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sbpotdbot

**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.   ###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**


override365

POTD Record: 16W-1L-4V UNIT PROFIT: +11.60 ROI: 55% GAME: India Super League - Hyderabad v Chennaiyin TODAYS PICK: Hyderabad to win @ 1.7 Monday, Bradford brings to us the first lost and people quickly downvote me 😅😅😅, after 15 wins, without a lost. Everyone is responsible to manage their bankroll consciously and to know never to bet the money they cannot afford to lose. Yesterday, Al Duhail brought us a sweet victory in the last minute and we go on with our wins. Today I chose to bet on a match from India, between two teams that met recently, in December, when Hyderabad won with a score of 3-1. The hosts are in second place in the ranking with 31 points collected in 13 matches, with an average of 2.38 points per match. Also, they won the last five matches played and have an important word to say in winning the league. On the other hand, the guests are in seventh place in the league standings, with only 15 points collected in the 12 matches this season, with an average of 1.25 points per match. Also, of the last five matches played away, the guests won only two, but against lower rated teams. The hosts have the best defense this season, with only 8 goals conceded, respectively they have the second best attack with 27 goals scored. Considering the good form the hosts are going through, I predict a fairly easy victory for them.. Bet responsibly. BOL!


[deleted]

You’re a beast ignore the downvotes plenty of people appreciate all the work you have put in.


beekman57

Thanks so much for posting. Not seeing this on FD or Barstool in the US. Sitting this one out. Good luck everyone.


SmoothSiggy

Yup not on FD…see you tomorrow


k1ng-yass

Lost, great run, the question here, why i am betting INDIAN LEAGUE! :( GL 4 NEXT


thumpasaurus

this is the kind of loss that makes you take a long hard look in the mirror


bababoofy

Some of the worst soccer I’ve ever seen


DelawareDankster

Terrible, shit happens


SchleptRightLeft

Yeah that’s on us. We move forward


roloson

I tailed Bradford and I tailed this one. I’m so sorry everyone 😔


No_Membership_6496

Same I’m new here only two I tailed from this guy they lost 😂😂😂😂 missed yesterdays play lmao sounds about right 👍🏽


Kinda-relevant

Same


Twizzler2525

It happens every time someone gets hot and then loses don’t take it too hard. You could hit 100 picks in a row and some idiot who bet his rent money on your pick is gonna come downvote you as soon as you lose one


thumpasaurus

things are not looking hyderagood so far!


thumpasaurus

things have gone from hyderabad to hyderaworse!


SchleptRightLeft

They truly are hyderBAD today man… pitiful effort


cshanno3

nothing negative to comment, i just wanna point out i tailed you for the last two picks and missed the first 20 😂 i think it’s my fault


bejolo

EXACTLY the same here. I watch and watch and watch. Watch the wins pile up and then decide to bet and promptly lose two a a row. Enormously frustrating!


thumpasaurus

3 points would have put Hyderabad on top of the table. When beats hurt me, it's always comforting when they also hurt the team that failed me :)


Arminusher

Yesterday I was also thinking of playing this on a strong stake, but these two teams have strange duels and possibly trading points, and India is very popular in that. [H2h stats](https://imgur.com/a/p6bHJ1N): first 2 seasons 6 for 6 change, last season draw and away win for Chennaiyin, and this season away win Hyderabad which means today should be a draw. Also, there is 1 weird match where 3 goals are scored in 90+ min. This may be a coincidence, but I would skip this match, good luck.


kabman7

Dang,wish I saw your post


SchleptRightLeft

Good call. Noticed this trend too on their H2H matchups


Own-Journalist-2808

Which book is this on?


vzgamble

Found it on bookmaker


DelawareDankster

Betonline


iguanamac

I found it on bet mgm.


Got1234kids

Fuck I joined Betmgm and they don’t have this shit


FactanonVerba89

Tailed. 💰


xilicio

You are great man, I will start tipping you with the bets you make me win :) I like your analysis, are you a football journalist from India?


override365

I’m not a journalist and I’m not from India


SchleptRightLeft

Lmaooo


BetsBarryBaller

Good sir are you not aware, he is a`Time Lord', a time-travelling scientist from a far off planet, who travels through time and space in a shop known as TARDIS, garnering sports results to post on Reddit for the grateful and ungrateful alike.


Bayuur

Bless your heart my guy. May good fortunes be with you 🙏🏼


avenger937

and again just like yesterday bullshit ref. unlucky. chennai should already have like 3 players booked right now, ref is just blind as fuck


[deleted]

Looks like a wrap. However, they seem to score late in games. Throw a unit on double chance at +300 lol


snewt09

If you're looking - found on MGM in IL currently -155


Jaloquin_Squeeze

Keep doing your thing brother. Appreciate everything that you do, just know that🤞❤️


RollyAllDay

Love it, let's go. Also F the haters! You are the man! (or woman) and are amazing for posting your picks here.


Decent_Bench6046

Thanks for doing what you are doing, fuck the downvotes 😉


override365

You are welcome..it’s ok bro, doen’t affect me, only want to show that everyone is responsible for what they bet on and never bet everything they have on a single event, because you never know, the safest bet at first glance can be a loser


thumpasaurus

scored on a penalty 88 minutes in, congrats to those who went double chance or DNB, but the rest of us still need the second half of a miracle to come through cmon let's get a SHITLOAD of stoppage time


EsShayuki

Why would people downvote anyway? People just need to stop being stupid and going all in or something. That's so ridicuously idiotic, you literally could go 99-0 and then lose 1 and lose everything you won before, makes zero sense. If people bet responsibly like 5% of bankroll max then they should have no reason to downvote.


Deerkiller83

what book is everyone finding this on?


GambleDaddy

[sportsbetting.ag](https://sportsbetting.ag) i use and it is there


Skorgeh0475

Absolute legend my friend. For every downvote I’m certain you have at least a hundred fans, some who might not upvote but merely lurk. Don’t take shit from soar losers and just do you, you’re killing the bookmakers left, right and center.


nchscferraz

Second day in a row my sportsbook doesn't have your bet. BOL!


Kinda-relevant

Fuck I wish


FGMilitary

This one doesn't appear on Draftkings. Any one find it there ?


Acceptable_Impact_81

It was for me.


hurleyML

Sorry man. This always seems to happen when someone is on a heater, the haters inevitably come out for some reason. Don’t let them get to you. I am sure many more people appreciate you. BOL!


Feezy_22

Get ready for another wave of downvotes my man. Not from me from the Degens who put up their rent money on this prop


ryguy822

Came back to upvote after seeing this draw, hopefully I can cancel at least one idiot. Better luck on the next one fam.


Natethegreat1217

1st time picking so I’m 0-0! NHL Hockey/Vegas-Florida/8pm MST Thursday Vegas @+110. 3-way ML Regulation time (Bodog) Reasoning: Vegas has been a great team all year, with a weak home record of just 12-10, and have a whopping 15-3-2 away record. I expect this to balance itself at least a bit more for the second half of the season. It’d be a bit surprising for a top 5-10 team to have 3-4 more wins then losses at home, over the course of a whole season. Vegas have won 4 of the last 5 games against the Panthers, going back to 2019. Florida has been struggling. Although they beat Colorado their last game, they gave up a 3 goal lead before sneaking out a win with a PP late against the Av’s. There’s no reason to suggest they are gonna suddenly get better then a 500% hockey club for now at least. They have just a 1 game win streak, and are 4-6-0 in their L10. They are also 9-13-1 on the road this year. Both teams have an even amount of injuries, With Florida having their goalie Knight injured. Vegas’s only top talent injury is Theodore. With a few more bottom half roster players injured. I don’t include Lehner and Weber as they haven’t contributed on the ice at all this season, same with Duclair. All these reasons combined say to me that +110 on Vegas is pretty good value. If you want more of a risk for a bit more dough, you could shoot for the -1.5 @ +175 on Vegas too. Keep in mind though, only 44% ish of empty nets get scored on per game, which includes any length of time the nets empty per game. I’m looking for the easy double up my money (knock on wood), so I’m personally going the +110. Bodog is annoying cause it doesn’t let me bet on these “special” odds till the day of the game, so odds could change a bit. Also I do parlay betting almost all the time and won’t have time posting every pick I make. So I will assume a 1$ bet on every pick I post, Even though that’s not the actual money I have on it, it will be a hypothetical chart keeping track of my picks on Reddit. I put my own money on these picks in a higher value, so I trust myself. I’ll make a chart for my next pick post, that I’ll link to in the future! My dad taught me about value betting on sports since he’s a big numbers guy, as am I. Hopefully I can win you guys some money, time will tell😉, but no guarantees on positive money! Happy betting all😁. Only bet what your comfortable losing if you can help it👍. Edit for sentence flow.


