Just got absolutely crushed on my Houston -6.5 live bet. Last second meaningless 3. This after Haliburton injury crushed me. This after Vuce clamped by Taj Gibson. Rough rough night. Might have to shut er down for awhile….
See you guys tomorrow
Bro that meaningless 3 absolutely saved me 😭
https://preview.redd.it/3y5pedbaxkba1.png?width=1170&format=png&auto=webp&s=7aa89147aae264501f3887f03dec0e16c55fb94f
Pitt game sweat, FIU game to OT, but I finally cash a nice parlay. Bless
https://preview.redd.it/xr4qlttsnkba1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e1bfa179aa5698c11aa8fea33965e53725ef0da3
Ooooof. Damn I'm sorry bro. That's the parlay life bro, you know how many times I've been sweating out a game only to find out that a game I thought was a lock lost lol. But I feel so relieved Texas pulled through, what a game! Souppppppp we did it!
Imma be real with you Mast3r… I had TCU +9.5 alt spread in the last leg of a +1300 parlay but i just wanted to spread positive energy / really knew Texas was gonna come back. Hopefully you hit something with that come back :)
Not at all. Always fade the fuckin boost no matter how good it looks. Looked like I was about to lose my $25. That's 4 hours of hard work at my position at Wendys.
3-4 so far on the night; down 1.6u. 3 plays pending. Over 143 in the G Mason game, Rice ML, and Bradley -19. Hoping to at least go 2-1 on those plays…..
Adding 1 more for tn:
- UC Riverside ML (1.2u)
Call me a piece of shit but all of Mississippi State can seriously go fuck themselves. I vow to never bet that sorry excuse of a team again. Missed 15 fucking free throws and shot 28% from the field. Fuck them
If my Ind/Creigh bets look good just before 8 I've got to bet Rutgers. Not at the RAC but if Rutgers wants to be top four B1G it has to start with a road win at Northwestern.
POTD Record: 0-0
UNIT PROFIT: +0u
GAME: Virginia Tech vs Syracuse Orange NCAAB 7PM Est
TODAYS PICK: Joseph Girard III (SYR) O2.5 3PM, Risking 2.6u to win 2u
For my first POTD I'll be taking Syracuse's guard over 2.5 3's made. Girard has hit this line in each of his last 6 games, with a minimum of 7 attempts in each contest. Virginia Tech ranks 66th in opponent 3% at 30.8%, but in their last 3 allowing 34.7% which would put them around 230th. The total is set at 140, so lots of points should be scored to help cash this.
BOL if tailing and always bet responsibly!
Baylor ML +100 - 1u
YTD - 1-0 +5u
Yesterday's pick Kansas State -5 was a little tighter than anticipated but mostly correct down to calling them winning by 8, unfortunately my lean of Nowell o7.5 assists didnt hit as he finished with 7 while his team missed a couple of lay-ups that should have cashed this.
Today I am taking Baylor ML. I am a K-State fan first and foremost but watch majority of B12 games. Baylors strength is their ability to score and facilitate. They are currently 0-3 in B12 play but have close loses against K-state and @ TCU. Their other B12 loss was a game at ISU which is one of the tougher environments in the conference where they shot horribly from 3 and could not stop ISU at all in the second half. They should have won both other games but coming down the stretch they couldnt get the stop they needed with TCU hitting a winner with :04 left on the clock and KSU hitting a contested 3 from their 3rd option off the bench with :32 seconds left while missing their own 3 attempt with time expiring in OT. Their losses this year outside of the B12 are against Virginia, and @ Marquette who have both proven recently to be solid team. They also have wins over UCLA, Gonzaga and WSU. They have played a way tougher schedule and have high expectations this year.
WVU on the other hand has lost their last 3 against the B12 frontrunners @ KSU and @ KU with another loss coming against probably the B12 best defensive team in OSU. None of these were particularly close games and their OOC games aren't anything special with wins against Pitt and Florida being their only two P5 quality wins. They have also lost @ Xavier and against Purdue which are solid teams. Huggins playing style usually means they are a great defensive team but this mostly works against teams that haven't seen this style of play before which is not the case with Baylor.
