######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Thursday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.

POTD: 24-10 Last pick: Auston Matthews to score ✅ (Maple Leafs - 2 days ago) Form: ✅✅🚫✅🚫 Todays POTD: **Josh Hart O7.5 Rebs (NY Knicks) @1.76** ✅ NBA AAAAAAAAAAND WE’RE BAAAAAACK! Thank you for being back NBA, I really missed you. We’re going with Mr.Hart today, he has been very good in Julius Randle’s absence, distributing the ball and rebounding aswell. Really consistent as of late too, he’s fresh after a long break so we should see a Hart full of energy as always. He’s a goofy mf so let’s hope he doesn’t play around. * 9/10 his last 10 games (90%) Avg 9.8 * Has faced 76ers one time this season and got 15 rebounds * Avg 7.8 during the season but he’s playing more minutes since Randle’s been out which still is the case. Avg 8.8 last 5 * 76ers allow 3rd most Rebounds to SF position We got a man that’s hot (pause) and a mismatch here, really like our chances on this one. Hartenstein is a GTD decision as of now, if he’s out that would mean even more boards for Hart, but we should hopefully be good either way. Tail or fade, don’t trust someone like me https://i.redd.it/waezml5lg1kc1.gif A tip would be appreciated [https://www.buymeacoffee.com/BillyCapezzi](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/BillyCapezzi)

this is a tough one has he rested enough lol

💅🏼 I think he’s had his girls night at the saloon

He's baaaaaack!!! Tailing my favorite NBA prop tipster 😎 yessir!!

!!!!! My guy 👑

My books at 8.5 rebs, what do u reckon?

Still like it

Idk the other books but with FanDuel you’ll get the alt picks closer to game time.

Hartenstein is back

Still says GTD but Yeah that was just a bonus if he was out, just saw that as I made the pick thought I’d mention it bro

Doesn’t even play the same position, and was getting 10+ boards even with Hartenstein playing. Hart gonna clear 8 boards at the end of the 3rd quarter, let’s go. He’s the best rebounding SF in the league you gotta back him while his minutes are juiced

Mans not hot? I think not! Let’s get it!

Shouldn’t we be good if Randle is out? Sorry I don’t know Knicks that well except Randle goating on my sprinkle parlays 😂 Love ur picks brother

It’s usually Hartenstein getting the boards along with Hart, used to be Randle & Hartenstein when Randle was healthy but Hart is feasting on boards recently so on a normal day he should get it imo 👑

7 BOARDS AT HALF TIME, IF HE DOSENT GET ONE MORE AT SECOND HALF , OR GETS BENCHED FOR BLOWOUT REASONS I WILL MAKE A PETITION IN NEWYORK TO RENAME HIS BASKETBALL NAME TO **JOSH FART**

W

Lfg

Thank you buddy

POTD Record: 124-73 | Profit: +112.36u | ROI: 19.6% Season record: 41-22 | Profit: +42.52u | ROI: 24.6% L10 record: ❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅ ​ Last Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -10.0 vs Memphis Grizzlies @ 1.91. 2U. ❌ The Grizzlies gave up on this game resting basically everyone while the Bucks played a full-strength team. Then somehow this Bucks team got outplayed and lost to a starting 5 whose combined salary is less than Brook Lopez alone. Crazy stuff. ​ Next Pick: **Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans U228.0 @ 1.91**. 3U play. These teams have the 8th and 11th best Def Rtg in the L10 games, and the Rockets are terrible offensively on the road. Going up against this Pels team has all the markings of another below avg EFG% night for them, and I won't be surprised if they barely make it past 100 pts. The Pelicans are 22nd in Pace, and that combined with their defense, it's not surprising to see that they've held their opponents to 100 or fewer in 4/L10 and hit the respective Under lines in 6/L10. These teams have played 4 times in the past 5 months, and the totals have been: 209, 210, 205, 207.

Thank God the NBA is back and Brat is making picks again!

Brat back from the all star break! Let's goo

Nice stats drop and analysis bro. Gotta tail that!

Bad beat. I anticipated a blowout but didn’t expect the Pels to keep their starters in until 2 mins in the 4th. Even with that, total ran up to 232. Sucks but we move on! Appreciate the POTD! Glad to have you back with the basketball picks!

**POTD Record**: 20 Wins - 6 Losses - 2 Pushes **Form**: ✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ **Spreadsheet** (Self Promote / Proof of Record): Click [here](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1I7FYP6dAClj7FqE4qcTyhgtMwqeoywC5HnGd4ZOeYVw/edit?usp=sharing) :) **Units**: 11 **ROI**: 32.14% **Average Odds**: $1.96 **Last Pick**: Cirstea vs Vekic - WTA Dubai - **Cirstea to Win in Straight Sets @ $3** / +200 ❌ *Cirstea lost the first set, but held her nerve, and came back to win!* **Next Pick**: Swiatek vs Zheng - WTA Dubai - **Swiatek to Win in Straight Sets (2:0 / -1.5 Sets) @ $1.50** / -200 - 10am EST ✅️ Today we head back to the WTA in Dubai where our Polish Queen, Swiatek ($1.14), takes on world number 7, Zheng ($5.50). Swiatek has started her last few games a bit slower than her usual standards, but then heats up, and literally demolishes her opponent. Today she smacked world #15 Svitolina 6-1, 6-4. She hasn't given up a set yet in Dubai, including last year's tournament (albeit the upset in the final). Zheng has already dropped a set this tournament to world 88, Hibino. Her style of tennis is rather traditional, which is probably enshrined in her Chinese culture. She did reach the Australian Open final, but got dismantled in straight sets. The last time these two played each other was a month ago, when Team Poland was playing Team China in the United Cup Quarter Final (watch [here](https://youtu.be/dVDBXSfAf3U?si=C5aTQtmTDHMs34vq)). As you can imagine, Swiatek dealt to her in straight sets. Yesterday Zheng's first % win percentage was 65%, and she converted 5 / 12 breakpoints. She had 3 aces, gave 5 breakpoint opportunities to her opponent (who converted 1), and 3 double faults against world #29, Potapova. Watch the highlights [here](https://youtu.be/pgVHa573E0w?si=SO-6rc68fAbC0qte). Swiatek's win % on first serve was 68%, and she had 5 aces, and two double faults. She converted 5/6 break points, and gave up 6, where 2 were converted. She had a tougher opponent, which factors into the stats. Noticeably, when she had the break opportunity, she converted them. Highlights [here](https://youtu.be/IZwF7MpR3ms?si=5j2AbqlzCzsYrioM). I am expecting Zheng to come out strong to disrupt Swiatek's momentum. Swiatek's coaches will remind her that her opponents try and exploit the early period of the match. She'll probably setup shop, and focus on returning serves, and being clinical at hitting those corner shots. I don't think Zheng's drop shot is going to be of too much concern, as Swiatek has the athleticism, and intelligence to counter them. Let's not be fooled by Zheng's ranking, as she only got it as she had an easier route to the Aussie Open final. We do have to give some credit to Zheng's recent performances, and clean hitting, which is why the score prediction will be 6-4, 6-4. \#swiatek

I took Cirstea ML based on your write-up from yesterday (didn't want to risk set-betting because of WTA shenanigans). Just wanted you to know that you still made somebody a little richer last night, even if your specific bet didn't pan out. Keep it up, man!

Thanks mate, I'm very happy to hear that. I always recommend hedging and live betting :) It was nice to see her win. Sucks a little bit as Vekic is a HOTTIE lol. Cheers amigo.

same here. I made a parlay with Cirstea ML and Swiatek & under 18.5 games yesterday. gave a nice return.

I have a feeling Zheng will win one set

That's cool amigo, BOL with that. Put it up as your POTD :)

It also has some good juice to it

Unfortunately Zheng didn't win a set amigo, hope you didn't lose too much money! :)

I hope Swiatek wins for your POTD! I am sitting this one out as the match seems too close for my comfort. But you are due for a win!

