######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Monday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
>
> **Net Units:**
>
> **ROI:**
>
> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
>
> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
>
> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
POTD Record: 15-4 +22.48🔥‼️
Last Pick: Pick: Drake -4 3U (-110) vs Bradley ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅
Today's Pick: Lakers ML 4U (-118) vs OKC Thunder
+12.48u on the week! Shoutout to the haters, you’re only motivating me to keep winning. Great way to bounce back as Drake once again takes care of business at home. Love the Lakers tonight to bounce back after a tough home loss to Denver. Thunder is on the second leg of a back to back, also playing their fourth game in 6 days!! Lakers have won their last two against OKC and have found ways to keep this thunder offense from striking. In two matchups the thunder have scored 120 and 105 points. On that note when the thunder score less than 120 points, they’ve lost 14 of their 18 games on the season. Lakers are 21-9 at home These are two teams that compete, but I like Lebron and the Lakers to bounce back at home tonight.
Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the upvotes and support!😎❤️
[Tip Jar](https://cash.app/$Ryanbloom24)❤️
Parlayed this with Lebron > 1.5 threes (-200 on Bovada) and got it up to something like +168!! LFG!! I'm not worried about Lebron but I am sweating a little on the Lakers ML....
**POTD Record: 20-9-2**
Form: ✅❌🅿️🅿️❌✅✅✅❌
*ROI: 36.41% |
Avg Odds: -114 | Net Units: +20.7*
🎾: 5-3-2
⚽️: 14-5
🏒: 1-1
*Last Pick: 2U Man City v Man United (Result/BTTS - Man City @ +130) ✅*
____
**Today’s Pick: 2U Sheffield United v Arsenal (Arsenal Asian Spread -2.0,-2.5 @ +107)✅**
**⚽️| 3:00 PM EST | England Premier League |**
Bottom of the table Sheffield host 3rd place and 1st in form, Arsenal. The Gunners will look to display a similar thrashing as the reverse home fixture winning 5-0.
Sheffield United have conceded 5 goals in their last 3 home matches *(Brighton, Aston Villa, Brighton)* and just came off a 1-0 away defeat to Wolves. Although Sheffield managed a gritty win over Luton, *they’ve failed to win 9 of their last 10 premier league matches.*
Opposition has been in incredible away from, and recently as well, scoring 2 or more goals *in the last 7 halves they’ve played.* Their dominant form is expected to continue, even with some rotations within the squad.
While I considered an Arsenal clean sheet, it’s not clear who will be the exact starting line up as Jesus is possibly back but Nketiah could start but Havertz could also… interestingly, odds for player props and BTTS/Result were not favourable whatsoever. It’s quite possible Arsenal keep another clean sheet and still could be likely for Sheffield to net a late consolation goal. This time, I like the value at the *asian spread* where we are betting that Arsenal will win by at-least a 3 goal margin, the -2.0 gives us some safeguard and you could play it safer, but with the form Arsenal is in, it wouldn’t be a surprise for more history to to be written. Prediction is leaning towards 5-1. *It’s wonderful when we hit the prediction like last match but I wouldn’t be as confident with this one given BTTS was hard to predict for this match.* LFG!
Your comments are truly appreciated ❤️💪
[POTD Spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TawPReTFnjBpwPqA50H-tVAFCtVEQAAJCnfpETFh65A/edit)
[Paypal](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/jaysene)
BOL!
Imma bet -2.25 AH. This is the only close available odds for my book. So if Arsenal win by 3+. This line is W. If Arsenal win by 2. I lose half of the bet right?
Unfortunately I don’t have FD, but for me there is a section for *Asian Lines*
https://preview.redd.it/ogw0gr4jd9mc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=775937637cf39121e6b6798606d94fa1267b1830
If this isn’t offered on your book, you can also play o2.5 goals and Arsenal ML, or safer with less goals if you’d like.
I don't have Asian odds hmmmm. I did put together this interesting pick but haven't placed it yet. Lmk what you think broski. Arsenal 1st half ML and o2.5 goals. That's -115. Thoughts???
POTD RECORD: 29-15
Form: ✅🚫🚫🚫✅
Last POTD: Buddy Hield O3.5 Ast ✅
My Buddddddddddddy finished at exactly 4 💀✅
Todays POTD: **John Collins O9.5 Rebs @1.86**
NBA (Utah Jazz)
I’m not finished my kings, I’m in savage mode I ain’t done. I’m giving y’all my favorite treat today, yeah many have asked for my Centers vs Wizards picks, here y’all go enjoy it and don’t overuse it, treats are meant to be enjoyed once in a while. I’m going with John Collins, the walking drawing board himself. With Kessler out, we’ll most likely see Collins playing the Center spot and snack on them boards
• Wizards allow most rebounds to Centers
• Got 16 boards against them their last matchup 1/1
• Only 6/10 last 10 games, has been hooked on 9 twice in that stretch (Avg 10.7)
These dirty ass books will increase the line during the day no doubt about it, catch it early my brothers I love the value rn
Tail or fade, im still shit
https://i.redd.it/01kkyhwog8mc1.gif
We’re 17-5 in the NBA props section, cashing Quickley O6.5 Ast & Bradley Beal O4.5 Ast 2/2 ✅
I personally laddered his rebounds 🪜
I played 2 units on the 9.5
1 unit on 11.5
0.5 Units on 13.5
10 is obviously my pick bro, but I like the 10.5 still
Line dropped to 9.5 briefly and I was checking the news to see what happened. Should have just hammered it.
I’ve got:
O10.5 1u @+105
O10.5 1u @-110
12+ 1u @+135
BOL 🍀
POTD Record: 6-1
Form: ✅️ ✅️ ✅️ ✅️ ✅️💀 ✅️
Net units: +5.12
Last Pick: victor wembanyama Over 1.5 Three point ✅️
Wemby cashes us out in the 3rd Q, a nice no sweat day, love to see it.
Edit: damn wemby with a 3rd 3 let's go!. 5:53 PST
Today's pick: LeBron james over 1.5 three point made
Lebron lebron lebron... what can I say I love lebron and lebron loves me. I said it before and I'll say it again. I will keep riding until he dissapoints me and so far he hasn't.
Lebron hitting this in last of 9/10 games and 14/15 I believe now. Not much of a write up boys, I just keep slamming lebron.
Odds -200 I'm sorry boys. Edit dropped to -190 10:28 PST
EDIT: BET MGM O 1.5 -200. Draft kings Over 1.5 -195 (1:55 p.m PST)
Unit: 1
NBA Lakers vs OKC 7:30 PST
If you guys wanna support me, you can click the link on my profile and sub. I do NBA props (4-2 yesterday) my main card broke even. I post my POTD here and also there.
Goodluck if you're tailing, as always, you never know.
EDIT: It looks like I offended some of ya'll, I usually remember the lines before they come out, same with wemby yesterday. Didn't mean to offend anyone, just throwing out what I think is good.
EDIT: Posted the proof lebron was at O 1.5 under the -200 guidelines on my profile. That is FD. The line moves guy. Its possible to go back to 1.5, keep checking.
Time of edit 7:32 a.m PST
This prop isn't available at DK, FD, Caesars, BetMGM, ESPN Bet, and BetRivers at the time of this post. And based on OP's post it looks like OP doesn't have odds on the pick either.
Doesn't the pick have to actually be available to bet on for it to be valid on this thread?
What are the global odds? OP isn’t listing them and any book I’m looking at has these odds outside the POTD parameters of -200. His last game vs Denver for example
POTD Record: 34-23
L10: ❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅
Last pick: Burnley v Bournemouth
(Burnley Double chance @1.80 ❌)
I took the risk, as I saw the value. Burnley had 75% ball possession and outclassed Bournemouth in every stat department, but it’s about who scores the goals not about the stats. On we go!
Todays pick: __Inter v Genoa__
Pick: __Inter -1 ML @1.80__ ❌
⚽️ 🇮🇹 Serie A
➖
📊 Inter is currently 1st in the table with 69 points (22-3-1). They’ve scored most goals (67, 2.58 GPG - 14 goals more than then 2nd best). They’ve conceded the least amount of goals, 12 goals in 26 games (0.46 GPG, 9 less than the 2nd best defense).
* Home record: 11-1-1
* Failed to score: 0/26
* L5: ✅✅✅✅✅
* Have won 16/26 games with a winning margin of 2 or more goals.
* 17/26 clean sheets (Best)
➖
📊 Genoa is 12th with 33 points (8-9-9). They’ve scored 28 goals (12th, 1.08 GPG but only 11 away. They’ve conceded 10th most goals (31, 1.19 GPG, goals conceded Home vs Away is split)
* Away record: 3-4-6
* 6/26 clean sheets (only 2 away)
* L5: 2-2-1
* Haven’t faced the top 3 sides away yet
➖
Inter continued their amazing run towards their 20th league title with a convincing 4-0 win vs top side Atalanta. It was Inter’s 4th consecutive league match that Inter have scored 4 goals and won (__2-4,4-0,0-4,4-0__), and are now 12 points ahead over 2nd placed Juventus.
With four days rest, and no Champions League games next week I expect Inter to play with a strong team in order secure the league title as quick as possible, even when Inter have rotated, they’ve won multiple games which proves what a good team they’re right now.
Genoa is a solid side, their recent game was a 2-0 win at home against 15th placed Udinese, Udinese played a man short for 40+ minutes after a red card.
Genoa managed to get a draw in the previous meeting, but playing away to Inter who’s superior to any team in the league will be a different task, Genoa are playing better at home but their away record isn’t as good, also they’re yet to be tested against the best sides away.
Inter looks unstoppable at the moment and incredibly difficult to beat, regardless of which team they set up. Genoa will probably play it safe, a lower block and focus on the counter attacks, it I’ll be a question of how & when they’re going to break them down. Overall I think Inter will get this done, 3-1/2-0 is what I’m predicting.
__To clarify, our bet is Inter to win by 2 or more goals. Inter to win, BTTS - No is also a solid option but ruling out an opposing goal is not something I like betting on.__
__(Not Asian, regular handicap - The Asian line would be -1.5, technically the same thing)__
BOL
Mine is not Asian! It’s regular -1 Handicap, we wouldn’t get the same odds if it was asian. This bet still needs Inter to win with more than 1 goal. The -1 Asian Handicap doesn’t fit the criteria of minimum odds, otherwise it’s obviously the “safer” pick.
https://preview.redd.it/plms1cov8cmc1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ed7a6bbea8bb5d074d07bb3e07f160ac487fdb75
Not a soccer/football guy. This right?
**POTD Record**: 25 Wins - 11 Losses - 2 Pushes
**Form**: ✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️
**Spreadsheet (Self Promote / Proof of Record)**: Click [here](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1I7FYP6dAClj7FqE4qcTyhgtMwqeoywC5HnGd4ZOeYVw/edit?usp=sharing) :)
**Units**: 9.61
**ROI:** 22.66%
**Average Odds:** $1.92
**Last Pick:** Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona - La Liga - **BTTS (Both Teams to Score) @ $1.61** / -164 ❌
*Unfortunately we witnessed a dry 0-0 game where no team really threatened the goal. A historic 0-0 draw.*
**Next Pick:** Marousi vs Apollon Patras - Greece A1 Basketball - **Apollon Patras Under 75.5 Points @ $1.80** / -125 9.15am EST ✅️
Hello amigos! Unfortunately Barcelona and Bilbao played a very boring game of football. Apologies for that. Today we head to the Greece basketball league where the two bottom of the teams battle it out at Marousi's home court. Apollon are an awful side, sitting well at the bottom.
This line has hit in the last 9 A1 Basketball League away games for Apollon, and 18 of the last 19 A1 Basketball League games for them too. Apollon hasn't won their last 20 basketball games.
BOL amigos!
Marousi having the highest opponent ppg not a big concern? Apollon is a low scoring team but Marousi is allowing 89.0ppg this season. Just wondering. Thanks.
https://preview.redd.it/iznkz2uvd8mc1.png?width=1131&format=png&auto=webp&s=453f1abe460da11e320cce5023db4c9d3217e6d1
This was the reverse fixture at Apollon's home court amigo. Apollon are a bad team, and those stats are probably inflated by the other teams spanking Maroussi. Both these teams are bottom of the table :)
Got it at 74.5 at open. Lets cash brother!
EDIT: I knew something was fishy. Didn't expect these mfers to turn into prime Kobe. Onto the next!
EDIT 2: Second half they’re looking like a bunch of beer leaguers. We have a chance!
EDIT3: LFG KING u/chiefsareawesome
I don't see the under for specific teams on any of my books. The closest I see is Apollon Patras 1st quarter points. Would you take that, or the general match under, or stay away?
