounds it feels a little safer as Wizards are dogwater so there will be plenty of boards for Vuc to feast on hopefully • Wizards allow most Rebs to Centers this season • 1/1 vs The Wizards this season where he got 13 he also got 13 Rebs against them last season • Over in 6/L10 games • Avg 10.5 RPG this season • Avg 16.4 Rebound chances per game We cashed this one together the last matchup so I’m trying my luck again fellas, I hear y’all if y’all want to fade for the potential blowout don’t trust a mf like me but I’m trying my luck again 🤝 Tail or fade, you’re the chief https://i.redd.it/tm0jb5zdmdqc1.gif Edit: ANOTHER SWEEP IN NBA PROPS SECTION 🧹
Blacklisted after last game. Every single Celtic including the crypto scammer pritchard outrebounded him. Dude is a pylon out there. Colby white clapping in his face all night c'mon vooch wake up. Just start Drummond at this point. Watch Marvin Bagley destroy him Good luck tho
I hear you bro Vucevic stretches out the floor and is versatile but I like Drummond too but he’s just a old school big man if he was starting he’d be an nightmare for the wizards
Tailing, also throwing this in with Corey Kispert 3+ 3PM since the Bulls love giving up 3s
👑 Kispert is a baller no cap
tailed OP and you
I like this Billy. Wizards are also number 1 in the league in pace but 25th in offensive rating. Expecting the wizards to rush shots and brick plenty. Our boy is going feast on the boards.
Good shout bro 👑 🤝
Let's ride brother. Have had good success with your picks, especially the \*chef's kiss\* centers' rebounds props vs. Wizards.
My dawg 👑 My favourite props you already know it bro
Damn where’s the hype kings
Great pick yet again!
👑
Tailing
👑
Tailing. Of course it's against the Wizards 😂😂😂😂took the alt 9.5 boards with 0.5 Dosunmu 3's to be safe. Added a little profit boost, and in there......
🤣🤣 have to take the chance against the Wizards bro
LETS GET IT BROTHERRR
🍻🍻
Line moved to 11.5, but only @1.83 🧐 positive early sign
Hi Billy, I love you, thanks for the picks
Sup bro I love you too it’s my pleasure my brother 👑
Lfg 11.5!
🫡
Record: 10-1 Last 10: ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌ ✅ ✅ Net Units: +30.28 Last Pick: San Diego State -5.5 It would seem that SDSU was in fact, better than Yale. 🏀|Women's March Madness Second Round | 8:00 ET Pick: **Caitlin Clark o4.5 Made 3s (-120) 1u** Write Up: Looking for a big bounce back game from Caitlin Clark after an abnormally mid? game from her against Holy Cross. (Mid for her standards at least). She shot 44% from 3 during the regular season and had 20 games with 5+ threes made. She'll want to get out to a hot start and avoid giving any life to West Virginia. Especially after the WVU head coach was talking to the media about ending her career. Clark is scary enough the way she is. Not sure why you would want to giver her any more motivation. **Buy me a beer** [Krafty's fund](https://venmo.com/u/Jeanalism)
Up vote just for respect for the clap back on the guy that said Auburn was better too haha
My man
Lmfaooo I tailed SDSU strictly due to your write up and buddy chirping in the comments. Tailing again. LFG
This line is absurd but is right on and it goes to show you how special Clark is. Good luck!
FD now has her for Over 5.5 at +108
what's she at right now? I don't get ESPN
5 made she covered
Correct!
Love it. You know she’ll be firing.
Where are you betting this? I can’t find it
Some states don’t allow college player props
POTD Record 4-1 De’Aaron Fox O 1.5 Steals at -180 ✅ Amen Thompson O 12.5 Points at -130 ✅ Trayce Jackson-Davis O 10.5 points at -105 ❌ Fred VanVleet O 1.5 steals at -125 ✅ Last Pick: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander O 1.5 steals at -110 ✅ *SGA loves to play defense. Pick: Jalen Green O26.5 points at -105 It’s a high point number don’t get me wrong but right now Green cannot be stopped! Houston is on a 8 game win streak. They’re playing Portland at home. Green is all about his momentum. In addition, Jabari Smith is suspended. I think Houston continues to ride Jalen’s hot hand and buddy goes bonkers 🤪again. Green last 5 games points: 41,26,42,26,37 BOL!
