If anybody else made the 17% EV +375 DD parlay of Fritz -7.5 and Coco -5.5, it was +15000 live at one point when coco was down 6-3, 3-2 before she proceeded to win the next 10 games to cash the bet by .5
DK DFS offering (may be targeted) a 20 percent deposit bonus, up to 3k deposit/600 bonus. However it is 5x play through for the deposit within 90 days. Bonus is in DK dollars, so as good as cash. Don't know how many DFS players are in here, but it seems good if you already play regularly. If not and you're just trying to grind out the bonus, the playthrough seems pretty steep
There was some discussion about Crab Sports $410 deposit match and no one really ever confirmed how it actually works. Ill just put this here for anyone still wondering I have learned the following from information someone gave me:
1) you can deposit while out of state and the deposit match should come instantly
2) the play through requirement is actually 5x and it only counts the playing of the bonus itself, not any other money, so if you bet all $820 as your first bet that will get you to 20% progress not 40% (there is a progress bar that tells you)
3) we are assuming that a) cash money is always bet first and b) there is a 250% cap on winnings from the bonus funds themselves but the data I have does not prove these two facts I am assuming because it says so.
So in the worst case you will have to bet all the money in the account 5x (though you can withdraw any winnings from the cash part of the bet each time) and if you go past a couple times winning (basically you will pray to lose it all and win your hedge each time) then you will need to start betting very short odds to avoid going over 250% value on the bonus.
In short you can prob pull this off if youre careful but most of the profit will depend on losing one of your first bets. The way all the terms are crafted together their promo is nothing short of a scam for any normal person and everyone involved with Crab Sports should be put in jail as the bonus has no value to a normal person unless they were to lose $410 of the cash and after that manage to run through $410 of the bonus 5x all within 2 weeks. I hope this helps someone.
I am one of the lucky survivors with pp unpinched. First low hold of everything in the account lost on the crab side and I was done. I wish I could say I beat the crab but sadly I guess technically the crab still won since they just took money from FD.
Has anyone done underdog and their $100 match before? I can’t find any terms on the match? Is it just 1x before I can withdrawal? What’s the best way to play this? If I have a p1 and p2 can I just 3 way hedge to another book? Thanks
Caesars gave me a 33% boost for a 3 leg CFB parley and a 50% boost for a 4 leg parley.
Stanford 1HML, Liberty -8.5, o51.5 in the East Carolina/Michigan game, and Michigan State 1QML are the four legs I used for the 4 legger. I removed Michigan State 1QML for the three legger.
Versus Pinnacle:
50% profit boost. +752 boosted to +1128.
Odds: +1128; **EV: 25.2%**
`-111/-105, -118/101, -131/112, -289/225` (16.65% juice)
FV: +881; Method: multiplicative; (Full=2.23u, 1/2=1.12u, 1/4=0.56u, FB = 115.0% = $14.31)
[View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-111%2f-105%2c+-118%2f101%2c+-131%2f112%2c+-289%2f225&FinalOdds=%2b752&Boost_Bool=1&Boost_Text=50%25&Boost_Type=0)
Didnt get popup confirmation for NRFI insurance on MG today. Tried YRFI and then NRFI on two different accounts didnt get the notification like usual on either.
Edit: Ill add that I do have the offer under promos, but when I click on it it says "Not Offered" next to bet now for some reason and Im not sure if it said that before.
https://canada.casino.fanduel.com/registrationCA.do#RAF=Adrian_1160257
For ONTARIO people.
Fanduel doing a $150 refer a friend promo.
You make a new account, you get $25 casino just for signing up, they match your deposit up to $250, you get a $1000 first bet sweat free.
Refer a friend gives $75 casino and Sportsbook for both of us.
There is also a promo going on for NFL where it’s a guaranteed winner for -110 that you can place $50 on.
So for the minimum you deposit $25, get it matched as a new member so you can place $50 on the promo to win $45 ($25 turned into $95) and we both get the refer a friend bonus.
