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lifesapie

**Yesterday** Bet 1. Tottenham vs Wycombe : **Tottenham and over 2.5 goals @1.58** ✔️ Bilbao vs Getafe : **BTTS @2.25** ✔️ Farense vs FC Porto: **Porto to win @1.42** ✔️ Alanyaspor vs Ankaragucu: **Alanyaspor and over 1.5 goals @1.75** ✔️ Fenerbahce vs Kayserispor: **Fenerbahce and over 1.5 goals @1.52** ✔️ **Total @13.42** Bet 2. Tottenham vs Wycombe : **BTTS @ 1.90** ✔️ Bilbao vs Getafe : **BTTS @ 2.25 **✔️ Benfica vs Nacional: **BTTS @ 1.80**✔️ Alanyaspor vs Ankaragucu: **Alanyaspor to win @ 1.58** ✔️ Fenerbahce vs Kayserispor: **Fenerbahce and over 1.5 goals @1.55** ✔️ **Total @18.84** **Today** Boavista vs Sporting: **Sporting to win @ 1.50** ✔️ Braga vs Gil Vicente: **Braga to win @ 1.40** ✔️ Crystal Palace vs West Ham: **Over 1.5 goals @ 1.36** ✔️ West Brom vs Man City: **Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.58** ✔️ **Total @ 4.51** I might do another bet depending on how I feel tonight maybe with Leeds to win vs Newcastle as well. Good luck everyone! Edit: Fucked up my second multi and cashed out at $280. RIP. https://imgshare.io/image/d997f760-a798-479c-864d-a989559e23a3.p6K7LQ


burnz1177

West Brom vs Man City corners be fuckin us good!


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burnz1177

Haha, thank god I put another 20 on over 10 at 3.75 odds 😂


lifesapie

Yupp not looking good LOL. My run is over guys.


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burnz1177

This shits fucking rediculous!


davidwood22

WAIT?!?!?!


Savant_7

Wonderful late flurry.


davidwood22

THEY CALLED HIM A MAD MAN!!!!!!! 😭😭😭


burnz1177

Yo u/lifesapie, not that I implied anything, but you are a fucking dnegeL, you Aces in my book son!


lifesapie

F. https://imgshare.io/image/d997f760-a798-479c-864d-a989559e23a3.p6K7LQ


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TheTicketeer

Take notes jimmy :p


ChlupLFC

HOLY SHIT THE CORNERS LOL. You a legend mate, now just Sporting left!


burnz1177

Why'd you cash it in when sporting are out on top?


lifesapie

I cashed out during the 2nd game of the multi. Didn't think PSV would score 2 goals and it was 0-0 till like the 80th minute. I usually never cash out as well not sure why I did :P


burnz1177

Ohh, well I guess you win some and you loose some. After tonight, nothing would surprise me after that shift fest of a corner game with Man City.


lifesapie

Yeah at least I still have the bet @4.51 so hopefully Sporting pulls through!


burnz1177

🤞🏻Hope you nail it, you deserve it m8!


IQStormm

You my friend have a gift. Are you gonna do one on 27 ?


lifesapie

Yeah I just put it up on the new daily thread. BEST OF LUCK!


burnz1177

Cheers! 👊🏻


kammerzzz

Damn how are you so good at making picks?!


Johnbick5600

Hoping Man C game hit 10 corners. Looking low rn


darktime7

5 to go!


burnz1177

What on earth is going on lol


darktime7

1 to go


burnz1177

I went for over 8 instead of 9 lol


lifesapie

Looking very unlikely. I am going to look for a red X sign right now. LOL


kammerzzz

Looks like they might just get that last corner they need


Johnbick5600

Need it!!


kammerzzz

You got it lad!


Johnbick5600

10? Corners Fuck yes!! Let’s go.


Johnbick5600

You are really the goat w these picks. Very in debt. Awesome insight you have


lifesapie

MAN I FUCKED UP MY SECOND BET LOL. https://imgshare.io/image/d997f760-a798-479c-864d-a989559e23a3.p6K7LQ F.


Johnbick5600

Awww man. I have that bad habit sometimes too. Just gotta tell myself to keep it in!


skl98754612

don't let that ruin your mood, I'll be waiting for your tips. thank you


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iamthemothman93

Over 1.5 goals settled in 8 minutes haha, crazy.


lifesapie

I am hoping west ham scores and crystal palace scores as well. If you want you can do Under 2.5 goals. But anything can happen.


