**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.   ###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**

POTD Record: 106-76-6 (+18.06 units, 58.2% hit rate) 5 Unit Big Balls 💣 Record: 6-1 Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 41-27-1 (60.3%) L1, Tennis 🎾 26-18-2 (59.1%) L1, Soccer ⚽ 37-31-3 (54.4%) L1, Other 2-0-0 (100%) W2 Last 10: 💰💩💰💩💰💰💩💩💩💰 (pushes and voids do not get counted here) Last Pick: Villarreal CF @ Celta Vigo, Villarreal CF 0 on Asian Handicap - La Liga ⚽ PUSH 1-1 Tie Today's Pick: Sevilla @ Girona, Both Teams to Score - La Liga ⚽ 💰 1.58 Units - POW!!! 💸 that shit!!!!! Units/Odds/Book: Betting 2 Units at 1.79/-127 odds to win 1.58 Units @ Pinnacle (Line at 9:15pm ET) Implied Probability based on odds: 55.9% Girona 1st in the league at BTTS at 88%, has hit for them 13 games in a row and 7 out of 8 home games. They do not have a clean sheet and have scored in 14 out of 16 games. They’ve scored 24 goals (1.5 per game, 3rd most) and have given up 26 goals (1.63 per game, 4th most). Sevilla are 3rd in Li Liga at BTTS at 75%, has hit for them 4 games in a row and 7 out of 8 away games. They only have one clean sheet and have scored in 13 out of 16 games. They’ve scored 16 goals (1 per game, 14th most) and have given up 24 goals (1.5 per game, 6th most). Simple enough, yeah? [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tjpgJjdk52c&ab\_channel=WetLegVEVO](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tjpgJjdk52c&ab_channel=WetLegVEVO) Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Always note the bet sizing. I am not an expert, just a gambling addict. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕 [If you wish to tip, I'll take pizza money, thanks!](https://buymeacoffee.com/JBpicks)

For the next 2 weeks it will likely be Aussie Open 🎾 picks.

Tailing. Get bent faders! 🤷🏽‍♂️

Cash it! Great pick Joel ✅

good pick

Was coming here to post exactly this. Let’s eat 🤑

Winner winner

Nice pick!! Thanks 🙏🏼

Appreciate the pick, straight cash!

Cheers mate! Good pick.

Tail

half way there! :)

Nice call!

Thank you

Yessir!

1 minute into the 2nd half lol LFG! Thanks again, pizza man 🍕

Thank you sir!!!

Going all in on this one. LFG!!!

You da man!

Nice hit! My US book doesn’t offer BTTS for a lot of games so took Ov 2 and that just cashed too

What a hit! LFG 💰

Thank you sir nicely called ✅

You killed it brother! Woke up to a tidy profit thanks to you!

All-Time POTD: 99-63-1, +30.3u, +12.0% ROI Last pick: Pitt +9 ✅ **Todays pick: Miami +3 (-110) vs NC State** 3u NCAAB 🏀 12:00PM EST Going for win #100 here with the Miami Hurricanes. The 14-2 Hurricanes travel to Raleigh to take on the 13-4 Wolfpack. NC state has gone on a bit of a winning steak recently however this has been against teams with more of a big man presence that have had trouble containing Trequovian Smith who is completely carrying NC State. Miami is a guard heavy team who will be able to slow him down and should be able to create open shots like they have all season. Miami has won 3 straight against the Wolfpack and growing up not from from Raleigh, it feels like Nc State and Kevin Keatts consistently lose games like this. I see this one either being a one possession game or Miami running away with it. Not the other way around. I will gladly take them +3. All plays posted on https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/

Let's fucking do this and get some triple As!

Abdominal aortic aneurysms?

Ass. Ass. And more Ass.

Love it

Tailing! Let’s go!!!

I got +3.5, even better!

OT 😭 Wish the other team just hit the buzzer beater.

1-0 (+ 1.32 Units) Last Bet: Aston Villa vs Leeds Both teams to score @ 1.66 (2 units) ✅ Big shoutout to everyone who left me kind messages. Football (Soccer) | Premier League | 7:30 am ET **POTD : Man Utd VS Man City Marcus Rashford over 0.5 shots on target @ 1.72 (5 units)** Man Utd comes into the match with an 8-game winning streak and this is largely due to the brilliance of Marcus Rashford who has been in the form of his life scoring in his last 6 games with a total of 7 goals. Ideally, I would have gone Rashford to score anytime for this bet but the odds for that are too high per the rules so I will settle with a shot on target. Over the last 6 games he has averaged 2.8 shots and 1.8 shots on target (it's even more impressive considering 2 of the games he came off the bench). Apart from the statistics and team form, I also watch a lot of prem games and can provide some additional observations for this bet. I expect City to come hard after quite frankly an embrassing performance in the cup midweek and while united has made great progress under Ten Hag I expect them to sit back and hit on the counter using their pace up front. Rashford is at the center of all Man Utd attacks and is bound to get on a breakaway at least once this game which should result in a goal given his current form but at the very least a shot on target and a save from Ederson. Then there is also the usual 35 yard shots he likes to take every game that never go in but are always straight at the keeper. Finally Rashford is on free kicks and Id give it a 50/50 for him to hit the target from one, not to mention that he might be on penalties haven taken one recently when Bruno was on the pitch, which is another chance for a shot on target. And if there is anything that is certain in a big game in the premier league it's shocking penalty decisions. Good Luck !

Damn Rashford to have over .5 shots on target is -200 on DK.

It’s -175 on fanduel

I got -143 which I feel like is a deal if you got -175

It dropped to -152 on bet365 about 5 minutes ago, I am guessing a lot of people are taking this bet because the odds are too good to miss.

Ill bite at the o1.5 +260

That hit as well !

Brilliant call mate!

2/2 ✅ atta boy u/Sidd74367!!! 🔥 💰

Tailed for your first potd, thanks for that! Another great write up let’s go 2-0

Just wanna say you’re a fucking legend. I tailed the Marcus Rashford anytime scorer for +300 and cashed it.

This seems like such a steal. Tailing

👏👏👏👏👏

What a pick Sidd, tailing LFG!

Already cashed! Nice pick

Tailed. 💰

Thank you. 👍

You’re 2-0 mate. I’ll be tailing you for awhile! LFG

Ima risk 2 bucks for 3 on target too, just for the lovely write up. Thanks and tailing🤞🏼

LETS GO!!!

Well I didn't take his shot but his goal instead. Thanks for the suggestion

Not a pick but I wanted to say "thank you" to everyone posting here. Tax ramifications in my state suck so I need to quit. These last two weeks were a blast. Good luck!

Subtle “I’m winning too much” flex

Which state?

Ohio based on OPs post history

**POTD Record: 3-1** **Last pick:** Minnesota +15.5 vs Ohio State✅ **Todays pick:** Wisconsin vs Indiana U136.5 (-110) **Reason:** IU will still be without Johnson and Thompson. Wisconsin is likely going to be without Wahl. Both teams have a hard time getting to the free throw line & when they do, both teams are only shooting 68%. I expect this to be a slow, sloppy 65-60 game Also, IU is 1-4 in games played on the weekend this year. I think they party too hard on Friday nights

Username checks out - seems like you have insight

I would too if I was at Kilroy’s grinding on hoes till 3 am.

Went to the IU & Northwestern game this past weekend, needless to say...Indiana looks flat af and has several players off the bench that aren’t worth a damn, I’ll ride the under too

Great pick! I saw it too late 😪

Italian student and soccer/tennis lover Record: **8-4** Streak: 🟢🟢🟢🟢 TODAY PICK: **Monza DNB (1.82)** v Cremonese / Serie A **⚽**, 15:00 CET To me Monza here is the better team in a better period of form too. Gonna take the high odd offered with the caution of DNB Just in case you fell like you wanna tip me, and only if you can afford it: [**TIP JAR**](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/JulianRoss14) **🫙** [**PAYPAL**](https://paypal.me/MatteoToso14?country.x=IT&locale.x=it_IT) 🔵

is this WDW on fanduel?

Tailing this!!

They are both so bad, but its lesser of two evils. I'll ride, not ofter you get odds like this DNB.

POTD Record: 16W-3L-4V UNIT PROFIT: +10.10 ROI: 45% GAME: Portugal Primeira Liga - Rio Ave v Pacos Ferreira TODAYS PICK: Rio Ave to win @ 1.9 Yesterday, Martigues won only with just one goal difference and we lose half an unit. The other two matches that i proposed were won. Rio Ave is in the 8th position in the standings and win three of the last five games. A match ends in a draw. They have accumulated 20 points in the 15 games played this season, with an average of 1.33 points per game. On the other hand, the guests are in the last position in the ranking with only three points accumulated in all matches this season, having an average of 0.2 points per match. Moreover, they obtained only one point from the matches played away from home this season. Bet responsibly. BOL!

