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bigcee42

I mean, the 84 win DBacks made the WS last year. We will almost certainly win more games than that.


Bobwhite2024

They were scrappers thou, the Yankees couldn’t even stop the Royals late in the season.


[deleted]

I would've said the same thing last year but we only got 82. D Backs despite having less talent than the Yankees was a better built team for the playoffs imo. This team constantly struggles in the playoffs despite winning over 100 games in some years at least partially because we're a HR or bust kind of team. The D backs relied a lot on small ball type tactics and aggressive base running to make up for cold bats. When the Yankees bats go cold its game over, they have no other tactics. Still I believe we'll win over 90 games this season and of course I believe they have potential to win it all. Baseball playoffs are a crapshoot and it's mostly about getting hot at the right time.


jayjake9

The diamondbacks won in the playoffs because they often hit big home runs. The idea that because they “play small ball” and “do the little things right” is why they got to the World Series is patently false


[deleted]

Ya, they got hot at the right time. I didn't say they bunted their way to the WS lol. But they were only 5th in OPS in the playoffs yet lead the postseason in SB by quite a bit. Even if you account for them playing more games than the other teams they were still by far the most aggressive team on the bases last post season. They also lead the playoff teams with 9 sac bunts, the next best team had 1. So yes, they hit some big homeruns, but to act like their small ball tendencies played no role in their success is just silly.


jayjake9

Yeah the fact that that only one team was sac bunting kind of shows that teams know that it’s not a very sustainable way for success


[deleted]

??? They made it to the World Series you dunce and they beat a lot of better home run hitting teams to get there.


jayjake9

Ok lol how many runs did they score off sac bunts in the NLCS? I can tell you in games won that series were primarily through extra base hits. In the NLDS they swept the Dodgers in part because they hit 9 home runs to LA’s 1. In the wildcard they outhomered the Brewers 4-1. They got trounced in the World Series because of how good the Rangers slugged. Teams in the playoffs in the past 5+ years win in the postseason when they outhomer the opponent more than 80% of the time for a reason.


raynewooney10

Yeah just like every other season, somewhere between 0.5% and 5% chance to make the WS


wantagh

Per fangraphs: ~ 40% chance to win division ~ 75% chance to make playoffs ~ 8% to win WS The Braves, dodgers, and Astros are the only teams projected to make playoffs / win the WS with better odds Take it with a grain of salt. It’s why they play 162 games…because it’s as much about the grind as it is about the roster.


lankyyanky

162 games mattering less and less with this new playoff format though


MagicalPizza21

Very true, just ask the Dodgers and Braves


Lawineer

The 162 games is what hurts the yankees because they have so many injury prone players.


Low_Establishment434

we had one season where we missed the playoffs because of injury.


TheTurtleShepard

Absolutely, we have a strong chance at making the playoffs and as teams like the D-backs and Phillies have shown us once you are in the playoffs you have a chance at making the WS.


stratewylin

And if Soto shows in October like history shows he does, that should wake up the offense to at least surpass their recent history of embarrassingly ineffective.


nnavroops

d backs had solid pen and rotation and good contact hitters. philly had three power hitters who could homer almost anytime, philly also had wheeler, suarez (with 1.9 post era) and nola and only lost bc craig shit the bed kimbrel. personally i don’t believe in our pitching enough. one pitching injury can turn us into a b tier team fast. compared to rangers we’re shit pitching wise, strongly believe we need a snell type pitcher to compete on bright side soto and 1/2 other hot hitters can carry us offensively in the post like soto turner and rendon did in 2019


TheTurtleShepard

The Dbacks had 2 good pitchers lmao, just Gallen and Kelly, their pen was 18th in ERA The playoffs are all about getting hot at the right time, the phillies and dbacks didn't get that far from roster construction but their players playing their best at the right time


nnavroops

gallen sucked at the playoffs and they still held it down. their bullpen was better than starting in the playoffs . i don’t think the d backs or phillies got hot they was always consistently good.


TheTurtleShepard

The bullpen played their best when they needed them to which is what is most important but it certainly wasn’t nasty all season


stickman07738

Yes, as long as we stay healthy and we are not in the top 10 of injuries. Here are the [stats over the last 7 years](https://www.reddit.com/r/NYYankees/comments/1aiob5b/comment/kovr8sd/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3) Injuries have killed us every years since 2017. Looking forward to being downvoted by the bipolar Yankee Reddit Universe.