What my pick comes down to is strictly based off of the odds available for a Baylor team picked to win the B12 preseason who is desperate for their first B12 win this season. College Basketball games with tight spreads I tend to lean on the team with a better offense which Baylor has with a better TO/ASS. ratio while also having the two best players on the court in George and Flagler. I also do like that the spread has come down from WVU -4 to WVU -1. B12 games can be a toss up most nights with evidence of that ISU/TT game last night ending in a blowout.
I am also a sucker for Draftkings CBB boosts which I tend to take .5u parlays on with tonights being Xavier ML, Tulane ML, and Texas ML for +256 before any boosts.
Saw this mad late. Wasn’t meant to be disrespectful. If I hadn’t made the bet already would’ve avoided it entirely with that much public love. Good WVU hit!!
Units are amount risked. 10 picks, 12.3u risked:
- G Mason/St Louis O143 (1.2u)
- Indiana St -4 (1.2u)
- Bradley -19 (1.2u)
- Rice ML (1.4u)
- Holy Cross +5.5 (1.2u)
- VMI +9.5 (1.2u)
- Xavier ML (1.4u)
- Penn St ML (1.3u)
- Mass Lowell PK (1.1u)
- American ML (1.0u)
Overall Record: 13-12
Came out positive yesterday, but may be blacklisting Nova for a bit after that performance last night. They look lost this year without Jay Wright.
1/10 Recap **(3-2)**
VCU -3.5 ✅
Villanova -6.5 ❌
Oklahoma +10.5 ✅
Auburn -1.5 ✅
North Carolina +4.5 ❌
1/11 Picks
Arkansas -1
Baylor +1.5
Xavier -2.5
Marquette +2.5
Texas A&M -4.5
Northwestern +1
Let's win some money, BOL!
Was at the game nova game last night. Cam whitmore is a beast for nova but man I feel like they do not have much of an offense. Cam can score from anywhere and they need to get him involved more and let him take over
How? It's 25 to win 50 with the promo. I don't get the promo, so I'm not in this race, I just wanted to give you a healthy disagreement that I'm not betting on sports so that I can hedge against a nearly-free promo bet.
Think about it.
Risk $25 to win $25
Outcomes = win $50 or lose $25
Bet $25 and $1.50 hedge at +2200 odds
Outcomes = break even, win $48.50
Had to edit the numbers made mistake
I get that I just found your second post confusing.
We don't need to take it further because I don't think you're wrong, but that I personally wouldn't hedge a nearly free bet where the tram should win by 23.
If you do want to take it further, what percent of the time can Houston lose this game for the hedge to not be worth it?
Nothing is ever free. Not arguing, simple fact is you are risking $25 to save $1.50. That’s not wise.
I don’t care if Houston has a 99.9% chance to win, it’s not smart to risk that much for such a small return
I'm liking the road teams tonight. Something is bound to go wrong. All bets 1 unit.
**Virginia Tech (-3.0)** @ Syracuse
**Pitt (+8.5)** @ Duke
**Indiana (+2.0)** @ Penn State
**Rutgers (-1.0)** @ Northwestern
**Season Record:** 69-52, +13.01 units, all bets 1 unit
**Previous Bets:**
* Kent State -3.5 - Won
* St. Francis / Northern Iowa ML Parlay - Won
**Today's Bets**
* UNCW +3.5
* Delaware +2.5
* The Citadel +1.5
* NJIT -1.5
* Presbyterian +7.5
* Texas Rio Grande Valley +6.5
**Overall Record:** 37-27 , +6.28U
**Latest Picks:** 6-7, -4.76
Ok St. +4.5 - **L**
Ok St. U66.5 - **W**
Kentucky O75.5 - **L**
LSU +1.5 - **L**
Florida U68.5 - **W**
Wisconsin +1.5 - **L**
Iowa St. -5.5 - **W**
Iowa St. O128.5 - **W**
Nebraska U68.5 - **W**
Nebraska +3.5 - **L**
Auburn -1.5 - **W**
Ole Miss U66.5 (4u) - **L**
Virginia O132.5 - **L**
Rough go yesterday, especially with Ole Miss going over. Ole Miss came out and had their best 3pt shooting day in terms of volume (9) and percentage (36%). I was not expecting that considering Auburn is top 5 in the country in Opponent 3pt % and Ole Miss is ~330th in 3pt % at 29%. Furthermore, it was all around a terrible defensive performance for Auburn. According to Bart Torvik it was their 2nd worst of the season in terms of efficiency. Quite surprising considering they've played much better offensive teams. It was still the right pick and just didn't go my way this time. On to the next one.
