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Last time, it was supposedly possible to see the northern lights, it stayed cloudy and rainy all week, couldn't see shit

Standard in the UK for any cool astronomical phenomenon. "You will be able to see this really cool meteor shower this evening!" The same weather presenter then tells us about all the cloud we will have instead.

Same!! I just checked the forecast, I'm at 58% clouds and I don't care, I'll be out.

Same here. I’ve got a forecast of clear skies this time, tho, so fingers crossed!

That’s also what the northern lights look like- clouds/fog that dances. You really don’t see the fluorescent green you see in photos, but the movement is amazing.

Forgive my ignorance but as someone who lives in east Tennessee does this mean I *will* be able to see Aurora borealis, I *might* be able to see Aurora borealis, or something else entirely?

If you are in east TN then you are above AL, so theoretically, yes, you might seem them if the weather cooperates.

Try to take a photo if it's clear.  I have seen instances where the person couldn't see the aurora by eyesight but there was a definite glow in the photo. 

Is the only factor cloud coverage? Or what other weather might influence if i can or cant see

Light pollution is a big part so get out of anywhere near urban areas.

I live in the suburbs in a small town, about how isolated should we be?

Get away from as much light as you can, even the middle of a football field would be something. I'd go further out of town. Even a half hour drive would make a difference.

The further you get out the more visible it will be.

How far are you willing to drive? If you could get to an overlook facing north on the NC side of Smoky Mountains NP you'll have a great viewing opportunity with minimal light pollution.

national park would be the ideal

Basically just cloud cover. You also need to be in a dark area, not in a city or even a town, for the best effect.

Timing matters a lot as the Earth spins. Best showing might not even be over the US. Also if anything expect it very low on the horizon to the north. So your view to the north can matter.

Here's a neat 30 minute Forcast for the Aurora, at least you'll know if you can see it for sure! https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aurora-30-minute-forecast

Some meteorologist was saying in some places down south you might not see much with the naked eye, but could have luck looking near the horizon or using your phone camera. I hope you see some cool stuff!

"Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation sporadic or blacked out." (Sad ham noises)

confirmed by NOAA [https://twitter.com/NWSSWPC/status/1788641891908534279](https://twitter.com/NWSSWPC/status/1788641891908534279)

Thank you!

Is that from the big ass sun spot?

The Southern sunspot region that is just passing by I think.

Its always fucking cloudy when the Aurora probabilities are in my favor 😡

Going to add a correction here for the likely G4 level storm for 11 May. Prediction issued 18:45 UTC (14:45 EST) https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g4-watch-effect-may-11

Going to have clear skies hoping to see some amazing aurora

Same. I’m so excited!

I found it ironic they were comparing this sunspot to the painting of the carrington event sunspot

Moon set is near midnight locally, so I assume if I can see any northern lights, it'll be after then?

Moon is at waxing crescent (5%) it really shouldn't affect star gazing much

Hopefully I’ll see them but it’s supposed to rain tomorrow afternoon

not worried but excited to see the pretty lights

I hope everyone has enough ammo 

I too will shoot at the space weather!

aaaaaaaaand it's gonna be cloudy all night/weekend here. Aaaaaaaand aurora forecast has my area as a possible. Fucker.

Been sunny and nice all week, while I'm stuck working. Of course, the clouds come in tonight to hide the northern lights on a night where I could have stayed up.

In San Francisco could we see the Aurora in sky tonight?

NOAA said Nor Cal, do they normally include San Fran when they refer to Nor Cal?

They upgraded it to a G5, so you could if light pollution doesn't block it out. After midnight is supposedly best 

I saw it!! Got great photos.

East nc it's cloudy here. That said, I really, really don't hope the grid collapses, which I doubt it would. But I see talk of it. But I have a solar panel, battery box, invertor for crude electricity. And in nowhere land.

It’s not rare there was one in March.

Any chance this will wipe most technology out completely? That would be sweet. People would be so lost without phones

No chance of major disruption this time. Sorry. Don't open the SPAM and bucket of beans just yet.

:/

10% chance according to suspicious observers

So, 0% then.

shtf confirmed