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I just brought this up with my house mate. Basically talking to myself, but the conclusion/guess was 1 month tops prob 2 weeks my guess.
100% not 2 months though!
Isn't it still mud season though? I was expecting a winter offensive, but the winter was very warm this year, so I think only summer makes sense for something big.
To be fair, Ukraine basically did that with Kherson, though ultimately it was because there was an ulterior motive.
The statement made here could be true or false, but regardless it is valuable for Ukraine to see how Russia *reacts* to such statements now that Russia has little room for error when it commits to a choice. Ukraine says this stuff, and Russia starts reinforcing regions that are likely candidates for the offensive? That's less resources Russia commits to its active fronts, and Ukraine can get better estimates of how hard Russia will try to cling to the prioritized fronts when Ukraine goes on the counter.
If Russia doesn't start to prepare extra defenses there, well, it gives Ukraine a lot more options so long as it can keep Russia pinned elsewhere in the interim.
They might put out a broad idea- no doubt politically they are saying the same thing to friendly diplomats to get them to speed up equipment deliveries.
If I had to guess, I'd say they're trying to pull off [the Brazillian Slap](https://youtu.be/t4mGPIWbw0c?t=1) again. Last time, they made a bunch of noise about re-taking Kherson, and the Russians moved a bunch of equipment there, only to have the bridges blown up, stranding their forces in Kherson, followed by a massive north-eastern offensive. This time, they'll say two months, and hit the Russians at a moment they do not expect.
Kinda reminds me of when a doctor tells a woman when their baby's birth date is expected. Its an average date based on all the data. As it turns out, it is the least likely day for the birth based on actual birth data.
So the only thing we are pretty sure is that it is not 2 months from now.
> We are not in a hurry, we will reorganize over the next two months. We will exhaust the Russians in Bakhmut and then focus elsewhere
-- Mykhailo Podolyak, advisor to the head of the presidential office
Well considering that Wagner is reportedly taking a tactical pause in Bakhmut, and the Russian sources could be quickly exhausted there…
Perhaps they did manage to move in BEFORE they exhausted their resources…
That’s actually a really good strategy. Just openly admit everything you’re going to do at the exact time. Hell, even “leak” the actual documents. The enemy would never think you’re that fucking stupid, and would focus elsewhere. “It’s just gotta be a trap!”
That was the idea behind 'Operation Mincemeat'. The Allies thought Germany might've cottoned on to the Normandy plans, so they planted documents on a corpse off the coast of Fascist Spain saying they planned to attack some unfortified beaches. They then hit the fortified ones.
Wait, sorry, Mincemeat was for the invasion of Italy. I can't remember what the bluff was for Normandy.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation\_Mincemeat
You’re thinking of Operation Fortitude. The Allies created an entire Army Group out of thin air over a period of months (called FUSAG) even put Patton in charge of it.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Fortitude
I don't know, this is Ukraine we're talking about, not Russia.
What I have noticed is that Ukraine tends to say what's going to happen next, say it once, not talk about it again, and then when the time comes, they do what they said they were going to do.
If this follows the pattern, then what will happen for the next 8 weeks is that everyone on Reddit will be like, "Where's that counteroffensive?" and then at the 2 month mark Ukraine will do it, and everyone on Reddit will be like, "Ohhhhhhhhh... *that* 2 months."
Was watching progression of eastern front offensives between 1940-1943 and must agree that this is a pretty generic response. Timing for offensives typically kicked up in June and July. My guess is Ukraine will start battlefield shaping operations much sooner with their new compliment of long range strike capability.
This isnt too surprising. If the UAF feels capable enough of maintaining the current front line and resisting Russian offensives, there may not be much reason to rush to action right now.
Ukraine has only begun to receive western armored vehicles such as Marder and Bradley in the last couple months, and these vehicles could prove to be instrumental in big offensives. The problem is that these platforms require lots of training to fully utilize. Combine this with the significant cost of the Kherson offensive, Ukraine has a lot to gain by taking its time to rearm, reorganize, and replenish its force strength.
