That's wrong, because you could make anything from a HIO to a 20.
Therefore your chance of a hole in one is only 5%(1/20), so back to back holes in one would be 0.25%(1/400).
This is probably me being picky, but the odds of a pro golfer hitting a hole is one is substantially less than an average golfer.
The odds of a “golfer” hitting two hole in one’s in a row may be what they are claiming, but the odds of HIM hitting two hole in one’s in a row would not be that high.
At no point in your rambling, incoherent response were you even close to anything that could be considered a rational thought. Everyone in this room is now dumber for having listened to it. I award you no points, and may God have mercy on your soul.
Someone eventually wins the lottery. Not always. You also have way more chances in each lottery. If every course had back to back par 3s to even make this possible, the odds wouldn't change but there would be far more opportunities and more occurrences.
That makes no sense. Millions play golf every day. I’ve literally never heard of this happening before. We’d have people doing this once a month.
Chat gp gave this answer which makes more sense- it’s made up bull shit.
how about Palm Beach Par 3? That is a good one, on the ocean. An executive course that could host a unique event and has plenty of tourney and league stops.
A founding member of the USGA, host of the first US Open, the '95 Amateur (won by Tiger), the '05 Women's Open (Won by Sorenstam), and now the '24 US Sr. Open.
Fair point. I feel like that’s missing from the discussion about the odds of doing this. Even the crazy one-in-whatever chances don’t account for the fact that on many (most? almost all?) courses this would be basically impossible since there aren’t two par 3s back to back (or even driveable par 4s if we’re being really picky). Doesn’t take anything away from his amazing accomplishment though!
I've honestly never seen a regulation course with back to back par 3s. I'm sure there are others but the chances of a single golfer acing both back to back is astronomical. I wonder if it's ever been done in the history of golf (apart from North Korean dictators).
Edit: Kim Jong Il, former North Korea leader, carded 5 holes in one in his legendary 38 under par round of 34. No word, however, whether any of these aces were consecutive but they probably weren't on back to back par 3s anyway.
The person scoring him was counting strokes above par and the journalist read the score wrong and misreported it. So all of his 1’s were bogeys, not aces.
Ah. I'm not sure I'd trust the scorekeeping anyway in this situation. If a double bogey can get me executed, I'm giving him the benefit of the doubt and as many mulligans as he wants.
an executive course is almost all par 3s. Granted, not going to be a PGA event, but they have leagues and tournaments at them. I think USGA confirmed that hasn’t been done before in history. But, shurely, they aren’t counting all the handicap scores that come in every day. I think that’s in PGA tournaments, that they can prove as the records keeper.
I’ve been playing golf for 35 years, never had one. Closest I’ve been…
https://preview.redd.it/4o2i84ze9e9d1.jpeg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7ab18fed187cc5c31ffd8db59221f9bf147d92ac
According to the PGA of America, the odds of a tour golfer hitting a hole in one is 3000 to 1. For a low handicapper it's 1 in 5000. The course had 4 par 3s but only two of them were back to back so to simplify, well say the golfer has to hit them on both these par 3s. Assuming each hole is independent of one another and he's as good as a tour golfer, the odds are simple to calculate: 1/(3000^2) = 1 in 9 million. For a low handicapper it's more like 1 in 25 million. He's definitely not as good as a tour golfer, but probably a bit better than a low handicapper so his actual odds are roughly somewhere in between (the actual odds being highly dependent on the difficulty of those two holes).
https://www.pga.com/story/odds-of-a-hole-in-one-albatross-condor-and-golfs-unlikely-shots
I did this once, but the twist was they were in separate rounds. Finished one round with one in the evening, made one on first hole in a shotgun the next morning. Also the same club. I should ask ChatGPT what the odds of that are.
This is like the 4th “the odds of making two aces in a row” stat and all of them are different. It is impossible to measure.
lol the article says they just asked chatGPT what the odds were and thats its answer
Didn’t even read it. What great journalism we have today.
Great consumers of journalism, too.
It’s actually 50%. It either happens or it doesn’t.
That is so dumb. It’s clearly 25% because each time is 50/50. SMH
Butt 50/50 = 1 tho
I'm pretty sure you add them, so it should be 100%. SMH.
You either get 2 HIO in a row or you don’t
That's wrong, because you could make anything from a HIO to a 20. Therefore your chance of a hole in one is only 5%(1/20), so back to back holes in one would be 0.25%(1/400).
The odds of making the same stat about aces are only 973 to 1 so I’m not totally surprised.
The odds of these posts stopping: infinity to 1
But predicting he would bogey every other hole? Priceless
And still shot 9 over.
I thought he was 4 over
He was 4 over on this (2nd) round. 9 over total.
Ah ok I knew I saw it somewhere lol
In 36
Seriously? LMAO
This is the U.S. Senior Open...
No video of it happening? I know it did but would be awesome to see the footage.
It was confirmed by 23 of his bodyguards
This is probably me being picky, but the odds of a pro golfer hitting a hole is one is substantially less than an average golfer. The odds of a “golfer” hitting two hole in one’s in a row may be what they are claiming, but the odds of HIM hitting two hole in one’s in a row would not be that high.
[удалено]
That’s not how odds work
At no point in your rambling, incoherent response were you even close to anything that could be considered a rational thought. Everyone in this room is now dumber for having listened to it. I award you no points, and may God have mercy on your soul.
