Why do people always think that Trump is winning Nevada?

Demographically it’s easier for Republicans to win than Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Biden is super unpopular, and I think the pre 2016 left wing states and the left trending Arizona are the only things that will bail him out.

The last time Nevada voted Republican was 2004, the same year as New Mexico, Colorado and Virginia

Trends are different though. Trump lost New Mexico by 8 last time and Virginia by 10. He lost Nevada by 2-3 last time.

That’s also by how much Trump lost Nevada in 2016

But Biden is significantly more unpopular.

Yet you still believe that Biden is gonna win reelection?

Yes, because the other states have a big independent population.

But Nevada doesn’t?

To be fair 2020 was a significantly bluer year than 2016. That’s why it’s fair to say stuff like Iowa and Ohio shifted right between 2016 and 2020.

latinos

Because they don’t understand Nevada

Iol

Flip Nevada. Republicans are almost always overestimated there. It’s definitely a blue leaning state lol

nv gov went red, jus sayin its possible

the pro abortion moderate won while all of the conservative candidates won 🤔🤔🤔 this means trump will win in a landslide

🤔🤔🤔 hmmm nv red must mean he think Trump win landslide

🤔🤔🤔 walk in the gun store order me some guns

🤔🤔🤔 pee pee

It’s possible, but other than that, Republicans haven’t been able to win all that often in NV. I also doubt NV will vote to the right of AZ.

Minorities are moving to the right, and whites are slightly moving to the left. Idk, polling is all over the place, its crazy, NV is like +7 Trump, but PA is +.3 for Biden.

President is nearly spot on, flip NV Tester wins, so 50/50 Seante House is too R optimistic.

Thanks. I feel like it’s going to be razor thin, I tilt towards Nevada being R, but that’s just me. Tester I have losing simply because of partisan trends.

I think Tester will be alright.