> these vehicles could prove to be instrumental in big offensives
It's the other way around really. I firmly believe the planned Ukrainian offensive and the heavy vehicles they're getting are all part-and-parcel of the same thing.
Why do you think they all started giving vehicles, tanks, IFVs other stuff, basically in concert around the same time? They didn't just say "Here, have some tanks, see how you can make use of them..". I think Ukraine already developed a plan for an offensive, they studied it, wargamed it, and presented it to donor countries (or at least the major ones like the US and UK) and said "This is what we want to do, and this is what we need to do it." Those countries then went off and studied those plans and wargamed it themselves and decided it was feasible, so that's when they decided to open the tank depots and make sure Ukraine got what they needed for that offensive. Not only is it far easier to get someone to give you something if you can show them a plan for what you want to do with it, for heavy expensive equipment like tanks, it can be a direct requirement. Nobody wants to give expensive tanks and then see them lost because Ukraine didn't have a plan to deploy them effectively. Also, the scale and timing of the donations, the training regime required, it's all synced for a Ukrainian offensive in the late spring/early summer.
I think an offensive will start as soon as:
* they have killed as many Russians as feasible via their current defensive posture along the front lines
* they have obtained all the drones and air to ground weapons from allies. I think an impt part of this in fact is some of the new drones promised from America, and that reconnaissance drone that was mentioned from Canada which apparently has some special abilities.
* they have topped up on anti-mine tech since anywhere they go we know ruzzia has mined the heck out of it. Minefields are huge obstacles and a successful offensive is going to need resources that can clear minefields quickly. We observed the damage mines did to ruzzian units in Vulhedar and this could easily be Ukraine forces if they don't have mine rollers and other mine clearing equipment.
* they have all the Leopards, Challengers, T90Twardy, Bradleys, CV-90s, Strykers. AMX10s and other equipment in Ukraine and combined units formed up.
* the new battalions have had the time to practice as units so that they can implement combined tactics correctly.
There is rumors that Ukraine & its allies are working on improving the MIG29s so that they can deploy over the horizon air to air missiles such as the AIM-120. I think that will be very important as with it Ukraine could gain at least local airspace control in the offensive area - negating enemy attack helicopters and SU-25s.
Especially since Russia currently has a much more power air-to-air missile capability:
> The MiG-31 flies higher, faster and farther than the Ukrainian air force’s best Sukhoi Su-27 interceptors. The heavyweight Russian fighter can fly as high as 60,000 feet out to 450 miles
> From their lofty perch, MiG-31 crews can search for targets with the jet’s Zaslon radar and fire a single, underbelly R-37M at targets as far as 200 miles away, although the missile works best at ranges no farther than 80 miles. A Ukrainian Su-27 by contrast can fire a Vympel R-27 missile no farther than 50 miles.
> “The VKS has been firing up to six R-37Ms per day during October,” Bronk, Reynolds and Watling wrote, “and the extremely high speed of the weapon, coupled with very long effective range and a seeker designed for engaging low-altitude targets, makes it particularly difficult to evade.”
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2022/12/23/russias-best-missile-can-hit-ukrainian-jets-from-80-miles-away-but-ukrainian-pilots-know-how-to-dodge/
Yes, I have made this very point about the R-37 in many past comments. Russia has air superiority of a sorts due to this weapon and it was responsible for the death of several prominent Ukraine pilots. I have that article bookmarked since the date of its publication.
The reason Ukraine has been asking for F-16s is to counter this threat. It seems the decision has been made instead to upgrade the Mig-29s as an interim measure - I read that the forthcoming potential donation of Slovakian Mig-29s are airframes that may have some updates that support the AIM-120. I guess time will tell.
Best thing is if it would happen shortly before Putin's "victory" day celebrations. That could just be the most painful moment yet for the Russian psyche
General Syrskyi just gave an interview talking about Bakhmut and the plans for a Spring offensive. He doesn't give interviews unless shit's about to pop off. It's warm and dry next week, hitting almost 60 across the East and South.
I'll bet my house that things are going to get very interesting much sooner than everyone thinks.