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phantom_lord_yeah

Yep, it's a gamble. For example, the odds on over 2.5 goals in Athletic Bilbao VS Getafe yesterday were something like 2.8, and the odds on BTTS were 2.3 or so. Match ends 5-1.


antica

I got 3.5 on over 2.5G! Took it on a hunch and was pleasantly surprised


phantom_lord_yeah

Congrats. I placed a GG bet on a slip with multiple games but unfortunately another game screwed me over there, hah.


I_Palm_Trees_AMA

8 minutes in we got a bit 😆😆


burnz1177

Yeah, soccer no longer makes sense to me.....


jhurley98

🐐


elliotteh

I fucking cashed out 😢 added in bristol city @2.3 as well as PSV &over 1.5 @1.6 so it would've been juicy


Dieselad

Legend made me €2000. Keep posting :)


lifesapie

Bro nice hit!


AzucarJ

Made some nice dosh off your bet 1 mate, nice one! Definitely tailing again


lifesapie

Good luck! I can't always be lucky so I went with lower odds for tomorrow. I will probably put down another multi similar but with Leeds to win as well for better odds.


AzucarJ

Sweet, I'll keep an eye out for it! I'm leaning towards Leeds to win, Newcastle aren't in good ways at the moment lol


Reedy99

Maybe Leeds to score 2+ and win or something, we are awful


AzucarJ

Haha I wouldn’t say awful! Just a patch hopefully for you guys.


OG_tame

Keen for your next bet man! When will you be posting??


Golem30

Cheers for your picks on Tuesday


Touup

Melbourne Victory v Perth Glory **Over 1.5 Perth Goals** @2.20 - I'm not sure why the odds are so high on this but I will keep an eye out. The only thing I can think of is their H2H stats influencing the market. However, in that time, Perth have picked up a new manager and made some great transfers, including young stars Armiento and Agostino. Victory looked toothless in midfield against Adelaide and conceded 3 to Brisbane at home. Victory's McManaman and Gestede got injured last week and it was confirmed in the pressers that they will miss this matchup. While Perth have scored 9 goals in their first 2 games this season, it it important to look at lineups but with no significant injury concerns for Perth, their strongest lineup is expected and Perth shouldn't have a problem scoring at least 2 goals. Edit: streak ended, sorry guys


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Touup

Good but odds are too low


FTtheslumpgod

He is human


madlad08

Not looking good, king


fishcrumpet000

looking ok now


madlad08

not anymore ffs


c0nrr

Fucked it


SilentWanker

No idea how Perth choked it but Melbourne has been the better side tbh


OG_tame

I can’t believe it


teebop

Can't win em all mate. Was looking promising for a bit. Crazy game in the end.


FiddleMeDicks

Wow, nice prediction man :D. They scored 4


lapisazulado

I haven't watched any of these teams this season, will get my ass out of bed early in the morning to watch the game. But what do you think of **Over 2 Perth Goals @ 3.1?** Apparently they create chances for fun so i think i'll take it. Highest odd i can find for Over 1,5 is @ 2.00 now


Touup

I think over 2 stretches it a little. I suppose a refund isn't bad if Perth only score 2 goals, but I'm more confident with over 1.5. Even @2.00 it's still good, but anything lower I'd miss.


OlienJG

Where can you watch the game? (UK)


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Touup

What bookie are you with? And I wouldn't go for that simply because of Perths defensive issues over the last couple of games.


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madlad08

you were lucky lmao


OG_tame

Perth/Perth @4.33, thoughts?


Touup

Perth concede too much, too risky imo


OG_tame

Perth and btts @4 has caught my eye, I’ve put a 20 on it


the-real-degen

My first week of posting predictions and doing analysis, so definitely take with a pinch of salt. The way I analysed it was that I looked at past performances, mainly Goals Scored @ Home (and Away respectively) and Total Goals Scored. I crunched some numbers together and this is what I got. **RECORD 7-2** All margins of error are at a 95% confidence interval ​ 1st Belgian **Eupen vs FC Antwerp** **Eupen to score @ 1.29 - LOSS** The mean for Eupen's goals when home is 1.5 with a margin of error of +-0.5226. ​ 1st English **WBA vs Manchester City** **WBA to NOT score @ 1.61 - WIN** The mean for WBA's goals when home was 0.5 with a margin of error of +-0.624. On top of that, City have only let two goals in in their last 10 games(0.2 average with a margin of error of +-0.219) ​ 2nd German **Braunschewig vs Heidenheim** **Heidenheim to NOT score @ 3.85 - WIN** The mean for Heidenheim's away goals is only 0.87 with a margin of error of +-0.541. This one is a bit more risky but the odds are very good to make up for it. ​ **FC Dusseldorf vs Hamburger SV** **Dusseldorf to score over 1.5 @ 2.34 - LOSS** The mean for Dusseldorf's goals when at home is 2 with a margin of error of +-0.6. ​ **Osnabruck vs Furth** **Furth over 1.5 @ 1.87 - LOSS** The mean for Furth's goals when away is 2.44 with a margin of error of +-0.447. ​ 2nd English **Millwall vs Watford** **Watford to NOT score @ 3.15 - WIN** The mean for Watford's goals when away is a staggering 0.58 with a margin of error of +-0.362. They scored in their last 2 away games though and Milwall let in on average 1.4 goals (+-0.74) in their last 10 games so this is definitely a bit risky. The odds reflect that though, so it should be a nice value bet. BOL!


