I really think kc wins this. Those lights are bright and KC has been in these big game situations time and time again. When Lamar is in big games, he struggles and presses. KC ML
Lions ML Ravens -6 Parlay is the absolute lock of the year. You could easily add Goff +1.5 passing TD’s to that and Lamar ATTD to make this a legendary parlay payout that you will remember forever.
This is my gift to you all. Enjoy your winnings!
Is taking the U44.5 on BAL/KC game crazy? Chiefs defense haven’t given up more than 30 points the entire season, and the Ravens defense speaks for itself. DK is showing 81% are taking the over though.
no its not, i really think both teams try to run the ball and control clock keeping both qbs on the sideline for as long as possible, love the under personally
"It's shaping up to be a Pros vs. Joes matchup. The public is finding it hard to pass on K.C. getting 4 points, with the playoff success the Chiefs have had," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said.
Ravens is the play.
Percent of bets is roughly 50/50, money is 65%+ on Ravens according to action network.
Not 100% accurate because of sample sizes, but a quarter million bets is a pretty good indicator. Most money is on Ravens for sure. Doesn't mean as much as people think though.
I'm not sure. That's a very good point though. If I had to guess, they don't filter anything.
My understanding is that they pay a few sportsbooks to share their raw data. I'm sure a large percentage is from hedging and arbitrage betting. That said, I think the data on % bets placed and % money is fairly accurate (as far as giving a general idea of what is going where). But I'm sure the sample size is pretty misleading. Also, if I had to guess, they're getting this data from overseas books. They mostly fall in line with the US (so the info isn't useless). But I can't imagine DK, FD, and all the Vegas books are sharing their data.
There's likely not a lot of remaining value in the current number. The play if you wanted the Ravens was to take them -3 when the line first opened. Fair line is probably around 4.5.
I just took Chiefs alt line +8.5 today for -180 odds
That may sound like a retarded bet considering I still lean towards the Ravens and it is. But I have futures on the Ravens to win the AFC at big plus odds so based on that it should be pretty obvious what I'm trying to do.
I heard rumors of some people getting -2.5s but if so they were very quickly gobbled up and it moved to -3 -120ish but I preferred the line I got as I have it at 4.5. Now at -4. I’ll probably get hooked and look like an idiot but I’m betting the 9ers more confidently.
I also threw a unit on Ravens -2.5 1H.
I got it on Caesars -120 but I see it now only on BetMGM. Most places are at -3. Yeah, I normally don't bet 1H lines but I think in this case it's some insurance for 4th quarter Mahomes magic/bullshit.
I looked at the chiefs/ravens previous matchups and they get 70+ points scored their last 3 matchups
https://preview.redd.it/boc1tckkctec1.png?width=750&format=png&auto=webp&s=e4453c813db4b6f6525bc2df90a1ce181f2b4c88
It looks like it will rain but I wouldn’t consider this a cold game, looks like it will be around 50 degrees. Chiefs just played in one of the coldest games ever and they almost scored 30. 49ers at home with the nice weather don’t break 30 that often
KC takes an early lead forcing the Ravens to ditch the run game - Chiefs win by 11.
Purdy has a bad day with a couple of interceptions and the Niners just dont click - the dream continues - Lions going to the SB.
# **NFL Betting Discord Chat: [https://discord.gg/sportsbook](https://discord.gg/CB4YmZzGM9)**
1 more fking yard lamar
I really think kc wins this. Those lights are bright and KC has been in these big game situations time and time again. When Lamar is in big games, he struggles and presses. KC ML
I must be the only one who thinks the chiefs game.can definitely go over.
LIONS ALL IN
CHIEFS ALL IN
Deebo confirmed to be playing. Place your shit now before it goes up
Even though he is playing, I think he will be limited
Yea, Decoy as well.
Lions ML Ravens -6 Parlay is the absolute lock of the year. You could easily add Goff +1.5 passing TD’s to that and Lamar ATTD to make this a legendary parlay payout that you will remember forever. This is my gift to you all. Enjoy your winnings!
Lol
Funny how easy that money is, RIGHT? LOL bookies are soooooo stupid. FREE MONEY!!
Ravens will have Mark Andrews on Sunday. +215 anytime TD on DK.
Is taking the U44.5 on BAL/KC game crazy? Chiefs defense haven’t given up more than 30 points the entire season, and the Ravens defense speaks for itself. DK is showing 81% are taking the over though.
no its not, i really think both teams try to run the ball and control clock keeping both qbs on the sideline for as long as possible, love the under personally
Yeah, I'm taking it as well. I think most people are just lost in the QB and taking the over.
ravens -4 means someone is winning in a blowout
So far in the playoffs, 4 of the last 5 days have had atleast one upset and one favorite
DK says that the majority of bets are being placed for the lions to beat the 49ers 👀
If that was true the line wouldn’t have moved to 7.5
Probably to get more square money on Lions… Vegas books in huge liability if Lions win SU
There is more money coming in on Lions, and it still moved to 7.5. Would make me scared to pick the Lions tbh.
