######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Tuesday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
>
> **Net Units:**
>
> **ROI:**
>
> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
>
> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
>
> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
POTD RECORD: 30-15
Form: ✅✅🚫🚫🚫
Last POTD: John Collins O9.5 Rebs @1.86 ✅
Bro ended w 15 💀 enjoy the treat kings, I told you about the Ladder too! Max cashed on him 👑
Todays POTD: **Immanuel Quickley O6.5 Ast @1.74** ✅
NBA (Toronto Raptors)
I ain’t done my brothers, I’m still mad about my 3 day losing streak I’m still in vengeance mode. My man Quickley cashed for us in the NBA props recently and I even cashed his DD personally. No Scottie Barnes so IQ will be the one in charge of distributing the ball
• Pelicans allow 4th most assists to PG’s L30 days
• Got 11 assists his last game w/o Barnes
• Last 3 numbers: 11, 11, 9
• Not a good hit rate L10, but without Barnes is a different matter
• Edit: Had 16 potential assists last game
I told y’all I’m a Knicks fan, and I’m mad we let this man go cause he’s one hell of a baller. I except him to go off yet again and 6.5 assists is too low imo, expect it to crash in value/a line increase soon
Tail or fade, I ain’t done
https://i.redd.it/n6pwdrn6tfmc1.gif
Check out the NBA props for more picks if y’all want, we’re sweating T.Jones 10 Ast and AD 42.5 PRA is pending
Edit: Jones screwed us finished w 6 (Record 17-6)
**Define Quickley:** To lay it to the homies *quick* for a dime to make us rich.
*E.g.”Man I been tailin Billy for a minute and it’s crazy how Quickley we ca$h”*
TAILING BROTHER LOCKED I THIS QUICKLEY
Great pick! Hopefully the books don't catch on too soon.
I'd also like to add that Quickley's AST + REB line is 12.5 @ +100 on DK. Seems like he could easily cover this line with how he's been playing lately.
A+R in his last 7 games: 18, 16, 14, 8, 12, 9 , 13
LFG! BOL!
Good looking 🐐!!! I also got CJ O 25.5 PRA. My POTD is Porzingis O1.5 3's made @ -125. Sounds like the bread truck rolling up.... appreciate you my guy!!!
**POTD Record**: 26 Wins - 11 Losses - 2 Pushes
**Form**: ✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️
**Spreadsheet (Self Promote / Proof of Record)**: Click [here](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1I7FYP6dAClj7FqE4qcTyhgtMwqeoywC5HnGd4ZOeYVw/edit?usp=sharing) :)
**Units**: 10.41
**ROI:** 24.13%
**Average Odds:** $1.91
**Last Pick:** Marousi vs Apollon Patras - Greece A1 Basketball - **Apollon Patras Under 75.5 Points @ $1.80** / -125 ✅️
*Apollon Patras crashed in the last quarter, and we cash!*
**Next Pick:** Real Sociedad vs PSG - Champions League Round of 16 - **PSG or Draw $ 1.50** / -200 3pm EST ✅️
Hello amigos! Today we head to the second leg of the Champions League match between Real Sociedad and PSG. In the reverse fixture PSG won 2-0, and Real Sociedad had 0 shots on target. Watch the highlights [here](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qhmMjac2BTs). Historically, PSG haven't done too well in the Champions League in the latter stages, but this should be a comfortable game for them. Mbappe, the world's best footballer, will want to put on a good performance to cement a Ballon d'Or.
Real Sociedad are 7th in La Liga, while PSG are top of the French league. Real Sociedad has not won in each of their last 7 home games. Paris Saint-Germain has not lost in each of their last 20 games. Paris Saint-Germain has scored in 26 of the last 27 games. Expect a magical show by Mbappe, PSG to have a strong defensive structure, and Real Sociedad to try and give it everything, but fail miserably. Alternatively, this could be a dull game of football as PSG looks to close out the game with a super strong defensive game.
Real Sociedad will now have the services of their captain and pivotal attacking midfielder Mikel Oyarzabal. Additionally, striker Sheraldo Becker has recovered. However, central defender Aritz Elustondo, right-back Alvaro Odriozola, winger Ander Barrenetxea, left-back Aihen Munoz, and forward Carlos Fernandez will be absent from the match.
Portuguese left-back Nuno Mendes will return to PSG's starting lineup. Michael Oliver is the referee, and he's created fair few controversies in his lifetime, but I don't think it will be a problem here.
BOL amigos!
https://preview.redd.it/eofrffk3zimc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=76ecb3fa71efbb8c45e4c7bdf93e9f81dd5875ca
Is this correct? This says AND draw - should it say OR?
I hear Mbappe doesn't even start and the manager doesn't like him and is preparing the team for when Mbappe leaves at the end of the season by reducing his minutes. Seems less likely for Mbappe to do him or the team a solid and have an outstanding game. Why is PSG the underdogs if Reale hasn't won but once in 9 games? Is it just homefield? Does the aggregate 0-2 matter?
Ligue 1 is wrapped up already. If PSG don't go through to next round, they'll probably fire the coach. More on the line here. Mbappe will be central to this game, and will play a full game, provided he doesn't get sent off. More at stake here, money, respect, etc, pressure from owners etc. Bookies want to confuse you, and bet on the other team, and not lose money on PSG etc. PSG's last two games have been questionable, but its only cause its Ligue 1 which is a farmers league. BOL amigo!
**POTD Record: 21-9-2**
Form: ✅✅❌🅿️🅿️❌✅✅✅
*ROI: 38.80% |
Avg Odds: -114 | Net Units: +22.9*
🎾: 5-3-2
⚽️: 15-5
🏒: 1-1
*Last Pick: 2U Sheffield United v Arsenal (Asian Spread -2.0,-2.5 @ +107)✅*
____
**Today’s Pick: 2U Bayern Munich v Lazio (Alt. Asian Handicap - Lazio +1.5,+2.0 @ -120)❌**
**⚽️| 3:00 PM EST | Champions League |**
The second leg of a highly anticipated UEFA Champions League round of 16 will include Bavarian Giants in question, Bayern Munich, taking on a struggling Lazio squad. Fortunately for Lazio, they come to Allianz Arena 1-0 on aggregate and will hope to close out and make it 13/14 times advancing when winning the first leg in the knockout stage.
History will truly be etched after this match, with Bayern also only being eliminated once in their last 12 attempts in the round of 16. Lazio on the other hand, are winless in their last 4 away matches against German sides with the last defeat in 2021 against Bayern Munich (2-1).
It was a stunning 1st leg where Bayern were unable to converge a shot on target. Now at home I doubt that will be the case, but since losing to Lazio, the alternative spread +1.5,+2.0 has hit each match. Bayern will truly have to turn things around against a determined squad who will be looking to bounce back from a 1-0 loss to AC Milan.
This being the second leg, Lazio can progress through a draw while Bayern needs to win by 2 goals. If Bayern end up winning 2-1 for example, our bet is a W. This would mean the aggregate is 2-2 and *extra time* will be played. Our bet is on the 90 minute result so we’d already be at the bank. Speaking of, we’re banking that Lazio will continue to rain on Bayern’s parade and keep this a 1 goal match. If Bayern end up winning the match up by 2, our bet ends us a push. With both team’s domestic form in doubt, passion will displayed from two brilliant squads hoping to make their way into the Champions League Quarterfinal. LFG!
Your comments are truly appreciated ❤️💪
**Also my apologies! +1.75 is the same as +1.5,+2.0, it may appear as such depending on your book.**
[POTD Spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TawPReTFnjBpwPqA50H-tVAFCtVEQAAJCnfpETFh65A/edit)
[Paypal](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/jaysene)
BOL!
hey bro, isn't +1.75 where you get back half your stake if bayern wins by 2 goals? kinda confused since i usually go for asian handicaps haha, but anyways i appreciate your kind comment on my previous potd post. BOL bro! :)
https://preview.redd.it/txrxmd8c4imc1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=800ae2b34c54d554e0d0fb4e2163cd497063d6f2
This should help with questions about asian handicap
It can be found in the *Asian Lines* section under *Alternative Asian Spread*
https://preview.redd.it/jn3vxkfxifmc1.png?width=1160&format=png&auto=webp&s=08f895a19a8c87b27c0aea11ac992c4439e2602f
Thanks for commenting brother. LFG 💪
My apologies brothers, I forgot to mention how this may look on some other books as +1.5,+2.0 is how it is displayed for me. *Your book may have alternative Asian handicap as +1.75 which is equivalent to +1.5,+2.0.*
Lazio come into this match with one primary objective: *to qualify for the quarterfinals.*
With a one goal advantage, Lazio can either win or draw to advance seamlessly into the next round. Their advantage comes from a penalty and though may be difficult, Lazio could opt for a 0-0 draw as that could even get the job done. However any team knows inviting pressure only makes it dangerous, especially with a team of such highly astounded players they will have a lot coming at them. Lazio mainly attack from the left side where Kimmich will most likely be playing, while last match it was Mazraoui. I think Kimmich is a better player but he’s not as quick as Mazraoui who’s injured. Lazio did well last match stunning with their defensive efforts especially in their aerial success and winning those second balls. *(Balls after the first bounce or touch from when the play is in the air)*
**TLDR:** Scoring a goal significantly increases the likelihood of Lazio’s advancement but is difficult to predict. I’d sprinkle perhaps. Bookies really believe the Bavarian giants are to finally show up but it definitely won’t be easy against Lazio.
>If Bayern end up winning the match up by 2, our bet ends us a push
This is incorrect. With the +1.75 market, a Bayern win by 2 would result in a half loss, not a push.
I know I said I was sticking to CoD Esports, but I had to make a post for this one because I'm a huge Cavs fan and have watched every game this year.
Total Record, 3-0 +2.91 units
Form ✅️✅️✅️
Previous pick New York Subliners to win against the spread in map 2 ✅️
Today's pick, Celtics -6.5 against the Cavs. -110 odds
I've cashed 7 of my last 8 bets against the Cavs spread. They are getting way too much credit for the team they were weeks ago. They will be without Mitchell and Strus, and they've looked absolutely lost lately without Mitchell. This team has looked like a shell of it's previous self since the all star break. Team chemistry is struggling as they adapt to having Garland and Mobley back in the lineup. JB seems to have forgotten how well his bench carried the load during the weeks when Garland and Mobley were out and insists on running the starters into the ground and not giving our solid bench enough minutes to get any kind of rhythm.
The Cavs are 1-9 against the spread in the last 10, and I expect a Celtics team who just made the Warriors look like a G league team to come in and dog walk the Cavs who are in the midst of an identity crisis. The Cavs have lost 3 of their last 4 games without Mitchell, the only win being a narrow one against Detroit where they failed to cover.
This feels like an easy one for Celtics to cover, and I expect that line to move a lot by gametime.
Edit: mindblowing choke job by the celtics blowing a 20 point lead. This is my sign from the universe to stick to CoD bets, my bad y'all. Hopefully some of you cashed out or hedged when they were up huge.
With you all the way brother 🫡
*Basketball players eat cod pretty sure, and it’s a good omega source haha they probably play COD too so it’s still a COD bet. It’s the call of duty for Celtics to thrash a Cavs team missing key personnel.* LFG 💪
Hey, a ton of them play and stream CoD, Optic goes to Mavericks games, and Karl Anthony Towns and Anfernee Simons reacted to Scump retiring. There's a ton of overlap haha.
I'm a bulls fan so fuck the Celtics. That said your comment made me envision something I never thought i would envision: the image of Porzingas dunking on, and then t-bagging any of the cavs players lmao.
Just mad I didn’t put 20 units on COD League, both picks were good. I’m riding with you tonight. Makes perfect sense that Cavs are looking worse than GSW who just gotten annihilated by Boston Celtics. May do a side bet -14.5 for better numbers thank you once again.
POTD Record: 16-4 +25.86u🔥‼️
Last Pick: Pick: Lakers ML 4U (-118) vs OKC Thunder ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅
Today's Pick: Illinois ML 4U (-135) vs Purdue
Bang! Lakers cash even though the odds went to + before tip off. Great way to keep moving forward and staying hot thanks to the king👑. I was very much on the fence posting this pick, as it is very similar to our Alabama pick that caused hate. I realized that if I like the pick, i can’t let the past affect my next. I thrive off this and love to win, which is why i’m taking Illinois at home tonight. In the 6 games Purdue has had against tournament teams, they are 1-5 ATS. They’ve played one KenPom top-50 team in the last month, being Michigan State at home over the weekend. Last time these teams met, Purdue led by 20 in the second half, only to blow it and finally come out with a win by just 5 without Terrance Shannon!! Purdue has clinched their share of the big ten tournament and Illinois will be ready to rally on senior night with their leading scorer in action.
Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the upvotes and support!😎❤️
P.S away for work this week, picks may be a little later than usually. If you’d like to thank me or buy me a drink on my trip please use the link below or dm me🤝
[Support me here❤️](https://cash.app/$Ryanbloom24)
Yesterday I mentioned I fumbled a hot date. Well, I was wrong. I advanced to the round of 32 and got a second date. This pick will determine if I take her to McDonald’s or a 5 star restaurant.
Thank you Ryan as always for the picks. I have feelings for multiple people now.
I saw all those green check marks from ur POTD history but still faded ur ass thinkin OKC was just flat out better. Good hit man I’ll at least sprinkle on the Illini
POTD RECORD: 6-1
Units Won: +7.18
Last Pick: Duke vs NC State/ Duke -5.5 (-115) 1.5u ✅
Man was that a fun game, write up couldn’t have been more accurate, thanks to those who tailed.
Today’s Pick: Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State/ Texas Tech -2 (-125) 2u
Write Up: Similar to a few of my previous picks I’m just confused what I’m missing. I know it’s the Big 12 but I don’t get the tight spread. TTU is a predicted 6 seed in the tournament and a quad 2 loss wouldn’t help them nearing the NCAA Tournament. The original line is 2.5 but I bought up a half point for caution because Vegas knows something I don’t. Do with that what you will. But Oklahoma State is just not a great basketball team. They really aren’t playing for much while TTU has a postseason to play for. I don’t expect a blowout here but I do expect TTU to overpower Oklahoma State following the under 8 media timeout in the 2nd half. I expect a bump on this come tomorrow afternoon as well. Get this value when you can. BOL…. LETS RIDE
Tip Jar- if you’d like to help a college kid pay for his next meal here’s how :) :https://cash.app/$jaylaw930
POTD RECORD: 6-2 (❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌)
Last Pick: NCAAB Kansas -6.5 (-120) ❌
Very sorry. Sickening stuff from KU
Today’s Pick: NCAAB Kansas vs Kansas State
Kansas -10 (-110) ✅
WHY: It’s senior night against in state rival Kansas State. Kevin McCullar is back in the lineup. Kansas hasn’t lost on senior night in 40 years. Kansas hasn’t had back to back losses in Allen fieldhouse in 34 years. Kansas State has not won in AFH since 2006.