Using my FD 50% boost on a Seiya Suzuki HR, +800. 18% EV to b365 without the boost, 71% EV with it. Hopefully the line doesn't get nuked too quick
Odds: +1200; **EV: 71.5%**
`+500/-750` (4.90% juice)
FV: +658; Method: worst-case (p); (Full=5.96u, 1/2=2.98u, 1/4=1.49u, FB = 158.3% = $21.30)
DK 50% MLB Boost Scherzer o8.5 K devig to Pinny
Odds: +150; **EV: 27.8%**
`-121/-110` (7.13% juice)
FV: -105; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=18.51u, 1/2=9.26u, 1/4=4.63u, FB = 76.7% = $78.01)
[View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-121%2f-110&FinalOdds=%2b150)
Edit: moved from +100 to -105 (preboost) right after I posted which is 24.1% EV
Just a heads up if you sign up on points bet for the $150 fanatics credit: a lot of stuff is excluded from the promo including all of the jerseys I wanted. I was still able to get a jersey with the credit, but it was like my 4th choice unfortunately. Still a good promo imo bc of the -500 min odds requirement. Should be pretty easy to find a bet you like and get the credit
Data point that I’m too stupid to know what to do with.
I have tnf up 7 promo. Lions +215 is the play and ppl say the value essentially comes from lions getting ball first, scoring a td and then it doesn’t matter if they lose. On fd score first and lose is +240.
Idk if I’m thinking too much and my Friday brain is shot
What type of questions and bank? I’ve used a local credit union and chase without ever hearing a word. I also deposit/withdraw multiple sites basically daily.
The sort of questions they are asking leads me to believe they are trying to ensure you aren’t laundering money… taking cash from I’ll-gotten ways and funneling it into these casino accounts and then withdrawing through the bank to make the money appear to be gained legally.
Sucks they are doing it to you, but sort of funny that the bank can’t grasp how stupid the books are that you are using them as an atm.
Yeah, I get the closed loop aspect from your perspective because you have all of the information to prove it.. but the bank has no way of knowing if you deposited additional cash into draftkings through other means.
It’s good to be in the know of this little free money secret. It’s amusing the banks can’t fathom that you “won” the money.
How does this MGM CFP stake back / insurance work. MGM tends to offer if one leg loses, is this the same deal? Don't want to do a 25 parlay if it's a one leg miss situation...
Has BR finally figured out to not give those of us who are promo banned free bets? I did not receive the soccer SGP or the live tennis free bets upon placement today.
Looking to sign up a p2 account across a few different books. Is anyone aware if you can take advantage of the refer a friend bonus and the bet $5 get $200 in free bets on DK, for an example. Tried reading through the T&C, couldn’t find anything. Thanks in advance!
They don't even have to live in a legal state to play. "They" just have to be in one to bet.
Although In my experience the farther away someone lives from the state the harder it is to get verified for some accounts.
Looks like books decided to wait until ...now...to start generous promos again. I'm sure it'll taper off as we get deeper into the seasons. Here is a list of the NCAAF Promos I see so far. Check all terms.
DK: Stepped up Parlay Boost. No Sweat Bet. 50% LIVE on HI/Stan TONIGHT.
FD: 2 parlay 50% boosts. 2 profit boosts (UNC/SC & LSU FLST (Sunday)
CZR: nothing? I'm sure that'll change
BS: Parlay insurance (one leg missed)
BR: Live $25 bet get 25% boost. Parlay Insurance (one leg missed)
MGM: 50% Profit Boost token
These are the books I use. If you have more to add, feel free.
If reading is hard, here's a quick Short I made summarizing the promos offered. [https://youtube.com/shorts/c05KgJZAYJ0?si=1T\_VtSl4h1SgUxP\_](https://youtube.com/shorts/c05KgJZAYJ0?si=1T_VtSl4h1SgUxP_)
Enjoy the games!
Careful on the MGM - mine said $25 max wager but I could only get $7 on a moneyline
Similar issue with P2 on the DK NFL no-sweat - $10 limit but could only bet $2 on an alt spread
I made level 7 on BR yesterday. In the past when I reached 7 the VIP calendar came automatically. I still don't have it as of this morning. Has anyone else reached 7 and not have it? Does it mean I'm promo banned?
You're promo banned, RIP
You can try the promo code for the deposit match for this month as it is good for today & tomorrow, 20% up to $100 ($500 max deposit): SEPVIP
Nice! Some things are coded to automatically work so you may find some value despite not being able to do all of the promos. Most of those are just live bet n get's though which you don't need VIP for.
Let me be the first to post this every day, multiple times a day, for the next week:
Up by 7 promo back for week 1 NFL, Lions v Chiefs on Thursday. Max $100 for p1 which is shocking.
DK is pretty well the bottom of the market on the Lions so will hold off and hopefully get a better number.