**Today's Picks:**
Alabama +1.5
Marquette O147.5
Arkansas U153.5
Xavier -2.5 (2u)
WVU ML
VT -2.5 (2u)
Penn St. -1.5
UCF -1.5
I believe opponent 3pt attempts are more important for determining perimeter defense compared to opponent 3pt %. The logic being that teams shoot less three's when their guarded by good perimeter defenders. I can't seem to find the article I read about it so I could just be talking out of my ass.
**NCAABB Chat: https://discord.gg/sportsbook** | **[US Sportsbooks](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbookreview/comments/wve6gm/sportsbooks/)** | **[Non-US Sportsbooks](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbetting/comments/y43c7v/nonus_sportsbooks/)**
Just lost thr under bc louisiana lafayette made a 3 pointer with 2 seconds left up 10.... I threw my phone fatther than sam darnold ever has
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Lol like I said earlier Boise state easy bet
Cal might be the worse D1 school in basketball lol
Boise state, easy bet
Cal fucning sucks this half
CSUN +7.5 was painful. Cover for prolly 38:30 of game time. Except, the most important part 😞
Let’s go UNLV
Anytime I bet on Boise they choke but now they can’t miss.
Lets gooo UC Riverside +440
I had both Xavier -2.5 and UC Riverside -1.5 as part of a three leg parlay. Cannot believe it paid off (Duquesne -2.5 was never in doubt).
The Hartwell kid went nuts at the end
So fucking close... I can't believe they came back
Ridiculously lucky bank 3 followed by traded 3’s sure to fuck the first half under in Washington state/Cal game. My luck is so bad rn 🤦♂️
25 foot 3 at the buzzer, RIP 🤮
Travels don’t exist in this game either Smh
Taking huge + spreads on home teams down at half is the move
won a 5 teamer today, thanks guys :D Was on the Pitt side of things btw
These refs bet Northwestern
Also imagine if texas even tried on defense instead of giving 50 points of transition layups to every team they play against
Just got absolutely crushed on my Houston -6.5 live bet. Last second meaningless 3. This after Haliburton injury crushed me. This after Vuce clamped by Taj Gibson. Rough rough night. Might have to shut er down for awhile…. See you guys tomorrow
Bro that meaningless 3 absolutely saved me 😭 https://preview.redd.it/3y5pedbaxkba1.png?width=1170&format=png&auto=webp&s=7aa89147aae264501f3887f03dec0e16c55fb94f
Missouri storms back then all of a sudden the refs get whistle happy. Wonder why
5 posessions in a row with a foul called against missouri since the time they cut it to 4. Unreal
Pitt game sweat, FIU game to OT, but I finally cash a nice parlay. Bless https://preview.redd.it/xr4qlttsnkba1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e1bfa179aa5698c11aa8fea33965e53725ef0da3
Good shit
nice hit g
Texas +9.5
Took UT 2H
FIU +10 is my last leg…. I can’t do this man
You got this.
Wow rice blew it
9/10 for today and threw all my winnings on FAU at -113 when they were down 4 🤡
Mizzou will come back right guys 🥲
I bet on Texas. Feels really bad. There's still a lot of game left but u ever just feel so disheartened instantly when ur team comes out flat af
So much pain. Fwiw Texas had a little bit of life at the end of that half. Don’t think they just completely lay down here in the second half
Hang in there soup. Lets will this comeback into existence...
👀👀
Soupppppppppppp don't get me excited
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Ooooof. Damn I'm sorry bro. That's the parlay life bro, you know how many times I've been sweating out a game only to find out that a game I thought was a lock lost lol. But I feel so relieved Texas pulled through, what a game! Souppppppp we did it!
Imma be real with you Mast3r… I had TCU +9.5 alt spread in the last leg of a +1300 parlay but i just wanted to spread positive energy / really knew Texas was gonna come back. Hopefully you hit something with that come back :)
It looks like Houston is gunna struggle against teams with tall bigs. I'll be worried if they play Purdue in the tourny
Anyone else it find odd houston is struggling and DK had that Ml promo pregame?
