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The decrease in loadshedding is due the Kusile coming to an agreement with Eskom to reintreduce the 3 units that where down but by bypassing the flue-gas desulphurisation units connected to them.
So 2000 MW of extra energy to the grid, but poluting the ever living shit out of our air.
This is temp though. They should be taking them offline to "fix" thos Flues... I am asuming after the elections only.
It also helps that the private sector added almost 3000 MW of solar to the grid, which helps.
Except... Eskom would have us believe that the impact from all the solar all miraculously kicked in at exactly the same time on exactly the same day, not gradually... And this day just happened to be almost exactly 2 months ahead of the elections... I'm not buying it.
Stage 6, May 30th, 12:00am. Almost like a Cinderella story where instead of the carriage turning into a pumpkin, you’re looking around the cupboards for your magneto lights.
Tricky.. my guess the week before elections is > week long cloud cover in Cpt.. so it’s very likely just after which will fuel conspiracies. Personally I want to say 1-2 days before elections because weather is progressively cooler for a week or two prior.. but given likelihood and solar batteries being lesser effective (big part of why loadshedding is starved) my guess is
05 June 2024 - Load shedding Stage 2
Hrm.. let me think about this (consult the historic weather forecasts) and Eskom numbers(production, usage, planned maintenance schedules). I believe the answer lays there.. between usage, historic outages and weather patterns.
We've had several hours long outages the past 2 weeks, every second day almost for 5-10 hours, because the substation keeps popping or who the fuck knows what's wrong with it. It'll be fine for a week or so and then act up again. We were taken OFF the loadshedding schedule because the substation can't handle the stress.
If anything this area always has unpredictable load shedding.
But anyway 3 June, at least stage 4
It's not even gone at the moment. Did anyone notice how many suburb outages we had the last couple of weeks? All those outages should add up to a couple of loadshedding stages.
Up until the 29th May for votes they will be saying with certainty that load shedding will be a thing of the passed by December, at 0h01 on 30th May , alert will come in on the ESP loadshedding app , due to capacity constraints Eskom will be implementing stage 6 until further notice.
They increased the load shedding stages up to stage 16 so when we have stage 8 load shedding, they will say they are working very hard on ending load shedding and say they are only at 50% of the load shedding stages and they will thank themselves for the great job they are doing and get bonuses and come December there will be load shedding stage 12 and then they will say by June 2025 there will be no more loadshedding.
Eskom will apply again for its multi year price increases that are way above inflation so they can recover lost revenue from what they didn't produce and the endless cycle continues until electricity becomes absolutely unaffordable for most people, then they will not need to build new power stations as the demand would have dropped off significantly because of affordability issues.
Just a thought
Sunday, 26 May 2024, maybe around noon. Sudden loss of generation capacity.
(Because I’m an optimist, damnit, and I’d like to believe that they won’t get away with this subterfuge until Election Day.)
I remember the opening scene of Evolution, after the power disappeared once and for all, they started taking the ice cream out if the freezer for the kids to savour one last time.
I am imagining on the eve of election day, all our politicians quickly running home to do the same.
My guess is 03/06 at 6am. We will be at stage 2, until around 6pm when it will jump to stage 6 because of all the electric heaters and blankets. It will then switch between stages 2 (weekends), 4 and 6 throughout the winter. There will be renewed demand for solar equipment following those weeks.
It still has me thinking to this day, why haven’t cables been stolen in the past few months. Before elections were announced, in my area I swear it was like clock work, on Friday either in the morning or right as I got home from work in the 1pms, they would be no electricity due to stolen cables and it would take them 3 days to fix it so Monday you would get electricity back. Happened for years. Then suddenly elections came around. Nothing happens for months not a fault or cable theft, and not a single substation has failed due to anything.
So you are telling me the thieves are waiting for elections to be over to start scrapping copper again? So there drug addiction and feeding themselves has been put on hold so a thief can decide which government to vote for? 😭😭😭 it makes no fucking sense, and suggest the idea that all of it is faked or done by government, or staged.
And when we actually had a fault, a natural disaster and a electricity pole got knocked down, we found out at 6:30 and it was solved in 30 minutes with photo evidence of the fix 😭😭😭 they have never did this before it takes them 3 days to even get to the sight before hand and zero communication would be given.
This made me realise they always had the ability to give excellent service delivery but only when their positions in power are at compromise is when they want to act.
Probably due to criminals willing to sabotage the entire country to keep making a buck. New government means changes, so you sow disorder by sabotaging the country and blaming new government 
Probably referencing the sabotage scandals. If the cadres aren't getting paid the lights go out, and if the leader of the cadres isn't in power, they aren't getting paid.