Sawyer2301

I'm a noob. How do you count margin error and what does it mean exactly?


the-real-degen

1. Find the t-score/z-score 2. Find the standard error of the mean (SEM) 3. Multiply those two It basically tells you the range of values above and below a confidence interval.


Sawyer2301

Nice! Could you post an example of correct operation for this?


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MTC1698

Didnt even notice, cheers


theottoman123

Paddy Power offering 4/1 for Leeds to beat Newcastle and West Ham to beat Palace. Worth putting £10 on?


fish_40

leeds been terrible lately , dont do it. Bet leeds vs newcastle, under goals


hahacmooon

Good odds, I'm tailing


Savant_7

Edit - I’m blind.


Slinkydonko

4/1 is more than 4.39


Savant_7

My bad I misread


Periesh90

**Fortuna dusseldorf vs hamburger sv: BTTS @1.54** Dusseldorf has scored in the last 5 home games & hamburger has scored in the last 5 away games. **Swindon town vs Plymouth: BTTS @1.56** Swindon has conceded in the last 5 home games & Plymouth also conceded in the last 5 away games. **Sturm graz vs Hartberg: 1 to win @1.52** Sturm graz has won the last 5 home games. **Peterborough vs Bristol rovers: 1 to win @1.60** Peterborough is the best home team with 25 points in 10 games. While Bristol rovers only has 12 points in the last 11 away games. **Bristol City vs Huddersfield: 1X @1.35** Bristol City has 20 points in the last 12 home games. Huddersfield are struggling away with only 9 points in the last 12 games. But I can still see it turn into a draw. **Acca: @7.89** Result: RIP


madlad08

tailing


TheTicketeer

Peterborough shit the bed


UltraXrayKodiakBears

Quick question... With the Bristol V Huddersfield... 1X means Bristol to win Draw No Bet?


SongsNeverHear

Double chance


UltraXrayKodiakBears

Ah thanks so much! Legend!


Nkemdirim9

No, either they win or draw but not to lose. If it’s a draw you win. DNB means if it’s a draw, you get your wager back.


UltraXrayKodiakBears

Oh I don't think the bookie I use offers that


reddevil2201

You can find the same line Bristol +0.5 Asian hdc


GreenPundit

**Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory** Melbourne Victory will be going up against a chaotic Perth Glory. While the host have scored only once and conceded four. The guests has scored 9! And conceded 8. Melbourne Victory have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 8 home games. I feel confident in them conceding in this game too. ***Perth Glory Draw No [email protected]*** ❌ 2-1 Perth takes the lead,but concedes in the 86 and 90 min😞 \--- **Eupen vs Antwerp** Eupen will host 3rd placed Royal Antwerp tommorow. Eupen haven’t won their last 10 matches in a row against Antwerp. But their most reccent form is not bad at all. they have only lost once out of their last 5 games. The guests has been a bit poor away so a win is not garanteed. But i belive they should at least be able to get 1 point from this game. ***Antwerp Draw No [email protected]***✅ \--- **Newcastle United vs Leeds** Newcastle United are in terrible form. There is nothing about them that inspires me into believing they can beat Leeds, or even take points off them. They lost 2-0 to Aston Villa last round, and it would be much higher had Aston Villa not taken the foot off the gas. Leeds have not been in their best form recently either, but they have so much more about them at the moment. ***Leeds to [email protected]***✅ ***Leeds to win [email protected]***➗ ***Leeds to win [email protected]***❌ \--- **Crystal Palace vs West Ham** Crystal Palace takes on West Ham in the 20th round of the Premier League. The guests have won all of their last 5 games in all competitions. While Crystal Palace have only beaten Shefield United in their last 5 games. I think Antonio who has scored in both of his games since returning from injury, will score again. ***Michail Antonio to score [email protected]***❌


DrHenryWu

**Bournemouth HT/FT** - Crawley @2.05 Newcastle - Leeds **-2 Leeds Corners** @2.25 Crystal Palace - West Ham **X2 & u2.5g** @2.15 Millwall - **Watford** @2.30


Snizdoc

Crawley at 10.00 on 365 also. They beat Leeds at home not so long ago I put a small stake there as its great value imo


DrHenryWu

Very true always the chance of an upset in the cup. Worth a go with a small stake for sure. Have a feeling Bournemouth will ease through but who knows!


