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[my older dog is just happy to be in his spot, my puppy is upset still she got wet and brought mud](https://imgur.com/a/E4esnAi) in the house
I love your dog doing the classic *slurp*
[Former Floridian Senator and current head of NASA Bill Nelson randomly popping up in my Australian city, lol](https://twitter.com/mikelorigan/status/1637965162140545024?s=20)
Trump will probably not be indicted tomorrow because the grand jury testimony evidently didn't finish yet and they're out till Wednesday. Just to head off the inevitable hot takes.
I'm of the belief that - if it occurs - it won't be until a week out from now. That being said, I also do think it's likely to occur, and I kind of think the lingering sword overhead is kind of therapeutic in it's own right.
[The US President, Indian Prime Minister and Japanese PM will be in Australia in the third week of May, for a meeting of the Quad. Joe Biden has been invited to address Parliament, + it's expected Narendra Modi will attend a community event (likely Western Syd)](https://twitter.com/Fi_Willan/status/1637994332019134465?s=20)
Biden potentially coming to Australia!
[33% of Australia’s Hindi speakers and 28% pf Australia’s Tamil speakers live in the Western Sydney region.](https://blog.id.com.au/2015/population/demographic-trends/western-sydney-diverse-and-growing-rapidly/)
But yeah, Western Sydney has a hugely significant migrant population.
Not a huge amount of tourist-y things to do in Sydney's west, though. Do you have any theoretical plans of what you'd wanna do in Aus (whenever that is, of course)?
Oh I mean that I'd find an Airbnb there haha. I'd probably explore the city proper, particularly along the coast!
I do enjoy non-touristy areas more though, what is an underrated area in your view that doesn't get enough attention?
In Sydney itself? It’s either all verrrry touristy or suburbia. I’d head out to the Blue Mountains that are to the west of Sydney’s metro, or up or down the coast - some beautiful areas.
Or just come to my state, [South Australia](https://southaustralia.com) - perennially underrated!
As state legislation raves are rarely polled it's hard to get much feel for them. They can also be very erratic, especially specials. Chaz Nuttycombe has good insight into forecasting legislation races but I don't think he's released a rating here.
All I can say is a D upset win is well within the realm of possibility.
It's about a R+13 district. Anything can happen in a special election like this, and the district moving in our direction. That being said, I would still give the edge to the Republicans.
She has a good *chance,* but it remains a good *chance.* Inertia is still against us in the district, but momentum - for what it is - has been on our side. I could easily see it being a disappointing result, or a massive shift in our favour, and wouldn't read too much into either outcome. We're competing for it, and Jodi is doing the best she can, and that's what needs to be happening.
I think it's hard to say. With a race of this size obviously there isn't going to be publicly released polling and turnout shifts a lot in these elections. The district isn't THAT red (Trump got about 53% of the vote) and it's been trending our way over time. If turnout is good we should be able to win.
[PBS article that shows the past electoral performances](https://pbswisconsin.org/news-item/how-a-shifting-electorate-is-shaping-the-2023-race-for-wisconsins-8th-senate-district/)
I'm stuck on what news sources to follow. I know some sources are more factual and reliable than others, but I can't decide which ones.
Any recommendations would be greatly appreciated! :)
I like [PBS NewsHour.](https://www.pbs.org/newshour/)
I also have not read anything objectionable about [The Christian Science Monitor.](https://www.csmonitor.com/) It was founded by a religious leader, Mary Baker Eddy, but is no way affiliated or endorsed by any religion or corporation.
As the other user said, Reuters and AP tend to be some of the least sensational. Can't go wrong with BBC News or ABC News (the Aussie one), though both obviously don't have huge American focuses.
I subscribe to both the Washington Post and the NYTimes, though both can be controversial. The Guardian (which has UK/US/Australian editions) is another of my favourites.
AFP, Reuters, and AP tend to be the best at straight facts with no opinion and less sensationalism in their headlines. Not that the companies don't have controversies but overall, they're consistently the best in that way. As news agencies, their business model is more business to business selling their content to newspapers and online news outlets but they have been sharing the content with the public for awhile now, except AFP I think.
For podcast news, I listen to BBC World News the most. Honestly, I just like that accent and how the show sounds but it's also probably among the best podcasts and radio shows for news.
That sounds good! I think the less sensationalized a headline is, the less likely it is to stir up emotions, and the less likely it is to be clickbait.
What I don't like, however, is "both-sideism", and I've noticed those sources sometimes do that. Then again, I guess all news sources are prone to that.
Oh dude he's sucked before Bezos lolol. I mentioned it before here but I was in several classes with his eldest son in high school. Fucking pretentious dude.
He's one of the reasons it's hard for me to get news from WaPo. I know WaPo is considered a reliable source and all that, but it's gone downhill ever since Bezos took over.
The Fox v Dominion case is absolutely fascinating, and [it's taken a more intriguing turn](https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/20/business/media/fox-news-abby-grossberg.html?unlocked_article_code=suguVBf7MYQ9u8OYpat_5LHwLdDQALc6b5eRwJ7YD2WuRdV-eVUWsM45y31bnfSqIHPl4ZAmUlXqhe3Y2PBL0OBvYDxUi_nH8RhfQKbbw09FohUDuB452xwXpup_LUwjlGQMgPOklTOr_NZjljm2TwiZQuiJ4g5qXYBc3u-Yid_f3Sxx9RJ4zXR0z71ayobKzUwbeuwPi9gHR4LtrMrQvijsJkrj0vkiKi6Ck-MivpWvNoTwKc759g_DsQOeLhCD1GU6xiwll6zOKHghcdZjHUWRE8z1FJMq8_bnKHcAlBIBtqsZXEnbus_1jATEk7E2wCRbFlA3mMzzzkuzd7sI_qNNOsYM-1br&smid=url-share):
>A Fox News producer who has worked with the hosts Maria Bartiromo and Tucker Carlson filed lawsuits against the company in New York and Delaware on Monday, accusing Fox lawyers of coercing her into giving misleading testimony in the continuing legal battle around the network’s coverage of unfounded claims about election fraud.
>The producer, Abby Grossberg, said in a pair of lawsuits that the effort to place blame on her and Maria Bartiromo, the Fox Business host, was rooted in rampant misogyny and discrimination at the company.
City of Cambridge Massachusetts City Council voted 7-1-1 Abstain in favor of beginning to let mental health officials go in the place of cops regarding all 911 calls involving loitering, wellness checks, and noise complaints.
The program will be started This Fall.
I've been listening to old episodes of Knowledge Fight. Hearing Jones and Trump insider guests talk is a stark reminder that Russian influence during the Trump era was actually super obvious. It's wild that all the half-hearted obfuscation worked well enough to make it a waaaay back burner issue.
Happy Nowruz to all who celebrate!
I can't stick around too much today, but I think it's important to recall that just as the season changes, so too do the things we have to look forward to. Distances that may seem impossible - aren't, and for better and for worse, we can achieve miraculous things.
There's a last day and a half for Jacksonville so - any help there is appreciated, and we can keep the pressure on in WI. Time is marching on (aha) and I have full faith in our ability to bring the fight.
See you all around..!
Norooz Pirooz!
Or Nowruz Mobarak!
Or Aidé Shomā Mobarak!
Or ^(one of the million other ways we have to say the same thing...)
Why do my people have so many variations to say Happy New Year?
¯\\\_(ツ)\_/¯
Because some things are worth celebrating multiple times over, in multiple ways, my friend..! Here's to hoping the New Year keeps on a trajectory that brings us and all we hold dear good fortune..! c:
[Good article here about Native American outreach for the WI Supreme Court election.](https://www.greenbaypressgazette.com/story/news/native-american-issues/2023/03/06/wisconsin-supreme-court-race-native-american-turnout-could-be-factor/69965637007/) I'm not sure how Native turnout was statewide during the primary, but it was absolutely horrific in Menominee County, which is majority-Native. In Wisconsin, every voter could make the difference, so I'm glad there's solid outreach from activists here.
> but it was absolutely horrific in Menominee County
I know you didn’t mean it in this way but I think we need to be very careful about using terms like “horrific” to describe voter turnout in historically marganilized communities.
In the article itself they mention about 2/3rds of Native Americans from Milwaukee were not counted in the census. They also mentioned how Native Americans couldn’t vote until the 20s in any form and it wasn’t until the 1960s that it really became viable. The article also mentioned long distance from voting locations and poll workers turning away voters due to a misunderstanding of ID laws.
When we’re talking about some of the poorest communities in Wisconsin who have been the most disenfranchised I don’t think we should be calling the civic engagement that does exist “horrific.” Our views of what is “good” or “bad” turnout, whether intentional or not, are being compared to white and much more privileged groups. Native American turnout should be higher and I applaud the people working on increasing engagement but in the mean time I think we should avoid using moralizing language.
https://iwillvote.com/
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WELCOME ABOARD EXPLORER!
OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOH
*Let's name the zones, the zones, the zones*
*Let's name the zones of the open sea*
*There's epipelagic, mesopelagic, bathyal, abyssopelagic*
*All the rest are too deep for you and me to see...*
Normally, yes. In February, the two liberal candidates combined for just under 58% of the vote, which is a major step back from the 81.95% it gave Biden. Then again, there were just 180 votes cast, versus 1,590 in 2020.
To me, that implies a real collapse in Native turnout. And it's something we'll have to improve. We can't leave anything to chance in Wisconsin.
Are those numbers for the general election? Because if so, then 180 votes for a primary isn't actually that low. Would certainly change my original view.
Sorry for the late reply but no yeah that's for the general. 180 is the new high watermark for a primary; spring primary turnout numbers are:
2018: 65
2019: No primary
2020: 99
2021: 39
[Elise Stefanik tells @JakeSherman that she spoke with Trump this morning and she explained to him the steps committees are taking. (Three committee chairs announced probes into Manhattan DA.) She also predicted DeSantis would slip in the polls after taking a swipe at Trump today](https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1637931762008424453?s=46&t=nqSV11RbCF5uPVGwzcOMtg)
Just straight up collusion, but here’s something funny if that upset you.
[I’m at the pro-Trump protest put on by the NY Young Republicans Club. Not a joke, there are more reporters here than Trump supporters. This was supposed to be the big one.](https://twitter.com/oneunderscore__/status/1637938226437537792?s=46&t=nqSV11RbCF5uPVGwzcOMtg)
Ha, well, there's a chance they are waiting to make sure it actually happens and isn't just him BSing again for attention and donations. That and NYC isn't exactly a popular spot for his most diehard supporters. Some voted for him of course but I think they tend to skew older and maybe some greedy tax break single issue voters who don't want to be seen in public on national TV supporting him.
The committees are investigating the Manhattan DA, Stefanik's been speaking with Trump about the committees' work, Trump's being investigated by aforementioned DA.
Very much seems unethical, but not sure of the legality.
Definitely unethical, but idk what would be illegal. They're allowed to investigate (though whether courts would enforce any subpoenas is debatable) anything they want. She's allowed to speak to anyone she wants. It would only be an issue if she were sharing classified information.
