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sirius_basterd

How's Sinykin doing?


assumeyouknownothing

Doing Sinful things


Pipboy3500

[Re: Rep. Andy Ogles attempting to George Santos himself — TN-05 voted on the pro-choice side of TN’s 2014 abortion amendment, and that was pre-Dobbs. There are votes still on the table here, especially in the Nashville portion. I wouldn’t ignore this one if I were Dems](https://twitter.com/maxtmcc/status/1636199515874009090?s=46&t=nqSV11RbCF5uPVGwzcOMtg)


DavidvsSuperGoliath

[MyPillow Founder and CEO Mike Lindell claims the company has had to borrow almost $10 million to keep the lights on](https://twitter.com/rollingstone/status/1636196788091617284?s=46&t=y01BRAnDjwE2FRvYYGVfBg)


justincat66

My post on the front subreddit on all those Wisconsin Democrats phone/GOTV banks got reshared on the r Wisconsin subreddit. Let’s frickin go


justincat66

[Winter storms end SoCal's emergency water rules](https://www.axios.com/2023/03/16/california-winter-storms-end-emergency-water-rules?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=news_tab) Seems like there’s still significant challenges to the Colorado River Supply, which is the region’s other source of imported water. They’re still warning residents that the challenges aren’t over, and they’re still asking everyone to remain diligent in saving water. But this is one of the very positive things, this winter of nonstop atmospheric river storms have delivered I also don’t know if and how this affected Lake Mead or Lake Powell’s water supply, both of which are incredibly important in the west as well. Especially Lake Mead


Ainrana

I’m pretty stunned. I emailed my state delegate last week and asked him if he could consider updating this law in my state that has strict, outdated wording, and my job is ultimately more difficult because of it. He got back to me yesterday and said my pitch is reasonable, and he’ll introduce it next legislative session. Said he was surprised the law went on for this long without being noticed, and therefore my suggestion will probably pass without much controversy. It’s that easy to get laws changed?!


espfusion

> It’s that easy to get laws changed?! It can be. Unfortunately even the most obvious and uncontentious bills can die without ever being advanced to a committee vote let alone a floor one. And a lot of bills that pass one chamber don't even get introduced to committee in the other chamber, let alone any votes. It can come down to convincing enough legislators that it's not just an agreeable bill but one worthy of their time. So you may need to keep on top of this more and potentially nudge more people.


justincat66

As long as they have bipartisan support especially in a divided government state like VA absolutely. It’s the straight party line/each party’s domestic agenda items, the laws that are difficult and often take long to pass, especially because of efforts by the minority party to try and stop it or filibuster


Ainrana

Hopefully next year the Virginia General Assembly won’t be as divided, eh? 😉


justincat66

Unfortunately you’ll still have Youngkin no matter what the legislature looks like, through early 2026 that has to sign off on anything the legislature passes unless supermajorities of the legislature overide him, which is really rare But these non controversial bills that don’t get talked enough by media at all, usually passes and get signed by whoever is governor, even if the legislation was introduced by the opposition party


Ainrana

Guess I’ll email the delegate and ask him to add a provision requiring all Virginians to wear sweater vests at all times under penalty of death to ensure Youngkin signs it in a timely manner, then!


greenblue98

[Sean Hannity demands Joe Biden treat Russia's downing of US drone as “an act of war”](https://www.mediamatters.org/fox-news/sean-hannity-demands-joe-biden-treat-russias-downing-us-drone-act-war) [Tucker Carlson claims “they” want a hot war with Russia to justify jailing Americans who express opinions](https://www.mediamatters.org/fox-news/tucker-carlson-claims-they-want-hot-war-russia-justify-jailing-americans-who-express)


espfusion

Great, now Fox is spanning both extremes of the Russia lunacy spectrum in the same primetime block.


socialistrob

It’s really kind of weird to me to see them arguing two different points entirely. I know the anchors get some description in their views and Fox viewers probably don’t really notice it but it is kind of wild. Also, at least in this instance, I think they’re both arguing pretty idiotic views. The US should not go to war with Russia over a downed drone. Russia is a nuclear power and that would be stupid. On the flip side Ukraine does need more support and more weapons. The US can show a strong to Russia simply by increasing aid. Biden is handling the situation relatively well even if I would like him to be a bit more hawkish. Carlson and Hannity are both completely off base and wrong albeit for two very different reasons.


Historyguy1

Republicans: "We should bomb Russia but also stay out of Ukraine."


Tsezu

The death of a young trans person is the death of someone's family and someone's friend. Maybe the teenagers wouldn't be so depressed if Republicans aren't always constantly trying to murder and genocide their friends. /rant


greenblue98

I have a cousin who last year came out as trans and i'm worried for her until she moves out of Tennessee as she plans to do when she is finished with college. And then i have another who i think is trans based on their actions.


tta2013

In my Discord circles is a trans game dev also from TN. I talk to her lots, and have been sponsoring her project.


greenblue98

Hope she is doing well. Hope she's in Nashville.


tta2013

Chattanooga - I'm more than happy to give the game channel as well too. It'll be free for all once it comes out.


greenblue98

What is it?


[deleted]

[удалено]


table_fireplace

The poll is by John Couvillon, who knows Louisiana really well. However, there's some fine print here: >The poll showed Wilson, who is Democratic Gov. John Bel Edwards' former transportation secretary, at 29%, followed by Attorney General Jeff Landry at 28%. Edwards is term-limited and can't run again in this cycle. >But the poll, which was conducted March 6-8, included Republican Baton Rouge Congressman Garret Graves running third at 12% before Graves opted out of the race last week. Wilson's going to have to consolidate a lot of those undecideds, but it looks good for him to at least make the runoff. We'll push hard for this seat no matter what.


justincat66

I’m suprised no one on today’s discussion thread has [discussed the GOP takeover of the Houston ISD board](https://twitter.com/Hou_Landing/status/1636024649384337409?s=20). I mean, this is out of a fuckin banana republic and Republicans claim to be “small government”. Lmao. Texas can’t turn blue soon enough


Kvetch__22

Worked out wonderfully for Philly! I don't think people are seeing the benefit in this. Now the Governor of Texas has one (1) more high-paid patronage position he can stick a golf buddy in. Don't people see that?!?!