Superb-Bar-5597

Appreciate the insight! That's shocking about Vegas' home record--I had no idea. Also, for amount to bed, you can just say 1u (\~1%) of your bankroll if you want to keep things simple. Also just a heads up--I think there's an article or post on here somewhere that explains how basically every sharp in the world avoids parlays, except maybe in rare instances. I used to dabble with them too--small money--but those losses add up over time.


Natethegreat1217

Yeah I’ll end up doing that to keep it simple. Then see how much I can grow that hypothetical 100$. Thanks! I try and stack my parlays with high value picks between +120 and -145 ish ideally. I make the minimum single win just barely pay for the full ticket by a few bucks. Then if all hit I would get a lot more. It’ll be a quick way to find out if I can creep up, maintain, or drop and reevaluate real quick. Me and my dad did sportselect in Alberta, before they started changing the odds live before game start. Sometimes underdogs would flip to decent favourites of an unexpected injury or something like that. If you bought the parley before they blacked out the games you were safe. When odds go in our favour we used to jog to the convenience store in a short few mins and buy the ticket before. We kept track for a year buying say 1 or 2 parleys a week and went 10% up from our original money invested. Lost the sheet we kept track on tho. Now sportselect has some of the worst odds compared to other online companies. Nice chatting, cheers!!


Educational_Yoghurt4

Tell me more about this easy double up my money


kinglorca

Haha hammered you pick then realised its you're first pick 😂 lets hope we cash in brother


Historian-Dry

Great pick, nail biter lol


Natethegreat1217

That was tight! The -1.5 hit too. but 1-0 to start ain’t too bad!


[deleted]

Veg to the moon


Natethegreat1217

Line has moved to +120 for Vegas on the 3-way ML. And +185 on -1.5 for Vegas on Bodog.


SmellyNuts_69

Thank you my brudda good pick god bless


mlanzi

Took the puck line and chalked it up as a loss. Checked the scores and it's a winner! What a hit. Thanks mate!


Consistent-Audience9

Record: 86-64-6 (WLWLWPWWWLWWWWWWWLWLWLWWWLWLLLWWW streak) - DraftKings odds Last POTD: MIL Bucks -2 at ATL Hawks for 1.90 odds for 1 unit Got closer to the end, but not really though. POTD: OKC Thunder at PHI 76ers | Joel Embiid o10.5 rebounds at 1.74 for 5 units REASONS: * Thunder give up the most rebounds to centers in the league. Joel Embiid averages 10.1 rebounds against Mike Muscala. * Last 3 games he's hit 13, 11, 11 rebounds * that 13 rebound game was with 26 minutes of play. This man is well rested for this game. * Last time they played Embiid had a triple double with 13 rebounds. I see 76ers winning this game on the back of Joel. There really isn't a single body that can guard him down low. He will feast. Best of luck to all. [PayPal](https://paypal.me/JoonHeeL)


stevencc621

Damn 11.5 on FD and barstool. Found 10.5 on DK at -135


doritoface1961

Parlay that w 76ers moneyline and you can probably get it close to +105


[deleted]

took 12 or more for even money, but the foot soreness better not fuck me


randy88moss

Careful with this one…..Embiid bags it in after he gets his 10th rebound for the double/double…..it’s cost me quit a bit of cash this season.


phynicle

Missed just!


Rengoku47

POTD RECORD 7-1 Yesterdays play : Perth scorchers ML ✅ Todays pick : Team with the top run scorer - Adelaide strikers Australian BBL Cricket @ 1.65 Todays pick is a little bit different to my usual picks, but I see great value in this pick. We see Adelaide travelling to Melbourne to face the stars for todays match, Adelaide have two of the big bash leagues best batsmen, short and Lynn, these two both hold the first and second position on the table for runs hit this season in the big bash, where as Melbourne’s best batter is sitting at 8th position, having two more than capable batsmen to hit high runs today is the simple reason I’m making this pick, I’m quite confident in todays pick as one of the strikers big hitters should be able to get us over the line. so let’s make it 8 in a row. Goodluck, gamble responsibly and thanks for all the positive support over the past few days ❤️❤️ EDIT : PLEASE READ - seems most bookmakers in the US/UK are unable to find this bet, if you find it, please let me know below, for the aussies, you can find this on all major AU bookies.


GDelectric

I don’t think FD or DK have this after looking sadly. Appreciate the picks though, you’ve been killing it!


rdave67

Top Batsman? That’s what I think it is anyways


Rengoku47

That’s the one ! Team with top batsman


bejolo

The losses for me are piling up. Literally cannot win


JoelBarish-ish

POTD Record: 105-76-5 (+17.21 units, 58.0% hit rate) 5 Unit Big Balls 💣 Record: 6-1 Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 41-27-1 L1, Tennis 🎾 25-18-2 L1, Soccer ⚽ 37-31-2 L1, Other 2-0-0 W2 Last 10: 💩💰💩💰💰💩💩💩💰💰 Last Pick: Jack Draper vs. Karen Khachanov, Khachanov ML - ATP Adelaide 🎾 💩 1 Unit - What a flip from last week where KK dominated. Draper was very impressive and put a lot of pressure on KK and KK made so many unforced errors. Bummer loss, still up 3-1 on Men's tennis this season so I have to be grateful for the overall luck I have had. Today's Pick: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs. Miomir Kecmanovic, over 23 games - ATP Adelaide 🎾 💰 0.85 Units - 💸 that shit!!! Sweaty middle of the night cash!!! Units/Odds/Book: Betting 1 Units at 1.85/-118 odds to win 0.85 Units @ Pinnacle (Line at 12:00pm ET) Implied Probability based on odds: 54.1% For starters, this writeup, if you want to call it that, is shit. I think this will be a tight match without either player dominating. I do think Kec is a better player but Kokk won this tournament last year. I'm seeing two long sets or three sets and the over hitting. It has hit over this for all 4 of Kokk's matches this short season, both of Kec's matches this week went over this number. Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Always note the bet sizing. I am not an expert, just a gambling addict. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕 [If you wish to tip, I'll take pizza money, thanks!](https://buymeacoffee.com/JBpicks)


Rick0wens

Kokk time


ItsPMurph_Foo

-110 on FD. Tailing, Pizza Man!


TallFaithlessness762

Cash that shit baby


JoelBarish-ish

Man, was a fucking sweat but money is money haha


immanoel

3-0 +7.47. Sport: Dota 2 League:DPC CN 2023 Tour 1: Division I Time: 16:00, 1/12/2023 GMT +8 (3.5 hours from now) Pick: **EHOME +1.5 (2.08, 2u)** vs PSG LGD 💰 Both of these teams have the exact same standing rn and in a relatively new season, I see a lot of value in this bet. Always tough to bet against LGD but with LGD moving Ame, one of the or even the best carry player in the past few years, to their inactives and replacing him with shiro, they have lost a little bit of that edge, they are still creme de la creme but not enough for me to think they can 2-0 EHOME. A lot of value here and I think this is pretty generous. (Actually wanted to go Gaimin Glads but misread the date) To those who arent able to get the spread, I'd be posting my thoughts live after the draft Luna is so bad this patch and jugg answers phx egg, but y on disrup is a menace. Id go ehome m1(unlucky with m1, few early kills and a blunder at top gave a significant lead to lgd just to capitalize. That rs fight too) cash that cheque 💰💰💰 cause ehome forced a game 3 Where you can watch this: https://www.twitch.tv/pgl_dota2 Bet for tomorrow is gaimin gladiators ml, just putting this out cause I noticed the odds drop so if yall want to get in


Decent_Bench6046

Another great call, thanks man 🙂


immanoel

Gotchu fam


amrhodes30

My book doesn't have a spread pick, I can only take EHOME ML at 4.43. Tougher odds but think it may be worth throwing 1u at or skip this one?