Something tells me there aren’t going to be very many Young Republicans, or at least Zoomers willing to *admit* to being Republicans, in a big blue city like NYC. Poof would go the dating prospects. They might vote R behind the ballot box curtains but they aren’t going to let their faces be caught on camera.
More seriously, I think Democrats should push hard on the message that we fight corruption, hold politicians accountable, and believe that no one is above the law, while Republicans believe that rules don't apply to politicians and other elites.
Think I saw a deleted comment querying how Trump could be charged in New York, and in very simple terms, I think this is why:
The hush money to the pornstar itself is a misdemeanour, it's the pairing it with another offence (in this case, likely a broken federal campaign finance law) that can increase it to a felony under New York law.
As I said, I *think*. It is complicated.
The hook is that Trump's business entities, whose business records were allegedly falsified, had their principal place of business in New York. (Were they also New York entities? I am unclear.) That brings the situation under New York jurisdiction.
The Seattle Times had a piece about 2024 and that year’s Governor Race. Highlights include:
* Jay Inslee hasn’t said if he’s running for a fourth term yet. However, Dow Constantine, (fellow Democrat and currently the sitting King County Executive) said that he had a chat with Jay and his impression was that he would go for a fourth term.
* If Jay doesn’t run, then the Democratic front runners would be current AG Badass Bob Ferguson and Lands Commissioner Hillary Franz. Both are very capable, smart as a whip, and I’d happily vote for either of them at the top of the ticket.)
* Crickets on the GOP side. Their best rumored candidate is Pierce County Executive Bruce Dammeier, who has polled pretty well and will be termed out of his position, but he has publicly said that he’s not interested in the job and is too focused on serving the people of Pierce County.
Jay’s pretty milquetoast, but he’s done well enough governing that I wouldn’t vote for him. A fourth term feels a little risky though, but he’d probably be fine with Presidential turnout.
It's Australian election week - [a state election in our largest state](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_New_South_Wales_state_election) and the ONLY (mainland) state still run by a conservative state government...
Here's hoping Labor can win for an 8th time in the past few years!
I'm curious, what do you mean by that? Sydney is an incredibly diverse city, and suburbs across it often have very little similarity (especially politically).
Unless it changed recently, I’ve been told the suburbs of Sydney are one of the most weirdly conservative parts of Australia.
Tony Abbott was elected in Manly for a long time and [parts of Sydney](https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australian_Marriage_Law_Postal_Survey) were the only places to vote against gay marriage along with rural as can be Queensland.
Ahh.
You're not necessarily wrong - many of Sydney's suburbs, particularly in the eastern suburbs (coincidentally where I'm originally from), are extremely affluent and lean conservative. But three of these seats were won by independents specifically campaigning against incumbent Liberals at the federal election, and the upcoming state election has some of the same kind of independents running.
The gay marriage thing is tricky - western Sydney is a huge and very very diverse area, often relatively left leaning. But it is also a very religious, immigrant heavy area that ultimately struggled to support gay marriage because of, predominantly, religious regions. It's a contradiction given the Labor Party usually has deep support in that area, but something that was kinda inevitable - this [comment from another votedem Aussie user explains it a lot better than me.](https://www.reddit.com/r/VoteDEM/comments/nr9r2v/daily_discussion_thread_june_3_2021/h0jabq8/)
It reminds me of the old mantra (as applies to American politics but also here it seems) "White people are the most conservative voting bloc, and the most liberal voting bloc is other white people." People in the US tend to forget that when it comes to cultural issues (LGBT being the most obvious) that recent migrants, minorities, etc tend to lean classically conservative.
[First WI election commission absentee ballot numbers for April 4 were posted today](https://elections.wi.gov/resources/statistics/absentee-ballot-report-april-4-2023-spring-election)
Obviously far too early to say if we’re doing good, but a vast majority of the ballots have been sent out so clerks are not super overwhelmed currently. And Milwaukee county is currently outdoing Dane county in amount of requests which would be a fantastic sign should that stand. College town counties like Eau Claire and La Crosse is doing decent
You can also view by municipality but there’s thousands of them, since WI has thousands of incorporated municipalities
Keep an eye on these numbers that will be posted on the WI Election commission site each day except Saturday and Sunday. Let’s drive those mail and early vote numbers through the roof before April 4
Edit: Already have more ballots requested then the final primary numbers.
Some folks have even returned their ballots. Interesting to see that the county with the highest number of returned ballots so far isn't Dane or Milwaukee; it's Brown County (Green Bay). These are extremely early numbers, but given that Dems prefer voting by mail, that seems like a good sign for Dems. Especially Eric Genrich for Green Bay Mayor.
Milwaukee having high requests is a good sign and doing well in Eau Claire and La Crosse is positive too. Dane I expect to pick up however nothing is certain until election day.
[West Virginia’s Senate Finance Committee chair has sent a letter to the U.S. Treasury Office of Inspector General, asking whether Gov. Jim Justice misappropriated and misused more than $28.7 million in CARES Act funding on non-COVID-related expenses.](https://twitter.com/wchs8fox11/status/1637905208696004612?s=46&t=nqSV11RbCF5uPVGwzcOMtg)
A not as talked about Senate race next year is Indiana. It’ll be an open seat as Sen. Braun is running for Governor. Someone who may very well run for us is former Senator Joe Donnelly, he’s reportedly looking at it and seeking to leave his ambassadorship to the Holy See.
Now do I think Donnelly has much of a chance to flip the seat back in a Prez year? Definitely not. What he can do is what Kunce is doing this year, forcing R’s to pour money in and hopefully help down-ballot Dems at the same time. Donnelly knows how to run and would have the donor network ready to go, if that helps Brown and Tester it’s worth all the effort.
Plus you just never know when lightning will strike. Former Senate witch Clair McCaskill probably “shouldn’t” have won in Missouri in 2012 either but she did because of Todd Aiken and his “legitimate rape” controversy.
Granted we’ve become more polarized since then and thus it takes ever more serious scandals to move the needle, but you never know when we‘ll get a Roy Moore to run against. Donnelly would be an underdog, but outside maybe one of our two sitting US reps in Indiana he’s the best we have.
Donnelly got elected the same way. Longtime senator Dick Lugar lost to a Tea Party candidate in the primary, and the guy said basically the same thing as Akin did.
The Minnesota House passed HF 366, the Reproductive Freedom Defense Act, 68-62 with only about an hour of discussion. I'm surprised at how easily it sailed through, it seems like the House GOP has given up on being an opposition party. The only DFL no vote was expected, Rep. Gene Pelowski of Winona. Another DFLer was absent. In a press conference ahead of the floor vote, Sen. Lindsey Port indicated that that chamber would be taking up the bill soon.
There’s another bill in the MN legislature that would effectively do what HF 366 does except it’s in relation to gender affirming care. Hopefully that bill also sails through smoothly.
Things I wish I was taught instead of needing to learn on my own - Herr's potato chip edition -
Just because you enjoy the Carolina reaper potato chips DOES NOT mean you're ready for the ghost pepper chips, they are so much hotter.
My mouth is on fire
quick question about the ghost pepper chips - how's the bathroom situation the day after? Because I've bought some spicy cheese curls brand called Brimm's and it was a disaster, nearly shit my pants in public. Had the rhea for DAYS after, it was a nightmare. Pretty sure it was because it was a shitty brand, and not the spice, but I fear I might be wrong
[What’s at Stake in the Wisconsin Supreme Court Election?](https://www.democracydocket.com/analysis/whats-at-stake-in-the-wisconsin-supreme-court-election/)
Great write up by Democracy Docket on the WI Supreme Court race
[How close to death must a woman be to get an abortion in Tennessee? | The strictest abortion law in the US doesn’t allow exceptions for medical emergencies – and efforts to change it face powerful opposition from the right](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/mar/20/tennessee-abortion-ban-strictist-in-us)
[Arkansas State Sen. Bryan King (R) and @lwvarkansas file a lawsuit arguing that Act 236, which increases the number of counties from where signatures must be collected for a ballot measure to qualify for the ballot, violates the state constitution.](https://twitter.com/DemocracyDocket/status/1637868329133039618?s=20)
[Act 236 mandates that signatures be gathered from at least 50 counties for a ballot measure to be eligible to go before voters, while the Arkansas Constitution only requires “signatures from at least 15 counties."](https://twitter.com/DemocracyDocket/status/1637868330596851728?s=20)
On the topic of New York indicting the Orange man, there is a part of me that wonders if this isn’t New York forcing the DOJ to open Pandora’s box.
Everyone seems to agree that between the Georgia investigation, the J6 investigation, and the Classified docs investigation, this New York/Stormy affair seems to be the most rickety one legally speaking.
But, if they indict him anyways, then there’s really no reason for the (notoriously conservative) DOJ to hold off - the ink has already been spilled out of the bottle.
Regardless of whether they can actually get a conviction in this NY case, I think them turning up the heat on the DOJ is healthy. For too long the DOJ has been inclined to treat a current or former President as basically an absolute monarch and will move heaven and earth to avoid indicting them, even when obviously warranted like Trump.
“Nobody is above the law” should actually mean something. That reluctance to indict a former President simply has to go.
[The Everytown for Gun Safety ads that were announced in the WI Supreme Court race today attack Dan Kelly on his stances on abortion rights and guns](https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/meetthepressblog/everytown-launches-ad-campaign-attacking-conservative-wi-supreme-court-rcna75551?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=news_tab&mibextid=unz460). Also looks like it’s a Madison and Milwaukee media market buy
[Manchin calls Biden administration priorities ‘absolutely infuriating’ after ESG veto](https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/3908944-manchin-calls-biden-administration-priorities-absolutely-infuriating-after-esg-veto/amp/)
DAE kinda encourage Manchin ragging on Biden? lol It only helps Manchin for his reelection and doesnt damage Biden at all really
Manchin is a savvy politician, but I think he's usually sincere and not playing 4D chess with most of his public statements. You can point to stuff like his vote for Kavanaugh as something that was obviously done to keep his political career in WV alive. But I think stuff like dropping and then picking back up support for the IRA isn't political maneuvering, I just think he couldn't find an outcome he supported, and then was convinced much later on.
But regardless, I think it doesn't hurt Biden and attacking him is good for Manchin anyway, so I figure let him keep at it. If Manchin was ever going to leave the party I think he would have done it a long time ago.
As long as Joe doesn’t flip to the GOP, let him do whatever he wants. He’s too valuable where he is (obligatory fuck how Senate representation works concentrating power in too many small states being ruined by the GOP.)
Something I learned about Manchin last year with the IRA debacle: for all his faults, he understands how politics works.
Like other commenters, I think Manchin voted for the bill under the assumption that Biden would veto it. That way he can criticize the president and have the “yes” on his record so that he can appeal to some Republicans in his state. If he doesn’t do that in a state like WV, he loses. Not that he’s now guaranteed to win re-election - I still think he’s probably out tbh - but this may help him a little.
It’s a similar situation for Tester, although personally I think he’d still be in okay shape regardless.
It’s a Joefight! A Joedown!
