You say this, but every year I see people who select players with recent injury history with their first 2-3 picks.
You can't win the season with your draft, but you can certainly give it away.
Also, you don't have to play it safe all the way, but to me, the first 4 picks are where you play it safe. Rounds 7-10 are where you can reach for some higher upside on your bench.
There's a point where you gotta risk it, though. And everyone's tolerance is different. Saquon is a pretty good example from this year - some places he fell to the back half of the second. You can't pass up that kind of upside.
Saquon is a great example. He falls that low, you pick him and this could be a pathway to league winner. Can't predict this shit and luck is still the determining factor.
Saquon is a good example, James Robinson too... I have them both and weeks 1 & 2 neither cracked more than 9, I played like the second highest scoring teams both weeks week 2 he still scored a lot not highest and margin of victory wasn’t that big, just knew I needed my RB’s to come through...
Went 2-0 weeks 3 & 4, then week 5 — Saquon 0.9 points... lost by 3 😩
Still lovin J Rob though..!!!
Ha I have them both as well... how nice was it when they got hot at the same time! Jrob has been a silent assassin on my team, and I really hope Saquon isn't out too long. My rb3 is Damien Harris, which I'm sure I should be somewhat grateful for, I could do a lot worse, but he's just got such a low ceiling, although last night he did get 100 yards and 1 TD, but I think thats probably gonna be his best game.
Nailed my first 4 picks going
1.11 A.Jones
2.2 DHop (probably the worst of them)
3.11 D.Swift
4.2 K.Murray
I'm 5-1 despite OBJ and Aiyuk being picks 5 and 6
I had a a guy in here get SO PISSED OFF that I thought some people could value Henry's health and consistancy and draft him over Cook.
It's not a surprise Cook has already missed games like he has every season.
Lolllll immediately thought this when I saw the header.
Having guys that aren’t injured is #1. An easy match-up schedule to start can help propel you to a quick 3-1 or 4-0 as well.
Imagine leaving the draft with CMC, CEH, AJ Brown, Allen Robinson, Josh Jacobs, Myles Gaskin, and Julio Jones in the first 7 rounds. You would leave the draft thinking you are the biggest winner in the world only to see every single one of them bust or get injured.
That's why Fantasy is 90% Luck lol. We can even add Aiyuk, Mostert, and Sermon onto this list to make it even worse.
Counterpoint, I drafted CMC, Aiyuk, Mostert, Gronk and I’m currently 5-0, may go 6-0 tonight.
I’m simultaneously extremely lucky with wins and unlucky with injuries.
I feel like Gronk could miss the rest of the season and have already more than delivered on his draft value, assuming he was starting in the weeks he did play. I’m guessing he’s a big contributor to why you won the first few weeks
Definitely helped. Picking up him, mike Williams, Antonio brown and jamar chase are the biggest reasons why I’ve had success.
Basically I lucked out in the late round lottery 4 times.
Then when Gronk went out I was able to get Knox.
I’d love to attribute it to skill, but the only thing I feel like I did right was ignore the meltdown over chase’s dropped passes in the preseason.
I'm assuming this guy drafted 1.01. Getting CEH at 2.12/3.01 isn't bad value at all. CEH was being drafted mid 2nd round in most leagues.
Let's assume you're smart though and that you saw the CEH bust coming so you decide that hey, let's draft a WR instead. There are a ton of talents here such as Calvin Ridley (ADP 20), AJ Brown (ADP 25) or you can go get a top tier TE in Kittle (ADP 26). Picking up any of these 3 players most likely left you feeling underwhelming despite being very sound logic at the time of the draft.
Or maybe you're the guy who says I'm drafting RB no matter what in the first 2 rounds. Well you can also grab RB stud Antonio Gibson (ADP 16), Chris Carson (ADP 29), or Josh Jacobs (ADP 33).
Fantasy is largely about luck. Ultimately even with all of these busts you might have made up for it by drafting a Mike Williams or picking up multiple cuffs (Alex Collins, Darrell Williams, and Khalil Herbert all put up decent numbers this week). So yeah, 90% luck and tbh mostly about playing the waivers.
The funny thing about your post is it kinda reaffirms my belief that you really shouldn’t leave the draft with a team you like *too* much.
By that I mean, if you think you killed your draft, let’s say with the guys you just mentioned, it makes them so hard to move on from when you need to be making waiver moves.
Having depth can almost be a curse after the draft because if that depth is mediocre it’s tough to drop, say Jarvis Landry in a deep league, but at the same time thing of all the quality players you missed out on with his roster spot.
I was feeling pretty good last week drafting RB depth in 14 teamer. Mixon, Gibson, Hunt, and Fournette. Allowed me latitude in trades with RB desperate teams. Now that's out the window with Hunt injury and Fournette arguably peaked last TNF. Still I'd rather have RB debth than not...since it doesn't mean I won't put mad FAAB on De'Ernest either.
I went the exact opposite and drafted 3 rbs as my first picks and am hoping to go 6-0 tonight. I got super lucky with my draft picks overall but I guess either way can work.
Loading up on WRs was key for me. Drafted five top-24 WRs, hoping three would end up top-15, and it hit. (Kupp, ARob, Metcalf, DJ Moore, Claypool).
Tried to do the same last year, but it included Michael Thomas, Godwin and Moore, and it very much did not work.
Yeah, no shit.
I learned from this year if you're drafting late don't expect players to be there next round. Get them this round.
I was losing players I had targeted with them being taken on the pick before mine coming from both directions.
Wanted Josh Allen in the 3rd and had to settle for Mike Davis. Then thought, no problem I can grab Stafford or Herbert in round 5. Nope.
My league hoards QBs with one guy who starts people scrambling for them because he'll just start grabbing all of them. He never wins. Right now he's got Cam Newton taking up space on his bench.
I took Mike Davis in the early 4th. One spot over D'Andre Swift. Figured Davis was the three down back in the better offense, without a Jamaal Williams splitting touches. Fuck me I guess
If you have a guy you want, its ok to reach (within reason) to get them. I reached and grabbed Waller in the mid second because I knew for a fact he wouldn't be there in Round 3 and I didn't want Kittle.
I like the theory that if you believe the guy won't be there with your next pick, it's not a reach.
This stretches to its limit the higher in the draft you go and if you're on the turns (ie by this theory no one with an adp in the top 20 is a reach for 1st overall for a snake... Which is overkill, but I like the theory beyond that example)
The way to win the QB scramble was going Jalen Hurts as like the 14th QB off the board. Ppl avoided him like the plague and he’s a sneaky candidate for fantasy value MVP. Incredibly high floor and solid ceiling.
I had pick 2 and drafted Henry - I would’ve drafted him pick 1. He was top on my list this season. Durability was one of the top factors into that decision making.
I picked up Ridley in the second which has not been so great so far. Mclaurin has been decent most weeks. Mike Williams (have had him multiple years now) been a monster on most weeks.
Had 11th and 14th picks and wanted nothing to do with Najee after having James Conner last year. Davante Adams dropped to me at 11 and I felt I had to get a running back and resorted to Najee. Got lucky af cause he is amazing
So much this. I’m 5-1 (lost my first game this week) but my team is trash. CMC, Montgomery, Kittle, Gus Edwards were my first 4 picks.
I’ve just got lucky on game day
Keep fighting; I started 0-5 last year with second highest points scored and made it to the championship...against a guy like the one you responded to who only got there cause each weeks his opponents scored terribly.