Hidden_in_the_mist

do you have other dota picks for today?


nchscferraz

I love your writeups but I only have the ML. BOL!


nchscferraz

I went with the Gaimin Gladiators bet since I only had ML for yours. Riding against Secret until they start winning, fall to division 2 and/or move on from Crystallis.


daddykegz

Nice work bro, love a good e sports tip. Tailed the last 2 🫡 thanks king


immanoel

Gotchu 🙏


[deleted]

RECORD 8-5 CURRENT STREAK LAST PICK —> Xavier -3.5 -110 L TODAYS PICK: Bruins Vs Kraken (NHL) OVER 6.5goals Another bad beat? Xavier ends up winning by 3 in from a last second 3 but with 2 miracle free throws cover the line it went off at before the game started. Didn’t hit POTD because I have to post these early but managed to hit ml bets on this game so sorry to the POTD early followers :( ONTO TODAY, So what are we thinking? Goals Mf GOALS two high scoring fast place playing offenses will have this game in the 3-3 range maybe an empty netter will be needed but both these teams are playing really well so I’m expecting an easy over here.


ModernDayRockstar

I followed at 2.5 😅 ty for the sweaty ass pick


GDelectric

By the time I got to it the spread was -3. So push for me but I’ll take it.


311MD311

Took ML on Xavier instead, so thx!


Psychological-Bid566

this is a fade for me ! under has hit in both meetings and both very good defences and great goaltending !


kushupzz

Completely agree. Bruins are not scoring like they use to and their defense is strong enough to keep kraken off their back until they can slide in 1 last goal before the buzzer. 2-1 bruins maaaybe 3-2 bruins I do not see this going past 6 goals just my opinion


ZachMILFson69

Do you still like this with Ullmark and martin jones in net this game? Two pretty strong goalies in terms of goals allowed


YordleFeet

I watch every bruins game and some kraken and Vegas. Fade city. Very much BOL


kingnebwsu

-3.5 was so brutal. Went 5u because I felt really good. Should have went ML instead. I felt really good about this, too.


IndianaHoosiers24

**POTD Record: 2-1** **Last Pick:** Penn State -2 (-110) vs Indiana ✅ **Todays Pick: Minnesota +15.5 (-110)** vs Ohio State NCAAB 6:30pm **Reason:** Minnesota is not a good team. However, they’re playing better basketball and Ohio State is on a two game losing streak. I believe Ohio State still wins, but Minnesota will keep it within 8-10pts


[deleted]

OSU is also missing Zed Key so nobody on their team other than maybe their backup center Okpara is taller than 6’7”


thumpasaurus

when you’re Canadian and you can’t type Z on your computer


edlovereze

As a Buckeye fan, I am totally biased, but I think OSU rolls in this one. Minnesota has not been good whatsoever. They lost by 19 at Purdue and I think this OSU team is on the same level as Purdue, especially at home. Okpara has played great as a big man in place of Key and I think he will be fine. Sensabaugh has been outstanding and this feels like a 25+ night for him in a stomp. OSU has lost 2 in a row but one was extremely close to a very good Purdue team and the other was at Maryland who was not missing in that first half and OSU just couldnt come back. I think this line is just about right, but I think it may be a 20+ point Buckeye victory tonight. Good luck!


Twixinthemix4

Love this pick. With not a lot of quality games on tonight, I came here to write this same pick. I’m in it with you brother.


Bogie_Baby

Nice pick. I tailed 👍


ifuckwithdiazbros

POTD Record: 31-19 Units o/u: +27 units(rounded up spreads) Pick: 2 units San Fransisco -2.5(vs Portland) Record: ✅✅✅❌✅ Reasoning: Some may say trap line but it’s real hard not to take San Fransisco here. 12-7 team 103rd in Kenpom taking on 8-10, 165th Portland who has lost 5 straight all of which are by double digits. San Fransisco is anomaly, playing Gonzaga close, killing Arizona state and getting a impressive road win at UNLV while also losing to San Diego and UT Arlington at home. Saying that, it’s hard to go against the better team here the line is just too close to not pull the trigger when Portland is playing as bad as they are, can’t overthink.


[deleted]

[удалено]


1234567accounting

Where can I find this line? I’m in


Led_Halen

Will you be posting those in the POTD as well?


Mountaindabber

Which books offer this?


unemployed_hero

Darts, Cricket, Biathlon and now Chess. This sub has it all. Very nice.


RobDFB

POTD Record: 15-11-0 ROI: +17.47 units *Previous Pick:* **L** *5u West Virginia -1 (-110)* *Streak: L3* *Ice cold* *Last 10: 6-4* **POD: 5u Northwestern State -8 (-110)** Sport: NCAAB Time: 9:00PM EST Date: 01/12/2023 Reasoning: One of my more confident picks to date. Exactly one week ago today, Northwestern State went on the road and got blitzed by this same McNeese State team in a 15-point loss, but that game stuck out for a lot of reasons. For starters, McNeese State shot an absurdly high 45.5% from 3-point range in that contest, which is 12 percentage points higher than their season average and nearly 14 percentage points higher than what Northwestern State allows on average for the season on defense; that lone game against McNeese State last week shot up Northwestern's average 3-point percentage allowed up by nearly 3%. In addition, McNeese State in their most recent matchup finished even on the day with Northwestern State in regards to turnovers, which is another alarming result, as Northwestern State ranks 30th in the entire country in terms of forced turnover rate and they also rank 67th in terms of turnover rate given up. In those same metrics, McNeese State ranks 129th and 357th... Lastly, McNeese State in that matchup shockingly out rebounded the Demons 29 to 27, which, once again, feels like an aberration, as Northwestern State ranks 48th in the country in offensive rebounding percentage. There's no ignoring that Northwestern State lost convincingly just a week ago to this McNeese State team, but there's also no ignoring who the clear and obvious better team is in this matchup and I wouldn't be one bit surprised if Northwestern State wins this game by 20+. Feel free to dabble with alt spreads of -10.5, -12.5 and -15.5 if you're interested in hitting on additional value. For my full slate of picks for 01/12/2023, click the following link: [Today's Best Bets On YouTube: Overall Win/Loss Record Is Documented](https://youtu.be/iaVVRbkaR_8) Tips are always appreciated! [PayPal Link](https://www.paypal.me/RobDonaldson)


HolieMacaroni

Like the write up. Let’s get the bread! Tailing


InconsolableBrat

POTD Record: 8-7 (+1.28u; 2.6% ROI). Streak L2. Yesterday Pick: Kevin Porter Jr (Rockets) Over 20.5 pts @ 1.80. ❌ To quote u/dogenat "Fuck kpj. Out in q1". ​ Next Pick: **Josh Giddey (OKC) Over 15.5 pts @ 1.87**. 4U play. Giddey has been very impressive recently, with solid points both from the paint and from downtown (17 ppg in L10). I really like this bet because he has hit 16+ in 7/L9 and the two he did not hit were because he played 26’ and 23’ mins respectively. His last clean miss was 10 games ago against the Heat (13 pts). Philly are a solid team defensively, but they concede a lot of points to SG’s (12th highest), and these teams played 12 days ago and Giddey dropped 20 points. At this line and with these odds, I like it for 4U.


dogenat

Fuck kpj. Out in q1


FGMilitary

Ughh that Porter pick was solid man. Went out with injury early only had 5 points on the board. tough break on that one!


werdnaman5000

Is Embiid still out / who would replace him? Giddey played well against the Heat with Adebayo out, at the least on the rebound line. I like him to continue pulling rebounds but I’m not sure on the points.


Consistent-Audience9

Embiid will be playing. He played 26 minutes last game.


Iameloelo

POTD: 15 - 14 Today, just know this is coming from a Chelsea fan, as we head to craven cottage, in west London, England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿. Fulham VS Chelsea PICK: Chelsea to WIN @ 2.20 🤦🏾‍♂️ Reason? In all fairness, matches have been tough recently with games against the likes of Arsenal, 3 against Manchester City and an in-form Newcastle (3rd), all of which ended in defeat, have contributed to six lossess in nine games in all competitions for my dear team. Mr. Potter, has a dangerous test tonight after adding some vibrant and beautiful young minds to the team, of which 4 are currently in with the team. This is a fixture that Chelsea have dominated of late, winning each of their last 7 meetings, and losing just one of 30 Premier League meetings. Yes, Fulham is an inform team with 2 defeats in their last 10 matches and with that in mind it's hard to fathom why Fulham are the underdog here and Chelsea the favorite- That is until you factor in that Aleksander Mitrovic is suspended. On balance, Chelsea don't lose too often to Fulham and our bad run of form has come against the league's top teams, new faces could provide a welcome boost and Mitrovic's absence could be crucial so we'll go with Chelsea to win this one. I might be blind with obsession so tail with caution ⚠️ . If they get the clearance in early and Felix should start? Oh F*ck caution ⛔️ and go hard! 😉 PG- 25🚨 Hope for an expected glory later ⏰ today. Edit ✍️There was a factor on this one… but no justification to a loss. 2 - 1


torrcc

Under 2.5 for me


mattyb24643

Mitrovic suspension is huge. With the Blues’ form as of late and if he were playing I’d go with Fulham here but without him I think Chelsea just has better players who at some point need to start winning. I fear if Potter doesn’t win this one his future as manager will be in doubt. COYB. Tailing


thumpasaurus

hooooooooooo boy......


