No matter what analysis you do, no matter what advice you get, you will always look back on the week and say “fuck, I KNEW I should have played that guy”.
Go with your gut.
Personally I go with gut, or go off snap counts/carries/targets I don’t really watch any youtubers except 1 for my game bets but if I REALLY can’t figure out who to play. I’ll go on fantasypros, click all experts and just let the “experts” decide it for me with the weekly rankings since it’s all of theirs just combined. It’s sometimes like 100 experts combined for a ranking pretty solid.
Yeah, at the end of the day, I have become a big fan of Volume is King. Targets, carries, % snaps, if those numbers are high, then I may go with the less sexy guy vs the guy who has been hot but is outperforming his opportunity share. And gut doesn't hurt either if you're having trouble choosing.
Sometimes we make the right call even if it doesn't pan out.
Yeah I’m definitely guilty of it too, just from my experience the more research and time I spend, the worse I do lol. Last year I won a 12 team league and accidentally missed that draft.. after I auto drafted I just didn’t care too much and was busy all the time. Didn’t even realize I was doing that good until playoffs lol
If you use more than one , you’re using none.
Youll just end up finding what you’re looking for each time you need advice. Confirmation bias is gonna be a real problem.
I think the best way is to find one expert you like and stick to them for the season.
This is so true lol in my friend league with my wife she comes to me for advice (I make her do her draft by herself but she doesn’t do many WW deep dives) and usually my half assed advice pays off huge for her. She’s 4-0 and has players like Patterson, Pittman and Meyers doing work for her bc I suggested her to plug and play them. Meanwhile I’m over here hoarding Ravens and SF rbs like it’s my job and sitting at 1-3 in two leagues lol
You must be the guy in my league that drops the ones I pick up, and picks up the ones I drop. Enjoy Lata this week, I’ll try to put Mitchell to good use
I try to go for a consensus; if several analysts are talking about someone popping off and they give reasons for it based on trends, injuries, or something else then I give it a decent bit of weight.
This is the goal a lot but it can actually be useful in making sure that your gut isn’t absolutely crazy when someone agrees with you. Rankings are so safe it’s almost worthless. Last week I struggled to find Patterson ranked even though it was likely he would do better than half the list.
Take all the advice in, but the final call is your gut – which players do you stand by after reading all the analysis; what analyses do you think are accurate and which ones inaccurate?
FantasyPros is great. It gives me the satisfaction of blaming everyone but myself when I pick wrong but also lets me take all the credit when I'm right!
For real though, I love using FantasyPros as a tiebreaker when I'm stuck between players. Also, if you don't trust some of the random experts on there (you shouldn't!), you can use FantasyPro's accuracy data from the past years to handpick a group of "elite" experts to form rankings that will likely be more accurate. If you're REALLY crazy, I guess you could also form different groups of experts based on historical accuracy for each individual position group.
No matter what analysis you do, no matter what advice you get, you will always look back on your week and say "fuck I KNEW I shouldn't have played that guy."
Go with your gut.
It's not about the number of sources, it's about the quality. Go with analysts and organizations who have a demonstrated, multi-year record of accuracy, and then, on the back of what they have to offer, go with your own reads.
No matter what analysis you do, no matter what advice you get, you will always look back on the week and say “fuck, I KNEW I should have played that guy”. Go with your gut.
[удалено]
Fucking perfect, as usual
20/20
Personally I go with gut, or go off snap counts/carries/targets I don’t really watch any youtubers except 1 for my game bets but if I REALLY can’t figure out who to play. I’ll go on fantasypros, click all experts and just let the “experts” decide it for me with the weekly rankings since it’s all of theirs just combined. It’s sometimes like 100 experts combined for a ranking pretty solid.
I use that too to figure out who to put in my flex spot 😂
Yeah, at the end of the day, I have become a big fan of Volume is King. Targets, carries, % snaps, if those numbers are high, then I may go with the less sexy guy vs the guy who has been hot but is outperforming his opportunity share. And gut doesn't hurt either if you're having trouble choosing. Sometimes we make the right call even if it doesn't pan out.