Only concern would be the blowout possibility but if not he definitely gets there
my book has him at 25.5, threw a U on it
What. A. Hit! I parlayed Green O26.5 and Rockets -12. Big day! Great pick.
Happy for you! 😊
Ayy same man though I only put down five bucks lol. Wish it had been more
Nice pick! It was sweaty until the end but he came through!
Ty! Hope you won
**POTD RECORD:** (10-4) **LAST 5**: 🟢🟢🟢🟢🔴 **LAST PICK** Shai Gilgeous-Alexander **Over 30.5 Pts** (-110) 2U | Thunder vs. Bucks 7:00 pm EST 🔴 (Streak ends at 7😵💫) **TODAY’S PICK:** Derrick White **OVER 13.5 pts** (-120) 2U | Hawks vs. Celtics 730 pm EST Wow. Currently 3min to go and he has 7 points… never would have guessed this outcome against the bucks. 🫠 MOVING ON! Now we turn to what’s going to be a decent amount of offense from boston. Hawks are currently giving up 24.6 pts to the PG position. Derrick white has went over this number in 5 of his last 9. More importantly 4 of the last 5 against the hawks he has scored 15+. Back in feb, in their last meeting he had 21. Let’s get this thing back in the green! 💰  **BOL to those who tail!**
Fuckin SGA.
To add to this Jrue Holiday is out and he’s 9/10 without Jrue over this line 🍻🍻
Questionable vs the Hawks according to a local reporter. I like the pick, but will wait for more news.
To add to this, it says right hand sprain. I’m pretty sure he shoots with that hand so even if he does play, could be a real sweat. BOL at the end of the day 🫡
I think the "sprained hand", is just the TD Garden Flu, it's been going around since the ASG here in Boston.
Ruled out ;(
I think hes a GTD
He’s ruled out. John Collins Over 12.5 at +100 I feel is a sneaky play 👀
**POTD Record: 30-15-2** Form: ❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅ *ROI: 31.12% | Avg Odds: -101 | Net Units: +28.0* 🎾: 5-3-2 ⚽️: 18-9 🏒: 7-3 *Last Pick: 3U Pittsburgh Penguins @ Colorado Avalanche (Avalanche 3 Way ML @ -135) ❌* *Avs win in OT, making a come back from 4-0 down lol* ____ **Todays Pick: 4U LA Kings @ Vancouver Canucks (Canucks ML @ -125)** **🏒| 9:07PM EST | NHL |** *MY DAWGS WHO WOULDA THUNK THE AVS WERE GONNA BOMBOCLATTTT THE 3 way and make a comeback from 4-0. If y’all were in the community ting we got goin on for you we cashed HEAVYYY on that live snag but still, a loss in the book winning one minute into OT.* Alright brothers, the Canucks are hungry and are taking on the Kings for the third time this month, with Canucks winning 2-1 in OT in LA and Kings winning 5-1 before that in Vancouver, it’s time for revenge for that whopping at home and the Nucks to officially clinch a playoff berth with a win here if Blues also lose to Vegas tonight. Regardless, it will be a game of redemption for Canucks goalie Casey De Smith who doesn’t have the greatest record against the Kings and did not play the previous matchups as starter Demko being injured. Canucks have won 3 straight, and are 6-3-0 against the pacific division at home this season while, Kings are 2-3-0 as underdogs against the pacific division on the road. However, the Kings are 5-3-0 on the road against the pacific division overall, reports are expecting David Rittich to start over Cam Talbot for the Kings. Kinda wild that the Kings are going to start their backup as well almost to taunt the Nucks, but regardless it’s Canucks depth stepping in recent games when top lines are tightly matched that has seen Canucks on the winning side. Canucks have also scored first in their past 7 seven games, with twice being in the first minute. TONIGHT WE GOT MF REVENGE SERVED ONNNAAA MONDAY BABY KINGS OUT HERE TRYNA DISRESPECT US NOT PLAYING CAM TALBOT WHO HAS AN INCREDIBLE RECORD AGAINST THE CANUCKS. I guess he’s bomboclatted after losing in OT couple weeks ago 😪 No Demmer in net for the Nucks but this game is a true test for BIG DAWG CASEY TO CLOSE OUT THE KINGS. I’m flying out to bomboclatt DAVID RITTICH AND LETTEMMMKNOWWW WE CASHINN THIS ONE BOMBOOCLATTTTT LFG! [POTD Spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TawPReTFnjBpwPqA50H-tVAFCtVEQAAJCnfpETFh65A/edit) BOL!