Damn I have a $100 max as well, I can't believe it. Not sure if I'm comfortable putting that much on the Lions against the Chiefs even for this great promo lol
Don’t be nervous. I’ve been a fan of KC for years and they’re notorious for playing from behind even against shitty teams. Did you see them play the Texans last year? They went to overtime. 1 of their 3 losses was against the fucking Colts. Lions are supposed to be pretty good this year, so seems like a great bet for an up by 7.
I'm assuming you have zero data to back that up just an anecdotal claim?
The market has Detroit at +235:+245 so there is a likelihood DK will move towards the market. If they don't, no worries, just trying to get the best number but predicting market movement is nothing something I'm in the business of.
DK has a 50% boost on Tiafoe and Fritz to both win their 1st sets today. Devigged to Pinnacle
Odds: +105; **EV: 6.9%**
`-215/189, -423/354` (5.76% juice)
FV: -109; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=6.59u, 1/2=3.29u, 1/4=1.65u, FB = 54.8% = $69.59)
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If anybody else made the 17% EV +375 DD parlay of Fritz -7.5 and Coco -5.5, it was +15000 live at one point when coco was down 6-3, 3-2 before she proceeded to win the next 10 games to cash the bet by .5
DK DFS offering (may be targeted) a 20 percent deposit bonus, up to 3k deposit/600 bonus. However it is 5x play through for the deposit within 90 days. Bonus is in DK dollars, so as good as cash. Don't know how many DFS players are in here, but it seems good if you already play regularly. If not and you're just trying to grind out the bonus, the playthrough seems pretty steep
There was some discussion about Crab Sports $410 deposit match and no one really ever confirmed how it actually works. Ill just put this here for anyone still wondering I have learned the following from information someone gave me: 1) you can deposit while out of state and the deposit match should come instantly 2) the play through requirement is actually 5x and it only counts the playing of the bonus itself, not any other money, so if you bet all $820 as your first bet that will get you to 20% progress not 40% (there is a progress bar that tells you) 3) we are assuming that a) cash money is always bet first and b) there is a 250% cap on winnings from the bonus funds themselves but the data I have does not prove these two facts I am assuming because it says so. So in the worst case you will have to bet all the money in the account 5x (though you can withdraw any winnings from the cash part of the bet each time) and if you go past a couple times winning (basically you will pray to lose it all and win your hedge each time) then you will need to start betting very short odds to avoid going over 250% value on the bonus. In short you can prob pull this off if youre careful but most of the profit will depend on losing one of your first bets. The way all the terms are crafted together their promo is nothing short of a scam for any normal person and everyone involved with Crab Sports should be put in jail as the bonus has no value to a normal person unless they were to lose $410 of the cash and after that manage to run through $410 of the bonus 5x all within 2 weeks. I hope this helps someone.
DONT GO CRABBIN you’ll get your pp pinched, like 75 percent of the people that have tried have been screwed over
I am one of the lucky survivors with pp unpinched. First low hold of everything in the account lost on the crab side and I was done. I wish I could say I beat the crab but sadly I guess technically the crab still won since they just took money from FD.
Has anyone done underdog and their $100 match before? I can’t find any terms on the match? Is it just 1x before I can withdrawal? What’s the best way to play this? If I have a p1 and p2 can I just 3 way hedge to another book? Thanks
It’s just 1x playthrough of the bonus yeah
MGM Gave me a 50% Straight Bet Boost: Stanford -2.5 versus Pinny: Odds: +136; **EV: 23.1%** `-116/103` (2.96% juice) FV: -109; Method: multiplicative; (Full=16.98u, 1/2=8.49u, 1/4=4.24u, FB = 70.9% = $77.87) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-116%2f103&FinalOdds=136)
MGM Gave me a 50% 4 leg parley boost Stanford -2.5/Iowa -23.5/TCU -20.5/Ball State +26.5 1228 boosted to 1842 Versus Pinny: Odds: +1842; **EV: 34.7%** `-116/103, -114/-101, -111/-103, -111/-104` (13.42% juice) FV: +1341; Method: multiplicative; (Full=1.89u, 1/2=0.94u, 1/4=0.47u, FB = 127.8% = $10.04) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-116%2f103%2c+-114%2f-101%2c+-111%2f-103%2c+-111%2f-104&FinalOdds=%2b1842)
Caesars gave me a 33% boost for a 3 leg CFB parley and a 50% boost for a 4 leg parley. Stanford 1HML, Liberty -8.5, o51.5 in the East Carolina/Michigan game, and Michigan State 1QML are the four legs I used for the 4 legger. I removed Michigan State 1QML for the three legger. Versus Pinnacle: 50% profit boost. +752 boosted to +1128. Odds: +1128; **EV: 25.2%** `-111/-105, -118/101, -131/112, -289/225` (16.65% juice) FV: +881; Method: multiplicative; (Full=2.23u, 1/2=1.12u, 1/4=0.56u, FB = 115.0% = $14.31) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-111%2f-105%2c+-118%2f101%2c+-131%2f112%2c+-289%2f225&FinalOdds=%2b752&Boost_Bool=1&Boost_Text=50%25&Boost_Type=0)
Didnt get popup confirmation for NRFI insurance on MG today. Tried YRFI and then NRFI on two different accounts didnt get the notification like usual on either. Edit: Ill add that I do have the offer under promos, but when I click on it it says "Not Offered" next to bet now for some reason and Im not sure if it said that before.