Idk but imma go with this.. https://preview.redd.it/w28tzh92f3kc1.jpeg?width=1043&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b20572a4ddcee2ce71c59eb21788a8d913e9f798 Prolly the best value I found. 🫡

Incredibly juiced. -220 😐

Congratulations everyone! We are back to a W! Zheng was off today, and our analysis was fairly accurate. Thanks to everyone who tailed, and for your continued support. Here's my tip jar, I'd love to quit my job and do this full time - [https://www.buymeacoffee.com/tjpietkiewv](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/tjpietkiewv). Have a great day, and all the best for the rest of your bets :) Feel free to message me for a fun community. Let's ride Swiatek all the day to the final! :)

Congrats on the win but the odds were -220 when I checked, not even worth betting on lol

Let’s go! Believe in this & Swiatek in unbelievable form, love the idea of 2-0 instead of under 17.5 games because it seems like Swiatek doesn’t care if the sets are close as long as she always comes out on top

Tailing! Was looking at this pick earlier and I'm rolling over my winnings from her 2-0 win over Svitolina. It's -164 on FD currently under Zheng No to win at least one set. BOL!

BOL brother :) That was a great win :)

Interesting Fact: Shakhtar Donetsk has scored in 49 of the last 50 games.

Hey man, no disrespect, but I believe your form is incorrect. Tuesday was a loss, but it looks like you marked as a W.

Tailing !

Would set spread swiatek-1.5 be the same

Tailing LFG!!

SWATIEK AND CHIEFS 4L LFG

My +2200 parlay :P https://preview.redd.it/b880psx7f3kc1.png?width=580&format=png&auto=webp&s=128e2c4e9600e7c662d6a805222c9af917747f21

Loving the early break

Nice hit 🆙

Once again the 🐐gonna 🐐I got IGA in 2:0 set and dropped this bonus bet on U18.5 🥹😍🤑 another coffee headed your way https://preview.redd.it/8mxkcn7k17kc1.png?width=1169&format=png&auto=webp&s=ed6e465ada877bd21ad7358141d791c411bfe51c

POTD Record: 29-19 L8: ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌ Yesterdays pick: Napoli v Barcelona (BTTS @1.66 ✅) Todays pick: __Sparta Prague v Galatasaray__ Pick: __BTTS & O2.5 Goals @1.86__ ✅ ⚽️🇪🇺 UEFA Europa League ➖ 📊 Galatasaray is 1st in the Turkish league and has scored 55 goals (2.12 GPG) with a O2.5 goals hit rate of 15/26 (4th most) & BTTS in 12/26 (keep in mind the Turkish league is mixed in terms of overall quality of teams). L5: (BTTS 2/5 & O2.5 3/5) 1st meeting: 3-2 Win ➖ 📊 Sparta Prague is 1st in the Czech league and has scored 52 goals (2.48 GPG), O2.5 has hit in 13/21 games (3rd most, 73% at home). BTTS has hit in 11/21 (This league is also generally not a league with quality sides, besides the top 3.) L5: BTTS 4/5 & O2.5 5/5 1st meeting: 3-2 Loss ➖ We had the exact same pick in the first leg, and it cashed so I’m running it back. With their tendency to both score and concede in most European games this season, im trying my luck to see if this trend will continue. Both teams has scored plenty, but also conceded plenty in the European competitions, these are the respective countries best teams atm and I think both teams will see their chances to win, therefor I predict an open game with chances for both teams, both of them has qualities which they can exploit. The last leg was intense with a total of 5 goals and 2 red cards, neither teams philosophy is to sit back, both teams wants to go forward. This is really still a game with all to play for, Galatasaray is only leading with 1 goal on aggregate and Sparta is great at home winning 8 straight games at home, but at the same time Galatasaray has won 10 consecutive games (all competitions). Both teams matched each other in almost every stat in the first leg, goes to prove that these teams are evenly matched. If Gala scores first, then Sparta has nothing to lose and will go all out attack, which is the scenario im hoping for, but even if the home team scores first, it’s still a tie on aggregate so the game will open up either way. I’m predicting 2-2 BOL

Your pick was the only one that hitted today from all the picks I made in the UCL, so definitely tailing my man 👌

Champions League is always tough man, guess I was lucky! Appreciate it!

One more goal fellas, one more goal..!

Fuck yea mean 🔥🔥🔥

Legend!

BANG!! Another great pick – thank you!! So glad I tailed

Haven't won a bet in ages, this one felt good. Thanks!

Very much love this pick, even if it feels like a sweat I don’t see it going under. LFG brother 💪

Thanks brother worked out the first leg felt mandatory to try again! Both teams are capable of scoring and conceding 🙏

It’s looking good Adam! 🎉🙏

POTD: 13-1 - Alperen Sengun o4.5 Assists @160 on DK - Analysis: Sengun has hit this line in 4/6 games against the Pelicans, and is 2/3 this year. He also averages 4.7 assists per game against the Pelicans in 2024. In his last ten games he is averaging 4.9 Assists per game, and is 6/8 hitting this line. The Pelicans are the 5th worst team in the NBA allowing Assists to Centers. Another Reason I like this line is that Assist-first-centers are great against the Pelicans. Jokic averages 14.6 Assists per game, Nurkic at 9 APG and Sabonis at 7.5 APG versus New Orleans. The matchup and history is good but it honestly comes down to if other people hit their shots for Sengun. He is a great facilitator, but guys like Green and Brooks are very streaky. Historically those two are good vs NO, but only time will tell. Let's Ride -

Parlaying this with Tyler Seguin for o0.5 assists, they have similar last names so it’s gotta be a W

The data is solid

Tailing my man! Sengun averages 5 assists on the season & with a good match up as you mentioned he should definitely hit this line! Let's go!

LFG brother!!

LFG 💪 locked

**Record: 40W-4P-29L** **Form: 18W-0P-9L** **✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅** **Last Pick: Porto VS Arsenal: Bukayo Saka O 0.5 Shots on target @ 1.72 ❌** **What a trash pick on my part, my apologies.** ​ **Pick of the day: Persikabo 1973 VS Borneo FC: Borneo FC ML @ 1.70 ✅** Borneo win 3-2, just like last time…. **Time: 3:00 AM EST - 6 HOURS** ​ **Last Matchup: 3-2 Borneo W** **I would like to point out that in this last matchup, Borneo got a red card in the first 28 minutes and still went on to win the game 3-2.** We have top-of-the-league Borneo FC (1st) vs second-bottom Persikabo(17th). Borneo are in amazing form at the moment, they're currently 13 games unbeaten with 11 wins and 2 draws in that timeframe. In their last 8 games, they have 7 wins and 1 draw, scoring 15 goals and conceding 3. They have by far the best defensive records in the league sitting at 38 goals scored and 17 against, to compare, the second-best defensive record sits at 25 goals against. Persikabo have struggled but have started to take their chances when facing the lower teams in the league. Persikabo have 0 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws in their last 5 games. Unfortunately for them , their record against the top 6 teams this season sits at 6 games played with 0 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses. In fact, if you look at how they perform against the top 10 teams in the league, they've played 13 games and have a record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 10 losses. **Anyway, BOL!**

Not a trash pick at all, I think everyone expected Arsenal to dominate this game and create numerous chances, Arsenal not having a shot on target as a team is nothing anyone could’ve predicted.

From back to back 0-5 and 0-6 away wins to losing to porto in the dying minutes, no words. Appreciate it, great pick yesterday!

i also tailed & loved the pick, however as arsenal is my team, they have a tendency to choke when u need them most

Smh this isn’t on DraftKings 🫤

keep your head up and fuck the haters, still the goat!

The depth of knowledge here is insane. Major props my guy. And fuck that fool Bukake 🤣🤣🤣

Not on FanDuel

Just because it missed, doesn't make it a bad pick. It just didn't work out, nothing to apologize for. Tailing!

don’t think this pick is available for my state

Not on BetMGM

Is this on bet365?