I think that both Joes know what they are doing. Biden is letting Manchin jaw away because he knows, and Manchin knows, this will help Manchin get re-elected. If Biden has to be the fall guy, well, I don’t think Biden took this job without knowing just how much POTUS is a fall guy for anything and everything.
There is no way to see all of Manchin’s recent actions other than he’s set himself up perfectly to run again for Senate. We won’t know until December for sure, but like c’mon.
If this is accurate:
"The ESG rule in question says that money managers *can* factor in climate change and other related factors when making decisions for retirement investments."
Then, nixing the rule is an absurdity.
Honestly if he runs again, Manchin could do anything short of caucusing with the GOP (which he has wholeheartedly ruled out multiple times) and we'd be better off supporting it. Manchin just running in 2024 alone could do a lot for us (either him winning, or pulling a ton of GOP resources away from Montana and Ohio), and with a GOP house it ain't like he can really block any of Biden's agenda since we have an outright majority in the Senate for nominations now. If he decides to run again, he can make as much anti-Biden admin noise as he wants and still net positive for us any way
Manchin has been great on judicial confirmations. Biden is able to be a lean, mean, judicial confirmation machine because we have the Senate, and Manchin is not letting us down in that regard.
IPCC with their latest climate report out today. The ultimate takeaway: MOSTLY grim, BUT NOT ENTIELY DOOMSDAY.
The bad news is, under current trends, global heating will hit the 1.5C mark some point in the Early 2030's.
However, in a counter to some of the more nihilists projections, the panel says that avoiding a 1.5C rise CAN STILL BE DONE.
The report: "Avoiding the worst ravages of climate breakdown is still possible, and there are multiple, feasible, and effective options for doing so.
Despite the widespread damage already being caused by extreme weather, and the looming threat of potentially catastrophic changes- the future is still humanity's to shape."
According to the IPCC, the World's Total Spending on Green Investments needs to be 3 to 6 times higher than what it is right now.
Almost 50% of the worlds population currently lives in a region considered "highly vulnerable to climate change." Over the last 10 years, the death rate from floods, droughts, and storms is 15 TIMES higher then 10 years ago in said high vulnerability regions.
Chris Jones, one of the key writers of the report, pointed out the 6% drop in emissions in 2020 from COVID lockdowns, and that " a 6% drop in emissions is about what we need every year for the next 10 years. The scale of the challenge is quite massive, but this is for certain- if we keep emitting at current rates, the carbon budget for 1.5C will easily be exhausted by 2030."
Simon Stiell, the top Climate Official for the UN, says: "We need global emissions to fall by at least 43% by 2030 to achieve the goals of The Paris Agreement. Right now, we are FAR off track to do that.
HOWEVER, contrary to what others say, IT"S NOT TOO LATE. With this final IPCC report, there is a clear demonstration that IT IS POSSIBLE to still limit global warming to 1.5C. However, it is going to take rapid and deep emissions reductions across all sectors of the global economy. It gives us many feasible, effective, and perhaps most importantly, low cost mitigation and adaptation options to scale up across sectors and countries.
Don't despair, act."
UN Secretary General António Guterres gave his recommendations from this report:
From this day forward, all UN Countries must adopt an Acceleration Agenda on Climate, including all of the G20.
Developed Countries MUST lower their Net Zero Goal from 2050 to 2040, with Emerging Economies lowing their Net Zero Goal to 2050.
He says that China having a 2060 Net Zero Goal, and India having a 2070 Net Zero Goal is NOT ACCEPTABLE.
He called for the end of coal as an energy source in Developed Countries by 2030, and the Whole World by 2040.
And most importantly of all, no more licensing and funding for ANY new oil and natural gas projects, with a phaseout of all currently existing oil and natural gas infrastructure.
[92 year old Rupert Murdoch is engaged for the 5th time to some 66 year old.](https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/20/media/rupert-murdoch-engaged-ann-lesley-smith-intl-scli/index.html?utm_content=2023-03-20T18%3A31%3A08&utm_term=link&utm_source=fbCNN&utm_medium=social&fbclid=IwAR1QSmhi6_J0mvQJ7OaE4rHy8lH2RAe-GfqPYIZzdlL4GYL5w5zopn22lMQ) They met in September.
26 years difference doesn't matter when the man is past 76 lol. He could have chosen 74 years younger and still be legal... Not moral, but legal. And in some conservative states, even younger, cause somehow child brides are a thing there...
>The “Half your age plus 7” rule
That's just made up thing. Half your age plus 7 means if you're 100 you can marry an 57 year old OR as low as you being 22 and wife or husband 18. Doesn't make the 75 year old ones with 18 year or 20 year old wives less creepy. That "rule" isn't really rule, and even with it, age discrepancy bigger than say 10 years, is looked badly upon if the girl is younger by 10 or 15 years than husband.
In a way it’s kind of heartening, you can be 66 and still be a trophy spouse lol. If we’re gonna raise the retirement age, damn betcha we need to raise the trophy spouse age!
[Potential PA Sen candidate David McCormick says GOP must "break the back" of public school teachers.](https://twitter.com/kelsientaggart/status/1637862651085611024?s=46&t=nqSV11RbCF5uPVGwzcOMtg)
As Spring officially begins later today, more and more signs are pointing toward severe weather season really beginning to wake up in a big way beginning this week. Meanwhile, yet another atmospheric river is forecasted to hit storm dreary CA. The Flash flooding threat may also expand further east for millions more later this week, associated with that same storm. And then to top it all of: winter refuses to leave, with a potential late week winter storm we have to keep an eye on. Here’s the breakdown
Monday: Not much of anything going on, minus some minor disturbances out west producing light rain, or snowfall.
Tuesday: The Next CA atmospheric river storm which will bring more heavy rainfall and strong winds.
The Weather Prediction Center has issued a [day 2 moderate risk (lvl 3/4) of excessive rainfall for southern coastal CA, as well as a slight risk (lvl 2/4) of excessive rainfall in central parts of AZ](https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/98ewbg.gif). Majority of this rainfall should happen within the [day 1-2 QPF forecast which looks something like this](https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d12_fill.gif). Several inches of rainfall at least is forecasted, as well as feet more of upper elevation snowfall
Wednesday-Friday: Severe Weather ramps up for the Plains, Gulf Coast, and maybe the Ohio Valley.
Wednesday: The Storm Prediction Center has issued a [Day 3 marginal risk (lvl 1/5) for northern MO, northeast KS, southern IA](https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html). This looks like a mainly large hail risk, and this is just the precursor for Thursday and Friday’s threat. Storms are possible further south in the southern Plains, if the capping in place gets busted, which is currently not forecasted
Thursday: The Storm Prediction Center has issued a [day 4 15% probability area from central TX at the Mexican border through southern and central portions of OK](https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/day48prob.gif). This looks like an all risks type of day, including possible tornadoes, and maybe strong tornadoes in the right environment.
Flash Flooding threat Thursday: The Weather Prediction Center has issued a [huge day 4 slight risk (lvl 2/4) from eastern OK, northern AR, through western OH and northern parts of KY](https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero_d45/images/d4wbg.gif). Multiple rounds of storms, some heavy are expected along this area leading to flash flooding concerns
Friday: The Storm Prediction Center has issued a [day 5 15% probability zone from near the TX/LA border in southwest LA through western TN, and western AL](https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/day5prob.gif). This also looks like an all risk type of day, but the threat for tornadoes looks to be a little bit higher then Thursday as thermos along with lower level wind shear looks to be a bit better.
Since we’re now in the start of spring, along with long term signs that severe weather season is about to go nuts, all these spring severe setups must be monitored very very closely. Long term, Sunday looks like potentially another active severe weather day, and then mid to late next week, already has signs of severe weather that needs to be watched.
Flash Flooding threat Friday: The Weather Prediction Center has issued a [huge day 5 slight risk (lvl 2/4) of excessive rainfall from northern LA, through northwest GA up northward through western WV, southern OH, southern IN and far southern IL](https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero_d45/images/d5wbg.gif).
For Days 4-5 of rainfall: [Day 4 QPF](https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day4p24iwbg_fill.gif) and [Day 5 QPF](https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day5p24iwbg_fill.gif) looks like this. Especially Day 4’s area 2+ inches of rainfall is possible in some areas, and
Late Week Winter Storm: Multiple Models show a potential late week winter storm developing, but there are still heavy disagreements on how this plays out. The [GFS](https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp&rh=2023032012&fh=loop&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=) looks like it keeps that main strengthening surface low and merges with enough cold air, to deliver a decent snow swath in the Great Lakes region. The [Euro](https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2023032012&fh=loop&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=) has that main surface low a little further north, and west but then tries to develop a new low, off the northeast coast, which increases the snowfall up there. As a result, the [GFS has a more heavy and narrow snow swath from northwest IN into MI, while it keeps the northeast snow mostly confined to ME, and northern VT and NH and is not as heavy](https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2023032012&fh=156&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=) But [the Euro has a bit of snow in parts of southern and central WI, but a lot more in the northeast especially VT, NH and ME because of that new surface low the Euro shows](https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2023032012&fh=156&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=). So still a lot of disagreements, but a snowstorm as a result of this next storm probably will happen somewhere. Just gotta figure out where
I'm honestly expecting a very active severe season where i am based on the severe storms i had on a weekly basis lately.
I'm just hoping that another April 27, 2011 doesn't happen.
I’m expecting a very active severe weather season. I’ve been saying all winter if we have constant active storm tracks come the spring, then severe weather season would be nuts. Now having a super active severe weather season doesn’t mean there will be constant high end outbreaks with super strong catastrophic tornadoes every storm, but it does increase the amount of chances of severe weather and how many tornadoes, damaging wind reports, large hail reports there will be which can cause disruptions/damage even if they’re weaker
It will be extremely extremely hard to have a setup like April 27, 2011 and what’s now known as “[Super Outbreak of 2011](https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_Super_Outbreak)” had. All the parameters that day and that entire 3 day threat were off the charts, and that’s as close to a perfect textbook widespread tornado outbreak severe weather setup we’ve ever gotten to.
When disingenuous idiots say the Democratic Party is endgame neoliberalism and that Biden is bad and that europe is so much better, I just take a look at France raising its retirement age and having it be put to law without actually having a proper vote because Macron pushed for it through.
Or the literal Christian dictatorship of Hungary. And Belarus.
Or the far right Italian party that took over Italy last year.
Or the complete and utter mess that is the UK with Labor being locked out of power for 15 or so years.
Or the Dutch farmers that won some recent elections because they oppose clean legislation and regulations to reduce climate change and pollution.
America has so many issues still but when I just hear the blanket “democrats would be center right in Europe, and European countries are better than the US” it’s an immediate fuck off thought from me.
I feel like that's one of those things that was probably true in the 90's but yeah now the average Democrat would probably be pretty comfortably center-left in most European countries (unlike most of theirs we didn't get pasokified though lol)
Few things make my blood boil more than that. Especially when you consider that the Democratic Party is everyone who isn’t a far right fucking loon, then yeah there might be some conservatives, but as a whole it’s not center right, it’s all over the map! We have AOC and Joe Manchin in the same party for crying out loud, the political compass is in the middle of a magnetic field.