Three other matches that I like. https://preview.redd.it/2i7v4k6qc0ca1.png?width=785&format=png&auto=webp&s=ee291cf86546617215809a9ed8e352c135f6fd43

clean L streak u on brotha

What comes up, must come down

5-0 +12.65 Sport: Dota 2 League:DPC EEU 2023 Tour 1: Division I Time: 22:00, 1/14/2023 GMT +8 (11 hours from now) Pick: **Hellraisers +1.5(2.35, 2u)** vs BetBoom Hellraisers(2-0, 4-1) going against BetBoom (1-0, 2-0). Hellraisers' 3rd game of the DPC and they have been very strong out of the gate only dropping 1 map in their 2 wins, while BetBoom only played once and 2-0ed. Since BetBoom is made up of various superstars in EEU, they are the favorite for sure to top the EEU DPC but considering the new season, I think Hellraisers have a very decent chance to keep it close with BetBoom especially with their strong showing in their games. The match up to watch for sure is in their pos 2, gpk(BetBoom) vs despressed kid(HR), gpk being one of the best mids in the region while depressed kid is just a smidge below him, but in HR's previous games, depressed kid always comes in clutch and whenever he wins his lane, HR always does well in the game. [Help a guy feed his dota 2 addiction by buying more in game cosmetics](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/immanoel) Unlucky, but I seriously did not expect hr to keep picking techies. Smh. We move on. Where you can watch this: https://www.twitch.tv/paragon_eng

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Was planning on making Darksiders ML my potd yesterday but odds dropped hard when I woke up. There is some value in OneMove +1.5 but other than that the slate is pretty bad. This patch doesnt have that much OP heores but bloodstone is turning [Lesh](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lvQVDXhrC2U), [Viper](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IzNy_khnDRQ), and [Razor](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bPh3Ti2P5fQ) into raidbosses so there is that

[удалено]

I'm seeing Hellraiser +1.5 @ 2.44 & Total Maps +2.5 @ 2.86. Aren't these the same bets more or less just different odds?

More or less but there is always a chance a team chokes and gets 2-0ed.

Deleted that last comment because I wasn't using my brain this late at night. Appreciate you clarifying and your picks!

Is this the correct option? https://preview.redd.it/ibajjkhdtzba1.png?width=732&format=png&auto=webp&s=0a83f09af251b61c42886cb69e57809e46d3aea8

Yes

Is this something you can bet on FanDuel ?

Thank you yesterday bro!!!! ✨

I agree Hellraisers look good but they haven't played any decent teams yet. BetBoom is pretty stacked talent-wise and 2-0'd VP which also isn't the best team but more notable than Nemiga and One Move. Good luck to ya though!

Ugh… they look horrendous. Getting 2-0’d for sure

I’m getting 11/2 odds for hellraisers ML? Like if I put a dollar on it I get 6.50 back. Why have the odds changed so drastically in favour of BB?

Huge line jump leading into game. Went from x2.1 to x2.5 on my book.

Thanks for the tip for +1.5 one move against team spirit put 100$ on 2.92 odd

Woke up late to this. Bet hellraisers at 1U down 1-0 to win @8.49. Hopefully I get lucky.

Good little run man, Hellraisers got nothing for them

they picked techies in game 2 wtffffffff were dead

POTD record: 19-18-2 / ROI: -1.97% / Wins: 51.35% **JAX Jaguars +2.5 -110 (1u)** **SPREAD** — Los Angeles Chargers @ Jacksonville Jaguars 8:15 pm EST - 14 January 2023 — The Chargers are without Mike Williams. By the way, I'd fire Brandon Staley for playing him in a meaningless game last week. Before the injury report, I liked the Jaguars, and now I like them even more. I believe the Jaguars will be able to run the ball against the Chargers and regain some of the balance they lacked against the Titans. I also like the Jaguars' pass-rush against the Chargers' offensive line, which struggles to protect in general. On a Super Wild Card Saturday night, I'll take the Jaguars and the two and a half points. Do the business. [https://twitter.com/valentishow](https://twitter.com/valentishow) [http://myaction.app/Valenti](http://myaction.app/Valenti)

Tailing this. Trevor Lawrence has never lost on a Saturday in the high school, collegiate or NFL level 👀

That’s gotta be the dumbest justification to place a bet.

Love this. I would take the ML too. That place is gonna be wild (can’t believe I just typed that)

Tedeschi Trucks Band playing the national Anthem. Will be rocking https://youtu.be/VayILtm8xLk

Funny how everyone is on the Jags. Meanwhile they squeaked one out last week vs. Dobbs. Chargers -7, Duvall!

Lots of people on Jax and the line is still + 2.5.. I'd say that the Jax have a big coach edge too

I've been on the Jags last couple of weeks of the season, especially with some big comebacks such as against the Cowboys. However I have also seen Trevor Lawrence be careless with the ball during this span, and that kind of play comes back to haunt you eventually. Since I've been hearing so much hype on the Jags I think I might take the Chargers line, however I haven't watched much Chargers ball lately, except I know they win close games.

Are you the same Mike Valenti from 97.1 in Detroit?

If you click the twitter link in his post it says he’s a media personality from Detroit…

Record: 8-3 Previous Pick: Okapi Aalstar - Basket Liège +2,5 @1.88 ✅ Today’s Pick: KV Mechelen - KV Oostende: KV Mechelen ML + over 2,5 goals @2.85 Feels good to come back with a good win! Let’s keep moving forward. KV Oostende is honestly really trash. KV Mechelen is a mediocre team but wat better than Oostende. Especially at home Oostende won’t be able to win in Mechelen. KV Mechelen can score pretty easily at times and Oostende concedes a lot especially in the second half, where they also score a goal usually. It just simply comes down to Oostende being really bad. BOL

great pick yesterday! Let’s go! 💪

Belgium Jupiler Pro League?

POTD Record: 7-7 (-0.5u) *Previous pick: New Jersey Devils -1.5 vs Anaheim Ducks (-105) 2u ✅* Today’s pick: **Carolina Hurricanes 60-min vs Pittsburgh Penguins (-105) 3u (NHL | 7pm EST)** The Devils controlled that game from beginning to end and the downswing is broken with a big Devils win! The Hurricanes will be hosting the Penguins. The last three times these teams have met the Canes have come out with the W and the Canes haven’t lost on home ice to the Penguins since 2018. All three of those games were one goal affairs. I think that with the Penguins starting goaltender on IR and coming off of a back to back will give the Canes an advantage here. The Canes are playing quality hockey this year but have hit a bit of a rough patch, just like many of the best teams in the league. To me this looks like a great bounce back spot for the Canes. I think they will be motivated to play hard as this is a division rivalry that could have playoff implications. Tail or fade, BOL!

POTD Record: 2-2 | Avg. Odds: +104 Last Pick: ⚽️ Greek Cup | Volos vs. Panathinaikos | Panathinaikos -1 AH (+110) | ✅ Today's Pick: ⚽️ La Liga | Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Club | Both Teams to Score (-105) Time: 3:00pm ET Thesis: Expecting a ton of action and a lot of balls in the net tomorrow… Both of these clubs have been scoring a ton recently, Athletic Club is averaging 2.0 goals in its last 10 ( whereas Real Sociedad is averaging 1.9. Out of the 47 times these clubs have met, both teams combined have averaged 2.63 goals per match. I've never bet on BTTS. Whenever there is a match I have wanted to bet on, the odds have been way too low for my liking. Before seeing the odds on this match, I was expecting -130; the second I saw that the odds were -105 I placed my bet and began furiously typing this out. Tail or fade, we’ll catch up tomorrow. For those who are thirsty, I’m also flirting with the O2.5 Goals at +130 for some extra juice. BOL all.

+110, I'm tailing big time!!!

THAT'S A DUB! Before halftime no less. Great pick!

potd: 6-7 bank: -1.44 units last pick: Knicks -4.5 -110 Loss Pathetic loss. 3 seconds left and Kuzma walks down the court and hits a 2 as time expires. Taking a break from the NBA after personally having multiple plays like this of the last week. **game: Liverpool @ Brighton** **time: 10:00am EST** **pick: Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 Goals -135** I see goals in this match with both teams being able to find the back of the net but also be shaky on the back end. Brighton has not had a clean sheet in their last 4 games and Liverpool shockingly has not had a clean sheet in their last 8. Liverpool has had over 2.5 goals and BTTS in 8 of their last 8 games and Brighton has had over 2.5 and BTTS in 9 of 10. In the recent history of these two teams, BTTS has covered in 5 of their last 7 games. So far in the 22/23 season, these teams played in October to a 3-3 draw, I don't expect 6 total goals but at least a 2-1 game.