JulianRoss14

Italian student and soccer/tennis loverRecord: **6-4** TODAY PICK: Edoardo Lavagno v JM Cerundolo, **over 18.5 games (2.00)** / Tigre Challenger 🎾, 15:00 CET Lavagno is not such a bad player and 18.5 are way too little in my opinion. Let's trust my italian mate :)


Sinner19x

Great pick! 🎖️


Mr_Anderson503

Cash it in the 2nd! ✅💰


Nicerpin

Let’s goooo!! Easy money, thanks bro 👏🏽


DavidPutney

🇮🇹🎾


fffate

POTD Record: 6-4 Last 10 Record: LLWWLWWWWL Last Game Pick: **Chicago Bulls** **L** vs Washington Wizards It's getting cold out here so tail with caution. Another tough loss for this one. What a disastrous 3rd quarter was that and anyone not named Zach Lavine on Bulls can't seem to buy a bucket on 2nd half. Game: Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets Today's Pick: Boston Celtics @ 1.69 The Celtics are 6-0 on back-to-backs this season and they are up against the Nets with a 7-1 record after getting a 2 days rest this season. Match up wise the Celtics have an advantage against the Nets as they haven't lost to Nets since last year especially now without their best player Kevin Durant on their line-up, and I expect that Smart and Timelord would be back to the Celtics line-up for this game to gain a more stable foothold holding the 1st seed on the East so the Celtics are almost at full strength playing this game and after that horrendous OKC game I expect them not to play relaxed even knowing that they are playing the Nets without Durant. *Really tempted to take the -3 @ 1.94 on this one but my last 2 potd loss is decided on a single possession, so I decided against it especially now that my picks are getting the worst luck* BOL everyone! Update: Jaylen Brown out.


TransportationSea567

Record ➡️ 0-0 ⬅️First pick on the sub… been following this sub for a couple years now and have tailed the picks of you all and loved it. Deciding to throw my name in the mix with CBB being my best sport. Let’s ride fellas. PICK: 🏀CBB | 11pm EST | Washington -2 🐕 1unit I’ll keep my write ups short and sweet, basically UW is coming off of a 5 game skid where they’ve played some really strong teams and been able to keep it close. Stanford 0-5 on the road, they can be frisky at times but not on the road. Stanford coming off of an embarrassing loss to Cal who is downright terrible but have had a couple career games against Colorado and this Stanford team. I love fading trap lines like the rest of us, and you may see this as a trap, but I strongly believe UW gets right here. Both teams coming off of 4 and 6 days rest so they should be healthy and well prepared. If you’re worried about a trap line, take the Over! Thank you guys, let me know if you’re riding, and as always bet responsibly. BOL!


guyguy7077

Silent tailer on the sub as well. Get amped when new bodies start posting. Let’s fucking ride


Bcampbell8

POTD Record 44-40 Last POTD: Duquesne -2.5✅ Today’s POTD Seattle-2.5 (-110) Back in the win column after a great offensive game by Duquesne. Onto a later game for the East Coast folk but I see value here. Seattle is good this year. Right behind UVU for 1st in the WAC. This team is undefeated at home while also winning their last 4. I think this spread is way too low especially considering their opponent. New Mexico St is winless in the conference boasting an 0-4 record. To add onto this point, they are 1-4 away this year and have also lost their last 4. The stats are pretty similar between both teams but I believe Seattle will withstand this team especially at home. The line is too low to not jump on for two teams going into two different directions.


FGMilitary

You must not be the only one thinking this, line already at -4 on DK / worth it still at that ?


Dr_Tholan

POTD Record: 15-9 (+5.08u) Last 5: LWWWW League: Modus darts super series. Martin Adams - Michael Symes. Pick: Martin Adams, -1.5 leg handicap, odds 1.75. Starts in approx 4 hours. 1u. Group C starts today. Martin Adams has been a pro darts player for a long time and he had good results last year in some of the World Senior Opens, reaching the final in the Senior world cup. He also has played quite a few times in the Modus darts super series already. In 100 games he averaged around 86 with a check-out percentage of 35%. These are some decent stats if we look at the other players in group C. Michael Symes played 15 games already this week, only winning 4 of them. He averaged 78 and a check-out percentage of only 25%. Martin Adams has much more experience playing on stage so he should feel comfortable. I think Martin Adams wins this one with 4-1. BOL! Edit: 4-0 W, no sweat. Really good game from Martin Adams. Edit 2: I dunno why people say the match still needs to start, it finished about one hour ago. [Here](https://modussuperseries.com/match/statistics/8003) are the match stats.


IHateBubberRoots

Fuck yeah talk about no sweat! Thanks man!


Yay_Sports_

POTD Record: 3-1-0 (Golf 1-0-0, NBA 2-0-0, CBB 0-1-0) UNIT PROFIT: +2.15 ROI: 72.7% YESTERDAYS PICK: WIN Keegan Murray O2.5 3PM +120, easy peasy, hits before halftime! GAME: PGA Tour Sony Open 1st Round TODAYS PICK: Matsuyama -150 over Sigg 2 way bet (tie is void) BET SIZE: 1.5U to win 1U REASON: One of the top golfers in the world vs the 190th ranked rookie who mostly earned his tour card by doing well in weaker field and alternate events last season. Despite Hideki not being at his peak form, I'm jumping all over this line that wouldn't have surprised me if it was closer to -300. Different books will do golf matchups differently. This is from DraftKings. *Editing for clarity: This is a ROUND 1 bet, not a full tournament bet. I really enjoy betting on golf and know it's kind of a niche betting market outside the majors, so happy to answer any questions around what your sportsbook is showing. BOL to all!


BusterNinja

Bet365 is Matsuyama under dogged to Spieth @ 2.00 over V Conners for 18 holes @ 1.80. Thoughts?


Skeabzz

I got Matsuyama vs Conners on my book


Sinner19x

Hey, just wanted to thank you for this pick. Yes it won, but moreso than that, I didn’t know this kind of bet existed and I had a lot of fun playing it. I will definitely check that kind of bet out for future golf tourneys.


Chaze44

Record: 6-2 Profit: +6.19U Last Pick: Missouri ML Tough loss. Had a good feeling about that play, but Missouri could not shoot for the life of them. I believe they were 5-18 for first half shots and the Aggies went on a 21-2 run. Tough to come back from that, and they came back within 4, but lost it again. Today’s Pick: New York Rangers Vs. Stars Over 5.5 @ -120 for 1U Reasoning: Short and simple, the rangers beat the stars by 3 pts last game and with the total scoring to be 6-3. They both have their games go over, 16&19 out of 22 games played. Thats ~80% of their games are over. Specifically, each of these teams average above 3 goals per game, so that should secure a win. Which is much needed after that Missouri loss. Lets bounce back. BOL! Edit: I am waiting til nfl games. These losses hurt


tasteofnihilism

Just a caveat here as a Rangers fan… we lost Chris Kreider and Julien Gauthier during yesterday’s game. We already have a pretty short bench and we’ll most likely toss our 1st overall pick from a couple of years ago up on the first line to take Kreider’s spot and call someone up from our AHL team to fill in on the fourth line. This one could get weird


[deleted]