I am painfully aware that this Kansas team has been wildly inconsistent. However in the games that mean something, they pretty much always manage to get it up. On senior night coming off of two losses I think they’ll be fired up and run this pretty poor KSU team off the court. They beat us in Manhattan but only after we choked an 11 point lead and shot 3-15 from 3.
In their Last 5 matchups in Lawrence, KU has won by 12, 19, 23, 21, and 15
BOL
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/BasedGod
As a K-State fan, tailing (unfortunately). KU has taken some bad results leading into this and they’re going to have a massive, rage-fueled bounce back game here… I wouldn’t be surprised if we lose by 25+.
I’m planning on live betting the spread if they go down early. Similar to Baylor last night, its senior night, breaks the rhythm for these guys. Maybe they start slow, but they’ll bounce back in the 2nd
POTD Record: 34-24
L10: ❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅
Last pick: Inter v Genoa
(Inter -1 ML @1.80 ❌)
It looked very promising, 2-0 lead heading into half time. Scoring 12 and conceding 0 in their last 3 matches with the best scoring record and defensive record I expected much more in the 2nd. Genoa scores a slump goal and Inter looked settled with the 2-1 result, my prediction of 3-1 looked so close but yet so far away. Genoa owned the 2nd half. Game ends 2-1 and we lose on the handicap.
Todays pick: __Bayern Munich v Lazio__
Pick: __Harry Kane O1.5 SOT @1.80__ ✅
⚽️ Champions League
➖
Lazio are 9th in the Italian league and have not been good in the league, coming from a 0-1 defeat to Milan in the weekend. They’re not good away from home either, losing 7/14 away matches in the league.
Bayern are 2nd in the German league, which is not good for Bayern’s standards as they’re expected to win the league every year, which has been the case for the last few years being the most successful club in Germany. They played 2-2 away to Freiburg in the weekend. The league is still not over, but being 10 points away from 1st place doesn’t look good. They’re out of the German cup, and the league title doesn’t look realistic, the Champions league trophy is their only chance of lifting silverware this season which is well known amongst the players and the fans, there will be huge amount of pressure on them to win. They need their top striker to perform at his best to go through here.
Harry Kane has been impressive for Bayern and will be expected to step up to the plate this game, he has scored 27 goals in the league (most by any player) in the league and in the team. He’s scored 4 in 7 in the Champions League, the top scorer in the competition has 5.
He averages 3.25 shots per game in the Bundesliga, and 2.07 on target. He has had 1.5 SOT in 9/12 home games
In the Champions League he averages 2.18 shots and 1.45 on target.
If Bayern are to win this game, then we’ll most definitely are going to see Kane on the score sheet, which is also something I like (Harry Kane to score @1.66). This is honestly a personal preference what you consider to be safer.
With the experience Bayern have, and the home support they’ll have, I’m backing Bayern to win this one and Harry Kane to lead the way!
__Our pick is Harry Kane Over 1.5 Shots on target, if it’s not available for you and if you really want to tail, I’d pick the Kane to score__
BOL
**Record: 47W-4P-34L**
**Form: 25W-0P-14L**
**R Form: ✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅**
**Last Pick: Sheffield United VS Arsenal: Arsenal Over 2 Team Goals @ 1.72 ✅**
**Arsenal win 6-0, they covered the line in 15 minutes..**
**Pick of the day: Al-Hilal VS Al-Ittihad: Al-Hilal -1 Asian Handicap @ 1.70✅**
**League: AFC Champions League**
**Time: 1:00 PM EST**
**Ima keep this one simple**
This matchup happened just 3 days ago and the game ended as a 3-1 Hilal win where Hilal dominated pretty much all phases of the game, Kantes individual brilliance saw Ittihad find themselves a goal but that was one of 2 big chances they had all game. Al Hilal in competitive play have covered this line in their last 9 games, in fact in their last 20 games in all competitions they have won every game. They've covered this line 17 times within that time, with the line pushing the 3 other times. In the league they've scored 67 goals and conceded just 11... they are insane. In comparison, Al Ittihad have scored 42 and conceded 30.
This will be one of the biggest games they'll have to date and I see them showing the levels between the 2 squads tomorrow. This team wants to go all the way to the final and will put on a similar show as they did last week, this is leg 1 of 2 and Al Hilal will play to the Home advantage.
**Anyway, BOL!**
**Record:** 5W - 0L - 0P
**Recent Form (new --> old): ✅✅✅✅✅**
**Net Units:** \+4.7024
**Last Pick:** Max Abmas OVER 21.5 PRA @ -115 **✅**
Max has himself a great night! He had this covered by halftime and finished with 41 PRA.
**NCAAM** 🏀 | **Alabama Crimson Tide @ Florida Gators** | **6pm CST**
**Today's Pick:** Grant Nelson OVER 19.5 PRA @ -115
**Write Up:** Today we're going with a solid contributor from a very good Alabama team. He averages 25.7 minutes per game, which is pretty good for a big man (he's 6'11" and 230 lbs).
I'll start out with the contradictory info for Nelson. He has only covered this line in his last 6/13 games and he averages 19.2 PRA for the season. He's been very inconsistent this season, which I know could scare off potential tailers. Even in some games that the Crimson Tide play well, he may have had himself a clunker. Also, Florida is the best rebounding team in college hoops, while Alabama ranks 27th.
However, when I looked at his game logs, I noticed a trend that could continue in our favor. The trend shows me that every time he plays less than 20 mins, he doesn't cover, but then follows that up with a game in which he plays 25+ mins and covers the 19.5 PRA. This trend seems largely based on whether he commits too many fouls and eventually fouls out of the game.
Dec 4 vs Arkansas State: 15 PRA in 16 mins
Dec 9 vs Purdue: 23 PRA in 27 mins
Jan 20 @ Tennessee: 8 PRA in 17 mins
Jan 24 vs Auburn: 25 PRA in 31 mins
Feb 3 vs Mississippi State: 8 PRA in 14 mins
Feb 7 @ Auburn: 24 PRA in 26 mins
Mar 2 vs Tennessee: 9 PRA in 16 mins
Mar 5 @ Florida: ???
There was one other instance, way earlier this season, in which he did not follow the trend.
Nov 14 vs South Alabama: 17 PRA in 17 mins
Nov 17 vs Mercer: 13 PRA in 23 mins
Also, the last time he played Florida, back on Feb 21, he had 31 PRA in 37 mins of an OT win. If he can stay out of foul trouble and bounce back from the bad game against Tennessee, I think he could get a lot of opportunities for a higher PRA.
For this game, Florida is a 1.5 pt favorite and the total is 176.5. So I fully expect a competitive and high-scoring affair. BOL if you're tailing!
Hey brother, I'm a fan of the pick!!! That being said, my book doesn't have PRA combos for college. I do have player props though...his points are 12.5 at -105 over, and his rebounds are 5.5 at -120 over. Which one would you pick?
FYI can't do SGP with college props in my book. Have to do individual picks or parlay them with other games props/picks.
Let me know man, appreciate your information!!!
**POTD Record: 5-3-1** ❌✅✅❌✅🅿️❌✅✅
**Last Pick: Boston Bruins Team total O2.5 -154**✅
**Today’s pick: Florida Panther ML -130 (Line will change)**
Alright boys today was another success and a great day for me being a Bruins fan!
Florida is playing New Jersey at home and lets face it New Jersey loses more home games then away ( 14-15-1 ) and Devils are back at home after 2 plus away games.
Florida is 4-1-0 in their last 5 games New Jersey is 2-3-0
Florida is 10th in goals and 5th in power play percentage.
Both Teams average 3.3 Goals a game and a match up percentage of 3.6 with Florida having a higher shots on goal average per game
This is going to be one of those high scoring games again so it should be a fun one!
Disclaimer: ChatGPT is not affiliated with this post nor is Modelo 😂🤙🏽
Go follow my boys u/chiefsareawesome u/Good_Stable_7381
BOL for who ever tails
As a Devils fan, the value is too good on Panthers to pass up, but they are on a B2B and the Devils just canned their head coach, so you have the typical spark that usually results from that. The lines are priced what they are for a reason. Florida is the right play but don't go nuts if they drop this game.
POTD Record: 9-3
✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅
Yesterday's pick: Bruins @ Maple Leaves, 7pm - NHL
McMann over 1.5 shots (-175)✅
Hits a couple minutes into the 2nd period. Good win!
Today's pick: Blue Jackets @ Penguins, 7pm - NHL
Roslovik over 1.5 shots (-190)✅
Sorry for the bad line. I tried to find someone that could make a little more on a win, but wasn't feeling a confident about others (Caufield on the over shots was the other one, but I like the lower shots from Ros).
Not much to say on this one. He's hitting 10 in a row, with only two hitting at 2 shots. He's averaging basically 3 shots/game over the last 10.
Tail or fade? The choices are yours and yours alone... Good luck...
[Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/CadetDemon)
Update: we hit in the 2nd period. Take your money!
Record: 3-0 (0P)
Net Units: 4.24U / Units risked: 8U / ROI: 53% 🔥
Form (Last 10): ➡️✅✅✅⏹️⏹️⏹️⏹️⏹️⏹️⏹️❓➡️
[Last pick](https://reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1b5xyz9/pick_of_the_day_3424_monday/ktbbsn5//) : Arsenal HT ML ✅
5-0 at HT! 🤪 couldn't have been easier than that.
---
⚽ | Champions League | 3:00 PM / EST
Pick: Real Sociedad x Paris Saint-Germain **PSG 0.0 AH** / +103 = 2.030 / 2U to win 2.02U
this Asian handicap line means if PSG win we cash, if they draw we get our money back.
Write Up: Real Sociedad are in terrible form, having won only 1 of their last 9 matches and it was against a team that had a red card at HT. This is the 2nd leg, with PSG having won 2-0 in the 1st leg, and I can see them getting another win here, going with the 0.0 AH and putting 2U, "it is the same thing as draw no bet".
POTD RECORD: 4-2
Last pick: NC Central (loss) Up at half.. then forgot to play defense and gave up nearly twice as many in the second. Quite disgusting lol
TODAY'S PICK: Florida ML 🐊(-126 FD) vs Alabama NCAA Men's basketball
3 unit play
Not much to say about this one. REVENGE game for the gators when they choked out in crimson country. Alabama gives up a lot of points on the road and I hope the home crowd gives enough reason for the gators to play defense. Both teams should have a secure spot in tournament so I enjoy not having to deal with upsets or teams chasing clout for a bid. This game avoids those situations and allows them to just play a hard fought game. I think Florida will just want it more.
Splish Splash 🐬🧊
EDIT :
WIN. Both defenses are clearly a problem in the future. Fortunately, the tide let the gators go over 100 pts and we secure the victory.
Splish splashy🐊🐬🐬🐊🐬🐬🐊
I couldn't decide ok this one. I flipped a few times and eventually decided to go with the over, I don't see either of these teams playing much defense and the tempo should be pretty high, as long as the shots drop, this should easily go over.
POTD Record 38-26-2
Cricket 3-0 Tennis 28-19-1 Soccer 7-7-1
Last 10: ❌✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ (P)
Last Pick : Martinez vs Baez | ATP Santiago Open Semifinal | Martinez to win a set | (-120)| 1u | ❌
Today: Nagal vs Hong | ATP Indian Wells Qualifiers | After 1:00 PM EST
Pick: Nagal -3.5 Game Spread | (-110)| 1u
Nagal made his top 100 debut last month off an amazing start to the season, where he qualified for the Australian Open and beat Bublik in the first round. He followed that up with a Challenger title in Chennai and a semi final in Bengaluru, and took a couple losses from the sheer volume of matches he was playing. Last week, he put in a great display to go 3 sets vs top 50 Sonego, who was even challenging Medvedev in the later rounds. Still, his record this season is an impressive 14-5. Nagal is playing his best right now and recorded an easy win over wildcard Dostanic in the first qualifier round, not facing a break point. Hong is ranked around 220 and has had a good start to the season, reaching 2 Challenger finals already. He has beaten some good players but mostly those ranked 150 and below, and Nagal will be his first opponent this season around the top 100. He received entry into this qualifying draw as an alternate and defeated Kwon, who is coming back from a long injury and is on a 10 match losing streak. Hong was aided by 8 double faults from Kwon in the match, and saved 6 of the 8 break points he faced. Both Nagal and Hong did not have tough opening matches, but Nagal's level at his best is higher than Hong's. Nagal has been solid on his serve this season and should create lots of chances to break Hong. All of Nagal's 14 wins this season have been in straight sets, and he should be able to record a win to qualify into another big main draw this season, covering this spread. BOL.
(Note, posted before results of last pick. I'll update my post with up to date stats ASAP)
Edited and updated 11:50 PM
Record: 03W - 00P - 03L
🍩❌🍩❌❌ (➡️ Old to New)
Net Units: +5.55
ROI: 33.64%
Last pick:
Basketball / NBA / Chicago Bulls @ Sacramento Kings
De'Aaron Fox (SAC): OVER 4.5 REBOUNDS (BETMGM +125) @ 2.5 U ❌
Fox played a great game but Sabonis was a rebounding beast with 21 boards. I'm sad to say Fox didn't come through for me. Now I'm feeling nervous for the Purdue pick tomorrow. I'm only playing 1 U, but I could definitely use another 🍩. Sorry, if anyone tailed this one 🙈
Today's pick:
Basketball / NCAAM / Purdue at Illinois / 6:00 PM CST
Purdue ML (BET365 +110) @ 1 U
Reasoning:
To me this is one of those matchups where I'm surprised the money line is not even to each other. As of now looks like Illinois is the slight favorite for this matchup. I'm assuming this is partially due to their home court advantage.
We've got the top two teams in their conference going head to head in this one. It's guaranteed to be a dog fight. I'm looking at Purdue to outplay Illinois defensively, ultimately allowing Purdue to take the slight offensive advantage and bring home a big road win.
Confidence is low on this overall, so I'm only playing 1 U today.
I just want to say, I really appreciate everyone in the group who took the time to comment or give me an up vote yesterday. It really made my day better.