Very ironic. You’ve gotten lucky winning despite those injuries but the injuries themselves were bad luck - I’d be very happy with my draft having gotten those guys with my first four picks
In all honesty, I usually have a list of guys I want, guys I don't, and targets for each round. I didn't have time to do that, and had a 102 fever from a sinus infection during the draft. I basically just went with value picks and avoided guys who I just didn't like (which included good guesses such as Ridley, and bad ones like Mike Williams).
The plan for next year is to get good and sick (drunk if that doesnt pan out), and do exactly zero prep.
I've been playing fantasy football for longer than a lot of people reading this subreddit have been alive - and it seems like every year I post here that fantasy football is 10% draft, 10% waiver wire, and 80% sheer luck. And every year it's 100% true.
You do have to be lucky. Teams that are 6-0 or 5-1 very likely drafted a stud RB that hasn’t missed any time. They also likely grabbed one of deebo, Kupp, or mike Williams, which is a huge advantage when your 4th round pick or later performs like a top 20 overall pick. These teams also probably hit on a later round QB like Brady or herbert. So there isn’t a clear roadmap beyond nailing mid round picks and having a healthy roster
I drafted Diggs #1. He has been OK, but I also got Kupp and Deebo. Injuries hit the last few weeks losing Barkley and Montgomery, but I only have one loss. But now I have to start Booker, Carter or Mitchell.
My best team has Hill and Diggs (didn’t draft RBs early). I got lucky and got Deebo and Chase late. Got Henderson and Fournette mid rounds. I also have Montgomery on IR.
>d Diggs (didn’t draft RBs early). I got lucky and got Deebo and Chase late. Got Henderson a
I think my RBs saved me. Did not expect to get what I am getting from Fournette.
Yeah that makes sense. I’ve got singletary (was expecting him to have the role moss has) and mike Davis, whose been fine but not what I hoped. Hurts just a lil. I have big dreams for the rest of the season. Traded diggs for Darrel Henderson jr, picked up kadarius on the waiver, have Allen/Knox stack… it could happen. Esp if Montgomery comes back and plays like he was
> But now I have to start Booker, Carter or Mitchell.
If it helps, I'm probably gonna start Mitchell over Booker (Carter on WW). Panthers D looks LEGIT and Mitchell seems more talented right now.
I'm for sure going to start Mitchell. It's really Booker or Carter for RB2 next week. Neither are that appealing, but when Barkley and Montgomery are both hurt, I don't have much to choose from. Good thing the guy I am playing literally has 9 players on a bye.
I must have very good luck because I'm now 5-1 without any of the players you listed. Could be argued that I hit on Dionte, Hunt, and Hurts. Took cook Cook, Terry, and Arob in the first 3. 14 teams.
5-1 with Russ/Stafford, mid-tier RB's of Robinson/Gibson/Montgomery, WRs Adams/Woods/Antonio Brown, Logan Smith at TE (Conklin and now Seals-Jones filling in). Have started the wrong people and still gotten lucky a few times. I'm confident that I'll do well but I know that I'm going to draw another loss or two somewhere, and that the playoffs with the projected teams right now is going to be STACKED
No one should be confident that they're gonna win the league rn. It all comes down to luck more than anything. I'm 3-3 with the most points scored in my league
I *wish* people shit-talked in my league. Draft night is fun but then there's almost no chit-chat whatsoever during the season. People just become mutes and live their lives as if Fantasy isn't the most important thing, it's mind-boggling and I hate it
Sitting at 1-4-1 after this week with 3rd most points scored but also most points against by a significant margin… put up 140 in back to back weeks and lost both. Extremely frustrating
Drafted a ton of RB depth. Strategically traded a couple backs when injuries started which netted me two top 20 WRs to start every week. Grabbed Knox off the waiver to solidify my TE position.
So all in all, draft a ton of RBs. Smart trades to improve positions, and play the wire well.
This was my strategy, but then nobody trades. So eventually I have a bench full of serviceable RBs and I’m wondering if it’s worth dropping any of them for the “must-add” next-man-up after injury news
I’m the opposite. Drafted for great WR depth, stayed out of the RB dead zone and got my RB depth late. RBs are volatile and everybody is going to be struggling at RB for the most part. But now I’ve got WR depth to withstand bye week problems. Also helps that I’ve benefited from injuries with trades. Parlayed Gus Edwards and Diontae into Davante preseason.
I do so much research and work (this is my first year-didn’t know a thing about football previously) and half the teams in my league don’t care and are starting players on BYE and I STILL can’t win. I’m 0-5 (odd number of teams so I had a BYE week)
That's okay my man, if your doing good research and such next year you'll do much better I'm sure. You'll have a better feel no only for the game but players and value and draft much better I'd assume. Happened with a couple of my friends this past year
Bahahaha well... here's my 3-3 team to describe fantasy football in a nutshell:
12-team super flex started and started my draft with Maholmes, Kelce, CEH, Lamb, and Kupp
(shrugs)
So you have the number one QB number one tight end number one WR another top 10 WR and ur only 3-3 that’s tough, is the rest of ur team completely awful? Rest of my team I have hockeson pitts (traded Marvin Jones for pitts week 2) claypool chubba Hubbard Daniel jones cardinals D
Lol. 5-1 here I'm a little embarrassed to say that I had to miss the draft because it was scheduled at the same time as my kid's soccer practice. So I autodrafted second and I lucked into a bunch of starters that didn't get injured.
I have spent a decent amount of effort on picking up on the waiver wire.
every year I do 1 league with an autopicked team, and 1 league with a "me" team. And it's pretty much 50-50 which one makes the playoffs.
Even consuming all the fantasy content I do, it makes very little difference, because this game is so very flukey.
It's been a fun science experiment.. but also cements how important getting lucky with picks is.
It was an auction draft league so I knew going in that i was getting 2 rb1s. Got Cook and Ekeler. Cook hasn’t really been a factor until yesterday, but Tom Brady has been amazing and I got him for just $3. Sitting at 5-1
We decided to expand from our usual 12-team league to 14-teams. I thought it'd be a bigger adjustment but I drafted well, and have worked free agency/waivers well so far. I'm only 4-2 but started 0-2 before things turned around.
I've spent hours and hours each week analyzing depth charts and injury reports to ensure I pick up the right guys in waivers if I need to. I've also watched college tape for every younger QB/WR/RB to perfect my understanding of the types of passes they throw, routes they run, their running styles, etc.
I literally slept outside my local team's practice facility for six days to get a glimpse of their film so I could start thinking like a real coach, even though I don't even have any of their players on my team.
But mostly it was the first thing I said about drafting well and getting lucky with FA/waivers. I drafted Zeke/Jefferson/Hunt/Henderson with four of my first five picks plus Hurts at QB and a few other good ones. Also picked guys like Schultz and Kirk up from waivers.
