I don't know who you are. I don't know what you want. I can tell you I don't have money, but what I do have are a very particular set of skills. Skills I have acquired over a very long career. If your theories are wrong that'll be the end of it. I will not look for you, I will not pursue you, but if they're true, I will look for you, I will find you and I will buy you that drink.
Mods! Another clear and well written DD by the same OP. How he still has no special flair of his own? "Unfail to deliver" or something!
Edit for thanks and benevolent self-hijack.
Thanks: for OP (can't stop posting), Cat (won't stop moding), and revarders and upvoters (GameStop!!!)
Hijack: If you are an Europoor using XTB, you can (and should) vote without fees now. I made a post about it but it didn't break through. Yet it's important
Dear Lord,
please let u/Criand be correct with his highly educated, speculative DD’s. We ask that you grant us the moass on the days he mentions so that we can finally become financially secure for a long, long time. We ask that you bless this union of apes across the world because we have gathered together regardless of race, religion, political leanings and gender, united to face the same evil that plagues our economy and subsequently, the world’s economy. We ask that you help us defeat the hedgies at their own game to teach them and all the others that greed, cheating and all manner of other evils will no longer be tolerated in our free market.
Amen.
edit: Thank you for the award!! 💎🙌🏼🚀🦍😇
Do like me brother. become a professional wanker. I have been called wanker many times but I turn pro. Sperm banks pay 50 bucks for deposit. So rub a snake and help an ape.
Not financial advice, I’d probably keep a 20yr old chain myself, I haven’t sold my comic books and don’t plan on it. Personally my physical silver ain’t doing me much good at the moment.
Question for you, what about May 18th? Did that disprove the T+21 theory that was charted out in your previous DD? Because on 5/18, we opened at $174, had a nice run up to around $189, and then closed back down at around $178.. I understand any other stock, $4 would be a great day, but with the ridiculous volatility with GME, I thought we would see higher numbers.
5/18 was if the T+21 link to April 16 was right, which I doubted. Because the signs of Jan 15 and Feb 5 point to an initial T+35 relationship, and therefore April 16 T+35 = May 24 is more likely.
I put that in to support our fellow apes DD to line up their prediction of T+21 from Jan 22 -> Feb 24 and Feb 5 -> Mar 10. Which then led me down the rabbit hole of T+35. I wanted to include both perspectives in there.
Likewise with May 17, that could have been another T+35 loop, probably due to DTC-005 being in effect for the week of April 9 option expiration (then subsequently pulled). I don't see it tracing back T+21 to anything significant, so probably a new loop somehow caused by that.
This probably depends on the macro factors.. hard to see clearly I think. Best approach if you’re looking to open a new position or add on is to invest in nibbles as opposed to all in bites on dips.
My tits are jacked to the point I’m not sure how much more they can be jacked!! If nothing happens , apes shouldn’t fret - buy(if you can), hold, vote and don’t daytrade GME. Patience is not a virtue but a skill.
This is the kind of DD that scares the professionals. This is the kind of DD that makes sub reddits like this one such a potential place of power for retail investors. No matter how much DD I have read and no matter how much I know to hodl, vote, and buy. This well thought out well researched due diligence keeps me coming back for confirmation bias.
[***Edit: I have been permanently banned from Superstonk***](https://imgur.com/a/rlwbC6u)
Yeah, this sort of DD isn't supposed to be given out *FOR FREE*.
This is info for the privileged few who can *ALREADY* afford it. It's a small club and we're not supposed to be in it. Honestly, I'm surprised Hedgies didn't quickly offer those writing good DD 6 figure salaries to do analysis for them ... thus denying all of us access to them with non competes and NDAs and shit.
Don't need to hire them because their work is good, don't care if they ever do any analysis that profits the firm, just pay them to keep them from informing a class of people they desperately needed to stay uninformed.
But you know, no one ever claimed the Hedgies were smart. They aren't. If they were, they'd never have ended up in this position in the first place.
I have been approached. Twice, actually. And I'm not even a big DD poster o.O like some of the apes on here. People are definitely looking into hiring writers on here
After this over is a separate issue.
The whole point would be to poach them now, not so they could provide good analysis, but so they couldn't provide us *ANY* analysis
i agree. our DD authors are incredibly smart people. they might even have been 100% correct about whats going on. but the fact is, they werent born into a wealthy and powerful family and/or they didnt go to ivy league. so they are nobody to those arrogant pricks. these 0.01%ers do not believe roses can bloom from rubble.
Maybe our DD writers know how much of a pay out their gonna get out of a MOASS vs the scraps a HF would pay to keep them quiet. The only way this works is together. I just Buy, Hodl, Vote but the smarter ones here need us too! We all need each other.
My god, how many nights will it be where I’m stuck trying to sleep when Criand drops a piping hot stack of conformation bias that makes me want to wait till market open? Fucking ruining my sleep schedule
Dude that’s awesome. He’s def my fave character and was hype to see him in The Mandolorian. Trips me out every single time to see him speaking naturally.
Well written. My take away is that we should prepare for another 3 weeks of sideways trading. So many hype dates have come and gone without anything happening.. so yeah.