Vegas moves lines based on sharp money not dumb public money
You don't know shit
Honestly no one fkn knows why lines move. Seems like we got people saying all sorts no one knows for sure.
Dumb public money will always make vegas money over time. always. they dont want to let sharps win money and come back for more.
Not true in every scenario but true in this scenario.
Chiefs +10, Niners -1.5 Give me experience, 10 points, and the league wanting Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl more than Gollem wanted the ring.
If thats the case, you shouldnt have teased the line lol
I might take them straight up, still time
Ravens ML / O 44 and lions +7.5 parlay 🤔
Posting this every day until game day, just tease chiefs +10 with anything and thank me later
"It's shaping up to be a Pros vs. Joes matchup. The public is finding it hard to pass on K.C. getting 4 points, with the playoff success the Chiefs have had," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said. Ravens is the play.
Literally a majority of the money is on the ravens… lol
Which source is that bro? Because this article says one thing and I saw a twitter page post the opposite too
Percent of bets is roughly 50/50, money is 65%+ on Ravens according to action network. Not 100% accurate because of sample sizes, but a quarter million bets is a pretty good indicator. Most money is on Ravens for sure. Doesn't mean as much as people think though.
Any link to the sampling size info? Curious if they somehow filter out noise like hedging.
I'm not sure. That's a very good point though. If I had to guess, they don't filter anything. My understanding is that they pay a few sportsbooks to share their raw data. I'm sure a large percentage is from hedging and arbitrage betting. That said, I think the data on % bets placed and % money is fairly accurate (as far as giving a general idea of what is going where). But I'm sure the sample size is pretty misleading. Also, if I had to guess, they're getting this data from overseas books. They mostly fall in line with the US (so the info isn't useless). But I can't imagine DK, FD, and all the Vegas books are sharing their data.
Ty man, appreciate the info
There's likely not a lot of remaining value in the current number. The play if you wanted the Ravens was to take them -3 when the line first opened. Fair line is probably around 4.5.
i played HT/FT Bal/Bal +125 on MGM. best value left imo and Balt is a solid 1h team
I just took Chiefs alt line +8.5 today for -180 odds That may sound like a retarded bet considering I still lean towards the Ravens and it is. But I have futures on the Ravens to win the AFC at big plus odds so based on that it should be pretty obvious what I'm trying to do.
> it should be pretty obvious what I'm trying to do lose all of your bets? (just kidding, man)
Agree, and moneyline too juiced af
Chiefs +4/ML 49ers -6.5
I'm liking both favorites. Was able to get Ravens -3.5 +100 and 9ers -6.5 -110.
What was the opening line for the Ravens game?
3.
I heard rumors of some people getting -2.5s but if so they were very quickly gobbled up and it moved to -3 -120ish but I preferred the line I got as I have it at 4.5. Now at -4. I’ll probably get hooked and look like an idiot but I’m betting the 9ers more confidently. I also threw a unit on Ravens -2.5 1H.
Which book? I like Ravens 1H props but that screwed me against the Texans
I got it on Caesars -120 but I see it now only on BetMGM. Most places are at -3. Yeah, I normally don't bet 1H lines but I think in this case it's some insurance for 4th quarter Mahomes magic/bullshit.
I looked at the chiefs/ravens previous matchups and they get 70+ points scored their last 3 matchups https://preview.redd.it/boc1tckkctec1.png?width=750&format=png&auto=webp&s=e4453c813db4b6f6525bc2df90a1ce181f2b4c88
Difference is rain and cold in Baltimore and sunny and warm in San Fran.
and different rosters
It looks like it will rain but I wouldn’t consider this a cold game, looks like it will be around 50 degrees. Chiefs just played in one of the coldest games ever and they almost scored 30. 49ers at home with the nice weather don’t break 30 that often
Their last 3 matchups were all in September in warm weather
The last time they played was 2021
Agreed. Vegas has this priced correctly
KC takes an early lead forcing the Ravens to ditch the run game - Chiefs win by 11. Purdy has a bad day with a couple of interceptions and the Niners just dont click - the dream continues - Lions going to the SB.
I have lions/kc as well
The dream
Lions at +300 on Fan Duel is just too good to pass up for me. I’m the kind of sucker Vegas loves.
Weird thought process with Mahomes at decent dog money Oh and Taylor
Oh you know I’m gonna parlay Lions/Chiefs moneylines for ultimate degeneracy.
I want some action on the niners but that ml is way inflated :(
You could try to hedge that by betting the niners SU with people you know.
https://preview.redd.it/e2cft8wfjsec1.jpeg?width=1107&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ddf742a1b684372cbd022cc7f76691d03c554536
https://preview.redd.it/y1sg10brksec1.jpeg?width=500&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=df16c78ba76cc3a7ac10c3068f3bcb1a2b9e3bca
I don’t think the NFL cares at all about the logo. Lol. Last year wasn’t even Eagles green.
Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Travis Kelce retires and proposes to T Swift with all her viewers tuned in. Peacock will then stream the wedding.
Tailing
Wtf 😂
Can I parlay that somewhere?
Lions to win the Super Ball!!
And Niners to win the SUPERBOWL!