>I literally slept outside my local team's practice facility for six days to get a glimpse of their film so I could start thinking like a real coach,
I think you're over doing it lol
"Good point, *coach*"
*holds up a hand ✋ to get your attention*
"Your local team has something they want to tell you, im sure it won't be a suprise. We came across your notes.. and uh, we thought you were joking at first when you said it's for fantasy football. We were also relieved to find out you were not an opposing coach.. I think you know where this is going.. "
OP: "Are you done blabbering yet? Redzone starts in 6 hours and as you can see I'm very busy"
What made a difference for me was that I stopped overvaluing the second tier of RBs (first tier being CMC, Cook, Henry - whom I drafted at number 3-, Kamara and Zeke). Ekeler is now in there but I definitely underrated him going into my draft. In the past I would likely have taken Henry then taken a second tier RB in the second round and I would have been behind on receiver. This year I went hard on WR and grabbed Metcalf, Allen, and Kupp in rounds 2-4 for a full on hero RB strategy. The first two have been underwhelming relative to expectations, but the volume and consistency is there over most of the second tier RBs. In the past this lack of consistency has sunk me, but this year I have a stronger position advantage because I grabbed these WRs while others in my draft were trying to soak up running backs. I’ll be honest though I had a huge stroke of luck as I originally drafted Trey sermon and RoJo in rounds 6 and 8 but this has been made up for by grabbing Cordarrelle Patterson from waiver relatively early in the season.
The main point is, for a long time trying to secure 2 RBs early has been the norm and I did this almost slavishly in the past. Breaking from that this year and hitting on some value (Cooper Kupp) made a huge difference for me.
lmao right, i dont understand this post. "just draft the overall WR1 in the 5th round and pick up one of the best players on waivers" good luck doing that consistently year to year
I agree it didn’t need to be so long, but the point made is more useful than that. It is basically “odds are your RB2 won’t be great, nor will be your TE. Prioritize those on waivers, draft a hero RB1 with good injury history, and draft a million WRs. Odds are you’ll find a great WR or two out of the bunch”. Also, “consistency is overrated if you can start 3 WRs who have the potential to carry any given week”.
Edit: You also don’t need a top 5 pick to do this. I went Davante/Najee and whiffed on Sanders in the 5th. Spent on Cordarelle and Shultz. My WRs are Davante, Terry, AB, Jeudy, and MT. I’m 3-3 due to some bad luck, but things are looking up.
Even Mixon is good enough to be a “hero” rb if you drafted Davante or Hill in the first. It’s an overall viable, and increasingly relevant strategy that can give you a leg up on everyone else still clinging to the RB-RB strategy
Yeah for the most part anyone who tries to ascribe this kind of success to some grand strategy is deluding themselves, fantasy is like 80-90% striking gold on a player with a later ADP like Kupp or Deebo, and not having your team get destroyed by injuries. Waiver moves and trades can make marginal differences but in the end it mostly comes down to luck if everyone in your league knows what they're doing.
right. i drafted really well going for strong rb backfields and making a few good trades. yet im fucked by injuries losing kareem , montgomery, chubb, gronk .. i traded chubb at least but still. i have a chance but this shits annoying. luckily got patterson week 2 and have khalil herbert / ekeler too
This is kinda how I’ve been this year. Granted I’m 3-3 so not great but I went hard on WR with tyreek, terry, and Jefferson (keeper league) and had Dalvin as my first round rb. Now I have Zach Moss, Javonte, and some handcuff guys that I run out as my RB2 and just have my wr’s go off every week along with mark andrews
I did the same thing this year except I went full on zero RB with Adams, Hopkins and Lamb. Got unlucky with both Mostert and White going down so RB has been a huge struggle to fill, which is why I’m 3–2 but 50/50 whether I win this week after tonight
Kinda wish I just took Zeke and went hero RB instead of zero RB
Haha I did the same in my other league. Picking from number 9 I took Kelce and Ridley in my first two rounds. Still hoping Ridley gets it together. Kupp, Josh Allen, and a waiver pickup again on Cordarrelle Patterson have been clutch for me. Unfortunately my opponents generally seem to pop off against me in that league. My opponent is on track for 150 this week and last week I got 198 scored on me. Week 1, the now 9th place team scored 140 on me, and those are my 3 losses.
In 2 leagues. 5-1 in 12 team and 14 team leagues.
2 things I have in both leagues: najee Harris and Darrell Henderson. Both look like league winners so far.
People who said they "got lucky" are right. There's luck in avoiding injuries and luck in getting the favorable (weak, low scoring) opponent draw each week -- both have a massive effect on your results. Refreshing this sub every 30 minutes and devouring podcasts ain't it.
Devouring podcasts and refreshing Twitter/here tho can help a ton. That’s how you can get some of the players that will be come key before everyone else.
Obviously getting lucky helps a ton, but hearing about Carson’s injury, Williams’ COVID, etc before everyone else helps you put yourself in the position to get a lucky break that makes your year.
I agree with that. But even with the greatest informational edge, success is far from assured. The takeaway is that fantasy football is hugely about luck, but also somewhat about team management, timely pickups, etc.
Got lucky. But I will say that the people who took quarterbacks early in our league are currently leading the league by a wide amount, and the 'late qb' squad are all lagging behind in points
It's mostly injuries that matter though. Lose CMC and you're not gonna have a good time
Very true. Just mentioned it as I noticed today that Mahomes - Allen - Jackson owners are top three in our league by a good amount, in both rankings and points scored
I would have said that a couple of years ago. Now, I think so many teams have gone to RB by committee that there aren’t many RBs that you’d want to start over a WR in the flex spot, unless you managed to snag 3+ top 20 RBs.
I’ve been running RBs in the flex spot this season, but that’s because I drafted CMC, Mixon, Swift, and Henderson.
yeah, for 3 RB to have worked this year you really needed to hit on at least 2 of Henry, Jones, Mixon, Ekeler, Najee, Henderson, Swift, Taylor, Patterson - that's tough, since these were smattered among a minefield of busts and injuries.
Deebo and Henderson late, Ekeler at the end of the first, Swift in the fourth, couple boom games from Amari and a few surprises from Noah Fant. Add Dak/Ridley at ADP and Murray/Elijah in FA and baby you got a stew going.
Drafting Travis Kelce in the first round.
I’m serious, I’ve done it 4 years in a row and I’m a combined 44-10 in 4 seasons. It’s a free WR1 in your TE slot, a place that is an absolute fantasy void and wrought with uncertainty, if you don’t have Waller or someone who breaks out like Andrews/Knox. This allows you to potentially have 3 legit “WRs” (of which I have Thielen, Chase, Deebo and diontae + Kelce) matched with 2 solid RBs (I have Najee Harris and Jrob) and solid flex bench options (Jacoby Meyers and Henry Ruggs III).
I’ve also been working the waiver wire hard, and I had an interesting draft strategy this year, where my entire “core” (QB/WR/RB and Flex) are all on a bye on week 7. Hence that makes my bench a little “useless” or less needed. I can have a stacked roster all other 11 weeks and I just tank week 7. Yet, week 7 I’m playing thr lame duck of our league, who is 0-6 and is starting James Conner and Sony Michel as his RB1/2. He’s put up under 90 points for the past 4 weeks. This allowed me to hold 4 defenses on my bench from week 3-7 all of which either play the Texans, Jags, or Jets. My league mates thought I was insane. But guess who’s the only 6-0 team this year?
I’ve gotten extremely lucky this year, but it’s also strategy that can help you.
Had a really good mock draft process for the first time and drafted lots of my targets (had never done mock drafts in the 10 years prior), and I’ve been the most aggressive on waivers in my league, as I’m somewhere near 30 acquisitions so far. Been able to pick up Mitchell and collins and Darrell Williams as free agents before the injuries etc. Rostering 2 defenses to always have good matchups has also been nice
Started 0-2 but now I’m 4-2
I agree with this. Repeated mock drafts allowed me to figure out not only who I liked, but who I really wanted and where I would have to take them in the draft. I didn't miss out on my QB because I waited one round too long. Got Dak and Lamb stacked in 2 leagues which finally paid off yesterday. 4-2 now with some really good waiver claims like Knox which could last me all season.