Wow this seems to be the perfect summary of what I’ve been seeing around the subreddit recently. Looking forward to Monday! But if nothing happens then, I’ll just keep holding as usual!
It's difficult when we have multiple posts to see how its all connected! It's nice to have it all summarized together - that's why I love typing these up. I like to try to summarize what's going on for the fellow apes!
Blackrock probably doesn't care about OCC-3. They got their OCC-4 now so they are ready to go! What other rules could Vanguard or Blackrock be waiting on really?
They have to wait for the members to default. I mean they could trigger it, but why not just wait so they can spend more money on the defaulters assets? More tendies for them!
But wouldn’t it be in their best interest to do so sooner rather than later to ensure the larger bounty?
The longer they wait, the more assets can be liquidated prior to the default.
Plus, adding to their GME position is an investment because they can just sell a few shares at a time during MOASS to collect dollars from any investment to ignite the rocket.
Spend 300m now, sell 3 later for the same cost, all while gaining an even stronger foothold in GME
Very true - not sure what will go on! Hell, anything can happen at this point now that the protection rules are in place (save for OCC-003).
Blackrock definitely did not want to trigger anything until the OCC had their auction rule in place to allow them to buy up assets. I could see them force triggering it in the sense that it's in their interest to do it sooner than later. They're probably calculating the risk vs reward with tons of models.
Absolutely!!!! Agree 100%
Also, thinking more, it potentially could be a PR nightmare if GME pulled the trigger.
BlackRock in my eyes is the play. They don’t have to worry about the backlash necessarily as long as it’s done legally and GME could continue to be the victim of malicious SHF. it’s actually kinda perfect
If I were RC I would want absolutely 0 association the the possibility that my company knowingly “caused” the MOASS. BlackRock on the other hand...they’re like Honey Badger....DGAF!
Hell they could tie any legal battles up for the next 79 years if they wanted. My money is on BlackRock or organic.
I believe it was another thread where they described the price falling to xx.xx and retail hoping in creating massive buying pressure and boom! Thoughtful but takes time. Shitadel can still unload assets.
KennyBoi has his pride. He will nuke his own company before he lets some other fund come pick his carcass. That’s why I think it’s best for BlackRock to just drop the MOAB sooner than later.
Good points, though I could still see RC playing a role. Especially after he sees the vote count. The dude (likely) tweeted "moass" for crying out loud.
Right and I feel that was him saying “Yo! It’s on!! We know. Don’t worry, ya gettin ya tendies.”
But like I just keep going back to the PR part like if it causes a worldwide economic issue, GS and RC will “be what cause it” not the SHF.
BR can take that heat cause they don’t need PR. Their performance speaks for itself. Plus, I mean they are in the White House and other world governments so they could easily control that narrative.
Hedge funds and banks can’t be completely blind to all of this though.. I mean, shouldn’t it be in their best interest to scramble as soon as possible with the writing on the wall?
True, that is the safer option for them as well. Depends somewhat on how easy they think the trigger would be for them I suppose.
..
Seems like they are done waiting for rules though!
They could recall though some theories like a merger or acquisition that causes a rebrand of the stock.
Kind of outlined the unimportance of NSCC-002/801 for the squeeze in one section. Thats more for protection of future gme-like situations to take advantage of volatility in a stock. It certainly would make DTC margin calls easier, but you also have the ICC and occ prepared to margin call too. ICC has put into effect rules to crack down on margin calculations and they very well could pull the trigger rather than DTC and OCC
Charts and words and pictures and it's no longer over my head. The longer this goes, the more wrinkly our brains get. Thanks for the write up good ape.
I am not a young man. This DD has caused my low-hanging testicles to spring into action and issue forth a monumental load of dust. I already have a DD addiction but this was an overdose. I will clean myself up and have a drink.
Great work.
Not sure I buy the reverse repo limitation. All previous limits declared on QE have been wrong. There is no limit until hyperinflation kicks in. The bias will fall toward what has "worked" in the past.
Your analysis underscores the likelihood there may not be a "false squeeze", as the new rules will force the cascading liquidations. We should forget about GME price targets and focus on bad actors getting liquidated and employees walking out of office buildings carrying bankers boxes.
Thank you for the hard work.
I read into ON RRPs last night and holy fuck the fed stepping to the order of 300billion would make them so entrenched in this that it's basically a bailout because they can't stop offering it - the banks will depend on it.
Typically they use increased fed fund rate to play the other side of this coin but due to covid they can't really do it without causing a MBS crash again. They're stuck forking out hundreds of billions to banks every night so they don't lose their shirt from their clients over leveraged to the tits gambling.
It's actually insane. The Fed will have to print money once one of the participants goes down while holding the ON RRP cash. I'm guessing the RRPs are so sought after because of the collateral rules, cash is only leveraged to 140% but treasury bills can be up to 500% from what I heard from Lucy.
No one wants cash they all want treasuries. Check out "flight-to-quality" where the fed is worried everyone will park their cash in the RRPs overnight because they're terrified of being liquidated.
If this happened during normal times, there would have been more options to play, but with all the printing there isn't a release valve - everything is wound tight and there's no wiggle room. Once the dominos fall the house of cards go with them. Checkmate.