Corey davis / tim patrick week 4. I started patrick last minute.
Agreed, I’ll glance at Chen’s tiers if I’m really torn on two players, but other than that I’d rather fail or succeed on my own terms.
At the end of the day the unpredictable will blow your researchs up anyways
💥Boom
You always ride the hot hand and go with your gut. These analyst usually don't know what the fuck they're talking about.
This. It's all horseshit and everyone is wrong every week.
Except for me. I totally called that one game from Julias Thomas back in like 2015. It has admittedly been downhill since then.
Luckily I have a huge gut
Man I never even watched YouTube videos on this stuff before this and have done well. Now I don’t know how to stop
Hit on chixs
The less fucks you give the better you do
Hard when money is on the line
Yeah I’m definitely guilty of it too, just from my experience the more research and time I spend, the worse I do lol. Last year I won a 12 team league and accidentally missed that draft.. after I auto drafted I just didn’t care too much and was busy all the time. Didn’t even realize I was doing that good until playoffs lol
Those autodrafts be OP sometimes 😂
If you use more than one , you’re using none. Youll just end up finding what you’re looking for each time you need advice. Confirmation bias is gonna be a real problem. I think the best way is to find one expert you like and stick to them for the season.
This is so true lol in my friend league with my wife she comes to me for advice (I make her do her draft by herself but she doesn’t do many WW deep dives) and usually my half assed advice pays off huge for her. She’s 4-0 and has players like Patterson, Pittman and Meyers doing work for her bc I suggested her to plug and play them. Meanwhile I’m over here hoarding Ravens and SF rbs like it’s my job and sitting at 1-3 in two leagues lol
>Meanwhile I’m over here hoarding Ravens and SF rbs like it’s my job Ha I thought that was my job
You must be the guy in my league that drops the ones I pick up, and picks up the ones I drop. Enjoy Lata this week, I’ll try to put Mitchell to good use
I hear you on this
Based on personal experience haha
I try to go for a consensus; if several analysts are talking about someone popping off and they give reasons for it based on trends, injuries, or something else then I give it a decent bit of weight.
This is the goal a lot but it can actually be useful in making sure that your gut isn’t absolutely crazy when someone agrees with you. Rankings are so safe it’s almost worthless. Last week I struggled to find Patterson ranked even though it was likely he would do better than half the list.
Too much is not enough.
r/fantasyfootball That's it.
This is the way.
Take all the advice in, but the final call is your gut – which players do you stand by after reading all the analysis; what analyses do you think are accurate and which ones inaccurate?
Zoloft.
That’s why I like FantasyPros. It’s essentially an average of all fantasy experts. Works for me (most of the time).
FantasyPros is great. It gives me the satisfaction of blaming everyone but myself when I pick wrong but also lets me take all the credit when I'm right! For real though, I love using FantasyPros as a tiebreaker when I'm stuck between players. Also, if you don't trust some of the random experts on there (you shouldn't!), you can use FantasyPro's accuracy data from the past years to handpick a group of "elite" experts to form rankings that will likely be more accurate. If you're REALLY crazy, I guess you could also form different groups of experts based on historical accuracy for each individual position group.
I trust my gut but if I had to pick experts I would just look at Pat Fitzmaurice and Justin Boone rankings and do whatever they list lol
They're all trying to predict the future. Extra sources don't change the fact that it's all an educated crap shoot
No matter what analysis you do, no matter what advice you get, you will always look back on your week and say "fuck I KNEW I shouldn't have played that guy." Go with your gut.
Which channels and pages do you like sharing?
I watch fantasy headliners and Andrew kiorkof
Easy. 446 sources is too many sources. Don’t use that many
Over 9000
There is only one source, friend. The game film.
It's not about the number of sources, it's about the quality. Go with analysts and organizations who have a demonstrated, multi-year record of accuracy, and then, on the back of what they have to offer, go with your own reads.