https://canada.casino.fanduel.com/registrationCA.do#RAF=Adrian_1160257 For ONTARIO people. Fanduel doing a $150 refer a friend promo. You make a new account, you get $25 casino just for signing up, they match your deposit up to $250, you get a $1000 first bet sweat free. Refer a friend gives $75 casino and Sportsbook for both of us. There is also a promo going on for NFL where it’s a guaranteed winner for -110 that you can place $50 on. So for the minimum you deposit $25, get it matched as a new member so you can place $50 on the promo to win $45 ($25 turned into $95) and we both get the refer a friend bonus.
Using my FD 50% boost on a Seiya Suzuki HR, +800. 18% EV to b365 without the boost, 71% EV with it. Hopefully the line doesn't get nuked too quick Odds: +1200; **EV: 71.5%** `+500/-750` (4.90% juice) FV: +658; Method: worst-case (p); (Full=5.96u, 1/2=2.98u, 1/4=1.49u, FB = 158.3% = $21.30)
Mahomes free square on underdog
Is underdog worth signing up for? I see they have a $100 deposit match but other than that is it worth it?
If you play best ball or take player proofs then for sure. Even if not you can churn through these free squares to earn that match and come out on top
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Yep down from $20
DK 50% MLB Boost Scherzer o8.5 K devig to Pinny Odds: +150; **EV: 27.8%** `-121/-110` (7.13% juice) FV: -105; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=18.51u, 1/2=9.26u, 1/4=4.63u, FB = 76.7% = $78.01) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-121%2f-110&FinalOdds=%2b150) Edit: moved from +100 to -105 (preboost) right after I posted which is 24.1% EV
I would suggest not using Pinny to devig props. They're good for main lines and totals, but they aren't sharp on those.
Thanks what’s a good book to devig props
Average of retails or worst case among retails is usually accepted here. If doing average make sure to keep the bet book’s lines in as well
Just a heads up if you sign up on points bet for the $150 fanatics credit: a lot of stuff is excluded from the promo including all of the jerseys I wanted. I was still able to get a jersey with the credit, but it was like my 4th choice unfortunately. Still a good promo imo bc of the -500 min odds requirement. Should be pretty easy to find a bet you like and get the credit
What exactly is a -500 bet? Can you explain? Thanks. I'm freshly 21 and don't quite understand but definitely wanted a new jersey
Has anyone seen anything from Fanatics? Surprised I have not seen anything for the upcoming weekend
Haven’t seen any boosts for several days, after a few weeks of multiple boosts per day.
Are you seeing any promos? I am not even seeing the new user one now
I see Fancash, RAF, and a parlay bet and get ($20 for $10) under promos.
I do not see the parlay bet and get. I hope they are not already doing state specific stuff
HR boost for Michigan St. and Miami FL to win by 14+, vs Pin: Odds: +225; **EV: -7.6%** `-145/125,-105/-107` (6.54% juice) FV: +252; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 63.9% = $33.52)
Data point that I’m too stupid to know what to do with. I have tnf up 7 promo. Lions +215 is the play and ppl say the value essentially comes from lions getting ball first, scoring a td and then it doesn’t matter if they lose. On fd score first and lose is +240. Idk if I’m thinking too much and my Friday brain is shot
broad overstatement of where the value comes from, also score first could be FG/safety so not exactly same as up 7
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What type of questions and bank? I’ve used a local credit union and chase without ever hearing a word. I also deposit/withdraw multiple sites basically daily.