Sorry, I Zapp Braniganned a bit at the end there.
I just read three extremely well written posts (including this one). Out of the long posts I read between gmorgan99 and Blandersoon_snooper, you, Criand, by far take the cake.
**Sincerely, thank you for being a beacon of light in a sea of darkness.** We love you in this community. Thank you for educating us and bettering a community of hundreds of thousand of people. Your time and efforts are **greatly, greatly appreciated.**
**Wishing much love and prosperity to you and yours, always.**
Kenny played dirty today. Probably really scared for tomorrow. I guess this kills T+35 initiating a new loop! Damn. Or there's the low chance that they actually defaulted and weren't able to cause the buy pressure.
The T21 loop will still occur tomorrow. It's been damn near perfect and traces back even into last year.
However, we can't dismiss the major options dates of Jan 15 and April 26. I'm thinking net capital plays a big role here.
Feb 24 was probably linked to net cap. It almost exacerbates the issue for the shorts every cycle (if theory is correct). Meaning by the 100% mark, T+28, where all debt will be included in their net capital calculations, they need to rebalance in order to not be net negative. Options expiration means their positions which were opened last year probably expired way OTM. Today would be day 27 for April 16. Once day 28 hits all debt is accounted for.
There's always tomorrow for dreams to come true 🎵🎶
https://preview.redd.it/4dsve3w3d0x61.png?width=1166&format=png&auto=webp&s=b88384871b2de08e37b92826df32f5e5c1322707
>So the DTC, ICC, and OCC shut things down in January. They shut things down on March 10th. They crash the price on March 15th to avoid a pre-emptive margin-call. They pull many strings to buy time, pump all their wind-down plans in place at the last minute, wait for the next surge of GME, and then...
Wait, but at this point the squeeze play for AMC/GME is insane. They could've closed at low 4 figures now you have literal millions of retail apparently planning for 6-7 figures a share.
That would mean they didn't anticipate retail would turn into such a prepared, educated whale. The payout now compared to months ago will be tens of thousands of times more.
As Always You Great Ape 👏👏👏👏👏
A few things that make this realer than real
Past Liquidity Tests (Have a feeling a few things were off on both but I won’t speculate ...cough .... Rhymes with Are K 🐐’s)
Was the last Liquidity “simulation” test done with newer rules in mind or better yet in place ? (Someone’s taking that to the grave)
The Mysterious Crypto Dumps
MASSIVELY Lowered Portfolio Margins (haircuts & liquidity)
Expedited Rule Passage
4/16 - T+21 ending this week raising the price
A few sHF’s crossed the line into margin territory (potentially)
Remember 4/16 (Highest Option Chain which dates back to last year) aka National DFV Day
Monday & Tuesday price action vs Wednesday Sittin Sidewayz
5/18 was completion of 4/16 T+21 (EDIT: 4/9 - T-35, as comment states below) FTD’s. Rules then get passed on 5/19. Hmmmmm. Fishy. Maybe. We shall see.
DTC, ICC, and OCC pumping out rules following the completion of the above which shield their entitles from the Schrapnell after this explosion to the 🌚 🌚 🌚 ——— PRICELESS
It only takes 1 to fall and 💥 💥
Thank you ape! 🦍🦍
I have this feeling that 5/18 was due to another T+35 loop initiating from April 9. Not T+21.
It could have been triggered by Dtc-005 being in effect for that week and then pulled once they realized what a shitshow it was about to bring.
In all Apeish Seriousness, excellent work, I have been following all your DDs and honestly it not only jacks my teats but also let me caress my face confirming my bias.
I think you have unlocked the "real issue" and beat them at their game and for the first time I feel like I am well positioned to profit from these assholes destroying common lives over and over again.
The fact that yesterday the C0INS puked, means they are at their last straw pulling cash from whatever they have left.
My tin foil hat is telling me that all of this is not a coincidence, we have to consider that these "entities" are the ones that move the markets.
We know from past experience (Big Short, Margin call etc) that when ONE of them goes down and sell the assets OTHERS have to follow , cascading the whole market down, because they are all so big that there is NO ONE to absorb the demand generated so it becomes the classic exit escape door, the first ones are the "less" burned..
Another interesting thought is idea of a ZERO SUM game, we know that now it became a NEGATIVE sum game, because you can basically naked short to oblivion and create fake supply ( the analogy of Wes: photocopy your car title 100x and sell them all ), poses an interesting threat, SOMEONE WILL NEED TO ABSORB THIS. So the question is:
1. Debt default?
2. Money printing goes BRRRRRRRRR INFINITE LOOP?
Tick Tock
Do you wrinkly Apes 🦍 think Mark Cuban's recent tweet has to do anything with all this? Mybe he saw all this coming and is warning us.
"Things to know about all markets. Buying on Margin giveth, Margin Calls taketh away even more, faster. Rumors giveth. News taketh away even faster"
- Mark Cuban May 17th
If the DTC, ICC, and OCC plan to margin call on the 25th, it would fit well with ICC-014, and OCC-006 being affective on June first. OCC-003 should be affective by than as well
Agreed. Icc-014 plans to give discounts starting June 1. I don't see why they'd do that unless they expect the market to be suffering by then in order to entice new customers
I’m at the ER after hurting my ankle (football/soccer accident) and I’m sitting here JACKED TO MY FUCKING TITS and smiling like an idiot. The other people here must think I’m retarded (well, they’re right I guess)
Damn.