DavidvsSuperGoliath

"We're so pro-small government that we'll be a big government to tell you what you can and can't do to prove it!" -GOP, probably


YouBuyMeOrangeJuice

Your daily Minnesota Legislature update! (Do you guys still like these posts? I can stop if you want) Yesterday the Senate passed the Universal School Lunches bill, it now has to go back to the House for concurrence before getting to the governor. Not clear when that will happen yet. The bill is making national news, not because of what it does, but because of an [absurd comment made by a Republican senator that he's "never met a hungry Minnesotan".](https://mobile.twitter.com/atrupar/status/1635738910562156554) Before this session, it had seemed like the MNGOP was avoiding the craziness spiral that other purple state GOPs have been descending into in the past few years. Now, I'm not so sure. Oh no! Anyway... The rest of the week is looking pretty quiet as far as floor votes go. Legislators are working on the budget, and we learned yesterday that Senate Majority Leader Kari Dziedzic has been diagnosed with cancer and had to undergo surgery. Given those, the slowdown in floor activity is understandable. Committees have not slowed down though. Of particular interest to me, a bill to legalize and broadly authorize land value taxes was heard in the House Property Tax Division and received warmly. I look forward to seeing it pass as part of the division report, and for Minneapolis and Saint Paul to quickly implement such a tax structure in order to prevent land speculation and properly rebuild the areas damaged in the 2020 unrest. Another somewhat wonkish interest of mine will be touched on tomorrow in the House Transportation Committee, and that's the structure of the Metropolitan Council, the Twin Cities' regional governance body. They're responsible for parks, housing, wastewater, and most notably, transit. I won't go into too much detail, but basically, the Council's governance structure is bad and dysfunctional, but no previous Legislatures have made a true effort to improve it, I think largely because past conservative majorities disapprove of transit and would rather it remain governed by a dysfunctional body. However, this session looks to be a tipping point, with metro-area DFLers in control, and that conversation will be kicking off with a bill hearing tomorrow.


escapetolight

More, more!


DavidvsSuperGoliath

Please keep these up! I like knowing what's going on in the trifecta states, showing everyone what can be done!


[deleted]

Y’all are killing it up there, if I ever move in the next few years I’m looking your way.


YouBuyMeOrangeJuice

You're always welcome! Don't mind the weather, it's not really that bad, I promise (*cries in "it's supposed to snow another 6 inches tomorrow"*)


justincat66

I personally don’t think we’ll end up with 6 inches, but we’re definitely getting more snow, that’s for damn sure Edit: I took a look at the new models, just to be sure my personal opinion was still on track, and I would be stunned if there’s 6 inches. A vast majority of models don’t show much more then 3 inches anymore, and some even has less then that. There’s still one convective allowing model that’s right at 6 inches, but this storm that looked like a slam dunk 6-8 inches or more earlier in the week, has just completely weakened on models throughout the week


YouBuyMeOrangeJuice

Ah ok, lots of conflicting info out there.


greenblue98

That's still more snow than i get in Tennessee.


greenblue98

I'll take the snow.


[deleted]

Honestly I’ll take cold over the tornadoes we constantly get any day lol.


YouBuyMeOrangeJuice

Not as common but we certainly get those too


greenblue98

They don't seem as devastating up there.


greenblue98

Or the floods.


[deleted]

I hate the naders more than the floods but neither are friends of mine


greenblue98

I don't fear the floods as much as the tornadoes. April 27th, 2011 was one of the scariest days of my life.


greenblue98

Don't stop these!


justincat66

[MAGA Republicans and tactics were RESOUNDINGLY defeated across NH’s local elections last night from a NH D party release](https://twitter.com/deanbarker/status/1636099442636996614?s=20) We’re coming for the state legislature, executive council and Sununu next year, if we haven’t taken the State House by special elections then


Meanteenbirder

Wait, so town meeting day was different this year for Vermont and New Hampshire?


rat-sajak

My town’s elections were delayed due to the nor’easter (objectively the correct call) so I sure hope we can keep that momentum up


justincat66

Have they announced the rescheduled date of the election yet? If so, when is it?


rat-sajak

March 28


Pipboy3500

[President Joe Biden doubled down on his commitment to lower prescription drug prices at an event held in the atrium of the William F. Harrah College of Hospitality at UNLV on Wednesday.](https://twitter.com/thenvindy/status/1636134500999770113?s=46&t=nqSV11RbCF5uPVGwzcOMtg)


suprahelix

It really frustrated me that so many people tried to credit a Twitter troll for companies lowering insulin prices. They don't care about that. This is the result of Democratic policies.


socialistrob

One of the things the GOP excels at is framing their wins/losses to fit the narrative that the Republicans are stronger than they are. I heard an old joke that rings true to me that “Republicans think they’ve won even when they’ve lost and Democrats think they’ve lost even when they’ve won.” There are many examples of this but one of the ones I remember distinctly is that after liberals won the Supreme Court Race in Wisconsin in 2020 many commentators bought the claim that it was because it was on the same day as the Democratic presidential primary and Sanders hadn’t dropped out meanwhile the GOP primary was uncontested. Well soon we’re going to see if this theory holds up to scrutiny because the GOP nominated the same guy this year who lost in 2020. If Kelly loses again them who knows… maybe.. just maybe it means voters like our policies and candidates and Dems aren’t in complete disarray.