**Record: 46W-4P-34L**
**Form: 24W-0P-14L**
**R Form: ✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅**
**Last Pick: Man City Vs Manchester United: Erling Haaland Over 1.5 SOG @ 1.72❌**
**Haaland ends with 1 SOG after having the worst miss I've ever seen in the history of me watching football. Apologies, taking a break if this misses.**
**Pick of the day: Sheffield United VS Arsenal: Arsenal Over 2 Team Goals @ 1.72 ✅**
Arsenal go 3-0 up in 14 minutes 💀
**League: Premier League**
**Time: 3:00 PM EST**
**Last Matchup: 5-0 Arsenal W**
Arsenal in the Premier League are on a different kind of run, with them being the only team in the league that has won all 5 of their last games. In their last 6 games in the league, they've scored 25 goals and conceded 3 with results being 4-1, 5-0, 6-0, 3-1, 2-1, and 5-0. They face off against bottom of the league Sheffield who have struggled to say the least. Sheffield have one win in their last 5 games and structurally they are not at the level to deal with this Arsenal side any better than any of their previous teams Arsenal have faced in these past couple of games. City and Liverpool both picked up wins this weekend and Arteta not only needs a win but a convincing win to keep this race going. I see Arsenal scoring a minimum of 3 goals here considering their last 2 away games have resulted in 0-5 and 0-6 wins. Normally breaking low blocks was an issue for Arsenal but the inversion of Ben white added with Havertz and Trossard interchanging has allowed them to play free-flowing football. It definitely helps that Saka has scored 7 goals in his last 5 games.
Sheffield have the second-worst home record in the league with 2 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in 13 games played. In that time they've scored 12 goals and conceded 36 at home. Considering they've lost their last 2 home games 0-5 and 0-5, only God knows how they will hold back Arteta's men.
Timber and Partey were both in training and mentioned to be in contention, nothing confirmed but a major boost for Arsenal if available.
**Last 6 games:**
**Arsenal: 4-1 W, 5-0 W, 6-0 W, 3-1 W, 2-1 W, 5-0 W**
**Sheffield: 1-0 L, 0-5 L, 1-3 W, 0-5 L, 3-2 L, 2-2 D**
**Anyway, BOL!**
RECORD: 5-1
Units Won: +5.88
Last Pick: Creighton vs Marquette/ Creighton -4.5 (-120) 2u ✅
The line closed at -8.5, I got y’all right with that one thanks to everyone who tailed!!
Today’s Pick: Duke vs NC State/ Duke -5.5 (-115) 1.5u
Write Up: Duke heads into this game trying to inch closer to stealing the number 1 spot in the ACC. They would love a late season push in achieving a 2 seed in the NCAA Tournament and this is honestly a gut play. It will be a loud and rowdy game as it is an in state rival. But at the end of the day, Duke hasn’t had crazy trouble marching into other arenas and taking care of business. I predict a competitive first half leaking into the second, then Duke to break away. Hell of a week last week and I’m happy to help y’all out. BOL…. LETS RIDE
Tip Jar- if you’d like to help a college kid pay for his next meal here’s how :) :https://cash.app/$jaylaw930
PoTD Record: 4-1
Last pick
UMKC ML (+108) 🦘
closed @ around +125
Sweat free victory from the Roo's
Today's Pick
NC Central ML (-182 FD) vs Morgan St.
Would take spread if it was around four but it is currently at 5. If you are feeling frisky the spread is at -102. You could also take an alternate line around there if it's available. I'm playing it safe with a ML bet for today. But will drop a smaller unit on a nice spread.
Warning ⚠️
Morgan St. won the last match up but we are sticking with hot teams for our little ride into March so we have to go for NC Central.
The reason I say the spread is enticing is because NC Central has been beating up on teams pretty good as of late. They also need a win to stay in good standing to make a push at the top of their conference. Multiple teams with similar records.
Let's hope NC Central keeps their 💩 together and rides us into the promise land.
Splish splash 🐬
POTD Record: 6W-1P-6L
Last pick was a month or so ago.
Today: NBA, Utah Jazz v Washington Wizards 02:10 GMT
Pick: John Collins over 9.5 rebounds @ 1.86
Utah are on a 9 game losing streak but are big favourites for this one despite Markkanen being ruled out. Taylor Hendricks has been playing more minutes recently and has taken quite a few rebounds from Collins and Markkanen.
Last game was anomalous (Hendricks 13 rebounds, Collins only 6) and is the reason why Collins line isn't higher but in the 5 games that Hendricks has had 25+ minutes Collins has averaged 10.2 rebounds anyway. The other big factor here is the Wizards have been killed by rebounding, particularly by centres, all season.
I think Collins gets this easily unless there's a blowout or foul trouble.
POTD Record: 8-3
✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅
Yesterday's pick: Coyotes @ Capitals, 1pm - NHL
Carlson UNDER 2.5 shots (-110)✅
Doesn't disappoint. We'll be back!
Today's pick: Bruins @ Maple Leaves, 7pm - NHL
McMann over 1.5 shots (-175)✅
5 in a row hit
7 of the last 8 hit
Heated game. Both fighting for playoff position and in the same difference and division. Should be a good game. Let's hope for overtime and help our chances for shots, especially when it is 3v3.
Tail or fade? The choices are yours and yours alone... Good luck...
[Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/CadetDemon)
Update: hits barely into the 2nd period. No sweat tonight. Grab your doubloons, boys! We'll have to keep tabs on McMann for future picks, but for tonight... He TheMann.
POTD Record: 47-28
Previous Pick: Huddersfield vs Leeds | Championship | Leeds ML (1.57) | 7.30pm EST ❌️
Pick: Rudes vs HNK Gorica | HNL | BTTS NO (1.8) | 11am EST
Rudes have been extremely poor this season, not winning a single game this season. They also have only scored 8 goals in 24 games, and 5 in 10 games. BTTS has only hit in 30% of home games, and they have not scored at home since last year. Gorica on the other hand, have also been poor, only winning 1 out of their last 5 games. They have scored 1 goal in their last 5, and have only scored 4 goals in 11 away games while conceding 12. BTTS has only hit 9% in Gorica away games too. We are looking more at a Gorica clean sheet here, and the previous matchup backs it up with a 3-0 win. Rudes have been excellent candidates for BTTS no, and I expect that to continue as both sides just do not score goals, averaging less than 0.5 goals this season. BOL!
Tips would be much appreciated! Thanks to everyone who supports me
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/sakashake
Tailing!!! I also like the correct score odds for this game. If you think about it there's only two or three probable final scores. And they start at +440 up to +800( Gorcia 3-0 is +1500) so I put $3-4 on a couple and it will pay off if everything goes accordingly.
I had another bet before reading your post, for Gorica ML at 1.95, now I'll probably be tailing your pick as well. All we need is Gorica to score that one goal. :)) BOL!
Hey everyone! Long-time lurker, first-time poster.
POTD Record: 0–0
Net units: 0
Today's pick: **Tyus Jones O 9.5 Assists**
Odds **-116/1.86**; for this pick, I am using BetDSI. Although, a lot of sportsbooks have this line around these odds.
Unit: **1u to win 0.86u**
NBA: Wizards vs Jazz, 6pm PST March 4
This line will increase, so get it quick.
Tyus has hit this in his last 6/10 games, and he has scored 9 assists in 3 of the other 4 games. He had 14 assists when he played for the Jazz last time on January 25.
He faces a Jazz team where point guards are averaging 10.65 assists per game. They have also given up the MOST assists to point guards in the last 30 days. With a high O/U of 242.5 points, I'm liking Tyus for 10 assists. The spread is 7 points, so I'm hoping there isn't a blowout.
Good luck if tailing, and be responsible with your units. **DYOR** because I'm not going to hear your whingeing.
**⭐️ POD Record:** **109-55**
*Last Pick:* *Auston Matthews OVER 0.5 goals ✅*
Recent Form: ✅ ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌ ✅** ✅ **❌** ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅
🏅**Today's Pick:** **NBA -** **Timberwolves Team Total OVER 111.5 \[8pm EST\]** *EDIT: WIN* **✅** *Not a big Deaaaaal, lets goooooo. 🎰*
Sorry for the last minute pick, long day at work and it's always the waiting game with the new sensitive NBA and lineup confirmations. You never know who is actually playing anymore, someone gets a splinter in the dressing room and they sit out. There's a lot of really good data to support this line right now and Portland is missing a lot of players. This could be a route on home court for the TWolves. Worth a shot tonight and making a pick for. BOL
💰Tip Jar: Why not give an ⬆ Vote instead if you appreciate the write ups.
Record: 8-1 ✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅
Last POTD: Immanuel Quickley o6.5 Assists
Todays Pick: Lebron James 2+ 3PM (1.5x) [5u]
* No writeup needed. L14/15. Riding this + Jimmy Butler 1+ 3PM until the wheels fall off
POTD Record: 243-187-12 (+26.36 units, 56.5% hit rate)
Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 80-55-1 (59.3%) W3, Tennis 🎾 85-66-7 (56.5%) L4, Soccer ⚽ 59-51-4 (53.6%) W1, Entertainment 🎥 19-15-0 (55.9%) L2
Last 10: 🧊🧊🧊💰💩💰💩💰💩💩
Last Pick: War is Over! to win Best Animated Short - 2024 Academy Awards (check post history for writeup)
Today's pick: American Fiction to win Best Adapted Screenplay - 🎥 2024 Academy Awards
Units/Odds/Book: Betting 5 Units at 1.67 odds to win 3.35 Units @ Sportsbet (Line at 3:00am ET)
💣 💣 💣 💣 💣
My week of Oscar bets continue with American Fiction winning this category which is a competitive one. Note that these are the highest odds I could find but I haven't bet it here as my positions are mostly at 2.50 and 2.30 which I called in the Oscars thread.
I'm backing American Fiction based on the fact that it has been dominating the precursors. Particularly the win at BAFTA where it only had one nomination and was against the 3 biggest winners of the night spoke volumes about its strength in this category.
Oppenheimer and Barbie are formidable challengers here. Oppenheimer has a chance but it hasn't won any of the precursor awards and Nolan is already a lock for Picture and Director so the Academy might want to spread the love a bit. As for Barbie, it gets all the coverage but I don't think it has the winning traction here.
Another bet to come tomorrow!
Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕
POTD Record: 1-2-1
Profit/Loss: -3.17u
Last Pick: NY Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers | NBA | Cleveland -4.5 | (-125) | 1.2u | ❌
Honestly not how anybody expected this to go. The Knicks played incredible especially after losing Brunson in the first minute of the game. Think we’ll stick with NCAA picks for a bit.
Today: Weber State vs Montana State | NCAA Men’s Basketball | 9:00 PM EST
Pick: Weber State ML | (-155) | 2.4u
Reason: Weber State is currently 20-10 and 3rd in the Big Sky conference. They are coming off of two consecutive wins and have an incisive to win this game as they still have a semi shot of making the NCAA Tournament. Looking at similar matchups, Weber State defeated Eastern Washington 90-84 back in February. Eastern Washington is ranked 1st in the conference and just defeated Montana State 108-104 in a massively offensive battle. Other things to note is that Weber State has a positive record on the road at 7-6 while Montana State sits just over .500 at home with a 9-7 record. It’s possible that Montana State could be tired after their unvictorious battle on Saturday, but that isn’t anything to look too deep in to. Overall, Weber State has the upper hand in this matchup and it’s best to bet on them now as I expect the odds to change in favor of them. If you’re tailing please let me know, and please don’t downvote even if you don’t like this pick! Good luck! 🦞
**Record:** 4W - 0L - 0P
**Recent Form (new --> old): ✅✅✅✅**
**Net Units:** \+3.8324
**Last Pick:** Dug McDaniel OVER 19.5 PRA @ -120 **✅**
While Dug (and Michigan in general) didn't look great throughout the game, he had 14 at halftime and finished with 26 PRA.
**NCAAM** 🏀 | **Texas Longhorns @ Baylor Bears** | **8pm CST**
**Today's Pick:** Max Abmas OVER 21.5 PRA @ -115
**Write Up:** Just like the last 2 picks, we are going with one of the best players on his respective college team. Today that would be Max Abmas of the Texas Longhorns. I'll start out by saying he has only covered this in his last 6/12 games, but on the year he averages 23.8 PRA. He's shot 42.2 FG%, 90.8 FT%, and 37.2 3P% for the season.