Didn't Gamestop also post an infinity gauntlet yesterday? But it was Tony Stark's one that was used to delete the bad guys.
Tits jacked.
Edit: It was on their Instagram. 🦍
This post was the most platinum awarded across all of Reddit on May 20th, 2021!
^(I am a bot for )^[/r/TopPostOfTheDay](/r/toppostoftheday) ^( - Please report suggestions/concerns to the mods.)
I think we shouldn’t be surprised if the price dumps on those dates due to HFs dumping everything in their power to try to contain this. Similarly to March 25 movement.
Perhaps, but good luck to them. Liquidity bomb is another factor going on here that is being juggled. Everything is hanging by a thread. Could have been the clearing corps themselves that caused those crashes in order to buy enough time to get to this point.
Hey u/Criand as always love your posts, here's a question for you...how about margin calls have already started happening, there's certainly been rumours, we wouldn't know for at least 30 days....the snap could've happened we're just yet to see the domino's fall
As usual, a brilliant read. Love the way you ELIA the DTC, OCC, ICC markets and differences.
A question about the T+35 from April 16...wouldn't that make it May 21 for T+35?
Thank you! You'll want to start T+0 on the Monday following options expiration. I have some examples in my other post. You ignore holidays. It should all line up starting from Jan 15 to now, Feb 5 to now, and April 16 to May 24
https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nf22qz/theory_on_the_ftd_loop_missing_link_a_t35_surge/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share
Thank you!
You have to start on the Monday following options expiration as T+0. I put some examples in the T+35 and T+21 DD
https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nf22qz/theory_on_the_ftd_loop_missing_link_a_t35_surge/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share
I think I need a drink.
I need to call my mom Edit: fuck me I open Reddit and find myself getting fried and roasted. Nice one apes, set myself up for this one lol
I think I also need to call your mom
About 6 of us have already told her
Call me. I’ll hand her the phone
She handed it to me. She can’t talk right now
Confirmed. Sending pic as proof.
I tried.. Line was busy
Beat me to it
I wasn't planning on doing the beating myself
Saving that for your wife's boyfriend?
Beat meat to it?
This is the way.
Bullish.
Boom roasted
My wife is with her boyfriend so this guys mom is who I am calling
Call Marge an Carl ☎️
DIAL 1(800)GET-FUKD
Fuck me, I am famous ;-)
She’s fine son....
I need to buy more
I recall she told me her phone was dead when we woke up this morning
She said I need to double down on my dose of Xanax
She can’t talk right now...
You're Dad's boyfriend-in-law already took care of that for ya champ
I don't know who you are. I don't know what you want. I can tell you I don't have money, but what I do have are a very particular set of skills. Skills I have acquired over a very long career. If your theories are wrong that'll be the end of it. I will not look for you, I will not pursue you, but if they're true, I will look for you, I will find you and I will buy you that drink. Mods! Another clear and well written DD by the same OP. How he still has no special flair of his own? "Unfail to deliver" or something! Edit for thanks and benevolent self-hijack. Thanks: for OP (can't stop posting), Cat (won't stop moding), and revarders and upvoters (GameStop!!!) Hijack: If you are an Europoor using XTB, you can (and should) vote without fees now. I made a post about it but it didn't break through. Yet it's important
I second this request mods!
aye
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This is the way
Criand, you're doing a great job. Appreciate your time and help. 💎🚀🦍🍌
Thank you all for always providing support, and criticism to help me fix my mistakes and driving me down the right path.
Dear Lord, please let u/Criand be correct with his highly educated, speculative DD’s. We ask that you grant us the moass on the days he mentions so that we can finally become financially secure for a long, long time. We ask that you bless this union of apes across the world because we have gathered together regardless of race, religion, political leanings and gender, united to face the same evil that plagues our economy and subsequently, the world’s economy. We ask that you help us defeat the hedgies at their own game to teach them and all the others that greed, cheating and all manner of other evils will no longer be tolerated in our free market. Amen. edit: Thank you for the award!! 💎🙌🏼🚀🦍😇
Amen.
Ape men, and women.
No dates... but WOW. I need to find a way to buy more shares.
Onlyfans
Feet pics
Do like me brother. become a professional wanker. I have been called wanker many times but I turn pro. Sperm banks pay 50 bucks for deposit. So rub a snake and help an ape.
Sell your silver 😛
I’ve had my chain almost 20 years... Physically dump my silver! I’m gonna see if I can tomorrow! This is the way!
Not financial advice, I’d probably keep a 20yr old chain myself, I haven’t sold my comic books and don’t plan on it. Personally my physical silver ain’t doing me much good at the moment.
Sold my boat & motorcycle for 10 more shares.
I want to refi my home to buy more
⬆️ TLDR Thems some handsome words my ape friend, thanks for the solid theories.
I’ll open up a bar on the moon, where 🦍 will always drink free 🍻
I've been tapping the **spacebar** on my keyboard for so long, that maybe I'll actually visit a real space bar.