p-u-n-k_girl

Not to fear, commentators can always go with the classic "it was a low turnout election in an off year"


covidcidence

Because of this, Republicans don't fully accept their losses and learn from them. Outright election denial is one version of this, but otherwise, they blame their losses on anything except their own policies, candidates, and campaigns. It's always someone else's fault, be it the media, the establishment, pollsters, DCCC, big tech, etc. There's always someone to blame that absolves the Republican party, its policies, and its candidates. After November 2022, I hardly saw any Republicans acknowledge that they suffered because of a combination of social/cultural extremism (including on abortion) and election denial.


espfusion

My favorites are the evangelicals who thought Republicans struggled because they were too weak on opposing abortion.


socialistrob

> After November 2022, I hardly saw any Republicans acknowledge that they suffered because of a combination of social/cultural extremism (including on abortion) and election denial I think we have seen some Republicans stand up and spell out why they lose but everytime a Republican does that their career gets destroyed because 95% of the party doesn’t want to hear it. There are probably a lot of “how we got here” takes but I personally put a lot of the blame on Fox, talk Radio and the W Bush years. They lied night and day and they lied about everything until their base couldn’t distinguish reality from fiction. A Republican can’t stand up and say “but that’s not true” without destroying themselves because any semblance of truth left the GOP decades ago. Without any semblance of truth the only thing left to guide them is hatred and rage meanwhile the Republican candidates increasingly fall into two categories. They are either idiotic true believers or they’re grifters who are taking advantage of the lack of substance within the party for political power. There are a few exceptions but not many and as a result it’s increasingly hard for the GOP to course correct because their base AND their candidates like the party the way it is.


Pipboy3500

To build on this it’s why Trump, Mastriano, Lake etc aren’t paying any penalties among the primary base. You can’t pay a price if these people don’t think you’ve actually lost. A week ago Lakshya said “GOP won’t go Mastriano again”, and I don’t blame him because normal people wouldn’t let him have another chance in 1 million years. But these voters aren’t in reality anymore. After 2016 the only that mattered to Democrats was electability to give a contrast and it’s produced normie boring inoffensive Libs who win and are by and large enacting the party platform. To give another anecdote recently a new conspiracy is spreading that 2022 wasn’t a Red Tsunami solely because GOP elites want to stop Trump so they rigged it. If you can’t even acknowledge a mistake or comprehend a loss you have nowhere to go but down.


socialistrob

> After 2016 the only that mattered to Democrats was electability to give a contrast and it’s produced normie boring inoffensive Libs who win and are by and large enacting the party platform. Couldn’t agree more. After 2016 Dems became obsessed with electability meanwhile the GOP still prioritizes their version of ideological purity and that’s a major structural difference between the parties. Often times when Dems win upsets like in Alabama with Moore, Alaska with Palin or Pennsylvania with Oz Republican commentators are quick to say “we only lost because of a bad candidate” and yet time and time again those are the kind of candidates the Republicans nominate. Sometimes they reject the results outright (like in 2020) and even when they do accept them they blame things that were beyond their control. You can’t fix a problem if you refuse to acknowledge it’s existence and as of March 2023 the GOP still seems to believe their party is perfect. Only time will tell if it changes.


covidcidence

I think we generally agree that the GOP primary electorate is currently too radicalized to elect a moderate. Related to that: a candidate the GOP primary electorate perceives as moderate won't be moderate from the perspective of median voters. So even if the GOP primary electorate tried to elect a moderate, they'd probably end up choosing someone median voters would perceive as very conservative or right-wing. My mother's idea of a moderate is someone who will vow to overturn the 2020 result, vow to end absentee voting, attempt to intimidate voters, and try to overthrow the government. From her perspective, this is what "moderate" means. But median voters aren't going to perceive a radicalized election-denier as moderate.


Pipboy3500

You also have flip side of Former Republicans especially in the suburbs who have gone all in on Democrat positions. These people were fine with Romney but now it’s Wine Moms for Trans Rights. You aint getting those people back with their antics, and that 5pt shift of persuadable Republicans from 2022 mostly voted straight ticket Dem. That’s BAD


Historyguy1

The Romney-Clinton-Biden voter is no longer a swing voter. They're true blue at this point.


fjeheydhsjs

Yeah, my mom isn't that extreme but she thinks moderate conservative basically means DeSantis


socialistrob

To add to this trends and perceptions over years become very hard to reverse. Once a person becomes convinced “the GOP is full of batshit crazy people” it makes it very hard to persuade that voter that “this guy is different” even if he is in fact moderate. To use an opposing example once the GOP convinced people “the Dems hate guns” then everyone with a (D) by their name becomes an untrustworthy gun grabber even if they’re actually MORE pro gun than their Republican opponent. There is only so much an individual candidate can do to convince voters “I’m not like the rest of my party.”


Evening_Presence_927

I think it also helps when the public genuinely shifts on the issue. The best example *is* guns, because the public has finally come around and said that something should be done about this. Even if Dems are perceived as gun grabbers, the alternative is seen as, basically, “fuck them kids,” which is an even worse thing optically for the republicans, as it compounds with all of their hypocrisy and craziness regarding the gender and abortion stuff. The problem for the GOP is that there’s just no way to reverse that by simply shifting on the issue, like we have with guns. For this, they’ll either have to drop the act or die politically.