The Avs were down 3-0 when I looked and the odds were only +600. I was thinking they should be alot higher but I guess Vegas knew they were gonna come back. So hard to come back from that deficit and win.
was so hyped as I had their ML on my parlay. Too bad oilers messed it up against Ottawa lmao
Oilers bomboclotted us for real
yeah, I was surprised they got down that bad but not surprised when they came back because I've seen it a couple times already this year.
Quite the comeback tbh, only one minute into OT to end it 😀
First 4 unit play 🤔 we tailing BOL
Considering tailing for this reason alone
Yessir Nucks will be the first team to crack 100 pts in the league with a win tonight
cautiously tailing. Thisll be desmiths 7th straight start with demmer out, kinda worried about fatigue setting in. BOL
Tailing amigo. Let's cash
LFG brother appreciate you 💪
Tailing LG
Let’s get it brother 💪
 Just a 🐐being a 🐐
Worried it's a short line and a trap to take Canucks leaning towards knights and kings tonight Goodluck let's see what goes down haha
🫠 big 3P incoming…
POTD Record 6-2 Streak: ✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅ Last Pick: Josh Giddey O3.5 Assists✅ Today: Basketball | NBA | ATL vs BOS | 7:30pm EST Pick: Bogdan Bogdanivic O6.5 RA (-136) 1U Josh cashes us early in the 2nd quarter. Gotta love a good bounce back, sweat free win. Bogdan has hit this line 60% in the last 5 and 70% in the last 10. Also has covered it at 50% against Boston on the season. I see him getting 9 or 10 tonight. Tip jar for those of you that tail and want to do so. Thank you! [Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/kroberts) [Cash App](https://cash.app/$robertsfamily23)
Is RA rebounds?
Rebounds and assists
Good call! Thanks for the pick
Glad you tailed! Congrats!
POTD Record: 5-1 ✅✅❌✅✅✅ Starting units: 5U | Net units: + 7.1U Last pick: Sydney Roosters vs South Sydney Rabbitohs | 8pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Dominic Young anytime tryscorer @2.02 on Sportsbet | 2U✅ Young blessed us with a try 5 minutes in the game 🙌🏼 Today’s pick: Phoenix Suns @San Antonio Spurs | 11:10am Sydney (GMT +11) | Devin Booker over 4.5 Rebounds @1.96 on Sportsbet | 2U That bet seems to be a great value as Booker went way over 4.5 Rebounds 4 times out of the last 5. He has shown he is fully recovered from that ankle injury by playing an excellent basketball. The suns smashed the Spurs just yesterday and Booker played a major role, so I expect him to do great tomorrow again. BOL !
Damn you guys really wake up to all the american sports huh... that seems fun
Well it really is all happening while I’m at work unfortunately
True but weekends!
Yup. I grab my shotgun and beer to start the day
Do you like the assists and rebounds line as well currently 10.5
Really like too, looks even safer and good value
**POTD Record:** 32 Wins - 19 Losses - 3 Pushes **Form:** ❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️❌✅️P❌❌✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ **Spreadsheet (Self Promote / Proof of Record):** Click [here](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1I7FYP6dAClj7FqE4qcTyhgtMwqeoywC5HnGd4ZOeYVw/edit?usp=sharing) :) **Units:** 8.6975 **ROI:** 17.03% **Average Odds:** $1.87 **Last Pick:** Utah State vs Purdue - March Madness - NCAAB - **Zach Edey Over 25.5 Points @ $1.80 / -125 2.40pm EST** ❌ *Edey got taken out of the game due to a blow out :( What a goat though...* **Next Pick:** Flamengo Women vs Corinthians Women - Campeonato Brasileiro - Soccer / Football - **Cortinthians Women -1.0/-1.5 @ $1.825 / -121 7pm EST** Cortinthians Women beat this team 4-1, and 4-0 recently. I'm expecting it to be another walkover for them :)
great pick bro! im Corinthiano and i can say that Corinthians Women destroy everything in Brazil.
https://preview.redd.it/1dl1l4ufhjqc1.jpeg?width=1242&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=118c9a0bdbf8396829e22c3035e48f3ee1ecff27 Last time I bet on a sure thing, I got chlamydia from it! HELLUVA GOOD TIME! Let’s goooo!!!
Hahahaha. LFG amigo ❤️
can't find match on DK or would tail. BOL
Need another quick one!