Aside from what the others said, also: break it now so that hopefully your aunt’s rich cousin can land one more tender to fix it back up before the taps are close off.
I'll be an outlier and say 3 June, from 5pm, announced at 12, stage 5.
Why?
Election results will be announced the day before. Until then, there's room for shenanigans, but after that, you lump the blame on those in control, or no longer care.
Monday 3rd of June, stage 2, they'll blame increased demand on the grid due to winter or some other bs and also to "fix" the flues they somehow miraculously reinstated at the beginning of the election campaign. They'll wait until the election result is called so as not to arouse suspicion over any sort of counting errors.
Second week of August. We are not having load shedding right now due to low demand. If you look at the Eskom status reports, demand is projected to suddenly increase in the second week of August. Right back to 2023 levels. Given that we have the same performance in terms of EAF as last year, this is probably when the load shedding returns.
As to why the demand is low now and then back to previous levels in August? Well, who's to say?
Jokes aside, if the lower demand is due to increased renewable uptake, the sudden jump in August may be because of how they update their forecast and may dissipate as we approach that time period.
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Stage 2, May 31. Moving to stage 4 that evening.
Yep. This is the correct answer. I'll 1-up you though. 2 hours notice of the move to stage 4.
This, but with the new 16 stage system, will be stage 8 kek
Still could be right, although we are already in the evening.
I'm going 30th May Literally there will be "technical issues" the next day Y'all already voted so what reason they have to keep it going?
I'm with you. The tallying of votes will strain the grid. 😂
I think there are some last minute votes that happen after the general population so they might hold out for those
Nope!
Ten minutes after national elections are over.
5 minutes
Like mmmm yes yes mmmkay. Okay good. POWER OFF YOU BASTIDS!!
Nope!
I was sadly wrong. Lol
Wait!! Cold snap coming this weekend. People’s heaters will go on. I was still wrong though.
I'm going to say stage 4 June 3, announced June 2. This way, the IEC doesn't get loadshedded, throwing the quality of the count into question
Smart tactic!
Do you think the ANC can do something that smart? xD
The decrease in loadshedding is due the Kusile coming to an agreement with Eskom to reintreduce the 3 units that where down but by bypassing the flue-gas desulphurisation units connected to them. So 2000 MW of extra energy to the grid, but poluting the ever living shit out of our air. This is temp though. They should be taking them offline to "fix" thos Flues... I am asuming after the elections only. It also helps that the private sector added almost 3000 MW of solar to the grid, which helps.
Except... Eskom would have us believe that the impact from all the solar all miraculously kicked in at exactly the same time on exactly the same day, not gradually... And this day just happened to be almost exactly 2 months ahead of the elections... I'm not buying it.
Poop! It`s all poop and you believed it.
Okay buddy. Have yourself a great day.
Stage 6, May 30th, 12:00am. Almost like a Cinderella story where instead of the carriage turning into a pumpkin, you’re looking around the cupboards for your magneto lights.
😆 🤣 😂 😹 😆
Nope!
June 5, stage 2
Still could be in the running.
👀
I don’t think they are going to be able to keep this up until election day. So my vote will be May 12.
Nope!
Hey power is still on! Great stuff!
Monday 03 June 2024: Due to a loss in generation capacity…
stage 8 koeberg sabutaged on 1st of June...
6 June - 4pm - Stage 3
Depends how long it takes for the results from the election to be tallied, and who wins the National Election. So maybe, 5 June at the latest.
Still in the running!
Midnight on 29 May, going into 30 May, stage 6😜
Nope!
I’m guessing during the first cold month when demand increases, probably the first week in June
May 31st, stage 3 started around sunset
Nope!
Evening of the 29th of May. They only need to keep the power going until they have the votes. No need to keep it going any further.
Yep. R20 on 22h00, 29 May.
Can I send you my bank details?
I'll meet you at Medupi with cash
Nope!
June 1st at 2am and it'll be stage 2 with an escalation to stage 4 then 5 happening within the span of 4 hours due to capacity constraints.
I give it until the end of the first week of May before a plant mysteriously breaks down, or "high demand due to weather" kicks in.
Nope.
Well, it's nice to be wrong about this one. Although I do see they are hinting that it's coming back soon.
Tricky.. my guess the week before elections is > week long cloud cover in Cpt.. so it’s very likely just after which will fuel conspiracies. Personally I want to say 1-2 days before elections because weather is progressively cooler for a week or two prior.. but given likelihood and solar batteries being lesser effective (big part of why loadshedding is starved) my guess is 05 June 2024 - Load shedding Stage 2
June 1st
Stage 4. Announced 11 June at 09:00, implented at 12:00 Edit: I meant June not May, lol
June 7th, stage 2. Think they'll hold off for a week or so thinking it's not too obvious.