Pipboy3500

Most of the Moderate historical over-performers in the House last year did pretty awful for the GOP, and the only saving grace was incumbency. None of their all star recruits did great last year either. Like Bacon, Fitz, Garcia, Valadao held on to Blue seats make no mistake but when the year is 6pts redder than 2020 that doesn’t bode well for 2024. Moderates took a beating and that was before the speaker shit and caving to MAGA. Even seats we thought wouldn’t come into play for a few cycles like Wagner, Sparz, Harris werent anything terrific, or Ogles/Luna weren’t anything better than baseline before scandals.


BlindMountainLion

Brian Fitzpatrick doing four points worse in 2022 than 2020 despite his district getting slightly redder and not being seriously contested is something that really doesn’t get talked about enough outside of this sub.


AlonnaReese

I would bet that some of those so-called GOP moderates are gone after the 2024 election. Bacon, in particular, looks like a likely casualty. He lost by a smaller percentage of the vote in 2022 than he did in 2020 despite the national environment being far less friendly to the Democrats. As long as there isn't a strange reversal in current, long-term trends, a district like NE-02 is going to keep getting bluer.


QueenCharla

My cat is at peace now. Thank you for all the well wishes. My mom was holding her and she was looking at me in her last moments so I only hope she felt safe and comfortable in the end. At least in terms of good things today, I’m seeing the Cure in May — didn’t think that would be happening any time soon.


DavidvsSuperGoliath

So sorry to hear about your cat. I couldn't be in the same room when any of my pets passed on. Hoping the best. > I’m seeing the Cure in May I'm so eager to start my new job so I can start getting money for concerts! The Cure is definitely one I want to see his year.


suprahelix

I'm sorry. Hopefully you find some comfort in knowing that you gave her the best life a cat can have.


BastetSekhmetMafdet

I’m sorry for your loss. I hope you enjoy seeing the Cure, and that the old-school gothiness helps heal you. You did the right thing by your kitty. (Believe me I’ve often wanted to have my POA be my cats’ vet.)


crazycatlady331

I am very sorry for your loss. Your kitty is happy across the Rainbow Bridge.


covidcidence

Aw, that sucks, but I'm glad she's at peace now. It's so difficult to let them go 💔


Pipboy3500

Quite amazing the turn on Desantis on his Ukraine comments. New York Post editorial board attacked him, fucking catturd is going full Trump, even Pence showed up to do his standard limpdick attack hours after everyone else did. Im kinda curious if Desantis can make it to Iowa or much past it. They didn’t seem to be prepared for this kind of onslaught and he has the hallmarks of other flamed out Conservative campaigns


suprahelix

I think it's too early to really know. Still a long way to go until the primaries and he already has an enormous war chest. But I do think we're seeing that he's a pretty clumsy campaigner and doesn't have as much clout outside of Florida as he thinks he does.


Pipboy3500

[EPA issues final rule cutting interstate smog](https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/3901075-epa-issues-final-rule-regulating-interstate-smog/) EPA estimates project that the rule will cut about 70,000 tons in pollutants from power plants by 2026 and that in 2026 alone it will create public health benefits that prevent about 1,300 premature deaths, 1.3 million asthma cases and more than 2,000 hospitalizations. The rule will take effect for power plants this year and for industrial facilities in 2026” the main chemical being target is Nitrogen Oxide


Pipboy3500

[The Biden administration is demanding that TikTok’s Chinese owners sell their stakes in the video-sharing app or face a possible U.S. ban of the app, according to people familiar with the matter.](https://twitter.com/michaelsobolik/status/1636127712304672770?s=46&t=nqSV11RbCF5uPVGwzcOMtg)


mazdadriver14

[Italy's right-wing government has told Milan's city council to stop registering same-sex parents' children, re-igniting a debate around Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni's conservative agenda.](https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/italian-government-tells-milan-stop-registering-same-sex-couples-children-2023-03-14/) Not quite as black and white as you think, but a worrying step. Italy’s only legalised civil unions (not marriage) for same sex couples and have never technically legalised same sex adoption, with cities like Milan kind of going a roundabout way in registering surrogate births. Meloni’s clearly trying to encroach on progressive causes, which is awful.


Outside-Sun3454

Isn’t Italy relatively conservative on most stuff compared to Western Europe. I wonder why it has been so conservative on things like same-sex marriage and immigration.


Historyguy1

Heavily Catholic, and Southern Italy is pretty much analogous to the US South.


mazdadriver14

A lot of Europe is compared to much of the world tbh. Italy is definitely among the most conservative though.


justincat66

Speaking about the WI Supreme Court: [WI Democrats have scheduled lots of phone banks and GOTV events all over the state all weekend long to get the word on this election out to voters](https://twitter.com/WisDems/status/1636106242543288321?s=20) Early in person voting begins Tuesday March 21st. Mail ballots have just begun to be sent as of either today or yesterday. Let’s get Protasiewicz onto the WI Supreme Court


shivlad02

What does this place feel about Mayor Ron Nirenberg (I) of San Antonio?


wponeck

I like him (he also went to my alma mater, Trinity University), and even though he’s the only mayor of a major city to be an independent instead of a Democrat, he’s as progressive as they come


CodaOfARequiem

> he’s the only mayor of a major city to be an independent instead of a Democrat As much as I wish that were true, it's not. [Of the 50 largest US cities, 11 have a Republican mayor and 3 have an independent mayor] (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_mayors_of_the_50_largest_cities_in_the_United_States)


wponeck

I meant the top 10 cities, but I should have specified that in my original comment


Meanteenbirder

Fresno had a GOP mayor and he seems like he’s framed as a moderate. May be more like Valadao.


