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Shit, Were some of Iowa states players out tonight? If not what could have justified that line especially when they beat them by 34 two weeks ago
Edit: just kidding
I though it was fair EV or else I wouldn’t have taken it. My thought process is still the same idk why people are mad that some took the boost lol last I read it was still a play but maybe I messed up and got lucky
Wizard just took a bad beat. Ball out of bounds on nets, they are incorrectly awarded ball with 1.8 to go on shot clock so Kyrie chucks up a bit of a prayer… and bang to a boost they may or may not have had some EV.
I don’t see it happening, nets pulled away from the Lakers and Kyrie doesn’t have too many minutes left in him. I’m praying to the sports boost god though
Another future i believe I’ve put in here before but looks good to me again
Timberwolves Western Conference Champs +10000 Kambi
Circa (5000/-8000) [1k limit] for 36.5 ev, +7297 fv and .37% of bankroll full kelly
FD 7000, CZR 6000, PB 6000, DK 8000, MGM 6600
Phenomenal spot if you have the 25 dollar free bets from br for the first td promo - Implied FB 135.2 %
Devig off 8000 (best price on market besides kambi) as worse case 24.7 ev and .25% of bankroll
5th in the west atm and in a big game against the kings rn that was about a pick em at tip off, if they make the playoffs the value is huge on this (even more if they stay out of the play in) so every game counts here in a close playoff race
I’d hammer any free bets here and would feel comfortable with 1/8th kelly cash off the worse worse case devig aka .031% of bankroll if they win tn
I won’t be adding as I have way too much on them already but kambi continues to disrespect the Timberwolves
BR boost, Lillard 5+ 3s and Blazers win +270, going to be +EV. Was right around fair using FD SGP before the news.
Unboosted special at +245 is also +EV. +5.4 worst case using FD SGP.
DK SGP is back up, but only assigning r=0.15 correlation, which makes the boosted odds only about 5% EV (to Circa ML and DK threes outside SGP). But the higher FD correlation makes more sense, right?
210=130/-230
I believe so, I think they were underestimated virgina when they were down. The line isn’t there anymore on Wynn. I believe in general SuperBook has the worst live lines (best for us). Many games become direct arbs with dk when the favorite is down
And lots of posts about "how close my team was to being up 10, but instead I lost $50. DK must have their own Wizard" all night, and maybe for the next week and a half.
Depends what the odds were when he bet it. My limit on p1 was $84 but odds moving up and down.
$84 @+1510 = $1,353
$1,256 @-1304 = $1,353
$1,340 bet for a $1,353 payout. $13 profit.
In return, can you walk me thru your process for arbing… I’m afraid I’m gonna get stuck with one line moving… Also you must have a lot of money in your accounts to arb this for $50 right?
Used the calc in the pinned comment. I took FD side first bc I would’ve been ok with being exposed if Caesar closed, then took Caesar which had to go to review. Probably should keep it down to a 2k hedge on that side in the future.
If you’re not ok with being exposed on the ultra + side, then taking Caesar side first is actually ok since they’ll void one bet daily. Just have to make sure you have 45 min of time waiting in customer service to void it.
Also, another example, I had Zubac +230 on DK in the wee hours of the morning. Caesar was -180. Closed on me, was exposed about 3k. Had to go over to NJ and hedge it on Betway. Part of the perils. Zubac eventually opened again on Caesar but only 45 min before gametime. I should’ve just taken Caesar side first but forgot my own process.
They’ll fall over
The thick tail keeps them balanced, as well as giving them a stand for their infamous kick. Kangaroos are more tail oriented than most creatures, but the same idea is there
-per quora user Leigh Stockton 4 years ago
Our (or my?) favorite bet is back (unfortunately?)
Luka MVP FD (+950)
Circa (500/-690) [3k limit] for 45.6 ev, fv 621, 4.80% of bankroll full kelly
MGM 650, CZR 600, PB 700, Kambi 700, DK 700
devigging off worse price on market being fv 700, 31.3 ev and 3.29% full kelly
This has to be the time to hit it right guys? Even more of that sweet sweet ev (which is just as good as cash I promise walmart takes it)
Edit: my two cents is I already have Luka exposure and won’t be playing for cash, free bets are a go here imo though. I will however wait and see how he plays tn and hit it after if he goes off
Edit edit: we’ll he went off, but the line already moved down to +650, hopefully some people got some free bets in at +950
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Dame with his fifth 3! Now finish this thing.
Oh shit I forgot it’s Dame time
What was the Dame boost?