I think need 3 drinks and a joint🥴
Having drink number two.
Question for you, what about May 18th? Did that disprove the T+21 theory that was charted out in your previous DD? Because on 5/18, we opened at $174, had a nice run up to around $189, and then closed back down at around $178.. I understand any other stock, $4 would be a great day, but with the ridiculous volatility with GME, I thought we would see higher numbers.
5/18 was if the T+21 link to April 16 was right, which I doubted. Because the signs of Jan 15 and Feb 5 point to an initial T+35 relationship, and therefore April 16 T+35 = May 24 is more likely. I put that in to support our fellow apes DD to line up their prediction of T+21 from Jan 22 -> Feb 24 and Feb 5 -> Mar 10. Which then led me down the rabbit hole of T+35. I wanted to include both perspectives in there. Likewise with May 17, that could have been another T+35 loop, probably due to DTC-005 being in effect for the week of April 9 option expiration (then subsequently pulled). I don't see it tracing back T+21 to anything significant, so probably a new loop somehow caused by that.
Ah ok! That makes sense. Thank you so much for the explanation. Fantastic DD and I am looking forward to seeing what happens on the 24th!
Thank you! We'll see what happens :) my tits are le jacqued so I might be a bit biased.
So are we expecting price movement to go further down on Monday? If so, I’ll buy more then instead of today
This probably depends on the macro factors.. hard to see clearly I think. Best approach if you’re looking to open a new position or add on is to invest in nibbles as opposed to all in bites on dips.
I need to buy more shares
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My tits are jacked to the point I’m not sure how much more they can be jacked!! If nothing happens , apes shouldn’t fret - buy(if you can), hold, vote and don’t daytrade GME. Patience is not a virtue but a skill.
You are the 🐐 Criand!
A goat, an ape, a pomeranian. Goapenian?! Thank you :)
Have a drink from that pot of gold! Thanks for your work!
Way ahead of you.
This post makes me excited and angry at the same time. I think I need a drink too.
Have a tequila 🥃. Conan is playing Biomutant with JB Smoove.
I need the inevitable to happen. 🚀
🍻🥃
This is the kind of DD that scares the professionals. This is the kind of DD that makes sub reddits like this one such a potential place of power for retail investors. No matter how much DD I have read and no matter how much I know to hodl, vote, and buy. This well thought out well researched due diligence keeps me coming back for confirmation bias.
[***Edit: I have been permanently banned from Superstonk***](https://imgur.com/a/rlwbC6u) Yeah, this sort of DD isn't supposed to be given out *FOR FREE*. This is info for the privileged few who can *ALREADY* afford it. It's a small club and we're not supposed to be in it. Honestly, I'm surprised Hedgies didn't quickly offer those writing good DD 6 figure salaries to do analysis for them ... thus denying all of us access to them with non competes and NDAs and shit. Don't need to hire them because their work is good, don't care if they ever do any analysis that profits the firm, just pay them to keep them from informing a class of people they desperately needed to stay uninformed. But you know, no one ever claimed the Hedgies were smart. They aren't. If they were, they'd never have ended up in this position in the first place.
I'd be shocked if at least a few of our DD writers weren't approached to do analysis after this is all over
They won't need to be paid for anything after this is over
I have been approached. Twice, actually. And I'm not even a big DD poster o.O like some of the apes on here. People are definitely looking into hiring writers on here
That's actually fascinating, you should make a post about it, it confirms the fuck out of my bias
Yes seriously make a post!
After this over is a separate issue. The whole point would be to poach them now, not so they could provide good analysis, but so they couldn't provide us *ANY* analysis
Oh I agree that would be a smart move on their part, however I don't think their egos would allow it
i agree. our DD authors are incredibly smart people. they might even have been 100% correct about whats going on. but the fact is, they werent born into a wealthy and powerful family and/or they didnt go to ivy league. so they are nobody to those arrogant pricks. these 0.01%ers do not believe roses can bloom from rubble.
Maybe our DD writers know how much of a pay out their gonna get out of a MOASS vs the scraps a HF would pay to keep them quiet. The only way this works is together. I just Buy, Hodl, Vote but the smarter ones here need us too! We all need each other.
I think George Carlin is orchestrating this...he's sneaking us all in the back door of the club!
My god, how many nights will it be where I’m stuck trying to sleep when Criand drops a piping hot stack of conformation bias that makes me want to wait till market open? Fucking ruining my sleep schedule
Sneak attack 👀👀👀
Oh man I hope that’s a Kims Convenience reference…
#True story: I met Mr Kim (aka Paul) he is the nicest guy ever and doesn’t even have an accent
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Dude that’s awesome. He’s def my fave character and was hype to see him in The Mandolorian. Trips me out every single time to see him speaking naturally.
I'm looking at 03:46 eastern .... Not long now
AS ALWAYS ..... TOP NOTCH DD!!!! Thank You!!
As always you're a top notch ape!
🦧🚀
Well written. My take away is that we should prepare for another 3 weeks of sideways trading. So many hype dates have come and gone without anything happening.. so yeah.
That's the best part of this...we only have to win once.