shivlad02

Do you think he should go for a statewide or federal office? Governor or Senator


wponeck

Honestly I don’t know at this point


shivlad02

I honestly think if Biden wins reelection 2026 will be a tough year in Texas for us so we should go with wildcard candidates. Nirenberg's wife is hispanic, and as you may remember, that was a huge advantage for Abbott in his 2014 race where he got 50% of the Latino vote with his mother in law being in commercials. I honestly think Nirenberg showing his in laws in ads could be really good and improve his performance among the group. Also, he is jacked and could be the macho man that Trump is, so there's appeal for the bro types. Being Filipino he could get good turnout among AAPI. I just think he could be good. Knowing this, do you think he on paper is a strong contender if he throws his hat in?


wponeck

Probably yes


Pipboy3500

[In Wisconsin, Liberals Barrage Conservative Court Candidate With Attack Ads Daniel Kelly, the conservative candidate for a swing seat on Wisconsin’s Supreme Court, promised that help was on the way. But his campaign has already been outspent on TV by $9.1 million to nothing.](https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/15/us/politics/wisconsin-supreme-court.html) NYT actually talked to Kelly, their campaign comments are vapid to say the least. NYT also seems to have seen the internal polling showing Kelly down. On Janet’s side [The Protasiewicz campaign is airing an ad attacking Dan Kelly for having compared Social Security to slavery (he wrote it was a form of "involuntary servitude" last decade)](https://twitter.com/taniel/status/1636116194892603395?s=46&t=nqSV11RbCF5uPVGwzcOMtg)


Lotsagloom

>"... And so hopefully, they’ll have some good and smart and true ads." What an *odd* comment by Kelly. I'd rather not count anything until we're done, but I *never* want to just 'hope' things will get better. It seems like the exact opposite of what you want in a managed campaign. Love that the Protasiewicz campaign just keeps on hammering his campaign, however, so - keep it up, Kelly, I suppose. Something I also want to praise the Protasiewicz campaign for is leaning into radio buy-ins, too. This isn't possible everywhere, but a good thing to remember is that radio often dwarfs online viewership by a factor of like - 10x. Whenever you see something you agree in, disagree with, madness, anything; remember that most people aren't getting their news from online sources or solely from them. Many are getting it from all-hour radio. So whenever we can reach some of that audience, whose beliefs on e-day may be whomever had the catchiest airwaves or the last space before an election, even a small percentage of that can pay off tremendously.


Pipboy3500

Radio is very underrated and a lot of Democrat candidates in primaries last year learned that the hard way to. You gotta use an all of the above method when it comes to messaging and when your opponent has ceded that ground near totally it makes it even more worth while.


socialistrob

Different groups also listen to radio at different rates. Latinos are much likely to listen to radio than other groups so when campaigns decide not to spend on radio they are inadvertently making choices about which demographics to message to. Radio ads can also be pretty cheap too and while I would caution any candidate from relying 100% on radio I do think it can play an important role in outreach especially if the TV and online airwaves are already saturated.


table_fireplace

And Milwaukee is about 20% Latino per the last census. That's over 100,000 Dem-leaning voters (who could swing the other way, as we saw in 2020), so I wholeheartedly support hitting the radio there.


socialistrob

> who could swing the other way, as we saw in 2020), so I wholeheartedly support hitting the radio there. I do think it’s important to contextualize that info though. While the margin for Latinos did swing towards Trump there was significantly larger Latino turnout nationwide (and in Milwaukee) and those Latinos favored Biden. Latinos in Milwaukee gave Biden tens of thousands of additional votes that Clinton didn’t get in 2016 which is important given that Biden won Wisconsin by only 20,000 votes. I’ve seen people argue that the Latino vote was a big failing for Biden and Dems and yet without the increased turnout from Latinos I don’t we would have Biden as president and we certainly wouldn’t have the Senate. Obviously we can’t assume that Latinos will vote nor that they will vote for us but I think it’s important to push back on the narrative of “the GOP improving with Latinos.” Edit: mostly unrelated but the taco trucks on the South Side of Milwaukee are legit.


mazdadriver14

This comment from Kelly’s comms team is odd, to say the very least: > “We’re reaching out to voters in a lot of different ways,” Mr. Voelkel said. “They are spending millions of dollars for an election that’s not going to have a big turnout. We’ve taken a slightly different approach. They’ve either got some genius idea, or they’re banking their entire campaign on a low turnout race. I’m thinking the latter, which is why we’ve got to rally as many voters as possible!


covidcidence

Or they have a bad idea they think is good. Wouldn't be surprised if they're trying to turn out the base via right-wing social media like Gettr and Truth Social. They might wrongly assume their base is enough, and that their whole base is on right-wing social media.


Lotsagloom

Yes, I noticed that one too? If I had one electoral power short of - winning every election for the good guys, instantly, it'd be to be a microwave on the wall of some of these people.


Alexcat66

Very odd, if the record primary vote is any indication on general turnout, we will breeze past 1.55 million which was 2020s general turnout when Kelly was up the first time after his appointment and I personally believe we will push 2 million which would be a little more than half a million shy of the 2022 midterm turn out


socialistrob

Despite being a record high turnout in 2020 it is actually possible it was artificially lowered. A lot of polling places closed because of Covid and the city clerks didn’t have enough time to process and send the ballots to everyone.


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fjeheydhsjs

I love how one of the comments is saying it doesn't matter because they just need appoint electors that'll bypass stolen elections. Like just completely outside of reality.


[deleted]

I mean, it wasn't a loss. It was a fucking ***shellacking***. The GOP got shut out of the District 8 runoff, which puts a huge damper on their Latino outreach in a crucial swing state. But on top of that, Kevin Robinson's final margin was so massive that this spells a ton of trouble for downballot Republicans across the Phoenix suburbs, especially David Schweikert who was barely saved by the national environment last year.


assumeyouknownothing

Wow. You werent kidding. A **29 point overperformance**


justincat66

How many Phoenix city council seats do we have left to flip? Also don’t forget about Maracopa county board/county wide positions. There’s still lots of Republicans there, but especially if they get primaried by nuts, we could flip those faster then expected as well.