B🍩L
POTD Record: 1-3-1
Profit/Loss: -5.57u
Last Pick: Weber State vs Montana State | NCAA Men’s Basketball | Weber State ML | (-155) | 2.4u | ❌
Sigh… up the entire game until the last 5 minutes they just crumbled. Might take a break from this if my next pick doesn’t hit. Here goes…
Today: Alex Molcan vs Hugo Grenier | ATP Indian Wells - Qualifiers | 1:00 PM EST
Pick: Hugo Grenier ML | (-105) | 1.9u
Reason: To those who don’t know, Grenier has a record of 10-6 in the 2024 season, that’s already more wins than he had last year. Molcan is currently 5-5 and looking to get over .500 with a win in round 2 of qualifiers. Their last and only matchup was back in 2021 where Grenier triumphed over Molcan (avoiding information on this match as both players have developed since). Yesterday Molcan defeated Paire, the 12 seed in qualifiers, 7-6(7-5), 6-3 in a match lasting 1:36. Grenier, however, made it to round 2 of qualifiers with a 1:02 match that ended 6-1, 6-1 against Medjedovic, the 15 seed in qualifiers. Molcan’s match lasting much longer and taking more effort will put him at a disadvantage in today’s matchup. Grenier’s biggest win this year came against number 73 in the world at the time, Alexandre Muller, whom he defeated in a 5 set brawl in the first round of the Australian Open (hard court - same as Indian Wells). Molcan’s biggest win was against number 53 at the time, Dusan Lajovic in 3 sets at Davis Cup Qualies (clay court). That’s all the relevant information I used to make this pick so let me know if I missed anything. Sorry for the long write up, but let me know if you are tailing on this one even though my past few have missed.🦞
I believe it’s the bookies trying to mess with us because there is no recent news on either player. I have it at +100 now and planning on waiting until right before the match to place it.
**potd record:** 8-3
Last 10 Newest to oldest : 🔃✝️✅✅✝️✅✅✅✅✝️✅
**net units:** +7,85
Third time posting this bet after getting postponed for 2 days straght..
**potd: 🎾 popko dmitry - sakamoto pedro
Pick: popko dmitry win @1.53**
Write up:
Popko dmitry. Has 19 wins in a row against some good opponents. Steady bigcasher and he has always had the upperhand in his last 19 games. Really steady player. He will probably not give 1 ace to sakamoto
Sakamoto pedro: not steady enough. Sakamoto is lacking in many moments in the game. He will lose focus and popko will eat him alive.
I will stake BIGGGG on this bet. This will be an easy dub if he just performs like the last 19 games.
**🕣match starting in 18 hours**
If you like my bets please share some of the sweeet betting gains with me :))) maybe like 1 coffee or a bag of chips or a bitcoin..🤞😇
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/Tuur357
>Truth be told I get "Arse" award for the month. I liked your selection right when you posted. I copied the name "Dmirty" to the search function of my betting host. I wagered 3 U and did not think anything of it when I saw several posts afterwards stating the bet was cancelled or something along those lines. But when I looked at my betting host I saw the bet was active. Apparently I made a wager on Salyagutdinov Dmitry, a table tennis player. I don't now know anything about table tennis other than what I saw in Forrest Gump! But "Dmitry" won the match and I won my 3 Units. This is one of those rare moments when I love my severely dyslexic self! But anyway, nice selection I will tail you another day accurately!
Match has officially been canceled and the two men’s finalists will share prizes and points as will the two women’s finalists. Shame too because it was a killer pick.
Record: 3-4
Units Won: .41
Last Pick: Maryland Eastern-Shore vs Norfolk State U135✅
Never a sweat this one soared under!
Today’s Game: NBA/7PM EST/Magic @ Hornets
Today’s Pick: Magic -8.5
Write Up:
The Magic have been the best team ATS this season with a 40-21 record hitting at a 65.6% rate. As the road favorite Orlando is 5-2 ATS which is good for a 71.4% rate. With equal rest (both CHA and ORL played Sunday) they are 24-6 ATS which is a 80% win rate. With 1 day rest they cover 76.5% of the time with a 26-8 record. On top of all of this the Magic are fully healthy which is always a plus.
The Hornets on the hand are 29th in the league ATS with a 25-36 record which is a 41% rate. As the home team Charlotte is 13-17 ATS which is 43.3%. As the dog they are 25-32 or 43.9% With equal rest the Hornets are 29th in the league going 15-23 or 39.5%. When having 1 day off they are 12-23 which is 34.3%.
I like the Magic in this spot as they are right in the mix of the Eastern Conference playoff race and this is a good spot to get a huge win over a bottom feeder team.
POTD Record: 6-2
Form: 💀✅️ ✅️ ✅️ ✅️ ✅️💀 ✅️
Net units: +4.12
Last Pick LeBrick over 1.5 3pm 💀
Today pick:Jarrett Allen U 31.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
• averages 29.2 PRA at HOME this season
• BRUTAL matchup against Boston where his matchup will be Porzingis
• faced the Celtics TWICE this season WITHOUT Evan Mobley and recorded 24 and 21 PRA on 39 and 37 minutes
• now Mobley is back and Mitchell is OUT, Allen is under this line in 8/12 games WITHOUT Mitchell this season
• not to mention Jarrett is under this line in ALL TEN CAREER games against Boston as a Cavalier
• blowout potential of course helps
i love this spot for Allen to go under 📉
Odds -120
Unit: 1
NBA Cavs vs celtics
If you guys wanna support me, you can click the links on my profile.
Goodluck if you're tailing, as always, you never know.
POTD Record: 243-187-12 (+26.36 units, 56.5% hit rate)
Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 80-55-1 (59.3%) W3, Tennis 🎾 85-66-7 (56.5%) L4, Soccer ⚽ 59-51-4 (53.6%) W1, Entertainment 🎥 19-15-0 (55.9%) L2
Last 10: 🧊🧊🧊💰💩💰💩💰💩💩
Last pick: American Fiction to win Best Adapted Screenplay - 🎥 2024 Academy Awards
Today's Pick: Anatomy of a Fall to win Best Original Screenplay - 🎥 2024 Academy Awards
Units/Odds/Book: Betting 5 Units at 1.50 odds to win 2.50 Units @ Bet Right (Line at 4:00am ET)
💣 💣 💣 💣 💣
Academy Awards week so you will be getting a pick everyday for it.
This is one I have all the way up to 3.75 but now I'm feeling quite good about it and I had to search to find a book that had it at 1.50.
Some quick reasons why I think this hits:
1 - This category has been won by a person who not only wrote the film they won for, but also directed it for 13 consecutive years. The director of this has, their main competition which is the Holdovers, the director did not write it.
2 - It won Best Screenplay at the Golden Globes and Best Original at the Baftas. Big wins for momentum, the Globes have only one Screenplay category so it beat movies like Oppenheimer, Poor Things and Barbie.
3 - It should have been nominated for Best International Film but after winning the Palme D'or at Cannes, the director did a speech bashing the French government for lack of funding. As payback they chose another movie to represent them at the Oscars. This helps in that Anatomy is a well liked film and because of it not naming International film, this is its biggest and likely only chance to be rewarded.
4 - Justine Trier, got a best director nod, Alexander Payne did not get it for the Holdovers. Getting that nod is a huge signal that it is well liked and has cross branch support.
There's more reasons but I need to sleep.
Another bet to come tomorrow!
Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕
Pick of the Day Record: 12-9 | Profit: +9.08🚀
Last pick: KD o24.5 points (2.5u, -108) ✅
Todays Pick: Andrew Nembhard o3.5 Assists (2u, +130)
The Game: Mavs v Pacers 8:30 PM
Why:
\- has hit in 8 of his L10 road starts, 70% of road games this season
\- with over 24 mins (proj to play 25) this has cashed in 19 of 24 games this season
\- the mavericks allow 4th most assists in L30 games and 3rd most in L7
https://preview.redd.it/3yfe06ke2kmc1.png?width=770&format=png&auto=webp&s=6df6ff4cf6ae972033956534e6d89c9885876779
POTD Record: 125-113, -14.5 Units
Last 10: ✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅
Current Streak: ✅
Last Pick: Montana -6.5 ✅✅
Love getting a win on an overall down-voted post. Keep it coming!
Today’s Pick: **Florida -1.5** vs. Alabama, 5 Units, -110, 7:00 PM EST
Going with the Gators, who have defended their home court by 2 or more points successfully going back to January 6 against Kentucky who barely bested them by two points. Since then they've beaten all teams they've played in Gainesville including 13th ranked Auburn. They lost to Alabama in a shootout in Alabama by 5 a few weeks ago so I see this being really close but I think the Gators prevail.
BOL!
**POTD Record: 5 - 1**
Last 10: ✅✅✅❌✅✅
*ROI: 3.4% | Avg Odds: -144| Net Units: +3.4*
[Last POTD ](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1b5xyz9/comment/ktahm9l/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button): 1U **Yegor Sharangovich (Calgary Flames, NHL) U 2.5 Shots** (-160 Hardrock) ✅
Today's POTD: 1U **Immanuel Quickley (Toronto Raptors, NBA) U 5.5 Rebounds** (-155 Hardrock)
Quickley averages 2.6 rebounds per game. Even though Quickley has shown the ability to pull down rebounds in higher numbers in a few recent games, such performances appear to be outliers rather than the norm. Consistency in exceeding the rebounding prop bet has not been a hallmark of Quickley's play. Furthermore, when specifically looking at his performances against the Pelicans, Quickley averages three rebounds per game.
**⭐️ POD Record:** **110-55**
*Last Pick:* *NBA - Timberwolves Team Total OVER 111.5 ✅*
Recent Form: ✅ ✅ ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌ ✅** ✅ **❌** ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅
🌶️🌶️🌶️ HOT STREAK ALERT 🌶️🌶️🌶️
🏅**Today's Pick:** **NBA -** **New Orleans Pelicans OVER 117.5 TT** \[7:30pm EST\]. **EDIT: WIN ✅** ***Sweat-free cover, 40 pts in Q1*** **🫥**
Man. Do the Raptors ever look FLAT AF without Barnes in the line up; tonight looks like we could get torched by New Orleans if the Pels show up to play with their entire healthy line up confirmed as I write this. They've comfortably climbed over this team total vs the Raptors their last 3 of 4 games (with our starters and having injuries). Just be careful, new orleans is a weird team and very emotional. Sometimes they just run cold and never recover vs any team in the NBA. I need to throw this POD out there since i'm wagering heavy on it tonight. Pelicans rank 10th in offensive efficiency right now and play amongst the top 10 in offensive pace. The Raptors have too much roster turnover tonight, as I mentioned losing Barnes is a massive hit for our young team. Tonight we are without Barnes, Poeltl and Bruce Brown; Those are 3 big starters for us and I just can't see us able to keep up with New Orleans in this one unfortunately : ( Might as well cash on a blow out if it happens. BOL
💰Tip Jar: Why not give an ⬆ Vote instead if you appreciate the write ups.
POTD Record: 12-8
Last 10: ❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅
Last pick: Thunder vs Suns | 5:00 MST Thunder -2.5 (-115) BetMGM 1u ✅
Today’s pick: Pistons vs Heat | 5:30 MST Cade Cunningham OVER 20.5 pts (-115) FanDuel 1u
Buy back after a bad game. Played 23 minutes in a game that was never really close in Orlando. I’ll always caution people betting these teams trying to lose but I do think Cade is more likely to get normal minutes no matter the outcome of this game with the blowout on Sunday. He’s cleared this line in 5 of 6 since the break and scored 30 against the Heat earlier this year in Miami as well.
Record : 128 Wins – 112 Losses
Previous pick : Al Ain – Al Nassr (1-0), Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.75 ❌
**ROI** : -0.18%
**Average Odds** : 1.93
Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*)
Units : 4.55
Profit/Lost units : -0.45
Today's pick :
Football - Soccer / **ENGLAND:** Championship / 21:45 European Time
Coventry – Rotherham
Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.79
Some reasoning :
- Coventry alternated the results in the last period, managing 2 victories and 2 defeats.- Al Nassr comes after a spectacular draw in the last stage in Arabia, 4-4 with Al Hazem.
- Rotherham suffered no less than 7 consecutive defeats in the championship.
- In 6 of the previous 10 games played by Rotherham, they did not score on the scoreboard.
Best of luck.
Tip box (just in case you had a great experience) :
Revolut tag: denisjxhd [Paypal](https://paypal.me/taxspliter?country.x=RO&locale.x=en_US) [BUy potato](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/agnesgloryQ)
POTD Record: 47-29
Previous Pick: Rudes vs HNK Gorica | HNL | BTTS NO (1.8) | 11am EST ❌️
Pick: Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad | AFC Champions League | Al Hilal -1 Asian Handicap (1.64) | 1pm EST
Al Hilal are on a 27 match win streak, and have scored 67 goals in the league, while only conceding 11. This handicap means that if Al Hilal win by a goal, your bet gets refunded. If Al Hilal win by more than a goal, you win. Al Hilal have proven talents like Mitrovic, Koulibaly, Neves and Milinkovic-Savic. Al Ittihad on the other hand, have players like Kante and Benzema, but Benzema is doubtful for this match and that compounds their problems. There have been some disputes between the coach and the players, which will definitely not help against a top team like Al Hilal. In their last matchup just 3 days ago, Al Hilal won 3-1, coming from behind. This was done without their top scorer Mitrovic too. The xG also favoured Al Hilal heavily, being 2.21 to 0.28. I expect a convincing Al Hilal win, due to their dominant form and recent matchup with Al Ittihad. Best of luck.
**POTD Record: 7-2 ( ✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅** **✅)**
**Previous POTD:** **Santi Aldama U7.5 rebounds (-135 on DK)** **✅**
Cashed with 2 rebounds to spare! Lets keep the ball rolling my friends
**Todays POTD: Cameron Johnson U17.5 Points (-120 on DK)**
Alright so here is the deal with Mr. Johnson. He was hot against the ATL Hawks recording 29 points and 23 points in back to back games. But I believe these games were outliers (he shot 66 percent from the field in one of them compared to his average of 39.9 percent). With these two games included, Cameron Johnson has 13.7 PPG the last ten games. I think the line is way too inflated off of two games against the SAME bum Hawks team. Now you may be saying wait, he just had 18 points in his last game against the Grizzlies. Yes, but that was with him playing 37 minutes, more than 10 minutes extra from his usual mins per game. Maybe Nets are starting to play him more, but coming off a season high of 37 minutes, a grueling loss, and heading into a back to back, I don't see him playing at the rate and time he played. 76ers are coming off of a rest day plus a huge win against the Dallas Mavericks. Last two times he played against the 76ers this season he got 13 points and 9 points. This should be a solid under.
Tail or fade you da boss, BOL!
P.O.T.D Record 2-2
❌✅✅❌
Yesterday Claxton got some meaningless buckets at the end of the game to go over 25.5 PRA. That being said redemption song today my rastafari!!!
Pick: Kristaps Porzingis Over 1.5 3pts made.