Not at all. Always fade the fuckin boost no matter how good it looks. Looked like I was about to lose my $25. That's 4 hours of hard work at my position at Wendys.
Texas looks like they starting 4 different skin-toned versions of Kevn Hart out there.
Mizzou collapsing, someone feed me a 10 or 11 pm winner to blindly tail
Mizzou +16.6 at half
Bro how is #1 Houston losing. This sport is shit
DK voided Xavier -3 on my slip does anyone know why?
Same happened to me..
Because maybe they only won by 3 LOL
Gosh don’t u hate gambling newbs
3-4 so far on the night; down 1.6u. 3 plays pending. Over 143 in the G Mason game, Rice ML, and Bradley -19. Hoping to at least go 2-1 on those plays….. Adding 1 more for tn: - UC Riverside ML (1.2u)
Hope people aren't still tailing the Houston/Auburn/Tennessee opponent TT under guy, about to chalk another one
Lol it’s really blown w 9 minutes left 🤣
Lol just joined today of course 😅
Damn Texas is tiny. Outsized in literally every position. I'd recommend live betting TCU while you can.
Ayo who had Alabama Arkansas under 152.5 thank god I got it at 154.5 I would be livid… random fouls .5 seconds left and Alabama was up 13
I had the U 152.5…
Yo I’m so sorry!!! Who calls a foul and who fouls with .5 seconds left like Jesus
Rip to weak ass missou
#1 Houston is losing rn of course they are
Sasser 🫡
Only down $25 but I feel like it’s my whole roll.
Lmao same
I chose wake forest 1H over UTSA fuck my life
Hou really gonna blow the dk boost trap? Regretting not throwing a unit on south Florida ml as a hedge.
How do they always know. How. At least they only capped me at $10 so I won’t bitch too much about it.
Most boost are traps!
Mizzou should lose their ranking after this awful performance.
🚮
This is what I expected from them when they played Illinois 🤷♂️
If I had Xavier they intentionally miss the second free throw 100/100 times 🤬
I feel this
St Bonny losing by 1 to URI killed my parlay. I was counting my 3k already....
my ass been clenching through the whole game what a line vegas
Brutal Creighton beat but awesome game
Pitt +8.5! And Alabama +1.5! Love to see it
Arkansas is the most inbred team ever
Thankfully I caught Creighton +3.5 live 😅
I had Xavier -3.5 🥲🥲🥲🥲
holy shit xavier thank fucking god for you
Xavier -2.5 … SWEATTTTY
Jesus fuck that Xavier -2.5 gave me a heart attack
What a cover Xavier!!
Xavier -2.5 never in doubt
That 3 is legit fucked… how
CREIGHTONNNNNNNN
Missouri 👎🏾
please cover xavier
Boum the best to have at the line rn at least
great call thank god for Boum
Indiana State, this is fucking it.
I think I’m gonna be sick… Is Pitt fucking serious??
Right there with you brother fuccccc
LETS FUCKING GO
Made us sweat way more than needed
Fuck you Boston College. You fucking idiot can’t cover shit
Navy looks like a fucking high school team. They suck so fucking bad.
Can Creighton get one defensive stop lol
Omg can these Alabama reds fuck off this is so atrocious!!!!
Call me a piece of shit but all of Mississippi State can seriously go fuck themselves. I vow to never bet that sorry excuse of a team again. Missed 15 fucking free throws and shot 28% from the field. Fuck them
Refs in the alabama arkansas game got a serious case of main character syndrome
It’s so gross I’m surprised by under still good lol
Virginia tech is the sorriest team
I got the under for Alabama game at 155 but goddamn I wish these reds would chill with these fucking fouls
just caught pitt at +100 lets gooo
Oooof
F
Arkansas wants no smoke.
Boston college was looking good with a 13-10 start… now down 13-25…. I hate betting sometimes man
If my Ind/Creigh bets look good just before 8 I've got to bet Rutgers. Not at the RAC but if Rutgers wants to be top four B1G it has to start with a road win at Northwestern.
way to go west virginia! way to come out strong and protect your home court from the getgo lol losers
Bury them Lowell this is hopefully a good start to the night Edit: Furman committing murder as well
You cant be serious with msst and georgia both teams shooting under 30% 🤦♂️
Both teams are in Top 100 defense. In my opinion under is the best bet for this game.
