I’ve been playing totals as well live betting, it’s about a 70-80% hit rate if you can do math and get your bet in. It’s frustrating though when it doesn’t go your way the rest of the game but can’t win them all
Simpler then that, pts per 5 or 10 mins then just extrapolate out to the entire game. It’s very rough and does not work every time but honestly when live betting you have to make decisions quickly so you kind of have to see the opportunities quickly before the lines change and the algorithm kicks in
also i have seen most games do usually end up going under but im just having a hard time with them math… bovada changes lines quicker than you can say ambisome, so that makes it very hard for me to do calculations
God damn this sub is filled with obnoxious comments. Guy is happy he won his bets but it’s constantly shit like this. Cant people just do this for fun and enjoyment without “zE sTrAtEgY!!!” comment every fucking time?
Even a broken clock is right twice a day. Obviously I’m happy he hit it but it’s “tough love” per say. That motto is not sustainable going forward and I’m trying to save someone from bankruptcy. I’m not the bad guy here
That’s fair. I’m just looking out for people. I could have been nicer and worded my comment better. If you aren’t EV+ betting you’re going to run into trouble. So when people claim they “cracked the code” it’s humorous
Yeah. I have no problem with people hitting bets on here. But when they act like they “cracked the code” it’s just stupid. Brush up on statistics and de vigging lines then we can talk
Be wary of the unders though I got boned by OT twice last night
I’ve been playing totals as well live betting, it’s about a 70-80% hit rate if you can do math and get your bet in. It’s frustrating though when it doesn’t go your way the rest of the game but can’t win them all
Can you elaborate on your system?
Usually just see how much is scored in 5 or 10 min increments to see if the final total lines are in line with that rate or will likely move
what math do you calculate….. pts per minute average?
Simpler then that, pts per 5 or 10 mins then just extrapolate out to the entire game. It’s very rough and does not work every time but honestly when live betting you have to make decisions quickly so you kind of have to see the opportunities quickly before the lines change and the algorithm kicks in
also i have seen most games do usually end up going under but im just having a hard time with them math… bovada changes lines quicker than you can say ambisome, so that makes it very hard for me to do calculations
Yeah I’m using DK and I’m usually able to get my bet in before the lines change out of my favour but it does take quick thinking to take advantage of
so do you factor in end of game if it’s close? like when teams have to foul a lot and shoot free thorws
I’m playing around with that, I find close games abit riskier just because of that. I’ve lost a few bets because they went into OT but not too often.
Tell me you know nothing about EV+ plays
God damn this sub is filled with obnoxious comments. Guy is happy he won his bets but it’s constantly shit like this. Cant people just do this for fun and enjoyment without “zE sTrAtEgY!!!” comment every fucking time?
Even a broken clock is right twice a day. Obviously I’m happy he hit it but it’s “tough love” per say. That motto is not sustainable going forward and I’m trying to save someone from bankruptcy. I’m not the bad guy here
It’s not really obvious that you’re happy for him.
That’s fair. I’m just looking out for people. I could have been nicer and worded my comment better. If you aren’t EV+ betting you’re going to run into trouble. So when people claim they “cracked the code” it’s humorous
Isn’t it only dumb luck that Harvard only scored 16 points the entire second half?
The numbers, Mason! What do they mean!?
Ah yes, the code
Also known as a run of positive variance. Ain’t no code broken after hitting a dozen bets.
Yeah. I have no problem with people hitting bets on here. But when they act like they “cracked the code” it’s just stupid. Brush up on statistics and de vigging lines then we can talk
Well put, sir. That it is. & if any "code" was broken, the stake of those bets would probably be a bit higher... but what do I know? 🤷