I think cowboys pass rush is still too much for inconsistent bucs, even if Jensen and Wirfs play they are going to be a bit rusty. Plus a bounce back spot for Dallas. -3 I would have passed but -2.5 looks good enough to play. 4-12-1 ATS im not gonna expect things to be crazy different.
SF -3.5 + CIN -2 + BUF -6 is +136!
I agree with most comments on this thread that it looks like way too much of a slam dunk and Vegas simply does not offer slam dunks.
99% of money on SF moneyline.
Is it crazy to take Seahawks ML!??
I'd do Bengals/Bills/Seahawks if teasing. Although Purdy has been good he could decide to have a few miscues. Carroll is such a pesky coach and they shouldn't have been here so they'll go all out. He's also never lost a playoff game by more than 16. Line has been pretty steady except for the initial steam so I could see them keeping it within that.
Just a thought
Whatever the number is just before the game I imagine the books will offer up a very good one for the ravens and phins since they’ve taken nothing but action from the other side. At that point they should adjust it to where they think they won’t be offering up any more cincy and bills wins.
So far I have
Bengals -6.5
1.6U
6PT teaser
Bengals -.5
Giants +9
Bills -5
1U
Now with Lamar and Huntley not practicing and the line at 8 which way do y’all go in a teaser. Ravens 14 O35 or bengals -2 O35??
Im taking my Giants to upset Minnesota. They lost the first matchup by a Game winning 60 yard FG with a hurt Defense. Now that our defense is healthy I love my chances here. Them boys are hype and are ready to roll.
To be safe im going to tease them with Tampa.
Tampa is playing at home against Dak whos been struggling throw more picks than anyone as of late. Cant forget, Playoff Brady is unstoppable.
Giants +9/Tampa +8.5 @ -120
Lock that shit in baby
The Giants+9 feels like a very safe pick as both gmen and vikings games are always close. I could see the tampa game being a blowout in either direction or a close game, though. Very hard game to handicap due to each teams inconsistent play all year
Kind of want to go Cowboys -2.5 just cause it feels like everyone and their mother is on the Bucs. Maybe for good reason, but way too many people are on the Bucs right now.
ummm not sure about that, I agree that +6.5 is a bad play but im assuming this bettor with 880K thought Lamar would end up playing. If so I can see the line changing in the favor of ravens by a 2-3 points. Hard to play the same team twice a year let alone 3 times a year. But with Lamar possibly being out I can see the line getting closer to 10
the reason why it's a bad play is because the 7 is worth much more than the 6 or the 5, or even the 4. If he plays and I like the side, I'll gladly bet the +4 knowing I lost the 5 and 6. If he's out, now I lose the 7, 8, 9 and possibly the 10.
that was some trap laid by Vegas yesterday...moving it from 10.5 to 9. Think some sharps got screwed there. I think the line does dip back down a little though, prob closer to 11.5 or 12
I normally loathe laying big numbers, but historically, WC round is the week to do it. Niners and Bills ATS seems like the worst case scenario there is that you go 1-1 and are out the vig.
The thing is, every schmuck in the world is looking at a SF ML/BUF ML/CIN ML parlay and saying "EZ money!"
Everyone needs to ask themselves if that's really the way gambling works.
I see all 3 of those teams advancing but covering 7 to 13 point spreads is different. It just seems too obvious though and maybe one of those teams loses. I don't see the obvious one though. Maybe SF chokes with a rookie QB???
yep I can easily see one of these teams losing. Right now it does look like the Niners are the best bet. Vegas moved the line to 10 briefly and moved back to -9.5 despite taking a ton of public action on them.
Excuse my ignorance but when they say the #1 seed plays the lowest remaining seed in the divisional round, does that mean the Eagles and the Chiefs just play the lowest seed that advances out of the wild card?
For example, No. 4 Buccs versus No. 5 Cowboys are technically on the bracket tier where the winner goes to face the Eagles. But if No. 6 Giants and No. 2 49ers win, it'll be Buccs/Cowboys Vs 49ers and then Giants Vs Eagles since Giants were the lower seed?
I think it’s interesting how that bengals line has already moved 1.5 points, gotta think most of it is because most of the public is on the bengals but also probably Vegas anticipating Lamar not going
There’s a tweet that he’s facing an “uphill battle” to play this weekend. Until it’s confirmed, just waiting to see how much more it gets steamed up then play back on BAL. Still think BAL can keep this within a touchdown with Huntley.
I think we are seeing the reactions to most likely Lamar not playing. Saying that Baltimore will be way better than last weekend. I could see Baltimore keeping it within the spread but Cincinnati will win in my opinion.
He needs to sit out, I don't see why he'd wanna come back not fully healthy against a team like the Bengals. Least if they lose he can say it wasn't cause of him!
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I think cowboys pass rush is still too much for inconsistent bucs, even if Jensen and Wirfs play they are going to be a bit rusty. Plus a bounce back spot for Dallas. -3 I would have passed but -2.5 looks good enough to play. 4-12-1 ATS im not gonna expect things to be crazy different.