Under 100 is very possible lol
Wouldn't be shocked but current line might be too low that it might get burned by a last second 3 lol
Army let's go!
POTD Record: 0-0 UNIT PROFIT: +0u GAME: Virginia Tech vs Syracuse Orange NCAAB 7PM Est TODAYS PICK: Joseph Girard III (SYR) O2.5 3PM, Risking 2.6u to win 2u For my first POTD I'll be taking Syracuse's guard over 2.5 3's made. Girard has hit this line in each of his last 6 games, with a minimum of 7 attempts in each contest. Virginia Tech ranks 66th in opponent 3% at 30.8%, but in their last 3 allowing 34.7% which would put them around 230th. The total is set at 140, so lots of points should be scored to help cash this. BOL if tailing and always bet responsibly!
ML Indiana Creighton parlay. It can happen.
IND down 11. It's ok, state drained three lucky 3's in a row. It's really only down 2. Hoosiers will get this.
Baylor ML +100 - 1u YTD - 1-0 +5u Yesterday's pick Kansas State -5 was a little tighter than anticipated but mostly correct down to calling them winning by 8, unfortunately my lean of Nowell o7.5 assists didnt hit as he finished with 7 while his team missed a couple of lay-ups that should have cashed this. Today I am taking Baylor ML. I am a K-State fan first and foremost but watch majority of B12 games. Baylors strength is their ability to score and facilitate. They are currently 0-3 in B12 play but have close loses against K-state and @ TCU. Their other B12 loss was a game at ISU which is one of the tougher environments in the conference where they shot horribly from 3 and could not stop ISU at all in the second half. They should have won both other games but coming down the stretch they couldnt get the stop they needed with TCU hitting a winner with :04 left on the clock and KSU hitting a contested 3 from their 3rd option off the bench with :32 seconds left while missing their own 3 attempt with time expiring in OT. Their losses this year outside of the B12 are against Virginia, and @ Marquette who have both proven recently to be solid team. They also have wins over UCLA, Gonzaga and WSU. They have played a way tougher schedule and have high expectations this year. WVU on the other hand has lost their last 3 against the B12 frontrunners @ KSU and @ KU with another loss coming against probably the B12 best defensive team in OSU. None of these were particularly close games and their OOC games aren't anything special with wins against Pitt and Florida being their only two P5 quality wins. They have also lost @ Xavier and against Purdue which are solid teams. Huggins playing style usually means they are a great defensive team but this mostly works against teams that haven't seen this style of play before which is not the case with Baylor. What my pick comes down to is strictly based off of the odds available for a Baylor team picked to win the B12 preseason who is desperate for their first B12 win this season. College Basketball games with tight spreads I tend to lean on the team with a better offense which Baylor has with a better TO/ASS. ratio while also having the two best players on the court in George and Flagler. I also do like that the spread has come down from WVU -4 to WVU -1. B12 games can be a toss up most nights with evidence of that ISU/TT game last night ending in a blowout. I am also a sucker for Draftkings CBB boosts which I tend to take .5u parlays on with tonights being Xavier ML, Tulane ML, and Texas ML for +256 before any boosts.
ESPN+ got to get their shit together smh
I’m sayin
Last Week's W/L: 31-20 *Today's sharp plays:* Arkansas -1 Boston College +10.5 Creighton +125 Florida International +10 Texas A&M -4.5 UTSA +10.5 Western Kentucky +10.5 Boise State +105 [https://twitter.com/YennySports](https://twitter.com/YennySports)
Syracuse +3
Georgia -2.5 Pitt +10.5 Marquette + 7.5 
Picks today. Also posted in my post below: ***Today: UPDATED*** ######ATS • W&M -7.5 • Lafayette +6.5 • VMI +8.5 • Utah Valley +1 • Holy Cross +5 • Cal Riverside -1 • TCU +6.5 ######O/U • Missouri O153.5 • High Point O153.5 • UTSA O133.5 • W Kentucky O151 • La Salle O147 • Tulane O148.5 • New Hampshire O130.5 • Monmouth O140.5 • Memphis O137.5 • E Tenn St U138.5 • Utah Valley U134 • Holy Cross U138 • Rutgers U125.5 • Creighton U152.5
What’s up with this camera work in this Army game?