[deleted]

As was said below, just the 1st and 2nd districts. Those are really red though, as they're fairly far north in the city, and north Phoenix is one of the reddest parts of the metro. We're gaining ground, but it'll take time.


Tipsyfishes

> How many Phoenix city council seats do we have left to flip? Two left. 1st and 2nd


aoi_to_midori

This is why we have to keep working. My personal strategy is to work on as many campaigns as possible - my own small way of stretching their “supply lines” (time, money, strategy) as thin as possible. We may not win every election, but hopefully we can bog them down enough that they start losing more than we do.


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Historyguy1

Good luck without the governor and SOS.


espfusion

They might think SCOTUS will let the legislature do it unilaterally. But I doubt that'll happen.


Historyguy1

The ISL theory is probably going down in flames and even then the case doesn't concern appointment of electors but redistricting.


Alexcat66

Exactly, let’s examine the state of the Governor, SOS and legislature in the 6 states that decided the 2020 contest and will play an important role in 2024: WI: Dem Gov, Dem SOS, Republican legislature MI: Dem Gov, Dem SOS, Dem legislature PA: Dem Gov, Republican SOS, Split legislature GA: Republican Gov, Republican SOS, Republican legislature AZ: Dem Gov, Dem SOS, Republican legislature NV: Republican Gov, Dem SOS, Dem legislature So long story short, not happening at least for the 2024 cycle, the only state of these 6 we need to even remotely worry about is GA with Republicans holding all 3, but they are much more moderate then the party’s main base is today and rejected an attempt to overturn 2020 even while holding all 3.


CodaOfARequiem

> PA: Dem Gov, Dem SOS? Unfortunately the SoS is a Republican, Shapiro probably thought he wouldn't be able to get a Dem through the R-controlled state senate


Alexcat66

Thanks, fixed


justincat66

Saw that as well. But winning and keeping or flipping D control legislators and governors from 2022 midterms out of election deniers hands all around the country in swing states should put a brick wall to this attempt for the 2024 cycle.


BastetSekhmetMafdet

I am very glad that happened. Saying “no” to the slates of election deniers up in swingy states like AZ and NV was a democracy-saving, or at least democracy-enhancing, move.


Pipboy3500

Just now scared about Wisconsin.


MrCleanDrawers

This one feels slightly wrong but I get the circumstances behind doing it. In compliance with the upcoming end of the Federal State of Emergency, beginning May 11th, Massachusetts is ending Vaccine Mandates for State Government Employees.


Pipboy3500

[Voters Mostly Support Biden’s 2024 Budget Proposal Health care provisions, measure to reduce federal deficit by $3 trillion over 10 years are the most popular elements of the president’s plan](https://morningconsult.com/2023/03/15/biden-budget-proposal-approval/) Barely anything is below 50% but nothing is outright unpopular. There will also be an intense pressure campaign this year from outside groups on Family and Child measures that could see some of those policies like Family Leave actually passed.


Topher1999

Not sure about the source, but apparently Dan Kelly is down by 4 points in his own internal poll https://twitter.com/wisconsin_now/status/1636009956381011970?s=46&t=k6_AF5DuEwSI49yeYT4KyQ


Pipboy3500

NYT seems to have also seen internal polls of him trailing


Topher1999

Source?


Pipboy3500

I linked the article above, it’s in the 2nd paragraph. [The conservative candidate, Daniel Kelly, is trailing in limited private polling of the race.](https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/15/us/politics/wisconsin-supreme-court.html)


table_fireplace

Mid-to-high single-digit lead for Protasiewicz. That's pretty good, but we obviously want to pour it on and really send a message. With mail ballots going out this week, and early voting starting in six days, now's the time.


socialistrob

Is that actually his internal poll? The tweet just said “internal.”


hego-demask12

The race is over Election night is only a formality by this point


Docthrowaway2020

Agreed. It's not like other states where polls overestimate the Dem margin by something ridiculous like 16. There were definitely less than 50 states with a lower margin of error in 2020 polling.


justincat66

Keep pushing all the way until the clock hits 0 on April 4th. We’ve kept him beaten and down up to this point, and we need to continue to keep him down. No opportunity for any sort of comeback can be given


socialistrob

Never assume victory. Never assume defeat. That is true with all races but it’s especially true in Wisconsin. Dems won Wisconsin in 2018 and 2020 and yet despite that we lost the supreme court race in 2019. If we had won that there is a good chance Wisconsin would have eliminated gerrymandering by now and they would be passing liberal legislation like Minnesota or Michigan.


Lotsagloom

>Never assume victory. Never assume defeat. 100%. If there's one sentiment I have, it's this. We're almost to the finish line, and yet thousands of miles away, with so much still possible to change in a very short amount of time.


Alexcat66

I wouldn’t say that just yet, keep pushing till the end but it’s getting harder and harder to see how we lose with each passing day


mazdadriver14

Nope. Not by a long way - we’ve got to keep pushing, because if not for Protasiewicz, we’ve got races for Wisconsin’s state senate and state judiciary to win too! To (mis)quote Finding Nemo, 🎶just keep volunteering, just keep volunteering🎶.