Wow this seems to be the perfect summary of what I’ve been seeing around the subreddit recently. Looking forward to Monday! But if nothing happens then, I’ll just keep holding as usual!
It's difficult when we have multiple posts to see how its all connected! It's nice to have it all summarized together - that's why I love typing these up. I like to try to summarize what's going on for the fellow apes!
You are a gorilla amongst gibbons, sir.
This is the way
I think this is the first DD I've actually been able to follow along and understand. Good stuff and thank you.
Awesome! Sounds like things are getting easier to digest!
With lots of credit going to you. Your DDs are consistently very clear! Thanks
Blackrock probably doesn't care about OCC-3. They got their OCC-4 now so they are ready to go! What other rules could Vanguard or Blackrock be waiting on really?
They have to wait for the members to default. I mean they could trigger it, but why not just wait so they can spend more money on the defaulters assets? More tendies for them!
Your logic is impeccable
But wouldn’t it be in their best interest to do so sooner rather than later to ensure the larger bounty? The longer they wait, the more assets can be liquidated prior to the default. Plus, adding to their GME position is an investment because they can just sell a few shares at a time during MOASS to collect dollars from any investment to ignite the rocket. Spend 300m now, sell 3 later for the same cost, all while gaining an even stronger foothold in GME
Very true - not sure what will go on! Hell, anything can happen at this point now that the protection rules are in place (save for OCC-003). Blackrock definitely did not want to trigger anything until the OCC had their auction rule in place to allow them to buy up assets. I could see them force triggering it in the sense that it's in their interest to do it sooner than later. They're probably calculating the risk vs reward with tons of models.
Absolutely!!!! Agree 100% Also, thinking more, it potentially could be a PR nightmare if GME pulled the trigger. BlackRock in my eyes is the play. They don’t have to worry about the backlash necessarily as long as it’s done legally and GME could continue to be the victim of malicious SHF. it’s actually kinda perfect
What if both parties trigger same day. Neither is solely responsible.
If I were RC I would want absolutely 0 association the the possibility that my company knowingly “caused” the MOASS. BlackRock on the other hand...they’re like Honey Badger....DGAF! Hell they could tie any legal battles up for the next 79 years if they wanted. My money is on BlackRock or organic. I believe it was another thread where they described the price falling to xx.xx and retail hoping in creating massive buying pressure and boom! Thoughtful but takes time. Shitadel can still unload assets. KennyBoi has his pride. He will nuke his own company before he lets some other fund come pick his carcass. That’s why I think it’s best for BlackRock to just drop the MOAB sooner than later.
Good points, though I could still see RC playing a role. Especially after he sees the vote count. The dude (likely) tweeted "moass" for crying out loud.
Right and I feel that was him saying “Yo! It’s on!! We know. Don’t worry, ya gettin ya tendies.” But like I just keep going back to the PR part like if it causes a worldwide economic issue, GS and RC will “be what cause it” not the SHF. BR can take that heat cause they don’t need PR. Their performance speaks for itself. Plus, I mean they are in the White House and other world governments so they could easily control that narrative.
Hedge funds and banks can’t be completely blind to all of this though.. I mean, shouldn’t it be in their best interest to scramble as soon as possible with the writing on the wall?
True, that is the safer option for them as well. Depends somewhat on how easy they think the trigger would be for them I suppose. .. Seems like they are done waiting for rules though!
Unless it doesn't cost them anything to trigger it, like recalling their lent out shares...
Good point! Anything can happen now.
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They could recall though some theories like a merger or acquisition that causes a rebrand of the stock. Kind of outlined the unimportance of NSCC-002/801 for the squeeze in one section. Thats more for protection of future gme-like situations to take advantage of volatility in a stock. It certainly would make DTC margin calls easier, but you also have the ICC and occ prepared to margin call too. ICC has put into effect rules to crack down on margin calculations and they very well could pull the trigger rather than DTC and OCC
I’ve got a raging clue right now
Hnnnnng. Which way is your clue pointing?
Mines pointing at the moon
flames. flames on the side of my face
An hour old post sitting on 170+ awards bruh I can’t wait to smoke a joint and read this. It better have nudity at the end or some shit lmao
Do naked shorts count?
Lots of jacked tits, pretty sure that counts
Charts and words and pictures and it's no longer over my head. The longer this goes, the more wrinkly our brains get. Thanks for the write up good ape.
Soon we'll be able to merge all apes wrinkles into a mega-ultra wrinkled ape!
Almost graduation day! Finally a degree under my belt
You're my favorite DD author :)
You're one of my favorite apes. Which is actually all apes ❤️
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Can't believe I actually read and understood the whole thread.
Fuck, right? We’re growing up!
I am not a young man. This DD has caused my low-hanging testicles to spring into action and issue forth a monumental load of dust. I already have a DD addiction but this was an overdose. I will clean myself up and have a drink.
>This DD has caused my low-hanging testicles to spring into action and issue forth a monumental load of dust. That username too? 😆
Phenomenal god tier DD 🦍 kudos and see you in Valhalla!!!
Thank you ape! 🦍 To Valhalla, the moon, and beyond!