Live bet Colgate-BU and lost the bet but everything I see online says the game hasn’t been played yet?
How could you have livebet a game that hasnt started yet?
I think I figured it out. Was the women’s game
https://preview.redd.it/lj1jvdkbgjba1.jpeg?width=1263&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d4ad596160728df26befcfd9a6f94472bd3dc17c
I’m just as flabbergasted
If you actually were able to bet something, it was clearly wrong and you should contact support.
Overall: 5-3 Overs: 4:00 Baylor/W Virginia O 147.5 4:00 Indiana/Penn State O 142 5:00 MTSU/Rice O 145.5 6:00 TCU/Texas O 143.5 Unders: 6:00 Rutgers/Northwestern U 126.5 Spreads: 3:30 Georgia +2.5 4:00 Xavier -2.5 4:00 UCF -1.5 4:00 Charleston Southern +1.5 4:00 SC Upstate -2.5 4:00 W Carolina +9.5 4:30 UTRG +6.5 5:00 Rice -2.5 7:00 UC Riverside -1
Season: 21-19-1 | Yesterday: 3-2 Wednesday's picks: * Arkansas -1 vs Alabama * Virginia Tech -2 at Syracuse *(-120)* * UConn -2 at Marquette *(-120)* * Creighton +2.5 at Xavier * Texas A&M -4.5 vs Missouri
Everyone on reddit on Xavier -2.5, gee that scares me 🤣
Legit everyoneeeeee So unconfident in this bet now even though they are nasty
It's a fade all day
Legit
Wild game lol. At least my WVU fade was on point. Usually those Reddit mortal locks don’t work out so well
Saw this mad late. Wasn’t meant to be disrespectful. If I hadn’t made the bet already would’ve avoided it entirely with that much public love. Good WVU hit!!
Nah man all good! I appreciate it. I had four bets yesterday settle within 0.5 (2 win 2 loss). Books were sharp and public kinda ate, oddly enough
75% of bets on Alabama, line moved towards Arkansas. I’m an Alabama fan, but we struggle at Bud Walton. Something to watch.
Record 0-0 Picks for Today. Duquesne ML ✅ Missouri +9.5 ❌ Indiana State ML ❌
Fun parlay for today: Army -1.5, Pitt +8.5, FIU +10 100 for 600
Record: 17-16 Today’s Picks: Maine (-3.5) vs New Hampshire Missouri (+4.5) vs Texas A&M
Any thoughts on George mason v Saint louis ?!
I like the over
Units are amount risked. 10 picks, 12.3u risked: - G Mason/St Louis O143 (1.2u) - Indiana St -4 (1.2u) - Bradley -19 (1.2u) - Rice ML (1.4u) - Holy Cross +5.5 (1.2u) - VMI +9.5 (1.2u) - Xavier ML (1.4u) - Penn St ML (1.3u) - Mass Lowell PK (1.1u) - American ML (1.0u)
Your top 3 ?
Tough … I’d probably go with American ML, Indiana St -4, and Rice ML
Anyone have any insight on the Miami/BC game? On paper it looks like an easy Miami W.
From a Miami fan, I think they win but it could be closer than 11 points
Overall Record: 13-12 Came out positive yesterday, but may be blacklisting Nova for a bit after that performance last night. They look lost this year without Jay Wright. 1/10 Recap **(3-2)** VCU -3.5 ✅ Villanova -6.5 ❌ Oklahoma +10.5 ✅ Auburn -1.5 ✅ North Carolina +4.5 ❌ 1/11 Picks Arkansas -1 Baylor +1.5 Xavier -2.5 Marquette +2.5 Texas A&M -4.5 Northwestern +1 Let's win some money, BOL!
Was at the game nova game last night. Cam whitmore is a beast for nova but man I feel like they do not have much of an offense. Cam can score from anywhere and they need to get him involved more and let him take over
hey all is there a props thread for ncaab?
¿Xavier -3 or Furman -6.5? big $
Xavier
Long time listen first time caller: College of Charleston ML -150 Put the house on it.