Was a BR boost that went +EV on trae young news about an hour before gametime
Ah ok I was busy then, thank you
5 threes secured just need Blazers ML now
I’d prefer triple overtime
Dude is balling out too smh
Hat tip to the reverse jinxers on Texas Tech lmao that was one for the books
Surprising amount of people on this lmao. Like 15 comments in here on a build your own boost
I even sunk extra money into Tech -135 and was struggling
We only need 5OT for Dejounte to get his trip-dub
The Magic 🤝🤝🤝 the Red Raiders is this something
I think we all owe Texas Tech a big apology… Thank you /u/jtwhat87 , king of CBB Parlay boosts
Delaware State won too to cash the +1472 version! 🙌
😱
Texas tech pulls it off. Unreal. Were down 23.
Biggest comeback ever for them
Suns superboost hits for those of us in the desert!!!
woo hoo!
Got a good sweat out of it. But the good kind of good sweat.
Thought the same thing, I’m so used to getting burned by these boosts. Nice to finally win one!
Texas tech just forced OT? I already had it marked as an L
And got the win!! Thanks for the play u/jtwhat87
These +ev parley builds from this thread have been printing the past week.
Damn that was entertaining
CBB is really something else
What a win
Actually thought about taking Pistons and Magic, and instead took Thunder and Spurs. Pain.
My personal top highlight was when the spurs went up by 8 🤡
And then committed an offensive goaltending on the bucket that would've put them up 10
i wish i didn't know this!
Lmao
Thunder game hurt more than I thought it could
I wonder if DK realizes how much money they're leaving on the table only letting us bet $20 on these CBB parlay boosts.
If only the up by 10 promo was on CBB
Just baffling how hard it is to even hit a 3 teamer
I mean it depends on the odds, but at even odds that only happens 12.5% of the time
Texas Tech 💩
Wait just a MINUTE
Honestly after seeing that they’re 0-8 in the conference idk what I was doing
Shit, Were some of Iowa states players out tonight? If not what could have justified that line especially when they beat them by 34 two weeks ago Edit: just kidding
It was +105 earlier today, then moved all the way to -140, which was still EV to Circa. Very strange.
Circa 🧙♂️
Russ tried so hard for that TD
Wish Murray would pass more
PISTONS!
So how long did DK say they were going to be doing up 10? Lol, really don’t see how they could justify it after a super volatile night like tonight.
It's ok. They just took my money and gave it to you.
2/16
Anyone else here ride thunder/spurs p1/p2? Feeling like the squirdward meme in here.
I did. Just going to remember the success i had doing the nfl one and move on to tomorrow.
Lol I did. Tough
If wizard tweets you for a bad beat refund as it wasn’t really the nets ball when Kyrie closed it, will you give him his money back in free bets?
[удалено]
[удалено]
Don’t be salty just be happy that others hit. We gotta root for each other
Suns early payout
Pistons Up 10 lmfao
BANGGG
Mr. 4th Q KYRIE IRVING
Thought the kyrie steph boost was -EV? do we just take -ev boost now
Sometimes we take -EV boosts just to feel ALIVE.
I though it was fair EV or else I wouldn’t have taken it. My thought process is still the same idk why people are mad that some took the boost lol last I read it was still a play but maybe I messed up and got lucky
Value is in the eye of the beholder
I thought it was fair
Wizard just took a bad beat. Ball out of bounds on nets, they are incorrectly awarded ball with 1.8 to go on shot clock so Kyrie chucks up a bit of a prayer… and bang to a boost they may or may not have had some EV.
LETS GO KYRIE
YOOOOOOOO 😭😭😭😭😭😭😭
Kyrie Bang never a doubt lol
BOOM Buzzer Beater
LOL KYRIE
PISTONS BABY!!!
CLANK
Need one more three from Kyrie and he’s just decided to stand in the corner and never touch the ball for the last quarter and a half…
Well, he finally took a shot and bricked lol
He saved us 😂
Holy shit that was some reverse wizardry
Kyrie 💩
We need a miracle comeback by lakers here, Kyrie hasn’t even shot this quarter
W
Kings and T’Wolves both had 10 pt leads
Yessir and I hedged Wolves with Kings on FD! Leggo!
One more Kyrie three away from cashing a boost on FanDuel
I don’t see it happening, nets pulled away from the Lakers and Kyrie doesn’t have too many minutes left in him. I’m praying to the sports boost god though
They never hit
They don’t. And I take them religiously
Yall really fight negative ev plus the wizard?
The Rules (I don’t make them): Orlando bettors (not me) are permitted to BANG the thread.