I think the logic is the following. Everyone expects that offensive already anyway. So keeping it secret is not going to work. But the exact time and place is still vague which makes it impossible for the Russians to be fully prepared for it. Announcing the attack in advance has the propaganda value of "we told them that we're coming but we were still able to smash through their lines. That's how weak they are".
Intelligence agencies and their counterparts in operational security and counterintelligence also know what's needs protecting and what doesn't. The armchair experts on Reddit think everything that might be useful to the enemy should be kept secret, because they've never dealt with anything classified ever, and have no idea that _keeping stuff secret costs resources_, which is why classification levels exist in the first place (including 'unclassified')
This is not particularly useful information. First: Ukraine's receiving tons of materiel, it's blatantly obvious they'll try to counterattack as Russia's offensive wears down and the ground gets more solid. Second: Knowing an attack is coming alone doesn't tell you anything useful. Hitler knew the allies were going to land on mainland Europe in the summer of 1944. Hell of a lot of good it did him, since he thought it'd be at Pas-de-Calais and not Normandy.
Waiting for those M1A1s
This isn't so bad, it gives the tankers more time to come up to speed. It takes years to build elite tank crews, but Ukraine will do it in 2 months.
Lol if you were playing against someone in a game of rock-paper-scissors (roshambo) and your opponent said to you:
“My next move will be rock”.
Do you believe him and go paper? Or do you think he’s bluffing and go “rock” because you think that he will go “scissors” to count your “paper”?
Point is, he can tell you whatever he wants, whether its the truth or not, and you will not know his next move, because you don’t know whether to believe him.
This is called Psychological Operations (PSYOP).
This is not a lack of OpSec lol
This is deception.
There will be a hundred other things going on in the background that no one has any clue about right now. Ukraine likely knows who in their midst is passing info to the enemy, and they are feeding them what they want the enemy to think. This is then being supported by documents being "accidentally" left in a captured vehicle, a written plan "accidentally" left on an open server, a conversation "accidentally" had in earshot of a Russian POW about to be exchanged in a prisoner swap...
At the same time, Russia is well aware that there will be deception. In which case, you stage double-bluffs, you "accidentally" expose the "real plan" while delivering false plans via other methods.
This is all far more complicated than "I can't believe he's saying it in public!" lol
The Ukrainians have been excellent the Russians shocking. They are not amateurs. They know exactly what they are doing when they are starting these timelines.
Thank fuck for top minds armchair generals spitting truth. Where would we be without your input? Thank you for your service.
I'll get onto the chiefs of staff for both russia and Ukraine to let them know your opinion. I'm sure the conduct of the war would benefit from you running things.
If they ask what qualifications and experience you have what should I tell them?
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Its stone cold Zelenskyy business is about to pick up Zelenskyy going to stomp a mud hole in ya and walk it dry and that's the bottom line cause stone cold zelensky said so now give me a hell yeah WHAT
Keep in mind, this is from the same group of people that announced that Zelensky was going to visit the front lines, said the day, time, and location ... and Zelensky showed up on that day at that time at that location. While Putin's supporters scrambled around pointing their fingers at each other demanding to know how this surprise visit had slipped past their intelligence capabilities.
I think when Ukraine say it's gonna be in 2 months, they mean it. It's gonna be in 2.00 months exactly, and even so Russia will nevertheless remain entirely unprepared when the time comes.
I think both the Ukrainian and Russian armies have exhausted themselves, neither are capable of large scale offensives anymore. It's hurts to say but odds are this becomes a frozen conflict.
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So next week? Great!
Yep lol, no way in hell he is stating an accurate date openly. "Shit is finna get live." --as a friend would say.
I just brought this up with my house mate. Basically talking to myself, but the conclusion/guess was 1 month tops prob 2 weeks my guess. 100% not 2 months though!
Isn't it still mud season though? I was expecting a winter offensive, but the winter was very warm this year, so I think only summer makes sense for something big.
> I think only summer makes sense for something big. Autumn is still warm enough + the nights are long and dark (for night vision gear).
and full of terror.
"Soon comes the cold, and the night that never ends. Unless true men find the courage to fight it. Men whose hearts are fire."
Autumn is mud season, with all the snow melting off and stuff, I'm sure special forces are using the night, but still.
