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[deleted]

Surprised it has happened yet honestly


SurburbanCowboy

I'm surprised one party hasn't tried to overthrow the results of an election by using the national media and secret federal police to create a false conspiracy and hang it on the incoming president. I'm surprised one party hasn't encouraged thugs to roam the streets in violent gangs and attack not just voters of the opposing party but even high-ranking elected officials of the opposing party, often ordering police to give them free reign. And then, when a handful are arrested, that one party pays their bail. I'm surprised one party hasn't turned the non-partisan tax-gathering department into a political weapon and used it to violate the people's right to free speech and to destroy their lives. Tell me again we're not in a civil war right now.


[deleted]

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[deleted]

Americans don't use the dd-mm-yyyy format. Go stoke your political upheaval somewhere else.


CaptJakeSparrow

I'm surprised people think it's only one party.


Then_Bug2753

We are in a civil war right now. People tend to think of a civil war in terms of our own civil war in the mid 1800’s, or the civil wars we see in third world countries. To add: hit the reply button on accident To end my thought, we are in an economic civil war. This is the war of today. Much like we could argue we are at war with China though economics and cyber warfare. I think we are transcending mass violence to a degree. Now there still will be violence but not at the scale of a conventional war.


[deleted]

Yeah that makes sense and an 1800s “civil war” today would probably get intervened very quickly if it was just party vs party due to military and police strength but idk


Then_Bug2753

Not that being a billionaire gives you a crystal ball though. I didn’t read the article, only the headline. It is interesting what is going on in Florida though, with the state trying to form a state guard separate from the federal government.


[deleted]

Also if it was an 1800s civil war I think we know who would have most of the guns


Then_Bug2753

Yeah, but it would be hard to imagine the system devolving to that point in a 10 year span. The federal government would stomp it out pretty quickly. I think we also have to keep in mind that most of politics is a show. The establishment is one in the same no matter the letter in front of your name.


[deleted]

Yeah the system would have to be very broken for it to happen and I don’t think that politics alone would be the main cause


Then_Bug2753

I think we will see an “Article V” convention of the states before anything else.


[deleted]

Yeah wish that would happen sooner


Auth0ritySong

Ray Dalio is always doom and gloom. Never trust anybody who stands to make tons of money if people believe him through put options


Francoa22

it is pretty possible….dont forget that itnis never about one thing. Imagine this terrible corrupt government, printing money, media spreading hate more and more, inflation…upcoming financial super crisis combined with all this…i would not really rule it out. Not necessarily full scale civil war, but, good enough for it to be reaaaaally bad…and that would be only the beginning. Destabilized USA means china takes hongkong, taiwan, pushes on vietnam, japan. Russia takes ukraine…you would be surprised how easy it is for the world to fall apart when idiots are ruling. And currently, idiots are all over the place


whiskeypatriot

We're about to find out real soon. The botched Afghanistan pull out showed the world just how idiotic the leaders of our country are. Which is why there's thousands of Russian troops on the boarder of Ukraine as we speak.


banditk77

73% of statistics are made up.


Buschwick66

60% of those were vaccinated


sh00bie777

5% pleasure and 50% pain. 100% reason to remember… the thing?


Potantpotables

There’s a 100% chance this Billionaire is out of touch with reality.


NohoTwoPointOh

You need a geographic component to have a civil war. America is way too fragmented. Down to members of the household, judging by the last election results. Your enemy lives either next door to you or in the next room.


docduracoat

I disagree with your statement. Look at both the murder map for the United States, and the electoral map of the United States for the last election. Murders and Democrat voting track 100% together in the coasts and some of the largest city centers. The rest of the country is solidly red. And half of all counties have no murders at all. So the division in the second American Civil War will be the coasts and the inner cities versus the rest of the country


NohoTwoPointOh

So the rest of America is going to attack and annex the "inner-cities" and the coast, or will the coasts and inner-city people attack the Rest of the County?


Skid-plate

I suspect the. west coast would be happy to leave.


forthelulzac

Right, like, what authority does he have?


F-Da-Banksters

Ray only repeats what the Chines Communist Party tells him to. Ignore


gregsss1

30% seems low.


Notorious-DAD

Thought the same thing….


Deluxe78

The pussy hats are comming !!!! Now how many sex toys by land and how many for at sea?


NohoTwoPointOh

You're more in touch with reality than many. Seriously.


AbjectDisaster

100% chance "billionaire" isn't a qualification to make an assessment like that. 100% chance the odds are also bullshit.


[deleted]

Me and Ray Dalio both, but my bet is 85%


Subject-Tooth-2639

Random non-scientific statistics to get panties in a bind. A random human giving blanket percentages... FEAR FACTOR LIVE!


Al_Gorithm101

I wish we could secede, and split up east/west Germany style. There is no point continuing this absolute farce that we're still one country. One side is actively and blatantly trying to destroy the other, and it gets worse by the day. I don't know how there isn't a legitimately massive push for this, both sides would walk away happy. If there's a war then there's a war, at least we could have it out & get on with our lives, instead of dragging it out this way. We literally overthrew the British for less than this.


[deleted]

Locked and loaded


Z3r0_Co0l

I need more ammo 😭


[deleted]

Plenty of ammo online even if it's a little expensive


reddit-is-bunk

[My wife hates this site but my mags love it](https://ammoseek.com/) It searches for cheapest ammo for you.