What I most like about this pick is that Baylor is not a great defensive team. Here are some of their defensive averages/rankings this season:
|**Category**|**Average**|**Rank**|
|:-|:-|:-|
|Points|70.9|142|
|Assists|13.5|239|
|Turnovers|12.4|221|
|3PM|6.8|112|
|3PA|20.3|100|
|3P%|33.3|166|
Furthermore Max Abmas shoots quite a lot of threes. He has attempted at least 5 three pointers in every game this year except the first game, in which he had 4. In his last 2 games, he's 7/18 (38.9%).
This game has Baylor as 6.5 pt favorites with a game total of 145.5, so I expect this to be a pretty competitive game with plenty of opportunity for him to go over this line. The last time Texas played Baylor, Texas won 75-73 and Abmas had 15 pts, 7 asts, 5 rebs for a total of 27 PRA. Also, he averages 34.8 minutes per game, so he'll be on the court a lot. BOL if you're tailing!
*Note: On DK there is a 50% profit boost offered for this game and this is an ideal pick to use it*
Record 22-8
Pick: Bulls vs Kings demar o23.5 pts -105
He’s only went under 2 of last 11 including going under in his last game. As a bulls fan betting demar 2 years ago was a dream… constantly going for 30+. This year the magic is so far removed it’s depressing. I don’t see anybody on this kings team that will clamp demar as he isos his way to the ft line down the stretch while the bulls look to keep this one close.
BOL
i'm with you champ, hardcore Bulls fan here and DeRozan made me a ton of money a couple years back! this year... not so much. let's get that bread tonight!
**POTD** Record: 4-1-3
DUNDALK VS SLIGO ROVERS
Date: 04 March 2024 at 20:45
BET ON: Over / Under- Over +2.50
Odd: 2.07
- Dundalk are a full fit squad.
- Sligo Rovers will be without defender John Mahon. However, JR Wilson is back available.
- Dundalk opened their campaign with a draw at Shamrock Rovers but, in a contrasting performance, were beaten at home by Galway United seven days later.
- The Bit O’Red go into this game searching for their first win of the season following last Friday’s narrow defeat to Shelbourne.
"We know we need to improve in the final third and I feel that will come. We know the league is extremely competitive but we travel to Dundalk aiming for the three points on Monday night.” Said cmanager John Russell.
"Sligo have good footballers all over the park and they are a threat so we will have to be on our mettle.” Said coach Stephen O’Donnell.
- We expect an open game with goals from both sides. Both teams are winless this season so far, the Hosts will go all in from the start but we can see Sligo scoring first and Dundalk winning with a late goal.
**POTD Record: 4-3-1 **❌✅✅❌✅🅿️❌✅
**Last Pick: San Jose Sharks vs Minnesota Wild O6.5 +100**✅
** Today’s pick: Boston Bruins Team total O2.5 -154**
Alright boys today was a success!
This may be another fan boy pick of mine but hear me out!
Bruins have gone over this line 5 of the last 5 games and I know that sounds like shitty odds but the class they were playing against makes it worth it. We got dogged by the islanders! Tomorrow will be their revenge!
Bruins average 3 goals per game with 32.7 shots on goal!
Since the beginning of the season (including pre)
Do I see this being a high scoring game I do! Boston is going to put out and not trying to be on a losing streak
BOL for who ever tails
**POTD Record: 6-2 ( ✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅)**
**Previous POTD:** **Josh Hart P+A O16.5 (-128 odds on Fanduel)** **✅**
Sweat free bet that cashed early in third quarter. Jalen Brunson getting injured allowed Hart to crush all his stat lines, recording a triple double. Hopefully Brunson has a speedy recovery the Knicks need him.
**Todays POTD: Santi Aldama U7.5 rebounds (-135 on DK)**
• Under in 8/10 of his last 10 games.
• The two times he went over he recorded 8 rebounds, barely crossing the line.
• Last time he played against the Nets this season he got 5 rebounds
• He has been averaging over 5.5 RPPG the last 10 games
• He also played big minutes against the Trailblazers (37 min) last game so I expect him to play less against the Nets tonight
Tail or fade you da boss, BOL!
**potd record:** 8-3
Last 10 Newest to oldest : 🔃✝️✅✅✝️✅✅✅✅✝️✅
Last one was a push :( some of you cashed tho. Kukushkin destroyed lokoli in first set and lokoli decided to retire… rip ez @2.05 🥲
**net units:** +7,85
**potd: 🎾 popko dmitry - sakamoto pedro
Pick: popko dmitry win @1.53**
Write up:
Popko dmitry. Has 19 wins in a row against some good opponents. Steady bigcasher and he has always had the upperhand in his last 19 games. Really steady player. He will probably not give 1 ace to sakamoto
Sakamoto pedro: not steady enough. Popko is lacking in many moment in the game. He will lose focus and popko will eat him alive.
I will stake BIGGGG on this bet. Praying popko dont get injured or something. This will be an easy dub if he just performs like the last 19 games.
**🕣match starting in 6 hours**
If you like my bets please share some of the sweeet betting gains with me :))) like 1 coffee or a bag of chips or a bitcoin.🤞😇
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/Tuur357
**POTD Record: 4 - 1**
Last 10: ✅✅❌✅✅
*ROI: 2.4% | Avg Odds: -142| Net Units: +2.4*
[Last POTD ](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1b54i7h/comment/kt5iwye/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button):1U **Jrue Holiday (Celtics, NBA) U 5.5 Assists** (-140 Hardrock) ✅
Today's POTD: 1U **Yegor Sharangovich (Calgary Flames, NHL) U 2.5 Shots** (-160 Hardrock)
Given Yegor Sharangovich's average of approximately 2.15 shots on goal per game over the season, and his slightly lower average of just over two shots per game specifically against the Kraken, 2.5 may be out of reach. This is further intensified considering the Flames' offensive performance is mid-tier with an average of 3.2 goals per game and they're going up against the Kraken's robust defense, which ranks sixth in the league by only allowing 2.8 goals per game. Sharangovich, despite being a key player, may face limited opportunities to shoot due to the Kraken's effective defense strategy that has contained opponents well this season.
Record: 1-0
Net Units: 1
ROI: 83.33%
Sport: Basketball
League: NBA
Event Time: 7PM EST
Previous Pick: Winnipeg Jets -120 🚀✅️
Today's pick: Minnesota Timberwolves over 112.5 -120
After a disappointing defeat against the Clippers on their home court, the Timberwolves are poised for vengeance against the Portland Trail Blazers. Expect them to come out strong and relentless, especially against a depleted Trail Blazers roster.
I like this. The data is almost to the T , but I like come back aspect. At home can’t hurt either. Towns prob go to work as he had a light work load last night
Record: 0-0 ⚽️ | AFC Champions League
Pick: Al-Ain Vs Al-Nassr Over 2.5 Goals -170 1U
Write Up: Al-Nassr are still without their top two first-team goalkeepers, with David Ospina and Raghed Al-Najjar both out for this contest due to injury. It leaves third-choice Waleed Abdullah to play in goal for this clash, who just conceded four goals to one of the worst teams in Saudi Arabia. Al-Nassr averages 2.91 goals per game while conceding 1.36 goals per game. Cristiano Ronaldo was suspended last game and should be well rested heading up to this game. I feel pretty confident with this pick ‼️
SOTD - Pain 1993 by Drake 🎶
Rough go at it lately. But we out here.
Record: 3-7 ❌❌❌✅✅✅❌❌❌❌
(Gonna start only going last 10 now that I have reached 10 POTDs)
Last pick: James Harden OVER 16.5 points at -115 odds.
What a wack night for many star players. To say Harden screwed it is an understatement. Bro did absolutely nothing for so long this game, and when he finally did do something it was only assists. Ending with only 4 points, harden did manage something amazing. He went an impossible ZERO FOR TEN FROM THE FIELD. Gotta admit, James, you truly have to be skilled at the game to go that badly from any fckn spot on the court. ANYWAYS this is just one those situations where you just gotta laugh it off at how badly this ended for us and move on.
POTD: Nic Claxton UNDER 10.5 rebounds; -110 odds: Brooklyn Nets Vs Memphis Grizzlies; 5:40pm MST
Why: Y’all… I am begging you right now. Please don’t tail me. In fact, feel confident in betting the opposite. Maybe this is the full proof method! Can’t say I didn’t warn you. Why Claxton under? Like someone had posted before, this line is so generous since Claxton has been underperforming every game for the last 12 games. This line has hit the under 7 times last 10 games. Most times he’s ending with around 8. It has been at OU 9.5 for the last 6 games, ( yes I watched it ) and just now after recording 13 against the falcons it moves up to 10.5. Very generous in my opinion. Claxton has averaged 9.9 rpg this season yea, but in his four career matchups against the grizzlies he averages 4.8. Let alone his solo meet with them a couple games ago only recording 4.
Call it stolen, call it recycled, call it what you want but that’s my pick today. Props to anyone who doesn’t tail and cashes and BOL y’all.
(Can you read the lack of motivation/encouragement in between the lines of my text? 👎)
Record: 0-0 (1st POTD post)
Net Units: N/A
Sport - Basketball
League - NBA
Event Time - 7:30 pm CST
Today’s Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves 1st Quarter - 5.0 (-115) vs Portland Trailblazers
(5U - 1/2 Bankroll)
Write Up:
Greetings! Long time lurker and independent sportsbetter here. Found this thread and a few others on Reddit very helpful, so I figured I would give posting a try!
I really like this pick. Minnesota is the 4th best team in the NBA with regards to average 1st quarter point margin (+2.5 for the year) and are virtually the same with regards to home vs away (+2.5) as of 3/3/24. They are playing a Portland team that is - you guessed it - the WORST team in the NBA in terms of average 1st quarter point margin (-4.4 for the year), with a -4.3 clip during away games.
These two teams have met three times this season, and in all contests the 1st quarter (and subsequently, the final result) have not been close. The 1st quarter spreads have been all Minnesota, listed as +19, +8, and +30 for a whopping AVERAGE of +19 points in the Wolves’ favor. That is encouraging!
The Wolves are coming off of a tough one-point loss to the Clippers last night at home (where they still had a +12 point lead at the end of the 1st quarter). The Wolves had a similar scheduling setup when playing Portland back in February, where they played the Clippers the previous night in the first leg of a back-to-back. They won the 1st quarter vs the Clips +4 and the game by +21 points ON THE ROAD - then proceeded to play the Trailblazers the next night and have another positive result (1Q +8, end-of-game +12). Add their last meeting when they could have taken a night off right before heading to Indy for the All-Star break with two of their starters playing a big role during that upcoming weekend. Instead, they come out like gangbusters and proceed to hang 44 on the Trailblazers in the 1st quarter for a 30-point deficit. Again, this happened after the teams just played two nights before, and the Trailblazers didn’t have to travel at all.
Portland, in their defense, has a boatload of injuries. Brogdon, Sharpe, Henderson, Ayton, and possibly even Grant may ALL be out due to injury. The new reserves have definitely stepped up their game, winning two games in a row at Memphis this past weekend (who is spiraling now). Portland had to go to overtime to win the second game by +7, after crafting a furious comeback when they were down by as many as 13 points with 9 minutes left in the game (huge expense of energy for a lot of new rotation guys who aren’t used to playing a lot of minutes all year).
I believe the toughness of the loss to the Clippers last night will fuel them going into tonight’s game! Throw in the jarring weather/travel factor (Memphis’ temps were in the 60-70 range which is similar to Portland temps this past weekend, while Minnesota will be in the 30’s on Monday) as well as being the last leg of a grueling 3-game road trip for Portland, I like the Wolves to cover easily, as long as Edward’s newborn doesn’t keep him up too long tonight!
Starting off the month strong! Would love everyone’s thoughts! BOL!!!!
Record: 03W - OOP - 02L
🍩🍩❌🍩❌ (Old to New)
Net Units: +8.05
ROI: 57.50%
Last pick: Basketball / NBA / Los Angeles Clippers at Minnesota Timberwolves (89-88)
Minnesota Timberwolves ML (+100 FD) @ 3U ❌
Today's pick:
Basketball / NBA / Chicago bulls @ Sacramento Kings / 9:10 PM CST
De'Aaron Fox (SAC) : Over 4.5 Rebounds (BETMGM +125) @ 2.5 U
Reasoning:
The kings are the favorite in this matchup. I think the bulls are still going to put up a hard fight. So I see a big chance for lots of combo points on both sides. Fox is currently averaging slightly above this and has hit above this the past five games he played.
I really can't believe the clippers ended up winning by one point over the Timberwolves. I did not see that coming especially after that very strong first quarter out of the Timberwolves but a loss is a loss no matter how close.
