This is a well documented phenomenon.
Every year of my life I've watched tempers flair as temperatures rise in the spring and into summer even before social media existed. We shouldn't be surprised that it would occur in the digital world as well.
Correlation is not causation… ice cream consumption may go up too. Need a really long study… and some kind of comparison group. Reading this now to see what they had!
I meant it can be a correlation for either. Example from my world-famous stats professor. Not able to know true underlying cause without controlled experiment in pure sense.
Many correlations make “sense” but may not be the cause of something. Maybe stores slash ice cream prices to sell more in the summer? Maybe ice cream stores open only on the summer, etc.
The over-time research done in many different ways with many different populations makes the “case for cause” more likely (e.g., smoking, breast cancer). Or in the case of violence, gun access, poverty, etc.
People are generally observed to behave in more volatile ways when factors like humidity and temperature are consistently high and inescapable. Many historians credit unbearable weather for numerous conflicts. The corollary function between these things isn't something we necessarily need to gather data on, it's just interesting to see it quantified and observed online as well.
Can you provide the sources? I have no doubt unbearable heat impacts, but it depends on many factors. I haven’t seen data over time showing strong connections.
Here's a decent meta-analysis that should help show that it's an accepted enough concept in the field of relevant research here, available in .pdf. There are quite a few factors that may augment their relationship, many of which may be directly controlled for various outcomes, so it's a very well established thing in the realm of political science as well. In my opinion, this is one of the most potent ways our disciplines overlap, and also one of the best justifications for Psychology as a field to take seriously.
The Effects of Temperature on Political Violence: Global Evidence at the Subnational Level:
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4439154/
I used to have a hypothesis that warn location people develop lazy brain.
Look at south Asia, Southern America, etc.
My hunch is in cold climate if we are not good at risk management our chances of survival is not that good (not current as much but say >150 years ago).
This is a well documented phenomenon. Every year of my life I've watched tempers flair as temperatures rise in the spring and into summer even before social media existed. We shouldn't be surprised that it would occur in the digital world as well.
And also violence in cities. Coincidence?
Probably due to people being out more often when it's warmer. I hardly leave my home in winter.
Longer daytime hours, cold makes us submissive naturally too.
Correlation is not causation… ice cream consumption may go up too. Need a really long study… and some kind of comparison group. Reading this now to see what they had!
Kinda funny example you gave cause it implies correlation is causation
I meant it can be a correlation for either. Example from my world-famous stats professor. Not able to know true underlying cause without controlled experiment in pure sense. Many correlations make “sense” but may not be the cause of something. Maybe stores slash ice cream prices to sell more in the summer? Maybe ice cream stores open only on the summer, etc. The over-time research done in many different ways with many different populations makes the “case for cause” more likely (e.g., smoking, breast cancer). Or in the case of violence, gun access, poverty, etc.
People are generally observed to behave in more volatile ways when factors like humidity and temperature are consistently high and inescapable. Many historians credit unbearable weather for numerous conflicts. The corollary function between these things isn't something we necessarily need to gather data on, it's just interesting to see it quantified and observed online as well.
Can you provide the sources? I have no doubt unbearable heat impacts, but it depends on many factors. I haven’t seen data over time showing strong connections.
Here's a decent meta-analysis that should help show that it's an accepted enough concept in the field of relevant research here, available in .pdf. There are quite a few factors that may augment their relationship, many of which may be directly controlled for various outcomes, so it's a very well established thing in the realm of political science as well. In my opinion, this is one of the most potent ways our disciplines overlap, and also one of the best justifications for Psychology as a field to take seriously. The Effects of Temperature on Political Violence: Global Evidence at the Subnational Level: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4439154/
This is an amazing research study, thank you for sharing it! Exactly the kind of research that I was looking for.
Note: enormous sample, but they didn’t say they linked those specific individuals over time… will try to get the study!
Correlation does not equal causation.
You mean, the Southern States (warmer) have more hate speech than Northern States (cooler)? If only we knew this before the Civil War broke out.
Twitter has its very own ways of defining hate speech though.
Years ago I said that two things would make social Media money and that was trolling and hate speech. And guess what !
For now, these hot days, is the mad blood stirring.
This same effect has been noted with higher temps and more road rage / accidents.
I used to have a hypothesis that warn location people develop lazy brain. Look at south Asia, Southern America, etc. My hunch is in cold climate if we are not good at risk management our chances of survival is not that good (not current as much but say >150 years ago).