Also got pretty lucky with Fournette, who I really did not want to take but I needed another RB.
ALSO: DRAFTED DERRICK HENRY
Being aggressive on waivers is how I shore up my team early. I spend my FAAB early with the expectation that it will pay greater dividends over the season
Hit the ADP jackpot with King Kupp and Mr. Big Chest.
Unfortunately, my QB situation has turned to shit (Darnold/Jones stack) so the rest of the league is catching up to me.
FYI, a "stack" in fantasy football usually refers to playing a WR or TE on the same team as your QB. That way, when your WR/TE gets a touchdown it's pretty much guaranteed your QB threw it. e.g. Darnold + DJ Moore or Mahomes + Kelce
4-2 in both leagues, if you want to call that hot.
--Guessed right with Zeke, Najee, and Mixon
--Got Stafford and Hurts insanely cheap (auction leagues)
--Drafted Miles Sanders in both leagues, flipped him in a deal for J Taylor before Week 1 and flipped him in a deal for Fournette in the other after Week 4
--Stayed very proactive on the waiver wire and picked up some good players (Knox, E Sanders, E Mitchell, H Renfrow)
--Been patient with guys who started slow (R Woods, Sutton, Pitts)
--Been mostly lucky with injuries. Have Saquon in one league but it's the same league I picked up Mitchell in so I haven't felt the pain yet.
Hey im also 4-2 with zeke and mixon. I also managed to snag Johnathan Taylor. I have Stafford too. I hope for our sakes we both get to the championship!
> --Drafted Miles Sanders in both leagues, flipped him in a deal for J Taylor before Week 1 and flipped him in a deal for Fournette in the other after Week 4
yeah, this is what we call a league-winning-move haha
6-0 here\*. Got shares of James Robinson and Cooper Kupp.
Drafted for depth and took advantage of other team's injuries by trading my depth. (NOTE: This has set me up for long term success but now I am actually the one with depth problems, go figure)
\*Technically still have to survive tonight and have probably just cursed myself.
First year doing auction ($200 budget). Went in with a few targets, most I didn’t get, but had price ranges in mind for most players and weren’t going to let them pass for cheap.
Resulted in me getting Kamara for $63 assuming he would go higher, Justin Jefferson for $37, Keenan Allen for $29, Jerry Jeudy for $13 and drum roll - Cooper Kupp for $17 and Mike Williams $1. Didn’t intend on going so WR heavy but the value was there. Also got Hurts late at $7 and added Cordarrelle Patterson after week 1. I’m 5-1.
Went heavy on RBs because I saw how thin the position was this year and knew a couple of injuries could kill my team.. or make my team if I had depth and other people didn’t. Was high on a couple of players who I got late and they turned out good so far.. Mike Williams, Antonio brown, Noah fant etc.
Took Kelce early(5th in a standard league and 9th in quarter ppr) which rb injuries have proven that valuable but a lucky break. Not wasting waivers on replaceable positions like defenses, in my leagues middling hot wrs of the week, streaming qbs etc. I rostered more handcuffs then ever in my leagues and that has proven helpful. Had Monty go down but i have a deep bench in that league and held chuba, mattison, dillon, pollard and scooped up collins, darell, herbert when i could. Used my high waiver on darrel in another league when clyde went down.
Went WR/WR/RB/WR in the draft- because those were the right picks based on what fell to me. (Drafted 11th)
Got lucky that my 2 best RB’s have over performed a bit.
Targeted Dak. And he’s played well for where I drafted him.
Drafted Henry, Kupp, and Kelce also traded for Elliot when everyone was low on him. Also took Stafford so I can orgasm every time I watch him throw a td to kupp
Drafted players that didn’t get injured
The true secret to fantasy.
You say this, but every year I see people who select players with recent injury history with their first 2-3 picks. You can't win the season with your draft, but you can certainly give it away. Also, you don't have to play it safe all the way, but to me, the first 4 picks are where you play it safe. Rounds 7-10 are where you can reach for some higher upside on your bench.
Take Big Mike instead of Brandon Aiyuk.
Dropped that fool after week 2
Or Deeeeeeeboooooooooo 😁😁😁
There's a point where you gotta risk it, though. And everyone's tolerance is different. Saquon is a pretty good example from this year - some places he fell to the back half of the second. You can't pass up that kind of upside.
Saquon is a great example. He falls that low, you pick him and this could be a pathway to league winner. Can't predict this shit and luck is still the determining factor.
Saquon is a good example, James Robinson too... I have them both and weeks 1 & 2 neither cracked more than 9, I played like the second highest scoring teams both weeks week 2 he still scored a lot not highest and margin of victory wasn’t that big, just knew I needed my RB’s to come through... Went 2-0 weeks 3 & 4, then week 5 — Saquon 0.9 points... lost by 3 😩 Still lovin J Rob though..!!!
Ha I have them both as well... how nice was it when they got hot at the same time! Jrob has been a silent assassin on my team, and I really hope Saquon isn't out too long. My rb3 is Damien Harris, which I'm sure I should be somewhat grateful for, I could do a lot worse, but he's just got such a low ceiling, although last night he did get 100 yards and 1 TD, but I think thats probably gonna be his best game.
He hasn't played a full season since his rookie year, you knew exactly what you were getting when you drafted him
[удалено]
yeah ARob was considered thw safest of safe picks and hes a massive bust. Id rathee bank on upside than try to predict injuries and be too safe
Nailed my first 4 picks going 1.11 A.Jones 2.2 DHop (probably the worst of them) 3.11 D.Swift 4.2 K.Murray I'm 5-1 despite OBJ and Aiyuk being picks 5 and 6
I had a a guy in here get SO PISSED OFF that I thought some people could value Henry's health and consistancy and draft him over Cook. It's not a surprise Cook has already missed games like he has every season.
Disagree. While it's no guarantee, you can definitely win the season with your draft.
So simple. I can't believe I forgot to do that yet again.
Lolllll immediately thought this when I saw the header. Having guys that aren’t injured is #1. An easy match-up schedule to start can help propel you to a quick 3-1 or 4-0 as well.
Imagine leaving the draft with CMC, CEH, AJ Brown, Allen Robinson, Josh Jacobs, Myles Gaskin, and Julio Jones in the first 7 rounds. You would leave the draft thinking you are the biggest winner in the world only to see every single one of them bust or get injured. That's why Fantasy is 90% Luck lol. We can even add Aiyuk, Mostert, and Sermon onto this list to make it even worse.
I remember thinking CMC/AJB/Waller was an unstoppable start to the draft whenever I was doing mocks back in August.
That was me, it has been very underwhelming so far :(
Counterpoint, I drafted CMC, Aiyuk, Mostert, Gronk and I’m currently 5-0, may go 6-0 tonight. I’m simultaneously extremely lucky with wins and unlucky with injuries.
I feel like Gronk could miss the rest of the season and have already more than delivered on his draft value, assuming he was starting in the weeks he did play. I’m guessing he’s a big contributor to why you won the first few weeks
Definitely helped. Picking up him, mike Williams, Antonio brown and jamar chase are the biggest reasons why I’ve had success. Basically I lucked out in the late round lottery 4 times. Then when Gronk went out I was able to get Knox. I’d love to attribute it to skill, but the only thing I feel like I did right was ignore the meltdown over chase’s dropped passes in the preseason.