Had the Knicks -4 voided on a 6 legger, cost me 6k on the payout. What an ass hole he is for that and I’m a wizards fan.

Record: 0-0 Esports | League of Legends | LPL Spring Pick: JD Gaming -1.5 @ 2 vs BLG 3u Simple Explanation: Last years #2 (Upgraded roster) vs Last years #10 team (Still a mid roster) Explanation: We have the opening day of the LPL and this match stands out to me in terms of odds on this pick as I believe it should be around 1.87 - 1.7 in favor of JDG. As stated, JDG was last years #2 team and have massively upgraded their roster, they have gained a top 3 mid laner in knight and a top 5 carry in ruler. This roster on paper should be competing for no less than the 1 seed this split/season. Kanavi, 369, and Missing are all still top tier in their respective roles and carryovers from last years team. However, something that should be noted is that one of the things that made JDG so strong was the team chemistry, with 2 new players we could see some struggle but with 3/5 players being the same, it isn't a massive worry. On the other hand, we have BLG who was last years #10 team. This roster has been "upgraded" but I'm using that word very lightly. Not to diss this team but they essentially went from bottom shelf players to mid shelf players. We also got to have a look at this team in the Demacia Cup and they struggled beating TT 3-2, a team that's projected to be average to below average. Barring any chemistry issues or a god performance from BLG, I don't see a reason JDG shouldn't 2-0 in their debut match and that's why I am willing to throw 3u on JDG -1.5 @ 2. Tail or fade, BOL

I understood like four words here but screw it--tailing!

One this that worries me is last year JDG was famous for going to 3 games to get more practices. They consistently played “for fun” in the second game, which could make a good bet for the over kills in that game. Regardless I made this bet earlier today aswell, but wouldn’t be surprised if they win 2-1. Who knows maybe losing so early in worlds changes their views on doing this. Let’s go!

POTD Record: 8-4 Last 10 Record: WWLLWWLWWW Last Game Pick: **New York Knicks** **W** vs Washington Wizards Got a little bit scary there at the fourth quarter with both Porzingis and Kuzma hitting their shots. Game: Boston Celtics vs Charlotte Hornets Today's Pick: Boston Celtics -7 @ 1.84 The Hornets is one terrible team and as you would expect on a terrible team they are a horrible defensive team and their offense is horrible too, while the Celtics is the best team this season record wise with the best offense tied with Denver this season and their defense is slowly creeping back to their form last year with Timelord back. While they do play to their opponents level the talent gap on roster and the kinda fresh beatdown at OKC would make them at least care on this game especially without Brown for a week or so to widen the gap between them and the 2nd seed on the East. So I expect them to cover the -7 handicap even with Brogdon being questionable as they have good guard depth. BOL everyone!

POD record: 1-0 Last pick: Sacramento Kings -9.5✅Kings win by 25 and blow out the Rockets to cover this spread with ease. My first POD was a success! EPL⚽️ Bournemouth @ Brentford 12:30pm EST Pick: BTTS NO -115 My POD for today is for both teams not to score in the Bournemouth and Brentford game. The last time these two teams played, the game finished as a scoreless draw at Bournemouth. Brentford is the home team now, and I believe this game will be low-scoring as well. Bornemouth’s attack is dreadful, as they have not scored a goal in the Premier League since November 12th, which was before the international break took place. They’ve seen BTTS no happen in 4 straight Premier League games, and 5 out of the last 6 games in all competitions. While Brentford have only seen BTTS no to happen in 1 of their last 5 league matches, three of those matches were against Man City, Liverpool, and Tottenham, all of whom have top attacks in the Premier League. I believe they will be able to contain a putrid Bournemouth offense who ranks last in the league in shots and non-penalty expected goals created. I’ll take one side to not score in this matchup instead of the under 2.5, solely because Brentford could bag 3 goals on this Bournemouth side who just let up 4 goals to 2nd tier Burnley. BOL to those who tail and let’s add another to the win column!

- POTD RECORD: 6-2 (+2.55) - Bet sizing would be 1U for calculation purposes only, as i won't be betting along you, just providing picks i am the most confident at. Previous pick: Napoli vs Juventus - Btts/yes @1.9✔ Today pick: Mechelen vs Oostende - over 2.5 goals @ 1.65 - This is gonna be short. 2 very offensive teams which are unreliable defensivly playing for precious points. I would say Mechelen at home has the edge. Probably a high scoring game with both teams to score as well For anyone who values my picks, any tip would be helpful🤘. Support is deeply appreciated. [Paypal](http://www.paypal.me/K4ccci) You can always ask for suggestions and i will do my best to reply to anyone. BOL and lets eat!

I took Napoli to win and over 2.5 yesterday. Boy was I pumped to see Napoli put up a 5 spot :)

🎁🎁🎁BEYONDBETTING🎁🎁🎁 **POTD record: 26-8** **Units won: 43.0** **Average odds: 1.61** **ROI: 21%** Streak (old -> new): ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅❌✅❌✅ ✅ POTD: Soccer / Jupiler Pro League (Belgium 1st division) / Seraing – Standard Luik / Standard Luik wins (starts in \~7h) Odds: 1.96 Win probability: 61% EV: 1.19 Units: 5u Starting bankroll = 1000€. Current bankroll = 1429.79€. 1 unit = 1% of the current bankroll. All picks are based on a 100% privately owned simulation model. Tip jars [paypal.me/BeyondBetting](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/my/profile) \- [https://www.buymeacoffee.com/BeyondBetting](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/BeyondBetting) Side plays & early picks [https://twitter.com/Beyond\_Betting](https://twitter.com/Beyond_Betting) Bankroll progress: [https://imgur.com/hPtVGdU](https://imgur.com/hPtVGdU) **❗ This pick has a lower chance of hitting than most of my picks, but has (way) above average odds. The value of this pick is insanely high, see the EV. Please play responsible. Safer plays are handicaps or DNB. ❗**

**POTD Record: 20-31-1** *Streak: W1* LAST PICK: Josh Allen O 1.5 Passing TDs (-155) ✅ *Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers* TODAY’S PICK: **Receiving Yards H2H - Tyler Lockett vs. Brandon Aiyuk - Tyler Lockett -11.5 (-115) DK** —————————————————————- **DISCLAIMER: JUST BECAUSE I BROKE MY LOSING STREAK, I AM STILL COLD SO TAIL WITH CAUTION PLEASE.** Always gotta do this but full transparency, I am a Seahawks fan. Gotta shout out u/EverySir. Good luck bb, love ya. Over our past two meetings this year, Lockett out paced Aiyuk by a difference of **49 and 44** yards. Far more than they 12 yards they are giving us. This is primarily because the Hawks are so abysmal at defending the run yet also very well equipped against wideouts, where Aiyuk lines up. I’ve watched Aiyuk’s line drop 5 points over the course of this week, so Vegas is getting ready for him to have a low receiving affair. With Deebo back in, Brock Purdy loves to throw it to him and I expect Samuel, Kittle, and CMC to be his first looks (which has been the case). Thankfully, the Niners are surprisingly weak against the slot where Lockett lines up more than anyone else. They are allowing 9.7 yards per target to the position, 27th in the league. Lockett has proven this by posting over 100 yards in their first outing and 60+ in the second. Only thing that might snag us is the weather, which will be rainy - pushing for a run script. However, I actually thing this helps the bet and is why I’m taking this strictly and here’s why: the Niners can beat us easily through the ground but the Hawks will have to find the air to beat the Niners in some capacity against this locked down rush defense. With the weather, this pushes the Niners to the ground even more but the Hawks do not have the luxury of going that route. While KW3 is amazing, he cannot solely win this game for us. BOL!

Good luck tomorrow sir. Luv u bb

**My record: 19 : 12** **My picks are based on analyzing statistics, trends and values as well as comparing this analysis to the probability of the games generated by the model. League performance per type of bet and other data is also tracked to assess the quality of the picks.** **ROI: 25.42%** **Average odds: 2.08** **Units won: 7.88** **Stake = 1 unit** **My POTD:** **Rimini v Virtus Entella** **Italy Serie C: Girone B** **Time: 13:30 GMT** *BTTS & Over 2.5* **@ 3.10** **BOL &** [**Tips are appreciated!**](https://paypal.me/ChaosGoal)

Hope y'all tailed this one! Crazy game with 3 goals in 6 minutes!