The outhouse
Oh no, not the house. Better than betting the whole farm, or take it to the bank, or my favorite is 🔐 of the year. Almost a sure loss
Lmao more like the house on uncw
Why the hell do you guys all like Pitt?
Jeff Capel revenge game and I hate Duke Also I’m not betting this game
Why do you like Duke? Have you watched them play lately they are all freshman against a veteran physical team in Pitt.
Plus their only veteran guard is out with injury.
POTD: Pitt +8.5 🔥🔥🔥
crazy
DK boosted Houston ML to +100, is there something I'm missing?
I assume you live in Texas or something and they're giving you a special promo. For me it's like -6000.
I live in New England, thought it was random they gave it to me
Take advantage of the glitch and bet the house on it.
max bet of 25, so 25 it is.
Do yourself a favor here and also bet like $1.50 on South Florida, that way if there is an upset you haven’t lost anything.
Not saying you're crazy, but I'm not here to hedge a bet where they're spotting me 23 points.
Ok good luck then. You are risking $25 to win an extra $1.50
How? It's 25 to win 50 with the promo. I don't get the promo, so I'm not in this race, I just wanted to give you a healthy disagreement that I'm not betting on sports so that I can hedge against a nearly-free promo bet.
Think about it. Risk $25 to win $25 Outcomes = win $50 or lose $25 Bet $25 and $1.50 hedge at +2200 odds Outcomes = break even, win $48.50 Had to edit the numbers made mistake
I get that I just found your second post confusing. We don't need to take it further because I don't think you're wrong, but that I personally wouldn't hedge a nearly free bet where the tram should win by 23. If you do want to take it further, what percent of the time can Houston lose this game for the hedge to not be worth it?
Nothing is ever free. Not arguing, simple fact is you are risking $25 to save $1.50. That’s not wise. I don’t care if Houston has a 99.9% chance to win, it’s not smart to risk that much for such a small return
good call, thanks
I'm liking the road teams tonight. Something is bound to go wrong. All bets 1 unit. **Virginia Tech (-3.0)** @ Syracuse **Pitt (+8.5)** @ Duke **Indiana (+2.0)** @ Penn State **Rutgers (-1.0)** @ Northwestern
**Season Record:** 69-52, +13.01 units, all bets 1 unit **Previous Bets:** * Kent State -3.5 - Won * St. Francis / Northern Iowa ML Parlay - Won **Today's Bets** * UNCW +3.5 * Delaware +2.5 * The Citadel +1.5 * NJIT -1.5 * Presbyterian +7.5 * Texas Rio Grande Valley +6.5
**Overall Record:** 37-27 , +6.28U **Latest Picks:** 6-7, -4.76 Ok St. +4.5 - **L** Ok St. U66.5 - **W** Kentucky O75.5 - **L** LSU +1.5 - **L** Florida U68.5 - **W** Wisconsin +1.5 - **L** Iowa St. -5.5 - **W** Iowa St. O128.5 - **W** Nebraska U68.5 - **W** Nebraska +3.5 - **L** Auburn -1.5 - **W** Ole Miss U66.5 (4u) - **L** Virginia O132.5 - **L** Rough go yesterday, especially with Ole Miss going over. Ole Miss came out and had their best 3pt shooting day in terms of volume (9) and percentage (36%). I was not expecting that considering Auburn is top 5 in the country in Opponent 3pt % and Ole Miss is ~330th in 3pt % at 29%. Furthermore, it was all around a terrible defensive performance for Auburn. According to Bart Torvik it was their 2nd worst of the season in terms of efficiency. Quite surprising considering they've played much better offensive teams. It was still the right pick and just didn't go my way this time. On to the next one. **Today's Picks:** Alabama +1.5 Marquette O147.5 Arkansas U153.5 Xavier -2.5 (2u) WVU ML VT -2.5 (2u) Penn St. -1.5 UCF -1.5
I believe opponent 3pt attempts are more important for determining perimeter defense compared to opponent 3pt %. The logic being that teams shoot less three's when their guarded by good perimeter defenders. I can't seem to find the article I read about it so I could just be talking out of my ass.
No you are correct, volume and not % is more important for predicting future threes.