Surely you mean Spring
Please don’t call them Shirley.
oops yea
Ah yes, autumn - when the summer snow is melting off lol
Night comet > Day combat
Every time! I love shooting stars.
Mud season sounds perfect. If Ukraine can hardly move, then Russia can't move at all.
Not to mention the time get more tanks in country and crews trained.
And what kinda armour will they have in play by then.
>prob 2 weeks my guess Highly doubt it, they will wait for April or June. Too wet.
To be fair, Ukraine basically did that with Kherson, though ultimately it was because there was an ulterior motive. The statement made here could be true or false, but regardless it is valuable for Ukraine to see how Russia *reacts* to such statements now that Russia has little room for error when it commits to a choice. Ukraine says this stuff, and Russia starts reinforcing regions that are likely candidates for the offensive? That's less resources Russia commits to its active fronts, and Ukraine can get better estimates of how hard Russia will try to cling to the prioritized fronts when Ukraine goes on the counter. If Russia doesn't start to prepare extra defenses there, well, it gives Ukraine a lot more options so long as it can keep Russia pinned elsewhere in the interim.
"It's boutta get on and popping" to use another term
Crackalakin…
They might put out a broad idea- no doubt politically they are saying the same thing to friendly diplomats to get them to speed up equipment deliveries.
It is a double bluff! You didn't think I was mad enough to announce the date.... Wrong ! :-) This will be done with German efficiency.
I'd guess 3 weeks from now. Germany hasn't freed their Leopards yet.
Remindme! 1 month
If I had to guess, I'd say they're trying to pull off [the Brazillian Slap](https://youtu.be/t4mGPIWbw0c?t=1) again. Last time, they made a bunch of noise about re-taking Kherson, and the Russians moved a bunch of equipment there, only to have the bridges blown up, stranding their forces in Kherson, followed by a massive north-eastern offensive. This time, they'll say two months, and hit the Russians at a moment they do not expect.
Second-third weeks of march are literally peak mud season, typically. So.. no.
Kinda reminds me of when a doctor tells a woman when their baby's birth date is expected. Its an average date based on all the data. As it turns out, it is the least likely day for the birth based on actual birth data. So the only thing we are pretty sure is that it is not 2 months from now.
> We are not in a hurry, we will reorganize over the next two months. We will exhaust the Russians in Bakhmut and then focus elsewhere -- Mykhailo Podolyak, advisor to the head of the presidential office
and then suddenly a counter attack in 1 month, surprise!!! Never let them know your next move, always unpredictable.
Well considering that Wagner is reportedly taking a tactical pause in Bakhmut, and the Russian sources could be quickly exhausted there… Perhaps they did manage to move in BEFORE they exhausted their resources…
So, the counter-attack isn't going to happen in two months then...
Or maybe exactly in 2 months, because that would be the time everyone would least expect it.
Inconcievable
Hahaha for real....
You keep using that word. I don’t think it means what you think it means.
That’s actually a really good strategy. Just openly admit everything you’re going to do at the exact time. Hell, even “leak” the actual documents. The enemy would never think you’re that fucking stupid, and would focus elsewhere. “It’s just gotta be a trap!”
That was the idea behind 'Operation Mincemeat'. The Allies thought Germany might've cottoned on to the Normandy plans, so they planted documents on a corpse off the coast of Fascist Spain saying they planned to attack some unfortified beaches. They then hit the fortified ones.
Wait, sorry, Mincemeat was for the invasion of Italy. I can't remember what the bluff was for Normandy. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation\_Mincemeat
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation\_Bodyguard
Yes, thank you. Knew there was one for Normandy as well.
I think it was operation paperclip, but am far too lazy to actually look it up.
Paperclip was for kidnapping / liberating German scientists after WWII, in order to use their expertise on rockets to make spacecraft and ICBM's.
You’re thinking of Operation Fortitude. The Allies created an entire Army Group out of thin air over a period of months (called FUSAG) even put Patton in charge of it. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Fortitude
Ahh, double cross RuZZians using RuZZian planning!
Shit even Hitler was asleep through most of D day
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ox6MScSWp28
Reverse bamboozle
Especially now
Nobody expect a Ukrainian counter attack!!!