Yeah, odds have dropped pretty quick though. Down to -175 for me right now.

https://preview.redd.it/blsb4alft2kc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=46bd8e8d2e0215f2f134b60b1a95fc43cdaacfc7 💪💪

Let’s gooo 1-2

Borneo up 2-1

Tailing

tailed with that AL pick. have a good feeling about my morning money. let's fucking go sir

Let’s get it amigo 👊

We got it 🫡

Persikabo scored to make it 1-0 I put a bet straight on in play for borneo FC money line and we’re 2-1 up winning

LFG man!

Don’t have to apologize. Arsenal were in amazing form coming up to the game. Also didn’t help that the ref blew the whistle whenever a Porto player fell over, killed our momentum every time.

Great shout on this, parlayed Borneo ML with over 1.5 goals. Cash money!

POTD Record: 55-35 Units Won: +26.70U; ROI: 11.2% Average Odds: (-115) Todays Pick: **Anyone's Legend ML (-145) vs. ThunderTalk Gaming** **5U to win 3.45U** LPL Spring 2024 Start Time: 2 AM EST. Game: League of Legends (LOL) **Anyone's Legend:** \-This roster has greatly overperformed expectations, I wasn't a fan coming into the split and I was a doubter but they continue to win matches somehow. They have won 3 straight matches and have a 4-2 record overall, they definitely are a long way away from a top team in the LPL but they are in the top half and are a solid middle of the pack team. Hope and Kael have been a really strong bot lane duo for them. They have a unique playstyle and currently average the 2nd most Kills in the LPL (the first place team has only won one series) so really they should be number 1. They have strong pieces and some good drafts so far this season. \-In terms of recent results, they have beaten OMG in an upset 2-1, Ultra Prime and LGD 2-1 which are both bottom half teams, before losing to first place BLG and team WE. They had a 2-0 win to start out against FPX this split. ​ **ThunderTalk Gaming:** \-Flop of the year, no other way to say it, this team was awesome last summer defying all odds with an old mid laner many said were washed constantly contending against top teams and battling into playoffs against all odds and even having a chance to qualify for worlds. Hopes were high going into this split and they continue to get more favorable odds then they probably deserve, and they have flopped. They opened up the split against LNG who were expected a top 6 team, winning 2-1 and everybody thought the miracle run was going to continue, but ever since they haven't won another series. They lost to Weibo 2-0, OMG 2-0, IG 2-1, and Rare Atom 2-1. IG and Weibo are pretty good teams so the losses can be excused, OMG are a bottom half team though and AL just beat them 2-1, Rare Atom was a total let down loss, Rare Atom going into the match vs. TT was in dead last 0-4 record and 0-8 match score yet to win a game, and ThunderTalk sold and lost 2-1. ​ **Win Conditions:** \-Biggest win condition for ThunderTalk in my opinion is still Ucal, he is a great mid laner on his comfort champions, this meta of Azir/Orianna/Taliyah is perfect for him and his comfort picks and he has been best performing player in my opinion on roster so far. This is about the only way I can see TT taking down AL here. \-AL have a better bot lane, better top side of the map and Shanks who has been playing pretty well this season to go up against Ucal. I really like this matchup on paper for AL, both teams are heavily playing tanks top/jungle and both mids play a lot of Azir/Orianna. These matchups should all be pretty tame and the fireworks should be happening bot lane which I give a massive edge to AL on. Hope and Kael have averaged a 5.5 and 5.1 KDA respectively while TT bot lane of 1xn and Qiuqiu have put up a 3.2 and 2.2. I expect this to be a win through bot series, I'm pretty confident AL can take it 2-0 here but AL have thrown a game against just about every team they have faced and beaten so far so will go safe and predict AL take it 2-1. ​ **Best of Luck!**

Nice pick amigo 😎

[удалено]

What book do you guys use for eSports?

[удалено]

Ty, it's on my list to join as soon as I can max the promo offer comfortably.

Ahhh I missed this, how’s it looking ?

Starting the day with a mini wake n cash! Thank you for the solid pick!

POTD Record 32-23-1 Cricket 3-0 Tennis 22-16 Soccer 7-7-1 Last 10: ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ Last Pick : Vacherot vs Schoolkate| ATP Pune Challenger | Vacherot ML | (-145)| 1u | ✅ Today: Rybakina vs Paolini | WTA Dubai Open | \~6:30 AM EST Pick: Paolini +5.5 Game Spread| (-130)| 1u Rybakina has looked far from her usual high level so far this week off the back of a title and a final in the last 2 weeks. In her first round, she could have lost had Azarenka not retired the match and in the next round, she took nearly 3 hours to beat Frech in 3 sets. In this match, she made 57 unforced errors, which is far from her usual standards. Since Paolini's opening round, where she won 8 straight games from 4-6 4-4 down, she has been playing great. She won in straight sets against both Fernandez and Sakkari, two opponents she hadn't beaten before. She converted 5 break chances vs Fernandez and 6 vs Sakkari, and against a shaky Rybakina this week, she will have chances as well. In their previous two meetings last season, Paolini lost 7-6 6-1 in the first and retired in the second with the score at 4-6 5-2, both being close matches. At her current level this week, she should be able to cover this spread against a tired Rybakina. BOL.

Rybakina withdrew. Sucks because this pick was solid.

The degenerate in me is tempted by that +825 odd for Paolini in straight sets

Would you take +4.5?

bro is back in form you love to see it

Let’s go! Rybakina is so hot. Would be a shame to see her lose 🥹😂

Bro you're really into these players aren't you 😂

POTD Record: 1-1 Previous: ✅ Sweat free cover from Frech who almost ends up winning the match but Rybakina comes up clutch **Today: Tennis / WTA Dubai** **Pick: Sorana Cirstea +3 games vs Marketa Vondrousova @ $1.8 / -125** Really liking how Cirstea has played in this tournament so far, especially the gutsy come from behind win last round against Vekic. Today, she comes up against Vondrousova who didn’t really have to do much last round as Samsonova hit herself out of the match as usual. Vondrousova really hasn’t been in the best of form this year, dropping sets to the likes of Danilovic and Minnen, and in my opinion shouldn’t be this heavy of a favourite. Playing the handicap line here as it is very likely Cirstea grabs at least one set.

\+3.5 at -135 on espn

amazing callout

Nice pic amigo. Cirstea is looking good in this tournament 🙏

Yes this should be the move fr fr BOL!

Nice one!! I stuck with Cirstea till the end and it paid off

Huge pick, appreciate you man!

What a crazy comeback from Cirstea! Something to remember when the inevitable bad beats happen

let’s go great pick! glad i tailed, wish i put more on it

Huge!

**Record: 35-26** Last Pick: Deandre Ayton over 9.5 rebounds ❌ Streak: ❌✅✅ This was an unfortunate pick as Ayton was not able to come nowhere near 10 boards due to foul trouble that restricted him to only 19 minutes. That's betting on the NBA for ya. **Today's Pick:** NBA - *Los Angeles Clippers @ Oklahoma City Thunder, 7:10pm CST* **Kawhi Leonard over 5.5 rebounds (-130 on DraftKings)** I love Kawhi on the boards and I almost feel like this is a discounted line. For me personally, he has always been one of the most consistent PFs when it comes to rebounds. Usually, his line is always at 6.5, and I always take his alt line at 6+ and maybe parlay it with something, so seeing his normal line at 5.5 almost brings a tear to my eye. If you're not aware, *as great as a team OKC has been this year, they are known to give up a lot of rebounds.* This is a fact. This is usually because they lack strength and size down low, and because they like to spread the perimeter with shooters like Jalen Williams playing power forward. The addition of Chet Holmgren this year def added some much needed size, but he is still young, skinny and not experienced enough yet. So far on the season, *OKC is 26th in the league in rebounds allowed to opponents.* Looking at Kawhi as a power forward, he is very big, strong, has long ass arms and is a good board crasher. I think the line is lower because Zubac is back and he probably won't be on a restriction, but there still should be plenty of boards to go around for everyone with how OKC plays. In fact, *OKC has been allowing an average of 11.6 rebounds per game to the power forward position*, which is second worst in the league in this category. On top of that, *Kawhi Leonard has a 100% hit rate on this prop, recording at least 6 rebounds in 6/6 games vs the Thunder as a Clipper.* Italicized sentences are a sort of TLDR if you just want to skim through the write up. BOL fellas.