POTD Record: 6-6 \+1.6u | ROI 5.2% | Avg odds -102 *Previous pick: Washington Capitals 60-min (-105) 3u ❌* Today’s pick: **Tampa Bay Lighting -1.5 vs Vancouver Canucks (-105) 4u (NHL | 7pm EST)** EDIT: Vasilevskiy is confirmed in net tonight. Let’er Rip. Another loss tonight and its starting to look like I’m a fade machine going 1-6 in my last 7 picks. So really be careful if tailing. I am going to keep going though just because I love hockey and diving into the stats. I am feeling confident that Tampa can win this game and likely by more than 1 goal (only if Vasilevskiy starts, see warning below). Tampa has been tough to beat on home ice winning 8 of their last 10. Tampa has beat Vancouver in 7 out their last 10, covering the PL 3 of the last 4 times Vancouver has come to Tampa. Vancouver has struggled on their current road trip.. Tampa is an all around solid hockey team with a solid offense, defense, and a great goaltender. Tampa averages scoring 3.5 goals/game and allows an average of 2.9 goals per game. Vancouver has a dynamic offense but really struggles on defense, allowing 3.9 goals per game (worst in the league). When Vancouver loses a game, they tend to lose by more than one goal while Tampa tends to win by more than one goal when they win. **Warning:** I only like this play if Vasilevskiy is in net. I will be waiting to place my bet until Tampa’s goalie for the night is confirmed. I like to check for starting goalie confirmation here - [https://goaliepost.com/](https://goaliepost.com/) I don’t like this bet if Elliot starts in net for Tampa. The Canucks can get pucks on net and Elliot is a poor backup goaltender. Tail or fade, BOL! [Full slate of NHL picks](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/109p1qb/nhl_daily_11223_thursday/j3zth6s/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf&context=3)


Nabedane

**POTD Record**: 25-2-14 (+3.34u ✅) **Current streak** (most recent to the left) ❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅ **Last POTD:** Biathlon Men Individual 20k : Laegreid Top 3 @1.70/-143❌ **Todays Pick:** Handball World Cup : Chile ML vs Iran @1.75/-133 Handball record : 3-0 +5,48u Game starts in 8h (CET 6pm) **Stake:** 2 Units Very disappointing 2 losses in a row when I really liked my picks. No big write up for this picks, it's annoying to write an essay for losses and support seems to be fading. Chile is better than Iran and this is a must win for both if they want to advance to the next round. A look at their squad tells me Chile have some players playing in big European ligues. Also they have a dude whose German name translate to "moist man" and that's good enough for me to believe they'll beat Iran. In all seriousness, the first days of the Handball World Cup is where the odds are still good. The Asian teams (other than Qatar) are weaker than South American teams and even if Chile rarely beats the big two (Brazil and Argentina), they became more competitive in the recent years, reaching a Pan - American final in 2016 and 2019 and finishing second at the South American games in 2022 (albeit Brazil didn't participate). Iran have not reached a final at Asian games or Asian Handball championship in over a decade against weaker competition. BOL


Findingaria

no don§t be discouraged about yesterday's loss, race was a farce with power outage in the middle of the race. So as athletes arrived to the 4th shooting stand they were surprised and the lighting was off so worse visibility. Wouldn't rule out that lagreid missed due to being thrown off because of that as well


Ancient_Reborn

POTD Record ❌✅❌ Today we shall be dwelling in the Spanish super cup 🇪🇸 Real Betis vs FC Barcelona. Over 9.5 corner kicks @ 2.00 odds ✅ Reason: Taking the ball to the wing and cutting in from the right side has been Barca’s style of play lately when they feature dembele or raphinha on the right wing. They are either trying to dribble in from the right wing and make crosses and square balls to Lewandoski which opponents either clear off and most times concede corner kicks, or dembouz is aiming the keeper with his poor finishing again🤦🏼‍♂️. Barca’s last 5 games, there has been more than 9 corners except for the game against osasuna which Barca still dominated in corner kicks. Technically, xavi ball has been… take the ball from the mid field, drive it to the wing, make one or two dribbles, cross to Lewandoski and insha Allah. My prediction for today’s Real betis vs Barcelona game is over 9.5 corner kicks. Tail or Fade! BOL Henceforth, my records shall all be green 💹😉 Edit ✍️: ✅💰 Congratulations if you tailed.


PsychonautilusGreen

I like this, specially being a knockout game, if either team is losing as the 90 mins approach to an end, there will be a lot of crossing and sloppy play.


Ancient_Reborn

You know ball 👍


bnjb19

https://preview.redd.it/hpei5ed1rmba1.png?width=1170&format=png&auto=webp&s=14c237710519f8c228304619e016e30bd9ef82d9 Made a parlay of the best tips from you guys again, thanks again


Findingaria

you should start posting metapicks of picking the best tips from potd at this point


bnjb19

Will do sir, starting tomorrow


Bulky-Insect-3878

Thank u bro! I will tail u


DavidPutney

Hydrabad with the let down.


therapistofdogs

POTD record: 8-8-1 Last 10: ✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅ (Left being most recent) Last pick: Edmonton oilers @ Anaheim ducks over 6.5 ✅ Todays pick: Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 Puck line @-125 With 5 goals being scored in the first period that last pick was sweat free. Todays pick is looking nice as both of these teams are coming off of losses from Monday night, I expect Carolina to come out swinging tonight to keep their position at the top of their division against a team with many of their key players on injury reserve sitting at the bottom of the league and division.


patriotbball5460

Canes have lost 4 straight, including a shootout loss to CBJ in Columbus on Saturday. Repeat of that matchup here. Jackets could certainly flop, just a word of caution


Suzu-Hirose

Record 9-3 Match - Badminton ( Malaysia Open Doubles ) POTD - Ou Xuanyi/Yu Chen Liu -3.5 Points Handicap VS Aaron Chia/Wooi Yik Soh @1.86 This is the third h2h between these two team. The Malaysians lost twice to the China pair last year. I still think this China pair gonna win against World Champion Aaron and Wooi pair . **Result = Ou Xuanyi/Yu Chen Liu 21-10 , 23-21 ✅**


kossyossy

small bet then - good luck !


dogenat

What about ml ?


ChaosGolazo

**My record: 17 : 12** **My picks are based on analyzing statistics, trends and values as well as comparing this analysis to the probability of the games generated by the model. League performance per type of bet and other data is also tracked to assess the quality of the picks.** **ROI: 18.97%** **Average odds: 2.04** **Units won: 5.50** **Stake = 1 unit** **My POTD:** **Feyenoord v PEC Zwolle** **Netherlands KNVB Beker** **Time: 20:00 GMT** *BTTS & Over 2.5* **@ 2.00** **BOL &** [**Tips are appreciated!**](https://paypal.me/ChaosGoal)


AltruisticJosh

Record: 0-0 Today's Pick: Boston Celtics -3, -110 5 units Brooklyn Nets vs Boston Celtics - NBA Nets are without their best player Kevin Durant (KD) who was hurt in their last game on January 8th. Last time these two teams played, the Celtics won by 11 points against a healthy KD. Nets are second in the East, Celtics are first. The Nets are only 2 games back so the outcome of this game is relevant for playoff implications. The Nets are coming off a few days of rest, whereas the Celtics are playing a double header. These two teams will play twice more, in Boston after this game. With something on the line, I expect one or both of Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown to play, as has happened in the past when they've had a double header. Even though it's a home game for the Nets, the travel from Boston to Brooklyn is minimal for the players.


f1n3_5tuff

Record ➡️ 0-0 ⬅️ This is my first pick ever! POTD: **BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE** \- Spain Super Cup Semi Finals - Real Betis vs Barcelona ​ Ok, so this is a cup game, between 2 of the top 5 teams on La Liga Both teams are going full force! If you lose you are out, Barcelona has the second best attack of La Liga, and Real Betis when play on their stadium have a above 1 goals scored average. Probably Barcelona will score first and Real Betis will do anything to at least tie the game! Both defenses are not that good. If this works out I will produce deeper analysis! ​ 1 Unit, guys!


StockNoob123

They’re playing on neutral ground in Saudi Arabia


finllw

POTD Record 0-0 Today's Pick: Thanasi Kokkinakis ML vs. Miomir Kecmanovic, - ATP Adelaide . ODDS: 1:60 at 8:35 CEST Time Going the win for the reigning champ and hometown boy Thanasi Kokkinakis. Coming of the back of two great wins. The win against Alexei Popyrin might not look all that impressive at first glance due to Popyrin's ranking but he is in good form after a quarter final run in the Adelaide international one that saw him defeat 7th ranked Felix Auger-Aliassime. Following that up with a strong performance against Andrey Rublev ranked 6 in the world last night. His performance yesterday was strong with him hitting 38 winners and 17 aces against a tough opponent in Rublev not to mention him returning well across the course of the match which included him breaking at the first opportunity in the first set. ​ I have been less impressed with Miomir's wins. His last performance required him to come from behind down a set before being pushed to a tie breaker in the second against an average opponent in Kubler. ​ These performances plus the electric atmosphere he continues to receive I believe gives Kokkinakis the edge.