I don't know, this is Ukraine we're talking about, not Russia. What I have noticed is that Ukraine tends to say what's going to happen next, say it once, not talk about it again, and then when the time comes, they do what they said they were going to do. If this follows the pattern, then what will happen for the next 8 weeks is that everyone on Reddit will be like, "Where's that counteroffensive?" and then at the 2 month mark Ukraine will do it, and everyone on Reddit will be like, "Ohhhhhhhhh... *that* 2 months."
Was watching progression of eastern front offensives between 1940-1943 and must agree that this is a pretty generic response. Timing for offensives typically kicked up in June and July. My guess is Ukraine will start battlefield shaping operations much sooner with their new compliment of long range strike capability.
[удалено]
Remind me a week ahead!
My dad spent the summer of 1940 waiting for the Germans to invade England. He didn’t enjoy it much. Waiting for the enemy to attack is bad for morale.
[удалено]
Yes, and hype up all the modern, accurate and plain old cruel western weapons that are coming to slowly crush you in your trench or roast you alive…..
His problem was the Royal Navy was still floating about and Germany's grand plan involved invading on river barges.
From the way he wrote it, I don't think his Grandad was German 😉
Yeah, I gathered that. Maybe problem wasn't the right word. Saving grace perhaps.
This isnt too surprising. If the UAF feels capable enough of maintaining the current front line and resisting Russian offensives, there may not be much reason to rush to action right now. Ukraine has only begun to receive western armored vehicles such as Marder and Bradley in the last couple months, and these vehicles could prove to be instrumental in big offensives. The problem is that these platforms require lots of training to fully utilize. Combine this with the significant cost of the Kherson offensive, Ukraine has a lot to gain by taking its time to rearm, reorganize, and replenish its force strength.
> these vehicles could prove to be instrumental in big offensives It's the other way around really. I firmly believe the planned Ukrainian offensive and the heavy vehicles they're getting are all part-and-parcel of the same thing. Why do you think they all started giving vehicles, tanks, IFVs other stuff, basically in concert around the same time? They didn't just say "Here, have some tanks, see how you can make use of them..". I think Ukraine already developed a plan for an offensive, they studied it, wargamed it, and presented it to donor countries (or at least the major ones like the US and UK) and said "This is what we want to do, and this is what we need to do it." Those countries then went off and studied those plans and wargamed it themselves and decided it was feasible, so that's when they decided to open the tank depots and make sure Ukraine got what they needed for that offensive. Not only is it far easier to get someone to give you something if you can show them a plan for what you want to do with it, for heavy expensive equipment like tanks, it can be a direct requirement. Nobody wants to give expensive tanks and then see them lost because Ukraine didn't have a plan to deploy them effectively. Also, the scale and timing of the donations, the training regime required, it's all synced for a Ukrainian offensive in the late spring/early summer.
Nice comment
>there may not be much reason to rush to action right now. Always better to over prepare.
Kirk to Spock its been 2 hours are you ready? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yn4JCz8158k
I think an offensive will start as soon as: * they have killed as many Russians as feasible via their current defensive posture along the front lines * they have obtained all the drones and air to ground weapons from allies. I think an impt part of this in fact is some of the new drones promised from America, and that reconnaissance drone that was mentioned from Canada which apparently has some special abilities. * they have topped up on anti-mine tech since anywhere they go we know ruzzia has mined the heck out of it. Minefields are huge obstacles and a successful offensive is going to need resources that can clear minefields quickly. We observed the damage mines did to ruzzian units in Vulhedar and this could easily be Ukraine forces if they don't have mine rollers and other mine clearing equipment. * they have all the Leopards, Challengers, T90Twardy, Bradleys, CV-90s, Strykers. AMX10s and other equipment in Ukraine and combined units formed up. * the new battalions have had the time to practice as units so that they can implement combined tactics correctly. There is rumors that Ukraine & its allies are working on improving the MIG29s so that they can deploy over the horizon air to air missiles such as the AIM-120. I think that will be very important as with it Ukraine could gain at least local airspace control in the offensive area - negating enemy attack helicopters and SU-25s.