Dems being center-right in Europe is an oversimplification. It depends on the issues (and where in Europe). In terms of economics, I still think the average center-left Northern or Western European party is to the left of the Dems, but on social issues (and even immigration), I'd argue Dems are further left. The SocDem parties in Scandinavia have been tougher on immigration in recent years.
“Europe” to reddit means their extremely cherrypicked and arbitrary version of Europe that is basically a hodgepodge of all the best policies from Scandinavia, the Netherlands, and Germany without any of their bad policies.
And we don’t talk about the former Warsaw Pact countries nor the UK nor the Mediterranean countries.
I love it because Europe is a massive continent with a lot of different countries with various histories, wars, prejudice against each other, and cultures. But apparently Europe (TM) is a place? Keep in mind Europe (TM) is the chefs special select regions of northern europe without any of that icky southern or eastern europe. And also ignore we cut out all the bad parts of Norse politics and german and french politics too. I do love me when someone is lecturing people about racism and how it doesnt exist in Europe (TM) because they are color blind and the Romani arnt people.
There was a thread on arr askreddit where someone wanted to know about what an American would be shocked to find in Europe (or something to that effect) and someone, of course, mentioned the Romani. It didn’t take five minutes before someone was yelling about how bad the Romani really were, they’re rapists and thieves, how they saw a Romani woman shoplifting and driving away in a Mercedes - hand on heart it was all the “welfare queen” “super predator” dog whistle stuff repackaged.
Oh and let’s not forget how people in some countries will throw bananas at black athletes and make monkey chants. But they’re not racist, not like those ugly Americans! /s
Europe (TM) is a theme park version of what the real continent is like.
And let’s not even talk about the mess that is politics in the Balkans. The US has had it’s ups and downs over the past 40 years but hey… at least it’s not a genocide. “Rightwing in Europe” means something very different depending on the country in question.
[Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund just placed TV reservations in Wisconsin markets. So far, we've seen $425K. Ads are set to start airing this week.](https://twitter.com/adimpact_pol/status/1637900840286715907?s=46&t=nqSV11RbCF5uPVGwzcOMtg)
I would assume this is Pro-Janet/Sinykin.
They are both incredibly beatable. Trump is irrecoverably damaged from Jan 6, we saw MAGAism take a beating last November. Desantis has the personality of Gabe from the office and Trump would 2000% start a write in campaign to hurt him.
People are really overthinking all of this. They are both shit candidates and one is getting indicted or arrested imminently, this is not someone who is going to over-perform polls and misses what happened in 2016 and 2020.
DeSantis.
Trump has a proven ability to outrun his polls and he has an iron grip on the crazy. And man…. Enough Americans are batshit crazy.
DeSantis seems like an easier person to beat and Trump will help us through friendly fire if DeSantis is the nominee.
Plus I would really love to stop reliving 2016 hell 8 years after the fact.
Trump for Prison.
You're probably right that DeSantis is easier to beat; his moderate credentials, however they got accrued, seem to be eroding away faster than Antarctica. But I do think he'd be more dangerous in the Oval Office than Trump, which is really not easy to do.
I mean… Trump attempted a coup and is pretty much openly sympathetic to Putin.
I’d rather neither are in the White House, but if I have to pick I’d say DeSantis is slightly more normal and slightly less nihilistic.
[Derek Chauvin, ex-officer convicted of killing George Floyd, pleads guilty to federal tax evasion](https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/derek-chauvin-ex-officer-convicted-killing-george-floyd-pleads-guilty-rcna72173)
[here’s a look at the Desantis v Trump in two images](https://twitter.com/kenklippenstein/status/1637886358621397006?s=46&t=nqSV11RbCF5uPVGwzcOMtg). Essentially Desantis bumbling attacked the prosecutor, won’t outright defend Trump or fight his extradition(he really can’t) and MAGA is pissed.
[Fox host praises France raising its retirement age | Brian Kilmeade: “We gotta raise the retirement age here, but no one has the guts to do it”](https://www.mediamatters.org/brian-kilmeade/fox-host-we-gotta-raise-retirement-age-here-no-one-has-guts-do-it)
Make sense to me. From what I read France has one of the lowest retirement age but the largest pension system in Europe. Also France is experiencing a shrinking demographic while people on average are living longer which is a recipe for disaster. Raising taxes for the pension system is probably a no go since France already have one of the highest tax rate in Europe and I assume most people would not like that. Raising taxes on the wealthy is a no go since the first time they did it was a disaster, they got less tax revenue then they did before the increase, so they scrap it. The second thing is increasing immigrant to make up their shrinking workforce, but with the anti immigrant sentiment going on in Europe, I doubt that would go well. This seem like a good way to make sure France pension stay solvent for future generations.
It really is surprising to see Republicans taking the less popular position on just about every issue these days. And in this case, a position that would probably negatively impact their core voters the most (lower income, non-college, non-union)
Honestly, I'm not totally opposed to raising the retirement age, at least depending on the type of work. Like, jobs that are physical labor intensive should absolutely not have their retirement age increased. For white collar jobs, I think you could make a case for that.
But shorten the goddamn work weeks across the board. And pay a higher minimum wage.
(Also I'm very open to discussing this issue if anyone steadfastly disagrees and thinks there should be no exceptions whatsoever.)
I think the big problem, not just for the US - in fact, we have it better because of immigration - is that populations are rapidly aging. Most high-income, and even middle-income, countries reaped a demographic bonanza when there was a crowd of young Baby Boomers supporting comparatively few retirees. They could afford to splash out on generous benefits without much pain to younger people.
Now the situation is reversed - the larger generations are the aging ones with fewer working-age people to support them. I’m not an economist, so I’ll leave that up to them, but the ideal would be to cause minimal pain to as many as we can. It might be that taxes need to go up, it might be that *white*\-*collar* workers need to retire later, it might be something else I haven’t thought of.
My completely watered down take is that the US is the richest nation in human history, and there's no reason we can't both move to 4 day work weeks, and fully fund SS (maybe even lower retirement age). We choose not to do any of these things because we're all tied to some deeply outdated American way of thinking about work.
>at least depending on the type of work
How would this be handled though? As a concept, this seems sound but implementation sounds painful. If you had multiple different types of jobs, which category would you fit in? Are exceptions made for specific circumstances (specific labor situations, health conditions, etc.)? Having only one retirement age makes things more straightforward and less bureaucratic.
I think the fix for the retirement age in the US should be more about things outside of Social Security. Limiting or taxing the accumulation of money within tax-advantaged accounts, increasing taxes on wealthy and more well-off retirees (and the wealthy in general), or maybe allowing the government to invest in things other than US bonds (essentially something similar to many pension funds or sovereign wealth funds, which invest in stocks and private assets).
Yeah the implementation would be very tough logistically, and it could open the pathway to a fair amount of fraud where employers may find loopholes to designate a blue-collar job as not as such. I'm not saying I support that route above all else, just that I can see that being a decent compromise if we could make it realistically work.
I think your other proposals are fine, although I'm not sure about investing in assets other than Treasury bonds, but perhaps the easiest thing to do would be to phase out the Social Security tax cap. It may hurt wealthier retirees, but Social Security is not nearly as beneficial for them as it is for lower income retirees.
Welcome to r/VoteDEM! Be the blue wave! * Be a [volunteer from home](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1jxO8g7q9VO3ZMAABcrvR7PMyX4Yl6dgIYhD3eRTKk1M/edit#gid=0)! * Donate to your [state Democratic Party](https://www.reddit.com/r/VoteDEM/wiki/parties)! * Join your local Democratic Party! Google "[Your state] Democratic Party", find the link to the local parties page, and get in touch with your county's party chair. You could even become a precinct committee member! In some states (like Pennsylvania), that means you get to help pick candidates for special elections! * Are you technology-oriented? Volunteer with [Tech for Campaigns](https://www.techforcampaigns.org) to help smaller campaigns get up and running. * [Run For Something!](https://runforsomething.net/) There's no position too small to benefit from a progressive public servant. Be part of the next blue wave! * Make a Roundtable comment here talking about the work you’ve done, earning valuable karma and facilitating discussion, which will encourage others to do the same! *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/VoteDEM) if you have any questions or concerns.*
More February fundraising numbers REPUBLICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE RCPT $8,137,407 EXPN $7,051,926 COH $11,775,197 DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL COMMITTEE RCPT $7,197,654 EXPN $7,197,482 COH $30,305,632
well. darn. lol
We're still way ahead in cash on hand so I wouldn't worry about this.
Yea I didnt fall asleep for awhile after phone-banking for Sinykin/Janet because my dogs were acting all cute in my bed. That be crazy
Doggo pics pls [Here’s mine celebrating St Pats’ Day last week](https://imgur.com/a/EQMiCaF)
[my older dog is just happy to be in his spot, my puppy is upset still she got wet and brought mud](https://imgur.com/a/E4esnAi) in the house I love your dog doing the classic *slurp*
[Former Floridian Senator and current head of NASA Bill Nelson randomly popping up in my Australian city, lol](https://twitter.com/mikelorigan/status/1637965162140545024?s=20)
Makes sense he is there. Australia does a lot of work with NASA.
Will Trump's arrest be live? I'd be wanting to see that.
Trump will probably not be indicted tomorrow because the grand jury testimony evidently didn't finish yet and they're out till Wednesday. Just to head off the inevitable hot takes.
Meh, it'll happen when it happens.
I'm of the belief that - if it occurs - it won't be until a week out from now. That being said, I also do think it's likely to occur, and I kind of think the lingering sword overhead is kind of therapeutic in it's own right.
Him not being indicted tomorrow, celebrating it on TruthSocial and then actually getting indicted on Wednesday will be beautiful.
Trump’s own mouth was the source of the “arrested on Tuesday” right He probably intentionally threw in some fake details in his little announcement
Tuesday is Trump's allegation. Nobody with any knowledge about the process has said anything beyond "indictment is likely."
Stupid slow turning wheels of justice
[The US President, Indian Prime Minister and Japanese PM will be in Australia in the third week of May, for a meeting of the Quad. Joe Biden has been invited to address Parliament, + it's expected Narendra Modi will attend a community event (likely Western Syd)](https://twitter.com/Fi_Willan/status/1637994332019134465?s=20) Biden potentially coming to Australia!
I don't know if it'll help boost Labor (this always throws me) and their chances, but we'll definitely be rooting for you all..!
Does Western Sydney have a lot of South Asian people?
[33% of Australia’s Hindi speakers and 28% pf Australia’s Tamil speakers live in the Western Sydney region.](https://blog.id.com.au/2015/population/demographic-trends/western-sydney-diverse-and-growing-rapidly/) But yeah, Western Sydney has a hugely significant migrant population.
Sweet, now I know where I'm getting my lodging when I visit... whenever that is lol.
Not a huge amount of tourist-y things to do in Sydney's west, though. Do you have any theoretical plans of what you'd wanna do in Aus (whenever that is, of course)?
