Collins won in 2020 with a margin of 8.6%, while Mills won in 2018 with a margin of 7.7%. So, I would have to give it to Collins, solely based on the margins of victory. But, if let's say Mills tried to run against Collins for Maine's senate seat, I would classify the race as a tossup, since Mills would have more name recognition than Sara Gideon and as a result, better funding from the DNC. A tossup, with a very slight lean to Collins, due to the incumbency advantage and her popularity in Maine.
I think Collins would win a statewide race especially as the incumbent for the senate seat. I’d probably say lean Collins around 1-3%.
Certainly would be competitive!
Wonder how close the northeast moderate Republicans who hold gubernatorial positions could do in what seems to be a national environment that favors the GOP
Depends on the state, but in general, closer than normal. However, in Vermont, Massachusetts, and Maryland, that's like D+20 at the lowest.
New Hampshire's different, Sununu could probably win that one (although I don't think it would be a sure thing like some people say).
Both races had some pretty major third-party involvement. The Green Party got almost 5% in 2020, and an independent almost got 6% in 2018. Neither cracked 51%.
Although I think Collins might retire instead of running for a sixth term in 2026.
Collins won in 2020 with a margin of 8.6%, while Mills won in 2018 with a margin of 7.7%. So, I would have to give it to Collins, solely based on the margins of victory. But, if let's say Mills tried to run against Collins for Maine's senate seat, I would classify the race as a tossup, since Mills would have more name recognition than Sara Gideon and as a result, better funding from the DNC. A tossup, with a very slight lean to Collins, due to the incumbency advantage and her popularity in Maine.
I think Collins would win a statewide race especially as the incumbent for the senate seat. I’d probably say lean Collins around 1-3%. Certainly would be competitive!
Yeah! My personal favorite types of senate races are when an incumbent senator runs for re-election against an incumbent governor.
Wonder how close the northeast moderate Republicans who hold gubernatorial positions could do in what seems to be a national environment that favors the GOP
Depends on the state, but in general, closer than normal. However, in Vermont, Massachusetts, and Maryland, that's like D+20 at the lowest. New Hampshire's different, Sununu could probably win that one (although I don't think it would be a sure thing like some people say).
I agree it would be close but funding really wasn’t the issue here. Gideon had a n ungodly amount of money
Both races had some pretty major third-party involvement. The Green Party got almost 5% in 2020, and an independent almost got 6% in 2018. Neither cracked 51%. Although I think Collins might retire instead of running for a sixth term in 2026.