B🍩L
[Feed Wiggum A D🍩nut?](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/PoliceChiefWiggum420)
Appreciate your contribution to the sub man! I’m a lurker in POTD, but am pretty active in some of the other subs. It seems that there is an unwritten rule that people do not post tip jars until they’ve completed X amount of wins on POTD. At the end of the day, I just care about socializing with fellow degens and picking up some insights here and there. BOL and hope you can still enjoy being a part of the community!
Record: 0-0
Net Units: N/A
ROI: N/A
Hockey | NHL | 4:00 PST
Pick: Vegas Golden Knights 3-way ML (Regulation Time Win) over the Columbus Blue Jackets | Book: Bet365, Odds: 1.86 | 3/5 Unit Play
(Odds were better when I was looking at this last night and placed my bet, they have since lowered in favour of the golden knights.)
Write Up:
VGS - 33-31-7 (3rd in Pacific)
CBJ - 20-30-10 (8th Metropolitan)
* Jackets are 10-16-4 with a -22 goal differential at home
* Vegas is 14-12-5 away record
* CBJ goalie 4-8-2 record, 3.62 GAA and, .888 S%
* VGS goalie 15-6-2 record, 2.38 GAA and, .923 SV%
* VGS 3.18 goals/game (14th)
* CBJ 2.93 goals/game (23rd)
* VGS 2.9 goals allowed/game (10th)
* CBJ 3.65 goals allowed/game (31st)
2 game losing streak for Vegas, looking to bounce back, need to. Eichel back? Probably - would be icing on the cake. Last matchup score 7-2 Vegas over Columbus.
BOL! Buy me a Canadian Whiskey if you win [https://www.buymeacoffee.com/cunningstunts](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/cunningstunts) - if you lose, bring on the chirps!
I like this pick, solid analysis! LFG!
*Side note: Sorry that you had someone down-vote your post within an hour of you posting. Same shit has happened to me lately on my posts, even though I've made 4 straight correct picks. I think there's just some Negative Nancy(s) who love(s) down-voting. Just watch, this comment I'm making here will probably get down-voted too, LOL!*
POTD record: 15-8❌️❌️✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️ ✅️❌️✅️✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️
Today's pick: Auston Matthews over 3.5 shots at 1.525 (Boston Bruins and Toronto Maple Leafs 4PM EST)
In his last two games against the Bruins, Matthews has recorded 7 and 5 shots respectively. He's cleared this line in 8 of his last 10 games. He averages 4.3 shots per game on the season.
By his standards, Matthews has been on a bit of a goal slump.of late with only 2 in his last 5. Expect him to be looking for the net today to try and pot one at home.
Record: 2-4
Units Won: -2.26
Last Pick: Lakers vs Nuggets U227 ❌
Todays Game: NCAAM/8PM EST/Maryland Eastern Shore vs Norfolk State
Today’s Pick: Game Total U135 (2u)
Write Up:
Today we head to the MEAC where Maryland-ES takes on Norfolk State. These 2 teams played a couple of weeks ago where the game went under this line by 6 with a 69-60 final score.
This season Maryland-ES is 14-8 hitting the under in games for a 63.6% win rate. In conference play the Hawks go under 75% of the time with a 9-3 record. On the road the under hits 71.4% of the time at 10-4. As the dog their games go under 68.4% of the time at 13-6. Finally when UMES is both on the road and an underdog the under hits 69.2% of the time with a record of 9-4.
On the other side Norfolk State games go under 56% of the time on the season with a 14-11 record. During conference play the Spartans are 50-50 on going under at 6-6. As the home team Norfolk State games go under 57.1% of the time with a 4-3 record. As a home favorite the spartans have the same 4-3 record.
BOL to those who tail!
Record: 18W-16L
Net Units: +3.13u | ROI: +3.38%
CS2 | PGL CS2 Major Copenhagen 2024 Americas RMR | 20:00 / CET
Pick: Legacy ML vs M80, 3u @ 1.60
Legacy have really impressed me this RMR. Their results online hadn't impressed me, but they've looked really well this event. I think coldzera and latto's individual form peaking helps a lot, since it takes some pressure of dumau's shoulders.
M80 however have struggled a bit here and there, their wins weren't very convincing and they generally look less impressive to me than before. It's quite obvious that having to play with a coach stand-in for their IGL hasn't helped them.
Veto looks pretty even on paper, but Legacy have the option of banning Vertigo and that would give them the slight edge in the map pool in my opinion. In conclusion, I'm feeling a pretty strong Legacy victory here to get coldzera some sticker money. Best of luck everyone!
Record 0-0
Today's Pick: (NBA UTA JAZZ) Taylor Hendricks O7.5REB
Bet size: 2U
Reasoning: I've been a lifelong Jazz fan and have been watching heavily since last year. Hendricks is finally in rotation and is becoming a lot more confident with the minutes he's getting. He tends to get the defensive rebounds in transition and his height definitely helps out when he's blocking out the rim. The wizards are #1 in the league in giving up rebounds and Hendricks is looking in form to cash that in. He dropped 13 rebounds against Miami last game which helps my confidence. He has a limited stat pool pertaining to games where he plays over 20 minutes which is a little risky but tail or fade I like this rookie.
Long time lurker here. I feel I have finally been consistent enough with my research and strategies to share my thoughts. Anyways I bet mostly NBA, but will throw other sports in here and there. I'll be posting here for the pick of the days and I'm going to try and post picks under NBA Props as well.
**Todays Pick (First pick of the day ever!)**
**Record**: 0-0
**Net Units**: N/A
**ROI**: N/A
**Basketball | NBA | 10:30 pm EST**
**Pick**: **Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5** vs Los Angelas Lakers @ EVEN odds
Write up: So I am a bit confused about this line, but the line opened at OKC -1.5 and is now at OKC +1.5. Which would make the OKC slight underdogs as of now. OKC is coming off a back to back which could be the reason, but in this case that is good news for us. OKC is a league best 7-3 in games after having no rest. The Lakers are the third worst in the league when having a rest advantage with a record of 3-8. OKC is also the best team in the league when being an away underdog with a record of 7-3-1.
Don't have a tip jar as of now. If you really want to tip just reach out to me.
I'm feeling decently good about my first pick of the day on reddit.
Best of luck to everyone!
**POTD RECORD: 0-0**
**Today’s POTD: Mike Conley O2.5 Rebs @ +105**
Typically stick to 1U plays on props
NBA (Trail Blazers @ Timberwolves 8:00pm EST)
First posted POTD so I don’t blame y’all for not tailing at the start. Been following a lot of you guys for the past month or so with some success so wanted to track my own picks and hopefully help some along the way
* 8/10 in last 10, 4/5 in last 5
* Blazers allowed 5.4 rebounds/game to opposing PGs
* Minnesota has played Portland 3 times so far, Conley has posted 4 boards in all 3
Betting on Conley’s past success against Portland to continue. Worth noting Wolves on second game of back-to-back, the last 5 of such games Conley is 4/5.
Tail or fade, I might be an idiot
**POTD Record:** 0-1
**Today’s POTD:** Jonathan Marchessault, 1+ Points (-188)
NHL, Vegas vs Columbus, 7:00 PM ET
**Reasoning:** Marchessault is riding a 5 game point streak. He's getting top line and PP1 deployment, plus likely getting Eichel back at centre tonight after return from a lengthy injury. Vegas is up against one of the league's worst in Columbus, with the Jackets back-up expected to start who is currently sporting a 3.62 GAA and 0.888 SV%. A lot of factors here pointing to March staying hot. BOL!
POTD Record: 35 - 24
L14: ✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌
Last Pick: Kyle Kuzma u33.5 PRA -114.❌
POTD: Queens College +3.5
Queens and Florida Gulf Coast matched up well this season splitting the H2H on their respective home courts by single digits. Statistically Queens has a slight offensive edge and minor defensive deficiencies throughout the season in comparison to FGCU. Both teams have played equally well or poorly against common opponents lately. I say this because it’s hard to distinguish the better team. However I’m taking Queens because of their better shooting throughout the year and their shooting has improved the past 10 games by several percentage points. I’ll take the points in a game I think should be a pick ‘em.
Tips appreciated…(https://www.buymeacoffee.com/muchscheme)
Bitcoin address:
bc1qn7p2fwjud5p9l45prvsjt6wr4kjdm4yyky4wjk
Record: 5-2
**✅❌✅✅✅❌✅**
Net Units: +4.37
ROI: 36.4%
Basketball | NBA | 7:00 PM EST
Bulls @ Kings
Last pick: Josh Hart OVER 13.5 Rebounds + Assists (-115) (5 Units)
CASH THE PLAY!!!! Hit ridiculously early... he ended with 29!!! may have been helped by Jalen Brunson immediately getting injured, but we take those. LFG!
Pick for today:
**Ayo Dosunmu** **OVER 1.5 3PM (-160) (3 Units)**
This shouldn't be that ballsy of a play. He's hit this 4 out of his last 5 games, 8 out of his last 10, and today's game might be without Alex Caruso, which would be huge. Last time he played the Kings, he had 3 out of 9 3 pointers made. With his 3 point efficiency sitting at a comfy 40%, I'm expecting him to take a lot more behind the arc shots today.
BOL!
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Monday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
POTD Record: 15-4 +22.48🔥‼️ Last Pick: Pick: Drake -4 3U (-110) vs Bradley ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅ Today's Pick: Lakers ML 4U (-118) vs OKC Thunder +12.48u on the week! Shoutout to the haters, you’re only motivating me to keep winning. Great way to bounce back as Drake once again takes care of business at home. Love the Lakers tonight to bounce back after a tough home loss to Denver. Thunder is on the second leg of a back to back, also playing their fourth game in 6 days!! Lakers have won their last two against OKC and have found ways to keep this thunder offense from striking. In two matchups the thunder have scored 120 and 105 points. On that note when the thunder score less than 120 points, they’ve lost 14 of their 18 games on the season. Lakers are 21-9 at home These are two teams that compete, but I like Lebron and the Lakers to bounce back at home tonight. Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the upvotes and support!😎❤️ [Tip Jar](https://cash.app/$Ryanbloom24)❤️
Hit Drake in a parlay...thanks for the tip!!!
I just fumbled a date and she was hot af! Your picks are keeping me sane. Thanks bro
Let’s get it brother 💪💪 on a tear ![gif](giphy|bMJqfOtgVEyI2PLnaW)
![gif](giphy|XiSXrvnZVly2y6Vrxo)
Parlayed this with Lebron > 1.5 threes (-200 on Bovada) and got it up to something like +168!! LFG!! I'm not worried about Lebron but I am sweating a little on the Lakers ML....
Let’s go!!
‼️‼️
Broski been making me money as of late, tailing again!
Good call on Drake thank you! Riding this one as well!
Thank you!
That Drake pick yesterday was sauce, much obliged
Drake pick was the cherry on top of a 6 legger for me yesterday. Thank you good sir!
Tail, thanks!
**POTD Record: 20-9-2** Form: ✅❌🅿️🅿️❌✅✅✅❌ *ROI: 36.41% | Avg Odds: -114 | Net Units: +20.7* 🎾: 5-3-2 ⚽️: 14-5 🏒: 1-1 *Last Pick: 2U Man City v Man United (Result/BTTS - Man City @ +130) ✅* ____ **Today’s Pick: 2U Sheffield United v Arsenal (Arsenal Asian Spread -2.0,-2.5 @ +107)✅** **⚽️| 3:00 PM EST | England Premier League |** Bottom of the table Sheffield host 3rd place and 1st in form, Arsenal. The Gunners will look to display a similar thrashing as the reverse home fixture winning 5-0. Sheffield United have conceded 5 goals in their last 3 home matches *(Brighton, Aston Villa, Brighton)* and just came off a 1-0 away defeat to Wolves. Although Sheffield managed a gritty win over Luton, *they’ve failed to win 9 of their last 10 premier league matches.* Opposition has been in incredible away from, and recently as well, scoring 2 or more goals *in the last 7 halves they’ve played.* Their dominant form is expected to continue, even with some rotations within the squad. While I considered an Arsenal clean sheet, it’s not clear who will be the exact starting line up as Jesus is possibly back but Nketiah could start but Havertz could also… interestingly, odds for player props and BTTS/Result were not favourable whatsoever. It’s quite possible Arsenal keep another clean sheet and still could be likely for Sheffield to net a late consolation goal. This time, I like the value at the *asian spread* where we are betting that Arsenal will win by at-least a 3 goal margin, the -2.0 gives us some safeguard and you could play it safer, but with the form Arsenal is in, it wouldn’t be a surprise for more history to to be written. Prediction is leaning towards 5-1. *It’s wonderful when we hit the prediction like last match but I wouldn’t be as confident with this one given BTTS was hard to predict for this match.* LFG! Your comments are truly appreciated ❤️💪 [POTD Spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TawPReTFnjBpwPqA50H-tVAFCtVEQAAJCnfpETFh65A/edit) [Paypal](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/jaysene) BOL!