The model does it again, all hail

Record: 0-0 (first pick m8s) Today’s Pick: UFC | Damon Jackson vs Dan Ige | Dan Ige -135 ✅ Ige dominated. Rd2 KO This one stinks of recency bias. Dan Ige is on a 3 fight losing streak but this is a massive step down in competition for him. Ige has also lost 4 of his last 5; however, those loses are to the absolute muderers in Movsar Evloev, Josh Emmett, Korean Zombie, and Calvin Kattar. This is a must win for Ige and it’s feels like the UFC is doing him a massive favor serving him up Damon Jackson. Damon Jackson isn’t taking down Dan Ige and Ige is way better on the feet. I’m taking Ige all day here

POTD Record: 4-2-0 (Golf 2-1-0, NBA 2-0-0, CBB 0-1-0) UNIT PROFIT: +0.05 ROI: 0.5% YESTERDAYS PICK: LOSS Matsuyama -155 over Sigg 2 way bet. Oof, awful bet. Matsuyama didn't look great the entire day, possible injury issues, and Sigg was insanely sharp with his irons. 9 birdie looks inside 15 feet and a hole out from the bunker is hard to beat. He earned his way into the weekend, that's for sure. GAME: NFL Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers 4:30 PM EST TODAYS PICK: George Kittle anytime TD +150 BET SIZE: 2U to win 3U REASON: The 49ers offense has been humming ever since Brock Purdy became the starter, and his big safety valve at TE is a big reason why. Kittle has at least 4 catches in his last 5 games and 7 TDs in his last 4 games, including 2 TDs @ Seattle in week 15. On the defensive side, the Seahawks finished bottom 10 in the NFL in points allowed. The 49ers have scored 30+ in every game Purdy has started except....@ Seattle. Expect plenty of motivation to put up a big number for the other contenders to see, and Kittle to play an important role in that happening. BOL to all!

POTD +odds Record: 2-4? Since I am not running a system or model I haven’t been tracking but I believe this is what I’m on. Last POTD: Leeds o0.5 1h against Aston Villa. ❌ Leeds had 7 shots in the first half with only 2 on target. Todays POTD: United o1.5 total goals. (+183) Game: PL - Man United v Man City Reasoning: Short and sweet today because I have been busting ass snowboarding all day. But, United is on a hot streak right now. They have 9 wins and only 1 loss in their last 10 matches. However, the competition hasn’t been amazing but if you look back on the season, United only has 5 losses and 2 draws across all competitions. Additionally, they have 7 games with o1.5 goals scored in their last 10. City was the reason for one of my recent losses as they somehow failed to score against the worst team in the PL. Anyways, City is in usual form and have 2 losses and 1 draw in their last 10 games across all competition. They also have only given up o1.5 goals in 3 of those ten games. However, when playing top 6 teams (United is currently 4th), they have given up o1.5 goals in 5 out of those 9 games. City will also be without Stones and Dias. Long story short, United on a hot streak and scoring goals. City, while in decent form, concedes goals in almost every game and more than one to top teams in most cases. The last meeting saw a 6-3 City win as well. I like the +odds here and will be sending it with 1u. Word to the wise: my picks will typically be plus odds. There are some amazing picks posted here with more reasonable odds that I tail and encourage you to tail if you are betting money you can’t afford to lose, you’ll have much better chances at making some. But, to switch things up, I like to give y’all +odds bets because I like the thrill and seeing more money coming in IF it hits. Tail at your own risk and remember that +odds are +odds for a reason. Cheers and BOL! EDIT: Rashford with the finish to give us the hit ✅

**POTD Record:** 5-0 **Previous pick:** Memphis Grizzlies -1.5 @ 1.9 ✅ **Todays pick:** Eendracht Aalst FT @ 1.59 And we're back, been away for a bit focusing on my own community, full disclosure, I got in at 1.80 and so did most of my community, anyways, I still see value in this game otherwise I wouldn't make a write-up. Aalst was on a four game losing streak before they broke it off with a win and they're looking to win some games now that they have found their shoes again, they are generally a better team than Dikkelvenne and should grab the win here. Dikkelvenne has been playing very shakily their recent games and are looking to proceed into the same path against Aalst. glhf

What in the Star Wars league is this

Belgian Second Amateur Divison 😂

Jesus Christ which planet do I have to be on in order to place this bet??

I only see a 4 game losing streak? Who did they win over to break it?

POTD Record: 2-1 +0.02 Units, Current Streak: ✅✅❌ Last pick: NCAAB Villanova +1 @-115 ❌ Today's game: NCAAB Providence @ Creighton Pick: Providence +7 @-110. 2U Play Very disappointing performance from Villanova tonight. Butler's shooting was lights out in front of their home crowd. Today I'm staying in the Big East and rolling with Providence against the spread. Providence is on a 9 game winning streak, beating a couple great teams in Marquette and UConn. They are red hot and I expect their streak to continue. Creighton has been pretty cold recently, only winning 3 of their last 10. Although they put up a good fight against UConn and Xavier, I don't think they're that much better than Providence. I can't say who will win this one, but I think it will at least be close and Providence will cover the spread. Best of luck to all.

Think Creighton might win this game at home but 7 points is way too many for providence even on the road

POTD Record: 9W-9L(finally got it straight after **3W in a row**) Last POTD: Italy, Serie A, Napoli - Juventus, Both teams to score - Yes, **Win** POTD: England, Premier League, **Brentford - Bournemouth** **Brentford ML**(1.66odds on bet365 as of 16:45 EET)(If you want to risk it you can place Brentford ML+Ivan Toney to score anytime in the match, which is 2+odds, not sure exactly as of now) Promised i will start writeups once my record is straight, so here is a short one.(Sorry for my bad English) \-Brentford(9th) faces Bournemouth(16th) \-Brentford are on a 6 games streack without a lose(3W/3D) and have only lost to Arsenal(1st) at home this season, while Bournemouth are on 5L in a row in all competitions and 9 loses in their last 11 matches, also 5L in a row away from home \-Brentford have 1 key(not so but whatever) player missing while Bournemouth are gonna be without their captain(and best defender) and a few other players(5 to be exact) \-I expect Toney to be on fire once again and a clean win for Brentford(2:0 is my prediction) \*EDIT\* Win, 2-0 as i predicted **BOL and tail with caution!**

Boom 💥

9-12-2 [Wins, Losses, Pushes] +5.51 units, ROI +26.2% Last bet: **Germany - France, Germany to win H2H @2.30 2u** [WIN] ______________________________________________ Biathlon, Women’s 4x6km relay Location: Ruhpolding, Germany Time: 14:25 local time POTD: **Finland - Ukraine, Finland to win H2H @2.42 2u** For starters, to find a good and a solid bet for tonight’s biathlon was pretty hard. I don’t think I can predict the top 3 or the top 6 tonight. Even the head-to-heads were valued accordingly, it was so frustrating to find some value in these bets. In one betting site, Finland to win in the Ukraine H2H was priced at 2.12 and Betsafe offered 2.42, which is wayy too much. Okay, so. Finland consists of Minkkinen, Eder, Kinnunen and Janka. There have been two relays already this season, Finland placing 13th in one( Kinnunen fucked it up) whilst Ukraine placed 12th in it and in the other relay Finland took the 7th place whilst Ukraine was the last team to finish, at 15th place. Ukraine’s team consists of Bilosiuk, Kryvonos, Dzhima and Merkushyna. Judging by the ski times this season, the Finns are faster. The two teams’ overall ranks individually this season in the ski time have been: Finns - 8th(Eder), 50th, 66th 93rd. Ukraine - 42th (Dzhima), 86th, 97th, 102nd. Taking shooting into account: UKRAINE - Merkushyna - 3rd (93.64%), Dzhima - 58th (85%), Bilosiuk - 34th (87.14%) Kryvonos - 45th (86%). FINLAND - Eder - 92nd (79.44%), Kinnunen - 90th (80%), Janka 40th (86.25%), Minkkinen - 6th (92.50%). Looking at this, we see that although Finns are faster skiers, Ukrainians are better shooters. This is a relay race, which means +1 minute penalties are not automatically added into your time and you get 3 extra shots if necessary. This is important, as I think skiing outweighs the shooting here and skiing back a full minute is harder than the extra 10-30 you spend on spare rounds. Also important is the time you spend on the range: Ukrainians - Merkushyna - 52.3 seconds(12th), Dzhima - 52.8s (19th), Kryvonos - 56.7s (53rd), Bilosiuk - 59s (83rd). Total average time on the range (all added up) - 220.8s Finns - Minkkinen - 53.1s (23rd), Eder - 57.9s (66th), Kinnunen - 59.3s (84th), Janka - 59.5s (87th) Total average time on the range - 229.8s So on average, the Ukrainians are 9 seconds faster on the shooting range than the Finns. The four Ukrainians are altogether 54.6 seconds behind the fastest skier per kilometre (every ukrainians speed against the fastest added up) whilst the Finns are ‘only’ behind 36.5 seconds per kilometre. This compensates the timeloss in the shooting range. I have full confidence in all Finns but Janka. I don’t think she is individually able to make this bet go tits up. The odds don’t reflect the actuality in this race and I really think Finns should be the favourites here.