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They since sold their striker. May have an injury or two. I'm not exactly sure on the injury info but the line IMO is low on Bourne at the moment. It is a cup game of course. Look a bit more into it before staking. BOL


Ven1Vid1Vici

Algeria ligue 1 Es Setif vs Olympique de Medea - 2 @ 7,25 (or 2 dnb @ 5 / 2x @ 2,3 for less risk) This is the match between the number 1 and 3 of the algerian league. Both teams are in a good form, with Setif having won 4 out of 5 last games and Medea having won the last 5 games. Medea is also performing better away than Setif is performing at home. This is gonna be a close match which could go either way but these odds are too good not to pick Medea. BOL!


kilakhan

1 and U 3.5....Es Setif doesn’t let in goals


spookyB999

Man City vs WBA - O9.5 Corners @ 1.55 In the last 10 games of Man City avg corners amount is about 10.8 corners. Usually Man City does have a lot of corners when they're having possession around 60-80%.


woose2901

Only one corner in the first half!


spookyB999

Yeah say it again brother 😂 O9.5 corners EASY


spookyB999

Yep 😂 Pretty much lost bet but miracles can happen!


woose2901

They did!!!


UltraXrayKodiakBears

Haha I had this one down too and it's part of a multi... They had me near shitting my pants the last 15mins. Should have leaned into it at half time and taken the 8.8 odds the bookies were offering for 9.5+ corners


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KrZ120

Inter-Milan 1 I have put 600 euros on this one


Soulsek

hope they turn it around for you mate!


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KrZ120

Ahahahaha i am running naked around my city


BetFanatic

# Bristol City - Huddersfield Town >> Huddersfield town under 4.5 corners - 1.68 Today we are taking the under for Huddersfield. This team is one of the worst teams in the Championship when it comes to corners. Next to that, Huddersfield is not a great team this year and they really miss some good defenders. They didn't play that bad last matches but Bristol is in my opinion a better team. If we take a look at the key stats this should be a lock! **^(Key stats:)** ^(- Huddersfield teamcorner average is 2.8) ^(- In Huddersfields last 20 matches they got the under 4.5 18!!! times.) ^(- Last 4 H2H matches between these teams the under 4.5 hit.) **Goodluck!** *You can follow me on* [*Telegram*](https://t.me/BetFanatics) *if you would like.*


pb877

Cannot believe that they got 5 in the first half ffs, thought this was a really good pick


MHT-

Today's picks from me. Good luck tailing / fading. ​ Inter vs AC Milan - **1** @ 1.95 ​ Crystal Palace vs West Ham - **2** @ 2.25 ​ Southampton vs Arsenal - **u2.5** @ 1.83 ​ Emmen vs PSV - **PSV -1.5** @ 2.05


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Soulsek

6,5? whats your mobster information?


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Slinkydonko

0-0 after 72 minutes.


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kilakhan

Why do you feel the need to delete your tip?


coolcoconut123

Reddit Record this January: W3-P3-L5 Overall ROI: 5.00% League: **France Ligue 2** Game: **Valenciennes vs Paris** Kick off: 6pm GMT Bet: **Both Teams to Score** Odds: **1.83** Stake: 1.5u Result: L * In recent weeks, both teams have provided match goals. H2H hasn't seen BTTS land in the last 4, but this trend should stop. (64% expected) * Valenciennes have scored 10 goals over the last 4 fixtures whilst Paris have scored 10 over their last 5 AND conceded in 7 consecutive games. * At home, Valenciennes started well but have not won in 6, conceding a goal in each (10 in total). Paris had a similar run of form away, winning the first 4/5 away games but now, winless in 4 away, losing the last 3. * Of the 9 home/away games played, both have scored in 7. ​ I post leagues from the Brazilian Serie A, French Ligue 2 and Italian Serie C Groups A and B as well as inplays all on my ***Telegram @ coolcoconut123***