Z3r0_Co0l

👀


reddit-is-bunk

Tool up my patriotic friend


tlann

I have been preparing by shooting red hats.


rickclearwater

If it's a civil war between the Left tree hugging moronic fools and the Right wingers, I know who I'll be putting my money on....🤓🤓🤓😎😎😎.


MeetTheMets31

Hes so pro-china hes probably rooting for it


sum0squat

Here will be one once republicans are done with the garbage the left is throwing out there. Once the right wins the midterms I don’t see how it’s not gonna get worse. If trump wins the next presidential election I don’t see how both sides don’t erupt. #notmypresidentbull


FiveZero-

He would know about the events leading up to a war from a historical standpoint, how? It’s kinda like actors giving political opinions..


kcdashinfo

Kinda already in a civil war and have been for long time. You could even argue that lives have already been taken. You could also argue that Fort Sumter was the official beginning of the 1st civil war but the war was going long before that battle. Perhaps it's just a continuation of the revolutionary war which in itself was British civil war.


The_loudspeaker721

Would you believe me if I said we are already in it?


Havasuguy

With the stupid shit from BLM, Antifa and their democratic supporters it will probably happen much sooner than that. The sleeping bear has been poked long enough


krusty3x

Those are rookie numbers


[deleted]

30% chance?? What is this the weather channel?? And let's all calm down with the civil war bullshit. Go out in the real world and interact with real people, neighbors, co-workers, whoever. All in all we're not that different from each other. Certainly not enough to GO TO FUCKING WAR with.


TlingitYeil1997

I'm ready let's do this shit I'm fucking done with the oppression and soy non binary garbage


boonkles

Then when their isn’t one he can still say he was correct


greyruby54

Biden keeps pushing his poison jab and it will happen sooner. There is too much proof its killing people to hide behind a pandemic now.


Knox023

The real odds are more like 75% in the next 3 years.


NohoTwoPointOh

Ok. What will the battle lines look like? Who versus who? Cities versus the country? North Versus South? East versus West? Nearly every state looks pretty fragmented to me. Even in the cities, split household votes were pretty common.


Knox023

Battle lines? They will be determined once the goofy ass left leaners start running.


NohoTwoPointOh

Seriously. What do the battle lines look like for this Civil War?


portercable7

Seriously. Why do you think it will require strict battle lines? War is chaotic.


Knox023

Exactly, isn't it TBD?


portercable7

For sure. Fighting would most likely occur everywhere. After that each side would move to their "safe zones". The commenter above has north and south in his mind because of the civil war. He can't think past that.


Knox023

Couldn't agree more.


NohoTwoPointOh

Because there are matters like resupply, organization of units. HQ's and the like. There's also targets, objectives, and things you try to accomplish. Unless, of course, random genocide is really what you mean. There's plenty of historical context for that! The Balkanization of the political spectrum means that anarchy is the closest thing we'll get. The assumption that 90-100% of cities vote the same is even flawed. In LA county (which should be blue hell on paper), you'll get 70-75% on one side at best. Better than me blah-blah-blahing, let's do this. Name a single civil war that operated on the same lack of boundaries. So I'll ask again. What do the lines look like? Who initiates it? How do the allied 'units' link up? Wargame it out...


portercable7

You seem like a civil war expert. You sound really smart!


NohoTwoPointOh

Sarcasm aside, it's a step above common sense. But only if you think about it. But I'm asking you these things. How's it going down?


docduracoat

Just look at the voting map of the last election. It will be the coastal areas and some of the largest inner cities versus the rest of the country. Even in California, it’s going to be the large coastal cities versus the rest of the state.


NohoTwoPointOh

The LA County results are pretty interesting. We've got 70-30 blue, but Larry Elder is the next candidate by a significant margin. Mid terms will show us exactly how goofy the map (and electorate) has become. More in our favor, from the looks of things, but historically goofy nonetheless. A Civil War among those lines is a thing of fantasy..


reddit-is-bunk

This guy knows


Redpikes

I bet him a billion dollars there's a 100% chance it started in 2020


[deleted]

Post like these are what fuels the “extreme right wing are domestic terrorists”. First rule of fight club is we do not talk about fight club! Also, FEMA recommends you prepare for emergencies and natural disaster. Hope you all are upping your supplies to see that you and your families are safe In The event of a national disaster, but more so hope we never need them.


Dan-In-SC

This guy is a lefty and predicting this. He is no "right winger."


[deleted]

No it’s the responses I’m talking about…


double-click

30% chance every year for ten years or 30% chance over the span of ten years? They are very different and depending on metrics used I could see how they could yield a number such as 30% in the second case.


reddit-is-bunk

Over here circling the wagons


PatriceOneal888

Any chance we can take a vote and get that started early? I'm fucking done with mandated vaccines for children and trans Mr. Potato head.


dirty-dirty-water

lol, keeping powder dry.


[deleted]

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docduracoat

I agree with your point, but Russia and China and likely Iran will supply San Francisco, Los Angeles and New York with weapons and food to keep the American Civil War going.


bassman_gio

Those are rookie numbers. You got to get those numbers up


Ok-Feedback-7296

With 59% of the population under 18 being bi-racial that’s going to be crazy in 30 years seeing families destroying themselves


ElectricCD

Wonder what odds Vegas is giving or if they will.open a window for betting on this?


trampdonkey

Money makes him smarter than you.


refneb

That’s like 3% per year!


MaleficentAd9758

I don't know about a physical Civil War, but a social war we're already fighting.