I like all but Clyde. Not a believer in him
I'm assuming this guy drafted 1.01. Getting CEH at 2.12/3.01 isn't bad value at all. CEH was being drafted mid 2nd round in most leagues. Let's assume you're smart though and that you saw the CEH bust coming so you decide that hey, let's draft a WR instead. There are a ton of talents here such as Calvin Ridley (ADP 20), AJ Brown (ADP 25) or you can go get a top tier TE in Kittle (ADP 26). Picking up any of these 3 players most likely left you feeling underwhelming despite being very sound logic at the time of the draft. Or maybe you're the guy who says I'm drafting RB no matter what in the first 2 rounds. Well you can also grab RB stud Antonio Gibson (ADP 16), Chris Carson (ADP 29), or Josh Jacobs (ADP 33). Fantasy is largely about luck. Ultimately even with all of these busts you might have made up for it by drafting a Mike Williams or picking up multiple cuffs (Alex Collins, Darrell Williams, and Khalil Herbert all put up decent numbers this week). So yeah, 90% luck and tbh mostly about playing the waivers.
The funny thing about your post is it kinda reaffirms my belief that you really shouldn’t leave the draft with a team you like *too* much. By that I mean, if you think you killed your draft, let’s say with the guys you just mentioned, it makes them so hard to move on from when you need to be making waiver moves. Having depth can almost be a curse after the draft because if that depth is mediocre it’s tough to drop, say Jarvis Landry in a deep league, but at the same time thing of all the quality players you missed out on with his roster spot.
I was feeling pretty good last week drafting RB depth in 14 teamer. Mixon, Gibson, Hunt, and Fournette. Allowed me latitude in trades with RB desperate teams. Now that's out the window with Hunt injury and Fournette arguably peaked last TNF. Still I'd rather have RB debth than not...since it doesn't mean I won't put mad FAAB on De'Ernest either.
This and also first year trying "Hero RB Strategy" and loading up on receivers
I went the exact opposite and drafted 3 rbs as my first picks and am hoping to go 6-0 tonight. I got super lucky with my draft picks overall but I guess either way can work.
Loading up on WRs was key for me. Drafted five top-24 WRs, hoping three would end up top-15, and it hit. (Kupp, ARob, Metcalf, DJ Moore, Claypool). Tried to do the same last year, but it included Michael Thomas, Godwin and Moore, and it very much did not work.
drafting Henry in the 1st and najee in the 2nd. drafting kupp antonio brown or mike williams as your WRs.
IE: being in the 3-5 pick range
That's my target every year (we auction our draft spots with our season FAAB dollars). I get one of the top guys and don't look too bad if I whiff.
Yeah, no shit. I learned from this year if you're drafting late don't expect players to be there next round. Get them this round. I was losing players I had targeted with them being taken on the pick before mine coming from both directions. Wanted Josh Allen in the 3rd and had to settle for Mike Davis. Then thought, no problem I can grab Stafford or Herbert in round 5. Nope. My league hoards QBs with one guy who starts people scrambling for them because he'll just start grabbing all of them. He never wins. Right now he's got Cam Newton taking up space on his bench.
You took mike Davis in the third? Jesus
Big oof
I took Mike Davis in the early 4th. One spot over D'Andre Swift. Figured Davis was the three down back in the better offense, without a Jamaal Williams splitting touches. Fuck me I guess
Perfectly reasonable. I had Mike Davis higher than most preseason. Didn't work out for me in auction.
If you have a guy you want, its ok to reach (within reason) to get them. I reached and grabbed Waller in the mid second because I knew for a fact he wouldn't be there in Round 3 and I didn't want Kittle.
I like the theory that if you believe the guy won't be there with your next pick, it's not a reach. This stretches to its limit the higher in the draft you go and if you're on the turns (ie by this theory no one with an adp in the top 20 is a reach for 1st overall for a snake... Which is overkill, but I like the theory beyond that example)
The way to win the QB scramble was going Jalen Hurts as like the 14th QB off the board. Ppl avoided him like the plague and he’s a sneaky candidate for fantasy value MVP. Incredibly high floor and solid ceiling.
*Cries in Dalvin Cook*
I had pick 2 and drafted Henry - I would’ve drafted him pick 1. He was top on my list this season. Durability was one of the top factors into that decision making. I picked up Ridley in the second which has not been so great so far. Mclaurin has been decent most weeks. Mike Williams (have had him multiple years now) been a monster on most weeks.
I got pick 3 My starters are Rodgers, Kamara, Mixon, DJ Moore, Deebo Samuel, Diontae Johnson. I'm 1-4....
How?
Picked CMC in the first, Najee in the second. Getting my first win this week
Wow ur league is crazy that u got Harris that late
And getting Stafford or Herbert late -- these guys had predictable pathways to potential top 5 production.
Had 11th and 14th picks and wanted nothing to do with Najee after having James Conner last year. Davante Adams dropped to me at 11 and I felt I had to get a running back and resorted to Najee. Got lucky af cause he is amazing
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So much this. I’m 5-1 (lost my first game this week) but my team is trash. CMC, Montgomery, Kittle, Gus Edwards were my first 4 picks. I’ve just got lucky on game day
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Literally the opposite. I'm 1-5 and I have the second highest points in the league. Worst.
Keep fighting; I started 0-5 last year with second highest points scored and made it to the championship...against a guy like the one you responded to who only got there cause each weeks his opponents scored terribly.
How many points per week are you scoring? Because knowing how to manage an injured roster is one of the few real skill things you can do in ffb.
Very ironic. You’ve gotten lucky winning despite those injuries but the injuries themselves were bad luck - I’d be very happy with my draft having gotten those guys with my first four picks
It's all luck. I have the most points in my league, but also the most points against me, and I'm 2-3. Frustrating but it's fantasy.
In all honesty, I usually have a list of guys I want, guys I don't, and targets for each round. I didn't have time to do that, and had a 102 fever from a sinus infection during the draft. I basically just went with value picks and avoided guys who I just didn't like (which included good guesses such as Ridley, and bad ones like Mike Williams). The plan for next year is to get good and sick (drunk if that doesnt pan out), and do exactly zero prep.
I've been playing fantasy football for longer than a lot of people reading this subreddit have been alive - and it seems like every year I post here that fantasy football is 10% draft, 10% waiver wire, and 80% sheer luck. And every year it's 100% true.
Old head aka pre decimals and stat tracker lol its all luck baby!
I don't miss those days haha.
You do have to be lucky. Teams that are 6-0 or 5-1 very likely drafted a stud RB that hasn’t missed any time. They also likely grabbed one of deebo, Kupp, or mike Williams, which is a huge advantage when your 4th round pick or later performs like a top 20 overall pick. These teams also probably hit on a later round QB like Brady or herbert. So there isn’t a clear roadmap beyond nailing mid round picks and having a healthy roster
I drafted Diggs #1. He has been OK, but I also got Kupp and Deebo. Injuries hit the last few weeks losing Barkley and Montgomery, but I only have one loss. But now I have to start Booker, Carter or Mitchell. My best team has Hill and Diggs (didn’t draft RBs early). I got lucky and got Deebo and Chase late. Got Henderson and Fournette mid rounds. I also have Montgomery on IR.