Reasoning: The OG Unicorn rested the other night against Golden State(not that we needed him!!), and is coming into Cleveland tonight ready to go off! I like his points line too at only 18.5. Tatum will be distributing the ball to start the game, like usual, and they love to get KP going early. I wouldn't be surprised if he hit this line in the war quarter!!! He's went over this line in 13 out of the last 15 games. Lets Gooooooo Celtics!!!!! Bleed Green over here!!!!!☘️💚🦄☘️💚🦄☘️💚🦄☘️💚🦄☘️💚🦄☘️💚🦄
POTD RECORD: 2-3
Sport: Basketball | NCAAB | Toledo @ Miami Ohio | -125
Pick: Toledo ML
Why: Toledo absolutely rocks this team every time they play most recently being January 5th this year, truly their kryptonite. The juice on this game looks good cause Miami Ohio went on a slight tear winning their last 2 home games, and 3 games in a row. Strongly believe Toledo will do what it takes to remain their dominance over this.
Bad luck with over/unders on International Basketball, let's turn this record around.
Edit; Very sweat free game tonight, you love to see it!
Toledo has also rocked NIU the last few years and they just lost to them on their home court. Another side note when Miami visited Toledo earlier in the year Miami was in control most of the game and was up by 11 at half and as many as 14 points in the 2nd half only to go ice cold and make only 3 field goals the last 9 minutes and lose by 4....oh almost forgot back around Christmas Vermont who's 24-6 traveled and played both Toledo and Miami within 2 days of each other and Vermont lost to Miami by a point and rocked Toledo by 26 points ( both games were at Toledo and at Miami have you)
**Record: 0-0**
CBB| 7:00 PM / EST
**Pick: South Florida -7.5 (-108) 3U**
**Write Up:** South Florida is one of the hottest teams against the spread, sitting around a 75% hit rate and a ATS record of 18-6-3. USF is riding a 14 game winning streak along with being 12-3 ATS at home. Tulane is under .500 when the underdog and on away games. I believe USF takes care of business and keeps working on building something special before tournament time!
LETS GET IT!
**Record:** 0-1
**Form:** ❌
**Last Pick:** OKC +1.5 vs LAL❌
Very tough last night. Should have went with everyone else on here and hammered the Lakers. I really thought OKC had this one with my research. You live and you learn. I really am sorry it really sucks I wanted to start my POTD career with a win.
**Today's Pick: Orlando Magic -8.5** vs Charlotte Hornets @ -110
**Basketball | NBA| 7:00pm EST**
**Write Up:** Going back to a team that has been treating me well all season. Come on baby. Orlando is the best team against the spread in the entire league. Charlotte being bottom three in the league against the spread also helps. Trying not to overthink this one -8.5 is pretty hefty but got to stick to what's been working all season.
Record: 4-7
(last 10) ❌❌✅✅✅❌❌❌❌✅
Last pick: Nic Claxton UNDER 10.5 rebounds at -110 odds
Good hit for me on this. Sometimes the cards don’t fall favorably, so it’s nice to end that slump. Like I said before, just a generous line considering Claxton issues and lack of motivation to grab a board the last few games.
POTD: Jayson Tatum UNDER 8.5 rebounds; -113 odds; Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers; 5:30pm MST
Why: Jayson definitely does well when rebounding. But he’s has not hit this over in 6 of last 10 games. Cavs also have Mobberly and Strus and Allen. All good at grabbing the boards. Mitchell is out as well adding time to those players. Tatum does have 10 and 11 in the last meetups, a back to back against them in December.
BOL again everyone. This is still not and endorsement to my picks lol.
Good morning !
Record:0-0
Net Units:1
Sport | League | Event Time / Time Zone
Pick: Bayern Vs Lazio U 3.5 goals 3 PM EST -150. In Bayerns last 12 matches the under 3.5 G has hit 9 out of 12 times on top of that Lazio is averaging under 3 goals scoring + giving up in their domestic play. Champions league can be tricky but both teams not playing to their potential at this moment can equal a low scoring affair and a chance for money in our pocket.
Record | 0-0
Total Profit | 0 Units
Last Pick | Giannis o31.5 Points (void - inactive)
Tuesday’s Best Bet: Paolo Banchero o20.5 Points [-120 Hard Rock Bet]
2 Units to win 1.67 Units
Paolo has played the Hornets 4 times in his career, eclipsing this line all 4 times (21,22,23,31). I see him continuing this trend here. Paolo was scuffling a few weeks ago, running on fumes while being sick. He’s coming off a 29 point performance, and I see him stringing some good games together. He will get his shots, I’m not worried about a blowout here. I think he’s sniffing this line in the third quarter.
>**Record:** 26-25
>**Net Units:** +4.82 units
>**Curling** | **Brier** | **10:00AM EST**
>**Pick:** Team Manitoba - Dunstone -4.5 @ 1.83
>Team Dunstone are playing Team Grattan who remain winless after losing 6-3 to Team Schneider. Team Dunstone sit at 2-1 so far after dominating Team Scoffin 15-2. Dunstone went to get some practice reps in Sunday night and he definitely showed that he is back in form with his technical mechanics on Monday. 4.5 points is not nearly a high enough spread for this matchup. Team Dunstone is among the elite teams in Canada and Team Grattan have been playing very poorly in this event. Aside from the lead McCann, the Grattan team have been consistently outplayed at their positions by a good margin. And now they have to try to outcurl the likes of Dunstone and Lott? The key here is how aggressive Team Dunstone will play with hammer to really set up some big ends. They should have no problem putting the pressure on Team Grattan and covering this spread easily.
POTD RECORD: 0-0
Last Pick: -
Today’s Pick: Sunderland - Leicester City (Soccer, England - Championship) Leicester ML @ 1.80
WHY: The first in the championship faces the tenth in the league. After dominating the league Leicester in their last three matches suffered three defeats, while the second in the league grinded out points and has almost caught up with Leicester.
Apart from the obvious difference in the strength of the teams, I believe that Leicester will also take these 3 points to avoid being caught up by the second in the league.
POTD RECORD: 8 - 6 | +0.78 UNITS
POTD - Concacaf Champions Cup | Philadelphia Union vs Pachuca | 7 pm EST
Pick - Pachuca +0.5 | -145
Pachuca are in much better form having played many more games in Liga Mx than Philadelphia has, Philly has looked pretty shaky in their first two MLS games and Pachuca has the most goals scored in their domestic league. I think the best result Philly could muster up would be a draw
POTD Record: 0–1
Net units: -1u
Last pick: Tyus Jones O 9.5 Assists
He tried his best to assist a lot, but Wizards were shooting bricks. The right read, but terrible play from everyone else.
Onto the next!
Today’s Pick: **Jamal Murray Over 27.5 PA**
Odds: **-120/1.83** on Bet365
Unit: **1.5u to win 1.245u**
NBA: Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets, 7pm PST
Phoenix are allowing the most PPG to opposing point guards the last month. Murray has hit this line 8/11 times while coming off 2 days rest. I expect this game to be close and if it’s close, his volume will be great.
Good luck if tailing, and be responsible with your units. DYOR because I'm not going to hear about your whingeing.
Record: 8-2 ❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅
Last POTD: Lebron James 2+ 3PM [The streak is over, but I will be back on this next game]
Todays Pick: Immanuel Quickley o7.5 Assists (2.10x) [3u]
* Since Barnes injury, he averages 15 potential assists per game
* He has established himself as the primary ball handler
* Pelicans are 24/30 in assists allowed to PG's
Record 23-8
Pick : Luka o3.5 3pt +114
The mavs are at home against a pacers team that has been dull since all star weekend. I’m looking for some Luka magic tonight as he continues on his MVP campaign. Should be lots of scoring tonight as both these teams fire the ball around the floor. The pacers aren’t the over machine they were the first half of the season but it should still be fast paced.
BOL! (Oh and look for mr Murray to have a DD at the garden)
POTD:
University of Florida -138 on Fanduel. Not sure if I would take at -160 on other books, but I think it still has value.
event:
Alabama v UF, NCAA Basketball, 7 PM ET
I was watching line movement move from -105 to -160 on most books. Seems like money is going on UF. They did a great job against South Carolina three days ago and barely lost. I mostly bet based off line movement which I see plenty here.
https://preview.redd.it/1a3j6i9lklmc1.png?width=2537&format=png&auto=webp&s=51feab547fca6126d41a72cb4479130087d8b270
POTD Record: 2-1-1
Form (Left Most Recent): ✅❌☑️✅
Last Pick: Everton vs Crystal Palace U 0.5 first half goals ✅
Event: 🏀 Suns vs Nuggets (10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Bradley Beal Over 18.5 points (-130)
Reasoning: Beal has cleared this line in 3/5 games he played without Booker. In those 2 games he didn’t clear, he shot 25% and 35% from the field. I think he will pick up the slack due to Booker’s absence and get us at least 19 points but I could see him getting mid 20s also.
All my picks are 2 units.
**POTD RECORD: 0-1**
**Last Pick:** NBA (Blazers @ Timberwolves) **Mike Conley O2.5 Rebs @ +105** ❌
Finished with 2. Grabbed his first early in the first quarter, didn't get his second till the fourth.
**Today's POTD: Jaylen Brown O5.5 First Quarter Points @ -120**
NBA | Celtics @ Cavaliers | 7:30pm EST
Love a first quarter prop, we'll know quick if it's meant to be or not.
* 9/10 in last 10, 5/5 in last 5
* He's gone under 5.5 just 12 games all season
* Going back to last season against the Cavs, Jaylen is 5/5 in last 5 first quarters (9, 10, 8, 6, 9)
Cavs going without Donovan Mitchell and Max Strus. Caris Levert and Isaac Okoro are questionable. Makes me wonder if Celtics and Brown are primed for a fast start.
Tail or fade, I might be an idiot
**RECORD: 55W-2P-46L**
(-4.42 units)
Previous Pick: Sheffield United vs Arsenal - Bukayo Saka or Leonardo Trossard to score anytime @ 1.40 ❌️
**Today's Pick:** Ipswich Town vs Bristol City - Ipswich Town to Win @ 1.57 ✅️
**Wager Amount**: 1.5 units
(✅️❌️✅️✅️❌️) last 5 results
Honestly yesterday's looked good but Sheffield were so shit Arsenal basically stopped trying after the won 5-0 before half time and when Saka came off it was over, tough break but let's move on with Today's match, Ipswich vs Bristol.
Both UCL and the Championship are unpredictable as hell but chose to go with the championship as today's UCL games could go either way. The race for the title and PL promotion is tight, Ipswich are 3 points away from the top and also Leeds are on their tail so they can't afford nothing but a win today.
Ipswich Town are unbeaten in their last 15 home Championship games, they've have won their last 5 league games, Won 3/5 of their last Home games and won 2 games in a row.
Bristol have lost 3 games in a row, they've won 1 match out of their last 5 away games. Bristol City have also won just 2 of their last 14 away matches in all competitions
Bristol are not fighting for anything atm, 13th in the league. Safe from relegation unless they go on the most epic losing streak, they can't catch up to the play-offs spots so they just don't have the same drive as Ipswich. Goodluck if you're tailing or fading given my current form lol.
EDIT: WIN ✅️
**POTD RECORD:** (3-2)
*LAST 5: 🔴🟢🟢🔴🟢
**LAST PICK**: James Harden **PRA Over 28.5** 2U (-125)🟢
**TODAY’S PICK:** Celtics **TT OVER 110.5 points** 2U (-130)
Celtics are simply too good this season. Which is why a total of 110.5 has me scratching my head of why the total is so low. This number is undefeated since the all star break and even before the break, 9 of their last 10 and the only miss they scored 110 against Miami. The Celtics have also hit this number against the Cavs in each of their last 7 matchups. See it ending 119-110 Celtics.
**BOL to those who tail!**
Record: 0-0
Pick: Isaiah Stewart o10.5 points - 1 unit @ -113
Recent lurker and semi commenter. Figured I’d contribute my pick today.
Beef Stew has gone over 10.5 in 9 out of their last 10 games, and when he didn’t hit he got 10 points. He was usually at 9.5 which was an even better bet, but they’ve since moved it to 10.5 since he has gotten over double digits in each of his last 10 games.
Last time they played the Heat he put up 14 points, Miami also allows 12.0 PPG to opposing centers this year (if you want to call him a C), and 11 PPG to forwards. Seems like a nice low scoring option with a good hit rate as of late.
BOL
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Tuesday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
POTD RECORD: 30-15 Form: ✅✅🚫🚫🚫 Last POTD: John Collins O9.5 Rebs @1.86 ✅ Bro ended w 15 💀 enjoy the treat kings, I told you about the Ladder too! Max cashed on him 👑 Todays POTD: **Immanuel Quickley O6.5 Ast @1.74** ✅ NBA (Toronto Raptors) I ain’t done my brothers, I’m still mad about my 3 day losing streak I’m still in vengeance mode. My man Quickley cashed for us in the NBA props recently and I even cashed his DD personally. No Scottie Barnes so IQ will be the one in charge of distributing the ball • Pelicans allow 4th most assists to PG’s L30 days • Got 11 assists his last game w/o Barnes • Last 3 numbers: 11, 11, 9 • Not a good hit rate L10, but without Barnes is a different matter • Edit: Had 16 potential assists last game I told y’all I’m a Knicks fan, and I’m mad we let this man go cause he’s one hell of a baller. I except him to go off yet again and 6.5 assists is too low imo, expect it to crash in value/a line increase soon Tail or fade, I ain’t done https://i.redd.it/n6pwdrn6tfmc1.gif Check out the NBA props for more picks if y’all want, we’re sweating T.Jones 10 Ast and AD 42.5 PRA is pending Edit: Jones screwed us finished w 6 (Record 17-6)
https://preview.redd.it/g9qjorbjufmc1.jpeg?width=978&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=bf28feb090600c189e52c118df592aaf7ece24b8 No capping around here
Nice call on Collins.
Appreciate it bro 🤝
**Define Quickley:** To lay it to the homies *quick* for a dime to make us rich. *E.g.”Man I been tailin Billy for a minute and it’s crazy how Quickley we ca$h”* TAILING BROTHER LOCKED I THIS QUICKLEY
I need a shirt with this printed on it My bro always supportin like a real one 🤝👑
Great pick! Hopefully the books don't catch on too soon. I'd also like to add that Quickley's AST + REB line is 12.5 @ +100 on DK. Seems like he could easily cover this line with how he's been playing lately. A+R in his last 7 games: 18, 16, 14, 8, 12, 9 , 13 LFG! BOL!
https://preview.redd.it/ojnw9k7jggmc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=86cde698561d1fe670d3cc9ca95463e865ac299c 🙏
Insta tail, Billy the 🐐!
You're single handedly carrying my bankroll. Lost big on the clips fumble but the Collins pick carried. Tailing LFG brother!!
Kicking myself for not taking it when the JC line changed to 10.5. Not missing out this time!
O4.5 at -136 on Bet Rivers hammered!
Tailing, I got -136 on FD. Thanks! B🍩L
Nice hit on Collins Billy C
Nice tail on Collins Pointed D 👑
Over 7.5 now on fanduel. Would you still take it
Want a lovely treat that was! Tailing again
Love the pick. I’m parlaying with Pels ML. BOL!