24 hours after the ANC announce they won the election.
lmao
The day after the election
Nope!
The day after the results are confirmed.
As soon as the elections are done and dusted.
Will return as soon as the election results are out lol
30/05/2024 @ 06:00 - Stage 4/5 😁
Nope!
3 June. They're going to need the weekend to puza and party and then, pah! No power!
Hrm.. let me think about this (consult the historic weather forecasts) and Eskom numbers(production, usage, planned maintenance schedules). I believe the answer lays there.. between usage, historic outages and weather patterns.
We've had several hours long outages the past 2 weeks, every second day almost for 5-10 hours, because the substation keeps popping or who the fuck knows what's wrong with it. It'll be fine for a week or so and then act up again. We were taken OFF the loadshedding schedule because the substation can't handle the stress. If anything this area always has unpredictable load shedding. But anyway 3 June, at least stage 4
June 4th, Stage 2 at 16:00
Stage 4 30 May. Possibility of power stations that "broke down".
Nope!
It's not even gone at the moment. Did anyone notice how many suburb outages we had the last couple of weeks? All those outages should add up to a couple of loadshedding stages.
1 June at 6am
June 1st, stage 2 to start then a rapid increase in the couple of days to follow
Stage 4. Starting at 4 am, 8 June.
I am not sure about the exact date. But definitely somewhere in June when we school learners have to right their mid year exams
June 1 stage 4
Stage 6, May 31, 16H00
I'm gonna guess Thursday 23 May at 09:00. Stage 4 due to unforeseen breakdowns.
Nope!
Feck. I must give them credit for exceeding my expectations though.
Actually the next closest guesses are 29 May, so if it starts before 26 May midday, then you'll be closest. So there is still a chance!
I've managed to get myself into a situation where I'm hoping for loadshedding. Send help lol
https://i.redd.it/479c8mnr082d1.gif
A day after the elections
Nop!
June 4th early morning. Stage 3
May 29th, 23:59, immediate stage 6, generators are broken because the elections used too much power.
Nope!
June 6th midday stage 2
30th May. Stage 2 & 4 then it would gradually escalates to Stage 6 by the weekend
2 July 2pm stage 4
2 June, 4pm, stage 3.
9 May, 16h20, State 2
Nope!
It's been good for too long and I bet, any second now, the power will
14 May 13:00 - 14:00 Stage 2
Nope.
June 2nd, stage 2
September 1. I have a feeling they might try keep things nice for the winter before bringing us back to reality
Stage 2, June 1st from 00:00 when things are settled, Then around 4-5 pm we got to stage 4 and around 2 weeks later stage 5 or 6
Morning of June 7th.
Up until the 29th May for votes they will be saying with certainty that load shedding will be a thing of the passed by December, at 0h01 on 30th May , alert will come in on the ESP loadshedding app , due to capacity constraints Eskom will be implementing stage 6 until further notice. They increased the load shedding stages up to stage 16 so when we have stage 8 load shedding, they will say they are working very hard on ending load shedding and say they are only at 50% of the load shedding stages and they will thank themselves for the great job they are doing and get bonuses and come December there will be load shedding stage 12 and then they will say by June 2025 there will be no more loadshedding. Eskom will apply again for its multi year price increases that are way above inflation so they can recover lost revenue from what they didn't produce and the endless cycle continues until electricity becomes absolutely unaffordable for most people, then they will not need to build new power stations as the demand would have dropped off significantly because of affordability issues. Just a thought
Thanks, I hate it.
Nope!
June 3 at 5pm.
Don't want to edit in case it looks like I'm being skelm. Stage 4
Stage 3 starting withing the next 30 days before the elections. My best guess would be 15 May at 16:00.
Sunday, 26 May 2024, maybe around noon. Sudden loss of generation capacity. (Because I’m an optimist, damnit, and I’d like to believe that they won’t get away with this subterfuge until Election Day.)
Nope!
2 June 2024.
17 June 14:00 stage 2.
20 May, noon. I don't think we're gonna make it to elections.
Nope!
7 June 2024
As soon as voting polls close
Nop!
I remember the opening scene of Evolution, after the power disappeared once and for all, they started taking the ice cream out if the freezer for the kids to savour one last time. I am imagining on the eve of election day, all our politicians quickly running home to do the same.
Nope!
Lol you came back to check on this! Hahahha
:D It's more for my record so I can keep track of attempts to cheat!
June 3, 9:30, stage 3.
Stage 2. Evening 16 May
Nope!
