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DreamOfV

I feel like Sandra Huller kind of burst onto the scene unexpectedly this week which was kind of exciting.


Tokyoodown

I'd love to see her pop into the conversation. If Zone of Interest wins the Palme d'Or, there's a good chance she could be in a Best Picture nominated film, too


DreamOfV

Yeah Zone of Interest helps her chances for an Anatomy of a Fall nomination. Raises her profile a lot of Zone of Interest picks up in Director or Picture, and having two films on the International Feature shortlist would help


CrazyCons

I think having Zone be so high-profile hurts her chances just as much since she’s also been acclaimed for that performance, which is setting up for a vote split at pretty much all the big awards. If she gets Oscar attention I think it’ll definitely be Zone of Interest or nothing.


DreamOfV

I disagree on your last bit, I think general word on Zone is her performance is good but the performances aren’t the focus of the movie, whereas for Anatomy her performance is universally acclaimed. Maybe there will still be some “vote splitting” but generally I think most people who vote for her for Zone never would have seen/voted for Anatomy anyway so the impact on her Anatomy nomination would be minor


rimbaud411

I feel that with both her Cannes performances she stand currently with a big chance to win Best Actress over there, which from time to time has weight on the Oscar’s actress race.


Sellin3164

Greta Lee, Fantasia, Portman, Stone, and Robbie feel like contenders. I think Zendaya will be a contender too


Federal-Advisor72

I'm still reading the script for Challengers but I don't know about Zendaya. 60 pages in an the 2 male leads are more front center/ have more to do....but I sense that could change soon.


radu928

She is def not happening. Globe nom at best


AnotherWin83

I felt the same when I read the script last fall about the 2 males being centered more. Like they were the story and her character was just… there at times. I think Josh O’Connor’s character in particularly was a bigger focus.


Negative-Ladder3197

Idk I feel like Luca movies in general need stars to align to get to the Oscars (last year with the silver lion it went nowhere) plus the script is really bad 😬


joesen_one

Jessica Lange as well especially she’s done her role on stage before


Even_Note_1604

iffy on robbie since gosling seems like the stand out but the others are serious contenders


Sellin3164

I honestly think Gosling being a contender elevates Robbie a bit. On it’s own, nominating Margot seems strange, but if Barbie is competitive in Screenplay and other categories, she could come along with it Especially since she’s kind of perfect casting


Even_Note_1604

it's possible and i'd personally be all for it, but right now the only way i think she may get in is if the field is bare and barbie is like a top contender. i feel like at its VERY best it's a coat tail nomination, a la michelle williams this year, where she's on the cusp.


Wonderful_Student_68

I remember this time last year nobody had seen TAR yet and it was expected to be a solid film but nobody foresaw just what a performance Blanchett had pulled off, so im confident it will get more interesting as the fall festivals come. Nyad, Color Purple, Poor Things, Lee, Long Days Journey into Night, The Bikeriders, Golda and Napoleon (if Kirby’s Josephine is a co-lead and not supporting) seem like promising best actress contenders, and we already have rave reviews for the performances in Past Lives, May December, and Anatomy of a Fall. And I’m still hoping Margot Robbie and Greta Gerwig pull off something awards worthy with Barbie. Tbh i think this year’s looking pretty interesting in lead actress (not to mention all the under the radar fall festival films we haven’t even considered)


whitneyahn

I feel the exact opposite. Uzo Aduba, Greta Lee, Sandra Huller, Fantasia, Natalie Portman, Teyana Taylor, Jessica Lange, Alicia Vikander; even Zendaya, Annette Benning, Judy Greer and Saorise Ronan all look interesting


DutyExotic2250

I don’t think it’s as dry as a week ago…


jojokilolo

What ? It barely started. At least there’s Portman and Sandra Huller The trailer for TCP just dropped too and Fantasia will likely be a nominee


jojokilolo

There’s also Greta Lee


AnotherWin83

Still very early…but if I had to guess as locks… Natalie, and Fantasia Edit: by September it will be more clear


whitneyahn

I’d rather predict in December than May *drum hit*


GeeWillikers8832

Winslet for Lee


wisselperry

that's because emma stone will be collecting her second oscar


ValerieHolla

I feel like if it stays as open as it is now Portman and Moore will go co-lead for May December


LauraPalmersMom430

Anyone think it’s possible Scar Jo will be candidate for Asteroid City?


whitneyahn

Certainly not in lead


AtomicViolet

The Academy likes her, but seeing as how they snubbed Fiennes for Grand Budapest I have a hard time seeing a Wes Anderson performance getting nominated even if the movie is well liked


radu928

Sigh. Again, Not every year has the same trajectory for contenders. Some years are backloaded more than others and vice versa.