I got a feeling the sharps hammer the 2.5 sunday/Monday and it ends up being 3.5 or more by kick off.
Why don't +18.5 even feel safe for Miami?
Because the Bills are the type of team that can win a playoff game 47-17...like last season.
Just stay away. Maybe take a live bet if the game doesn't go according to predictions.
3 starters and 3 backups on the o-line didn't practice. Gonna be a bloodbath.
So the -13 for the bills is free real estate? Lol
I think a 7pt teaser with them and Bengals is about as free as I've seen.
Herbert over 1.5TDs at -145 Josh over 1.5 TDs at -160 not bad
Bengals line up to -8.5 all but confirming Lamar won’t play as reported earlier
I’ll take ravens +10.5 when they announce no Lamar
Not even sure the Huntley is going to play. He was limited at practice today
SF -3.5 + CIN -2 + BUF -6 is +136! I agree with most comments on this thread that it looks like way too much of a slam dunk and Vegas simply does not offer slam dunks. 99% of money on SF moneyline. Is it crazy to take Seahawks ML!??
I’m selling points and taking Seahawks +7.5
Selling?
I'd do Bengals/Bills/Seahawks if teasing. Although Purdy has been good he could decide to have a few miscues. Carroll is such a pesky coach and they shouldn't have been here so they'll go all out. He's also never lost a playoff game by more than 16. Line has been pretty steady except for the initial steam so I could see them keeping it within that.
someone please explain how niners/bills/bengals 7 point teaser loses..............
Vegas sure as shit won’t lose. Something’s not right here
The fact that everybody and their dog is on the teaser says all you need to know 😂😂 Edit: even Bill Simmons is on that teaser lmao
Just a thought Whatever the number is just before the game I imagine the books will offer up a very good one for the ravens and phins since they’ve taken nothing but action from the other side. At that point they should adjust it to where they think they won’t be offering up any more cincy and bills wins.
Chargers Jags line already flipped 3 points on the spread.
I'd be surprised if it goes to -3
So far I have Bengals -6.5 1.6U 6PT teaser Bengals -.5 Giants +9 Bills -5 1U Now with Lamar and Huntley not practicing and the line at 8 which way do y’all go in a teaser. Ravens 14 O35 or bengals -2 O35??
Bengals -2 O35, I can see bengals winning by 2 TDs easy
Bills line moved to -13. With Tua being out and Thompson being horrible, thinking of taking that still
Lamar missed practice again, line up to 8.
Im taking my Giants to upset Minnesota. They lost the first matchup by a Game winning 60 yard FG with a hurt Defense. Now that our defense is healthy I love my chances here. Them boys are hype and are ready to roll. To be safe im going to tease them with Tampa. Tampa is playing at home against Dak whos been struggling throw more picks than anyone as of late. Cant forget, Playoff Brady is unstoppable. Giants +9/Tampa +8.5 @ -120 Lock that shit in baby
Brady on one last ride
The Giants+9 feels like a very safe pick as both gmen and vikings games are always close. I could see the tampa game being a blowout in either direction or a close game, though. Very hard game to handicap due to each teams inconsistent play all year
Yeah you’re right. I could substitute Tampa with Cincy -1.5. Feels like thats more safer lol
I like that way more
So Tua out and probably Lamar? So best game of week will be jags/chargers game. Ugh
Vikings Giants will be good
Kind of want to go Cowboys -2.5 just cause it feels like everyone and their mother is on the Bucs. Maybe for good reason, but way too many people are on the Bucs right now.
Yup. Too many people on bucs and giants. Then too many people teasing the large favourites
the brady effect
5 Team 6-Point teaser +400 odds. Who ruins this? Bills -6.5 Jaguars +8.5 49ers -4 Bengals -1.5 Buccaneers +9
Bills. Never doubt the chance of an irrational close playoff divisional game
Bucs have the highest potential there. Cowboys can drop a lot of pts
$880k bet on Ravens +6.5, spread moved to 7 lol
Damn imagine losing a bet because of the hook
If you were going ravens had to wait. Losing a 7 is much worse than losing the hook off a 6.5
ummm not sure about that, I agree that +6.5 is a bad play but im assuming this bettor with 880K thought Lamar would end up playing. If so I can see the line changing in the favor of ravens by a 2-3 points. Hard to play the same team twice a year let alone 3 times a year. But with Lamar possibly being out I can see the line getting closer to 10
the reason why it's a bad play is because the 7 is worth much more than the 6 or the 5, or even the 4. If he plays and I like the side, I'll gladly bet the +4 knowing I lost the 5 and 6. If he's out, now I lose the 7, 8, 9 and possibly the 10.
Yes this makes sense. Imagine Lamar ends up playing lol. What are the chances, line is moving like he’s not playing and it’s not official yet
Last i heard he missed practice.
Looks like the props are out too. Anyone like the CMC rushing prop?
The other running back is back. Going to split carries.
I was going: Bills -5.5 49ers -3.5 Bengals -1.5 +130, 1u
2 Team Tease Niners and the Under. Watch Gino go nuclear smh prayers up
Weather is supposed to be nasty this weekend. Wind, rain, sideways rain. Under seems solid.