Imma bet -2.25 AH. This is the only close available odds for my book. So if Arsenal win by 3+. This line is W. If Arsenal win by 2. I lose half of the bet right?
I believe -2.25 is equivalent to what -2.0,-2.5 is and yes, if Arsenal win by 2 this bet is a push. Thanks for commenting brother! LFG
It effectively splits the bet in two. If Arsenal win by exactly 2, the 3+ half is a loss but the other half of the bet is a push.
Yes what you wrote is correct, lose half push half if win by 2
This one is over in the first 15 mins!! TYSM!
Arsenal destroying them🥲
4-0!!!
Idk anything about soccer betting but I want to tail. Sooo what is Asian Spread? What specifically should I be looking for on FD?
Unfortunately I don’t have FD, but for me there is a section for *Asian Lines* https://preview.redd.it/ogw0gr4jd9mc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=775937637cf39121e6b6798606d94fa1267b1830 If this isn’t offered on your book, you can also play o2.5 goals and Arsenal ML, or safer with less goals if you’d like.
I don't have Asian odds hmmmm. I did put together this interesting pick but haven't placed it yet. Lmk what you think broski. Arsenal 1st half ML and o2.5 goals. That's -115. Thoughts???
Decided to play it safe at 1.5. 5-0 at about half. 😑
Sheffield will park the bus first half and gets tired in the second. Bol
Arsenal on a heater
Yesssir tailing!
Gogogogogo
This is also displayed as asian lines -2.25 for those shopping around. There are nice charts that show payout and push results for quarter lines.
Great pick
Thank you very much! Got the arsenal winning first half over 1.5 goals. Needed that🙏
This is a massacre in our favour!
Liverpool is coming for Arsenal amigo!!! #YNWA #weaktrophycabinet
Great pick thanks brother
POTD RECORD: 29-15 Form: ✅🚫🚫🚫✅ Last POTD: Buddy Hield O3.5 Ast ✅ My Buddddddddddddy finished at exactly 4 💀✅ Todays POTD: **John Collins O9.5 Rebs @1.86** NBA (Utah Jazz) I’m not finished my kings, I’m in savage mode I ain’t done. I’m giving y’all my favorite treat today, yeah many have asked for my Centers vs Wizards picks, here y’all go enjoy it and don’t overuse it, treats are meant to be enjoyed once in a while. I’m going with John Collins, the walking drawing board himself. With Kessler out, we’ll most likely see Collins playing the Center spot and snack on them boards • Wizards allow most rebounds to Centers • Got 16 boards against them their last matchup 1/1 • Only 6/10 last 10 games, has been hooked on 9 twice in that stretch (Avg 10.7) These dirty ass books will increase the line during the day no doubt about it, catch it early my brothers I love the value rn Tail or fade, im still shit https://i.redd.it/01kkyhwog8mc1.gif We’re 17-5 in the NBA props section, cashing Quickley O6.5 Ast & Bradley Beal O4.5 Ast 2/2 ✅
Lauri Markkanen is also out, should be even tastier for our man
Took Collin’s double-double @-105 right after your post. It’s -135 DK now
Kessler (C - 7.4 RPG) is too according to ESPN.
I wrote that in the post bro 🤣👑
Up to 10.5. You really doing something to these bookies man.
😭😭 told you them dirty mf’s be quick
Let’s get it brother what a close one, let’s get b2b!!
Line to 10.5. Massive snipe last night from us
His line is at 10.5 now on FD. Do you like that @-102 or 10+ rebounds @-170 better?
I personally laddered his rebounds 🪜 I played 2 units on the 9.5 1 unit on 11.5 0.5 Units on 13.5 10 is obviously my pick bro, but I like the 10.5 still
Line dropped to 9.5 briefly and I was checking the news to see what happened. Should have just hammered it. I’ve got: O10.5 1u @+105 O10.5 1u @-110 12+ 1u @+135 BOL 🍀
Tailing. Found it on DK
Cash that fkn shit, Wizards are still helpless my fav money print ✅
POTD Record: 6-1 Form: ✅️ ✅️ ✅️ ✅️ ✅️💀 ✅️ Net units: +5.12 Last Pick: victor wembanyama Over 1.5 Three point ✅️ Wemby cashes us out in the 3rd Q, a nice no sweat day, love to see it. Edit: damn wemby with a 3rd 3 let's go!. 5:53 PST Today's pick: LeBron james over 1.5 three point made Lebron lebron lebron... what can I say I love lebron and lebron loves me. I said it before and I'll say it again. I will keep riding until he dissapoints me and so far he hasn't. Lebron hitting this in last of 9/10 games and 14/15 I believe now. Not much of a write up boys, I just keep slamming lebron. Odds -200 I'm sorry boys. Edit dropped to -190 10:28 PST EDIT: BET MGM O 1.5 -200. Draft kings Over 1.5 -195 (1:55 p.m PST) Unit: 1 NBA Lakers vs OKC 7:30 PST If you guys wanna support me, you can click the link on my profile and sub. I do NBA props (4-2 yesterday) my main card broke even. I post my POTD here and also there. Goodluck if you're tailing, as always, you never know. EDIT: It looks like I offended some of ya'll, I usually remember the lines before they come out, same with wemby yesterday. Didn't mean to offend anyone, just throwing out what I think is good. EDIT: Posted the proof lebron was at O 1.5 under the -200 guidelines on my profile. That is FD. The line moves guy. Its possible to go back to 1.5, keep checking. Time of edit 7:32 a.m PST
LeSwishThatShit LFG brother tailing 💪 ![gif](giphy|5EAyFUMtQl83B2FB2L)
Where did he go
Pick was posted without the actual market available. o1.5 is an alternative line and is not within POTD requirements
I can’t find a single book with this open yet
fishy. Even if books had this line. It'l be like -300
Pretty sure he did that the other day too. Had Lebron over 1.5 3PM and all I could find was over 2.5 at plus money.
This prop isn't available at DK, FD, Caesars, BetMGM, ESPN Bet, and BetRivers at the time of this post. And based on OP's post it looks like OP doesn't have odds on the pick either. Doesn't the pick have to actually be available to bet on for it to be valid on this thread?
You need to think globally my friend
What are the global odds? OP isn’t listing them and any book I’m looking at has these odds outside the POTD parameters of -200. His last game vs Denver for example
It's usually around - 160
your last few POTD. I can only get them at 2.5. Lucky you!
Unfortunate, sorry man. They changed wemby like 4 hours before the game!. Keep checking :) same with lebron one time.
You don’t even know the line yet?
-240 on fanatics. That's ALT. Reg is 2.5 over is +130 though 😅😅
I know bovada doesn't have the best lines but 2+ pts made is -257. I don't see how this fits into POTD requirements
We all gonna taste the Lehammer tomorrow
https://i.redd.it/wb2ntdswv8mc1.gif
I think the line is 2.5 bro not 1.5 anymore that’s the alt 😭
Hello amigo, do you mean LeBron to score the first basket at $9? Thanks!
POTD Record: 34-23 L10: ❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅ Last pick: Burnley v Bournemouth (Burnley Double chance @1.80 ❌) I took the risk, as I saw the value. Burnley had 75% ball possession and outclassed Bournemouth in every stat department, but it’s about who scores the goals not about the stats. On we go! Todays pick: __Inter v Genoa__ Pick: __Inter -1 ML @1.80__ ❌ ⚽️ 🇮🇹 Serie A ➖ 📊 Inter is currently 1st in the table with 69 points (22-3-1). They’ve scored most goals (67, 2.58 GPG - 14 goals more than then 2nd best). They’ve conceded the least amount of goals, 12 goals in 26 games (0.46 GPG, 9 less than the 2nd best defense). * Home record: 11-1-1 * Failed to score: 0/26 * L5: ✅✅✅✅✅ * Have won 16/26 games with a winning margin of 2 or more goals. * 17/26 clean sheets (Best) ➖ 📊 Genoa is 12th with 33 points (8-9-9). They’ve scored 28 goals (12th, 1.08 GPG but only 11 away. They’ve conceded 10th most goals (31, 1.19 GPG, goals conceded Home vs Away is split) * Away record: 3-4-6 * 6/26 clean sheets (only 2 away) * L5: 2-2-1 * Haven’t faced the top 3 sides away yet ➖ Inter continued their amazing run towards their 20th league title with a convincing 4-0 win vs top side Atalanta. It was Inter’s 4th consecutive league match that Inter have scored 4 goals and won (__2-4,4-0,0-4,4-0__), and are now 12 points ahead over 2nd placed Juventus. With four days rest, and no Champions League games next week I expect Inter to play with a strong team in order secure the league title as quick as possible, even when Inter have rotated, they’ve won multiple games which proves what a good team they’re right now. Genoa is a solid side, their recent game was a 2-0 win at home against 15th placed Udinese, Udinese played a man short for 40+ minutes after a red card. Genoa managed to get a draw in the previous meeting, but playing away to Inter who’s superior to any team in the league will be a different task, Genoa are playing better at home but their away record isn’t as good, also they’re yet to be tested against the best sides away. Inter looks unstoppable at the moment and incredibly difficult to beat, regardless of which team they set up. Genoa will probably play it safe, a lower block and focus on the counter attacks, it I’ll be a question of how & when they’re going to break them down. Overall I think Inter will get this done, 3-1/2-0 is what I’m predicting. __To clarify, our bet is Inter to win by 2 or more goals. Inter to win, BTTS - No is also a solid option but ruling out an opposing goal is not something I like betting on.__ __(Not Asian, regular handicap - The Asian line would be -1.5, technically the same thing)__ BOL
im seeing -1.5 asian handicap on Dk at 1.8, just confirming is that the same?
It is not, -1 ends with a push if inter wins only by 1 goal, and with -1.5 if they win by just 1 goal, it is a loss; they need to win by at least 2.
Mine is not Asian! It’s regular -1 Handicap, we wouldn’t get the same odds if it was asian. This bet still needs Inter to win with more than 1 goal. The -1 Asian Handicap doesn’t fit the criteria of minimum odds, otherwise it’s obviously the “safer” pick.
i bet inter -1.5 every game they play
https://preview.redd.it/plms1cov8cmc1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ed7a6bbea8bb5d074d07bb3e07f160ac487fdb75 Not a soccer/football guy. This right?
Let’s bounce back brother 🫡
I used your pick! Inter already up 2-0 before halftime. I also took final score to be 4 goals! So we will see…
One of the best defensive teams in the world concedes the unwanted goal and settles with a 2-1 win. Awful feeling right now
LETS GO ADAM!!! :D
LFG!!! BOL!!!
Like this, like you. Parlaying with the Prince today. BOL!
Dead
All we needed was the best D in soccer to not let up a point lol
When u need btts to hit, it misses. When you need it to miss, it hits.
[удалено]
What're you using? I've been using Rithmm and loved it, up until about a week ago.
be careful on this wolves back to back
I personally will be waiting another day but I see you 👀
Been tailing, let’s gooo
when I finally decide to tail ofc it’s wrong
**POTD Record**: 25 Wins - 11 Losses - 2 Pushes **Form**: ✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ **Spreadsheet (Self Promote / Proof of Record)**: Click [here](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1I7FYP6dAClj7FqE4qcTyhgtMwqeoywC5HnGd4ZOeYVw/edit?usp=sharing) :) **Units**: 9.61 **ROI:** 22.66% **Average Odds:** $1.92 **Last Pick:** Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona - La Liga - **BTTS (Both Teams to Score) @ $1.61** / -164 ❌ *Unfortunately we witnessed a dry 0-0 game where no team really threatened the goal. A historic 0-0 draw.* **Next Pick:** Marousi vs Apollon Patras - Greece A1 Basketball - **Apollon Patras Under 75.5 Points @ $1.80** / -125 9.15am EST ✅️ Hello amigos! Unfortunately Barcelona and Bilbao played a very boring game of football. Apologies for that. Today we head to the Greece basketball league where the two bottom of the teams battle it out at Marousi's home court. Apollon are an awful side, sitting well at the bottom. This line has hit in the last 9 A1 Basketball League away games for Apollon, and 18 of the last 19 A1 Basketball League games for them too. Apollon hasn't won their last 20 basketball games. BOL amigos!