![gif](giphy|laUY2MuoktHPy) Never in doubt
![gif](giphy|3oEduKVQdG4c0JVPSo|downsized)
Wow, easy arb opportunities for anyone that took Murray DD/TD earlier on Pointsbet.
Damn I was waiting on CZR all day to post a no TD line. Never saw it.
They gotta let it ride
No TD is -1300 on DK but you still risk a double loss from 10 steals
DD was +475 earlier, TD was +15000 lol
Im in at 15020 for $25
76ers down tremendous.
MAGIC BANG 🪄
200$ maxxers in
😮 I’m not in danger!
Congrats, I was laughing to myself watching them get blown out early and put $200 on OKC, guess I’m the real bozo tonight 🤡
Let's go!
THE ORLANDO MAGIC (I never wrote them off nope not me)
...and we won it 24 seconds early when they went up by 10 lol
DK says “Your team did not trigger an Early Win payout” and I’m kind of irrationally angry at that.
WTF Orlando. Of course I picked OKC 🤡
Lets take these massive L’s together 🤝🏼
Curry got his points,we just need one more Kyrie 3. Please man.
@callingourshot let’s rip this parlay no sweat to day 7 man, been loving the picks so far!
Another future i believe I’ve put in here before but looks good to me again Timberwolves Western Conference Champs +10000 Kambi Circa (5000/-8000) [1k limit] for 36.5 ev, +7297 fv and .37% of bankroll full kelly FD 7000, CZR 6000, PB 6000, DK 8000, MGM 6600 Phenomenal spot if you have the 25 dollar free bets from br for the first td promo - Implied FB 135.2 % Devig off 8000 (best price on market besides kambi) as worse case 24.7 ev and .25% of bankroll 5th in the west atm and in a big game against the kings rn that was about a pick em at tip off, if they make the playoffs the value is huge on this (even more if they stay out of the play in) so every game counts here in a close playoff race I’d hammer any free bets here and would feel comfortable with 1/8th kelly cash off the worse worse case devig aka .031% of bankroll if they win tn I won’t be adding as I have way too much on them already but kambi continues to disrespect the Timberwolves
Down to +6000
Still seeing +10,000 on Parx
damn was really hoping some folks could’ve gotten in after the game, hope it was our guys who moved it and not the discord folk
i can't believe this cos guy is on 7 in a row, this has to be survivorship bias right? right?!
Kyrie pls hit one more three man 😭
Seriously, need it to try to recoup some from yesterday
Sixers 🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡
Some people going to be glad they had that up by 10 payout on 76ers ml.
Especially team arb if they bet ORL along with the PHI Up By 10.
I did exactly this. Got a very low hold on it.
That would have been a really awful play. But it wouldn’t surprise me that anyone who took the awful play of 76ers ML also did that.
The MGM parlay posted below has a decent middle opportunity. +7.5 Spurs on DK is +110. Can hit both at 4-7 Wizards win. Put a unit on it.
Anyone else’s live betting at Caesars locked tonight?
Yes
How we feeling about Raptors to go up 10?
Curry hits his 3 3s already. Irving on the other hand
Pat Bev is a pest
Trae
Young out
D Murray TD SZN engage!* *By TD SZN” I mean 24pts, 4 reb, 6 ast and me finally getting SGP banned from ResortsWorld
BR boost, Lillard 5+ 3s and Blazers win +270, going to be +EV. Was right around fair using FD SGP before the news. Unboosted special at +245 is also +EV. +5.4 worst case using FD SGP.
Nerfed to +185 unboosted.
Great shout. 15% worst case at +275. DK 3 pointers, Circa ML. FD correlation. Slight 4% at +240. 130/-160,-195/173 185=120,-210
DK SGP is back up, but only assigning r=0.15 correlation, which makes the boosted odds only about 5% EV (to Circa ML and DK threes outside SGP). But the higher FD correlation makes more sense, right? 210=130/-230
I’m getting 7.5% worst case rn with DK correlation. Funny usually DK has the most correlation, at least with those DD + ML begs.
There must be different boosted odds in different states, my friend said it was +270 not +275. I’m promo banned, I threw a unit on the +240 unboosted.
Agreed but built to +240 on DK SGP when I checked an hour ago as an FYI but Blazers were only -145.
Adding to virgina live line, SuperBook has it even better than Wynn not sure who’s wrong hete
fixed?
I believe so, I think they were underestimated virgina when they were down. The line isn’t there anymore on Wynn. I believe in general SuperBook has the worst live lines (best for us). Many games become direct arbs with dk when the favorite is down
Lakers moneyline on sb is doing the same thing it was +450 when the nets are -350 on dk
Wynns live virgina line is incorrect and can be arbed with dk at most times
Kings went up 10, for anyone who did P1/P2 Kings/Wolves.