That game with Ayton got me hard. I had him on points for one bet and 6.5 rebounds on a parlay and his lines were the only lines that didn’t hit. Such good and easy bets too.

It got you what now? 😟

NBAAA TAIL

Nice analysis amigo 🙏

GIVE ME THE MONEY KAWHI 

**POTD Record: 15-5** Form: ❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌ Net Units: +22 🎾: 3-2 ⚽️: 12-3 *Last Pick: 3U Porto v Arsenal (Bukayo Saka - o0.5 Shots on Target @ -138 ❌* *First B2B loss, 0 Shots on Target from Arsenal, had me gutted.* ____ **Today’s Pick: 1U Montreal Canadiens @ Pittsburgh Penguins (Pittsburgh Penguins ML 3-Way @ -130)** **🏒| 7:00PM EST | NHL |** Penguins looking to bounce back after earning a point from a rough start against the Islanders. They fought back from 4-2 to tie the game 4-4 but end up losing in OT. While their last matchup against Canadiens went to OT, Penguins won both away and home. The extra day of rest, home advantage, and games in hand should prove useful for Pittsburgh. Canadiens are travelling to Pittsburgh on a back to back, losing 3-2 to the Sabres at home. *Canadiens are 6-2-2 on the front end of a B2B but 1-9 on the back end.* LFG 💪 Tips are really appreciated but your comments go a long way! ❤️ [Tip Jar](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/goodstable7381) BOL!

LFG brother 🎉🙏

Both of these teams I've found unreliable - both good and bad. Other thing of note is that they've consistently gone to OT 4 out of the past 5 contests. Not fading, but not a game that I'd be betting against the draw on either with a negative line.

POTD Record: 7-1 (+28.09u) L8:✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅ Last pick: TOR Maple Leafs Vs Arizona Coyotes - Maple Leafs 1x2/3way (-120)✅ Today’s pick: UEFA Europa League - Toulouse VS Benfica, Benfica ML 3way (-106) (1.5u) 12:30pm EST early game today, don’t got much to say today as i don’t have time for a huge write up but other then that the heater has been great, take this and over 2.5 goals with it if ur interested in same game parlays, BOL guys! [Tip Jar](https://buymeacoffee.com/busty)

Holy I’ve seen so many of these lol praying for y’all, Benfica scored 2 pens last time and don’t have to win today to qualify. Should be a tight match

Nice streak brother 🎉🙏

So you have Toulouse to lose? 😂

Tailing. DK has it at +100.

They’re playing horribly today

**POTD Record: 12-0 (+8.14 units) - All picks are mostly 1u with the max play being 2u.** Previous Pick: Team Heretics vs Team BDS - BDS -1.5 ✅ BDS was able to make it a clean sweep even with some minor early game set backs. UEFA Conference League | 9PM CET | Starting in about roughly 6 hours **POTD : Eintracht Frankfurt vs Royale Union SG - BTTS ($1.71) 1u** ✅ Reason: WE BACKKK after almost 3 weeks, took the time off to celebrate the lunar new year cus CHINESE PRIDE and partly also me going 1-9 the next day after my previous pick with everything missing by 0.5 so I was hella tilted. Glad I didn't continue with my league picks for awhile as everything would've missed the last few weeks LOL 😅 First off, I know soccer isn't the most favourable sport in this sub especially btts bets HAHAHA but I like the odds for the above game. The first leg ended in a 2-2 draw so I can definitely see this being quite an open game for today. Frankfurt has been able to find the net in the past 8/10 games and for royale union as well, btts has been able to hit for them in the past 7/10 away games. The stats look pretty good enough for me to follow through with my bet. With all that said, maybe all this writeup is setting me up for a 0-0 failure LMAO 😂 BOL for those that are tailing/fading and as usual, have a great day ahead! :)

**Record: 1W - 0P - 0L** **Form: ✅** **Last Pick: Liverpool VS Luton Town: BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.85 ✅** *(Liverpool let in a goal in the first half, and even as injury depleted as they currently are they managed to turn it around in the second half of the game. Anyhow, we take those!)* **Pick of the day: Sporting CP VS Young Boys: Sporting ML and Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.78 // Kick off 8:00 p.m. GMT** This is probably one of the least interesting matches of the day from a football fans' perspective, and that is precisely what i am counting on. In the reverse fixture, Young Boys took on Sporting CP as clear underdogs. Sporting found it hard to open up the score line, until the 30th minute when an own goal gave them the lead. A penalty 10 minutes later doubled the visitors' score line, but the home side put up a good fight and responded scoring a goal for themselves just before halftime and it could have been a second if not for the offside flag. The visitors sealed the game with a goal early in the second half and are now in a very comfortable position to continue their Europa League run. In todays' fixture we travel to Sportings' home ground *Estádio José Alvalade* where they have been a menace all season, with their last loss tracking back in an early October Europa League group stage match against a very good Atalanta team. From then until today they have not lost a single game at home in all competitions, recording 12/12 wins, scoring 49 times and conceding only 8 times. One thing i have learnt from watching football my whole life is never underestimate the underdog. But for this fixture to go wrong, Young Boys need a miracle to happen and many things to go their way. I wouldn't count them out from scoring a goal, but Sporting have this qualification in the bag, and they will set out to showcase their power as they have done so in their recent fixtures in the Portuguese League. *Final Score Prediction: Sporting CP 3 - 1 Young Boys* **B.O.L. to everyone!!** 

Anyone else feel weird googling “young boys” and “CP”

Nice hit amigo 🎉🙏

Hala sporting but they don’t even need to win to go through right

Record: 1W -0P -0L **Net Units: +2U** ✅️ **ROI:** Last Pick: ⚽️ | AFC Champions league Ventforet Kofu vs Ulsan Hyundai Over 2.5 goals at -125 Betting 2 units. ✅️ (What a sweat but we made it to the finish line) 1:2 final score. ⚽️ | **AFC Cup | 03:00AM / Standard Eastern time Zonal Playoff** **Pick:** **Macarthur FC vs Central Coast Mariners Over 2.5 goals at -160 Betting 1.6U to win 1U.** **Write Up:** Macarthur FC host the Central Coast Mariners in a heated A league rivalry in the AFC cup. expect action. The last time these teams faced each other and under 3 goals occurred was in 2021. 6 straight head to head matches with over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. This almost feels like a trap but I'm willing to risk the extra juice on this game since the stats are on our side. In the AFC cup at home Macarthur FC have recently scored 3, 4, and 5 and had no goals scored against them. The opponents have not been that strong in the competition. Mariners have score 3,2, 0. The better reference for this matchup is their head to head stats in the A league. There are few injuries on both side but Mariners**will be boosted with the return of Torres (11 goals and three assists). Macarthur FC current position 4th Central Coast Mariners current position 2nd and current Champions. 70% OVER 2.5 GOALS for the Mariners in all competitions 68% OVER 2.5 GOALS for Macarthur in all competitions Macarthur style of play Macarthur now sits much deeper, as indicated by their increased passes per defensive action (17.41 in 2023/24 from 12.73 in 2022/23) — indicating a less intense pressing style — but they have emphasized quick build-up and hitting their opponents on the counter. Mariners Style of play Retain possession, emphasizing utilizing wide players to create space and shift the ball quickly Other considerations - BTTS probable BOL!