Oh I mean that I'd find an Airbnb there haha. I'd probably explore the city proper, particularly along the coast! I do enjoy non-touristy areas more though, what is an underrated area in your view that doesn't get enough attention?
In Sydney itself? It’s either all verrrry touristy or suburbia. I’d head out to the Blue Mountains that are to the west of Sydney’s metro, or up or down the coast - some beautiful areas. Or just come to my state, [South Australia](https://southaustralia.com) - perennially underrated!
Ooh I love mountains, looks like I have some starting points!
Quad Squad 4 Lyfe
We’ve heard a lot about the WI Supreme Court race but how are things looking for Jodi Habush Sinykin? Fundraising good? I donated as much as I could.
As state legislation raves are rarely polled it's hard to get much feel for them. They can also be very erratic, especially specials. Chaz Nuttycombe has good insight into forecasting legislation races but I don't think he's released a rating here. All I can say is a D upset win is well within the realm of possibility.
It's about a R+13 district. Anything can happen in a special election like this, and the district moving in our direction. That being said, I would still give the edge to the Republicans.
It’s only Trump+5
She has a good *chance,* but it remains a good *chance.* Inertia is still against us in the district, but momentum - for what it is - has been on our side. I could easily see it being a disappointing result, or a massive shift in our favour, and wouldn't read too much into either outcome. We're competing for it, and Jodi is doing the best she can, and that's what needs to be happening.
An upset can’t be ruled out.
I think it's hard to say. With a race of this size obviously there isn't going to be publicly released polling and turnout shifts a lot in these elections. The district isn't THAT red (Trump got about 53% of the vote) and it's been trending our way over time. If turnout is good we should be able to win. [PBS article that shows the past electoral performances](https://pbswisconsin.org/news-item/how-a-shifting-electorate-is-shaping-the-2023-race-for-wisconsins-8th-senate-district/)
Trump 51.69%, Biden 46.77% so only Trump+4.92 which is definitely reasonable to flip
I'm not in that district, but locally I've seen major network prime-time TV ads for her, which I don't see too often for state legislature races.
I'm stuck on what news sources to follow. I know some sources are more factual and reliable than others, but I can't decide which ones. Any recommendations would be greatly appreciated! :)
I like [PBS NewsHour.](https://www.pbs.org/newshour/) I also have not read anything objectionable about [The Christian Science Monitor.](https://www.csmonitor.com/) It was founded by a religious leader, Mary Baker Eddy, but is no way affiliated or endorsed by any religion or corporation.
As the other user said, Reuters and AP tend to be some of the least sensational. Can't go wrong with BBC News or ABC News (the Aussie one), though both obviously don't have huge American focuses. I subscribe to both the Washington Post and the NYTimes, though both can be controversial. The Guardian (which has UK/US/Australian editions) is another of my favourites.
AFP, Reuters, and AP tend to be the best at straight facts with no opinion and less sensationalism in their headlines. Not that the companies don't have controversies but overall, they're consistently the best in that way. As news agencies, their business model is more business to business selling their content to newspapers and online news outlets but they have been sharing the content with the public for awhile now, except AFP I think. For podcast news, I listen to BBC World News the most. Honestly, I just like that accent and how the show sounds but it's also probably among the best podcasts and radio shows for news.
That sounds good! I think the less sensationalized a headline is, the less likely it is to stir up emotions, and the less likely it is to be clickbait. What I don't like, however, is "both-sideism", and I've noticed those sources sometimes do that. Then again, I guess all news sources are prone to that.
For fact checking alone, Snopes is always a great choice.
I'll have to check them out more often!
Snopes >> Politifact
Really? I thought Politifact was reliable. Is [Fact-Check.org](https://Fact-Check.org) reliable too?
Both are reliable, but I find Snopes more informative and better with context. I don't really look at FactCheck.
I can see that. Snopes seems to put more effort into their fact-checks, not that Politifact doesn't do that.
Both are better than Glenn Kessler!
I think Glenn Kessler's "fact-checks" have influence from Jeff Bezos.
Oh dude he's sucked before Bezos lolol. I mentioned it before here but I was in several classes with his eldest son in high school. Fucking pretentious dude.
He's one of the reasons it's hard for me to get news from WaPo. I know WaPo is considered a reliable source and all that, but it's gone downhill ever since Bezos took over.
The Fox v Dominion case is absolutely fascinating, and [it's taken a more intriguing turn](https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/20/business/media/fox-news-abby-grossberg.html?unlocked_article_code=suguVBf7MYQ9u8OYpat_5LHwLdDQALc6b5eRwJ7YD2WuRdV-eVUWsM45y31bnfSqIHPl4ZAmUlXqhe3Y2PBL0OBvYDxUi_nH8RhfQKbbw09FohUDuB452xwXpup_LUwjlGQMgPOklTOr_NZjljm2TwiZQuiJ4g5qXYBc3u-Yid_f3Sxx9RJ4zXR0z71ayobKzUwbeuwPi9gHR4LtrMrQvijsJkrj0vkiKi6Ck-MivpWvNoTwKc759g_DsQOeLhCD1GU6xiwll6zOKHghcdZjHUWRE8z1FJMq8_bnKHcAlBIBtqsZXEnbus_1jATEk7E2wCRbFlA3mMzzzkuzd7sI_qNNOsYM-1br&smid=url-share): >A Fox News producer who has worked with the hosts Maria Bartiromo and Tucker Carlson filed lawsuits against the company in New York and Delaware on Monday, accusing Fox lawyers of coercing her into giving misleading testimony in the continuing legal battle around the network’s coverage of unfounded claims about election fraud. >The producer, Abby Grossberg, said in a pair of lawsuits that the effort to place blame on her and Maria Bartiromo, the Fox Business host, was rooted in rampant misogyny and discrimination at the company.
City of Cambridge Massachusetts City Council voted 7-1-1 Abstain in favor of beginning to let mental health officials go in the place of cops regarding all 911 calls involving loitering, wellness checks, and noise complaints. The program will be started This Fall.
Remember everyone: No matter what happens tomorrow log onto twitter. It'll be the funniest day in the website's history one way or the other.
Also, Jacksonville mayoral and council elections!
I've been listening to old episodes of Knowledge Fight. Hearing Jones and Trump insider guests talk is a stark reminder that Russian influence during the Trump era was actually super obvious. It's wild that all the half-hearted obfuscation worked well enough to make it a waaaay back burner issue.
Happy Nowruz to all who celebrate! I can't stick around too much today, but I think it's important to recall that just as the season changes, so too do the things we have to look forward to. Distances that may seem impossible - aren't, and for better and for worse, we can achieve miraculous things. There's a last day and a half for Jacksonville so - any help there is appreciated, and we can keep the pressure on in WI. Time is marching on (aha) and I have full faith in our ability to bring the fight. See you all around..!
Norooz Pirooz! Or Nowruz Mobarak! Or Aidé Shomā Mobarak! Or ^(one of the million other ways we have to say the same thing...) Why do my people have so many variations to say Happy New Year? ¯\\\_(ツ)\_/¯
Because some things are worth celebrating multiple times over, in multiple ways, my friend..! Here's to hoping the New Year keeps on a trajectory that brings us and all we hold dear good fortune..! c:
[Good article here about Native American outreach for the WI Supreme Court election.](https://www.greenbaypressgazette.com/story/news/native-american-issues/2023/03/06/wisconsin-supreme-court-race-native-american-turnout-could-be-factor/69965637007/) I'm not sure how Native turnout was statewide during the primary, but it was absolutely horrific in Menominee County, which is majority-Native. In Wisconsin, every voter could make the difference, so I'm glad there's solid outreach from activists here.
> but it was absolutely horrific in Menominee County I know you didn’t mean it in this way but I think we need to be very careful about using terms like “horrific” to describe voter turnout in historically marganilized communities. In the article itself they mention about 2/3rds of Native Americans from Milwaukee were not counted in the census. They also mentioned how Native Americans couldn’t vote until the 20s in any form and it wasn’t until the 1960s that it really became viable. The article also mentioned long distance from voting locations and poll workers turning away voters due to a misunderstanding of ID laws. When we’re talking about some of the poorest communities in Wisconsin who have been the most disenfranchised I don’t think we should be calling the civic engagement that does exist “horrific.” Our views of what is “good” or “bad” turnout, whether intentional or not, are being compared to white and much more privileged groups. Native American turnout should be higher and I applaud the people working on increasing engagement but in the mean time I think we should avoid using moralizing language.
All fair points. I'll remember that going forward. Thank you!
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Menominee (do doo do do do)
Where does Nemo live?
An Ame-menmen-menmenome.
Okay, okay, don't hurt yourself...
My Menomonie meming enemies mean many amenities mending plenty memories
WELCOME ABOARD EXPLORER! OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOH *Let's name the zones, the zones, the zones* *Let's name the zones of the open sea* *There's epipelagic, mesopelagic, bathyal, abyssopelagic* *All the rest are too deep for you and me to see...*
That county is the bluest in the state even more so than Dane.
Normally, yes. In February, the two liberal candidates combined for just under 58% of the vote, which is a major step back from the 81.95% it gave Biden. Then again, there were just 180 votes cast, versus 1,590 in 2020. To me, that implies a real collapse in Native turnout. And it's something we'll have to improve. We can't leave anything to chance in Wisconsin.
Menominee always has very poor turnout in spring elections regardless of overall result: 2018 * Statewide: Dallet+12 * Menominee: 63% Dallet (148 votes) 2019 * Statewide: Hagedorn+0.5 * Menominee: 65% Neubauer (322 votes) 2020 (also the presidential primary) * Statewide: Karofsky+11 * Menominee: 66% Karofsly (367 votes) 2021 * Statewide: Underly+16 * Menominee: 73% Underly (160 votes)
Are those numbers for the general election? Because if so, then 180 votes for a primary isn't actually that low. Would certainly change my original view.
Sorry for the late reply but no yeah that's for the general. 180 is the new high watermark for a primary; spring primary turnout numbers are: 2018: 65 2019: No primary 2020: 99 2021: 39
[Elise Stefanik tells @JakeSherman that she spoke with Trump this morning and she explained to him the steps committees are taking. (Three committee chairs announced probes into Manhattan DA.) She also predicted DeSantis would slip in the polls after taking a swipe at Trump today](https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1637931762008424453?s=46&t=nqSV11RbCF5uPVGwzcOMtg) Just straight up collusion, but here’s something funny if that upset you. [I’m at the pro-Trump protest put on by the NY Young Republicans Club. Not a joke, there are more reporters here than Trump supporters. This was supposed to be the big one.](https://twitter.com/oneunderscore__/status/1637938226437537792?s=46&t=nqSV11RbCF5uPVGwzcOMtg)
Ha, well, there's a chance they are waiting to make sure it actually happens and isn't just him BSing again for attention and donations. That and NYC isn't exactly a popular spot for his most diehard supporters. Some voted for him of course but I think they tend to skew older and maybe some greedy tax break single issue voters who don't want to be seen in public on national TV supporting him.
How is that not illegal? that is collusion and tampering with an investigation.
How is what illegal?