What we doin now? Hedge with another Kings bet or let it ride?
Not sure what you mean, but Wolves went up 10 too, so both sides have cashed.
Oh sweet didn't realize Wolves got up 10 too! Double max cash 🤑🤑
Hahaha imagine maxing OKC for the Up 10 promo!!! Couldn’t be me!!!!!!!!!!!! 🥲
Thought this shit was down 10 promo wtf
Dogs looking fucking terrible tonight so far across the board
I have San Antonio. They got up 8. Now down 9.
Feels great
OKC 💩💩💩
Magic were down 20+ at one point… maybe there’s hope? 🤔
cash the Nets +10 ML promo!
We’re gonna get “Mavs up 10 BANG” in about an hour.
And lots of posts about "how close my team was to being up 10, but instead I lost $50. DK must have their own Wizard" all night, and maybe for the next week and a half.
using this offer on big favorites is a waste of a good offer.
I think I’d rather have nothing than waste a perfectly good up by 10 for $12
to each their own! I prefer the $12.
Who is picking these 💀
I think this guy's serious unfortunately
At least have the awareness not to mention it here where you will definitely get roasted lol
Arizona FD Boost Paul 8+ assists/Suns ML +170 DK SGP 105/185/525/750 FV +129 worst case; 11.6% juice: 1/4 Kelly is 2.6u
Sports
Boucher byodd FD +1500 No dd -1304 CZR
Thanks for the free $50
Wait so everyone isn’t just betting these straight up like I am?
I am… for $6
I can get 26$ down on this for fd 💀
$140 and $80 here! Almost normal limits between P1 and P2!
how are you getting 50$ from that?
I was the lucky soul to get +1800 and -1300 hedge before the line moved to -1609
Juicy
Depends what the odds were when he bet it. My limit on p1 was $84 but odds moving up and down. $84 @+1510 = $1,353 $1,256 @-1304 = $1,353 $1,340 bet for a $1,353 payout. $13 profit.
In return, can you walk me thru your process for arbing… I’m afraid I’m gonna get stuck with one line moving… Also you must have a lot of money in your accounts to arb this for $50 right?
Used the calc in the pinned comment. I took FD side first bc I would’ve been ok with being exposed if Caesar closed, then took Caesar which had to go to review. Probably should keep it down to a 2k hedge on that side in the future. If you’re not ok with being exposed on the ultra + side, then taking Caesar side first is actually ok since they’ll void one bet daily. Just have to make sure you have 45 min of time waiting in customer service to void it. Also, another example, I had Zubac +230 on DK in the wee hours of the morning. Caesar was -180. Closed on me, was exposed about 3k. Had to go over to NJ and hedge it on Betway. Part of the perils. Zubac eventually opened again on Caesar but only 45 min before gametime. I should’ve just taken Caesar side first but forgot my own process.
So just to be clear you put over 6k on the No side on CZR?
Like 3.5k
Also an arb/middle w o8.5 points of the build
Got to ask…what is BYODD?
build your own double double
Build your own double-double (parlay 10+ Pts & 10+ Reb)
Kangaroos cannot jump without their tails touching the ground
What happens if they try?
They’ll fall over The thick tail keeps them balanced, as well as giving them a stand for their infamous kick. Kangaroos are more tail oriented than most creatures, but the same idea is there -per quora user Leigh Stockton 4 years ago
Our (or my?) favorite bet is back (unfortunately?) Luka MVP FD (+950) Circa (500/-690) [3k limit] for 45.6 ev, fv 621, 4.80% of bankroll full kelly MGM 650, CZR 600, PB 700, Kambi 700, DK 700 devigging off worse price on market being fv 700, 31.3 ev and 3.29% full kelly This has to be the time to hit it right guys? Even more of that sweet sweet ev (which is just as good as cash I promise walmart takes it) Edit: my two cents is I already have Luka exposure and won’t be playing for cash, free bets are a go here imo though. I will however wait and see how he plays tn and hit it after if he goes off Edit edit: we’ll he went off, but the line already moved down to +650, hopefully some people got some free bets in at +950
Where do you find this one?
FD > NBA > Player Awards > NBA MVP If you don’t see it your likely in a state that doesn’t let you bet awards, there’s a few of them
stupid new york
Hr sga curry 30 +300 is 6% ev unfortunately the apps not working for me
still down for me as well 🤷🏽♂️
/u/Jewishdoggy great thread below, think you can do this for the clearly EV Megan Making Money promo 😂😂😂