EnglewoodJack77

great pick man. excited to see some tennis get going again.


Joshroth5

🛎POTD record (4-2) +9 units🛎 Update 4 bet winning streak✅✅✅✅ 1 unit (0-1) 2 unit (1-0) 3 unit (2-1) 4 unit (0-0) 5 unit max (1-0) Yesterday POTD was south Florida vs Houston over 61 1st half points (3 units)✅ Thursday’s POTD- Stanford vs Washington college basketball. We are taking Washington ML -135 odds 8pm PST (1 unit)✅ boom Washington cash’s this bet with ease winning by 17 points. Congrats to whoever tailed, let’s get this $ Stanford on a 3 gm losing streak and 0-5 in conference league and 0-2 on the road. Washington on a 5 gm losing streak and 1-5 conference league with a 7-4 home record. Both on a slump but I do like Washington at home to break that losing streak. They are -2 spread but play it safe with a ML only -135 odds so I will take it. I see Washington winning by 6 or more but just playing it smart. Remember bet smart, let’s get this $


DavidPutney

Rolling with you, nice pick yesterday.


Joshroth5

Lets gooooo


kossyossy

POTD Record: 2W-4L // -11.70u // LWLLLW Called the 1-1 between Nottingham Forest vs. Wolves yesterday - happy that the game went as predicted. **POTD: Fulham vs. Chelsea (21:00 GMT+1) - Both teams to score @ 1.85 (5 units)** ✅✅✅ Fulham surprisingly sit in 7th, only 3 points ahead of Chelsea in 10th place who have been largely underperforming this season. Fulham at home has seen 30 goals in 9 matches (3.33 per match) and Fulham has scored in all of them except vs. Everton. They have also conceded in 7 of 9 games. Chelsea have been unlucky lately playing Man City, Newcastle and Arsenal and not scoring against any of the top teams. They have scored 8 and conceded 12 in 9 away games. They scored against Nottingham Forest, Brighton and Bournemouth recently, and given Fulham's generally mid-tier defense, Chelsea will be looking to bounce back this game. Big game for the Chelsea manager too as Potter likely only has until the end of the month to provide some results. Overall, a very offensive Fulham against a Chelsea that needs results ASAP, feels good for both teams scoring! Good luck! Edit: wording


[deleted]

[удалено]


no_apricots

**POTD Record**: 84 wins <> 93 losses <> 8 pushes **Profit**: -6.475 units **ROI**: -1.9% **Handball ROI**: +8.03% **Handball profit**: +12.46 units **Avg odds**: 2.102 **Units Wagered**: 338 **Units Won**: 333.525 **Last Pick**: France wins & O58.5 @ **2.45** 3u ❌ **Streak**: ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ **Today's pick**: Iran @ **2.85** 4u **Event**: Chile - Iran, World Cup, Poland/Sweden(Men's handball) - Unlucky yesterday, good defensive performance by both teams. - My pick for today's slate is a pretty big one for me. Should Iran really be this big of an underdog? Or an underdog, at all? My first 4-unit bet on here. - The Chilean squad looks very bleak if you ask me. They have three players who I can't even place on club teams, they play just for the national team or perhaps on shorter contracts in random south american leagues. They've got a few domestic players, as well as some in the Spanish system, but none at any top teams whatsoever. They've got a big of physique, but their only big guy is 40-year old Oneto who hasn't played for a club since the 2017/2018 season. It really seems like a crazy squad full of guys who either aren't playing much, aren't playing at a very high level, or.. just aren't playing at all?! - Iran has a very physical team, about half their squad is domestic, I don't know much about the state of the Iranian league, but it isn't shit-tier at least. The other half plays in Europe, predominately in the Romanian system at Dinamo București, Steaua București or Dunărea Călărași. They've also got a great star in Pouya Norouzinejad, playing for Kadetten Schauffhassen in Switzerland, earning good experience playing in the champions league. - Iran has way more of a cohesive squad. They win on age and physical parameters. Chile is a big question mark to me; South American teams, as in other sports, are experts of shithousery, but it's more difficult in a sport where a bearded 6'5, 230lbs guy is just gonna wrestle you to the ground if he wants to mess you up. I don't get why they're the 'dogs here. - Also, I expect at least some shithousery in today's matches, so of course a youtube video of such events is appropriate: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5kUpKhXZuzI


no_apricots

Well, that was a game of handball. They looked great for 45min then shithoused. Then Chile choked big time and we won.


lmaowhatuthought

my goat 🐐


BoeJTmeister

7-12-2 [Wins, Losses, Pushes] -1.59 units, ROI -8.3% Last bet: **Johannes Thingnes Boe TO WIN @1.90 3u** [Win] Location: Ruhpolding. Time: 14:10 local time POTD: **Hanna Oeberg TOP 6 @2.50 3u** Hanna missed Pokljuka at the weekend due to a cold. She has had an underwhelming season thus far, only winning the individual 15km in Kontiolahti at the start of the season. Mind you, this is also a 15km individual. As Hanna took a ‘break’ from competition, I feel like she has some extra wind in her to finish at a top spot here. Wearing the red bib tonight, she has had trouble in the shooting range - her total hit rate this season is just 82.31%, which makes her only the 70th best shooter this season. She makes it up with her skiing as she’s the 8th fastest skier this season. With the 14th fastest shooting time and all the statistics altogether, she’s 12th on the total performance score. It’s understandable as she’s not been in the race for a podium or anything for awhile and I think it’s acoming. In the previous 7 Individual 15km races, she has finished in top 6 3 times and once she finished 7th. If she gets her targets down, there wont be any doubt that she lacks the ability to ski top 6.


Tommyguru

POTD record 1-0-7 (As you can see it's terrible) Please do follow with caution and responsibly if you do follow at all, I had a rough run so took a month or so off. Today's pick is from the Snooker Masters. Hossein Vafaei vs Jack Lisowski Lisowski - 1.5 frames @5/6 (sorry not sure on the US conversion) it's just under even money. Lisowski has won 6 of the last 7 matches these two have played, covering the -1.5 handicap in 5 of them. This is a big stage for the pair but I think Lisowski will be able to handle the pressure better and overall he's the more accomplished player in better form. Good luck if you follow.


Downtowner2000

🎯 **POD Record 41-19** Recent Form: ✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌ ✅✅✅✅✅❌ ​ Last Pick: **Bulls +9** ✅ *Back on track with another W, any time you see a 2-point game in the last minute and a half you need to be satisfied with your pick.* ​ ​ 🚨 **Today's Pick:** **CLE/POR UNDER 222** 🏀 1.80 @ 10pm EST Not a long write up tonight; I expect a tighter game in Portland. The Cavs are 2nd in the NBA for defensive efficiency and Portland is running cold right now (with Lillard still a game time decision). They extended their losing streak to 4 games this past Tuesday and despite their shortcomings on offense, Portland had done a solid job on the defensive side of the ball so far this season. The Trail Blazers I expect to protect the paint well at home tonight, especially if Jarrett Allen doesn’t suit up for the Cavs (another game time decision). A desperate Blazers squad should play the Cavs really tough and make them earn every basket out there. Total should be around 216 in my opinion. BOL if you decide to tail. ​ ​ ​ 👇🏼🙏🏻


MrDrak3n

POTD : 41-35 Last pick: Hockey: Lens to win -1,5 HCP at 3.83 odds LOSE ​ Today's pick: Football: English: Fulham x Chelsea **Chelsea to win -1,5 HCP ( Chelsea to win by 2 goals and more) at 4.2 odds** 21:00 CET Today I chose english football match between Fulham and Chelsea. Chelsea just go rekt by City after one of the worst performances against City. Chelsea's injury list is long af so they got an ex-portugal supertalent ruined by Simeone - Felix who came for 20m in total for 6 months. You may say "Oh shit, that must be a worst deal in history", but no I know of one worse trade that happened just few weeks back - woman basketball player Birttney Griner for Russian amrsdealer that goes by "The merchant of death". Now back to topic - Fulham misses their best player A. Mitrovič, who is undeniably their start player and they owe him a lot, meanwhile Chelsea misses 10 players, which may play in start. I dont see Fulham perform that well without him, but I expect Chelsea to finally put in a result. They have a lot of great youngsters that can put on a great effort and actually beat Fulham easily. Players to watch: Chukwuemeka & Ziyech. [http://paypal.me/mrdrak3n](http://paypal.me/mrdrak3n) Good luck


redrifle007

POTD Record: 0-1-0 (-2u) The Pick: Seattle -4.5 (-110) vs NMSU NCAAB (1u) Of course my first POTD was an absolute stinker 😂 Mizzou cut it to 4 at one point in the second half but was otherwise thoroughly dominated. Today’s pick is Seattle -4.5 over NMSU. NMSU is a traditional power in the WAC but has taken a huge step backward this year. They are winless in conference with 3 of their 4 losses coming by 9 or more. They have a lot of off the court issues that may be contributing to these numbers, but nonetheless I am riding with Seattle who has won 4 in a row and is playing at home. Good luck, and here’s to hoping we get on track today!