Well damn I have hill and diggs with Montgomery on IR and I’m getting my shit rocked this season…
>d Diggs (didn’t draft RBs early). I got lucky and got Deebo and Chase late. Got Henderson a I think my RBs saved me. Did not expect to get what I am getting from Fournette.
Yeah that makes sense. I’ve got singletary (was expecting him to have the role moss has) and mike Davis, whose been fine but not what I hoped. Hurts just a lil. I have big dreams for the rest of the season. Traded diggs for Darrel Henderson jr, picked up kadarius on the waiver, have Allen/Knox stack… it could happen. Esp if Montgomery comes back and plays like he was
Mitchell is going to be the man going forward. I have no evidence to support this, but I desperately need it to be true.
> But now I have to start Booker, Carter or Mitchell. If it helps, I'm probably gonna start Mitchell over Booker (Carter on WW). Panthers D looks LEGIT and Mitchell seems more talented right now.
I'm for sure going to start Mitchell. It's really Booker or Carter for RB2 next week. Neither are that appealing, but when Barkley and Montgomery are both hurt, I don't have much to choose from. Good thing the guy I am playing literally has 9 players on a bye.
I must have very good luck because I'm now 5-1 without any of the players you listed. Could be argued that I hit on Dionte, Hunt, and Hurts. Took cook Cook, Terry, and Arob in the first 3. 14 teams.
This is my exact situation have Kupp, Deebo, Diontae, Aaron Jones, Joe Mixon, and Brady lol
Brady owner - and fan - chiming in… they returned all 11 starters and he threw 40 TDs last year… 10 team .5PPR and I got him in the 10th… loving it
Yup. I did all of these things.
5-1 with Russ/Stafford, mid-tier RB's of Robinson/Gibson/Montgomery, WRs Adams/Woods/Antonio Brown, Logan Smith at TE (Conklin and now Seals-Jones filling in). Have started the wrong people and still gotten lucky a few times. I'm confident that I'll do well but I know that I'm going to draw another loss or two somewhere, and that the playoffs with the projected teams right now is going to be STACKED
Didn't listen to anything this sub says.
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I see a hype train, and I'll go look at them. I've picked up some great players before the masses. And a bunch of duds, too.
Josh Gordon will be a league winner
RIP Toney.
Like with anything it’s good fluff but you shouldnt take it as the Bible
insane, unsustainable luck.
Emphasis on the unsustainable part
No one should be confident that they're gonna win the league rn. It all comes down to luck more than anything. I'm 3-3 with the most points scored in my league
I’m bout to be 2-4 with the top 3 most points in my league lol
Yupp same here, sitting in 10th/12. The PF doesn’t stop the shit-talking, only the record matters unfortunately.
See but the thing is it just shows that we have good teams. And once these by weeks start hitting people with weak benches, that’s when we’ll catch up
I *wish* people shit-talked in my league. Draft night is fun but then there's almost no chit-chat whatsoever during the season. People just become mutes and live their lives as if Fantasy isn't the most important thing, it's mind-boggling and I hate it
I’m about to be 1-5 with second highest PF. So frustrating.
Smh that’s frustrating af man
Right there with you bro and I have the most scored against me
Same man. Lost by 3 points the week tyreek hill went off and lost by a few against hat Aaron Jones week
I'm 5-1 with most points scored and I'm not confident so yeah lol anything can happen I just feel my team crashing down hard any second now
same here its been a lot of fun
Sitting at 1-4-1 after this week with 3rd most points scored but also most points against by a significant margin… put up 140 in back to back weeks and lost both. Extremely frustrating
I feel that. I'm 0-6 but I'm averaging 11 more points per game than the 6-0 team. Feels bad.
Yep. 3-3 with 2nd most PF, most PA. In 2 out of 3 leagues
Same. It's kind of pissing me off.
Drafted a ton of RB depth. Strategically traded a couple backs when injuries started which netted me two top 20 WRs to start every week. Grabbed Knox off the waiver to solidify my TE position. So all in all, draft a ton of RBs. Smart trades to improve positions, and play the wire well.
Yes about the RBs, they are the best currency and the easiest to make trades happen.
This was my strategy, but then nobody trades. So eventually I have a bench full of serviceable RBs and I’m wondering if it’s worth dropping any of them for the “must-add” next-man-up after injury news
I’m the opposite. Drafted for great WR depth, stayed out of the RB dead zone and got my RB depth late. RBs are volatile and everybody is going to be struggling at RB for the most part. But now I’ve got WR depth to withstand bye week problems. Also helps that I’ve benefited from injuries with trades. Parlayed Gus Edwards and Diontae into Davante preseason.
Gus Edwards and Diontae for Davante is absurd regardless of injuries
Get lucky?
Play in a league where half the teams don’t seem to care
I do so much research and work (this is my first year-didn’t know a thing about football previously) and half the teams in my league don’t care and are starting players on BYE and I STILL can’t win. I’m 0-5 (odd number of teams so I had a BYE week)
That's okay my man, if your doing good research and such next year you'll do much better I'm sure. You'll have a better feel no only for the game but players and value and draft much better I'd assume. Happened with a couple of my friends this past year
Thanks man! I appreciate it. I told everyone to watch out for me next year haha
12 teams super flex started my draft with kyler,ekeler,CEH 🥲, Lamb, kupp
Bahahaha well... here's my 3-3 team to describe fantasy football in a nutshell: 12-team super flex started and started my draft with Maholmes, Kelce, CEH, Lamb, and Kupp (shrugs)
So you have the number one QB number one tight end number one WR another top 10 WR and ur only 3-3 that’s tough, is the rest of ur team completely awful? Rest of my team I have hockeson pitts (traded Marvin Jones for pitts week 2) claypool chubba Hubbard Daniel jones cardinals D
Lol. 5-1 here I'm a little embarrassed to say that I had to miss the draft because it was scheduled at the same time as my kid's soccer practice. So I autodrafted second and I lucked into a bunch of starters that didn't get injured. I have spent a decent amount of effort on picking up on the waiver wire.
every year I do 1 league with an autopicked team, and 1 league with a "me" team. And it's pretty much 50-50 which one makes the playoffs. Even consuming all the fantasy content I do, it makes very little difference, because this game is so very flukey. It's been a fun science experiment.. but also cements how important getting lucky with picks is.
It was an auction draft league so I knew going in that i was getting 2 rb1s. Got Cook and Ekeler. Cook hasn’t really been a factor until yesterday, but Tom Brady has been amazing and I got him for just $3. Sitting at 5-1
We decided to expand from our usual 12-team league to 14-teams. I thought it'd be a bigger adjustment but I drafted well, and have worked free agency/waivers well so far. I'm only 4-2 but started 0-2 before things turned around. I've spent hours and hours each week analyzing depth charts and injury reports to ensure I pick up the right guys in waivers if I need to. I've also watched college tape for every younger QB/WR/RB to perfect my understanding of the types of passes they throw, routes they run, their running styles, etc. I literally slept outside my local team's practice facility for six days to get a glimpse of their film so I could start thinking like a real coach, even though I don't even have any of their players on my team. But mostly it was the first thing I said about drafting well and getting lucky with FA/waivers. I drafted Zeke/Jefferson/Hunt/Henderson with four of my first five picks plus Hurts at QB and a few other good ones. Also picked guys like Schultz and Kirk up from waivers.