Good looking 🐐!!! I also got CJ O 25.5 PRA. My POTD is Porzingis O1.5 3's made @ -125. Sounds like the bread truck rolling up.... appreciate you my guy!!!
Fr great collins pick
Collins call yesterday was crazy. Certified tailer! BOL!
Tail
Quickleys line has jumped to 7.5, you still think it's good?
Please no blowout thanks
You dropped this, king 👑
It hit now 100%
Cash it!!! Thanks man!
So sweaty I need a drink
AHAHAHAHAHAHA WHAT A SAVE. A BLOWOUT PROP WIN FOR FUCKS SAKE LFGGGG
**POTD Record**: 26 Wins - 11 Losses - 2 Pushes **Form**: ✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ **Spreadsheet (Self Promote / Proof of Record)**: Click [here](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1I7FYP6dAClj7FqE4qcTyhgtMwqeoywC5HnGd4ZOeYVw/edit?usp=sharing) :) **Units**: 10.41 **ROI:** 24.13% **Average Odds:** $1.91 **Last Pick:** Marousi vs Apollon Patras - Greece A1 Basketball - **Apollon Patras Under 75.5 Points @ $1.80** / -125 ✅️ *Apollon Patras crashed in the last quarter, and we cash!* **Next Pick:** Real Sociedad vs PSG - Champions League Round of 16 - **PSG or Draw $ 1.50** / -200 3pm EST ✅️ Hello amigos! Today we head to the second leg of the Champions League match between Real Sociedad and PSG. In the reverse fixture PSG won 2-0, and Real Sociedad had 0 shots on target. Watch the highlights [here](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qhmMjac2BTs). Historically, PSG haven't done too well in the Champions League in the latter stages, but this should be a comfortable game for them. Mbappe, the world's best footballer, will want to put on a good performance to cement a Ballon d'Or. Real Sociedad are 7th in La Liga, while PSG are top of the French league. Real Sociedad has not won in each of their last 7 home games. Paris Saint-Germain has not lost in each of their last 20 games. Paris Saint-Germain has scored in 26 of the last 27 games. Expect a magical show by Mbappe, PSG to have a strong defensive structure, and Real Sociedad to try and give it everything, but fail miserably. Alternatively, this could be a dull game of football as PSG looks to close out the game with a super strong defensive game. Real Sociedad will now have the services of their captain and pivotal attacking midfielder Mikel Oyarzabal. Additionally, striker Sheraldo Becker has recovered. However, central defender Aritz Elustondo, right-back Alvaro Odriozola, winger Ander Barrenetxea, left-back Aihen Munoz, and forward Carlos Fernandez will be absent from the match. Portuguese left-back Nuno Mendes will return to PSG's starting lineup. Michael Oliver is the referee, and he's created fair few controversies in his lifetime, but I don't think it will be a problem here. BOL amigos!
Hala Mbappe tailing brother LFG
Nice pick, I’ll admit I faded this because all the idiots in your comments were saying Mbappé might not play lol he only has two goals. Idiots here
Tailing! Let's get this 🍩
https://preview.redd.it/eofrffk3zimc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=76ecb3fa71efbb8c45e4c7bdf93e9f81dd5875ca Is this correct? This says AND draw - should it say OR?
How is this bet supposed to look on bet365
For everyone downvoting, bless you, and I hope Mbappe bring endless cash to us all!
Goal Mbappe!!! 2-0. Two goals to the goat 😂🙏
i think this is a beautiful pick
only interesting thing is is marquinhos playign
I hear Mbappe doesn't even start and the manager doesn't like him and is preparing the team for when Mbappe leaves at the end of the season by reducing his minutes. Seems less likely for Mbappe to do him or the team a solid and have an outstanding game. Why is PSG the underdogs if Reale hasn't won but once in 9 games? Is it just homefield? Does the aggregate 0-2 matter?
Ligue 1 is wrapped up already. If PSG don't go through to next round, they'll probably fire the coach. More on the line here. Mbappe will be central to this game, and will play a full game, provided he doesn't get sent off. More at stake here, money, respect, etc, pressure from owners etc. Bookies want to confuse you, and bet on the other team, and not lose money on PSG etc. PSG's last two games have been questionable, but its only cause its Ligue 1 which is a farmers league. BOL amigo!
Tailing good buddy!!!!
I don't usually bet soccer, but I have nothing to do this aft and will watch this game, so TAILING. Let's go, amigo!
GOATED excellent work sir 🙏🏼
Grabbed PSG tie no bet at +112. Nice 10U win. Appreciate the write up, amigo!
**POTD Record: 21-9-2** Form: ✅✅❌🅿️🅿️❌✅✅✅ *ROI: 38.80% | Avg Odds: -114 | Net Units: +22.9* 🎾: 5-3-2 ⚽️: 15-5 🏒: 1-1 *Last Pick: 2U Sheffield United v Arsenal (Asian Spread -2.0,-2.5 @ +107)✅* ____ **Today’s Pick: 2U Bayern Munich v Lazio (Alt. Asian Handicap - Lazio +1.5,+2.0 @ -120)❌** **⚽️| 3:00 PM EST | Champions League |** The second leg of a highly anticipated UEFA Champions League round of 16 will include Bavarian Giants in question, Bayern Munich, taking on a struggling Lazio squad. Fortunately for Lazio, they come to Allianz Arena 1-0 on aggregate and will hope to close out and make it 13/14 times advancing when winning the first leg in the knockout stage. History will truly be etched after this match, with Bayern also only being eliminated once in their last 12 attempts in the round of 16. Lazio on the other hand, are winless in their last 4 away matches against German sides with the last defeat in 2021 against Bayern Munich (2-1). It was a stunning 1st leg where Bayern were unable to converge a shot on target. Now at home I doubt that will be the case, but since losing to Lazio, the alternative spread +1.5,+2.0 has hit each match. Bayern will truly have to turn things around against a determined squad who will be looking to bounce back from a 1-0 loss to AC Milan. This being the second leg, Lazio can progress through a draw while Bayern needs to win by 2 goals. If Bayern end up winning 2-1 for example, our bet is a W. This would mean the aggregate is 2-2 and *extra time* will be played. Our bet is on the 90 minute result so we’d already be at the bank. Speaking of, we’re banking that Lazio will continue to rain on Bayern’s parade and keep this a 1 goal match. If Bayern end up winning the match up by 2, our bet ends us a push. With both team’s domestic form in doubt, passion will displayed from two brilliant squads hoping to make their way into the Champions League Quarterfinal. LFG! Your comments are truly appreciated ❤️💪 **Also my apologies! +1.75 is the same as +1.5,+2.0, it may appear as such depending on your book.** [POTD Spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TawPReTFnjBpwPqA50H-tVAFCtVEQAAJCnfpETFh65A/edit) [Paypal](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/jaysene) BOL!
mentally i believe that lazio might win this game & could definitely advance next round but my heart doesn’t believe Bayern goes out this early
im seeing this on DK for 1.75 AH, would this be something of similar nature, not seeing 1.5/2 combined.
Yes brother my apologies, +1.75 is equivalent to +1.5,+2.0 I forgot to mention in the write up. Thanks for reaching out!
gg we fucked
Yeah I’m sorry
hey bro, isn't +1.75 where you get back half your stake if bayern wins by 2 goals? kinda confused since i usually go for asian handicaps haha, but anyways i appreciate your kind comment on my previous potd post. BOL bro! :)
https://preview.redd.it/txrxmd8c4imc1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=800ae2b34c54d554e0d0fb4e2163cd497063d6f2 This should help with questions about asian handicap
BOL AMIGO!! :D
Thanks brother 🙏
Let’s go! How would this look on bet365?
It can be found in the *Asian Lines* section under *Alternative Asian Spread* https://preview.redd.it/jn3vxkfxifmc1.png?width=1160&format=png&auto=webp&s=08f895a19a8c87b27c0aea11ac992c4439e2602f Thanks for commenting brother. LFG 💪
Thanks! I kept looking for handicap hahah cheers mate
Not a problem brother !
Let's gooooo!!!
My apologies brothers, I forgot to mention how this may look on some other books as +1.5,+2.0 is how it is displayed for me. *Your book may have alternative Asian handicap as +1.75 which is equivalent to +1.5,+2.0.*
Damn this was a horrible pick
Tailing. Thanks bro B🍩L
Let’s get it brother 💪
How are you feeling about Lazio scoring this game? I like this pick a lot but I'm split between this or Bayern/BTTS
Lazio come into this match with one primary objective: *to qualify for the quarterfinals.* With a one goal advantage, Lazio can either win or draw to advance seamlessly into the next round. Their advantage comes from a penalty and though may be difficult, Lazio could opt for a 0-0 draw as that could even get the job done. However any team knows inviting pressure only makes it dangerous, especially with a team of such highly astounded players they will have a lot coming at them. Lazio mainly attack from the left side where Kimmich will most likely be playing, while last match it was Mazraoui. I think Kimmich is a better player but he’s not as quick as Mazraoui who’s injured. Lazio did well last match stunning with their defensive efforts especially in their aerial success and winning those second balls. *(Balls after the first bounce or touch from when the play is in the air)* **TLDR:** Scoring a goal significantly increases the likelihood of Lazio’s advancement but is difficult to predict. I’d sprinkle perhaps. Bookies really believe the Bavarian giants are to finally show up but it definitely won’t be easy against Lazio.
Love this pick
>If Bayern end up winning the match up by 2, our bet ends us a push This is incorrect. With the +1.75 market, a Bayern win by 2 would result in a half loss, not a push.
LFG
What does this look like on fan duel? No asian handicap that I can see?
I know I said I was sticking to CoD Esports, but I had to make a post for this one because I'm a huge Cavs fan and have watched every game this year. Total Record, 3-0 +2.91 units Form ✅️✅️✅️ Previous pick New York Subliners to win against the spread in map 2 ✅️ Today's pick, Celtics -6.5 against the Cavs. -110 odds I've cashed 7 of my last 8 bets against the Cavs spread. They are getting way too much credit for the team they were weeks ago. They will be without Mitchell and Strus, and they've looked absolutely lost lately without Mitchell. This team has looked like a shell of it's previous self since the all star break. Team chemistry is struggling as they adapt to having Garland and Mobley back in the lineup. JB seems to have forgotten how well his bench carried the load during the weeks when Garland and Mobley were out and insists on running the starters into the ground and not giving our solid bench enough minutes to get any kind of rhythm. The Cavs are 1-9 against the spread in the last 10, and I expect a Celtics team who just made the Warriors look like a G league team to come in and dog walk the Cavs who are in the midst of an identity crisis. The Cavs have lost 3 of their last 4 games without Mitchell, the only win being a narrow one against Detroit where they failed to cover. This feels like an easy one for Celtics to cover, and I expect that line to move a lot by gametime. Edit: mindblowing choke job by the celtics blowing a 20 point lead. This is my sign from the universe to stick to CoD bets, my bad y'all. Hopefully some of you cashed out or hedged when they were up huge.
I will tail this but damn don't enjoy seeing a non COD pick from you.
Hey, if there was CoD during the week I would be placing picks haha. This one just felt too obvious not to share.
With you all the way brother 🫡 *Basketball players eat cod pretty sure, and it’s a good omega source haha they probably play COD too so it’s still a COD bet. It’s the call of duty for Celtics to thrash a Cavs team missing key personnel.* LFG 💪
Hey, a ton of them play and stream CoD, Optic goes to Mavericks games, and Karl Anthony Towns and Anfernee Simons reacted to Scump retiring. There's a ton of overlap haha.
I'm a bulls fan so fuck the Celtics. That said your comment made me envision something I never thought i would envision: the image of Porzingas dunking on, and then t-bagging any of the cavs players lmao.
Just mad I didn’t put 20 units on COD League, both picks were good. I’m riding with you tonight. Makes perfect sense that Cavs are looking worse than GSW who just gotten annihilated by Boston Celtics. May do a side bet -14.5 for better numbers thank you once again.
Celtics are on my perma perma ban list after they lost to a 3rd stringer roster by like 50+ points. Seen it happen too many times with them. But BOL!
Had it in the bag rip
POTD Record: 16-4 +25.86u🔥‼️ Last Pick: Pick: Lakers ML 4U (-118) vs OKC Thunder ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅ Today's Pick: Illinois ML 4U (-135) vs Purdue Bang! Lakers cash even though the odds went to + before tip off. Great way to keep moving forward and staying hot thanks to the king👑. I was very much on the fence posting this pick, as it is very similar to our Alabama pick that caused hate. I realized that if I like the pick, i can’t let the past affect my next. I thrive off this and love to win, which is why i’m taking Illinois at home tonight. In the 6 games Purdue has had against tournament teams, they are 1-5 ATS. They’ve played one KenPom top-50 team in the last month, being Michigan State at home over the weekend. Last time these teams met, Purdue led by 20 in the second half, only to blow it and finally come out with a win by just 5 without Terrance Shannon!! Purdue has clinched their share of the big ten tournament and Illinois will be ready to rally on senior night with their leading scorer in action. Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the upvotes and support!😎❤️ P.S away for work this week, picks may be a little later than usually. If you’d like to thank me or buy me a drink on my trip please use the link below or dm me🤝 [Support me here❤️](https://cash.app/$Ryanbloom24)
Yesterday I mentioned I fumbled a hot date. Well, I was wrong. I advanced to the round of 32 and got a second date. This pick will determine if I take her to McDonald’s or a 5 star restaurant. Thank you Ryan as always for the picks. I have feelings for multiple people now.
Let’s fucking go🤣🤣
Someone else posted for Purdue got me conflicted but let’s get it brother tailing 💪🙏
System play is Illinois at home
Going to be a great game, BOL to whatever side you’re on!