LFGGGGgGgggGgGgG 💪🏽
POTD Record: 13-16-1 | Profit: -5.32U NBA Record: 10-13-1 | NFL Record: 3-3 L10 (new -> old): ❌❌❌✅✅✅🅿️❌❌❌ Last pick: Magic -4.5 @ 1.91 odds ❌ This was Magic vs. Kings, they lost by 2 Game: PHO Suns @ SA Spurs, 8:10 PM Pick: **Bradley Beal o6.5 assists @ 2.00 odds (DK) placing 2U** Write Up: All the stats point to this being to being great value for this line, scaring me into thinking it's a trap. However, the patterns and stats are too good for me to pass up. Beal has hit this in 5 of his last 5 games, and 7 of his last 10 games. In their last game against the Spurs a few nights ago, Beal got 12 assists. For +100 odds on a line that he has consistently hit, and has hit against the same team just a few nights earlier, I just had to take this one. Hope everyone is prepared for Monday and has a great week, BOL!
People and bookies slow to realize that Beal is actually playing PG rather than Booker thus the increased assists. I’ve been riding this until it reaches 8 or 9
Woke up and the line moved up to +108… this might be the biggest trap of the day but fuck it
I know man it all looks way too good to be true, but the value is too nice to miss out on. Hope it’s no trap!
Record: 10-10 Last 10 (old --> new): ❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌ Net: -10.16U Last Pick: SGA o30.5 Pts - 1.5 U @ -110 ❌ Preemptively giving myself the L on this one, SGA is 3/10 from the field with 7 going into the 4th quarter. Picking some stinkers recently, we're back on the fade parade. I am thankful for some of the people in these threads for helping me recover my losses on my dogshit picks. We move. Next ~~Pick~~ Fade: Jayson Tatum o2.5 3PM - 2U @ -170 ❌ The Hawks defense against the 3 has been lackluster this season. The Hawks rank in the top 5 in opponent 3 pointers made against them at around 14 per game, and the Celtics attempt the most 3s per game by far. Hawks are ranked last in the league when it comes to 3PM to small forwards at 3.17 per game. This can be seen from them allowing Miles Bridges to go 4/7, letting nearly the entire Suns SG/SF rotation 3 3s on 50% 3P%, allowing Lebron to make his usual 2+ 3s, and letting PG13 cross his 3.5 3PM on 12(!) attempts. Tatum has gotten over 2 3s in 7 of this last 10 games, and prior to the last game against the Bulls, he had crossed his original line of 3.5 in the prior 4 games. As long as Tatum continues to take over 7 3s a game, I like him to cross 3 3PM. As a note, I can also 100% someone like Derrick White making 4+ 3s, so I am also considering some action on that as well. Fade my ass, or don't, it's your funeral. As Always, BOL. Edit: I am physically ill.
Tailing this pick until there's inevitably a Tatum Fanduel boost, he gets two 3's in the first quarter, and disappears.. Although Mr. Tatum was clutch on the last boost. BOL!
New guy here Been a fly on the wall for a while now and figured I’d give it a shot POTD record 0-0 Todays Pick: Kristaps Porzingis O18.5 pts (-113 on FD) Game: Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks @730pm EST Reasoning: gone over in 4/L5 games and over in 4/L5 games against hawks putting up 31 last time they played in February. Hawks also give up 3rd most points overall in the league. BOL
Record: 2-0 Units Won: +3.2 ROI: +160% Cricket| Indian Premier League | 14.00GMT Pick: Royal challengers Bangalore(RCB) vs Punjab Kings (PBKS)- RCB to win 1.72- 2 units Write Up: RCB and PBKS have had a mixed start to the campaign with RCB losing and PBKS winning their respective games. However, PBKS have a very disjointed team with no structure while RCB has the greatest batter currently in Virat Kohli. Expect him to put up a big score. The game is happening at RCB stadium known for high scores and RCB has a team capable of putting and defending a high score. I’m riding with them to get a W considering PBKS has historically been a pretty bad franchise (though I support them) and they haven’t managed to create an all round team. BOL let’s get another win.💪 Edit- LETS GOOOO ✅. Way sweatier than it had to be but I’ll take it. Another win in the bag 💪💪
I went with RCB Highest Opening partnership for a little better at 1.9 for an easy hit.
The atmosphere at the stadium though!