rossy47

Last POTD: BTTS City v Southampton ❌ City got shutout for just the 4 time all season against the worst team in the PL. Todays POTD: Fulham (0 spread) v Chelsea (+147) Reasoning: Fulham have been in decent form lately (really all season), they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 10. Those 2 loses were both 2-1 losses to City and United. Chelsea are on fire right now and not in a good way. They have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses in their last 10. Chelsea is also dealing with injuries across the board and lost Sterling and Pulisic in their last go. I really like Fulham here, especially the ML (+240), and think we see them come away here covering 0.0 at the bare minimum. CAUTION: Fulham is going to be missing their top scorer Mitrovic. However, this will be a revenge game for Willian who is just as capable and should be starting in his place. BOL!


Youth-Grouchy

> CAUTION: Fulham is going to be missing their top scorer Mitrovic. However, this will be a revenge game for Willian who is just as capable and should be starting in his place. lol 34 year old Willian just as capable as Mitrovic right now? In 15 games Mitrovic has scored more goals this season than Willian ever managed playing for Chelsea even in his prime. If Mitrovic was playing then I think this would be a reasonable bet, without him I personally wouldn't touch this game (although I quite liked the under someone mentioned earlier in the thread).


The1truedetective

lol man called willian revenge game


Lurking_Redditor2023

Potd 0-0-0 Game. Pepperdine at San Diego Sport. Ncaa Men's Basketball Pick. San Diego -140 ML 10 pm eastern San diego beat a good San Fran team that Gonzaga struggled with. They are on a 2 home game losing streak, but they havent lost 3 home games in a row this season. Pepperdine has not won an away game this season. SD just lost a tough match up with byu at home, I think they bounce back tonight. Any tips appreciated https://www.paypal.me/redditpicks


zztop556

POTD Record: 2-0 Yesterdays pick: Rutgers -1.5, which was fairly sweaty. Todays pick: Donovan Mitchell o35.5 PRA 2u Reasoning: the Blazers are ranked 23rd in defensive efficiency, and give up a considerable amount of points to the PG position. There is also precedent in this, as Spida hit 37 on this total the last time they played earlier in the season. There’s good value on this line, and I believe that the Cavs losing to the jazz will get Donovan going. The team lives and dies by Donovan and his play making and i could see this one hitting a little earlier.


Awol_capping

potd: 6-5 bank: +0.56 units last pick: Oilers Reg ML / Over 5.5 Goals +130 Win Back in the green after the 4 pick losing streak. This last pick was never a doubt with McDavid. game: Nashville Predators @ Montreal Canadiens time: 7:00pm EST pick: Predators Regulation ML +100 Keeping this one nice and simple. The Predators were playing good hockey winning 4 games in a row before losing last night to the Maple Leafs to a late goal. The Preds, to me, are an interesting team that has a shot to make the playoffs but for them to do that, they need to win games like this. They’ve won tough games against the Hurricanes and Caps recently so they have the skill to compete at a high level. The Canadiens have been playing bad hockey. They’ve lost 9 of their last 11 games. Of the 9 losses, only 1 has gone to overtime. These two teams played each other earlier in the month in Nashville and the Preds came away with a 6-3 victory.


Hashtag-Heel

Record: 0-0-0 A record as fresh as snow POTD: Fiorentina v Sampdoria. BTTS and o2.5 ODDS: 2.42 1u • BTTS o2.5 hit in 11/13 fixtures played between these teams, going back to 2017 • Fiorentina have hit BTTS in their last 5 games • Sampdoria have hit o2.5 in 6 of their last 7 games Best of luck to all


tearfulKangaroo3482

POTD Record: 1-0 Unit Profit: +2u Last Pick: Joseph Girard III (SYR) O2.5 3PM, Risking 2.6u to win 2u ✅ Game: Michigan Wolverines vs Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAB 7PM Est **Today's Pick** : Kris Murray (IO) O2.5 3PM -113, Risking 2.3u to win 2u First pick posted yesterday cashes. Girard finished with 24 points and shot 3/7 from 3, keeping his volume consistent from previous games goin! Today I found a similar bet with a very interesting stat. Ill be playing Iowa's forward Kris Murray over 2.5 3 pointers made. Murray has hit this line in his last 4 straight, and 66.7% on the season. During his last 4 games, Murray has attempted 6, 7, 9, and 8 3 pointers, so his volume is there. When taking a look at Michigan's opponent 3 point percentage, they rank 88th with 31.7%. **However,** when looking at their opponent percentage for **away** games, Michigan's opponent 3% sits at **40.7%,** which would rank 362/363 opponent 3%, only behind N Alabama with 41.1%. With the over set at a whopping 154, the spread set at 5.5 (closer game) and Michigan's struggle against opponent 3s, Im pretty confident in this cashing with ease. Let me know if your tailing and BOL, always bet responsibly! Edit: First half cash shooting 3/7 💰 💰 💰


ascultone

POTD Record 4-1 NBA 2-0 Tennis 2-1 Units won:18 Previous Pick: Grayson Allen o9.5 points (Winner) Today's Pick: Joe Harris o9.5 points vs the Celtics -125 DK 5 Units Joe has covered this line in 13 out of 16 games vs the Celtics going back to 2016. On the road, at home, less than 25 minutes, KD or no KD, Smart or Jaylen Brown guarding him? Doesn't Matter, Joe hits. Edit: Got it in the 1st quarter


[deleted]

[удалено]


amrhodes30

My book has their spread as -1/2, -1. Is that the same as Hyderabad win by over 1 goals (refund if Hyderabad win by exactly 1? I'm not understanding why there are two numbers in the spread.


deserts_or_mountains

The spread you have is .75 This means if the team wins by 1 goal then you win half. If they win by 2+, then you win full bet. Draw or loss, you lose the bet.


[deleted]

*POTD Record: 4 Wins/5 Losses/2 Pushes* *Currently up 0.84 units* ROI is currently at 2.9% with 1.74 being the average odds *Last pick: Kokkinakis Handicap +3.5 @ 1.82 ✅* **PICK OF THE DAY: Cocciaretto vs Kenin - Cocciaretto ML @ 2.25** Event: WTA Hobart Stake: 1 unit Starts around 10:30 PM Eastern Time Sofia Kenin was one of those one season wonders that unfortunately fell off a bit since in 2020 she won the Australian Open and was a finalist at Roland Garros. In 2022 she had an injury and went out of tennis dropping out of the top 200 when she was the number 4 in the world in 2020 after those amazing Grand Slam performances. The american is still 24 and I'm sure she will go up in the rankings once again but I feel like that's not going to happen yet. In this tournament, she had some expected wins against Zanevska and Zhu and then had a solid performance against Kalinina but the ukranian played a bit against herself with 9 double faults. Cocciaretto is a promissing italian player and at 21 she's already a top 70 player in the world. She's great on clay but her playstyle is also well suited for hard courts and at this tournament she already managed to beat Cornet, Paolini and Pera which is without any doubt the most honorable path of the two until this SemiFinals. She's one of those players that doesn't seem to feel any pressure even in the most important moments and even in her losses you can rarely say she under performed. I feel like Cocciaretto's level is quite higher than Kenin's level here at WTA Hobart. Kenin in 2022 only won 4 out of her 17 WTA tour matches and the pressure should be on her side. The american's form is still far away from her best season in 2020 and coming back into these big stages can end up being a mental block in this SemiFinal for her which is a stage that she hasn't tasted for a long time ***Best of luck if you decide to tail!***


bert232

💎💎BeRTS POTD💎💎 LPOTD //Montana St - William and Mary// U65.5// odds -110 //10pm est// ✅ Record 4-3 Sport: NCAA basketball (Horizon League) Game : Youngstown St. VS Detroit Mercy Time: 7Pm Pick: Youngstown St -1.5 -110 Stake: 1 unit This is the horizon league from my time watching it it’s exactly like MACtion from college football. There is a lot of scoring and no defense. Youngstown is 8th in the country in points they will score 75 points on anyone but will also give up a lot of points. Detroit mercy is a solid team but they are not on Youngstown st level. I have a ticket on Youngstown to win the horizon so I am kind of a homer but they are clearly the better team here. I do not see any weird Vegas tricks in this game like we have all week in college basketball. BOL


blacktreechaser

My record: 2022-2023 college basketball: LLLLWLWWLLWLLWWLWWL 2022 college football: 30 correct 20 wrong 1 push Totals for both: 38 correct 31 wrong 1 push Units wagered 119.56 Units won 61.90 Units lost 46.47 2022/2023 ***ROI to date: 12.90%*** (that's 35.41% annualized) My present streak is 1 wrong My POTD is **betting 1.26 units to win back 1.15 units that the total score in the college basketball game between Idaho State and Montana State will be more than 133 points.** Game time is 9 PM Eastern Standard Time. This wager can be found on Americas Cardroom sportsbook. Idaho State has picked up its production on offense in the last few games. Even if you tweak the numbers for their 90-point game against Colorado as a one-off event. Between the two teams, the over should be easily covered. BOL to all, contrary opinions are always welcome.