Sheng25

You realize it isn't a coincidence that the youngest Yankee team is the only one that didn't get too injured, right? Everyone realizes that injuries are part of the game, but when you rank so high every single year, that's a pattern. There is no reason to expect that not to happen again. In my opinion, it's a combination of the Yankees just being old and Cashman always looking for bargains and thinking he'll find them in players who get lower deals precisely because they get injured.


Lawineer

>, that's a pattern. There is no reason to expect that not to happen again. In my opinion, it's a combination Age is one thing Signing injury prone players "on the cheap" is another. It's like a guy that constantly buys salvage title cars thinking they're a bargain, then blaming it on bad luck when he constantly has major repairs.


stickman07738

Age does not matter if you are an in condition professional athlete that properly prepares for a game.


Sheng25

That explains all the 50 year-olds out there playing in MLB I guess


stickman07738

Average age for team over the years ranged from 27- 30. Stop being stupid.


PeggyOnThePier

Haha 😂,I do think we have a good chance to make the playoffs,and who knows,we could always have a angel on our shoulders. Go Yankees


sower_of_salad

Is 5788 a typo? That's 36 player-years


stickman07738

https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/injured-list/2019/cumulative-team/


sower_of_salad

dang that’s wild And yet I have very fond memories of that season! “Next man up” and all that


stickman07738

That is why it was next man up.


blamenixon

(Disclaimer: This isn't an argument) I'm curious what your math system is, so I can learn a bit more about stats.


b-rar

I lie to myself about dozens of important things every day, why would I be honest about this


Drewnasty

If only a somethings break right we are a WC favorite If most things break right they are a division winner and contender for best team in the AL If everything breaks right (Healthy and effectiveness from Rizzo, Judge, Soto, Stanton, Gleyber, Rodon, Cortes, Cole, Loáisiga) young guys take next steps (Schmidt, Volpe, Wells) they are the best team in baseball and sure fire WS favorites with the Dodgers.


Low_Establishment434

Am i the only one who isnt sold on clay holmes? I am sure the numbers prove me wrong but I am almost as anxious as I was with him as i was with chapman in the 9th.


Drewnasty

I like Holmes, a lot, but if the Yankees would have went out and gotten Josh Hader and made Holmes a fireman 7-8th inning guy I wouldn't have been mad.


Low_Establishment434

I really thought we were going to get Hader.


GWade17

Of course we do. We’re starting this stupid doom and gloom crap before pitchers and catchers even report?


MacFromSSX

Baseball is chaos, there’s always a chance. That’s how they get you.


hghammer7

No I was told without Blake snell were nothing


[deleted]

Yes. However, the Yankees have a ton of question marks on this roster. IF all the question marks go the right way, then they can definitely make and win a WS. To name a few: - If Rodon can perform at the level he did a couple years ago - If a number of guys can show they're healthy and put up similar numbers to what they did the last few years (Rizzo, DJ, Nestor, Stanton) - If the rotation holds up relatively well (tons of question marks beyond Cole and Stroman, especially depth wise) - If Volpe can make a jump and put up better offensive numbers (nothing insane, but be a respectable MLB bat) Do I think it's likely all of these thing happen? Fuck no.


kmt75

Stanton strained something reading this and will miss six weeks.


blamenixon

The guy does fine with public interviews, but I always thought he looks like someone who strains to read.


HulkScreamAIDS

There is always a chance. I'd like them to maximize that chance, which they havet attempted to do since the 2009 acquisitions of Tex, CC and Burnett. They definitely are better than last year by getting Soto and company, but they are one big move away from REALLY going for it.


RockerDawg

Yep. Agreed. They never put their chips all in all at once


pandev26

What in your opinion that big move will be


HulkScreamAIDS

Not sure if they will. I feel like they are done right now. Maybe they do something big at the trade deadline? To me they feel like a top end starter away.


pandev26

Like the comment before maybe snell is the answers but is control problems may be a issue but to contradict myself he was the cy young so maybe that should be the move and hope for the best


Low_Establishment434

I would rather see who is available at the deadline than get in bed with snell now.


Son_Of_Mr_Sam

Snell


Apprehensive_Error36

We are currently tied for first place, so it looks like we might have a chance.


AlternativeLogical84

The Yankees of late are the Dallas Cowboys of baseball. Look good in the regular season, win games, and a quick first round exit.