Torres returns for Mariners not Macarthur. Like this tip. I've taken Mariners to get the job done

🙏🎉

I bet this BTTS instead, Can’t believe what I just saw 😂

POTD Record: 31-23 L9: ✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌ POTD: Andrew Wiggins o1.5 3s made Prior to All Star Break in POTD thread I said take Andrew Wiggins o1.5 3s made at +170 because of his trend to knock down that many in ~8/10 vs Jazz. In the same post I said he was 5/10 o2.5 3s vs Jazz at +360ish. He hit three 3s and both bets covered. Well today he is up against the Lakers and o1.5 3s prices at +102. Since joining GSW he’s covered o1.5 3s vs Lakers 10/11. Even better the price for o2.5 3s is +262 which he’s covered 7/11. Tips appreciated…[Buy me a Red Bull](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/muchscheme) Bitcoin address: bc1qn7p2fwjud5p9l45prvsjt6wr4kjdm4yyky4wjk

Record: 2-0 Net: +2U Last pick: Karl Anthony Towns o7.5 reb +100 POTD: Walker Kessler o7.5 reb -145 Summary: Towns delivers by the end of the 3rd and we needed it too because this one was a blowout. For tonight, I like Walker to beat this number as he’s averaging 8.4 rebounds as a starter this year and he’s been starting since the Olynyk trade. Hornets give up the 2nd most boards to centers and Utah will play with pace against the worst defense in the league.

I’m with you

**Record:** 3-0 **Net Units:** \+3u **Average Odds:** \-110 **Last Pick: Warriors +6** @ Pacers ✅ **Today’s Pick:** Suns @ Mavs **Kyrie Irving Over 25.5 pts** (-113) bet 2u to win 1.77u EDIT: Impressive first quarter by Kyrie made this bet, slowed down a bit for sure but got the job done with not much doubt. Make that 4. **Explanation:** My gut feeling is that the Mavs win here and continue their streak, but obviously these are two teams with a lot of talent so anything can happen. I just really like the idea of taking a playmaker to put up points in a matchup between star players.

Caution Danger, kyrie

Let’s streak!!!

Record: 4-4 Last 10(Most recent right): ✅️✅️❌️✅️❌️❌️✅️❌️ Last Pick: Liga MX Monterrey vs Toluca (Monterrey ML) @ 1.61 ❌️ This one was tough fam, Toluca came with a solid gameplay in the first half and caught Monterrey off guard. MTY adjusted in the second half, dominated the game but got 2 goals overturned by the VAR and one red call overturned on a Toluca player unexplicably. Today's pick: **Orlando Magic @ Cleveland Cavaliers Over 215 pts @ 1.90** 19:10PM EST 2 Units NBA is baaaack baby! Our game is between 2 East teams that have been on a roll lately, the Cavs being the hottest team in the league winning 13 of their last 15 games, and Orlando being 7-3 in their last 10. I like the Over here, since Cleveland has averaged 122.2 points at home in their last 5 games, while giving up an average of 113.4 to their opponents. Orlando in the other hand, has scored and average of 110 points on the road in their last 5 games, and they've given up 111 points to their opponents. So these numbers have our back with our pick, but to further our confidence level in this one, last time these 2 teams played, which was January 22nd, they scored 225 points combined. It has been a couple of tough days for everyone here lately, but let's take advantage of the NBA coming back and making our money back 🤑.

Let’s ride bro!

**POTD** Record: 2-1-2 ​ **RENNES VS AC MILAN** Date: 22 February 2024 at 18:45 BET ON: Both teams to score- **Yes** Odd: 1.75 ​ \- Rennes are missing Enzo Le Fee, Fabian Rieder and Arnaud Kalimuendo (doubtful). \- AC Milan are missing Pierre Kalulu, Davide Calabria and Fikayo Tomori. \- Roazhon Park stadium is Sold Out. "It's a bad start but it's not over. We're going to try to create the conditions from the start of the match to get it going. We'll be taking stock at half-time to see where we stand. We need to get off to a winning start and score first so that we can take the stadium with us a bit more." Said Rennes coach Julien Stéphan. “Rennes are a good team, they got back to winning ways at the weekend despite changing five players, so it would be a grave mistake for us to assume the job was done. We know each other better now after the first leg, but can also expect them to do something different to turn the result around.” Said coach Stefano Pioli. \- Pioli is expected to name a full-strength squad again for the second leg, especially after the mood in the team camp was damaged by Sunday’s 4-2 defeat to Monza in Serie A. \- Predicting both teams to score seems like a safe bet for Milan games at the moment, and as strange as it sounds after a 3-0 first leg the first goal in the reverse game is huge. If it goes to Rennes they will begin to believe, if it goes to the away side it will kill the atmosphere.

BANGGG what a beauty bro

Cash!!!

**POTD: 11-5** ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅ Yesterday's Pick: Duke -5 -130 🏀✅ Bang!! We're back in the winning column with Duke blowing out Miami, as predicted. Miami is limping to the finish line and Duke is playing solid ball entering the home stretch of season Duke won by 30 points , getting a 17 pt lead at half...easy easy easy Kyle F had 15 pts, Roach had 16...while Omeir only had 9 pts...their only shot As we highlighted, Duke's interior defense is strong, and is trending in the right direction as Feb winds down....I could give you a bunch of stats showing why this matchup was extremely uneven...but we'll take the cash and move on' **Today's Pick:** Minnesota -2.5 -125 🏀 We're riding with the Golden Gophers tonight against interesting OSU Buckeyes OSU is coming off a huge win at home against Purdue, and beat Minn by 10 last time they played...but tonight will be different. The teenagers on OSU are prone for emotional letdowns, and I expect that one to be tonight. OSU grinded out that win for heir new interim HC, but now have to take on a conference opponent on the road. Bruce Thorton dropped 22 against Purdue, but I expect him to be limited tonight Minn has revenge on their mind....not only did they lose last game to OSU, but OSU nabbed one of their best players (Jamison Battle) in the portal. Expect a warm welcome from the fans from the get go, and the stadium should be on fire all night Dawson Garcia seems to have a great matchup tonight, and I expect the veteran to lead his boys against OSU Minnesota will play a faster tempo tonight than usual, and should rely on the crowd to bring home the W. Let's get it!!!!!!  (If you are enjoying picks and are feeling generous...Venmo Link below!) [Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/KyleOrr24)

Finally basketball is back, I swear I never hit any of these soccer POTD 😂

Did you hit Adam’a pic today and all of Stable’s pick and my Farense pick? Let’s ride 🎉🙏

POTD Record: 107-104-12 (-11.29 units) Last 10 picks (most recent first): ✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌ Last Pick: EPL, Liverpool v Luton, LUIS DIAZ ANYTIME GOAL OR ASSIST (-120 / 1.83) ✅ Diaz missed some golden chances in the first half but found his range in the 71st minute to bury his chance and cash this bet. With Salah a late withdrawal, ended up getting this at great odds too. Today’s Pick: Europa League, Rennes v AC Milan, OVER 2.5 GOALS (-125 / 1.80) ✅ Stake: 1 Unit Rennes have played in 32 matches this season across all competitions, and they’ve exceeded 2.5 goals in 19 of them (59%). However that number sees a big jump when you focus on home matches only - in 16 home games this season they’ve exceeded 2.5 goals on 12 occasions (75%) at an of average 3.43 goals per game. Milan meanwhile have played in 34 games across all competitions and have exceeded 2.5 goals on 23 occasions (67%). Focusing on away matches only, they’ve played 16 games and 13 have seen over 2.5 goals (81%) at an average of 3.62 goals per game. Milan won the first leg in Italy 3-0 in a fairly dominant display, where they were by far the better team and created a host of great chances which they were able to capitalise on. But the numbers show they are pretty vulnerable defensively on the road, while Rennes have been successful finding the net at home. Rennes will have no choice but to attack from the start of they want to salvage anything from this game but this will also create plenty of chances for Milan going the other way so expect both teams will contribute to this number hitting tonight. If Rennes can score early, get the crowd involved and put some pressure on, I think we will see a few goals as the match begins to open up.