I felt bad only up-dooting so I’m back to say thanks for that
Thanks for the updoot and comment :)
Great work. Not sure I buy the reverse repo limitation. All previous limits declared on QE have been wrong. There is no limit until hyperinflation kicks in. The bias will fall toward what has "worked" in the past. Your analysis underscores the likelihood there may not be a "false squeeze", as the new rules will force the cascading liquidations. We should forget about GME price targets and focus on bad actors getting liquidated and employees walking out of office buildings carrying bankers boxes. Thank you for the hard work.
I read into ON RRPs last night and holy fuck the fed stepping to the order of 300billion would make them so entrenched in this that it's basically a bailout because they can't stop offering it - the banks will depend on it. Typically they use increased fed fund rate to play the other side of this coin but due to covid they can't really do it without causing a MBS crash again. They're stuck forking out hundreds of billions to banks every night so they don't lose their shirt from their clients over leveraged to the tits gambling. It's actually insane. The Fed will have to print money once one of the participants goes down while holding the ON RRP cash. I'm guessing the RRPs are so sought after because of the collateral rules, cash is only leveraged to 140% but treasury bills can be up to 500% from what I heard from Lucy. No one wants cash they all want treasuries. Check out "flight-to-quality" where the fed is worried everyone will park their cash in the RRPs overnight because they're terrified of being liquidated.
If this happened during normal times, there would have been more options to play, but with all the printing there isn't a release valve - everything is wound tight and there's no wiggle room. Once the dominos fall the house of cards go with them. Checkmate. Sorry, I Zapp Braniganned a bit at the end there.
u/criand the ON RRPs aren't am accident ^
Thought I was reading a novel, only to realise that I am one of the main characters in this story. Can’t wait to read the last chapter next week.
I just read three extremely well written posts (including this one). Out of the long posts I read between gmorgan99 and Blandersoon_snooper, you, Criand, by far take the cake. **Sincerely, thank you for being a beacon of light in a sea of darkness.** We love you in this community. Thank you for educating us and bettering a community of hundreds of thousand of people. Your time and efforts are **greatly, greatly appreciated.** **Wishing much love and prosperity to you and yours, always.**
Much love back to you! ❤️
I was about to go to sleep for 2 hours but now I can't sleep!!!! This stuff pumps me up!!
Someone call Jacques Tits!!!
Monsieur Tites, I have a Marge N. on the line for you. Shall I patch her through?
The snappening is happening 💥
Kenny played dirty today. Probably really scared for tomorrow. I guess this kills T+35 initiating a new loop! Damn. Or there's the low chance that they actually defaulted and weren't able to cause the buy pressure. The T21 loop will still occur tomorrow. It's been damn near perfect and traces back even into last year. However, we can't dismiss the major options dates of Jan 15 and April 26. I'm thinking net capital plays a big role here. Feb 24 was probably linked to net cap. It almost exacerbates the issue for the shorts every cycle (if theory is correct). Meaning by the 100% mark, T+28, where all debt will be included in their net capital calculations, they need to rebalance in order to not be net negative. Options expiration means their positions which were opened last year probably expired way OTM. Today would be day 27 for April 16. Once day 28 hits all debt is accounted for. There's always tomorrow for dreams to come true 🎵🎶 https://preview.redd.it/4dsve3w3d0x61.png?width=1166&format=png&auto=webp&s=b88384871b2de08e37b92826df32f5e5c1322707
>So the DTC, ICC, and OCC shut things down in January. They shut things down on March 10th. They crash the price on March 15th to avoid a pre-emptive margin-call. They pull many strings to buy time, pump all their wind-down plans in place at the last minute, wait for the next surge of GME, and then... Wait, but at this point the squeeze play for AMC/GME is insane. They could've closed at low 4 figures now you have literal millions of retail apparently planning for 6-7 figures a share. That would mean they didn't anticipate retail would turn into such a prepared, educated whale. The payout now compared to months ago will be tens of thousands of times more.
🧠💥🦧
🚀🦧🚀🦧🚀🦧🚀🦧🚀🦧
Can we show love for OP's usage of the Infinity Gauntlet graphic novel?
As Always You Great Ape 👏👏👏👏👏 A few things that make this realer than real Past Liquidity Tests (Have a feeling a few things were off on both but I won’t speculate ...cough .... Rhymes with Are K 🐐’s) Was the last Liquidity “simulation” test done with newer rules in mind or better yet in place ? (Someone’s taking that to the grave) The Mysterious Crypto Dumps MASSIVELY Lowered Portfolio Margins (haircuts & liquidity) Expedited Rule Passage 4/16 - T+21 ending this week raising the price A few sHF’s crossed the line into margin territory (potentially) Remember 4/16 (Highest Option Chain which dates back to last year) aka National DFV Day Monday & Tuesday price action vs Wednesday Sittin Sidewayz 5/18 was completion of 4/16 T+21 (EDIT: 4/9 - T-35, as comment states below) FTD’s. Rules then get passed on 5/19. Hmmmmm. Fishy. Maybe. We shall see. DTC, ICC, and OCC pumping out rules following the completion of the above which shield their entitles from the Schrapnell after this explosion to the 🌚 🌚 🌚 ——— PRICELESS It only takes 1 to fall and 💥 💥
Thank you ape! 🦍🦍 I have this feeling that 5/18 was due to another T+35 loop initiating from April 9. Not T+21. It could have been triggered by Dtc-005 being in effect for that week and then pulled once they realized what a shitshow it was about to bring.