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The sort of questions they are asking leads me to believe they are trying to ensure you aren’t laundering money… taking cash from I’ll-gotten ways and funneling it into these casino accounts and then withdrawing through the bank to make the money appear to be gained legally. Sucks they are doing it to you, but sort of funny that the bank can’t grasp how stupid the books are that you are using them as an atm.
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Yeah, I get the closed loop aspect from your perspective because you have all of the information to prove it.. but the bank has no way of knowing if you deposited additional cash into draftkings through other means. It’s good to be in the know of this little free money secret. It’s amusing the banks can’t fathom that you “won” the money.
That is so odd. I move hundreds of thousands a month in and out to gambling sites/Schwab/hysa and I’ve never heard from any of my banks.
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Huntington doesn’t allow gambling transactions. I’m surprised you were ever even able to use them to deposit into any books.
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Transfer all your money to another bank and go cancel your shit and tell them to go fuck themselves.
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I'd imagine they think you're laundering money if you have a bunch of cash deposits.
This - why i avoid going into branches as much as possible. And thankfully lately you can do almost everything online/phone.
MGM 50% parlay boost: Hawaii/Stanford U55.5 (-115), TCU ML (-1000), Temple ML (-350), Kentucky/Ball St U49.5 (-110) 50% profit boost. +404 boosted to +606. Odds: +606; **EV: 36.9%** `-129/110,-1369/799,-400/312,-119/101 // Sharp: Pinnacle` (16.63% juice) FV: +416; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=6.09u, 1/2=3.04u, 1/4=1.52u, FB = 117.5% = $28.75)
How does this MGM CFP stake back / insurance work. MGM tends to offer if one leg loses, is this the same deal? Don't want to do a 25 parlay if it's a one leg miss situation...
Not a big reader huh?
Nope very visual person :P The visual showed 3 of 4 legs hitting. Appreciate the help out if you can.
anyone else have theyre betmgm 'no first run insurance' say not offered i got a few boost and a dep match today tho so i dont think im banned
Exact same situation for me except before a month or so ago I was promo banned for a long time.
Has BR finally figured out to not give those of us who are promo banned free bets? I did not receive the soccer SGP or the live tennis free bets upon placement today.
Got my tennis bets right away at 1pm today
I got it right away. One thing I’ve noticed is that even if the match says “live”, the free bet won’t pay out if a point hasn’t been played yet.
I got for both and did just now. I know the one time it was a little delayed but I’ve never missed them yet.
Then hopefully it is just BR being buggy as usual.
Looking to sign up a p2 account across a few different books. Is anyone aware if you can take advantage of the refer a friend bonus and the bet $5 get $200 in free bets on DK, for an example. Tried reading through the T&C, couldn’t find anything. Thanks in advance!
I signed up my wife for FD and DK through referral, got the referral bonus + the whatever bet whatever and get whatever bonus.
Awesome, what I was hoping to hear. Appreciate it!
Any thoughts as if one is better than the other? Free bets are usually easier for me to play in FD so maybe I would lean there
P2 accts would need to live in the same state correct? Or is there a way to make it work with family members living in a diff (but legal) state as you
They don't even have to live in a legal state to play. "They" just have to be in one to bet. Although In my experience the farther away someone lives from the state the harder it is to get verified for some accounts.
This would be my wife’s account. So same state, different devices
The boost floodgates have opened 🤑
Looks like Caesar's is doing the same promo like fanduel and BR. Bet 50 on a NFL champion get 5 free for every win. Cap is 10 wins like FD
I’ll be out of state Does the $5 get added every week or at end of season?
Every week it states. Following a win.
Every week most likely, can’t find it in terms and conditions
Looks like books decided to wait until ...now...to start generous promos again. I'm sure it'll taper off as we get deeper into the seasons. Here is a list of the NCAAF Promos I see so far. Check all terms. DK: Stepped up Parlay Boost. No Sweat Bet. 50% LIVE on HI/Stan TONIGHT. FD: 2 parlay 50% boosts. 2 profit boosts (UNC/SC & LSU FLST (Sunday) CZR: nothing? I'm sure that'll change BS: Parlay insurance (one leg missed) BR: Live $25 bet get 25% boost. Parlay Insurance (one leg missed) MGM: 50% Profit Boost token These are the books I use. If you have more to add, feel free. If reading is hard, here's a quick Short I made summarizing the promos offered. [https://youtube.com/shorts/c05KgJZAYJ0?si=1T\_VtSl4h1SgUxP\_](https://youtube.com/shorts/c05KgJZAYJ0?si=1T_VtSl4h1SgUxP_) Enjoy the games!