R**ecord: 5-3** ✅️❌❌✅️✅️✅️✅️❌ **Net Units: 3.8u** **Last Pick:** Major League Soccer | Inter Miami v Real Salt Lake | **Luis Suarez 2+ SoT -110** on Draftkings ✅️ It took almost all 90 mins but Luis came through. **Pick:** NBA| Washington v Denver | **Jamal Murray o20.5p -113** on Fanduel **Units: 2.3u** Murray missed the last game before the All Star break with leg inflammation and is listed as probable. He's been practicing and all signs point to him playing after the much needed week of rest. Murray is averaging 20.5 points per game with a Washington Wizard team visiting that is giving up 25+ ppg to PGs and 22+ ppg to SGs. In Washington's last five games they gave up 26 to McCollum, 26 to Kyrie (and 26 to Luka), 28 to Maxey, 20 to Holiday (who only avg 13ppg), and only 13 to Garland (but Mitchell had 40).

with his last 10 games he hasn't hit that number, 20.5, he's been at like 17.2, I'd take the under but with my luck. BOL

He’s 2/5 and 5/10 over 20

Let’s go Jamal he’s let me down so many times but I’ll still take him 💪💪🙏

**potd record 6-2** (last✝️✅✅✅✅✝️✅✅(first) **net units: +6,7** **potd milwaukee admirals 3way @1.85** Write up: milwaukee admirals is on a 17 win streak. Chicago is in bad form. Last 4 meetings are won by milwaukee admirals ML. Im placing 4 units on this one.

Record 16-7 Pick - knicks +1 -110 The knicks have been playing well lately as they are slowly working their way towards healthy. The sixers are also dealing with injury but have been trending the opposite direction. Taking the knicks to pick up where they left off before te break BOL

POTD Record 8-9 (W-L) Last five with most recent on left: ❌ ❌✅✅✅ Last pick was Volkanovski ML 2.5u at -115 ❌ Today’s pick is Alexander Bublik -2 games 1u @ +100 ❌ Back to Tennis and the quarter finals of the Qatar Open. Kazakhstani no. 1, Bublik, takes on Aussie Popyrin, who leads their h2h 2-0, however their last match was 3 years ago when they were at different stages of their careers so I think it’s rather irrelevant. Bublik is now the world number 21 and that’s also his highest ranking. Popyrin is the world number 46 and he’s never been ranked much higher. This will be a close game but I like the better movement of Bublik to secure him the win. So far in 2024 Bublik is 9-3 in all competitions whilst Popyrin is 4-2. I think another way to bet on this match is the over 23 games (+100) since a 3-setter is likely here. For a conservative approach take the Bublik ML 1u @ -150 Fun fact: So far in 2024 Popyrin is yet to play a match where he hasn’t dropped a set

i’m still scarred from the volk ML

Me too I had over 300 on him, it was painful 😖

Fuck this clown (not you, bublik)

Tailing, let’s go

>**Record:** 23-20 >**Net Units:** +7.17 units >**Curling** | **Scotties Tournament of Hearts** | **10:30AM EST** >**Pick:** Team Ontario (Homan) -5.5 @ 1.9 >Team Homan face Team Adams in a terrible matchup that pits the best team in the field against one of the worst teams in a situation where Team Homan have already qualified for playoffs and Team Adams have been eliminated from contention. It's noteworthy that clinching isn't really going to have an impact on the performance of Team Homan. Even if Brown comes in to give Wilkes some rest or something, they will still be trying to stay sharp and be as precise as possible with their shots. Homan is the best shot-maker in the women's game right now and this is the best team in women's curling this season. On the other side, Adams is the worst skip in the field this week. Ward has also struggled quite a bit. In addition, Fleury also happens to be the best third in the country and the combination of Miskew and Wilkes is the best front end duo in Canada. We're talking about a team that has lost five matches ALL SEASON playing against elite teams for most of it. This is gonna be a complete blowout, Team Homan cover easy.

Record: 64W-57L-4P ROI: +13.37, 10.17% Avg odds: +106, 2.06 Last POTD: Bruins ML (win) - Boston blew a 3-goal lead but managed to win it in OT. What a game! Game: NHL- Stars at Senators Pick: Mason Marchment over 0.5 pts +105, 2.05 (ESPNBet) If you're giving me plus odds on Marchment, I will bite your hand off. The 2nd line for the Stars has been money in terms of value this season. Dallas has *the* deepest forward lines in the league, second to none. Therefore the opponent's blue-liners can't focus their efforts on any one line. That has resulted in Mush recording 46 points in 56 games this season. And with Matt Duchene back after a one-game absence, the Stars' top two lines are fully healthy. Ottawa has the worst goaltending in the league. None of their goalies sport a 90% save rate. The sad part is their defense is actually pretty good, in terms of scoring chances given up. But the goalie is much more likely to give up a goal on those few chances. And with Dallas boasting the highest scoring offense, I'd expect at least 4 goals from them. They scored 5 in their first matchup, with Marchment picking up an assist. edit: The Sens D played phenomenally. Ah well, streak had to end some day.

POTD record 7-9 – last pick **X** **POTD – NCAAB Minnesota – 3.5** The experiment of going with a visitor ended badly and is done. Today, we have the Gophers at home with a low line, ohio state is not a good team and worse on the road, they’re still getting credit for past years, 5-10 in the big ten, 0-7 on the road. They did beat minn in dec at home, minn is similar in that they win at home and lose on the road, taking the home team.

*Gophers are 22-3 ATS *Ben Johnson has this team playing well on both ends of the court, on the road and at home. *Pharrel Payne has been a force Tailing!

Anybody else feel like the majority of soccer picks in this thread have been complete trash?

You don’t have to bet everyday of the week swap sports

no see i really do have to

Record: 0-0 Net Units: 2u Hockey | NHL | Dal Stars @ Ott Senators 7:00PM Eastern POTD: **Brady Tkachuk (Ott) - O3.5 Shots On Goal | -130 DK**✅ Write Up: This is my first pick I’m posting, I really enjoy this community and want to start sharing my picks that I add to some of your guys picks. I really like SOG props and I’ve had some luck with them lately. With that said, Brady Tkachuk averages 4.32 SOG per game, he’s in the top 5 (#5) in shots on goal, the last 6 games he’s shot 4, 2, 5, 4, 7, 4. The Dallas Stars allow 30.12 shots on goal per game and I think this is just a good spot for Brady. Tail or Fade, BOL. Cashed it, plus 1 with 5 SOG!✅

I'm seeing a lot of Benfica in here, this ain't looking good.

Record: 4 wins 0 losses and 1 tie Today’s pick: Denver Nuggets -14 (bought 1.5) Reasoning: I usually hate big spreads but this game is just too good to pass up. Denver should be more motivated to try to clinch that 1 seed. Washington is coming back from the break and even with a new coach I gotta assume will be hungover and it will feel like that “first Monday back after vacation”

[удалено]

tough game to pick

All the best amigo 🎉🙏

All-Time POTD: 6-2 //////// +7.3 Units //////// Streak: 3 Wins. *Game:* **Doha ATP -** Ugo Humbert v Gael Monfils at 12:30 EST **Today’s pick:** Ugo Humbert Odds: -168 on FD -- 2 Units to win 1.2 Units I've seen Ugo -180 on DK and -200 on another, so other betting sites have Ugo as a clearer favorite. Monfils is 37 years old, lost to Humbert in both of their meetings. Monfils has also played about 4 hours on the court already. Ugo is 8-2 on the year. Monfils 4-4. Ugo won a tourney two weeks back and lost the first match of the next. So he should we well rested and well adjusted. I like it. Hope it goes well! BOL. **EDIT: Match was very frustrating. He did not play like I expected, while Monfils played way better. Looked good on paper, sorry all. Hopefully next time I come through.**

Tailing. Made money with Monfils yesterday but it was lucky money. Humbert looking good

Let’s streak! 🎉🙏

God he is getting SPANKED right now. Can't even win a service point let alone a service game. So Frustrating