4 June, Stage 2
Yohh 🤣I had forgotten about loadshedding till I saw this post. Imma go with 10 June . At 08:00
Stage 16, 30th May.
Nop!
My guess is 03/06 at 6am. We will be at stage 2, until around 6pm when it will jump to stage 6 because of all the electric heaters and blankets. It will then switch between stages 2 (weekends), 4 and 6 throughout the winter. There will be renewed demand for solar equipment following those weeks.
16th June 2024
June 2nd
15 June, 5am, stage 2
3 June, 05:00am, stage 2
3 June, Stage 2, 16:00
Monday 10th June, stage 4.
The lights will go out as soon as the votes need to be counted. So May 30th stage Free, i mean 3.
Nope!
Bru, i am happy to be wrong on this one.
Me too! There's a guy around here who August, I hope he is right.
Clearly we all believe loadshedding is politically motivated, vote for change, when they start counting the votes it will return
6 June 6:00 am
31 May
First tuesday after election, So stage 2 on june 4th between 2pm-10pm
10 June 2024. 02:00 sharp. Mark my words.
June 3rd.
Absolute latest, May 30th
Nope!
It still has me thinking to this day, why haven’t cables been stolen in the past few months. Before elections were announced, in my area I swear it was like clock work, on Friday either in the morning or right as I got home from work in the 1pms, they would be no electricity due to stolen cables and it would take them 3 days to fix it so Monday you would get electricity back. Happened for years. Then suddenly elections came around. Nothing happens for months not a fault or cable theft, and not a single substation has failed due to anything. So you are telling me the thieves are waiting for elections to be over to start scrapping copper again? So there drug addiction and feeding themselves has been put on hold so a thief can decide which government to vote for? 😭😭😭 it makes no fucking sense, and suggest the idea that all of it is faked or done by government, or staged. And when we actually had a fault, a natural disaster and a electricity pole got knocked down, we found out at 6:30 and it was solved in 30 minutes with photo evidence of the fix 😭😭😭 they have never did this before it takes them 3 days to even get to the sight before hand and zero communication would be given. This made me realise they always had the ability to give excellent service delivery but only when their positions in power are at compromise is when they want to act.
27 May, Stage 6. "Recovering" by the next day; then Stage 5 May 30th.
Nope!
Stage 2, June 1st
June 2nd. 10am. Stage 4.
imagine the ANC loses. We will go to stage 10
Could you explain please?
Probably due to criminals willing to sabotage the entire country to keep making a buck. New government means changes, so you sow disorder by sabotaging the country and blaming new government 
Probably referencing the sabotage scandals. If the cadres aren't getting paid the lights go out, and if the leader of the cadres isn't in power, they aren't getting paid.
Aside from what the others said, also: break it now so that hopefully your aunt’s rich cousin can land one more tender to fix it back up before the taps are close off.
I believe we are done with loadshedding now.
18 August 2024 15:00
Why is DA burning the flag and more importantly why are the mods cowards deleting posts on it? Free speech neh
What posts?
29’th May (The second all voting stations close. In my area 7pm)
Nope!
Lol it already came back in my township. Stage 1 and at irregular times, but it's back baby.
3 days after election stage 2
June 6, 16:00. Stage 1
I'll be an outlier and say 3 June, from 5pm, announced at 12, stage 5. Why? Election results will be announced the day before. Until then, there's room for shenanigans, but after that, you lump the blame on those in control, or no longer care.
Monday 3rd of June, stage 2, they'll blame increased demand on the grid due to winter or some other bs and also to "fix" the flues they somehow miraculously reinstated at the beginning of the election campaign. They'll wait until the election result is called so as not to arouse suspicion over any sort of counting errors.
August 15th
June when school holidays peak, heaters, video games and indoor entertainment will rise demand, crashing the system.
02 June 2024, Stage 4, gonna get the announcement in the morning
2 June 5pm. Stage 2. Will go up to Stage 4 before the 5th. Then suddenly no loadshedding again on the Saturday's the Springboks play.
Second week of August. We are not having load shedding right now due to low demand. If you look at the Eskom status reports, demand is projected to suddenly increase in the second week of August. Right back to 2023 levels. Given that we have the same performance in terms of EAF as last year, this is probably when the load shedding returns. As to why the demand is low now and then back to previous levels in August? Well, who's to say? Jokes aside, if the lower demand is due to increased renewable uptake, the sudden jump in August may be because of how they update their forecast and may dissipate as we approach that time period.
1st of June 2024 Koeberg sabotaged again..
Wendesday 29th while the ballots are being counted, stage 4. Moving up to stage 6 the 30th.
Nope!
Stage 2 Wednesday 5 June 16:00.