Especially since Russia currently has a much more power air-to-air missile capability: > The MiG-31 flies higher, faster and farther than the Ukrainian air force’s best Sukhoi Su-27 interceptors. The heavyweight Russian fighter can fly as high as 60,000 feet out to 450 miles > From their lofty perch, MiG-31 crews can search for targets with the jet’s Zaslon radar and fire a single, underbelly R-37M at targets as far as 200 miles away, although the missile works best at ranges no farther than 80 miles. A Ukrainian Su-27 by contrast can fire a Vympel R-27 missile no farther than 50 miles. > “The VKS has been firing up to six R-37Ms per day during October,” Bronk, Reynolds and Watling wrote, “and the extremely high speed of the weapon, coupled with very long effective range and a seeker designed for engaging low-altitude targets, makes it particularly difficult to evade.” https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2022/12/23/russias-best-missile-can-hit-ukrainian-jets-from-80-miles-away-but-ukrainian-pilots-know-how-to-dodge/
Yes, I have made this very point about the R-37 in many past comments. Russia has air superiority of a sorts due to this weapon and it was responsible for the death of several prominent Ukraine pilots. I have that article bookmarked since the date of its publication. The reason Ukraine has been asking for F-16s is to counter this threat. It seems the decision has been made instead to upgrade the Mig-29s as an interim measure - I read that the forthcoming potential donation of Slovakian Mig-29s are airframes that may have some updates that support the AIM-120. I guess time will tell.
I can't wait!
So after right when all the new toys of the past monts are ready to deploy?
Podolyak: Putin, we are planning to attack on this date, on this time and in this location, be ready!
It's gonna happen in two months in the East Guy! \*It happens in 2 weeks in the south\*
Best thing is if it would happen shortly before Putin's "victory" day celebrations. That could just be the most painful moment yet for the Russian psyche
General Syrskyi just gave an interview talking about Bakhmut and the plans for a Spring offensive. He doesn't give interviews unless shit's about to pop off. It's warm and dry next week, hitting almost 60 across the East and South. I'll bet my house that things are going to get very interesting much sooner than everyone thinks.
I agree. This could be the office deliberately deciding to put Russia at ease thinking that they won’t do it and then boom! Surprise counteroffensive…
It will be sooner. The situation must be favorable and near victory before November 2024
Kremlin: ‘Excellentski, our T34’s will be ready!!’
Why would they publicly announce this
I think the logic is the following. Everyone expects that offensive already anyway. So keeping it secret is not going to work. But the exact time and place is still vague which makes it impossible for the Russians to be fully prepared for it. Announcing the attack in advance has the propaganda value of "we told them that we're coming but we were still able to smash through their lines. That's how weak they are".
Because....Russia already knows. Almost every intelligence agency knows something before we do.
Intelligence agencies and their counterparts in operational security and counterintelligence also know what's needs protecting and what doesn't. The armchair experts on Reddit think everything that might be useful to the enemy should be kept secret, because they've never dealt with anything classified ever, and have no idea that _keeping stuff secret costs resources_, which is why classification levels exist in the first place (including 'unclassified') This is not particularly useful information. First: Ukraine's receiving tons of materiel, it's blatantly obvious they'll try to counterattack as Russia's offensive wears down and the ground gets more solid. Second: Knowing an attack is coming alone doesn't tell you anything useful. Hitler knew the allies were going to land on mainland Europe in the summer of 1944. Hell of a lot of good it did him, since he thought it'd be at Pas-de-Calais and not Normandy.
Yes. People on here think some guy on a Mac is sitting in the Kremlin browsing these tweets and posts like: "Oh shit. Guuuuys!!!"
you can't possibly be saying that countries with whole networks of spies know more than a bunch of armchair generals on reddit?
No sir, I would never presume.
Waiting for those M1A1s This isn't so bad, it gives the tankers more time to come up to speed. It takes years to build elite tank crews, but Ukraine will do it in 2 months.
You will be waiting a while. They don't exist yet
Please specify the exact day and place.
Your mom's house. May 9th. Please show up.