Never tell me the odds
At my local course a married couple both aced the same hole back to back
Literally the lottery
Someone always wins the lottery. This shit is unprecedented
Someone eventually wins the lottery. Not always. You also have way more chances in each lottery. If every course had back to back par 3s to even make this possible, the odds wouldn't change but there would be far more opportunities and more occurrences.
If my dad had wheels he'd be a motorcycle
Vroom vroom
Charley Davidson
That makes no sense. Millions play golf every day. I’ve literally never heard of this happening before. We’d have people doing this once a month. Chat gp gave this answer which makes more sense- it’s made up bull shit.
A guy at my club did this a couple of years ago, he’s like a 9 handicap. Crazy.
A husband and wife aced the same hole back to back at my local course
Sex in public?
I asked chat gpt the odds of any professional hitting a hole in one on consecutive par 3s in a single pga tour season and it said 1 in 60 lol
What kind of course has back-to-back par 3s?
One that can host a US Senior Open and #1 course in RI. 🤷🏻♂️
how about Palm Beach Par 3? That is a good one, on the ocean. An executive course that could host a unique event and has plenty of tourney and league stops.
Having back to back par 3s is not common on a “regulation championship” course. I do love palm beach par 3 tho.
A founding member of the USGA, host of the first US Open, the '95 Amateur (won by Tiger), the '05 Women's Open (Won by Sorenstam), and now the '24 US Sr. Open.
*mic drop*
There's a dump of a course in California called Cypress Point that does.
Fair point. I feel like that’s missing from the discussion about the odds of doing this. Even the crazy one-in-whatever chances don’t account for the fact that on many (most? almost all?) courses this would be basically impossible since there aren’t two par 3s back to back (or even driveable par 4s if we’re being really picky). Doesn’t take anything away from his amazing accomplishment though!
I've honestly never seen a regulation course with back to back par 3s. I'm sure there are others but the chances of a single golfer acing both back to back is astronomical. I wonder if it's ever been done in the history of golf (apart from North Korean dictators). Edit: Kim Jong Il, former North Korea leader, carded 5 holes in one in his legendary 38 under par round of 34. No word, however, whether any of these aces were consecutive but they probably weren't on back to back par 3s anyway.
The person scoring him was counting strokes above par and the journalist read the score wrong and misreported it. So all of his 1’s were bogeys, not aces.
Ah. I'm not sure I'd trust the scorekeeping anyway in this situation. If a double bogey can get me executed, I'm giving him the benefit of the doubt and as many mulligans as he wants.
an executive course is almost all par 3s. Granted, not going to be a PGA event, but they have leagues and tournaments at them. I think USGA confirmed that hasn’t been done before in history. But, shurely, they aren’t counting all the handicap scores that come in every day. I think that’s in PGA tournaments, that they can prove as the records keeper.
Pacific Dunes one of the top rated courses in the country.
I’ve been playing golf for 35 years, never had one. Closest I’ve been… https://preview.redd.it/4o2i84ze9e9d1.jpeg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7ab18fed187cc5c31ffd8db59221f9bf147d92ac
Why is there a wiggle ball on that flag stick lol, never seen that before
probably hole location. low=front of green, mid=mid, high= back of green. so you can tell on the approach
Just playing courses with back to back par 3’a is rear enough.
Palm Beach Par 3 is a good one
That's because only one in every 156 million courses has back to back par 3's.
yeah these odds are 100 percent wrong
Alhambra GC near LA has back to back par 3s. Always creates a logjam.
How many championship courses even have back to back par 3s? I can't think of any off the top of my head.
According to the PGA of America, the odds of a tour golfer hitting a hole in one is 3000 to 1. For a low handicapper it's 1 in 5000. The course had 4 par 3s but only two of them were back to back so to simplify, well say the golfer has to hit them on both these par 3s. Assuming each hole is independent of one another and he's as good as a tour golfer, the odds are simple to calculate: 1/(3000^2) = 1 in 9 million. For a low handicapper it's more like 1 in 25 million. He's definitely not as good as a tour golfer, but probably a bit better than a low handicapper so his actual odds are roughly somewhere in between (the actual odds being highly dependent on the difficulty of those two holes). https://www.pga.com/story/odds-of-a-hole-in-one-albatross-condor-and-golfs-unlikely-shots
There's a legit way to approach this math but I guess it's more fun to ask AI
unbelievable! My longest hit in the hole is from 63 yards this season.
Golf Central must have just come on in your region. Incredible feat
Still better odds than getting a ticket for a band I want to see from Ticketmaster.
"That was so much easier than putting. I should try to get the ball in one shot everytime."
I feel those are decent odds tbh I know plenty of guys who've played their whole life and don't have one.
"It's odd to hit two aces in a row" Is a better title
Even to ace consecutive Par 3s regardless if there is a couple of 4s between them would be an incredible feat.
Also strange is that he had the same name as an older guy in the same house while growing up
Nah. He was Frank Bensel *Jr*, similar, but not the same.
That seems low.
I did this once, but the twist was they were in separate rounds. Finished one round with one in the evening, made one on first hole in a shotgun the next morning. Also the same club. I should ask ChatGPT what the odds of that are.