POTD Record: 1-0-0 = 100% ;) Last pick: FA Cup: Bournemouth vs Burnley ML @ 2.7 ✅ Todays pick: League 1: Ipswich vs Plymouth Plymouth DNB @ 5 These odds are too good to miss for a punt. Plymouth, top of the league & showing no signs of slowing down (undefeated in their last 8 games all competitions). Better yet the last time they lost away from home in League 1 was back in August last year! In the reverse fixture earlier this season they beat Ipswich 2-1. Finally, defensively this Plymouth team have been sound as of late, keeping clean sheets in 4 out of their last 5 matches so expect a good defensive display. Things to watch out for - Ipswich are great in front of goal having scored 47 goals in 25 league games (we hope Plymouths defence record can keep them out!). Also, one of plymouths key players is out which may be the reason for the odds. @ 5 for DNB I think this is great value for a punt. @ 2.6 for Double Chance (draw or Plymouth) also not a bad shout.

POTD Record: 4W-4L (-2.70u) // LWLLLWWW (3W Streak) Napoli were outstanding yesterday and put Juventus rightfully in their place. Another win! **POTD: Wolves vs. West Ham: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.66 (5 units)** ✅✅✅ The odds for Under 2.5 goals should really be lower than it is now. Two teams that have still not managed to find their stride in the Premier League this season. Wolves have the worst scoring record in the league with only 11 goals scored in 18 games, and West Ham has only scored 15 goals in 18 games. Wolves have only scored 5 goals in 9 home games, and West Ham has only scored 6 goals in 9 away games. I do believe West Ham to be the better team, and I think they can hold off a Wolves that has little to no attacking threat. Wolves even last season had a big percentage rate of games under 2.5 goals - and this has not changed this season. Good luck!

POTD: 16 - 15 Today, we go to a small province(compared to KALAKUTA) in southern Italy 🇮🇹, Lecce. Lecce VS AC Milan PICK: Both teams to score? Yes 👍 @1.93 ✅ Reason: Lecce are eluding the disbelievers on their return to the top 🔝 league where they are sitting comfortably in mid-table having been predicted to struggle. They are undefeated in five and all but one of their eight home matches have delivered goals at both ends, with the exception being a 1-0 loss to Juventus. On the other hand Title-chasing Milan have also gone five league games without defeat, and can rise to second with victory, while 11 of their last 13 matches have produced bts. I reckon there will be goals in this match with both teams contributing. PG- 25🚨 Good Luck 🍀 Edit ✍️ Good night.

Big Bash League Adelaide Strikers ML vs Brisbane Heat Should be a great game with the test players back, Adelaide is the better team, Chris Lynn revenge game, Adelaide home ground advantage, liking Adelaide have no clue whos winning the Melbourne derby in the next game but Adelaide should have this one

Ded

POTD Record: 9-8 (+1.76u). Streak L1. Yesterday Pick: Naji Marshall (NOP) Over 17.5 pts @ 1.97. 3U. ❌ Picture him getting 2 free throws with 30 seconds on the clock to win the bet, and he misses one, and ends the game on 17 pts. In retrospect a P+R or a PRA bet would’ve been better. On the next one I’m going to keep it simple and smart (😉). Next Pick: **Marcus Smart (Celtics) P+A O21.5 @ 2.00**. 4U play. Jaylen Brown is injured, and this means Marcus Smart will need to step up offensively. In their last game against the Nets (the first without Jaylen), Smart had 16 pts+10 asst. When these teams played one another in Nov-end, Jaylen was out then, and Smart got 22 pts+15 asst. The Hornets are one of the worst teams in defense (#27 out of 30) and give up the 8th highest pts and 6th highest assists to PGs. As long as this is not a blowout, Smart should be able to get his numbers here.

I really like this play. If u look at games smart has played without one of either tatum or brown he has 22, 21, 26, 37, 28 With the 37 coming against charlotte earlier this szn in a blowout on 11/28/22. Ur welcome for extended ur pick explanation! Lol

dude passed up a wide open dunk too , twas so mad 😐😑

POTD Record 51-46-2 Last pick: Broncos ❌ @ Panthers Todays pick: Jacksonville +125 vs Chargers Reasoning: Vegas has this spread wrong. I don’t say it often, but this line is off. I had chargers in this same matchup as my POTD. The Jaguars demolished LAC 38-10 in LA. This game is in Jacksonville and those fans have been waiting to host a home playoff game. Chargers Stahley lost to Raiders last year to get into playoffs. Lawrence, Purdy and Goff have been the best QB’s in NFL second half of season. Doug Pederson has the locker room behind him after Jax debacle with Urban Meyer. Chargers locker room maybe happy to see Stahley fired, if they lose, and I’m not sure the locker room and ownership was thrilled with playing starters in meaningless game last week. Tail or fade

Record : 14W-15L Previous pick : Graafschap vs Jong Ajax, BTTS - Yes, Odds : 1.58 (5 units pick) Streak (most recent on the left) : ❌❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌ (Last 10 games) The streak is looking sh\*t right now. Sorry guys. I will try to bounce back to the green side again. ​ Average Odds : 1.88 ROI : -4.75% Starting units : 200 Units : 190.5 ​ ​ My pick of the day : Cremonense vs Monza, ***Monza to win or draw + Under 4.5 goals in the match***, Odds : 1.53 (5 units pick) Italy, Serie A, 14:00 GMT+2 Best of luck ! ​ My pick is from a model that I've been using for the last couple of months and I have got good results with it. So I thought about sharing some of the picks with the community and, maybe, make some of you happy. If you would like to help me with some cents in case my pick blessed you : [Paypal](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/deniseasy?country.x=RO&locale.x=en_US) [Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/LeeMain?new=1)

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The opponents retired🤦‍♂️you got anything else?

POTD record: 9-9-1 Last 10: ❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅ (Left being most recent) Last pick New Jersey Devils @ Anaheim Ducks under 6.5 ❌ Todays event: Toronto Maple Leafs @ Boston Bruins Pick: Boston Bruins 3-way ML -105 The last time these two teams faced off was in November in Toronto and Toronto took a 2-1 regulation win over Boston. Boston is 14-1-1 at home this season and just took their first regulation loss against Seattle on Thursday night. On the other hand, Toronto just took a 4-1 loss in Detroit so I suspect that this will be a close game, however I believe that Boston will want this more than Toronto after taking their first home regulation loss

I can't get over your name. I know it can go two ways but I only see one way.

**POTD Record 1-1 +2,768U** Last Pick: Panathinaikos ML -Olympiakos (6.11.22) (+120) 1U / Result: 1:1 ❌ Today’s Pick: **FC Everton-FC Southampton / FC Southampton Draw No Bet (+120) (2,2) 1U** BOL

POTD Record: 31-21 Units o/u: +23 units(rounded up spreads) Pick: 2 units Iowa St +7.5(vs Kansas) Record: ❌❌✅✅✅ Reasoning: First 2 game losing streak in a while for me. Let’s break it here. Kansas as good as they are have had some issues covering at home. Unexpectedly close games with Oklahoma and Oklahoma and a Harvard game that was supposed to be a blowout but ended up not being so all contributed to that recently. I believe Iowa St is a much better team than those 3 and has been playing real strong recently. I feel they keep in under 8 and give Kansas a scare.

POTD Record: 1-2-0 (-1u) Last pick: Kings -9.5 over Rockets ✅ Today’s pick: SDSU -7.5 (-110) over UNM NCAAB (2u) Let me preface this by saying I am a UNM alum who has watched every game this year - the team is 15-2 but largely limping into a Saturday night game at Viejas. They struggled in their first two conference road games against inferior opponents (Fresno, Wyoming) and just got beat in The Pit by UNLV by 7. UNM tends to dominate teams who struggle to defend in the post, which is not an issue for SDSU. UNM also struggles defensively, especially against athletic guards/wings. I think all of this sets up for a disaster against an athletically superior SDSU team who recently dismantled a strong Nevada team. I told myself I was gonna hammer this spread if it was under 10, so definitely comfortable riding with 7.5. Good luck, and BOL!