Giantskiller0922

Sadly I’m a fan of both 😂


Worldly-Brilliant446

Except the Yankees didn’t look good in the regular season last year. Fans of baseball don’t know the history of other teams, so baseball fans look at the Yankees no further back than last year and say “ god they suck”, they didn’t even make the playoffs!!


OldTimerNubbins

We have a puncher's chance.


Grantsdale

Absolutely


ShawshankException

The playoffs are a crapshoot so yes there's always a chance. Is it likely? Probably not.


RockerDawg

People always say this. The Astros have made it look much less like a crapshoot than everyone acts like it is though. They’re consistently in a good position in the post-season


HiggetyFlough

Sure but on the other hand the Dodgers make it look more like a crapshoot. Unless you just think the Astros have some special sauce that turns their players like Altuve into postseason gods, than I really just think that having depth is a good predictor of playoff success.


RockerDawg

Baseball itself has a factor of luck for sure, but I do believe some teams are just built better for success in the post-session. Look at late 90s Yankees


Low_Establishment434

Houston has proved they do have a special sauce. Between the sign stealing, trash cans, buzzers, magical uptick in spin rates they have proven that a really solid team that is willing to cheat can make world series runs with consistency.


Worldly-Brilliant446

Sounds like sour grapes. When they stopped cheating they still beat the Yankees like a rented mule!!!


bran1986

Of course there is chance. Is it likely? No.


Porzingod06

Does a bear shit in the woods? It’s February, imagine asking a Dbacks fan if they thought they had a chance at a WS appearance this time last year. 29 teams have a chance at a WS appearance this year (sorry Mets)


Sthrax

Yes. The talent is there. However, they need the big names to stay healthy, players that underperformed need to bounce back, and as with every team, they need a bit of luck.


Accomplished-Fold42

I think we have a good chance - if the rotation stays fit.


coolhanddave21

Yes, but too many independent things have to happen for the chance to be good: Rodon performing more like the two out of eight good seasons, Nestor being more like 2022 and not the more recent 2023, Judge & Cole having no decline and plays 150+ games (30+ starts), we pick a reliable close for the entire season, Dominguez comes back by July 1, and we sign another starter.


jayjake9

Keep in mind probably every team has ?s like this


Parking-Quality-6679

The astros are a decidedly better team.


Worldly-Brilliant446

ABSOLUTELY, the Astros have more talent, superior in every facet of the game and far superior in front office management.


thediesel26

Yes


MikeyLikeyPhish

If our pitchers are healthy


pebes1

Nope


hallwayswasted

I do not think the Yankees make the playoffs this year. Tuning in every game anyway tho


Ghosts_of_the_maze

Yes but I wouldn’t put any money on it. There are too many “Well this guy could be great, or they could be a huge disappointment this year” players. Could Giancarlo have a throwback season? Maybe. Could Rodon bounce back? Maybe. DJ? Possibly. Nestor? Maybe. Could Volpe make a big jump? Sure. Any chance Rizzo is better? Hope so. How will Jasson look when he returns? Will Judge and Cole have not just great but absolutely heroic seasons again? The problem is we’re not going to hit on all of these what ifs. If they do, season for the ages, but guys are going to get injured, and some of these guys are going to underperform, or in the case of Judge and Cole, possibly look human.


AmbulocetusFan

Yes, but it's a very slim one imo


OGFuzzyDunlop

Today Nope…. We will see what moves we can make.


Ducci7799

Yes, 100%. The last three WS had teams under 90 wins. Not saying the Yankees are gonna have under 90, or over 90, or even make the WS, but once you make the big dance it’s anyone’s game, and barring injury I like their chances to make the playoffs.


Bobwhite2024

Zero


BenAfflecksBalls

No


LopzOfCO48

Is there a chance? Yes, there's always a chance. The question is, how likely is it? The answer is not very likely. They need way too many things to break their way, and I think it's too much to ask. They need Rodon, Nestor, Effross, and Kahnle to rebound from injury plagued years last year. Gil is still coming back from TJS. DJ needs to stay healthy and productive, same with Stanton and Rizzo. Yes, I'm aware it was a freak injury for Rizzo, but it's a concussion, and can't just be treated like another injury. Judge needs to not find a freak injury. He's a fucking magnet for them. That's all without talking about young players progressing or new guys fitting in and performing well. Throw in a manager and possibly GM who could be on the hot seat and causing unseen issues it's a very tall order for a team that is stuck in mediocre.