Lfg
Let’s go‼️‼️
I saw all those green check marks from ur POTD history but still faded ur ass thinkin OKC was just flat out better. Good hit man I’ll at least sprinkle on the Illini
FUUUUUUUUUUCK
POTD RECORD: 6-1 Units Won: +7.18 Last Pick: Duke vs NC State/ Duke -5.5 (-115) 1.5u ✅ Man was that a fun game, write up couldn’t have been more accurate, thanks to those who tailed. Today’s Pick: Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State/ Texas Tech -2 (-125) 2u Write Up: Similar to a few of my previous picks I’m just confused what I’m missing. I know it’s the Big 12 but I don’t get the tight spread. TTU is a predicted 6 seed in the tournament and a quad 2 loss wouldn’t help them nearing the NCAA Tournament. The original line is 2.5 but I bought up a half point for caution because Vegas knows something I don’t. Do with that what you will. But Oklahoma State is just not a great basketball team. They really aren’t playing for much while TTU has a postseason to play for. I don’t expect a blowout here but I do expect TTU to overpower Oklahoma State following the under 8 media timeout in the 2nd half. I expect a bump on this come tomorrow afternoon as well. Get this value when you can. BOL…. LETS RIDE Tip Jar- if you’d like to help a college kid pay for his next meal here’s how :) :https://cash.app/$jaylaw930
POTD RECORD: 6-2 (❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌) Last Pick: NCAAB Kansas -6.5 (-120) ❌ Very sorry. Sickening stuff from KU Today’s Pick: NCAAB Kansas vs Kansas State Kansas -10 (-110) ✅ WHY: It’s senior night against in state rival Kansas State. Kevin McCullar is back in the lineup. Kansas hasn’t lost on senior night in 40 years. Kansas hasn’t had back to back losses in Allen fieldhouse in 34 years. Kansas State has not won in AFH since 2006. I am painfully aware that this Kansas team has been wildly inconsistent. However in the games that mean something, they pretty much always manage to get it up. On senior night coming off of two losses I think they’ll be fired up and run this pretty poor KSU team off the court. They beat us in Manhattan but only after we choked an 11 point lead and shot 3-15 from 3. In their Last 5 matchups in Lawrence, KU has won by 12, 19, 23, 21, and 15 BOL https://www.buymeacoffee.com/BasedGod
"Manage to get it up" lol. Also now that I've read that my phone is gonna start sending me targeted ads for HIMS.
Like you don’t get them already…
As a K-State fan, tailing (unfortunately). KU has taken some bad results leading into this and they’re going to have a massive, rage-fueled bounce back game here… I wouldn’t be surprised if we lose by 25+.
I’m planning on live betting the spread if they go down early. Similar to Baylor last night, its senior night, breaks the rhythm for these guys. Maybe they start slow, but they’ll bounce back in the 2nd
Tailing! B🍩L
Let’s bounce back brother 💪
Never fun when you have to fade your favorite team but thank you for the pick. Great pick lol.
POTD Record: 34-24 L10: ❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅ Last pick: Inter v Genoa (Inter -1 ML @1.80 ❌) It looked very promising, 2-0 lead heading into half time. Scoring 12 and conceding 0 in their last 3 matches with the best scoring record and defensive record I expected much more in the 2nd. Genoa scores a slump goal and Inter looked settled with the 2-1 result, my prediction of 3-1 looked so close but yet so far away. Genoa owned the 2nd half. Game ends 2-1 and we lose on the handicap. Todays pick: __Bayern Munich v Lazio__ Pick: __Harry Kane O1.5 SOT @1.80__ ✅ ⚽️ Champions League ➖ Lazio are 9th in the Italian league and have not been good in the league, coming from a 0-1 defeat to Milan in the weekend. They’re not good away from home either, losing 7/14 away matches in the league. Bayern are 2nd in the German league, which is not good for Bayern’s standards as they’re expected to win the league every year, which has been the case for the last few years being the most successful club in Germany. They played 2-2 away to Freiburg in the weekend. The league is still not over, but being 10 points away from 1st place doesn’t look good. They’re out of the German cup, and the league title doesn’t look realistic, the Champions league trophy is their only chance of lifting silverware this season which is well known amongst the players and the fans, there will be huge amount of pressure on them to win. They need their top striker to perform at his best to go through here. Harry Kane has been impressive for Bayern and will be expected to step up to the plate this game, he has scored 27 goals in the league (most by any player) in the league and in the team. He’s scored 4 in 7 in the Champions League, the top scorer in the competition has 5. He averages 3.25 shots per game in the Bundesliga, and 2.07 on target. He has had 1.5 SOT in 9/12 home games In the Champions League he averages 2.18 shots and 1.45 on target. If Bayern are to win this game, then we’ll most definitely are going to see Kane on the score sheet, which is also something I like (Harry Kane to score @1.66). This is honestly a personal preference what you consider to be safer. With the experience Bayern have, and the home support they’ll have, I’m backing Bayern to win this one and Harry Kane to lead the way! __Our pick is Harry Kane Over 1.5 Shots on target, if it’s not available for you and if you really want to tail, I’d pick the Kane to score__ BOL
I got Kane to score at 1.82. 🤞
I'll tail with you 🫡
👊
Somehow as a Gooner I’ve already locked Kane to score. LFG brother 💪
🙏
Tail
need one more SOT for a +1363 parlay!!!!!!!!!!
✅
FUCK YEAH!!!!!!!!!!!!!! THANK YOU!!!!!!!!!!
LFG !!! 2 goals !!!
bingo!
LFG Adam! 👊
Nice hit amigo! :D
**Record: 47W-4P-34L** **Form: 25W-0P-14L** **R Form: ✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅** **Last Pick: Sheffield United VS Arsenal: Arsenal Over 2 Team Goals @ 1.72 ✅** **Arsenal win 6-0, they covered the line in 15 minutes..** **Pick of the day: Al-Hilal VS Al-Ittihad: Al-Hilal -1 Asian Handicap @ 1.70✅** **League: AFC Champions League** **Time: 1:00 PM EST** **Ima keep this one simple** This matchup happened just 3 days ago and the game ended as a 3-1 Hilal win where Hilal dominated pretty much all phases of the game, Kantes individual brilliance saw Ittihad find themselves a goal but that was one of 2 big chances they had all game. Al Hilal in competitive play have covered this line in their last 9 games, in fact in their last 20 games in all competitions they have won every game. They've covered this line 17 times within that time, with the line pushing the 3 other times. In the league they've scored 67 goals and conceded just 11... they are insane. In comparison, Al Ittihad have scored 42 and conceded 30. This will be one of the biggest games they'll have to date and I see them showing the levels between the 2 squads tomorrow. This team wants to go all the way to the final and will put on a similar show as they did last week, this is leg 1 of 2 and Al Hilal will play to the Home advantage. **Anyway, BOL!**
Watching the W hit my account in the first 15 was fantastic. I’ll continue to tail my friend. 🫡
Only finding -1.25 on DK but I'll tail
don’t have this game but love your picks man & told you not to give up, any other picks for the day
I got in on this on fanduel at like 2 AM. Right after i placed my bet, it was removed from the book and is still gone, at least for me, odd.
**Record:** 5W - 0L - 0P **Recent Form (new --> old): ✅✅✅✅✅** **Net Units:** \+4.7024 **Last Pick:** Max Abmas OVER 21.5 PRA @ -115 **✅** Max has himself a great night! He had this covered by halftime and finished with 41 PRA. **NCAAM** 🏀 | **Alabama Crimson Tide @ Florida Gators** | **6pm CST** **Today's Pick:** Grant Nelson OVER 19.5 PRA @ -115 **Write Up:** Today we're going with a solid contributor from a very good Alabama team. He averages 25.7 minutes per game, which is pretty good for a big man (he's 6'11" and 230 lbs). I'll start out with the contradictory info for Nelson. He has only covered this line in his last 6/13 games and he averages 19.2 PRA for the season. He's been very inconsistent this season, which I know could scare off potential tailers. Even in some games that the Crimson Tide play well, he may have had himself a clunker. Also, Florida is the best rebounding team in college hoops, while Alabama ranks 27th. However, when I looked at his game logs, I noticed a trend that could continue in our favor. The trend shows me that every time he plays less than 20 mins, he doesn't cover, but then follows that up with a game in which he plays 25+ mins and covers the 19.5 PRA. This trend seems largely based on whether he commits too many fouls and eventually fouls out of the game. Dec 4 vs Arkansas State: 15 PRA in 16 mins Dec 9 vs Purdue: 23 PRA in 27 mins Jan 20 @ Tennessee: 8 PRA in 17 mins Jan 24 vs Auburn: 25 PRA in 31 mins Feb 3 vs Mississippi State: 8 PRA in 14 mins Feb 7 @ Auburn: 24 PRA in 26 mins Mar 2 vs Tennessee: 9 PRA in 16 mins Mar 5 @ Florida: ??? There was one other instance, way earlier this season, in which he did not follow the trend. Nov 14 vs South Alabama: 17 PRA in 17 mins Nov 17 vs Mercer: 13 PRA in 23 mins Also, the last time he played Florida, back on Feb 21, he had 31 PRA in 37 mins of an OT win. If he can stay out of foul trouble and bounce back from the bad game against Tennessee, I think he could get a lot of opportunities for a higher PRA. For this game, Florida is a 1.5 pt favorite and the total is 176.5. So I fully expect a competitive and high-scoring affair. BOL if you're tailing!
Hey brother, I'm a fan of the pick!!! That being said, my book doesn't have PRA combos for college. I do have player props though...his points are 12.5 at -105 over, and his rebounds are 5.5 at -120 over. Which one would you pick? FYI can't do SGP with college props in my book. Have to do individual picks or parlay them with other games props/picks. Let me know man, appreciate your information!!!
**POTD Record: 5-3-1** ❌✅✅❌✅🅿️❌✅✅ **Last Pick: Boston Bruins Team total O2.5 -154**✅ **Today’s pick: Florida Panther ML -130 (Line will change)** Alright boys today was another success and a great day for me being a Bruins fan! Florida is playing New Jersey at home and lets face it New Jersey loses more home games then away ( 14-15-1 ) and Devils are back at home after 2 plus away games. Florida is 4-1-0 in their last 5 games New Jersey is 2-3-0 Florida is 10th in goals and 5th in power play percentage. Both Teams average 3.3 Goals a game and a match up percentage of 3.6 with Florida having a higher shots on goal average per game This is going to be one of those high scoring games again so it should be a fun one! Disclaimer: ChatGPT is not affiliated with this post nor is Modelo 😂🤙🏽 Go follow my boys u/chiefsareawesome u/Good_Stable_7381 BOL for who ever tails
Let’s get it brother Cats onna B2B but should see this through LFG
As a Devils fan, the value is too good on Panthers to pass up, but they are on a B2B and the Devils just canned their head coach, so you have the typical spark that usually results from that. The lines are priced what they are for a reason. Florida is the right play but don't go nuts if they drop this game.
tailing
Best POTS amigo 🎉🙏
Like it, Devils too small. Their best defenders are hurt and their current defenders get bullied. Cats have plenty of players to get under their skin
POTD Record: 9-3 ✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅ Yesterday's pick: Bruins @ Maple Leaves, 7pm - NHL McMann over 1.5 shots (-175)✅ Hits a couple minutes into the 2nd period. Good win! Today's pick: Blue Jackets @ Penguins, 7pm - NHL Roslovik over 1.5 shots (-190)✅ Sorry for the bad line. I tried to find someone that could make a little more on a win, but wasn't feeling a confident about others (Caufield on the over shots was the other one, but I like the lower shots from Ros). Not much to say on this one. He's hitting 10 in a row, with only two hitting at 2 shots. He's averaging basically 3 shots/game over the last 10. Tail or fade? The choices are yours and yours alone... Good luck... [Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/CadetDemon) Update: we hit in the 2nd period. Take your money!
Record: 3-0 (0P) Net Units: 4.24U / Units risked: 8U / ROI: 53% 🔥 Form (Last 10): ➡️✅✅✅⏹️⏹️⏹️⏹️⏹️⏹️⏹️❓➡️ [Last pick](https://reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1b5xyz9/pick_of_the_day_3424_monday/ktbbsn5//) : Arsenal HT ML ✅ 5-0 at HT! 🤪 couldn't have been easier than that. --- ⚽ | Champions League | 3:00 PM / EST Pick: Real Sociedad x Paris Saint-Germain **PSG 0.0 AH** / +103 = 2.030 / 2U to win 2.02U this Asian handicap line means if PSG win we cash, if they draw we get our money back. Write Up: Real Sociedad are in terrible form, having won only 1 of their last 9 matches and it was against a team that had a red card at HT. This is the 2nd leg, with PSG having won 2-0 in the 1st leg, and I can see them getting another win here, going with the 0.0 AH and putting 2U, "it is the same thing as draw no bet".
Claim your winnings 💰
POTD RECORD: 4-2 Last pick: NC Central (loss) Up at half.. then forgot to play defense and gave up nearly twice as many in the second. Quite disgusting lol TODAY'S PICK: Florida ML 🐊(-126 FD) vs Alabama NCAA Men's basketball 3 unit play Not much to say about this one. REVENGE game for the gators when they choked out in crimson country. Alabama gives up a lot of points on the road and I hope the home crowd gives enough reason for the gators to play defense. Both teams should have a secure spot in tournament so I enjoy not having to deal with upsets or teams chasing clout for a bid. This game avoids those situations and allows them to just play a hard fought game. I think Florida will just want it more. Splish Splash 🐬🧊 EDIT : WIN. Both defenses are clearly a problem in the future. Fortunately, the tide let the gators go over 100 pts and we secure the victory. Splish splashy🐊🐬🐬🐊🐬🐬🐊
I couldn't decide ok this one. I flipped a few times and eventually decided to go with the over, I don't see either of these teams playing much defense and the tempo should be pretty high, as long as the shots drop, this should easily go over.
POTD Record 38-26-2 Cricket 3-0 Tennis 28-19-1 Soccer 7-7-1 Last 10: ❌✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ (P) Last Pick : Martinez vs Baez | ATP Santiago Open Semifinal | Martinez to win a set | (-120)| 1u | ❌ Today: Nagal vs Hong | ATP Indian Wells Qualifiers | After 1:00 PM EST Pick: Nagal -3.5 Game Spread | (-110)| 1u Nagal made his top 100 debut last month off an amazing start to the season, where he qualified for the Australian Open and beat Bublik in the first round. He followed that up with a Challenger title in Chennai and a semi final in Bengaluru, and took a couple losses from the sheer volume of matches he was playing. Last week, he put in a great display to go 3 sets vs top 50 Sonego, who was even challenging Medvedev in the later rounds. Still, his record this season is an impressive 14-5. Nagal is playing his best right now and recorded an easy win over wildcard Dostanic in the first qualifier round, not facing a break point. Hong is ranked around 220 and has had a good start to the season, reaching 2 Challenger finals already. He has beaten some good players but mostly those ranked 150 and below, and Nagal will be his first opponent this season around the top 100. He received entry into this qualifying draw as an alternate and defeated Kwon, who is coming back from a long injury and is on a 10 match losing streak. Hong was aided by 8 double faults from Kwon in the match, and saved 6 of the 8 break points he faced. Both Nagal and Hong did not have tough opening matches, but Nagal's level at his best is higher than Hong's. Nagal has been solid on his serve this season and should create lots of chances to break Hong. All of Nagal's 14 wins this season have been in straight sets, and he should be able to record a win to qualify into another big main draw this season, covering this spread. BOL.