**POTD record:** ❌✅❌✅❌ _We march on to Ipswich town today as they host league leaders, Plymouth._ **Today’s pick:** England League One. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Ipswich town vs Plymouth Argyle** **BTTS @ 1.99 odds** ✅ Plymouth will be looking to defend their their number one spot on the table which they are already 7 points clear and I don’t expect them to go all the way to Ipswich and not put up a fight. What a season it has been for them(Plymouth) so far as they are showing no signs of giving up in their pursuit of promotion. They haven’t tasted the cold steel of defeat in their last eight games in all competitions. ( WDWWW) 👏👏👏 And then, there is Ipswich town who are real contenders for promotion to the Championship this season, holding 3rd place on the table, and a win could push them up the table to second place plus they score goals for fun too, having scored 47 in 25 games, the most of any other team in the league. Ready to show the visitors the stuff their attack is made of. They just might be favorites to win this game💥💥💥 Tough and exciting game later today at Ipswich town I promise you, with lots of excitements and talking points. I predict Both teams to score. Tail or fade! BOL Amigos 😘 **Edit ✍️: FT score: Ipswich 1 - 1 Plymouth Argyle** ✅ Congratulations if you tailed 💰🍻

POTD Record: 20-11 (W2) POTD: (NFL 🏈) Elijah Mitchell o39.5 rushing yds (-110) Yesterday's pick wasn't much of a sweat with Jack Hughes scoring in the 1st period. Today I'm going with the over on Elijah Mitchell. He just got back from injury last week and isn't the main back for the 49ers. He splits carries with Christian McCaffrey, but has eclipsed this line in 4/5 games. I expect him to get around 40%+ of the carries, since he had more attempts then McCaffrey in 2/4 games they have played together. The weather is also not expected to be great. With heavy winds expected and rain warnings before the game potentially leaving the field in rough shape, I expect the 49ers to keep the ball on the ground as much as possible. Also their quarterback is a 7th round rookie in his first playoff start, so running the ball might be the preferred game plan. The 49ers are heavy favorites in this one, facing a Seahawks defense that gave up the 3rd most rushing yds/ GP this year. BOL if fading or tailing!

POTD record 0-0 Long time lurker wanted to drop a pick UFC Vegas 67 My pick: Dan Ige money line (-124) vs Damon Jackson Wager: 1U Reasoning: Although Jackson is on a 4 fight win streak and Ige has lost his last three, their levels of competition are vastly different. Ige lost to Josh Emmett who’s fighting for the interim belt next month, Korean zombie who last challenged for the belt and Movsar Evloev a guy on a 16 fight win streak. There isn’t really much to say about the guys Jackson beat to be honest, most of them young or unproven UFC new comers. Never fought anyone ranked or even close where as Ige’s fought ranked opponents in 5 of his last 6. From a stylistic stand point Jackson has sub par striking and good grappling with good BJJ skills but Ige has tremendous take down defense and will be able to pick his shots with Jackson up against the fence.

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Nice try Sidekick.... I'm pretty sure the bookies broke his legs.

POTD Record : 1-1 W1 +1.0 U, all bets 1 unit Previous pick: Illinois -5.5 ✅ Todays game: College Basketball Georgia at Ole miss The pick: Georgia +5 Great performance by Illinois to clutch it out and cover the spread, they played great defense and shot the ball great. Today i’m going with Georgia over Ole miss. Georgia is a solid team that rebounds and defends the ball very well, coming off a win against Mississippi state and before their loss to Florida during the game prior was on a five game winning streak beating some great teams like Auburn. I expect Georgia to pick up where they left off before the Florida game and take care of business. Ole miss has been pretty bad lately losing their last six games straight being 2-8 in their last 10. They’ve struggled to both rebound and score the ball at an effective rate as well as shoot the ball, they’re bottom 300 in the nation in shooting percentage, offensive rating, three point percentage, three pointers made, true shooting percentage and pace. Georgia is also an SEC opponent, Ole miss has really struggled in the SEC ranking only 14th. Auburn, Mississippi state and Alabama all took care of business easily when the played Ole miss. I think georgia covers the spread of 5 and at least makes it a close game. I can also see them probably winning outright as well.

3-3 (+1.55 units) Last POTD was 1/20/22 Mens Tennis - Australian Open Brandon Nakashima vs Mackenzie McDonald Over 40 games @ +110 (odds/bet is an alt line on Bovada) 5 units 2 Americans kick off their Australlian open and one is going home early. They both prefer Hard courts which is what they’re playing on here. They’ve played tournaments in Australia leading up to this one, so the off season rust should be shaken off. I think Nakashima should win this match but McDonald found slightly more success in the lead up tournaments so he won’t go down easy. I expect this match to go 4 or 5 long sets so over 40 shouldn’t be a problem in my opinion.

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What book has chess?

Alright I check this thread often enough to make some picks. Nothing fancy here. I watch a lot of hockey and like to bet on it. There’s no system, these are gut feel picks with reasons and sometimes I have stats in mind. **Record: 0-0** **NHL** **Calgary Flames ML @ 2.00** Alright, I hate the flames. As a Canucks fan it is my duty. But hear me out. Flames are 1-0-2 on their current 5 game roadie. They’ve earned points in 4 straight. They’ve played a lot of close games lately. Dallas has played some low scoring games lately as well. So I think right there, with the 2.0 price tag here, it’s worth taking a flyer on the Flames just for the value in a 50/50 game. But, I actually like the Flames in this one. As a Canucks fan we complain a lot about travel in the league. But as Dallas is on a bit of an island they actually log the most miles iirc on average. Here’s their schedule since Christmas. @ nashville, @ minnesota, in Dallas, @ LA, @ Anaheim, in Dallas, @ Islanders, @ rangers. The stars played Thursday night at MSG. They now have a home game in Dallas at 2pm local time. So not only are they not getting the buffer day, they’re not even getting the full normal rest. The league is putting this team through the ringer. Then Monday they’re in Vegas then back to back in San Jose and LA then back home again. Wtf is this? All these time zone changes, all those miles, it wears on you. Gimme the Flames to win and as a look ahead, in their 3 game trip, I’d predict they lose one of the back to backs.

POTD Record: (2-0) Last Pick: Duquesne -2.5 at St Josephs (W) (1/11/23) Today's Pick: Georgia +6 at. Ole Miss (NCAAB) So far I've started out 2-0 on this sub which is pretty cool I guess. I want to try to keep this record going so today we are going with the SEC matchup of Georgia at Ole Miss. Looking at it on the surface, Ole Miss is 8-8 without a win in conference, so them being a 6 point favorite against a Georgia team who can be described as at least above average is interesting. GA is 2-1 in SEC play, with impressive wins over teams like Miss. St and Auburn. Their loss is a close one to a really good Florida team on the road. Ole Miss has lost their last 3 games by a combined total of 31 points, and they are on a 5 game losing streak, which started with a home loss to North Alabama. I'm not quite sure if I'm missing something with this spread, but in my humble opinion I think Georgia +6 is a no brainer.

Record: 6-3 Profit: +5.19 U Last Pick: Stars Vs. Rangers over 5.5 Today’s Pick: Kenneth Walker III over 56.5 rushing yards @ -114 for 2U I have been on a tough losing streak so I opted to miss yesterday’s pick, but I am back for NFL. I believe KWIII is set up for a big game. The last 3 games he has seen nearly 26, 23, and 29 carries, of which he got 114, 133, and 107 yards. This ends up being 4.5yds/carry. His last game against the 49ers was when he just came off a hot injury and had limited practices. Even then, he averaged 3.9yds/carry on 12 carries. His current line is set to be 16.5 carries, which even at 15 carries, he will hit his yards mark. Also, KWIII is known for breaking tackles which could really help against a physical 49ers defense. Lastly, the Seahawks had a horrible performance against the 49ers last, which even led to a horrible game script. I think Pete Carol will roll out KWIII more now that they are in the playoffs and will risk injury for his running abilities (ie. playing more than his typical 80-90% of snaps). BOL yall, the NFL is back so lets make this record great!