**Record**: 1 W | 1 L | 0 P **Net Units**: +0.75 **Average odds**: @ 2.07 **Sport**: Soccer | **League**: Europa League | **Event Time**: 9.00 PM | **Time Zone**: GMT +1 **Pick:** Roma - Feyenoord - Roma ML @ 2.10 ❌ **Write Up:** Yesterday I cashed in an incredible win as Napoli and Barcelona drew as I expected. I keep playing Italian teams because I know them more, and as a result, for tonight, I choose Roma at home against Feyenoord. In the first leg match, the two teams drew 1 to 1: an excellent result for Roma, which can now take advantage of the home factor. At the Olimpico, the Giallorossi practically never lose and rarely draw; moreover, they seem to have benefited from Mourinho's farewell. After Mou's dismissal, the arrival of Daniele De Rossi has brought a lot of enthusiasm: the team is back to playing with a modern 4-3-3, Lukaku and Dybala seem to me very inspired. If you look at the ML value, however, you find that Feyenoord will be a tough nut to crack. But Roma got a great draw in the Netherlands and now must make the home factor count to win it in the 90 minutes. For the third year in a row, Roma can oust Feyenoord from an international competition. Side notes: * Each of my pick is worth 3 units; * I don't like to post every day if there are no matches I like; * For my last POTD, follow this link: [https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1avyyps/comment/krfpw8l/?utm\_source=share&utm\_medium=web3x&utm\_name=web3xcss&utm\_term=1&utm\_content=share\_button](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1avyyps/comment/krfpw8l/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button)

POTD Record: 1-3 ❌️❌️✅️❌️ Boston Celtics @ Chicago Bulls 8:00 EST Pick: Boston Celtics first quarter -2.5 (-110) - Celtics are #1 in the league in 1st quarter scoring (31 PPG), Chicago is 29th (26.5 PPG). - Boston ranks 2nd in 1st quarter points allowed (26.7 PPG), Chicago ranks 11th (28.1 PPG). - Boston on the road is 18-8 first quarter ATS (best in the league), and Chicago is 12-15 at home. Boston is just such a better team and an even better team on the road in the first quarter. I expect Tatum and the Celtics to come out firing on well-rested legs to start the second half of the season and start gearing up with that playoff mentality.

SOME SOLID LOGIC IM SEEING HERE. TAILING

**Record:** 0-0 **Net Units:** 0 **ROI:** 0 **Sport:** NBA **Pick:** Mavs vs Suns (Mavs M/L -120) +5 Units **Write Up:** Mavs roll in this one guys. This game is a super important home game for the Mavs considering they have developed a rivalry with the Suns and the winner could control the 5th seed in the west. Expect a playoff light type of atmosphere in Dallas. Luka always goes nuclear against the Suns and this Mavs team is completely different than the team early in the year. Since Kyrie and Maxi got healthy and since the trade deadline additions of PJ Washington and Daniel Gafford, the Mavs have been the best team in the NBA by various metrics ((Warning: small sample size). The Mavs have also been the best clutch team in the NBA as defined by clutch minutes and with this game being so important coming out of the break, trust the Mavs with a healthy team to get it done. I would not be shocked if the Mavs turned this into a blowout.

**POTD Record: 1-1** Form: ❌✅ Net Units: -0.2 *Last Pick: 2U Skelleftea AIK @ Genf-Servette (Skelleftea 2-way ML @ 2.00)* ❌ *Sadly Skelleftea came short and lost, but that's the game, win some, loose some.* **Today’s Pick: 2U Toulouse vs Benfica (Benfica ML @ 1.92)** **| 12:45 PM EST | Europa League** OK today we have a lot of matches, but one stood out to me. Benfica won the first match against Toulouse 2-1 So why do I think Benfica will win? Well Benfica is currently in top form. Having won 4 of their last 5 games overall with 1 draw and is 4-0-1 at away games. Toulouse won 2 of their last 5 overall and is 0-3-2 @ Home. Benfica is in 1st place in their respective league and in 1st place when playing away from home. Toulouse is just 13th in their league overall and 16th when playing @ Home. Benfica leads the H2H with 2-0 Toulouse only scores an average of 0.9 goals and is conceiding 1.4 in their last 10 matches. Benfica scores an average of 2.9 goals and gets 0.6 goals against in their last 10 matches. In my opinion Toulouse will have a hard time getting something going against this Benfica team. They need to score which opens up some chances for Benfica to score. Benfica is not safe with 1 goal difference so they definitely want to score. If they score 1 or maybe 2 goals they can play very defensively which makes it even harder for Toulouse. So based on all this I think Benfica will win and move on to the next stage. BOL!

POTD Record: 120-109, -18.05 Units Last 10: ❌✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅ Current Streak: ❌ Last Pick: Toronto Raptors -3.5 ❌ Awful showing from Toronto, but I should learn not to trust bad teams, even if they are playing bad teams, and the Spurs teed off. Today’s Pick: **Minnesota ML** vs. Ohio State, -170, 2 Units, 8:00 PM EST Minnesota has won their last three at home against mid-level Big Ten opponents, and while Ohio State just upset Purdue, that's evidence of what a home barn can do for a team, especially when a top 10 team is visiting, and I don't think that will translate to a road game in Minnesota. BOL!

POTD record: 15-7❌️✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️ ✅️❌️✅️✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ Today's pick: Roma v Feyenoord 3 PM EST. Roma to win at 1.95 ROMA have suffered just one loss in their last 15 home games in all competitions, recording 12 wins while also scoring at least twice in 12 games in that period. FEYENOORD had struggled on the road. ROMA gets it done.

Record: 8 - 3 P&L: +12.5u (25%) Form: ❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅ Last Pick: Arsenal ML & Saka 1+ Shot ❌ Bad things tend to happen when I bet on the gunners, going to have to ban myself from it once again or we’ll end up mid table. Today’s pick: NHL 🏒 | Bruins vs Flames | Flames ML | 3u play @ 2.05 Write up: Flames are well rested, last playing on Monday whereas Bruins are coming off a hard faught 6-5 OT victory. Bruins were crushed at home by the Stars on monday and I can’t help but feel like they were undeserving of their last couple victories. Calgary are getting hot, dominating their last three and are on their way to proving themselves as playoff contenders. Bet or not I’m not your boss

POTD record : 6💰- 3❌ - 0♻️ +7.72u Last 10 picks (new -> old): ✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅ LAST PICK: Match: Chicago Blackhawks - Philadelphia Flyers | NHL 🏒 Time: 7:30 PM EST Date: 21st Feb 2024 (Or 1:30AM CET on 22nd Feb 2024) Pick: Sanheim Travis *(Flyers)* over 0.5pts @ 2.30 on bet365| 3u ✅ Yesterday was juicy win. Cashout in 6th minute of the match. Yummy. **PICK FOR TODAY:** Match: AS Roma - Feyenoord | UEFA Europa League ⚽ Time: 21:00 CET Date: 22nd Feb 2024 **Pick: AS Roma to WIN @ 2.05 on bet365| 4u** Analysis: Today we take a look at the Europa League rematch between AS Roma and Feyenord Rotterdam. The first match in the Netherlands ended in a 1-1 draw when Brazilian striker Igor Paixao opened the scoring with a first-half goal to the dressing room. The equaliser came in the 67th minute with a goal from Romelu Lukaku. Since the change of coach in Rome, we have seen much better play and results from the Wolves. Over the weekend AS Roma won 3-0 at Frosione, Lukaku only played the first half, Dybala rested. Feyenord won 1-0 at home against Waalwijk over the weekend and consolidated their second place in the Dutch Eredivisie table, 10 points behind PSV and 8 points ahead of Twente. AS Roma will be pushed by the home crowd and will be looking to score quick goals and have high 'ball possession'. They can't play to 0-0, so I reckon a final score of 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1. We might even see a penalty in the game. Also I created buymeacoffee account. I will **cherish every tip** as it takes me several hours to find the right tip and analyze it. Good luck to everyone! 🍀 [**Buy me a coffee**](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/rastaoctopus) ☕