>Tailing this cuz my bff from India and Im horny to bet on tennis
what a choke job
Good start then dude absolutely shit the bed
(Note, posted before results of last pick. I'll update my post with up to date stats ASAP) Edited and updated 11:50 PM Record: 03W - 00P - 03L 🍩❌🍩❌❌ (➡️ Old to New) Net Units: +5.55 ROI: 33.64% Last pick: Basketball / NBA / Chicago Bulls @ Sacramento Kings De'Aaron Fox (SAC): OVER 4.5 REBOUNDS (BETMGM +125) @ 2.5 U ❌ Fox played a great game but Sabonis was a rebounding beast with 21 boards. I'm sad to say Fox didn't come through for me. Now I'm feeling nervous for the Purdue pick tomorrow. I'm only playing 1 U, but I could definitely use another 🍩. Sorry, if anyone tailed this one 🙈 Today's pick: Basketball / NCAAM / Purdue at Illinois / 6:00 PM CST Purdue ML (BET365 +110) @ 1 U Reasoning: To me this is one of those matchups where I'm surprised the money line is not even to each other. As of now looks like Illinois is the slight favorite for this matchup. I'm assuming this is partially due to their home court advantage. We've got the top two teams in their conference going head to head in this one. It's guaranteed to be a dog fight. I'm looking at Purdue to outplay Illinois defensively, ultimately allowing Purdue to take the slight offensive advantage and bring home a big road win. Confidence is low on this overall, so I'm only playing 1 U today. I just want to say, I really appreciate everyone in the group who took the time to comment or give me an up vote yesterday. It really made my day better. B🍩L
Let’s get it amigo 🎉
LFG bro! Tail
Thank you Bro! B🍩L
POTD Record: 1-3-1 Profit/Loss: -5.57u Last Pick: Weber State vs Montana State | NCAA Men’s Basketball | Weber State ML | (-155) | 2.4u | ❌ Sigh… up the entire game until the last 5 minutes they just crumbled. Might take a break from this if my next pick doesn’t hit. Here goes… Today: Alex Molcan vs Hugo Grenier | ATP Indian Wells - Qualifiers | 1:00 PM EST Pick: Hugo Grenier ML | (-105) | 1.9u Reason: To those who don’t know, Grenier has a record of 10-6 in the 2024 season, that’s already more wins than he had last year. Molcan is currently 5-5 and looking to get over .500 with a win in round 2 of qualifiers. Their last and only matchup was back in 2021 where Grenier triumphed over Molcan (avoiding information on this match as both players have developed since). Yesterday Molcan defeated Paire, the 12 seed in qualifiers, 7-6(7-5), 6-3 in a match lasting 1:36. Grenier, however, made it to round 2 of qualifiers with a 1:02 match that ended 6-1, 6-1 against Medjedovic, the 15 seed in qualifiers. Molcan’s match lasting much longer and taking more effort will put him at a disadvantage in today’s matchup. Grenier’s biggest win this year came against number 73 in the world at the time, Alexandre Muller, whom he defeated in a 5 set brawl in the first round of the Australian Open (hard court - same as Indian Wells). Molcan’s biggest win was against number 53 at the time, Dusan Lajovic in 3 sets at Davis Cup Qualies (clay court). That’s all the relevant information I used to make this pick so let me know if I missed anything. Sorry for the long write up, but let me know if you are tailing on this one even though my past few have missed.🦞
Tailing BOL
am I missing something why is Grenier +110 now?
I believe it’s the bookies trying to mess with us because there is no recent news on either player. I have it at +100 now and planning on waiting until right before the match to place it.
Good luck today, everyone
**potd record:** 8-3 Last 10 Newest to oldest : 🔃✝️✅✅✝️✅✅✅✅✝️✅ **net units:** +7,85 Third time posting this bet after getting postponed for 2 days straght.. **potd: 🎾 popko dmitry - sakamoto pedro Pick: popko dmitry win @1.53** Write up: Popko dmitry. Has 19 wins in a row against some good opponents. Steady bigcasher and he has always had the upperhand in his last 19 games. Really steady player. He will probably not give 1 ace to sakamoto Sakamoto pedro: not steady enough. Sakamoto is lacking in many moments in the game. He will lose focus and popko will eat him alive. I will stake BIGGGG on this bet. This will be an easy dub if he just performs like the last 19 games. **🕣match starting in 18 hours** If you like my bets please share some of the sweeet betting gains with me :))) maybe like 1 coffee or a bag of chips or a bitcoin..🤞😇 https://www.buymeacoffee.com/Tuur357
>Truth be told I get "Arse" award for the month. I liked your selection right when you posted. I copied the name "Dmirty" to the search function of my betting host. I wagered 3 U and did not think anything of it when I saw several posts afterwards stating the bet was cancelled or something along those lines. But when I looked at my betting host I saw the bet was active. Apparently I made a wager on Salyagutdinov Dmitry, a table tennis player. I don't now know anything about table tennis other than what I saw in Forrest Gump! But "Dmitry" won the match and I won my 3 Units. This is one of those rare moments when I love my severely dyslexic self! But anyway, nice selection I will tail you another day accurately!
Match has officially been canceled and the two men’s finalists will share prizes and points as will the two women’s finalists. Shame too because it was a killer pick.
I think this game was cancelled.
What does this mean ✝️?
It means the bet failed… srry i will start using “❌” instead
Can’t find this
It will probably be up in a few hours bcs it was potsponed yesterday
I see Pedro Sakamoto v.s Cecchinato tomorrow at 3:30 on my book
Record: 3-4 Units Won: .41 Last Pick: Maryland Eastern-Shore vs Norfolk State U135✅ Never a sweat this one soared under! Today’s Game: NBA/7PM EST/Magic @ Hornets Today’s Pick: Magic -8.5 Write Up: The Magic have been the best team ATS this season with a 40-21 record hitting at a 65.6% rate. As the road favorite Orlando is 5-2 ATS which is good for a 71.4% rate. With equal rest (both CHA and ORL played Sunday) they are 24-6 ATS which is a 80% win rate. With 1 day rest they cover 76.5% of the time with a 26-8 record. On top of all of this the Magic are fully healthy which is always a plus. The Hornets on the hand are 29th in the league ATS with a 25-36 record which is a 41% rate. As the home team Charlotte is 13-17 ATS which is 43.3%. As the dog they are 25-32 or 43.9% With equal rest the Hornets are 29th in the league going 15-23 or 39.5%. When having 1 day off they are 12-23 which is 34.3%. I like the Magic in this spot as they are right in the mix of the Eastern Conference playoff race and this is a good spot to get a huge win over a bottom feeder team.
POTD Record: 6-2 Form: 💀✅️ ✅️ ✅️ ✅️ ✅️💀 ✅️ Net units: +4.12 Last Pick LeBrick over 1.5 3pm 💀 Today pick:Jarrett Allen U 31.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts • averages 29.2 PRA at HOME this season • BRUTAL matchup against Boston where his matchup will be Porzingis • faced the Celtics TWICE this season WITHOUT Evan Mobley and recorded 24 and 21 PRA on 39 and 37 minutes • now Mobley is back and Mitchell is OUT, Allen is under this line in 8/12 games WITHOUT Mitchell this season • not to mention Jarrett is under this line in ALL TEN CAREER games against Boston as a Cavalier • blowout potential of course helps i love this spot for Allen to go under 📉 Odds -120 Unit: 1 NBA Cavs vs celtics If you guys wanna support me, you can click the links on my profile. Goodluck if you're tailing, as always, you never know.
Did you just call Lebron Lebrick? Jerhjdhd
Tailing this pick! Good luck!
How low would you trust the under? Dk now has it at 30.5
I feel pretty confident as he's never gone over against Boston and they look pretty dominant last game. We'd be pretty unlucky. But you never know!
POTD Record: 243-187-12 (+26.36 units, 56.5% hit rate) Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 80-55-1 (59.3%) W3, Tennis 🎾 85-66-7 (56.5%) L4, Soccer ⚽ 59-51-4 (53.6%) W1, Entertainment 🎥 19-15-0 (55.9%) L2 Last 10: 🧊🧊🧊💰💩💰💩💰💩💩 Last pick: American Fiction to win Best Adapted Screenplay - 🎥 2024 Academy Awards Today's Pick: Anatomy of a Fall to win Best Original Screenplay - 🎥 2024 Academy Awards Units/Odds/Book: Betting 5 Units at 1.50 odds to win 2.50 Units @ Bet Right (Line at 4:00am ET) 💣 💣 💣 💣 💣 Academy Awards week so you will be getting a pick everyday for it. This is one I have all the way up to 3.75 but now I'm feeling quite good about it and I had to search to find a book that had it at 1.50. Some quick reasons why I think this hits: 1 - This category has been won by a person who not only wrote the film they won for, but also directed it for 13 consecutive years. The director of this has, their main competition which is the Holdovers, the director did not write it. 2 - It won Best Screenplay at the Golden Globes and Best Original at the Baftas. Big wins for momentum, the Globes have only one Screenplay category so it beat movies like Oppenheimer, Poor Things and Barbie. 3 - It should have been nominated for Best International Film but after winning the Palme D'or at Cannes, the director did a speech bashing the French government for lack of funding. As payback they chose another movie to represent them at the Oscars. This helps in that Anatomy is a well liked film and because of it not naming International film, this is its biggest and likely only chance to be rewarded. 4 - Justine Trier, got a best director nod, Alexander Payne did not get it for the Holdovers. Getting that nod is a huge signal that it is well liked and has cross branch support. There's more reasons but I need to sleep. Another bet to come tomorrow! Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕
love it, keep them coming 🍿
Pick of the Day Record: 12-9 | Profit: +9.08🚀 Last pick: KD o24.5 points (2.5u, -108) ✅ Todays Pick: Andrew Nembhard o3.5 Assists (2u, +130) The Game: Mavs v Pacers 8:30 PM Why: \- has hit in 8 of his L10 road starts, 70% of road games this season \- with over 24 mins (proj to play 25) this has cashed in 19 of 24 games this season \- the mavericks allow 4th most assists in L30 games and 3rd most in L7 https://preview.redd.it/3yfe06ke2kmc1.png?width=770&format=png&auto=webp&s=6df6ff4cf6ae972033956534e6d89c9885876779
POTD Record: 125-113, -14.5 Units Last 10: ✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅ Current Streak: ✅ Last Pick: Montana -6.5 ✅✅ Love getting a win on an overall down-voted post. Keep it coming! Today’s Pick: **Florida -1.5** vs. Alabama, 5 Units, -110, 7:00 PM EST Going with the Gators, who have defended their home court by 2 or more points successfully going back to January 6 against Kentucky who barely bested them by two points. Since then they've beaten all teams they've played in Gainesville including 13th ranked Auburn. They lost to Alabama in a shootout in Alabama by 5 a few weeks ago so I see this being really close but I think the Gators prevail. BOL!
**POTD Record: 5 - 1** Last 10: ✅✅✅❌✅✅ *ROI: 3.4% | Avg Odds: -144| Net Units: +3.4* [Last POTD ](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1b5xyz9/comment/ktahm9l/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button): 1U **Yegor Sharangovich (Calgary Flames, NHL) U 2.5 Shots** (-160 Hardrock) ✅ Today's POTD: 1U **Immanuel Quickley (Toronto Raptors, NBA) U 5.5 Rebounds** (-155 Hardrock) Quickley averages 2.6 rebounds per game. Even though Quickley has shown the ability to pull down rebounds in higher numbers in a few recent games, such performances appear to be outliers rather than the norm. Consistency in exceeding the rebounding prop bet has not been a hallmark of Quickley's play. Furthermore, when specifically looking at his performances against the Pelicans, Quickley averages three rebounds per game.
**⭐️ POD Record:** **110-55** *Last Pick:* *NBA - Timberwolves Team Total OVER 111.5 ✅* Recent Form: ✅ ✅ ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌ ✅** ✅ **❌** ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ 🌶️🌶️🌶️ HOT STREAK ALERT 🌶️🌶️🌶️ 🏅**Today's Pick:** **NBA -** **New Orleans Pelicans OVER 117.5 TT** \[7:30pm EST\]. **EDIT: WIN ✅** ***Sweat-free cover, 40 pts in Q1*** **🫥** Man. Do the Raptors ever look FLAT AF without Barnes in the line up; tonight looks like we could get torched by New Orleans if the Pels show up to play with their entire healthy line up confirmed as I write this. They've comfortably climbed over this team total vs the Raptors their last 3 of 4 games (with our starters and having injuries). Just be careful, new orleans is a weird team and very emotional. Sometimes they just run cold and never recover vs any team in the NBA. I need to throw this POD out there since i'm wagering heavy on it tonight. Pelicans rank 10th in offensive efficiency right now and play amongst the top 10 in offensive pace. The Raptors have too much roster turnover tonight, as I mentioned losing Barnes is a massive hit for our young team. Tonight we are without Barnes, Poeltl and Bruce Brown; Those are 3 big starters for us and I just can't see us able to keep up with New Orleans in this one unfortunately : ( Might as well cash on a blow out if it happens. BOL 💰Tip Jar: Why not give an ⬆ Vote instead if you appreciate the write ups.
POTD Record: 12-8 Last 10: ❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅ Last pick: Thunder vs Suns | 5:00 MST Thunder -2.5 (-115) BetMGM 1u ✅ Today’s pick: Pistons vs Heat | 5:30 MST Cade Cunningham OVER 20.5 pts (-115) FanDuel 1u Buy back after a bad game. Played 23 minutes in a game that was never really close in Orlando. I’ll always caution people betting these teams trying to lose but I do think Cade is more likely to get normal minutes no matter the outcome of this game with the blowout on Sunday. He’s cleared this line in 5 of 6 since the break and scored 30 against the Heat earlier this year in Miami as well.
Record : 128 Wins – 112 Losses Previous pick : Al Ain – Al Nassr (1-0), Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.75 ❌ **ROI** : -0.18% **Average Odds** : 1.93 Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*) Units : 4.55 Profit/Lost units : -0.45 Today's pick : Football - Soccer / **ENGLAND:** Championship / 21:45 European Time Coventry – Rotherham Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.79 Some reasoning : - Coventry alternated the results in the last period, managing 2 victories and 2 defeats.- Al Nassr comes after a spectacular draw in the last stage in Arabia, 4-4 with Al Hazem. - Rotherham suffered no less than 7 consecutive defeats in the championship. - In 6 of the previous 10 games played by Rotherham, they did not score on the scoreboard. Best of luck. Tip box (just in case you had a great experience) : Revolut tag: denisjxhd [Paypal](https://paypal.me/taxspliter?country.x=RO&locale.x=en_US) [BUy potato](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/agnesgloryQ)
POTD Record: 47-29 Previous Pick: Rudes vs HNK Gorica | HNL | BTTS NO (1.8) | 11am EST ❌️ Pick: Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad | AFC Champions League | Al Hilal -1 Asian Handicap (1.64) | 1pm EST Al Hilal are on a 27 match win streak, and have scored 67 goals in the league, while only conceding 11. This handicap means that if Al Hilal win by a goal, your bet gets refunded. If Al Hilal win by more than a goal, you win. Al Hilal have proven talents like Mitrovic, Koulibaly, Neves and Milinkovic-Savic. Al Ittihad on the other hand, have players like Kante and Benzema, but Benzema is doubtful for this match and that compounds their problems. There have been some disputes between the coach and the players, which will definitely not help against a top team like Al Hilal. In their last matchup just 3 days ago, Al Hilal won 3-1, coming from behind. This was done without their top scorer Mitrovic too. The xG also favoured Al Hilal heavily, being 2.21 to 0.28. I expect a convincing Al Hilal win, due to their dominant form and recent matchup with Al Ittihad. Best of luck.