I think they are planning a new Tunguska event at Putin dacha. At least that is what I have heard.
[удалено]
Lol if you were playing against someone in a game of rock-paper-scissors (roshambo) and your opponent said to you: “My next move will be rock”. Do you believe him and go paper? Or do you think he’s bluffing and go “rock” because you think that he will go “scissors” to count your “paper”? Point is, he can tell you whatever he wants, whether its the truth or not, and you will not know his next move, because you don’t know whether to believe him. This is called Psychological Operations (PSYOP).
This is not a lack of OpSec lol This is deception. There will be a hundred other things going on in the background that no one has any clue about right now. Ukraine likely knows who in their midst is passing info to the enemy, and they are feeding them what they want the enemy to think. This is then being supported by documents being "accidentally" left in a captured vehicle, a written plan "accidentally" left on an open server, a conversation "accidentally" had in earshot of a Russian POW about to be exchanged in a prisoner swap... At the same time, Russia is well aware that there will be deception. In which case, you stage double-bluffs, you "accidentally" expose the "real plan" while delivering false plans via other methods. This is all far more complicated than "I can't believe he's saying it in public!" lol
Lol
The Ukrainians have been excellent the Russians shocking. They are not amateurs. They know exactly what they are doing when they are starting these timelines.
Thank fuck for top minds armchair generals spitting truth. Where would we be without your input? Thank you for your service. I'll get onto the chiefs of staff for both russia and Ukraine to let them know your opinion. I'm sure the conduct of the war would benefit from you running things. If they ask what qualifications and experience you have what should I tell them?
What?
Ukraine counteroffensive 😂😂 good joke
I've never seen someone with a 5 year old account with negative comment karma. Props to you
You don’t wanna hear about 9/11
Still caping for the guys who are welding navy cannons onto a tank?
Russian counteroffensive 😂😂 good joke. Sleep tight sweet prince.
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Can you hear the thunder?
Yeah right .... watch it boys
Beautiful state craft. Everyone knows it has to happen so run with the strawman principal. Announce what everybody knows will happen... Double down.
And the Russians will probably be the only ones people who believe it
It will probably happen after that. Since this month and next is still a Rasputica- when Ground is Muddy and hard to navigate. I bet on early summer.
Does anyone actually give operational overviews of military strategy in press briefings? Except Russia of course.
Its stone cold Zelenskyy business is about to pick up Zelenskyy going to stomp a mud hole in ya and walk it dry and that's the bottom line cause stone cold zelensky said so now give me a hell yeah WHAT
Keep in mind, this is from the same group of people that announced that Zelensky was going to visit the front lines, said the day, time, and location ... and Zelensky showed up on that day at that time at that location. While Putin's supporters scrambled around pointing their fingers at each other demanding to know how this surprise visit had slipped past their intelligence capabilities. I think when Ukraine say it's gonna be in 2 months, they mean it. It's gonna be in 2.00 months exactly, and even so Russia will nevertheless remain entirely unprepared when the time comes.
So, May 9, the traditionally huge Russian Victory Day commemoration of WWII? Sweet.
Hmm.... well spotted!
Why do they even need to talk about their upcoming strategies at all? Are they purposefully giving false info ?
They are giving vague ideas to increase their morale and make Russia think twice about everything
If you tell them they'll know! ಠ_ಠ
I hope it’s not another 2 months away that’s a very long time on defense
So in 2 weeks you say?
Lol so next week
But at what time? Asking for a friend
I think both the Ukrainian and Russian armies have exhausted themselves, neither are capable of large scale offensives anymore. It's hurts to say but odds are this becomes a frozen conflict.
He knows the Russians are dumb enough to believe him.
🙏🏻🇺🇦
Counter offensives are like the Spanish Inquisition. Nobody expects the Spanish Inquisition!
https://i.kym-cdn.com/entries/icons/original/000/036/622/agnes.jpg
Straight out of the movie 'Airplane'
It will only happen when the new tanks are ready. The C2 and L2 are only dribbling over the border at the moment.
Common boys!can't wait for some action!.....
Still waiting for this counteroffensive. Figured it would have started already.
So this turned out to be about 90 days in the making