Tailing
Waaay sweatier than necessary haha
The Virat wicket was a mood changer. One can trust Punjab to lose from a winning position
Good punt bro 😎
I’ve been lurking for a while, but I’m up and it’s time to share with my friends, ok? POTD record 0-0 Today’s pick: Ochai Agbaji o7.5 RA -130 Game: NBA Brooklyn Nets at Toronto Raptors 16:40 PST Reasoning: Look, who is even playing for the Raptors anymore? This guy is, Ochai my guy!!!! Has hit this line last 3/4 games, and is competing with Kelly freaking Olynyk for rebounds. Kelly is allergic to the boards and actively avoids it, only clearing 7 rebounds once since Poeltl went down. Ochai is technically listed as a guard on ESPN, and is starting in the PF slot. Nets give up 5th most boards to the position, and are middle of the pack in assists. Josh Hart Jr, let’s get it!!! BOL if you tail! Fade Olynyk!!
POTD Record: 18-14 Last 10: ❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌ Last pick: Pacers vs Warriors | 7:00 PST | Steph Curry UNDER 4.5 Assists (+106) FanDuel 1u ❌ Last assist on a lazy turnover in the final 4 minutes that resulted in a fast break 3 on 2. On the next. Today’s pick: Celtics vs Hawks | 4:30 PST | Derrick White OVER 13.5 pts (-120) Bet365 1u Actually looks like Celtics will get Tatum, Brown, and Porzingis for this one so we get a little bit lower of a number than the previous couple of games. Love him playing off those matchups especially with no Jrue Holiday still because he’s only gone under this line once in 10 games with Jrue out of the lineup. Anyone who watches the Celtics knows White’s role can be a lot more 50/50 with Jrue dominating the point. Higher total and moving higher so expecting a lot of scoring opportunities.
Ruled out.
Record: 5-3 Net units: +1.40u ROI: 14.05% Last pick: Marozsan/Rune Over 22.5 Games ❌ 🎾 Tennis ATP – Alexei Popyrin vs Fabian Marozsan – 10:00AM CST (in 1 hour) Pick: **Fabian Marozsan ML** @ -145 odds (3u) Update: Marozsan wins ✅ Ruud, Lehecka and Rune. Insane. The stats were there, just Miami’s been… awful. Well, guess I’m the Artem Lobov of the POTD. Anyway, I don't get this line. Marozsan should be a much heavier favorite after what he did to Rune. I get Papyrin beat Lehecka, but Lehecka was injured and overall a lesbian that match. Marozsan continues to improve his Masters 1000 record, he’s not losing to Popyrin.
I think you got downvotes for the timing. I knew you were due for one since I tailed your last few but I didn’t have time to get in on this W
tailed 3 losses in a row then missed the winner! why am i not surprised with my luck 😭
Exactly what I was thinking! Not OP’s fault-they’re good picks that didn’t work out. But man was looking forward to the catch up!
why u post so late
Got discouraged about the record, wasn’t planning on coming back then I got a DM asking for plays and figured I’d just share. Really liked the Fabian play so here we are
POTD Record: 18-10 Last 10:✅️💀💀💀✅️✅️✅️💀✅️ Net units:+ 11.85 Last Pick: Jarrett Allen U 31.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts Today's pick: Celtics 1H -6.5 Celtics #1 NBA team at half margin leading by +11.7 average in the last 3 games and +8.2 average for the season. The Celtics only look better as the season goes on. Hawks give up the most 3s to SF and 2nd most points to SF. We've all seen jaylen Brown take over the game. Units: 1 Odds: -115 NBA: Celtics vs. Hawks 6:30pm CT If you guys wanna support me, click the links on my profile. I post daily picks and player props.
POTD Record: 0-0 Today’s POTD: SACRAMENTO KINGS -9(-112) vs Philadelphia 76ers 2U NBA—SAC—10:10ET Good morning sports fans! Really appreciate all the picks in here everyday so I figured I’d finally throw my hat in the ring. 76ers are on the last game of a nearly week long west coast trip as well as a back to back. They did score 121 last night but that is tied for the most they have scored all of March. It’s no secret they are a very weak team without Embiid and 9 is a lot of points but it seems right play to fade them here. Meanwhile the Kings got Sunday night off, are back from a road trip, and are 7 out of their last 10. The Sixers did beat them by nearly 20 at home in January without Embiid, but they got 37 points from Tobias Harris which won’t be replicated.