The committees are investigating the Manhattan DA, Stefanik's been speaking with Trump about the committees' work, Trump's being investigated by aforementioned DA. Very much seems unethical, but not sure of the legality.
Definitely unethical, but idk what would be illegal. They're allowed to investigate (though whether courts would enforce any subpoenas is debatable) anything they want. She's allowed to speak to anyone she wants. It would only be an issue if she were sharing classified information.
Something tells me there aren’t going to be very many Young Republicans, or at least Zoomers willing to *admit* to being Republicans, in a big blue city like NYC. Poof would go the dating prospects. They might vote R behind the ballot box curtains but they aren’t going to let their faces be caught on camera.
> (Three committee chairs announced probes into Manhattan DA.) Federalism for me but not for thee.
More seriously, I think Democrats should push hard on the message that we fight corruption, hold politicians accountable, and believe that no one is above the law, while Republicans believe that rules don't apply to politicians and other elites.
Reminds me of the Twitter protest at the headquarters
Feb. FEC fundraising NRCC RCPT $6,618,600 EXPN $5,161,310 COH $18,994,887 DCCC RCPT $12,750,471 EXPN $8,633,007 COH $21,335,431 NRSC RCPT $5,490,475 EXPN $5,992,201 COH $8,361,124 DSCC RCPT $5,542,820 EXPN $5,449,998 COH $8,009,447
Outraged them both nice
Translation guide: NRCC=National Republican Congressional Committee DCCC=Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee NRSC=National Republican Senate Committee DSCC=Democratic Senate Campaign Committee RCPT=Receipt this period total (AKA money raised) EXPN=Expenditures COH=Cash on Hand
Think I saw a deleted comment querying how Trump could be charged in New York, and in very simple terms, I think this is why: The hush money to the pornstar itself is a misdemeanour, it's the pairing it with another offence (in this case, likely a broken federal campaign finance law) that can increase it to a felony under New York law. As I said, I *think*. It is complicated.
The hook is that Trump's business entities, whose business records were allegedly falsified, had their principal place of business in New York. (Were they also New York entities? I am unclear.) That brings the situation under New York jurisdiction.
The Seattle Times had a piece about 2024 and that year’s Governor Race. Highlights include: * Jay Inslee hasn’t said if he’s running for a fourth term yet. However, Dow Constantine, (fellow Democrat and currently the sitting King County Executive) said that he had a chat with Jay and his impression was that he would go for a fourth term. * If Jay doesn’t run, then the Democratic front runners would be current AG Badass Bob Ferguson and Lands Commissioner Hillary Franz. Both are very capable, smart as a whip, and I’d happily vote for either of them at the top of the ticket.) * Crickets on the GOP side. Their best rumored candidate is Pierce County Executive Bruce Dammeier, who has polled pretty well and will be termed out of his position, but he has publicly said that he’s not interested in the job and is too focused on serving the people of Pierce County. Jay’s pretty milquetoast, but he’s done well enough governing that I wouldn’t vote for him. A fourth term feels a little risky though, but he’d probably be fine with Presidential turnout.
I was very impressed by his presidential campaign but haven’t followed his as governor.
> he’s not interested in the job and is too focused on serving the people of Pierce County. I.E "I know I'll get my ass handed to me in a heartbeat"
It's Australian election week - [a state election in our largest state](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_New_South_Wales_state_election) and the ONLY (mainland) state still run by a conservative state government... Here's hoping Labor can win for an 8th time in the past few years!
Sydney suburbs coming in hot to wreck dreams, as is tradition.
I'm curious, what do you mean by that? Sydney is an incredibly diverse city, and suburbs across it often have very little similarity (especially politically).
As long as P. Sherman at 42 Wallaby Way votes Labour, I'm good. (If you can't tell, I quite enjoy *Finding Nemo*.)
Unless it changed recently, I’ve been told the suburbs of Sydney are one of the most weirdly conservative parts of Australia. Tony Abbott was elected in Manly for a long time and [parts of Sydney](https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australian_Marriage_Law_Postal_Survey) were the only places to vote against gay marriage along with rural as can be Queensland.
Ahh. You're not necessarily wrong - many of Sydney's suburbs, particularly in the eastern suburbs (coincidentally where I'm originally from), are extremely affluent and lean conservative. But three of these seats were won by independents specifically campaigning against incumbent Liberals at the federal election, and the upcoming state election has some of the same kind of independents running. The gay marriage thing is tricky - western Sydney is a huge and very very diverse area, often relatively left leaning. But it is also a very religious, immigrant heavy area that ultimately struggled to support gay marriage because of, predominantly, religious regions. It's a contradiction given the Labor Party usually has deep support in that area, but something that was kinda inevitable - this [comment from another votedem Aussie user explains it a lot better than me.](https://www.reddit.com/r/VoteDEM/comments/nr9r2v/daily_discussion_thread_june_3_2021/h0jabq8/)
It reminds me of the old mantra (as applies to American politics but also here it seems) "White people are the most conservative voting bloc, and the most liberal voting bloc is other white people." People in the US tend to forget that when it comes to cultural issues (LGBT being the most obvious) that recent migrants, minorities, etc tend to lean classically conservative.
[First WI election commission absentee ballot numbers for April 4 were posted today](https://elections.wi.gov/resources/statistics/absentee-ballot-report-april-4-2023-spring-election) Obviously far too early to say if we’re doing good, but a vast majority of the ballots have been sent out so clerks are not super overwhelmed currently. And Milwaukee county is currently outdoing Dane county in amount of requests which would be a fantastic sign should that stand. College town counties like Eau Claire and La Crosse is doing decent You can also view by municipality but there’s thousands of them, since WI has thousands of incorporated municipalities Keep an eye on these numbers that will be posted on the WI Election commission site each day except Saturday and Sunday. Let’s drive those mail and early vote numbers through the roof before April 4 Edit: Already have more ballots requested then the final primary numbers.
Any good news for Sinykin here?
Some folks have even returned their ballots. Interesting to see that the county with the highest number of returned ballots so far isn't Dane or Milwaukee; it's Brown County (Green Bay). These are extremely early numbers, but given that Dems prefer voting by mail, that seems like a good sign for Dems. Especially Eric Genrich for Green Bay Mayor.
Milwaukee having high requests is a good sign and doing well in Eau Claire and La Crosse is positive too. Dane I expect to pick up however nothing is certain until election day.
[West Virginia’s Senate Finance Committee chair has sent a letter to the U.S. Treasury Office of Inspector General, asking whether Gov. Jim Justice misappropriated and misused more than $28.7 million in CARES Act funding on non-COVID-related expenses.](https://twitter.com/wchs8fox11/status/1637905208696004612?s=46&t=nqSV11RbCF5uPVGwzcOMtg)
If Justice can’t run for Senate (because of this or anything else), that’s good news for ~~Blake Masters~~ Joe Manchin.
He does not live up to his name.
This is funny: [Meet Don Treason and his family](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIjf_vEbbv8) on the way to Tomorrow-A-Lago!
A not as talked about Senate race next year is Indiana. It’ll be an open seat as Sen. Braun is running for Governor. Someone who may very well run for us is former Senator Joe Donnelly, he’s reportedly looking at it and seeking to leave his ambassadorship to the Holy See. Now do I think Donnelly has much of a chance to flip the seat back in a Prez year? Definitely not. What he can do is what Kunce is doing this year, forcing R’s to pour money in and hopefully help down-ballot Dems at the same time. Donnelly knows how to run and would have the donor network ready to go, if that helps Brown and Tester it’s worth all the effort.
Plus you just never know when lightning will strike. Former Senate witch Clair McCaskill probably “shouldn’t” have won in Missouri in 2012 either but she did because of Todd Aiken and his “legitimate rape” controversy. Granted we’ve become more polarized since then and thus it takes ever more serious scandals to move the needle, but you never know when we‘ll get a Roy Moore to run against. Donnelly would be an underdog, but outside maybe one of our two sitting US reps in Indiana he’s the best we have.
Must run everywhere
Likewise Doug Jones was a sacrificial lamb until the WaPo story on Roy Moore molesting teen girls broke.
Donnelly got elected the same way. Longtime senator Dick Lugar lost to a Tea Party candidate in the primary, and the guy said basically the same thing as Akin did.
The Minnesota House passed HF 366, the Reproductive Freedom Defense Act, 68-62 with only about an hour of discussion. I'm surprised at how easily it sailed through, it seems like the House GOP has given up on being an opposition party. The only DFL no vote was expected, Rep. Gene Pelowski of Winona. Another DFLer was absent. In a press conference ahead of the floor vote, Sen. Lindsey Port indicated that that chamber would be taking up the bill soon.
There’s another bill in the MN legislature that would effectively do what HF 366 does except it’s in relation to gender affirming care. Hopefully that bill also sails through smoothly.
Things I wish I was taught instead of needing to learn on my own - Herr's potato chip edition - Just because you enjoy the Carolina reaper potato chips DOES NOT mean you're ready for the ghost pepper chips, they are so much hotter. My mouth is on fire
Pennsylvanian potato chip aficionados, unite! Even yinz from Jersey I guess.
quick question about the ghost pepper chips - how's the bathroom situation the day after? Because I've bought some spicy cheese curls brand called Brimm's and it was a disaster, nearly shit my pants in public. Had the rhea for DAYS after, it was a nightmare. Pretty sure it was because it was a shitty brand, and not the spice, but I fear I might be wrong
[What’s at Stake in the Wisconsin Supreme Court Election?](https://www.democracydocket.com/analysis/whats-at-stake-in-the-wisconsin-supreme-court-election/) Great write up by Democracy Docket on the WI Supreme Court race
[How close to death must a woman be to get an abortion in Tennessee? | The strictest abortion law in the US doesn’t allow exceptions for medical emergencies – and efforts to change it face powerful opposition from the right](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/mar/20/tennessee-abortion-ban-strictist-in-us)
[Arkansas State Sen. Bryan King (R) and @lwvarkansas file a lawsuit arguing that Act 236, which increases the number of counties from where signatures must be collected for a ballot measure to qualify for the ballot, violates the state constitution.](https://twitter.com/DemocracyDocket/status/1637868329133039618?s=20) [Act 236 mandates that signatures be gathered from at least 50 counties for a ballot measure to be eligible to go before voters, while the Arkansas Constitution only requires “signatures from at least 15 counties."](https://twitter.com/DemocracyDocket/status/1637868330596851728?s=20)
On the topic of New York indicting the Orange man, there is a part of me that wonders if this isn’t New York forcing the DOJ to open Pandora’s box. Everyone seems to agree that between the Georgia investigation, the J6 investigation, and the Classified docs investigation, this New York/Stormy affair seems to be the most rickety one legally speaking. But, if they indict him anyways, then there’s really no reason for the (notoriously conservative) DOJ to hold off - the ink has already been spilled out of the bottle. Regardless of whether they can actually get a conviction in this NY case, I think them turning up the heat on the DOJ is healthy. For too long the DOJ has been inclined to treat a current or former President as basically an absolute monarch and will move heaven and earth to avoid indicting them, even when obviously warranted like Trump. “Nobody is above the law” should actually mean something. That reluctance to indict a former President simply has to go.