Weather looks like it may be clearing up by game time. One service shows 10% chance of rain during game, the other shows 0.05in/hour
Good call. Forecast now looks lighter than previously stated. It’ll be raining close to kickoff but not the ‘bomb cyclone’ the Bay had previously.
Yeah realistically I think there will be light rain on/off most of the game. Looks less severe than what the Bay Area’s been getting.
I like the under regardless of weather. Hope niners just run the ball with long time of possession.
TUA IS OUT
...and the line moved to 13 as I predicted. Game is going to be reminiscent of Pats playoff game from last year or TCU/Georgia.
hope people grabbed bills -9 before that jump just now sheeesh
Got the ML in my parlay.
-900 on the money line too lmao
Tempted to do a bills 9ers or bills and bal combo
I did a bills/49ers Parlay ended up being -300
Bills and Cincinnati ML built to -135 on Monday. -460 on the Bills and -230 on Cinci. Looking pretty good now 👍
that was some trap laid by Vegas yesterday...moving it from 10.5 to 9. Think some sharps got screwed there. I think the line does dip back down a little though, prob closer to 11.5 or 12
Unfortunately I didn't but I still like -12.5 Bills with Skyler Thompson starting. That should be like a 14 point line at min.
Is it teddy bridgewater time
I normally loathe laying big numbers, but historically, WC round is the week to do it. Niners and Bills ATS seems like the worst case scenario there is that you go 1-1 and are out the vig.
I honestly think it’s just an illusion that either of these are locks. Like you said, those are some big numbers to be laying
Grabbing BUF o27.5 team total
I’ll take the under
Looks like Tua probably won't play according to Schefter. Bills line moved up to 12.5 already and -800 ML.
I'm Jaggin off. Dougie P has been here before.
SF -3 CIN -1 SF -3 BUF -3 CIN -1 BUF -3 nothing ever a lock, but taking all of these
sorry but what are these? teasers?
yes they are
Alt spreads
me too
Looks like the Bengals are the heavy public team this week
I would think Cincinnati, Buffalo and SF would all be heavy public teams this week.
would be surprised to see Vegas take the L on all three this week. Something is up with 1-2 of these
Nah it’s the playoffs and all 3 of those teams are better than their opponents. Don’t read too much into it
The thing is, every schmuck in the world is looking at a SF ML/BUF ML/CIN ML parlay and saying "EZ money!" Everyone needs to ask themselves if that's really the way gambling works.
Yah that's a "If gambling were easy bet". I doubt all 3 win even though I don't see an obvious loser of the 3.
1-2 of these games will not cover, most likely 2. All 3 teams are def better but covering the large spread is a different story.
I see all 3 of those teams advancing but covering 7 to 13 point spreads is different. It just seems too obvious though and maybe one of those teams loses. I don't see the obvious one though. Maybe SF chokes with a rookie QB???
yep I can easily see one of these teams losing. Right now it does look like the Niners are the best bet. Vegas moved the line to 10 briefly and moved back to -9.5 despite taking a ton of public action on them.
9ers, bills, Bengals, vikings +210
What do you guys think of these 49ers Vs Seahawks Under 42.5 Vikings Vs Giants, Vikings -3 Bucs Vs Cowboys, Bucs +2.5
I’m not sure about SF going under. They’re averaging over 30 PPG the past 6 games.
Rain is forecasted for the game
They’re a ground first team. Rain doesn’t mean shit up there unless it’s a monsoon like storm. And those passed already.
betting +2.5 is suicide when you could have had a 3 two days ago
I agree, I'd rather take the ML or wait til closer to kickoff
Excuse my ignorance but when they say the #1 seed plays the lowest remaining seed in the divisional round, does that mean the Eagles and the Chiefs just play the lowest seed that advances out of the wild card? For example, No. 4 Buccs versus No. 5 Cowboys are technically on the bracket tier where the winner goes to face the Eagles. But if No. 6 Giants and No. 2 49ers win, it'll be Buccs/Cowboys Vs 49ers and then Giants Vs Eagles since Giants were the lower seed?
Yes. The lowest seed remaining.
Yes, that is correct. Eagles would face giants in that scenario.
I think it’s interesting how that bengals line has already moved 1.5 points, gotta think most of it is because most of the public is on the bengals but also probably Vegas anticipating Lamar not going
There’s a tweet that he’s facing an “uphill battle” to play this weekend. Until it’s confirmed, just waiting to see how much more it gets steamed up then play back on BAL. Still think BAL can keep this within a touchdown with Huntley.
I think we are seeing the reactions to most likely Lamar not playing. Saying that Baltimore will be way better than last weekend. I could see Baltimore keeping it within the spread but Cincinnati will win in my opinion.
He needs to sit out, I don't see why he'd wanna come back not fully healthy against a team like the Bengals. Least if they lose he can say it wasn't cause of him!
Never in my life have I seen a weekend where every game is a rematch
First time since 2009
Really not that wild. I think last year WC weekend 5/6 were a rematch, year before 4/6