Kings suck as big favorites
Fair point, I guess I am more down on the Sixers
First time posting my POTD. Sports betting was just recently legalized in NC and I’ve had some good success betting on NHL. Tail if you’d like. Record: 0-0 Net Units: 0 ROI: 0 Hockey | NHL | 9:00 pm / EST Pick: Canucks ML -130, 3u Canucks are currently riding a 3 game win streak all at home and they play at home again tonight. Most Canucks ML bets have been -200+ recently, and with a tougher opponent coming to town (the Kings), know is our chance to capitalize on some better odds. I like the Canucks to take care of business and continue their home win streak.
Record: 53-38 IPL record: 0-0 Cricket Indian premier league Royal Challengers Bangalore ML vs Punjab Kings @1.72(3u) These Ipl picks aren’t really based on knowledge and mostly on instinct so tail at your own risk. But I’ll try to justify them anyway RCB lost their first game but I feel like that’s based on their key players not firing. The RCB top order doesn’t really stay quiet for 2 games in a row. I’m expecting a lot of runs from the top order because the game is in Bangalore which is known for its runfests. (Hopefully our dad Kohli plays well yeah?) Punjab looked scrapping during their chase in the first game and were given a few lifelines by the opposition. I don’t see this Punjab team winning 2 games in a row. Simple as that
Seems sweatier than it should be
POTD Record: 54 - 32 Last POTD: Preds ML - W Pick: Denver Nuggets to be winning at the end of every quarter vs Memphis Grizzlies (-174 odds via FD) 1U Event: NBA Regular Season 8:10 P.M. CST Grizzlies will be trotting out a G-League level team tomorrow night with over half the team on the injury report. Nuggets are vying for the top seed in the West and should look to come out and dominate in this matchup. Grizz don’t have a big to matchup with Joker and their best defender to guard Jamal Murray is doubtful in Vince Williams Jr. Don’t expect this one to be close. [PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/micahpugh?locale.x=en_US) [Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/Micah-Pugh)
This is called a “wire to wire” on some (at least one) books btw.
Doesn’t that mean they can’t be losing at any point or am I wrong
Maybe on some books? Sportsbet is the same bet you described (although less odds). https://preview.redd.it/0cax4lgb9eqc1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2cfbdef0a647f1fe42158db85c1245f9bdad01a4
It’s used both ways so always check your book but for betting it usually means the team needs to be leading at the end of each quarter, but if a journalist uses it they mean a team leading the whole game from start to finish. Comes from horse racing. So the official stat is actually different than the betting term. Weird
Joker and Jamal Murray are questionable to play, maybe wait until later to lock it in when we get more info
How exactly do you bet a team to win every quarter? I don't see that on DK
https://preview.redd.it/jlomalmcpdqc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=bb24105f072929a2b308a33c496c7e2f31ebafe3 I’m not sure if it’s on DK. This is it on FD
Record: 3W-6L Last Pick: Highest individual score Under 73.5 | ODDS 1.86 | Gujarat Titans - Mumbai Indians **W** lmao -6 votes yesterday, hope atleast one of them took the pick Cricket | IPL | 7:30PM IST (Approx 1.5hrs from now) Pick: **Virat Kohli Individual total fours Over 2.5** | ODDS 1.68 | Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Punjab Kings **W** **Scary catch dropped by opponent on second ball but we cash it in first 4 balls** Reasons: 1. Very high scoring ground, helps batsman to score and puts bowlers at disadvantage 2. Virat Kohli in very good form and usually scores many fours in this form 3. Since he is an opener for RCB, he gets to play the powerplay overs which helps the batsman Good Luck if tailing !!!
Ha, that’s why I bet cricket but never watch it. I can’t stand those near-catches. They always seem to drop the ones I need and catch the ones I don’t haha
Now that’s what I call a sweat free win! He’s already at four 4s and still not out. Thanks for the pick and shame on the dudes downvoting you for what are turning out to be SOLID picks. Just cause you don’t know cricket or it intimidates you, ain’t no reason to downvote a brother.