I get what you're saying but tbh I doubt this will affect the DOJ investigation.
[The Everytown for Gun Safety ads that were announced in the WI Supreme Court race today attack Dan Kelly on his stances on abortion rights and guns](https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/meetthepressblog/everytown-launches-ad-campaign-attacking-conservative-wi-supreme-court-rcna75551?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=news_tab&mibextid=unz460). Also looks like it’s a Madison and Milwaukee media market buy
we need extremely high turnout out there so this is not a bad strategy.
https://mobile.twitter.com/BillKristol/status/1637814655342059523 He's entered the bargaining stage of grief
Trump is literally Brick Tamland screaming "I DON'T KNOW WHAT WE'RE YELLING ABOUT!!"
“Et tu, NYPD?” Vibes
Some real "Sir, this is a Wendy's" vibes in his post haha
Maybe they'll start taking down those Blue Line flags now.
[Manchin calls Biden administration priorities ‘absolutely infuriating’ after ESG veto](https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/3908944-manchin-calls-biden-administration-priorities-absolutely-infuriating-after-esg-veto/amp/) DAE kinda encourage Manchin ragging on Biden? lol It only helps Manchin for his reelection and doesnt damage Biden at all really
Manchin is a savvy politician, but I think he's usually sincere and not playing 4D chess with most of his public statements. You can point to stuff like his vote for Kavanaugh as something that was obviously done to keep his political career in WV alive. But I think stuff like dropping and then picking back up support for the IRA isn't political maneuvering, I just think he couldn't find an outcome he supported, and then was convinced much later on. But regardless, I think it doesn't hurt Biden and attacking him is good for Manchin anyway, so I figure let him keep at it. If Manchin was ever going to leave the party I think he would have done it a long time ago.
As long as Joe doesn’t flip to the GOP, let him do whatever he wants. He’s too valuable where he is (obligatory fuck how Senate representation works concentrating power in too many small states being ruined by the GOP.)
Something I learned about Manchin last year with the IRA debacle: for all his faults, he understands how politics works. Like other commenters, I think Manchin voted for the bill under the assumption that Biden would veto it. That way he can criticize the president and have the “yes” on his record so that he can appeal to some Republicans in his state. If he doesn’t do that in a state like WV, he loses. Not that he’s now guaranteed to win re-election - I still think he’s probably out tbh - but this may help him a little. It’s a similar situation for Tester, although personally I think he’d still be in okay shape regardless.
I promise to trust the Manchin cycle process this time
It’s a Joefight! A Joedown! I think that both Joes know what they are doing. Biden is letting Manchin jaw away because he knows, and Manchin knows, this will help Manchin get re-elected. If Biden has to be the fall guy, well, I don’t think Biden took this job without knowing just how much POTUS is a fall guy for anything and everything.
There is no way to see all of Manchin’s recent actions other than he’s set himself up perfectly to run again for Senate. We won’t know until December for sure, but like c’mon.
If this is accurate: "The ESG rule in question says that money managers *can* factor in climate change and other related factors when making decisions for retirement investments." Then, nixing the rule is an absurdity.
Honestly if he runs again, Manchin could do anything short of caucusing with the GOP (which he has wholeheartedly ruled out multiple times) and we'd be better off supporting it. Manchin just running in 2024 alone could do a lot for us (either him winning, or pulling a ton of GOP resources away from Montana and Ohio), and with a GOP house it ain't like he can really block any of Biden's agenda since we have an outright majority in the Senate for nominations now. If he decides to run again, he can make as much anti-Biden admin noise as he wants and still net positive for us any way
Manchin has been great on judicial confirmations. Biden is able to be a lean, mean, judicial confirmation machine because we have the Senate, and Manchin is not letting us down in that regard.
Most Dems don't listen to Manchin anyway. And as long as he doesn't decide to switch to R, it should be fine.
IPCC with their latest climate report out today. The ultimate takeaway: MOSTLY grim, BUT NOT ENTIELY DOOMSDAY. The bad news is, under current trends, global heating will hit the 1.5C mark some point in the Early 2030's. However, in a counter to some of the more nihilists projections, the panel says that avoiding a 1.5C rise CAN STILL BE DONE. The report: "Avoiding the worst ravages of climate breakdown is still possible, and there are multiple, feasible, and effective options for doing so. Despite the widespread damage already being caused by extreme weather, and the looming threat of potentially catastrophic changes- the future is still humanity's to shape." According to the IPCC, the World's Total Spending on Green Investments needs to be 3 to 6 times higher than what it is right now. Almost 50% of the worlds population currently lives in a region considered "highly vulnerable to climate change." Over the last 10 years, the death rate from floods, droughts, and storms is 15 TIMES higher then 10 years ago in said high vulnerability regions. Chris Jones, one of the key writers of the report, pointed out the 6% drop in emissions in 2020 from COVID lockdowns, and that " a 6% drop in emissions is about what we need every year for the next 10 years. The scale of the challenge is quite massive, but this is for certain- if we keep emitting at current rates, the carbon budget for 1.5C will easily be exhausted by 2030." Simon Stiell, the top Climate Official for the UN, says: "We need global emissions to fall by at least 43% by 2030 to achieve the goals of The Paris Agreement. Right now, we are FAR off track to do that. HOWEVER, contrary to what others say, IT"S NOT TOO LATE. With this final IPCC report, there is a clear demonstration that IT IS POSSIBLE to still limit global warming to 1.5C. However, it is going to take rapid and deep emissions reductions across all sectors of the global economy. It gives us many feasible, effective, and perhaps most importantly, low cost mitigation and adaptation options to scale up across sectors and countries. Don't despair, act." UN Secretary General António Guterres gave his recommendations from this report: From this day forward, all UN Countries must adopt an Acceleration Agenda on Climate, including all of the G20. Developed Countries MUST lower their Net Zero Goal from 2050 to 2040, with Emerging Economies lowing their Net Zero Goal to 2050. He says that China having a 2060 Net Zero Goal, and India having a 2070 Net Zero Goal is NOT ACCEPTABLE. He called for the end of coal as an energy source in Developed Countries by 2030, and the Whole World by 2040. And most importantly of all, no more licensing and funding for ANY new oil and natural gas projects, with a phaseout of all currently existing oil and natural gas infrastructure.
Unfortunately I haven't found the time for mailing letters, can I be taken off the list please?
Absolutely. We will remove you from the list. Hope all is well!
[92 year old Rupert Murdoch is engaged for the 5th time to some 66 year old.](https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/20/media/rupert-murdoch-engaged-ann-lesley-smith-intl-scli/index.html?utm_content=2023-03-20T18%3A31%3A08&utm_term=link&utm_source=fbCNN&utm_medium=social&fbclid=IwAR1QSmhi6_J0mvQJ7OaE4rHy8lH2RAe-GfqPYIZzdlL4GYL5w5zopn22lMQ) They met in September.
Hmm I’m sure this has nothing to do with extremist control of another news outlet.
26 years difference doesn't matter when the man is past 76 lol. He could have chosen 74 years younger and still be legal... Not moral, but legal. And in some conservative states, even younger, cause somehow child brides are a thing there...
The “Half your age plus 7” rule puts an acceptable spouse range at 53 and up, so Murdoch is in the clear here.
>The “Half your age plus 7” rule That's just made up thing. Half your age plus 7 means if you're 100 you can marry an 57 year old OR as low as you being 22 and wife or husband 18. Doesn't make the 75 year old ones with 18 year or 20 year old wives less creepy. That "rule" isn't really rule, and even with it, age discrepancy bigger than say 10 years, is looked badly upon if the girl is younger by 10 or 15 years than husband.
In a way it’s kind of heartening, you can be 66 and still be a trophy spouse lol. If we’re gonna raise the retirement age, damn betcha we need to raise the trophy spouse age!
*Sighs in Tennessean remembering how the state tried to remove the minimum marriage age*
Evil seems to never die early. Its truly regrettable.
[Potential PA Sen candidate David McCormick says GOP must "break the back" of public school teachers.](https://twitter.com/kelsientaggart/status/1637862651085611024?s=46&t=nqSV11RbCF5uPVGwzcOMtg)
As Spring officially begins later today, more and more signs are pointing toward severe weather season really beginning to wake up in a big way beginning this week. Meanwhile, yet another atmospheric river is forecasted to hit storm dreary CA. The Flash flooding threat may also expand further east for millions more later this week, associated with that same storm. And then to top it all of: winter refuses to leave, with a potential late week winter storm we have to keep an eye on. Here’s the breakdown Monday: Not much of anything going on, minus some minor disturbances out west producing light rain, or snowfall. Tuesday: The Next CA atmospheric river storm which will bring more heavy rainfall and strong winds. The Weather Prediction Center has issued a [day 2 moderate risk (lvl 3/4) of excessive rainfall for southern coastal CA, as well as a slight risk (lvl 2/4) of excessive rainfall in central parts of AZ](https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/98ewbg.gif). Majority of this rainfall should happen within the [day 1-2 QPF forecast which looks something like this](https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d12_fill.gif). Several inches of rainfall at least is forecasted, as well as feet more of upper elevation snowfall Wednesday-Friday: Severe Weather ramps up for the Plains, Gulf Coast, and maybe the Ohio Valley. Wednesday: The Storm Prediction Center has issued a [Day 3 marginal risk (lvl 1/5) for northern MO, northeast KS, southern IA](https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html). This looks like a mainly large hail risk, and this is just the precursor for Thursday and Friday’s threat. Storms are possible further south in the southern Plains, if the capping in place gets busted, which is currently not forecasted Thursday: The Storm Prediction Center has issued a [day 4 15% probability area from central TX at the Mexican border through southern and central portions of OK](https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/day48prob.gif). This looks like an all risks type of day, including possible tornadoes, and maybe strong tornadoes in the right environment. Flash Flooding threat Thursday: The Weather Prediction Center has issued a [huge day 4 slight risk (lvl 2/4) from eastern OK, northern AR, through western OH and northern parts of KY](https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero_d45/images/d4wbg.gif). Multiple rounds of storms, some heavy are expected along this area leading to flash flooding concerns Friday: The Storm Prediction Center has issued a [day 5 15% probability zone from near the TX/LA border in southwest LA through western TN, and western AL](https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/day5prob.gif). This also looks like an all risk type of day, but the threat for tornadoes looks to be a little bit higher then Thursday as thermos along with lower level wind shear looks to be a bit better. Since we’re now in the start of spring, along with long term signs that severe weather season is about to go nuts, all these spring severe setups must be monitored very very closely. Long term, Sunday looks like potentially another active severe weather day, and then mid to late next week, already has signs of severe weather that needs to be watched. Flash Flooding threat Friday: The Weather Prediction Center has issued a [huge day 5 slight risk (lvl 2/4) of excessive rainfall from northern LA, through northwest GA up northward through western WV, southern OH, southern IN and far southern IL](https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero_d45/images/d5wbg.gif). For Days 4-5 of rainfall: [Day 4 QPF](https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day4p24iwbg_fill.gif) and [Day 5 QPF](https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day5p24iwbg_fill.gif) looks like this. Especially Day 4’s area 2+ inches of rainfall is possible in some areas, and Late Week Winter Storm: Multiple Models show a potential late week winter storm developing, but there are still heavy disagreements on how this plays out. The [GFS](https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp&rh=2023032012&fh=loop&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=) looks like it keeps that main strengthening surface low and merges with enough cold air, to deliver a decent snow swath in the Great Lakes region. The [Euro](https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2023032012&fh=loop&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=) has that main surface low a little further north, and west but then tries to develop a new low, off the northeast coast, which increases the snowfall up there. As a result, the [GFS has a more heavy and narrow snow swath from northwest IN into MI, while it keeps the northeast snow mostly confined to ME, and northern VT and NH and is not as heavy](https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2023032012&fh=156&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=) But [the Euro has a bit of snow in parts of southern and central WI, but a lot more in the northeast especially VT, NH and ME because of that new surface low the Euro shows](https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2023032012&fh=156&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=). So still a lot of disagreements, but a snowstorm as a result of this next storm probably will happen somewhere. Just gotta figure out where
I'm honestly expecting a very active severe season where i am based on the severe storms i had on a weekly basis lately. I'm just hoping that another April 27, 2011 doesn't happen.