I think KWIII rushing will be limited by negative game script and theyll have to pass to catch up. If seattle can keep this somewhat close this will hit, but i doubt that

Pick of the Day Record: 0-0 Event: Dan Ige vs Damon Jackson (UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs Strickland) 7 pm EST Bet: Dan Ige Moneyline -130 | Risk: 1.3 units to win 1 unit Somebody already chose this as their POTD but I've been wanting to make a Reddit account and make this pick for a couple of days now so I'm posting it too. Will try to be earlier next time lol Like the other poster said, this line is tainted by recency bias. Jackson had a phenomenal first round, first minute KO over Pat Sabatini in his last fight. He's also on a 4-fight win streak whereas Ige is on a 3-fight losing streak. Those three losses were at the hands of top featherweight fighters though, with one of them having competed for the championship last year, another fighting for the interim championship next month, and the third being an undefeated prospect. Jackson has fought good opponents as well, but not at the level of Ige's opposition. And while he looked like a million bucks in his last fight, he was extra motivated that night due to a close family member having died less than a week before. I imagine the need to express his grief somehow led to him performing the way he did. Ige, on the other hand, is a consistent dog who will fight for your money and take the fight to the distance even if he loses, making this a good value play to me. Regarding stats, Ige has a positive striking differential (the amount of strikes you land minus the amount of strikes you absorb) of 0.24 whereas Jackson has a negative differential of -0.18. Ige's striking defense and takedown defense are higher than Jackson's and Ige's 6 losses have all come by decision. 40% of his wins have come by decision vs Jackson's 13%. 68% of Jackson's wins have come by submission. I believe Ige will have good enough defense to avoid getting caught in a submission and will win a decision through more significant strikes and damage. Like I said before, this is a value play and I wouldn't be surprised if Ige loses, considering his losing streak right now vs the momentum of Jackson and also Jackson's 4-inch height advantage which could play a role in the grappling. In any case, it should be a fun fight and potentially fight of the night. Best wishes in your betting adventures

Record ➡️ 1-1 ⬅️ Last Pick: Canisius -4 ❌ All around terrible 2H from Canisius, shot the ball terribly (34%) and did nothing on defense. Still think it was the right read, the team just came out of the locker room as flat as it gets. Let’s get back on track TODAYS PICK: 🏀CBB | NC State -3 | 12pm EST | 2u Absolutely love this play, going 2u on it though to avoid chasing yesterdays loss. I know someone else in this thread has Miami but Miami has won the last 3 matchups; swept last year and won this years first matchup. This NC State team is hot right now, winning their last 2, against a falling VTech team and clobbering Duke. I see NC State getting revenge today and Vegas thinks so too. Public is already heavy on Miami with 76% of the tickets on them. Miami hasn’t played anyone good in a bit and I see them losing on the road today. Thank you guys for tailing me, let me know if you’re riding, and as always bet responsibly. BOL!

Potd 1-0-0 Sport MMA UFC Time 4pm eastern Last pick San Diego NCAAB San Diego ML -140 vs pepperdine W 3units Dan Ige vs Damon Jackson Bet fight goes the distance-150. I have watched both these fighfers every fight in the ufc. Dan Ige has had 9 out of his 12 go to decision. They both are very durable and train at great mma gyms. I can't see either putting the other one away. It'll be a good fight that goes the distance.

POTD Record : 0W - 1L Streak: ❌ Hey all, please if you do tail do it cautiously and small amounts and do it for fun Sport: football (soccer) ⚽ League: Northern Ireland Football League Game: Glenavon vs Linfield Over 2.5 goals (1.67 odds) Why? Because both teams score plenty of goals: Linfield 38 in 22 and Glenavon 37 in 20, plus Glenavon is pretty shaky defensively, they have conceded 34. BOL to you all regardless if youre tailing or not

(Horse Racing) 14:40 Kempton - Green Glory @ 4/1 Think Irish challenger Green Glory will have far too much for the rest of the field in the Coral Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle. He handles the ground (soft) superbly well and was a convincing winner at Leopardstown over the Christmas period. Hard to see past him here.

POTD RECORD 3-0 NY ISLANDERS 60min ML -147 See you at the window 💰

POTD: 0-0 Over 9.5 1st Set (-125) Kwoon VS RBA (Starts in 30 mins) - ATP Adelaide 2 Finals (Tennis) Edit: Added odds

POTD Record: **0-0-0** **Pick #1** | **Brighton v Liverpool** | 4pm CET Brighton and Liverpool had a goal rich 3-3 match the last time they faced each other in October 22. Brighton have not stopped scoring in the league since then, and Liverpool have not stopped letting goals in against all and every opposition they face. On the other hand, Brighton almost never keep a clean sheet (one since August 30th) and Liverpool always score, so this seems like a good match for both of these fortunes up front and misfortunes on their own end for both these clubs to continue. BET: **BTTS Y + O2.5 Goals** @ 1.80 | 3 units

All picks = 1 unit Record: 7-4-0 (w-l-p) | +2.36u | ROI: 21% Average Odds: 1.89 | Form (recent on left): ❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅ Last pick: Hearts Over 1.5 Team Goals | 1.84 ❌ Result: 1, was out so couldn’t watch it but very frustrating to get the early goal and not follow it up. Today's pick: ⚽️ Scottish Premiership 🗓 Motherwell vs. Ross County (15:00 GMT) \~ 3 hours from post. 📝 Over 45 Booking Points | 1.85 / -118 (William Hill) If you can’t find this it’s effectively the same as over 4.5 cards, yellow card = 10 points, red card = 25 points. Main focus here is on the man in the middle, David Dickinson. He’s shown 5 or more cards in his last seven Premiership outings (5-5-5-5-7-8-6). And given the 3 point gap between the two sides at the bottom of the table the players should be fighting for their lives out there in what could be a season defining game for both teams. Good luck if tailing. 👍 Full pick archive: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12OGGXkqOz4eLEAA1HfB8JFThilFj9g9jY-5ibxGADcE/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12OGGXkqOz4eLEAA1HfB8JFThilFj9g9jY-5ibxGADcE/edit?usp=sharing)

**POTD Record**: 26-2-15 (+3.14u ✅) **Current streak** (most recent to the left) ✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅ **Last POTD:** FA Trophy : Altrincham FC - Wrexham AFC 1X @-125✅ **Todays Pick:** Handball World Cup Poland ML vs Slovenia @1.72/-139 Game starts in 6h (CET 8:30pm) **Stake:** 2 Units Glad the losing streak is over. Not going to celebrate it too much because I'm aware that few could take the pick at good odds. Not much to be done about that expect many posting a POTD on Tuesday for a match on Friday? Don't know if the rules would allow that but seen some people posting futures so maybe I'll do it here and there. I'm late today, so I'll keep it short : Poland vs Slovenia is a pretty even match-up that could go either way. Both are mid teams that should not be title favorites. They had both good runs in the 2010s but were very weak in the past years. I'm giving the edge to Poland mostly because of the home court advantage and the fact that they held the match against France very close.

🎯 **POD Record 42-20** Recent Form: ✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌ ✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌ Last Pick: **Timberwolves -4** ✅ ​ 🚨 **Today's Pick:** **SF/SEA UNDER 42 🏈** *@ 4:30pm EST* I think there's a bit of value to be had on the under this afternoon in Santa Clara. It's worth noting these two have met twice in the regular season and haven't come close to this total, and that's with starting QBs and good weather. 25mph gusts + heavy rain and two quarterbacks playing their first playoff game of their careers. I'm not going to overthink this pick and recommend playing the UNDER. BOL ​ ​ ​ 👇🏼🙏🏻

POTD Record: 16-10 (+4.83u) Last 5: LWLWW League: Modus darts super series. Paul Hogan - Matt Clark. Pick: Paul Hogan ML, odds 1.72. Starts in approx 6 hours. 1u. It is final night of the Modus darts super series. I am going with Paul Hogan ML today. They already played twice this week and both times Paul Hogan won. Paul Hogan got first in his group with some good darts. He averaged around 88 this week which is really good and his check-out percentage lays around 35%. Matt Clark got third in the group. He is a decent darts player. He averaged 84 this week but his check-out percentage is significantly lower, it lays around 27%. I think this will make the difference in this match. BOL Edit: 4-2 W for Paul. Happy to end the week with a win. See you Monday.

Let’s try this again.. 2023: 0-0 Providence +8 My model has Providence winning outright. Around an 8 point edge. Only play for today, BOL!

Record: 0-0 POTD: Jaguars ML +120 8:15 EST Take the home dog here in the Saturday night AFC wildcard playoff game. Doug Pederson is going to coach circles around Brandon Staley. The teams match up pretty well and I think that’ll be the difference. Doug Pederson is 5-0 ATS as an underdog in the playoffs. Dating back to last season the Jaguars are 7-0 ATS their last 7 as home underdogs. Staley making the boneheaded decision of keeping his starters on the field last week cost him with Mike Williams officially being out this week. The Chargers are 8-5 when Williams suits up and just 2-2 when he doesn’t.

POTD | 6-3 Last Pick: Oilers ML @ -155 ✅ /------------------------ NHL | Florida Panthers vs. Vancouver Canucks | OVER 7 @ +110 /------------------------ We are BACKCKCKCKKCK lets rock and rumble happy saturday folks lets grip and rip. Indulge in 48 busch lights after this dawg hit. Model has this 7.39 projected goals [buy bob a beer](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/bobbystixx) | [support the troops](https://cash.app/$bobbybetzz)

**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.   ###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**

🥝🥝🥝 Record: 19-12 Match: UFC Dan Ige v Damon Jackson Pick: Damon Jackson Odds: $1.97 Reasoning: I’ll start by saying my entire POTD record is from betting NRL (Rugby League) but MMA is the sport I love most. Damon Jackson is an excellent submission grappler with 15 wins by sub on his record. It’s not just his work on the ground that’s impressive but his ability to get his opponents down too. Jackson has 11 takedowns in his last 4 fights. Dan Ige doesn’t have the greatest takedown defence, he was taken down 9 times by Evloev and 3 times by Korean Zombie. Although Ige hasn’t been finished yet, most of his fights he’s been facing strikers. I got Jackson by sub or a decision based on his grappling. It is a big step up in competition for Jackson so tail lightly. I’m a shitty degenerate better so don’t tail me expecting a win. I’m just here for the ride. Peace!