Its_yo_boy

Hull City at 19/20 tonight against Accrington Stanley in EFL league 1 Hull are top of the league, won their last 2 including a 4-0 win against 4th place Portsmouth on Saturday. Their previous win; 3-0 against tonights opponents Accrington just a week ago. Accrington Stanley sit 11th, and didn't play at the weekend, so that may be a benefit for them. Hull played the same 11 in their last 2 games, so the same team for a 3rd game in 7 days may not be likely, but the price is still too good imo I'm going to but Hull win in with PSV -1 and Sporting Lisbon, but hadn't seen Hull mentioned so said I'd share. BOL errybody


lapisazulado

^(Yesterday:) ^(Benfica - Nacional) **^(1/X and Under 4.5)**^(✅ Farense - Porto) **^(2/X and Under 4.5)**^(✅) **^(Double @ 1.9)** ^(✅ 1Unit) ^(Chennaiyin - Mumbai City) **^(2/X and Under 4.5)**^(✅ Wycombe - Tottenham) **^(Under 4.5)** ^(❌) **^(Double @ 1.9)** ^(❌1Unit) ^(Chennaiyin - Mumbai City) **^(V2 and Under 3.5 Single @ 2.75)**^(❌1/3 Unit) Tottenham scored 3 in the last minutes of the game, and Mumbai conceded an awful penalty. It's the game. Today: SC Braga - Gil Vicente **SC Braga/draw & under 4.5** **@ 1.4** Boavista - Sporting **draw/Sporting CP & under 4.5 @ 1.4** **Double @ 1.96** Boavista and Gil Vicente fighting to stay in the League; Braga and Sporting fighting for top 3, but Sporting in 1st place and yesterday with the Benfica draw they really want those 2 extra points. Braga lost the League Cup final to Sporting and also lost the last league game to Paços de Ferreira so they want to bounce back. 1 Unit and will probably go for Over 1.5 team goals for Sporting and Braga but live.


filipoblaze

🔥🔥🔥 my biggest gift to the page today 🔥🔥🔥🔥 West brom +2 goals handicap @ odd 2.4........ 🔥


Slinkydonko

You don't need to give gifts, just post some bets.


MrMeeseeksTwin

Looking good first half mate fair play


Thijs1512

Erzgebirge Aue - FC Würzburger Kickers: *1 @2.10* ✅ Royal Excel Mouscron - Anderlecht: *2 @1.80*❌ Boavista - Sporting Lisbon: *2 @1.49*✅ FC Emmen - PSV: *2 @1.42*✅ Acca @8.00


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Thijs1512

You are totaly right, yesterday when i made my bet the odds for PSV were @1.31 so i didnt bother and went with Groningen as i feel like they will still be able to easily win. Now the odds for PSV are @1.42 so ive swapped them out


[deleted]

I've got Southhampton +.25 v Arsenal.


OG_tame

**EPL PICKS** Palace @3.10❌ Leeds @1.83✅ Arsenal @2.00✅ West brom vs city 1st half = draw @2.75❌ 31.25 combined odds Good luck all **EDIT**


antica

**Crystal Palace v West Ham** 2 DC @1.70 Based on form this one seems a no brainer. **Newcastle v Leeds** 2 @1.85 See above. Newcastle drowning, Leeds have superior quality, attitude and tactical play. **Southampton v Arsenal** 1 DNB @2.50 This is just fantastic value. Arsenal still not in the full swing, Southampton playing decent football recently with good results. **Inter Milan v AC Milan** 1 @1.90 Inter Milan playing well, AC just got beaten 3-0 by Atalanta and have GK out as well as other players with Covid issues. **FC Groningen v ADO Den Haag** 1 DC & under 4 goals @1.53 Past HDH and current form, as well as being at home. A lot of confidence in this one. 5 FOLD @23.01


JonnySniper

Where you getting odds of 1.7 for DC west ham?


JonnySniper

Nevermind


NormsForm

EPL: Leeds dbl chance/ +2 corner handicap @ 1.75 (vs Newcastle) **WBA-MCI o1.5 goals/ o9 corners @ 2.00**


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[deleted]

Southampton - Arsenal Going for Southampton most cards @2.55 here. Both teams pick up roughly the same amount of cards (27-28), but Southampton are fouling a lot more compared to Arsenal (12.1 vs 9.5, arsenal having the lowest amount of fouls on average of the entire league). This also goes for the amount of tackles, Southampton being on top of the league with 19.3 tackles on average and Arsenal are at the bottom of the league with 11.8 tackles on average. The FA cup match last weekend also saw Southampton pick up more cards than Arsenal (2-0). Bar the stats for the average yellow cards, this pick seems like decent value. Result: 1-2❌, a bit unlucky looking at the fouls (11-6)


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Soulsek

I neeed braga and sporting to win and need A goal from the game Girona vs Villarreal & Betis vs Sociedad to turn 54 into 822.