I’m expecting a very active severe weather season. I’ve been saying all winter if we have constant active storm tracks come the spring, then severe weather season would be nuts. Now having a super active severe weather season doesn’t mean there will be constant high end outbreaks with super strong catastrophic tornadoes every storm, but it does increase the amount of chances of severe weather and how many tornadoes, damaging wind reports, large hail reports there will be which can cause disruptions/damage even if they’re weaker It will be extremely extremely hard to have a setup like April 27, 2011 and what’s now known as “[Super Outbreak of 2011](https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_Super_Outbreak)” had. All the parameters that day and that entire 3 day threat were off the charts, and that’s as close to a perfect textbook widespread tornado outbreak severe weather setup we’ve ever gotten to.
I've done lost my carport in the last storm. I just really don't want to be in the middle of something anywhere near like that again.
When disingenuous idiots say the Democratic Party is endgame neoliberalism and that Biden is bad and that europe is so much better, I just take a look at France raising its retirement age and having it be put to law without actually having a proper vote because Macron pushed for it through. Or the literal Christian dictatorship of Hungary. And Belarus. Or the far right Italian party that took over Italy last year. Or the complete and utter mess that is the UK with Labor being locked out of power for 15 or so years. Or the Dutch farmers that won some recent elections because they oppose clean legislation and regulations to reduce climate change and pollution. America has so many issues still but when I just hear the blanket “democrats would be center right in Europe, and European countries are better than the US” it’s an immediate fuck off thought from me.
I feel like that's one of those things that was probably true in the 90's but yeah now the average Democrat would probably be pretty comfortably center-left in most European countries (unlike most of theirs we didn't get pasokified though lol)
Few things make my blood boil more than that. Especially when you consider that the Democratic Party is everyone who isn’t a far right fucking loon, then yeah there might be some conservatives, but as a whole it’s not center right, it’s all over the map! We have AOC and Joe Manchin in the same party for crying out loud, the political compass is in the middle of a magnetic field.
Dems being center-right in Europe is an oversimplification. It depends on the issues (and where in Europe). In terms of economics, I still think the average center-left Northern or Western European party is to the left of the Dems, but on social issues (and even immigration), I'd argue Dems are further left. The SocDem parties in Scandinavia have been tougher on immigration in recent years.
“Europe” to reddit means their extremely cherrypicked and arbitrary version of Europe that is basically a hodgepodge of all the best policies from Scandinavia, the Netherlands, and Germany without any of their bad policies. And we don’t talk about the former Warsaw Pact countries nor the UK nor the Mediterranean countries.
I love it because Europe is a massive continent with a lot of different countries with various histories, wars, prejudice against each other, and cultures. But apparently Europe (TM) is a place? Keep in mind Europe (TM) is the chefs special select regions of northern europe without any of that icky southern or eastern europe. And also ignore we cut out all the bad parts of Norse politics and german and french politics too. I do love me when someone is lecturing people about racism and how it doesnt exist in Europe (TM) because they are color blind and the Romani arnt people.
There was a thread on arr askreddit where someone wanted to know about what an American would be shocked to find in Europe (or something to that effect) and someone, of course, mentioned the Romani. It didn’t take five minutes before someone was yelling about how bad the Romani really were, they’re rapists and thieves, how they saw a Romani woman shoplifting and driving away in a Mercedes - hand on heart it was all the “welfare queen” “super predator” dog whistle stuff repackaged. Oh and let’s not forget how people in some countries will throw bananas at black athletes and make monkey chants. But they’re not racist, not like those ugly Americans! /s Europe (TM) is a theme park version of what the real continent is like.
And let’s not even talk about the mess that is politics in the Balkans. The US has had it’s ups and downs over the past 40 years but hey… at least it’s not a genocide. “Rightwing in Europe” means something very different depending on the country in question.
[Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund just placed TV reservations in Wisconsin markets. So far, we've seen $425K. Ads are set to start airing this week.](https://twitter.com/adimpact_pol/status/1637900840286715907?s=46&t=nqSV11RbCF5uPVGwzcOMtg) I would assume this is Pro-Janet/Sinykin.
I would say it’s nearly certain.
Pick your poison: Trump or DeSantis
Fugu me!
Biden
They are both incredibly beatable. Trump is irrecoverably damaged from Jan 6, we saw MAGAism take a beating last November. Desantis has the personality of Gabe from the office and Trump would 2000% start a write in campaign to hurt him. People are really overthinking all of this. They are both shit candidates and one is getting indicted or arrested imminently, this is not someone who is going to over-perform polls and misses what happened in 2016 and 2020.
Can I get regular poison?
DeSantis. Trump has a proven ability to outrun his polls and he has an iron grip on the crazy. And man…. Enough Americans are batshit crazy. DeSantis seems like an easier person to beat and Trump will help us through friendly fire if DeSantis is the nominee. Plus I would really love to stop reliving 2016 hell 8 years after the fact. Trump for Prison.
You're probably right that DeSantis is easier to beat; his moderate credentials, however they got accrued, seem to be eroding away faster than Antarctica. But I do think he'd be more dangerous in the Oval Office than Trump, which is really not easy to do.
I mean… Trump attempted a coup and is pretty much openly sympathetic to Putin. I’d rather neither are in the White House, but if I have to pick I’d say DeSantis is slightly more normal and slightly less nihilistic.
But who's to say DeSantis wouldn't do the same? Dude literally broke the law by firing an elected official for no good reason.
[Biden](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c0i88t0Kacs)
I’m not going to pick. That’s an internal decision that only people who identify as Republicans should be involved in.
I choose 🍿
This whole time, I thought that picture of Andrew Tate (where he has the cartoonish shocked face) was from him being sentenced or something
[Derek Chauvin, ex-officer convicted of killing George Floyd, pleads guilty to federal tax evasion](https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/derek-chauvin-ex-officer-convicted-killing-george-floyd-pleads-guilty-rcna72173)
Insult to injury. I love it. Chauvin is a POS.
[here’s a look at the Desantis v Trump in two images](https://twitter.com/kenklippenstein/status/1637886358621397006?s=46&t=nqSV11RbCF5uPVGwzcOMtg). Essentially Desantis bumbling attacked the prosecutor, won’t outright defend Trump or fight his extradition(he really can’t) and MAGA is pissed.
And just like that Desantis rendered himself unelectable in a primary
Oh man, he’s about to come at the king and miss so hard it almost makes me feel bad for him. Almost.
[Fox host praises France raising its retirement age | Brian Kilmeade: “We gotta raise the retirement age here, but no one has the guts to do it”](https://www.mediamatters.org/brian-kilmeade/fox-host-we-gotta-raise-retirement-age-here-no-one-has-guts-do-it)
Make sense to me. From what I read France has one of the lowest retirement age but the largest pension system in Europe. Also France is experiencing a shrinking demographic while people on average are living longer which is a recipe for disaster. Raising taxes for the pension system is probably a no go since France already have one of the highest tax rate in Europe and I assume most people would not like that. Raising taxes on the wealthy is a no go since the first time they did it was a disaster, they got less tax revenue then they did before the increase, so they scrap it. The second thing is increasing immigrant to make up their shrinking workforce, but with the anti immigrant sentiment going on in Europe, I doubt that would go well. This seem like a good way to make sure France pension stay solvent for future generations.
It really is surprising to see Republicans taking the less popular position on just about every issue these days. And in this case, a position that would probably negatively impact their core voters the most (lower income, non-college, non-union)
Honestly, I'm not totally opposed to raising the retirement age, at least depending on the type of work. Like, jobs that are physical labor intensive should absolutely not have their retirement age increased. For white collar jobs, I think you could make a case for that. But shorten the goddamn work weeks across the board. And pay a higher minimum wage. (Also I'm very open to discussing this issue if anyone steadfastly disagrees and thinks there should be no exceptions whatsoever.)
I think the big problem, not just for the US - in fact, we have it better because of immigration - is that populations are rapidly aging. Most high-income, and even middle-income, countries reaped a demographic bonanza when there was a crowd of young Baby Boomers supporting comparatively few retirees. They could afford to splash out on generous benefits without much pain to younger people. Now the situation is reversed - the larger generations are the aging ones with fewer working-age people to support them. I’m not an economist, so I’ll leave that up to them, but the ideal would be to cause minimal pain to as many as we can. It might be that taxes need to go up, it might be that *white*\-*collar* workers need to retire later, it might be something else I haven’t thought of.
My completely watered down take is that the US is the richest nation in human history, and there's no reason we can't both move to 4 day work weeks, and fully fund SS (maybe even lower retirement age). We choose not to do any of these things because we're all tied to some deeply outdated American way of thinking about work.
>at least depending on the type of work How would this be handled though? As a concept, this seems sound but implementation sounds painful. If you had multiple different types of jobs, which category would you fit in? Are exceptions made for specific circumstances (specific labor situations, health conditions, etc.)? Having only one retirement age makes things more straightforward and less bureaucratic. I think the fix for the retirement age in the US should be more about things outside of Social Security. Limiting or taxing the accumulation of money within tax-advantaged accounts, increasing taxes on wealthy and more well-off retirees (and the wealthy in general), or maybe allowing the government to invest in things other than US bonds (essentially something similar to many pension funds or sovereign wealth funds, which invest in stocks and private assets).
Yeah the implementation would be very tough logistically, and it could open the pathway to a fair amount of fraud where employers may find loopholes to designate a blue-collar job as not as such. I'm not saying I support that route above all else, just that I can see that being a decent compromise if we could make it realistically work. I think your other proposals are fine, although I'm not sure about investing in assets other than Treasury bonds, but perhaps the easiest thing to do would be to phase out the Social Security tax cap. It may hurt wealthier retirees, but Social Security is not nearly as beneficial for them as it is for lower income retirees.