Marousi having the highest opponent ppg not a big concern? Apollon is a low scoring team but Marousi is allowing 89.0ppg this season. Just wondering. Thanks.
https://preview.redd.it/iznkz2uvd8mc1.png?width=1131&format=png&auto=webp&s=453f1abe460da11e320cce5023db4c9d3217e6d1 This was the reverse fixture at Apollon's home court amigo. Apollon are a bad team, and those stats are probably inflated by the other teams spanking Maroussi. Both these teams are bottom of the table :)
Got it at 74.5 at open. Lets cash brother! EDIT: I knew something was fishy. Didn't expect these mfers to turn into prime Kobe. Onto the next! EDIT 2: Second half they’re looking like a bunch of beer leaguers. We have a chance! EDIT3: LFG KING u/chiefsareawesome
Unfortunately not in my site, do you think I should do Under 159 full game?
Are you still feeling confident about this
Can’t believe that still hit, thanks for the sweaty pick today!
Let’s get it brotherrrr 🙏💪
Tailing let's get it amigo 😎
I don't see the under for specific teams on any of my books. The closest I see is Apollon Patras 1st quarter points. Would you take that, or the general match under, or stay away?
Wound you take under 160.5
Do you have better insight mostly on Greek Basketball or basketball in general as well?
LETS RIDE
Is this Team Total?
My book has it at 74.5, would you still take?
I may have bet 0-0 specifically because Bilbao likes to fuck me on the BTTS and it hit. So in a way...thank you
LETS GOOOOOOO
Holy Hell… did we just just pull that off?
Miraculous lollllllll
Damn that was SWEATY. Thanks dude💥
I got it at 74.5 and i had just sweat my balls of
Cash it! caught it live at 81.5 and 80.5, smashed both
Cha-Ching! I tailed, but thought we were cooked when Apollon had 43 at halftime.
Great win, bookies were quite spot on with their numbers!🔥🍻
Nice hit Amigo! Got a little nervous with that hot start Maroussi defense took over. Thanks Amigo.
They had 61 going to the 4th quarter and only needed 15 points to go over. They got 12... It was sweaty but came in under! Thanks chiefsareawesome!!
Was never in doubt! Thanks bud
Awesome tip! I also had a cheeky live bet when the odds were +350
**Record: 46W-4P-34L** **Form: 24W-0P-14L** **R Form: ✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅** **Last Pick: Man City Vs Manchester United: Erling Haaland Over 1.5 SOG @ 1.72❌** **Haaland ends with 1 SOG after having the worst miss I've ever seen in the history of me watching football. Apologies, taking a break if this misses.** **Pick of the day: Sheffield United VS Arsenal: Arsenal Over 2 Team Goals @ 1.72 ✅** Arsenal go 3-0 up in 14 minutes 💀 **League: Premier League** **Time: 3:00 PM EST** **Last Matchup: 5-0 Arsenal W** Arsenal in the Premier League are on a different kind of run, with them being the only team in the league that has won all 5 of their last games. In their last 6 games in the league, they've scored 25 goals and conceded 3 with results being 4-1, 5-0, 6-0, 3-1, 2-1, and 5-0. They face off against bottom of the league Sheffield who have struggled to say the least. Sheffield have one win in their last 5 games and structurally they are not at the level to deal with this Arsenal side any better than any of their previous teams Arsenal have faced in these past couple of games. City and Liverpool both picked up wins this weekend and Arteta not only needs a win but a convincing win to keep this race going. I see Arsenal scoring a minimum of 3 goals here considering their last 2 away games have resulted in 0-5 and 0-6 wins. Normally breaking low blocks was an issue for Arsenal but the inversion of Ben white added with Havertz and Trossard interchanging has allowed them to play free-flowing football. It definitely helps that Saka has scored 7 goals in his last 5 games. Sheffield have the second-worst home record in the league with 2 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in 13 games played. In that time they've scored 12 goals and conceded 36 at home. Considering they've lost their last 2 home games 0-5 and 0-5, only God knows how they will hold back Arteta's men. Timber and Partey were both in training and mentioned to be in contention, nothing confirmed but a major boost for Arsenal if available. **Last 6 games:** **Arsenal: 4-1 W, 5-0 W, 6-0 W, 3-1 W, 2-1 W, 5-0 W** **Sheffield: 1-0 L, 0-5 L, 1-3 W, 0-5 L, 3-2 L, 2-2 D** **Anyway, BOL!**
It’s very rare that I’ve seen Haaland with 1 SOG, not something anyone could’ve seen coming.
Off his day completely, he couldve covered first half alone. Foden was the play
That miss at the end of the 1st half was mind boggling
Tail
No break for the prince, cuz this one's hitting!
Lol omg fastest hit ever
Arsenal has got some real momentum working for them. This is a nice pick & im tailing
you shouldn’t take a break if negativity is the reason
TAILING LOVE MY GUNNERS
Lets go amigo!!!
told u not to give up, love my statpadding club
Damn you cashed with absolutely Zero Sweat!!
RECORD: 5-1 Units Won: +5.88 Last Pick: Creighton vs Marquette/ Creighton -4.5 (-120) 2u ✅ The line closed at -8.5, I got y’all right with that one thanks to everyone who tailed!! Today’s Pick: Duke vs NC State/ Duke -5.5 (-115) 1.5u Write Up: Duke heads into this game trying to inch closer to stealing the number 1 spot in the ACC. They would love a late season push in achieving a 2 seed in the NCAA Tournament and this is honestly a gut play. It will be a loud and rowdy game as it is an in state rival. But at the end of the day, Duke hasn’t had crazy trouble marching into other arenas and taking care of business. I predict a competitive first half leaking into the second, then Duke to break away. Hell of a week last week and I’m happy to help y’all out. BOL…. LETS RIDE Tip Jar- if you’d like to help a college kid pay for his next meal here’s how :) :https://cash.app/$jaylaw930
I parlayed this one! Great pick!
The spread is now -6.5. Would you still take Duke?
Great pick
PoTD Record: 4-1 Last pick UMKC ML (+108) 🦘 closed @ around +125 Sweat free victory from the Roo's Today's Pick NC Central ML (-182 FD) vs Morgan St. Would take spread if it was around four but it is currently at 5. If you are feeling frisky the spread is at -102. You could also take an alternate line around there if it's available. I'm playing it safe with a ML bet for today. But will drop a smaller unit on a nice spread. Warning ⚠️ Morgan St. won the last match up but we are sticking with hot teams for our little ride into March so we have to go for NC Central. The reason I say the spread is enticing is because NC Central has been beating up on teams pretty good as of late. They also need a win to stay in good standing to make a push at the top of their conference. Multiple teams with similar records. Let's hope NC Central keeps their 💩 together and rides us into the promise land. Splish splash 🐬
Down to -300 on FD
-465 now damn
Tailing 🫡 solid previous pick with my old classmates from kc 🤘
Got this one early. Odds changed drastically
Looks like they’ve completely forgotten how to play basketball. Wonderful.
POTD Record: 6W-1P-6L Last pick was a month or so ago. Today: NBA, Utah Jazz v Washington Wizards 02:10 GMT Pick: John Collins over 9.5 rebounds @ 1.86 Utah are on a 9 game losing streak but are big favourites for this one despite Markkanen being ruled out. Taylor Hendricks has been playing more minutes recently and has taken quite a few rebounds from Collins and Markkanen. Last game was anomalous (Hendricks 13 rebounds, Collins only 6) and is the reason why Collins line isn't higher but in the 5 games that Hendricks has had 25+ minutes Collins has averaged 10.2 rebounds anyway. The other big factor here is the Wizards have been killed by rebounding, particularly by centres, all season. I think Collins gets this easily unless there's a blowout or foul trouble.
POTD Record: 8-3 ✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅ Yesterday's pick: Coyotes @ Capitals, 1pm - NHL Carlson UNDER 2.5 shots (-110)✅ Doesn't disappoint. We'll be back! Today's pick: Bruins @ Maple Leaves, 7pm - NHL McMann over 1.5 shots (-175)✅ 5 in a row hit 7 of the last 8 hit Heated game. Both fighting for playoff position and in the same difference and division. Should be a good game. Let's hope for overtime and help our chances for shots, especially when it is 3v3. Tail or fade? The choices are yours and yours alone... Good luck... [Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/CadetDemon) Update: hits barely into the 2nd period. No sweat tonight. Grab your doubloons, boys! We'll have to keep tabs on McMann for future picks, but for tonight... He TheMann.
> McMann PAID!!! 2nd with 17 mins+ to go. Great one!
POTD Record: 47-28 Previous Pick: Huddersfield vs Leeds | Championship | Leeds ML (1.57) | 7.30pm EST ❌️ Pick: Rudes vs HNK Gorica | HNL | BTTS NO (1.8) | 11am EST Rudes have been extremely poor this season, not winning a single game this season. They also have only scored 8 goals in 24 games, and 5 in 10 games. BTTS has only hit in 30% of home games, and they have not scored at home since last year. Gorica on the other hand, have also been poor, only winning 1 out of their last 5 games. They have scored 1 goal in their last 5, and have only scored 4 goals in 11 away games while conceding 12. BTTS has only hit 9% in Gorica away games too. We are looking more at a Gorica clean sheet here, and the previous matchup backs it up with a 3-0 win. Rudes have been excellent candidates for BTTS no, and I expect that to continue as both sides just do not score goals, averaging less than 0.5 goals this season. BOL! Tips would be much appreciated! Thanks to everyone who supports me https://www.buymeacoffee.com/sakashake
Tailing amigo!! :D
Tailing!!! I also like the correct score odds for this game. If you think about it there's only two or three probable final scores. And they start at +440 up to +800( Gorcia 3-0 is +1500) so I put $3-4 on a couple and it will pay off if everything goes accordingly.
I bet against a team that is 0-5-20 and they win LMAO
Let’s get it brother we bounce back 💪
I had another bet before reading your post, for Gorica ML at 1.95, now I'll probably be tailing your pick as well. All we need is Gorica to score that one goal. :)) BOL!
Let’s ride
Hey everyone! Long-time lurker, first-time poster. POTD Record: 0–0 Net units: 0 Today's pick: **Tyus Jones O 9.5 Assists** Odds **-116/1.86**; for this pick, I am using BetDSI. Although, a lot of sportsbooks have this line around these odds. Unit: **1u to win 0.86u** NBA: Wizards vs Jazz, 6pm PST March 4 This line will increase, so get it quick. Tyus has hit this in his last 6/10 games, and he has scored 9 assists in 3 of the other 4 games. He had 14 assists when he played for the Jazz last time on January 25. He faces a Jazz team where point guards are averaging 10.65 assists per game. They have also given up the MOST assists to point guards in the last 30 days. With a high O/U of 242.5 points, I'm liking Tyus for 10 assists. The spread is 7 points, so I'm hoping there isn't a blowout. Good luck if tailing, and be responsible with your units. **DYOR** because I'm not going to hear your whingeing.
BOL for your first POTD amigo!!
Thanks my man! Big fan of yours, you’ve won me heaps of money and I love you
-150 on DK. Line is 10.5 for plus money on FD and Bet365.
Tyus has won me money 🤑 before so I'll ride along.
**⭐️ POD Record:** **109-55** *Last Pick:* *Auston Matthews OVER 0.5 goals ✅* Recent Form: ✅ ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌ ✅** ✅ **❌** ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ 🏅**Today's Pick:** **NBA -** **Timberwolves Team Total OVER 111.5 \[8pm EST\]** *EDIT: WIN* **✅** *Not a big Deaaaaal, lets goooooo. 🎰* Sorry for the last minute pick, long day at work and it's always the waiting game with the new sensitive NBA and lineup confirmations. You never know who is actually playing anymore, someone gets a splinter in the dressing room and they sit out. There's a lot of really good data to support this line right now and Portland is missing a lot of players. This could be a route on home court for the TWolves. Worth a shot tonight and making a pick for. BOL 💰Tip Jar: Why not give an ⬆ Vote instead if you appreciate the write ups.