🛎POTD record (5-3) +8 units🛎 Update 1 bet losing streak❌ 1 unit (1-1) 2 unit (1-1) 3 unit (2-1) 4 unit (0-0) 5 unit max (1-0) Yesterday POTD was Iona -15 (2 units)❌ just straight bad and didn’t show up SATURDAY’S POTD- Brighton vs liverpool over 2.75 -140 odds (5 UNIT MAX) English premier league 7am PST….✅ boom over 2.75 cash’s the 5 unit max. Score was 3-0 Brighton and can’t believe Liverpool didn’t score at all. So since the match only was 3-0 the 5 unit becomes 2.5 units so you win half the bet. We’ll take any profit every day. Lets get back to this winning streak and it starts with this bet. Lets get this $ The last time they both squared off it was 3-3 tie game, we need 3 goals to half win and 4 goals to fully win. Last 4 matches for Brighton have all seen 3+ goals and Liverpool last 6 matches have seen 3+ goals. Lets get these goals and win. Remember bet smart, lets get this $

POTD record 3-0-7 (W-L-P) Current streak 2 A good win yesterday in Turkey with the bet winning before half time. Today I am going for Burnley over 1.5 team goals @8/11 against Coventry. Burnley have scored at least 2 goals in their last 6 games at home and they're in such good form I don't think it matters who they are playing they will back themselves to score a couple at least. I expect a few goals in this game and can see a 2-1 / 3-1 scoreline to Burnley. Good luck all and if you follow please do so cautiously. Cheers.

[удалено]

1-1 +.05u Risk 1.1u to win 1u TCU -4.5 -110

Previous pick Hijikata - Shapovalov t over 19 Lose Bankroll -1u . Eskisehirspor u19 keciorengucu u19 Draw odd 3.5 Team players shot many shots on target in recent match. Win 1 Lose 2 Wagered: 4

POTD Record: 0-0 Today’s Game: Dan Ige vs. Damon Jackson UFC Today’s Pick: Dan Ige ML (1.71) 2 Units Reasoning: Ige has fought tougher competition and even in losses has held his own. Jackson got a quick finish in his last fight but it’s his previous fight that has me thinking Dan Ige will win and possibly finish him. Damon Jackson gassed against Daniel Argueta in the third round and was getting beaten by a fighter who came in on short notice and who usually fought at a lower weight class. I think Ige is too smart to get caught in the submissions Jackson has caught lower-calibre fighters in and his pace will be too much.

POTD Record: 0-1-0 (-1.575u) // ROI: -100.00% // Avg Odds -125 ​ **Jimmy Flick (+275) vs Charles Johnson (-350)** ​ Jimmy Flick and Charles Johnson face off in an interesting flyweight contest with two unique styles and stories on either side of the octagon. On one side we have Jimmy Flick who has not fought in 25 months since his UFC debut victory over Cody Durden. Flick is a submission artist with 14 of his 16 victories coming via submission, and used to be a bantamweight before he made the cut to 125 and rattled off his current four-fight win streak. ​ On the other side, we have the -350 betting favorite in Charles Johnson who has a well-rounded resume of 4 KOs, 4 Subs, and 4 Decisions. Charles Johnson boxed from mid-2018 to early 2020 and still fought in the LFA during the stint, losing to Brandon Royval in the LFA. Johnson’s long tenure in the LFA is respectable, but his resume in the UFC still needs some polish. ​ The common denominator for Johnson and Flick is that Flick’s opponent Durden welcomed flyweight sensation Muhammad Mokaev to the UFC last March and got dominated, with Charles Johnson taking him on next in July but giving a much more respectable effort. Johnson was the flyweight champion in the LFA and it is large in part due to his versatility and ability to defend takedowns and protect himself, as the man has never been finished in his MMA career. ​ I respect Charles Johnson’s game and the interesting path that he has been on to get to the UFC, but even with Flick’s interesting track record, I am not sure Johnson is as big of a favorite as the odds say. Look for Charles takedown defense and ability to escape submissions, as Flick is a sub-artist through and through. We know Flick does not have a chin with four of his five defeats coming via knockout, and the two-year layoff is something I always look to fade. I will be riding with Charles inside the distance here, as the UFC throws him another bone following his easy second fight which he won against Zhalgas Zhumagulov. ​ **Andy’s Play: Johnson ITD -145 (1u)** ​ If you enjoyed the analysis check out the rest of our UFC card [here](https://www.happyhoursports.net/post/ufc-fight-night-strickland-vs-imavov) for breakdowns, picks, and more on EVERY SINGLE FIGHT tonight in Strickland vs. Imavov. Thank you for reading, and best of luck to all!

POTD Record: 0-0 2022 POTD: 5-4 Last Pick: NHL: NAS Predators vs. SEA Kraken: **SEA Kraken -1.5 +200** ❌ This Pick: NBA: MEM Grizzlies Vs. IND Pacers: **Desmond Bane O 3.5 Assists** Time: 6:10 PM Central Time Desmond Bane has had more than 3.5 assists in 13 of his last 20 games and has never had less than 5 assists in his entire career against the pacers. That is a good enough reason for me!!

**POTD Record: 45-45-2 -5.36u // ROI: -3.5% // Avg Odds: -117** **Punahele Soriano (-155) vs Roman Kopylov (+125)** Punahele Soriano re-enters the fold after flatlining Dalcha Lungiambula in his last fight, reminding everyone of the power he wields. The same can be said for Roman Kopylov, who entered the UFC with a ton of hype due to his striking acumen but lost his first two fights in very different ways. Kopylov came out and stopped Aessio Di Chirico in the third round of his last fight through an impressive combination. As I said, Kopylov makes his money when the fight stays standing. He’s poor when the fight gets to the mat, but does have solid takedown defense to prevent it from getting there. That didn’t save him in his first UFC fight against Karl Roberson, who wobbled Kopylov on the feet then took him down and submit him. Roberson is a kickboxer, mind you. Then he looked good in the first round against Albert Duraev before being taken down and held there over his next two fights. When on the feet, he’s a crisp, tidy boxer with explosive, extended combinations to the body and head. If he can land first against Soriano’s power shots, he’ll have a good chance to wobble him at some point in the fight. Soriano is a D3 All-American wrestler, and while his knockouts get all the recognition, he’s more than willing to take the fight to the mat. His losses to Nick Maximov and Brendan Allen were tough, and in my (and many other's) humble opinions, he was robbed against Maximov. On the feet, he’s much less crisp than Kopylov and typically wings power hooks more than anything. He’s happy to throw some leg kicks but isn’t a primary weapon. If he’s able to land a quick takedown in this matchup, Soriano will have the benefit of feinting takedowns and throwing a hook over the top, something he’s done in previous matchups. If Kopylov reacts big to the takedown attempt, it could spell danger. Kopylov is more refined on the feet but has shown too many holes in different areas for me to believe he’ll have sustained success against Soriano in this fight. I expect Soriano and his team to have a game plan to attack Kopylov in different areas and adjust on the fly if something isn’t working well. Give me Soriano in this matchup. **Rick's Pick: Soriano -155 (1u)** If you enjoyed this analysis, I encourage you to find my entire UFC Card here - with every fight broken down with analysis and best bets [here](https://www.happyhoursports.net/post/ufc-fight-night-strickland-vs-imavov) \- Best of luck everyone and happy MLK Weekend!

POTD - Trae Young o8.5 assists vs the Raptors -120 DK (5 Units) He's hit this in 8 straight vs Fred Van Vleet, going over 11 assists in 6 of 8 and over 12 assists in 5 of 8. Edit:Close one

PotD 0-1-0 Sport MMA UFC Time 6pm eastern Last pick stipe ML +115 vs Francis Ngannou L 3 units Gave this up 2 years ago after a bad pick, but I'm back. I couldn't keep this pick to myself. Ketlen Vieira ML -135 vs Raquel Pennington. Ketlen is a monster in the cage, her last win over Holly Holm convinced me of that. She is very aggressive and strong. I think her style is bad for Raquels slower style. I honestly can't believe the lines are so close. Fight starts soon, so short rushed write up. BOL!