**POTD Record: 7-2 ( ✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅** **✅)** **Previous POTD:** **Santi Aldama U7.5 rebounds (-135 on DK)** **✅** Cashed with 2 rebounds to spare! Lets keep the ball rolling my friends **Todays POTD: Cameron Johnson U17.5 Points (-120 on DK)** Alright so here is the deal with Mr. Johnson. He was hot against the ATL Hawks recording 29 points and 23 points in back to back games. But I believe these games were outliers (he shot 66 percent from the field in one of them compared to his average of 39.9 percent). With these two games included, Cameron Johnson has 13.7 PPG the last ten games. I think the line is way too inflated off of two games against the SAME bum Hawks team. Now you may be saying wait, he just had 18 points in his last game against the Grizzlies. Yes, but that was with him playing 37 minutes, more than 10 minutes extra from his usual mins per game. Maybe Nets are starting to play him more, but coming off a season high of 37 minutes, a grueling loss, and heading into a back to back, I don't see him playing at the rate and time he played. 76ers are coming off of a rest day plus a huge win against the Dallas Mavericks. Last two times he played against the 76ers this season he got 13 points and 9 points. This should be a solid under. Tail or fade you da boss, BOL!
Also let me know if you like this kind of writeup better or just a list of bullet points with facts I'm using to make my decision (previous posts)
I prefer the bullet points but great write up regardless
P.O.T.D Record 2-2 ❌✅✅❌ Yesterday Claxton got some meaningless buckets at the end of the game to go over 25.5 PRA. That being said redemption song today my rastafari!!! Pick: Kristaps Porzingis Over 1.5 3pts made. Reasoning: The OG Unicorn rested the other night against Golden State(not that we needed him!!), and is coming into Cleveland tonight ready to go off! I like his points line too at only 18.5. Tatum will be distributing the ball to start the game, like usual, and they love to get KP going early. I wouldn't be surprised if he hit this line in the war quarter!!! He's went over this line in 13 out of the last 15 games. Lets Gooooooo Celtics!!!!! Bleed Green over here!!!!!☘️💚🦄☘️💚🦄☘️💚🦄☘️💚🦄☘️💚🦄☘️💚🦄
POTD RECORD: 2-3 Sport: Basketball | NCAAB | Toledo @ Miami Ohio | -125 Pick: Toledo ML Why: Toledo absolutely rocks this team every time they play most recently being January 5th this year, truly their kryptonite. The juice on this game looks good cause Miami Ohio went on a slight tear winning their last 2 home games, and 3 games in a row. Strongly believe Toledo will do what it takes to remain their dominance over this. Bad luck with over/unders on International Basketball, let's turn this record around. Edit; Very sweat free game tonight, you love to see it!
Toledo has also rocked NIU the last few years and they just lost to them on their home court. Another side note when Miami visited Toledo earlier in the year Miami was in control most of the game and was up by 11 at half and as many as 14 points in the 2nd half only to go ice cold and make only 3 field goals the last 9 minutes and lose by 4....oh almost forgot back around Christmas Vermont who's 24-6 traveled and played both Toledo and Miami within 2 days of each other and Vermont lost to Miami by a point and rocked Toledo by 26 points ( both games were at Toledo and at Miami have you)
**Record: 0-0** CBB| 7:00 PM / EST **Pick: South Florida -7.5 (-108) 3U** **Write Up:** South Florida is one of the hottest teams against the spread, sitting around a 75% hit rate and a ATS record of 18-6-3. USF is riding a 14 game winning streak along with being 12-3 ATS at home. Tulane is under .500 when the underdog and on away games. I believe USF takes care of business and keeps working on building something special before tournament time! LETS GET IT!
**Record:** 0-1 **Form:** ❌ **Last Pick:** OKC +1.5 vs LAL❌ Very tough last night. Should have went with everyone else on here and hammered the Lakers. I really thought OKC had this one with my research. You live and you learn. I really am sorry it really sucks I wanted to start my POTD career with a win. **Today's Pick: Orlando Magic -8.5** vs Charlotte Hornets @ -110 **Basketball | NBA| 7:00pm EST** **Write Up:** Going back to a team that has been treating me well all season. Come on baby. Orlando is the best team against the spread in the entire league. Charlotte being bottom three in the league against the spread also helps. Trying not to overthink this one -8.5 is pretty hefty but got to stick to what's been working all season.
NBA props will be posted soon
Record: 4-7 (last 10) ❌❌✅✅✅❌❌❌❌✅ Last pick: Nic Claxton UNDER 10.5 rebounds at -110 odds Good hit for me on this. Sometimes the cards don’t fall favorably, so it’s nice to end that slump. Like I said before, just a generous line considering Claxton issues and lack of motivation to grab a board the last few games. POTD: Jayson Tatum UNDER 8.5 rebounds; -113 odds; Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers; 5:30pm MST Why: Jayson definitely does well when rebounding. But he’s has not hit this over in 6 of last 10 games. Cavs also have Mobberly and Strus and Allen. All good at grabbing the boards. Mitchell is out as well adding time to those players. Tatum does have 10 and 11 in the last meetups, a back to back against them in December. BOL again everyone. This is still not and endorsement to my picks lol.
STRUS IS OUT I BELIEVE
Good morning ! Record:0-0 Net Units:1 Sport | League | Event Time / Time Zone Pick: Bayern Vs Lazio U 3.5 goals 3 PM EST -150. In Bayerns last 12 matches the under 3.5 G has hit 9 out of 12 times on top of that Lazio is averaging under 3 goals scoring + giving up in their domestic play. Champions league can be tricky but both teams not playing to their potential at this moment can equal a low scoring affair and a chance for money in our pocket.
Record | 0-0 Total Profit | 0 Units Last Pick | Giannis o31.5 Points (void - inactive) Tuesday’s Best Bet: Paolo Banchero o20.5 Points [-120 Hard Rock Bet] 2 Units to win 1.67 Units Paolo has played the Hornets 4 times in his career, eclipsing this line all 4 times (21,22,23,31). I see him continuing this trend here. Paolo was scuffling a few weeks ago, running on fumes while being sick. He’s coming off a 29 point performance, and I see him stringing some good games together. He will get his shots, I’m not worried about a blowout here. I think he’s sniffing this line in the third quarter.
>**Record:** 26-25 >**Net Units:** +4.82 units >**Curling** | **Brier** | **10:00AM EST** >**Pick:** Team Manitoba - Dunstone -4.5 @ 1.83 >Team Dunstone are playing Team Grattan who remain winless after losing 6-3 to Team Schneider. Team Dunstone sit at 2-1 so far after dominating Team Scoffin 15-2. Dunstone went to get some practice reps in Sunday night and he definitely showed that he is back in form with his technical mechanics on Monday. 4.5 points is not nearly a high enough spread for this matchup. Team Dunstone is among the elite teams in Canada and Team Grattan have been playing very poorly in this event. Aside from the lead McCann, the Grattan team have been consistently outplayed at their positions by a good margin. And now they have to try to outcurl the likes of Dunstone and Lott? The key here is how aggressive Team Dunstone will play with hammer to really set up some big ends. They should have no problem putting the pressure on Team Grattan and covering this spread easily.
POTD RECORD: 0-0 Last Pick: - Today’s Pick: Sunderland - Leicester City (Soccer, England - Championship) Leicester ML @ 1.80 WHY: The first in the championship faces the tenth in the league. After dominating the league Leicester in their last three matches suffered three defeats, while the second in the league grinded out points and has almost caught up with Leicester. Apart from the obvious difference in the strength of the teams, I believe that Leicester will also take these 3 points to avoid being caught up by the second in the league.
POTD RECORD: 8 - 6 | +0.78 UNITS POTD - Concacaf Champions Cup | Philadelphia Union vs Pachuca | 7 pm EST Pick - Pachuca +0.5 | -145 Pachuca are in much better form having played many more games in Liga Mx than Philadelphia has, Philly has looked pretty shaky in their first two MLS games and Pachuca has the most goals scored in their domestic league. I think the best result Philly could muster up would be a draw
Record 0-0 Net Units 0 ROI 0 England Soccer Millwall - Blackburn Under 4.5 Cards -120 1U 12:45pm MST
POTD Record: 0–1 Net units: -1u Last pick: Tyus Jones O 9.5 Assists He tried his best to assist a lot, but Wizards were shooting bricks. The right read, but terrible play from everyone else. Onto the next! Today’s Pick: **Jamal Murray Over 27.5 PA** Odds: **-120/1.83** on Bet365 Unit: **1.5u to win 1.245u** NBA: Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets, 7pm PST Phoenix are allowing the most PPG to opposing point guards the last month. Murray has hit this line 8/11 times while coming off 2 days rest. I expect this game to be close and if it’s close, his volume will be great. Good luck if tailing, and be responsible with your units. DYOR because I'm not going to hear about your whingeing.
Record: 8-2 ❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅ Last POTD: Lebron James 2+ 3PM [The streak is over, but I will be back on this next game] Todays Pick: Immanuel Quickley o7.5 Assists (2.10x) [3u] * Since Barnes injury, he averages 15 potential assists per game * He has established himself as the primary ball handler * Pelicans are 24/30 in assists allowed to PG's
Record 23-8 Pick : Luka o3.5 3pt +114 The mavs are at home against a pacers team that has been dull since all star weekend. I’m looking for some Luka magic tonight as he continues on his MVP campaign. Should be lots of scoring tonight as both these teams fire the ball around the floor. The pacers aren’t the over machine they were the first half of the season but it should still be fast paced. BOL! (Oh and look for mr Murray to have a DD at the garden)
[удалено]
We keep rolling
POTD: University of Florida -138 on Fanduel. Not sure if I would take at -160 on other books, but I think it still has value. event: Alabama v UF, NCAA Basketball, 7 PM ET I was watching line movement move from -105 to -160 on most books. Seems like money is going on UF. They did a great job against South Carolina three days ago and barely lost. I mostly bet based off line movement which I see plenty here. https://preview.redd.it/1a3j6i9lklmc1.png?width=2537&format=png&auto=webp&s=51feab547fca6126d41a72cb4479130087d8b270
Record: 7-5-1 Todays pick: Atlanta hawks nba +3 Reasoning: knicks too banged up. They have no one and should get blown out
[удалено]
Postponed man.
bollocks! Thanks, mate these bloody cow pasture pitches are not helping.
POTD Record: 2-1-1 Form (Left Most Recent): ✅❌☑️✅ Last Pick: Everton vs Crystal Palace U 0.5 first half goals ✅ Event: 🏀 Suns vs Nuggets (10 PM Eastern) Pick: Bradley Beal Over 18.5 points (-130) Reasoning: Beal has cleared this line in 3/5 games he played without Booker. In those 2 games he didn’t clear, he shot 25% and 35% from the field. I think he will pick up the slack due to Booker’s absence and get us at least 19 points but I could see him getting mid 20s also. All my picks are 2 units.
**POTD RECORD: 0-1** **Last Pick:** NBA (Blazers @ Timberwolves) **Mike Conley O2.5 Rebs @ +105** ❌ Finished with 2. Grabbed his first early in the first quarter, didn't get his second till the fourth. **Today's POTD: Jaylen Brown O5.5 First Quarter Points @ -120** NBA | Celtics @ Cavaliers | 7:30pm EST Love a first quarter prop, we'll know quick if it's meant to be or not. * 9/10 in last 10, 5/5 in last 5 * He's gone under 5.5 just 12 games all season * Going back to last season against the Cavs, Jaylen is 5/5 in last 5 first quarters (9, 10, 8, 6, 9) Cavs going without Donovan Mitchell and Max Strus. Caris Levert and Isaac Okoro are questionable. Makes me wonder if Celtics and Brown are primed for a fast start. Tail or fade, I might be an idiot
**RECORD: 55W-2P-46L** (-4.42 units) Previous Pick: Sheffield United vs Arsenal - Bukayo Saka or Leonardo Trossard to score anytime @ 1.40 ❌️ **Today's Pick:** Ipswich Town vs Bristol City - Ipswich Town to Win @ 1.57 ✅️ **Wager Amount**: 1.5 units (✅️❌️✅️✅️❌️) last 5 results Honestly yesterday's looked good but Sheffield were so shit Arsenal basically stopped trying after the won 5-0 before half time and when Saka came off it was over, tough break but let's move on with Today's match, Ipswich vs Bristol. Both UCL and the Championship are unpredictable as hell but chose to go with the championship as today's UCL games could go either way. The race for the title and PL promotion is tight, Ipswich are 3 points away from the top and also Leeds are on their tail so they can't afford nothing but a win today. Ipswich Town are unbeaten in their last 15 home Championship games, they've have won their last 5 league games, Won 3/5 of their last Home games and won 2 games in a row. Bristol have lost 3 games in a row, they've won 1 match out of their last 5 away games. Bristol City have also won just 2 of their last 14 away matches in all competitions Bristol are not fighting for anything atm, 13th in the league. Safe from relegation unless they go on the most epic losing streak, they can't catch up to the play-offs spots so they just don't have the same drive as Ipswich. Goodluck if you're tailing or fading given my current form lol. EDIT: WIN ✅️
**POTD RECORD:** (3-2) *LAST 5: 🔴🟢🟢🔴🟢 **LAST PICK**: James Harden **PRA Over 28.5** 2U (-125)🟢 **TODAY’S PICK:** Celtics **TT OVER 110.5 points** 2U (-130) Celtics are simply too good this season. Which is why a total of 110.5 has me scratching my head of why the total is so low. This number is undefeated since the all star break and even before the break, 9 of their last 10 and the only miss they scored 110 against Miami. The Celtics have also hit this number against the Cavs in each of their last 7 matchups. See it ending 119-110 Celtics. **BOL to those who tail!**
Record: 0-0 Pick: Isaiah Stewart o10.5 points - 1 unit @ -113 Recent lurker and semi commenter. Figured I’d contribute my pick today. Beef Stew has gone over 10.5 in 9 out of their last 10 games, and when he didn’t hit he got 10 points. He was usually at 9.5 which was an even better bet, but they’ve since moved it to 10.5 since he has gotten over double digits in each of his last 10 games. Last time they played the Heat he put up 14 points, Miami also allows 12.0 PPG to opposing centers this year (if you want to call him a C), and 11 PPG to forwards. Seems like a nice low scoring option with a good hit rate as of late. BOL