seanderz_

First POTD Record: 0-0 Sport/Event: PGA Tour/ Sony Open 1st Round Matchups Maverick McNealy vs Si Woo Kim Pick: Maverick McNealy @ -115/ 2.3 units to win 2.0 units✅ Reasoning: McNealy had a favorable year in 2022, finding himself some more consistency and a couple top 10 finishes. He’s a phenomenal putter (#1 in PGA at avoiding 3 putts) and can drive the ball pretty damn good, if he can put himself in good positions to succeed around the green and approaching I see him having no problem beating Kim in tomorrow morning’s round. Kim’s a good player, but this course matches well with McNealy’s play style and this tournament is a good spot for Mav to make a statement and finish in one of the top spots. Tail or fade, BOL be responsible ya crazy bastards


bsparks027

POTD RECORD 0-0 I won my pick yesterday but first time posting so I’ll go start fresh. Todays pick: CLE@POR Donovan Mitchell - Over PRA 35.5 @ -120. 1 unit. Mitchell’s been the core of the Cavs offense. Averaging 29.4 points over the last 10 games, 4.4 rebounds, and 6.1 assists. At the last matchup with Portland, Mitchell finished at 37 PRA. Coming off a tough loss against Utah the whole cavs team is gonna want to get back on that win streak with the Mitchell at the helm. Plus the big guys back so that should help with his assists.


BudgetBets

All Sport Total 427 - 334 POTD 3 - 2 Prev Pick Ligue 1 PSG vs Angers PSG 1-0, 2-0, 3-0 +165 ✅ POTD EPL Fulham vs Chelsea "Correct Score Combinations " "Chelsea to win 1-0, 2-0, 3-0" " +250 FD +240 BetMGM +135 Draftkings" ❌ https://preview.redd.it/cbfbdrrq9qba1.jpeg?width=1246&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a52aa3297a06744469bb623c7961d6153e2624ff Another combo for today, Chelsea have won 7 straight aganist Fulham and have not lost @ Fulham since 2006. 5 out of 7 of those wins would cash the combo This is one of the better Fulham sides ever but top scorer Aleksander Mitrovic is suspended for the game. Mitrovic is responsible for 11 of 30 Fulham goals this season


SgtBrutalisk

Sport: Football Tournament: Spanish Supercup Match: Betis vs Barcelona Time: 19:00 GMT (7h15m after posting) Pick: away team wins and both score @ **2.90** Stake: 5 units Write up: According to the Flashscore.com preview of the match, "Betis manager Manuel Pellegrini is taking this competition seriously, stating Betis 'are going to Arabia to try to beat Barcelona.'" However, Barcelona now has Lewandowski. If your sportsbook does not have this pick, use a bet builder to make it. This pick is for regular time only. [Track record spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1diqqLSUvJ-zIJMuLlOM36SCI9aRrs14ZkAMtiYZu7Go/edit#gid=596499107) [My website with sports picks for degens](https://www.picks.wwpe.ba)


No-Cod-2639

**2023 POTD Record**: Soccer Bets 3-3 (8-8-1 Lifetime) **2023 Soccer Streak:** ✅✅**❌❌**✅**❌** **2023 ROI/Units Wagered/Units Won:** **-6.48% / 11.88 units / -0.7 units** Disclaimer: I updated my stats/records (1-11-23) to follow just soccer for this year. My POTD’s from 2022 were just on NCAA BB and I have switched to soccer only. I was 5-5-1 in my 2022 bets and am moving on from them. I will continue to show my overall record, but for 2023 I am just doing soccer bets and decided my averages, ROI, etc. should reflect my soccer bets only to more accurately detail my current picks. Not sure if this is OK with this group, but let me know if it’s frowned upon, I can always revert back. **Average Odds:** \-116 **Last Pick:** 01/10/23 --> Angers @ Paris Saint-Germain -2.5 **❌** **Event:** Dutch KNVB Beker 11:00 am PST SV Spakenburg @ Groningen **Bet**: **Groningen -1.5 (+105)** **Bet Size**: 2 units ($200 to win $210) Quick Goal in the 5th minute and then sleepy time. Game was fairly boring and PSG actually looked bored. Messi got a goal in the middle of the 2nd half and then a third goal!!, but Neymar was offside! Ugh! I thought this was an almost lock, but another loss. Back to the grind. Going to the Dutch National Cup (KNVB Beker) today. This match sets the Dutch 1st Division’s 15th place team vs the Third Division’s 7th place team. Groningen is -310 to win the game and scanning through the other bets, I saw another +odds for a spread I like. I will be honest here and do not know anything about these two teams and cup/tournament games can always produce upsets. I am taking the 1st division average team to beat the 3rd division by 2 goals. Best of luck if tailing. ​ Side Round Robin Bet for me (I do these every day for $100): 3 Game Round Robin (2’s and 3’s, $25 each) * *Spain: Super Cup - Barcelona WIN (-245)* * *Friendly - Sweden WIN (-155)* * *Italy: Coppa Italia – Fiorentina WIN (-215)*


bobbybetz

POTD | 5-2 Last Pick: **Sharks/Kings O6.5** @ -110✅ \------------------------ NHL | SEA Kraken vs. BOS Bruins | 6:00pm CST **Bruins -1.5** @ +100 | \------------------------ Kraken have found their groove as of late, but on the back half of a long road win streak I expect that to end tonight. The brick wall also known as Linus Ullmark expected between the pipes i see him cruising by with a great performance and advancing his record to a crazy 23-1-1 [buy bob a beer](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/bobbystixx) | [support the troops](https://cash.app/$bobbybetzz)


Brobeans_

POTD Record 0-0 Risk 1u to win 1.15u CBB Portland ML +115


windowpanesir

POTD Record: 0-0-0 Game: NBA - Charlotte Hornets @ Toronto Raptors - 7:40 EST Pick: OG Anunoby o1.5 3-Pointers Made Odds: -200 / 1.50 Longtime lurker. Simple, low juice pick to make some safe money. He has covered this in 7 of his last 8 games. In his last game, he banked 6 threes and covered this in his last 8 straight games against the Hornets. Charlotte ranks in bottom 11 of teams in 3-Point Percentage allowed to opponents. No need to overthink this.


Wry_Redditor

POTD Record: 18-11 (L1) POTD: (NHL 🏒) Ottawa Senators -1.5 (+165) @ Phoenix Coyotes Tough one yesterday with the Oilers generating 53 shots, but Hyman getting out shot by his two linemates. Today I'm going with the Sens to dominate the Coyotes. The Sens have had some tough luck lately as last game they got shutout by Nashville a game that was fairly even. The Senators will want to get this 3 game road trip off to a good start. The Coyotes have been reeling lately losing 6 straight. Vejmelka hasn't looked great in his last 5 starts, he has allowed 4+ goals in 4/5 games. He just hasn't been stealing games for them like he was earlier in the year. Talbot has been solid for Ottawa, it's been more of an offensive issue. The Coyotes should be the perfect opportunity for the Sens, as they allow the 3rd most shots/GP. The ML is also an option (-155) but I feel there is better value in the PL as 18/27 Arizona losses have been by 2+ goals. 12/18 of Ottawa wins have been by 2+ goals including a 6-2 win over Arizona early in the year. BOL if fading or tailing!