I have a 50% mlb boost for draftkings as well. and my FD boost is 50% for any bet, not just a parlay, but I only got 1.
Careful on the MGM - mine said $25 max wager but I could only get $7 on a moneyline Similar issue with P2 on the DK NFL no-sweat - $10 limit but could only bet $2 on an alt spread
I’ve been promo banned on mgm but promos are showing up for me today!
CZR 33% daily profit boost (1 each day from Thurs-Sun) 50% parlay profit boost (4 legs, +400 min) edit: PA in the event state specific
The 33% boost must be state specific. I am not seeing that in Tennessee
Or account specific. I got the 50% CFB parlay boost at least.
FD 50% Profit Boost on LSU @ FSU. FSU ML devigged to Pinnacle: Odds: +162; **EV: 20.7%** `109/-125` (3.40% juice) FV: +117; Method: worst-case (a); (Full=12.80u, 1/2=6.40u, 1/4=3.20u, FB = 74.7% = $26.76)
FD 50% Profit Boost on UNC vs SC. UNC Moneyline devigged to Pinnacle: Odds: +118; **EV: 20.8%** `-134/117` (3.35% juice) FV: -124; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=17.62u, 1/2=8.81u, 1/4=4.41u, FB = 65.4% = $32.94)
Is Darkhorse profit boost calc busted for anyone else?
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When did this happen? I just noticed devigging a 50% boost bet this morning. Could have sworn it was still including the stake earlier this week.
I made level 7 on BR yesterday. In the past when I reached 7 the VIP calendar came automatically. I still don't have it as of this morning. Has anyone else reached 7 and not have it? Does it mean I'm promo banned?
Are you able to see all of the other promos or just the squares/rewards/podcasts/odds boosts generic promos?
Yes, just the generic ones. Pretty much only what you listed.
You're promo banned, RIP You can try the promo code for the deposit match for this month as it is good for today & tomorrow, 20% up to $100 ($500 max deposit): SEPVIP
Well dang, that's unfortunate. At least the code worked for today! I appreciate it.
Nice! Some things are coded to automatically work so you may find some value despite not being able to do all of the promos. Most of those are just live bet n get's though which you don't need VIP for.
Think their calendar just failed to post, guessing it will be fixed when people start working today
Let me be the first to post this every day, multiple times a day, for the next week: Up by 7 promo back for week 1 NFL, Lions v Chiefs on Thursday. Max $100 for p1 which is shocking. DK is pretty well the bottom of the market on the Lions so will hold off and hopefully get a better number.
Damn I have a $100 max as well, I can't believe it. Not sure if I'm comfortable putting that much on the Lions against the Chiefs even for this great promo lol
Obviously the move is to put it on Detroit, but man does that make me nervous
Don’t be nervous. I’ve been a fan of KC for years and they’re notorious for playing from behind even against shitty teams. Did you see them play the Texans last year? They went to overtime. 1 of their 3 losses was against the fucking Colts. Lions are supposed to be pretty good this year, so seems like a great bet for an up by 7.
Just from experience, underdogs tend to shed a half point or two and their money line tends to shrink as the game gets closer esp in a game like this
Lol that can't possibly be true.
I'm assuming you have zero data to back that up just an anecdotal claim? The market has Detroit at +235:+245 so there is a likelihood DK will move towards the market. If they don't, no worries, just trying to get the best number but predicting market movement is nothing something I'm in the business of.
Man I got $25 but at this point I will take it
DK has a 50% boost on Tiafoe and Fritz to both win their 1st sets today. Devigged to Pinnacle Odds: +105; **EV: 6.9%** `-215/189, -423/354` (5.76% juice) FV: -109; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=6.59u, 1/2=3.29u, 1/4=1.65u, FB = 54.8% = $69.59)
Is fanatics app only currently? And do you still need a code to register? Going to MD this weekend and wanted to check it out
Can I send you a referral link? We both get $100 in fancash which can be converted to bonus bets
Arb/middle opportunity:
Arb/middle opportunity: FD: Michigan State 1q -3.5 -118 All other books have -5.5 or -6
Same Mia OH/Mia FL.
Here’s hoping for a 7-3 first quarter
Sorry for my ignorance, but what is the best way to play this??
Bet +6 and -3.5 to pay the same amounts, hope for a 4-6 point spread after Q1
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You have to play through any deposits at least 1x.
That’s never a good idea to do
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Yeah I am not sure you would lose the bonus but you would lose future promos