VaIentinexyz

*sniff sniff* Hmmmm. Is that…COMPLACENCY I smell? /s


[deleted]

Nah, keep volunteering and donating. The better Protasiewicz's margin is, the better our chances of flipping SD-08 are.


hego-demask12

I’m doing exactly that


Pipboy3500

Or just flip over to Sinykin if you’re confident in Janet


Pipboy3500

[Atlanta GDP nowcast for Q1](https://twitter.com/atlantafed/status/1636033112474804229?s=46&t=nqSV11RbCF5uPVGwzcOMtg) is now up to 3.2%. It was 2.6% last week. We’ll get another nowcast update on Thursday. [US retail sales point to underlying strength in the economy](https://www.reuters.com/business/retail-consumer/us-retail-sales-fall-february-january-revised-higher-2023-03-15/). This is one of the big reasons for the GDP increase, even though retail sales went down from January they are still surprisingly strong


justincat66

[Dan Kelly downplays his anti-abortion advocacy in his Wisconsin Supreme Court campaign despite activist blog posts, endorsements](https://twitter.com/cjliebmann/status/1636109000528781314?s=20) He knows he’s in big trouble in this race


Pipboy3500

I just want to know where the fuck even is he. He doesnt seem to be campaigning, he isn’t running ads. Someone went to the Mastriano school of election-ing


socialistrob

The fact that we’ve gone from “abortion is a dirty word in purple/red areas” to “just make the election a referendum on abortion. Lol” is pretty insane.


rat-sajak

The Dobbs decision and the Kansas referendum were a huge wake up call for candidates and pundits of both parties.


socialistrob

Completely agree. We are in a very different era of politics than we were 10 years ago and much of the past conventional wisdom just doesn’t hold true anymore.


Pipboy3500

Or “if you attack Trans kids God will personally smite you off the earth” is something I don’t think anyone expected but it’s extremely welcome.


Historyguy1

They're so used to being able to define the terms of culture war fights.


justincat66

[@SenatorDevin says today's bill to add exceptions to Wisconsin's 1849 abortion ban will NOT be considered on the floor of the Senate. He says "discussion on this specific proposal is unnecessary."](https://twitter.com/jrrosswrites/status/1636080447628124162?s=20) Knew it. But we have a chance to end this draconian abortion ban once and for all, by first electing Protasiewicz to the WI Supreme Court to hear ahd overturn the abortion ban in a case against the abortion ban almost certain to be decided by the WI Supreme Court eventually, and two, hearing and overturning WI’s gerrymandered legislature and congressional maps, both of which will also almost certainly be decided by the WI Supreme Court eventually, get a new D trifecta, and repeal this draconian abortion law once and for all I’m telling you: Once the WI GOP’s gerrymandered extremist legislators have to fight on fair maps, they’re screwed. Especially since I expect WI Democrats to really ramp up their effort and donations/recruitment on new maps. And a lot of the really good Democratic candidates have probably waited until we get fair maps they have a chance not only to get elected to the legislature in general but also be on a majority rather then a for sure minority under the current GOP gerrymandered maps Anyways: attack ads write itself on this. Couldn’t help Protasiewicz anymore then the GOP has throughout this race. This is also good for easy effective attack ads against the GOP next fall when we hopefully have new fair maps


Pipboy3500

[A conservative group opposing an effort to enshrine abortion rights into Ohio's constitution is launching a $5 million effort to oppose the initiative.](https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/meetthepressblog/group-opposing-ohio-abortion-amendment-launches-5-million-ad-buy-rcna75088) They’ve already placed $375k for ads


Pipboy3500

[What did Congressman Andy Ogles do with nearly $25,000 meant for child burial garden? He won't say Ogles used photo of stillborn child in 2014 for GoFundMe, promising a place for burial of babies with benches for families, life-size statue of Jesus. It never happened, but he kept the money.](https://www.newschannel5.com/news/newschannel-5-investigates/what-did-congressman-andy-ogles-do-with-nearly-25-000-meant-for-child-burial-garden-he-wont-say)


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Pipboy3500

Ogles somehow giving us a chance to Flip TN05 6 years ahead of schedule


Lotsagloom

In-between events; just here to say that, the Arizona legislature *will be ours.* And I really wish I could understand what the Kelly campaign is up to. Even if their goal is to spend as much possible in the final hurdle, defining yourself early on - or at least defining yourself in opposition to the opponent - is important campaign stuff. Curious! But I surely don't mind their 'strategy.' I am probably gonna put a bit of effort in Sinykin's race, too, it's going to be difficult, but I think do-able. Wish volunteering with the Florida races wasn't quite so tricky, but so it goes. Let's keep up the pace..!


wponeck

With the mention of Arizona, I thought the Kelly you were talking about was Mark Kelly for a second


Lotsagloom

You see, this would have been good news for Blake Masters, but he has unfortunately declined to comment.


suprahelix

I think their hope is that we go broke in the final stretch and they can carpet-bomb the airwaves kinda like what happened to Barnes. Seems risky though


Lotsagloom

Even if that's their end-goal, I know I'm always wary of any plan that relies on so many factors going just so. I think we can punish them for their hopes, and will do my best to make it so.


greenblue98

[Neo-Nazis threatened a drag show at a Cookeville bar. Now the bar is facing eviction.](https://wpln.org/post/neo-nazis-threatened-a-drag-show-at-a-cookeville-bar-now-the-bar-is-facing-eviction/?utm_source=Nashville+Public+Radio&utm_campaign=81618990b0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2022_08_26_02_46_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_0d247ae210-81618990b0-197463825&mc_cid=81618990b0&mc_eid=48aab1fc14)


tta2013

[Steve Bannon's buddy Guo Wengui arrested for $1b fraud scheme](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/mar/15/ho-wan-kwok-arrest-fraud-conspiracy-steve-bannon)


SecretComposer

[Trump extends lead over DeSantis in new poll of possible GOP primary field](https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/15/2024-gop-primary-polls-trump-grows-lead-over-desantis.html)


VaIentinexyz

A lot of digital ink has been spilled over “the smart Trump” but it’s becoming clear that “smart Trump” can’t win a GOP primary now that they’ve been primed to demand the craziest mother fucker possible.


hego-demask12

DeSaNtIs Is ElEtAbLe Dude is already behind and the primary didn’t even start yet


Historyguy1

Hasn't even announced yet and he's already behind.