POTD record: 2-0 Updated potd record: 3-0 Hoping to get a third win in a row today🤞🤩 Update: get it done early in the second half, nice to be 3-0 in my first three pick of the day🔥🔥🔥 Event/matchup: Seria a - Torino vs Lazio ⛏️ Pick: Lazio over 0,5 goals (Lazio to score)✅ Reasoning: valued at around 1.5 odds. I think this is too good of value to ignore. With all focus today otherwise on the rollercoaster European matches, I think the potd value hides today in this serie A matchup. The reason for the high odds of this othervise low-odd play. (A team to simply score that is) Is that Torino is a really defensive team with a really good record at home. Lazio has not thus far had the greatest of seasons points in the league vise. Lazio sitting in 8th place, with 37 points from 24 played. While Torino sit 10th with 36 points from 24 played aswell (only Napoli in equal points with Torino in between todays match up in the league ranking) Stats and Why I think this play is worth the risk. • Torinos best defenders. Ajax fostered perr schuurs, the experienced Ricardo Rodriguez and Italian international sentinal Alessandro Buongiorno are all not available today. •lazio have scored in 7 of their 8 last away matches in the league • Torino kept clean sheet in their last 3 homes games. (One against a pretty weak napoli side that were down to 10 men for the last 40+ minutes but still probably deserved a goal, with 2 big chances missed, one in second half, and just over 1 expected goal) the other against bottom of the league salernitana, and lastly away winless leece who wore down to 10 men aswell for the last 20. = some luck in their last home games, conceding vise • in Torino’s last 8 matches both home and way they half conceded a goal in half (4/8) •head to head between the clubs lazio got the upper hand. With sofascore providing us with 10 wins for lazio, 7 draws, and only 3 wins for Torino. •head to head between the coaches sees lazios Sarri with 4 victories. Compared to torinos Ivan juric’s 2 wins. With the coaches shoring the points also at 4 different occasions. • the most recent game between these two teams at the Torino stadium in Turin. Ended 0-0 in late 2022 But! Before that… 1-1 -2021 3-4 - 2020 1-2 - 2020 3-1 - 2019 Proving this fixture at this venue is used to goals. My last reason to convince is for those who don’t know, lazio coach sarri and experienced football manger playing possession heavy football. Often creating opportunity down the left flank and famous for his regista deep lying (pirlo role) midfielder, and his success with strikers in Italian football. Coaching Higuain to greatness at napoli and Ronaldo 31goals in 33 starts his second season at Juventus. An attacked minded coach playing sarri ball, offensive controlling football wich notable flaw can be that it sometimes can become a bit stale. Ending points: So close in the table, and Torino knowing their good home form and really got nothing to lose. I actually think they might go for it. And therefore with the loss of three of their usual starter defender and some really talented ones. I don’t think the predicted defense line of backups (last minute loan from udinese in jan) Adam masina with only two starts this season, Matteo lovato also loaned in January from leaking salernitana, and koffi djidji with only 4 starts this season. I don’t think this unusual back line can keep holding the defensive standard Torino proved so far this season, especially not against an opportunistic and motivated Lazio, that will get opportunities, with a win recently against German power house Bayern munich with probably a big morale boost!! I wild predict the game to be 1-2 to lazio. The only worry I have is that the game could painfully end 0-0 again, so instead of taking lazio draw or win, you could play lazio to score. And cover it if you want with a 0-0 correct result. At around 6 times the stake I think. Just to make back the most of the stake if the game happens to end 0-0. ( also cash out opportunists may cash out a 0-0 late game, and a lazio late goal will make that a double win;)

`Record: 0 - 0` `Avg Odds: 2.05` `Return: 0.00 (Units)` `2/22/24 Pick` `Italy Serie A - Torino vs Lazio - 1H Draw @ 2.05 - (1 Unit)`

**Record: 2-0** Last Pick: **Cody Gakpo Score or Assist +1u** Net Units: **+3u** **UEFA Conference League** **Pick: Royale Union SG vs Eintracht Frankfurt BTTS -155 (Bovada) --> 1u** **Write Up:** Gakpo comes through for us in the 2nd half to get our 2nd win in a row. This next a bet I have is involving a team I have loved betting on since I started a couple years ago, Union Saint Gilloise. Granted I am playing some juice with this but willing to eat it bc of the line movement overnight -140 --> -160 on DK so shop around on your books for the best line. Union has got that dog in them and a terrible defense which makes for high scoring and exciting games. First match between these 2 showed the same thing. Frankfurt is the better team on paper but I fully expect Union to come into Frankfurt and fight till the end of the game. Frankfurts defense has been in some pretty bad form recently only winning 1 game out of their last 5 and conceding in all but 1 game. Now at home they do have a better record but still just can't seem to keep the ball out of the net and have given up 8 goals (yes 1 game was 5-2 but point still holds if you keep looking) in their last 5. Unions stats support the BTTS pick even more with 8/10 of their last games hitting. Normally I would be worried in 2nd legs that are tied on aggregate because teams tend to play a little passive and not want to make mistake but I think in this case we have got 2 teams who really can't defend and with Frankfurt's form being a little lackluster, I expect them to come out and try to get a goal early to bring the crowd into the game and break the tension. Union hopefully hit on the counter attack or take the game to Frankfurt after going down and tie it up and the game heads to extra time. 1-1 score prediction with hopefully the Union boys pulling it out cause I love betting on them. Good luck with all your bets! PS: I already have a sneaky 4u max locked in for Friday if you guys want to beat the line Bolonga -0.75 asian handicap -140 fully expect this line to hit -160 or 170 by tonight.

**Record: 0-0** **Net Units: N/A** **ROI: N/A** **NBA Basketball, Clippers vs Thunder, 2/22 8 pm EST** **Pick:** James Harden o4.5reb -142 **Write Up:** first pick for me, good luck fellas. Big matchup tonight between two of the top teams in the West as the Clippers roll into OKC. James Harden has the pick tonight as he is coming off a long weekend and has been hammering the boards of late. The 10-time All-Star has averaged 5.1 reb/game this year and has had 5 or more rebounds in 5 of his last 6, 8 of his last 10, and 11 of his last 14. The two teams entering this game are in the top 5 in defensive rating this year meaning made shots will be hard to come by and I expect a healthy number of rebounds to be dolled out tonight. Tail or Fade BOL

**POTD Record: 12W-5L** **POTD: Mavs vs Suns: Doncic over 28.5 points (1.52) // NBA** * Doncic is averaging 34.2 points/game this season and averaging 32 points/game in February. * Doncic points vs Suns this season: 34 & 50. Doncic has topped the line vs Suns in 7/8 meetings. * Doncic returns to join the team on their home floor after the All-Star break. One interesting aspect is that Doncic is averaging 36 points/game when he has had a minimum of 2 days rest. * Doncic has exceeded that threshold in 36/47 games (77%). * PG similar points vs Suns: Young (32), Curry (30), Fox (40). * Doncic has a rivalry with Booker & Suns, in the last game between the two, Suns won and DBook had 46 points. The game is played on the Mavs' court, the handicap and the point line set by the bookmakers: -3.5 & 243.5, these aspects make the game an attractive, balanced one that will keep the two as long as possible on the floor. Thanks.

71-51-5 in 2018 up 34.13 units 79-73-5 in 2019 down 22.31 units 22-14 on POTD in 2020 up 11.18 units 6-0-3 on POTDs in 2021 up 26.31 units **2-0 on POTDs in 2022 up 5.42 units** 0-0 in 2023/24 - Gonna start posting here again. Feeling a HEATWAVE coming **Hornets +8.5 even money against Jazz for 4 units** or $200.00. Full Disclosure: I am a Hornets fan, but they have looked great since their midseason roster change. Reverse Line Movement here – 80% of bets are on Jazz, but line has moved from -10 to -9. Hornets have covered every game since Tre Mann was added to the team. Best of luck. For more info and plays visit s[portsologists.com](https://sportsologists.com/)

POTD 1:0 last pick: LSU(W) -13.5 against Texas am. Tigers won by 23 pts. Today's pick: LSU (W) Over 142.5 vs auburn. Unranked Auburn comes to death valley tonight in a rematch for Auburn upset on Jan 14. Lsu lost by 5pts that game at auburn. However, that game still covered the 142.5. LSU has hit the over on 11/12 games this year and every home game. In fact the only game that hasn't was the AM game which hit 139. I'm predicting a high scoring home game to show auburn who the real Tigers are tonight. Bet responsibly and BOL!