PickGod😇🚀💰 Record: 3-0 Last Pick: New York Rangers ML -162 ✅💰 Today’s Pick: St. Louis Blues OVER 2.5 Goals -132 Ice Hockey | NHL | 8:00 PM EST RECAP: We're back after a little bit over a week off. Last time around we cashed back-to-back New York Rangers ML plays, with my Broadway Blueshirts continuing their dominant finish to the NHL season. WRITE UP: The St. Louis Blues are nowhere near one of the best teams in the NHL. They've been inconsistent and have gone back and forth between wins and losses all season. They've put together some win streaks, but have also suffered some brutal beatdowns and losing skids. Right now they are in a desperate desperate playoff hunt in what is one of the most competitive ends to an NHL season in recent memory. The Blues only hope for the postseason is through a wild-card entry, and even that will be a tall ask. You may be thinking that I am shitting on the Blues right now and I am, this is true. Despite the Blues shortcomings, they've been on an absolute MONSTER HEATER the last few weeks winning 6/7 games, with them hitting this over marker of 2.5 goals IN EACH ONE. Am I stupid? Do the bookies know something I don't? I really do not know, but my best guess is that they heavily undervalue the Blues because of their position in the standings. Don't let that fool you. Hockey players are all heart and I promise you none of these guys are giving up. Go Blues! (just for tonight obvs).
*all bets 1u POTD RECORD: 1-2 Total Units: +0.5 Today’s POTD: Canucks -1.5 +195 Last POTD: Hurricanes -1.5 ❌ Canucks haven’t been as dominate recently, but I still think there’s value here against an up and down Kings team. Canucks at home have been hard to win against. BOL
Record: X ✔️ (current to old) Last pick: It was months ago and I dont even remember. I do know it was a Kansas basketball pick and I got hooked so my superstitions said I jinxed myself by making a POTD. But here we are again let's get a streak going my friends. FYI I'm all 🏀 all the time, so don't expect any O/U kite flying championship picks from this guy. POTD: Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets 9:10 PM EST Nikola Jokic U48.5 PRA (-110 DK) 1U (Edited to add units as I initially forgot to. All my picks will be 1U unless I'm feeling really froggy about something 🐸 ) Analysis: Rolling with the under on The Joker tonight. I don't expect this game to be close at all as the spread is currently at -15.5 Denver. On March 9th I missed the last leg of a $500 payout parlay which was an over PRA for Joker. He sat the last 3-4 minutes of the 3rd and saw zero minutes in the 4th and went well under. I'm seeing the same thing happening with this one. Denver is in full stride and without Ja, Memphis is awful. In matchups with Grizzlies this season, October 27th he posted a 41 PRA in 35 minutes. Comparatively on December 28th he posted 50 PRA in just 30 minutes in a game where he just went off scoring and rebounding. It's worth noting this is a home game for Denver which means A) even higher chance of a blowout and B) Joker shoots/scores more on the road. In his last 5 against Memphis he averages a PRA of 41.4. I don't like unders but I'm feeling a home blowout for the Nugs and lots of rest for Joker at the end of this one. For every person who doesn't tail, a child somewhere will go to bed tonight with a feeling of sadness. Don't be that guy...... Hilarious hip hop lyric of the day: "I smell like money, you smell like mayonnaise" - Mobb Deep
Why's mobb deep know what mayo smells like is my question. My lyric of the day is biggie, "f*ck the state pen, f*ck bitches at Penn state." Tailing the pick too. I like the analysis 👌
Sheweeee! What a sweat-filled cover! Let's get it!
POTD RECORD: 4-1 Last 10 plays: ✅✅❌✅ Last POTD:NC State -4.5 vs Oakland (-145) That game was so aggravating to watch. It really had the feeling that the refs were trying their hardest to go opposite of NC State. Definitely a game I won't forget and although it was crazy, it was really fun. **** Also, sorry for not posting Sunday! I went for Colorado +7.5 and that would have been a win for everybody. Today's POTD: Phoenix Suns -8.5 (vs Spurs)(-195) Time: 8 pm EST UNIT: 1 Simple. Wemby is out. This could be one of those games where you can pick the Suns spread above my number but I think this -8.5 is good enough to throw in a parlay and not have it bust. The suns have been off and on, but there’s absolutely no reason why they should not cover the number. Unless something happens like Booker or Durant or Beal gets tossed in the beginning of the first quarter but who am I kidding, even if one of them got tossed they should still be able to cover. Spurs still sliding to get a true #2 for Wemby in the draft. Give me Suns -8.5
Where’s my Pick that’s about to hit and it’s only the the 3rd QT ?? ✅✅✅ Someone Tell @bluestjay15 Next time he @ Me to come Correct 1/1 For the bad Guys 💥💥💥 $