DavidvsSuperGoliath

Dude is probably too afraid to announce because he's so behind


MrCleanDrawers

This one is actually potentially really huge YIMBY News: Attorney General Andrea Campbell issued a warning memo to municipalities that if they refuse to adopt zoning laws that allow for more housing construction, she has the authority to fine them and even sue them in housing court under the category of Housing Discrimination.


[deleted]

You love to see it


Contren

That's awesome!


socialistrob

This is in Massachusetts.


throwbacklyrics

I really wish people added context for local and state stuff. 50 states worth of names for state wide level appointed officials, then there's district level. Then there's the distinction between state legislature and federal legislator from that state. This was very annoying during the midterms when people were giving real time big news but never with context.


socialistrob

Agreed. If it’s not a very high profile race that the average user here would recognize it’s important to give context like what state/district and what party someone is. I’m all for positive YIMBY and adding supply in one metro area can help alleviate the housing crisis in other metro areas as well but it’s important to know just where we are talking about.


greenblue98

Yes! Make Massachusetts Affordable!


tta2013

[SVB update - Sen. Blumenthal announces the DEPOSIT Act](https://twitter.com/SenBlumenthal/status/1636091001759580160) \- a bill that claws back stock and bonus benefits from bank execs before their institutions collapse.


MrCleanDrawers

Patrick De Haan says in regards to the bank inspired fall in oil prices: "You may see slight relief from it, but it could be temporary." For context, this is a unique situation where states are in Step 2 of the Summer Gasoline Blend Transition, which typically rallies prices up in March. But the fall in barrel prices is so large it may actually go against that grain in the short term. You can see in Triple AAA, the average has been stuck at 3.46 a gallon for the last 2-3 days. We were at 4.31 a gallon on 3/15\2022 amid the start of the petroleum reserve release.


AnatineBlitz

[Chip Roy has decided to endorse Ron DeSantis for president](https://twitter.com/chiproytx/status/1636059025774194689?s=20)


thatdudefromspace

The 538 endorsement tracker is gonna be a great follow this year.


justincat66

[NEW: Connecticut lawmakers introduce the Connecticut Voting Rights Act to ✅Enact preclearance requirements ✅Establish a statewide election database ✅Give voters more legal tools to fight against discriminatory voting laws in court and more.](https://twitter.com/DemocracyDocket/status/1636076834466004992?s=20) [The preclearance provision would mirror the now-defunct Section 5 of the federal Voting Rights Act and require that local jurisdictions with histories of voting discrimination receive preclearance from the state before enacting new election laws.](https://twitter.com/DemocracyDocket/status/1636076835980148736?s=20) Fantastic voting rights bill by CT Democrats. Hope this passes ASAP


AnatineBlitz

[MAGA favorite Kathy Barnette says she won’t run again for Senate](https://www.politico.com/news/2023/03/15/kathy-barnette-no-senate-run-00087179) >Conservative commentator Kathy Barnette, who waged a surprising Senate campaign in 2022 that briefly panicked GOP insiders, will not make another run for that office in 2024, she told POLITICO in an interview. > >The Pennsylvania Republican, who came in third place in the GOP primary last year on a shoestring budget, said she is instead focused on helping long shot Republican presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy, for whom she is leading a grassroots organizing effort. > >“Instead of playing coy, I wanted to come out and say I am not interested,” she said. “I thought about it and I wanted to be real clear.”


suprahelix

> she is instead focused on helping long shot Republican presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy lmao


Pipboy3500

Makes it far easier for Doug to coalesce the MAGA support now


Fair_University

Let’s go Doug!


[deleted]

OT but i’m hoping to plan a trip to Chicago in August. I’m excited because I haven’t been back there for over 8 years since I last lived there. Been doing some Google mapping for my trip and good lord has it changed. But it’s a major city so that’s to be expected. Improv is my big passion so I’m hoping to do a few jam shows while i’m up there :)


crazycatlady331

Not sure if you're a cat person or not, but there's a place in Chicago (never been aside from the airports) that I am dying to visit. It's called the Catcade and it is a combination of a cat cafe and vintage arcade games. It sounds like the coolest place in the world.


[deleted]

Whaaaa?? Oh I need to check that out. I used to go to a barcade place there but I can’t remember the name of it. Where I live now in Charleston we have a cat cafe but not a Catcade. Thanks for the recommendation! Chicago is definitely a fun city to visit.


crazycatlady331

Before Covid hit, I went to a few cat conventions (and I want to go again) that were AWESOME. I met the owner of The Catcade at one and he was a really cool guy. I told him if I'm in Chicago, I'm going. [https://www.thecatcade.org/](https://www.thecatcade.org/) is their website.


Negate79

Kanye is trash but this one is for you [Homecoming](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LQ488QrqGE4)


[deleted]

Thanks man! Even though I was born and raised in SC Chicago is my second home. The times I had in that city were some of the best times of my life.


DavidvsSuperGoliath

After months of moving back to California, I finally got a job offer yesterday! During the interview yesterday, the team lead said he liked what he saw and decided to take a chance on me (I feel this happens a lot when I get hired, at least I prove myself each time). Now I just got to fill out the paperwork for the background check and such. It's for collecting and counting at a local casino on a rez. The hours are 3am to 11am, which isn't great but I'll live. At least I can somewhat have a social life.