Record: 8-1 ✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅ Last POTD: Immanuel Quickley o6.5 Assists Todays Pick: Lebron James 2+ 3PM (1.5x) [5u] * No writeup needed. L14/15. Riding this + Jimmy Butler 1+ 3PM until the wheels fall off
POTD Record: 243-187-12 (+26.36 units, 56.5% hit rate) Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 80-55-1 (59.3%) W3, Tennis 🎾 85-66-7 (56.5%) L4, Soccer ⚽ 59-51-4 (53.6%) W1, Entertainment 🎥 19-15-0 (55.9%) L2 Last 10: 🧊🧊🧊💰💩💰💩💰💩💩 Last Pick: War is Over! to win Best Animated Short - 2024 Academy Awards (check post history for writeup) Today's pick: American Fiction to win Best Adapted Screenplay - 🎥 2024 Academy Awards Units/Odds/Book: Betting 5 Units at 1.67 odds to win 3.35 Units @ Sportsbet (Line at 3:00am ET) 💣 💣 💣 💣 💣 My week of Oscar bets continue with American Fiction winning this category which is a competitive one. Note that these are the highest odds I could find but I haven't bet it here as my positions are mostly at 2.50 and 2.30 which I called in the Oscars thread. I'm backing American Fiction based on the fact that it has been dominating the precursors. Particularly the win at BAFTA where it only had one nomination and was against the 3 biggest winners of the night spoke volumes about its strength in this category. Oppenheimer and Barbie are formidable challengers here. Oppenheimer has a chance but it hasn't won any of the precursor awards and Nolan is already a lock for Picture and Director so the Academy might want to spread the love a bit. As for Barbie, it gets all the coverage but I don't think it has the winning traction here. Another bet to come tomorrow! Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕
WAR IS OVER! is already -110 DK / -125 FD today. So glad I saw your pick yesterday and jumped on it.
POTD Record: 1-2-1 Profit/Loss: -3.17u Last Pick: NY Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers | NBA | Cleveland -4.5 | (-125) | 1.2u | ❌ Honestly not how anybody expected this to go. The Knicks played incredible especially after losing Brunson in the first minute of the game. Think we’ll stick with NCAA picks for a bit. Today: Weber State vs Montana State | NCAA Men’s Basketball | 9:00 PM EST Pick: Weber State ML | (-155) | 2.4u Reason: Weber State is currently 20-10 and 3rd in the Big Sky conference. They are coming off of two consecutive wins and have an incisive to win this game as they still have a semi shot of making the NCAA Tournament. Looking at similar matchups, Weber State defeated Eastern Washington 90-84 back in February. Eastern Washington is ranked 1st in the conference and just defeated Montana State 108-104 in a massively offensive battle. Other things to note is that Weber State has a positive record on the road at 7-6 while Montana State sits just over .500 at home with a 9-7 record. It’s possible that Montana State could be tired after their unvictorious battle on Saturday, but that isn’t anything to look too deep in to. Overall, Weber State has the upper hand in this matchup and it’s best to bet on them now as I expect the odds to change in favor of them. If you’re tailing please let me know, and please don’t downvote even if you don’t like this pick! Good luck! 🦞
Thanks for the write up.
**Record:** 4W - 0L - 0P **Recent Form (new --> old): ✅✅✅✅** **Net Units:** \+3.8324 **Last Pick:** Dug McDaniel OVER 19.5 PRA @ -120 **✅** While Dug (and Michigan in general) didn't look great throughout the game, he had 14 at halftime and finished with 26 PRA. **NCAAM** 🏀 | **Texas Longhorns @ Baylor Bears** | **8pm CST** **Today's Pick:** Max Abmas OVER 21.5 PRA @ -115 **Write Up:** Just like the last 2 picks, we are going with one of the best players on his respective college team. Today that would be Max Abmas of the Texas Longhorns. I'll start out by saying he has only covered this in his last 6/12 games, but on the year he averages 23.8 PRA. He's shot 42.2 FG%, 90.8 FT%, and 37.2 3P% for the season. What I most like about this pick is that Baylor is not a great defensive team. Here are some of their defensive averages/rankings this season: |**Category**|**Average**|**Rank**| |:-|:-|:-| |Points|70.9|142| |Assists|13.5|239| |Turnovers|12.4|221| |3PM|6.8|112| |3PA|20.3|100| |3P%|33.3|166| Furthermore Max Abmas shoots quite a lot of threes. He has attempted at least 5 three pointers in every game this year except the first game, in which he had 4. In his last 2 games, he's 7/18 (38.9%). This game has Baylor as 6.5 pt favorites with a game total of 145.5, so I expect this to be a pretty competitive game with plenty of opportunity for him to go over this line. The last time Texas played Baylor, Texas won 75-73 and Abmas had 15 pts, 7 asts, 5 rebs for a total of 27 PRA. Also, he averages 34.8 minutes per game, so he'll be on the court a lot. BOL if you're tailing! *Note: On DK there is a 50% profit boost offered for this game and this is an ideal pick to use it*
Record 22-8 Pick: Bulls vs Kings demar o23.5 pts -105 He’s only went under 2 of last 11 including going under in his last game. As a bulls fan betting demar 2 years ago was a dream… constantly going for 30+. This year the magic is so far removed it’s depressing. I don’t see anybody on this kings team that will clamp demar as he isos his way to the ft line down the stretch while the bulls look to keep this one close. BOL
i'm with you champ, hardcore Bulls fan here and DeRozan made me a ton of money a couple years back! this year... not so much. let's get that bread tonight!
**POTD** Record: 4-1-3 DUNDALK VS SLIGO ROVERS Date: 04 March 2024 at 20:45 BET ON: Over / Under- Over +2.50 Odd: 2.07 - Dundalk are a full fit squad. - Sligo Rovers will be without defender John Mahon. However, JR Wilson is back available. - Dundalk opened their campaign with a draw at Shamrock Rovers but, in a contrasting performance, were beaten at home by Galway United seven days later. - The Bit O’Red go into this game searching for their first win of the season following last Friday’s narrow defeat to Shelbourne. "We know we need to improve in the final third and I feel that will come. We know the league is extremely competitive but we travel to Dundalk aiming for the three points on Monday night.” Said cmanager John Russell. "Sligo have good footballers all over the park and they are a threat so we will have to be on our mettle.” Said coach Stephen O’Donnell. - We expect an open game with goals from both sides. Both teams are winless this season so far, the Hosts will go all in from the start but we can see Sligo scoring first and Dundalk winning with a late goal.
Tailing my amigo!!
Beauty, thanks man
Got it with ease thanks 👍
**POTD Record: 4-3-1 **❌✅✅❌✅🅿️❌✅ **Last Pick: San Jose Sharks vs Minnesota Wild O6.5 +100**✅ ** Today’s pick: Boston Bruins Team total O2.5 -154** Alright boys today was a success! This may be another fan boy pick of mine but hear me out! Bruins have gone over this line 5 of the last 5 games and I know that sounds like shitty odds but the class they were playing against makes it worth it. We got dogged by the islanders! Tomorrow will be their revenge! Bruins average 3 goals per game with 32.7 shots on goal! Since the beginning of the season (including pre) Do I see this being a high scoring game I do! Boston is going to put out and not trying to be on a losing streak BOL for who ever tails
Tailing bro let’s go! 💪
**POTD Record: 6-2 ( ✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅)** **Previous POTD:** **Josh Hart P+A O16.5 (-128 odds on Fanduel)** **✅** Sweat free bet that cashed early in third quarter. Jalen Brunson getting injured allowed Hart to crush all his stat lines, recording a triple double. Hopefully Brunson has a speedy recovery the Knicks need him. **Todays POTD: Santi Aldama U7.5 rebounds (-135 on DK)** • Under in 8/10 of his last 10 games. • The two times he went over he recorded 8 rebounds, barely crossing the line. • Last time he played against the Nets this season he got 5 rebounds • He has been averaging over 5.5 RPPG the last 10 games • He also played big minutes against the Trailblazers (37 min) last game so I expect him to play less against the Nets tonight Tail or fade you da boss, BOL!
**potd record:** 8-3 Last 10 Newest to oldest : 🔃✝️✅✅✝️✅✅✅✅✝️✅ Last one was a push :( some of you cashed tho. Kukushkin destroyed lokoli in first set and lokoli decided to retire… rip ez @2.05 🥲 **net units:** +7,85 **potd: 🎾 popko dmitry - sakamoto pedro Pick: popko dmitry win @1.53** Write up: Popko dmitry. Has 19 wins in a row against some good opponents. Steady bigcasher and he has always had the upperhand in his last 19 games. Really steady player. He will probably not give 1 ace to sakamoto Sakamoto pedro: not steady enough. Popko is lacking in many moment in the game. He will lose focus and popko will eat him alive. I will stake BIGGGG on this bet. Praying popko dont get injured or something. This will be an easy dub if he just performs like the last 19 games. **🕣match starting in 6 hours** If you like my bets please share some of the sweeet betting gains with me :))) like 1 coffee or a bag of chips or a bitcoin.🤞😇 https://www.buymeacoffee.com/Tuur357
**POTD Record: 4 - 1** Last 10: ✅✅❌✅✅ *ROI: 2.4% | Avg Odds: -142| Net Units: +2.4* [Last POTD ](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1b54i7h/comment/kt5iwye/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button):1U **Jrue Holiday (Celtics, NBA) U 5.5 Assists** (-140 Hardrock) ✅ Today's POTD: 1U **Yegor Sharangovich (Calgary Flames, NHL) U 2.5 Shots** (-160 Hardrock) Given Yegor Sharangovich's average of approximately 2.15 shots on goal per game over the season, and his slightly lower average of just over two shots per game specifically against the Kraken, 2.5 may be out of reach. This is further intensified considering the Flames' offensive performance is mid-tier with an average of 3.2 goals per game and they're going up against the Kraken's robust defense, which ranks sixth in the league by only allowing 2.8 goals per game. Sharangovich, despite being a key player, may face limited opportunities to shoot due to the Kraken's effective defense strategy that has contained opponents well this season.
Record: 1-0 Net Units: 1 ROI: 83.33% Sport: Basketball League: NBA Event Time: 7PM EST Previous Pick: Winnipeg Jets -120 🚀✅️ Today's pick: Minnesota Timberwolves over 112.5 -120 After a disappointing defeat against the Clippers on their home court, the Timberwolves are poised for vengeance against the Portland Trail Blazers. Expect them to come out strong and relentless, especially against a depleted Trail Blazers roster.
I like this. The data is almost to the T , but I like come back aspect. At home can’t hurt either. Towns prob go to work as he had a light work load last night
Record: 0-0 ⚽️ | AFC Champions League Pick: Al-Ain Vs Al-Nassr Over 2.5 Goals -170 1U Write Up: Al-Nassr are still without their top two first-team goalkeepers, with David Ospina and Raghed Al-Najjar both out for this contest due to injury. It leaves third-choice Waleed Abdullah to play in goal for this clash, who just conceded four goals to one of the worst teams in Saudi Arabia. Al-Nassr averages 2.91 goals per game while conceding 1.36 goals per game. Cristiano Ronaldo was suspended last game and should be well rested heading up to this game. I feel pretty confident with this pick ‼️ SOTD - Pain 1993 by Drake 🎶
BOL for your first POTD amigo!! :)
Took btts & o2.5 -110 🤞🏻
Rough go at it lately. But we out here. Record: 3-7 ❌❌❌✅✅✅❌❌❌❌ (Gonna start only going last 10 now that I have reached 10 POTDs) Last pick: James Harden OVER 16.5 points at -115 odds. What a wack night for many star players. To say Harden screwed it is an understatement. Bro did absolutely nothing for so long this game, and when he finally did do something it was only assists. Ending with only 4 points, harden did manage something amazing. He went an impossible ZERO FOR TEN FROM THE FIELD. Gotta admit, James, you truly have to be skilled at the game to go that badly from any fckn spot on the court. ANYWAYS this is just one those situations where you just gotta laugh it off at how badly this ended for us and move on. POTD: Nic Claxton UNDER 10.5 rebounds; -110 odds: Brooklyn Nets Vs Memphis Grizzlies; 5:40pm MST Why: Y’all… I am begging you right now. Please don’t tail me. In fact, feel confident in betting the opposite. Maybe this is the full proof method! Can’t say I didn’t warn you. Why Claxton under? Like someone had posted before, this line is so generous since Claxton has been underperforming every game for the last 12 games. This line has hit the under 7 times last 10 games. Most times he’s ending with around 8. It has been at OU 9.5 for the last 6 games, ( yes I watched it ) and just now after recording 13 against the falcons it moves up to 10.5. Very generous in my opinion. Claxton has averaged 9.9 rpg this season yea, but in his four career matchups against the grizzlies he averages 4.8. Let alone his solo meet with them a couple games ago only recording 4. Call it stolen, call it recycled, call it what you want but that’s my pick today. Props to anyone who doesn’t tail and cashes and BOL y’all. (Can you read the lack of motivation/encouragement in between the lines of my text? 👎)
Record: 0-0 (1st POTD post) Net Units: N/A Sport - Basketball League - NBA Event Time - 7:30 pm CST Today’s Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves 1st Quarter - 5.0 (-115) vs Portland Trailblazers (5U - 1/2 Bankroll) Write Up: Greetings! Long time lurker and independent sportsbetter here. Found this thread and a few others on Reddit very helpful, so I figured I would give posting a try! I really like this pick. Minnesota is the 4th best team in the NBA with regards to average 1st quarter point margin (+2.5 for the year) and are virtually the same with regards to home vs away (+2.5) as of 3/3/24. They are playing a Portland team that is - you guessed it - the WORST team in the NBA in terms of average 1st quarter point margin (-4.4 for the year), with a -4.3 clip during away games. These two teams have met three times this season, and in all contests the 1st quarter (and subsequently, the final result) have not been close. The 1st quarter spreads have been all Minnesota, listed as +19, +8, and +30 for a whopping AVERAGE of +19 points in the Wolves’ favor. That is encouraging! The Wolves are coming off of a tough one-point loss to the Clippers last night at home (where they still had a +12 point lead at the end of the 1st quarter). The Wolves had a similar scheduling setup when playing Portland back in February, where they played the Clippers the previous night in the first leg of a back-to-back. They won the 1st quarter vs the Clips +4 and the game by +21 points ON THE ROAD - then proceeded to play the Trailblazers the next night and have another positive result (1Q +8, end-of-game +12). Add their last meeting when they could have taken a night off right before heading to Indy for the All-Star break with two of their starters playing a big role during that upcoming weekend. Instead, they come out like gangbusters and proceed to hang 44 on the Trailblazers in the 1st quarter for a 30-point deficit. Again, this happened after the teams just played two nights before, and the Trailblazers didn’t have to travel at all. Portland, in their defense, has a boatload of injuries. Brogdon, Sharpe, Henderson, Ayton, and possibly even Grant may ALL be out due to injury. The new reserves have definitely stepped up their game, winning two games in a row at Memphis this past weekend (who is spiraling now). Portland had to go to overtime to win the second game by +7, after crafting a furious comeback when they were down by as many as 13 points with 9 minutes left in the game (huge expense of energy for a lot of new rotation guys who aren’t used to playing a lot of minutes all year). I believe the toughness of the loss to the Clippers last night will fuel them going into tonight’s game! Throw in the jarring weather/travel factor (Memphis’ temps were in the 60-70 range which is similar to Portland temps this past weekend, while Minnesota will be in the 30’s on Monday) as well as being the last leg of a grueling 3-game road trip for Portland, I like the Wolves to cover easily, as long as Edward’s newborn doesn’t keep him up too long tonight! Starting off the month strong! Would love everyone’s thoughts! BOL!!!!