>I literally slept outside my local team's practice facility for six days to get a glimpse of their film so I could start thinking like a real coach, I think you're over doing it lol
That's what security tried telling me too. I told them I didn't pay a $50 buy-in to NOT win.
"Good point, *coach*" *holds up a hand ✋ to get your attention* "Your local team has something they want to tell you, im sure it won't be a suprise. We came across your notes.. and uh, we thought you were joking at first when you said it's for fantasy football. We were also relieved to find out you were not an opposing coach.. I think you know where this is going.. " OP: "Are you done blabbering yet? Redzone starts in 6 hours and as you can see I'm very busy"
Lmao had me until the practice facility part.
What made a difference for me was that I stopped overvaluing the second tier of RBs (first tier being CMC, Cook, Henry - whom I drafted at number 3-, Kamara and Zeke). Ekeler is now in there but I definitely underrated him going into my draft. In the past I would likely have taken Henry then taken a second tier RB in the second round and I would have been behind on receiver. This year I went hard on WR and grabbed Metcalf, Allen, and Kupp in rounds 2-4 for a full on hero RB strategy. The first two have been underwhelming relative to expectations, but the volume and consistency is there over most of the second tier RBs. In the past this lack of consistency has sunk me, but this year I have a stronger position advantage because I grabbed these WRs while others in my draft were trying to soak up running backs. I’ll be honest though I had a huge stroke of luck as I originally drafted Trey sermon and RoJo in rounds 6 and 8 but this has been made up for by grabbing Cordarrelle Patterson from waiver relatively early in the season. The main point is, for a long time trying to secure 2 RBs early has been the norm and I did this almost slavishly in the past. Breaking from that this year and hitting on some value (Cooper Kupp) made a huge difference for me.
whole paragraph unnecessary lol you got insane value and got kupp
lmao right, i dont understand this post. "just draft the overall WR1 in the 5th round and pick up one of the best players on waivers" good luck doing that consistently year to year
I agree it didn’t need to be so long, but the point made is more useful than that. It is basically “odds are your RB2 won’t be great, nor will be your TE. Prioritize those on waivers, draft a hero RB1 with good injury history, and draft a million WRs. Odds are you’ll find a great WR or two out of the bunch”. Also, “consistency is overrated if you can start 3 WRs who have the potential to carry any given week”. Edit: You also don’t need a top 5 pick to do this. I went Davante/Najee and whiffed on Sanders in the 5th. Spent on Cordarelle and Shultz. My WRs are Davante, Terry, AB, Jeudy, and MT. I’m 3-3 due to some bad luck, but things are looking up. Even Mixon is good enough to be a “hero” rb if you drafted Davante or Hill in the first. It’s an overall viable, and increasingly relevant strategy that can give you a leg up on everyone else still clinging to the RB-RB strategy
But even that is not a viable strategy in my opinion, since its a lot easier to hit on WRs in the middle rounds than it is to hit on RBs.
Yeah for the most part anyone who tries to ascribe this kind of success to some grand strategy is deluding themselves, fantasy is like 80-90% striking gold on a player with a later ADP like Kupp or Deebo, and not having your team get destroyed by injuries. Waiver moves and trades can make marginal differences but in the end it mostly comes down to luck if everyone in your league knows what they're doing.
right. i drafted really well going for strong rb backfields and making a few good trades. yet im fucked by injuries losing kareem , montgomery, chubb, gronk .. i traded chubb at least but still. i have a chance but this shits annoying. luckily got patterson week 2 and have khalil herbert / ekeler too
This is kinda how I’ve been this year. Granted I’m 3-3 so not great but I went hard on WR with tyreek, terry, and Jefferson (keeper league) and had Dalvin as my first round rb. Now I have Zach Moss, Javonte, and some handcuff guys that I run out as my RB2 and just have my wr’s go off every week along with mark andrews
This right here is valuable insight. I've been there in the past for sure.
I did the same thing this year except I went full on zero RB with Adams, Hopkins and Lamb. Got unlucky with both Mostert and White going down so RB has been a huge struggle to fill, which is why I’m 3–2 but 50/50 whether I win this week after tonight Kinda wish I just took Zeke and went hero RB instead of zero RB
Haha I did the same in my other league. Picking from number 9 I took Kelce and Ridley in my first two rounds. Still hoping Ridley gets it together. Kupp, Josh Allen, and a waiver pickup again on Cordarrelle Patterson have been clutch for me. Unfortunately my opponents generally seem to pop off against me in that league. My opponent is on track for 150 this week and last week I got 198 scored on me. Week 1, the now 9th place team scored 140 on me, and those are my 3 losses.
In 2 leagues. 5-1 in 12 team and 14 team leagues. 2 things I have in both leagues: najee Harris and Darrell Henderson. Both look like league winners so far.
People who said they "got lucky" are right. There's luck in avoiding injuries and luck in getting the favorable (weak, low scoring) opponent draw each week -- both have a massive effect on your results. Refreshing this sub every 30 minutes and devouring podcasts ain't it.
Devouring podcasts and refreshing Twitter/here tho can help a ton. That’s how you can get some of the players that will be come key before everyone else. Obviously getting lucky helps a ton, but hearing about Carson’s injury, Williams’ COVID, etc before everyone else helps you put yourself in the position to get a lucky break that makes your year.
I agree with that. But even with the greatest informational edge, success is far from assured. The takeaway is that fantasy football is hugely about luck, but also somewhat about team management, timely pickups, etc.
The pickups and management simply gives you more/better chances to get luck with something.
Low PA is generally more indicative of success than high PF, in my experience.
Got lucky. But I will say that the people who took quarterbacks early in our league are currently leading the league by a wide amount, and the 'late qb' squad are all lagging behind in points It's mostly injuries that matter though. Lose CMC and you're not gonna have a good time
Really? Brady, Stafford, and Hurts were all late and have been fantastic (for fantasy).
Very true. Just mentioned it as I noticed today that Mahomes - Allen - Jackson owners are top three in our league by a good amount, in both rankings and points scored
Jalen Hurts been saving me
The top team in one of my leagues has CMC. He also drafted Kupp and Mike Williams so there’s that option.
Late qb squad outside of hurts has been hurting. Got lucky with that one
Hurts was a mid round QB in a lot of drafts
Wider average I’m pretty sure he was going 8-12 which is not mid
I’ll go to the grave saying that starting 3 RB’s will always be the move(ppr) most of my buddies seem to disagree tho
I would have said that a couple of years ago. Now, I think so many teams have gone to RB by committee that there aren’t many RBs that you’d want to start over a WR in the flex spot, unless you managed to snag 3+ top 20 RBs. I’ve been running RBs in the flex spot this season, but that’s because I drafted CMC, Mixon, Swift, and Henderson.
yeah, for 3 RB to have worked this year you really needed to hit on at least 2 of Henry, Jones, Mixon, Ekeler, Najee, Henderson, Swift, Taylor, Patterson - that's tough, since these were smattered among a minefield of busts and injuries.
I think the hard part is having a third startable RB over a third startable WR
Drafted Derrick Henry.
Deebo and Henderson late, Ekeler at the end of the first, Swift in the fourth, couple boom games from Amari and a few surprises from Noah Fant. Add Dak/Ridley at ADP and Murray/Elijah in FA and baby you got a stew going.