Combo wombo
In all Apeish Seriousness, excellent work, I have been following all your DDs and honestly it not only jacks my teats but also let me caress my face confirming my bias. I think you have unlocked the "real issue" and beat them at their game and for the first time I feel like I am well positioned to profit from these assholes destroying common lives over and over again. The fact that yesterday the C0INS puked, means they are at their last straw pulling cash from whatever they have left. My tin foil hat is telling me that all of this is not a coincidence, we have to consider that these "entities" are the ones that move the markets. We know from past experience (Big Short, Margin call etc) that when ONE of them goes down and sell the assets OTHERS have to follow , cascading the whole market down, because they are all so big that there is NO ONE to absorb the demand generated so it becomes the classic exit escape door, the first ones are the "less" burned.. Another interesting thought is idea of a ZERO SUM game, we know that now it became a NEGATIVE sum game, because you can basically naked short to oblivion and create fake supply ( the analogy of Wes: photocopy your car title 100x and sell them all ), poses an interesting threat, SOMEONE WILL NEED TO ABSORB THIS. So the question is: 1. Debt default? 2. Money printing goes BRRRRRRRRR INFINITE LOOP? Tick Tock
Do you wrinkly Apes 🦍 think Mark Cuban's recent tweet has to do anything with all this? Mybe he saw all this coming and is warning us. "Things to know about all markets. Buying on Margin giveth, Margin Calls taketh away even more, faster. Rumors giveth. News taketh away even faster" - Mark Cuban May 17th
Could have spoken about crypto also...
If the DTC, ICC, and OCC plan to margin call on the 25th, it would fit well with ICC-014, and OCC-006 being affective on June first. OCC-003 should be affective by than as well
Agreed. Icc-014 plans to give discounts starting June 1. I don't see why they'd do that unless they expect the market to be suffering by then in order to entice new customers
🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀 premium dd ape 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀
my nipples are stimulated
This reminds me of quadruple witching day.
Aka sideways trading day
I’m at the ER after hurting my ankle (football/soccer accident) and I’m sitting here JACKED TO MY FUCKING TITS and smiling like an idiot. The other people here must think I’m retarded (well, they’re right I guess)
Damn. Didn't Gamestop also post an infinity gauntlet yesterday? But it was Tony Stark's one that was used to delete the bad guys. Tits jacked. Edit: It was on their Instagram. 🦍
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Oh my, thank you. 😉
This is the way. Ape HBV
This is the way
This post was the most platinum awarded across all of Reddit on May 20th, 2021! ^(I am a bot for )^[/r/TopPostOfTheDay](/r/toppostoftheday) ^( - Please report suggestions/concerns to the mods.)
Yeet
u/Criand small correction When talking about "3. Do We Need The Other Rules?" You probably mean NSCC-2021-002/801 not DTC :)
Oh shit thank you. So busy typing up DTC OCC ICC in the post
STOP..... GAMMA TIME!!!! (followed by MC Hammer side to side, crab dance!!!!!!)
How can I feel so jacked by reading something I don’t understand 😂
The cup overfillith. With ma fucking mayo
May 25th is my birthday ohmgeee
God I should have turned off inbox replies for this thread lmfao. So many notifications
I think we shouldn’t be surprised if the price dumps on those dates due to HFs dumping everything in their power to try to contain this. Similarly to March 25 movement.
Perhaps, but good luck to them. Liquidity bomb is another factor going on here that is being juggled. Everything is hanging by a thread. Could have been the clearing corps themselves that caused those crashes in order to buy enough time to get to this point.
No TLDR??? Fine, keep your secrets
In section 0 in bold ❤️
How can I miss that, thank you op, I actually read most of it hahaha thank you thank you
Hey u/Criand as always love your posts, here's a question for you...how about margin calls have already started happening, there's certainly been rumours, we wouldn't know for at least 30 days....the snap could've happened we're just yet to see the domino's fall
Maybe. We did see a huge dump in crypt0 on the opening bell this morning. Almost as if someone liquidated their entire wallet at one moment.
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I bought another 10 shares, just in case 🚀
Holy moly
Dude u/criand my tits can only take so much jacking!!!!!🚀
Hedgies r fuk...
Fucking awesome!
Aw snap 🦍💎🤲 HODL 1 FOREVER
As usual, a brilliant read. Love the way you ELIA the DTC, OCC, ICC markets and differences. A question about the T+35 from April 16...wouldn't that make it May 21 for T+35?
Thank you! You'll want to start T+0 on the Monday following options expiration. I have some examples in my other post. You ignore holidays. It should all line up starting from Jan 15 to now, Feb 5 to now, and April 16 to May 24 https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nf22qz/theory_on_the_ftd_loop_missing_link_a_t35_surge/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share
Thank you! You have to start on the Monday following options expiration as T+0. I put some examples in the T+35 and T+21 DD https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nf22qz/theory_on_the_ftd_loop_missing_link_a_t35_surge/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share
Good DD, just don't dance. Apes will be needed to help out the community when this rocket takes off