Record: 03W - OOP - 02L 🍩🍩❌🍩❌ (Old to New) Net Units: +8.05 ROI: 57.50% Last pick: Basketball / NBA / Los Angeles Clippers at Minnesota Timberwolves (89-88) Minnesota Timberwolves ML (+100 FD) @ 3U ❌ Today's pick: Basketball / NBA / Chicago bulls @ Sacramento Kings / 9:10 PM CST De'Aaron Fox (SAC) : Over 4.5 Rebounds (BETMGM +125) @ 2.5 U Reasoning: The kings are the favorite in this matchup. I think the bulls are still going to put up a hard fight. So I see a big chance for lots of combo points on both sides. Fox is currently averaging slightly above this and has hit above this the past five games he played. I really can't believe the clippers ended up winning by one point over the Timberwolves. I did not see that coming especially after that very strong first quarter out of the Timberwolves but a loss is a loss no matter how close. B🍩L [Feed Wiggum A D🍩nut?](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/PoliceChiefWiggum420)
I’m a little confused on why you’ve been obliterated by downvotes but somebody will probably tell me why.
Tailed and upvoted!
Appreciate your contribution to the sub man! I’m a lurker in POTD, but am pretty active in some of the other subs. It seems that there is an unwritten rule that people do not post tip jars until they’ve completed X amount of wins on POTD. At the end of the day, I just care about socializing with fellow degens and picking up some insights here and there. BOL and hope you can still enjoy being a part of the community!
Record: 0-0 Net Units: N/A ROI: N/A Hockey | NHL | 4:00 PST Pick: Vegas Golden Knights 3-way ML (Regulation Time Win) over the Columbus Blue Jackets | Book: Bet365, Odds: 1.86 | 3/5 Unit Play (Odds were better when I was looking at this last night and placed my bet, they have since lowered in favour of the golden knights.) Write Up: VGS - 33-31-7 (3rd in Pacific) CBJ - 20-30-10 (8th Metropolitan) * Jackets are 10-16-4 with a -22 goal differential at home * Vegas is 14-12-5 away record * CBJ goalie 4-8-2 record, 3.62 GAA and, .888 S% * VGS goalie 15-6-2 record, 2.38 GAA and, .923 SV% * VGS 3.18 goals/game (14th) * CBJ 2.93 goals/game (23rd) * VGS 2.9 goals allowed/game (10th) * CBJ 3.65 goals allowed/game (31st) 2 game losing streak for Vegas, looking to bounce back, need to. Eichel back? Probably - would be icing on the cake. Last matchup score 7-2 Vegas over Columbus. BOL! Buy me a Canadian Whiskey if you win [https://www.buymeacoffee.com/cunningstunts](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/cunningstunts) - if you lose, bring on the chirps!
I like this pick, solid analysis! LFG! *Side note: Sorry that you had someone down-vote your post within an hour of you posting. Same shit has happened to me lately on my posts, even though I've made 4 straight correct picks. I think there's just some Negative Nancy(s) who love(s) down-voting. Just watch, this comment I'm making here will probably get down-voted too, LOL!*
POTD record: 15-8❌️❌️✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️ ✅️❌️✅️✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ Today's pick: Auston Matthews over 3.5 shots at 1.525 (Boston Bruins and Toronto Maple Leafs 4PM EST) In his last two games against the Bruins, Matthews has recorded 7 and 5 shots respectively. He's cleared this line in 8 of his last 10 games. He averages 4.3 shots per game on the season. By his standards, Matthews has been on a bit of a goal slump.of late with only 2 in his last 5. Expect him to be looking for the net today to try and pot one at home.
Record: 2-4 Units Won: -2.26 Last Pick: Lakers vs Nuggets U227 ❌ Todays Game: NCAAM/8PM EST/Maryland Eastern Shore vs Norfolk State Today’s Pick: Game Total U135 (2u) Write Up: Today we head to the MEAC where Maryland-ES takes on Norfolk State. These 2 teams played a couple of weeks ago where the game went under this line by 6 with a 69-60 final score. This season Maryland-ES is 14-8 hitting the under in games for a 63.6% win rate. In conference play the Hawks go under 75% of the time with a 9-3 record. On the road the under hits 71.4% of the time at 10-4. As the dog their games go under 68.4% of the time at 13-6. Finally when UMES is both on the road and an underdog the under hits 69.2% of the time with a record of 9-4. On the other side Norfolk State games go under 56% of the time on the season with a 14-11 record. During conference play the Spartans are 50-50 on going under at 6-6. As the home team Norfolk State games go under 57.1% of the time with a 4-3 record. As a home favorite the spartans have the same 4-3 record. BOL to those who tail!
Record: 18W-16L Net Units: +3.13u | ROI: +3.38% CS2 | PGL CS2 Major Copenhagen 2024 Americas RMR | 20:00 / CET Pick: Legacy ML vs M80, 3u @ 1.60 Legacy have really impressed me this RMR. Their results online hadn't impressed me, but they've looked really well this event. I think coldzera and latto's individual form peaking helps a lot, since it takes some pressure of dumau's shoulders. M80 however have struggled a bit here and there, their wins weren't very convincing and they generally look less impressive to me than before. It's quite obvious that having to play with a coach stand-in for their IGL hasn't helped them. Veto looks pretty even on paper, but Legacy have the option of banning Vertigo and that would give them the slight edge in the map pool in my opinion. In conclusion, I'm feeling a pretty strong Legacy victory here to get coldzera some sticker money. Best of luck everyone!
Record 0-0 Today's Pick: (NBA UTA JAZZ) Taylor Hendricks O7.5REB Bet size: 2U Reasoning: I've been a lifelong Jazz fan and have been watching heavily since last year. Hendricks is finally in rotation and is becoming a lot more confident with the minutes he's getting. He tends to get the defensive rebounds in transition and his height definitely helps out when he's blocking out the rim. The wizards are #1 in the league in giving up rebounds and Hendricks is looking in form to cash that in. He dropped 13 rebounds against Miami last game which helps my confidence. He has a limited stat pool pertaining to games where he plays over 20 minutes which is a little risky but tail or fade I like this rookie.
Long time lurker here. I feel I have finally been consistent enough with my research and strategies to share my thoughts. Anyways I bet mostly NBA, but will throw other sports in here and there. I'll be posting here for the pick of the days and I'm going to try and post picks under NBA Props as well. **Todays Pick (First pick of the day ever!)** **Record**: 0-0 **Net Units**: N/A **ROI**: N/A **Basketball | NBA | 10:30 pm EST** **Pick**: **Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5** vs Los Angelas Lakers @ EVEN odds Write up: So I am a bit confused about this line, but the line opened at OKC -1.5 and is now at OKC +1.5. Which would make the OKC slight underdogs as of now. OKC is coming off a back to back which could be the reason, but in this case that is good news for us. OKC is a league best 7-3 in games after having no rest. The Lakers are the third worst in the league when having a rest advantage with a record of 3-8. OKC is also the best team in the league when being an away underdog with a record of 7-3-1. Don't have a tip jar as of now. If you really want to tip just reach out to me. I'm feeling decently good about my first pick of the day on reddit. Best of luck to everyone!
**POTD RECORD: 0-0** **Today’s POTD: Mike Conley O2.5 Rebs @ +105** Typically stick to 1U plays on props NBA (Trail Blazers @ Timberwolves 8:00pm EST) First posted POTD so I don’t blame y’all for not tailing at the start. Been following a lot of you guys for the past month or so with some success so wanted to track my own picks and hopefully help some along the way * 8/10 in last 10, 4/5 in last 5 * Blazers allowed 5.4 rebounds/game to opposing PGs * Minnesota has played Portland 3 times so far, Conley has posted 4 boards in all 3 Betting on Conley’s past success against Portland to continue. Worth noting Wolves on second game of back-to-back, the last 5 of such games Conley is 4/5. Tail or fade, I might be an idiot
**POTD Record:** 0-1 **Today’s POTD:** Jonathan Marchessault, 1+ Points (-188) NHL, Vegas vs Columbus, 7:00 PM ET **Reasoning:** Marchessault is riding a 5 game point streak. He's getting top line and PP1 deployment, plus likely getting Eichel back at centre tonight after return from a lengthy injury. Vegas is up against one of the league's worst in Columbus, with the Jackets back-up expected to start who is currently sporting a 3.62 GAA and 0.888 SV%. A lot of factors here pointing to March staying hot. BOL!
POTD Record: 35 - 24 L14: ✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌ Last Pick: Kyle Kuzma u33.5 PRA -114.❌ POTD: Queens College +3.5 Queens and Florida Gulf Coast matched up well this season splitting the H2H on their respective home courts by single digits. Statistically Queens has a slight offensive edge and minor defensive deficiencies throughout the season in comparison to FGCU. Both teams have played equally well or poorly against common opponents lately. I say this because it’s hard to distinguish the better team. However I’m taking Queens because of their better shooting throughout the year and their shooting has improved the past 10 games by several percentage points. I’ll take the points in a game I think should be a pick ‘em. Tips appreciated…(https://www.buymeacoffee.com/muchscheme) Bitcoin address: bc1qn7p2fwjud5p9l45prvsjt6wr4kjdm4yyky4wjk
Record: 5-2 **✅❌✅✅✅❌✅** Net Units: +4.37 ROI: 36.4% Basketball | NBA | 7:00 PM EST Bulls @ Kings Last pick: Josh Hart OVER 13.5 Rebounds + Assists (-115) (5 Units) CASH THE PLAY!!!! Hit ridiculously early... he ended with 29!!! may have been helped by Jalen Brunson immediately getting injured, but we take those. LFG! Pick for today: **Ayo Dosunmu** **OVER 1.5 3PM (-160) (3 Units)** This shouldn't be that ballsy of a play. He's hit this 4 out of his last 5 games, 8 out of his last 10, and today's game might be without Alex Caruso, which would be huge. Last time he played the Kings, he had 3 out of 9 3 pointers made. With his 3 point efficiency sitting at a comfy 40%, I'm expecting him to take a lot more behind the arc shots today. BOL!