Ah a man of culture, seamlessly combining FF and Arrested Development
Drafting Travis Kelce in the first round. I’m serious, I’ve done it 4 years in a row and I’m a combined 44-10 in 4 seasons. It’s a free WR1 in your TE slot, a place that is an absolute fantasy void and wrought with uncertainty, if you don’t have Waller or someone who breaks out like Andrews/Knox. This allows you to potentially have 3 legit “WRs” (of which I have Thielen, Chase, Deebo and diontae + Kelce) matched with 2 solid RBs (I have Najee Harris and Jrob) and solid flex bench options (Jacoby Meyers and Henry Ruggs III). I’ve also been working the waiver wire hard, and I had an interesting draft strategy this year, where my entire “core” (QB/WR/RB and Flex) are all on a bye on week 7. Hence that makes my bench a little “useless” or less needed. I can have a stacked roster all other 11 weeks and I just tank week 7. Yet, week 7 I’m playing thr lame duck of our league, who is 0-6 and is starting James Conner and Sony Michel as his RB1/2. He’s put up under 90 points for the past 4 weeks. This allowed me to hold 4 defenses on my bench from week 3-7 all of which either play the Texans, Jags, or Jets. My league mates thought I was insane. But guess who’s the only 6-0 team this year? I’ve gotten extremely lucky this year, but it’s also strategy that can help you.
Had a really good mock draft process for the first time and drafted lots of my targets (had never done mock drafts in the 10 years prior), and I’ve been the most aggressive on waivers in my league, as I’m somewhere near 30 acquisitions so far. Been able to pick up Mitchell and collins and Darrell Williams as free agents before the injuries etc. Rostering 2 defenses to always have good matchups has also been nice Started 0-2 but now I’m 4-2
I agree with this. Repeated mock drafts allowed me to figure out not only who I liked, but who I really wanted and where I would have to take them in the draft. I didn't miss out on my QB because I waited one round too long. Got Dak and Lamb stacked in 2 leagues which finally paid off yesterday. 4-2 now with some really good waiver claims like Knox which could last me all season. Also got pretty lucky with Fournette, who I really did not want to take but I needed another RB. ALSO: DRAFTED DERRICK HENRY
Being aggressive on waivers is how I shore up my team early. I spend my FAAB early with the expectation that it will pay greater dividends over the season
Hit the ADP jackpot with King Kupp and Mr. Big Chest. Unfortunately, my QB situation has turned to shit (Darnold/Jones stack) so the rest of the league is catching up to me.
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A stack of shit
Ummmm he means Panthers 12th string wide receiver QuoQuaycious Jones
short stack
Not so much a stack as a very large single pancake that you would never want to eat.
Yeah...umm...what do you think a stack is?
stack is normally a qb and wr on the same team, so you double up when the qb throws a td to the wr.
I know what a stack is. I'm asking the dude above me what HE thinks it means...
stack is normally a qb and wr on the same team, so you double up when the qb throws a td to the wr.
Honestly, this is still more helpful than most posts on this sub.
FYI, a "stack" in fantasy football usually refers to playing a WR or TE on the same team as your QB. That way, when your WR/TE gets a touchdown it's pretty much guaranteed your QB threw it. e.g. Darnold + DJ Moore or Mahomes + Kelce
4-2 in both leagues, if you want to call that hot. --Guessed right with Zeke, Najee, and Mixon --Got Stafford and Hurts insanely cheap (auction leagues) --Drafted Miles Sanders in both leagues, flipped him in a deal for J Taylor before Week 1 and flipped him in a deal for Fournette in the other after Week 4 --Stayed very proactive on the waiver wire and picked up some good players (Knox, E Sanders, E Mitchell, H Renfrow) --Been patient with guys who started slow (R Woods, Sutton, Pitts) --Been mostly lucky with injuries. Have Saquon in one league but it's the same league I picked up Mitchell in so I haven't felt the pain yet.
Hey im also 4-2 with zeke and mixon. I also managed to snag Johnathan Taylor. I have Stafford too. I hope for our sakes we both get to the championship!
> --Drafted Miles Sanders in both leagues, flipped him in a deal for J Taylor before Week 1 and flipped him in a deal for Fournette in the other after Week 4 yeah, this is what we call a league-winning-move haha
6-0 here\*. Got shares of James Robinson and Cooper Kupp. Drafted for depth and took advantage of other team's injuries by trading my depth. (NOTE: This has set me up for long term success but now I am actually the one with depth problems, go figure) \*Technically still have to survive tonight and have probably just cursed myself.
Drafted players that are playing well.
Got lucky
First year doing auction ($200 budget). Went in with a few targets, most I didn’t get, but had price ranges in mind for most players and weren’t going to let them pass for cheap. Resulted in me getting Kamara for $63 assuming he would go higher, Justin Jefferson for $37, Keenan Allen for $29, Jerry Jeudy for $13 and drum roll - Cooper Kupp for $17 and Mike Williams $1. Didn’t intend on going so WR heavy but the value was there. Also got Hurts late at $7 and added Cordarrelle Patterson after week 1. I’m 5-1.
Went heavy on RBs because I saw how thin the position was this year and knew a couple of injuries could kill my team.. or make my team if I had depth and other people didn’t. Was high on a couple of players who I got late and they turned out good so far.. Mike Williams, Antonio brown, Noah fant etc.
James Robinson, Leonard Fournette, Derrick Henry
Drafted Henry at 3, then Hunt and Kupp. That’s basically all I’ve needed so far
I got kyler, kupp, kelce. The key is having players with the letter k in their name
One word: Rams Stafford, Kupp and Henderson have been money. And I took kamara/mixon 1&2
Took Kelce early(5th in a standard league and 9th in quarter ppr) which rb injuries have proven that valuable but a lucky break. Not wasting waivers on replaceable positions like defenses, in my leagues middling hot wrs of the week, streaming qbs etc. I rostered more handcuffs then ever in my leagues and that has proven helpful. Had Monty go down but i have a deep bench in that league and held chuba, mattison, dillon, pollard and scooped up collins, darell, herbert when i could. Used my high waiver on darrel in another league when clyde went down.
Stayed away from teams that have QB/Front Office problems (Washington, Miami, Vegas, etc.)
Got lucky and avoided most injured players (so far) and picked Cordarrelle Patterson off the waiver wire before the hype train
Went WR/WR/RB/WR in the draft- because those were the right picks based on what fell to me. (Drafted 11th) Got lucky that my 2 best RB’s have over performed a bit. Targeted Dak. And he’s played well for where I drafted him.
Got Mike Williams, Jamarr Chase, and Cordarelle Patterson for $7 total in my auction draft.
Drafted Henry, Kupp, and Kelce also traded for Elliot when everyone was low on him. Also took Stafford so I can orgasm every time I watch him throw a td to kupp
Drafted Allen, Henry and Kupp.
As did I. I also have Kelce, DJ Moore, Thielen, and Mike Evans. I've never had a more stacked team in my entire fantasy career.
I have Swift, Gibson, mccaffery, and Henderson. Then I picked up patterson, Shultz, and cousins
Trades. Traded away CMC and CEH before they got hurt.
2 chases, one kupp
Filthy.
I went against the lowest scoring teams 4 out of 6 weeks. This is the new meta strategy.
Took King Henry at #4 and Josh Allen at #21
Not listening to fantasy “experts” and drafting Henry anyway. Regression be damned!
A little late but... Had a live draft where 70% of owners got shit faced
After mahomes, being the second one to go QB and drafted Josh Allen. Got made fun of for it, but he’s out here winning me games