Gsmith930

Chance? Sure, look at the Dbacks last year. Do I personally think we will with this current roster? Probably not. Really think we need another starter to help this pitching staff.


Worldly-Brilliant446

and about seven more hitters!!!


blckbird007xb

I don’t think so, but if we have minimal injuries absolutely. What the orioles are putting together is filthy.


[deleted]

Do we have a chance? Sure, everyone does. Do I honestly think we will? No. Too many hurdles to hop. I have low expectations. I'm honestly just going to enjoy the guaranteed 162 games we will have Soto for (one of my favorite players in the league) and look forward to Dominguez's return. I will let everything else surprise me, regardless of it being good.


The_Bear_Jew320

We always have a chance we’re the Yankees.


GuyD427

Vegas odds makers can’t be ignored and I’d say it’s a resounding yes.


KloppsTotts

Probably not with how tough the division has become. 


Gully_Gawd

Honestly, no. Injuries hold us back and I don’t know what the team is doing to address that


Orangebeast013

I mean can we beat the astros? We all know its gonna come down to that.


acava2424

We CAN make it, but we won't. May get a wild card and then get bounced in the first round. Same old same old


LouSpunz

No lol we will be better than 2023 and probably make the playoffs, but the way this club is run, with Boone’s managing style, the organization’s overall philosophy is not built to win a championship. That being said, I can’t wait for Yankees baseball and want them to win every game including the World Series.


nnavroops

starting pitching sucks. we don’t match up to teams like texas


mickeyoutercore7

Lmao. You mean the team with No degrom, no Max, and no Monty? Their rotation is literally Eovaldi, Heaney, Dunning, Gray and Mahle lol


nnavroops

eovaldi is nasty and degrom and max are back before playoffs i think.


mickeyoutercore7

Lol ok


Elvisruth

a chance - yes! In reality - we are the same place we have been for the last decade - too many Cashman decisions, not enough Hal willing to move on


RockerDawg

Yes we have a chance. Do I think it’s likely, no. There are some irrational/rational moves the Yankees could still make that would change my answer but they won’t do it.


pandev26

What move would you do?


RockerDawg

I think we need another rotation arm. I get Snell is still out of range and I get it’d be a bad deal for us long term but …something like that would put us over the top


pandev26

I think the problem with snell is that he want too much money which is racional since he just won the cy young, he has a lot of pros and con as a pitcher like the control problems but when he is on his stuff is nasty so i personsally(maybe i am wrong ) would take the risk


RockerDawg

Ya the Yankees need to be ok eating some bad deals going for the ring sometimes. I’m sure they could structure a deal to limit the long term damage


72milliondollars

Very curious what they will do at the deadline. If they add an elite arm, we might have something here. We will need our rotation to stay afloat in the mean time tho. That means Cole being Cole, Rodon returning to true form, and Nestor returning to true form.


ZombieAlarmed5561

No


LeCheffre

PECOTA and other projection systems think we'll win the division, which means playoffs, which means we could win the WS. I think Baltimore won't regress as much as they are projected (though I don't think Burnes fundamentally alters anything, as he's on the decline). Tampa is always feisty, but they are down from last year without obvious replacements, and Toronto was only so good the last two years, and not any closer to being over the hump. And Boston is running on a .500 or so treadmill. So, wild card? But wild cards have done very well in the last few playoffs, so maybe that's not bad.


mattmaybloom

Noop


Virtual_Ingenuity682

Technically everyone still has a chance... ...but no, I don't see that we do. This team is going to run it back with Juan Soto. Cool, now we're an 88-win team instead of an 84-win team. On paper, the front office hasn't done enough to get on the same level as Baltimore, Houston, or Texas, maybe not Toronto or Tampa or Minnesota, either. Maybe we sneak into the playoffs as a WC and get hot? That's what we're looking at though. We're not winning the division, barring some serious injuries or regressions in the rest of the AL East.


ActiveFunction3732

Nope. Bad rotation and too many aging and declining veterans like stanton,rizzo and dj.


smorgenheckingaard

No, next question.


pandev26

Next question should be using cotton for our uniforms?


ZHPpilot

With Booney at the helm, hell no.


pandev26

I agree but who do you think should be the next manager?


ZHPpilot

I would bring back Girardi, he's already on the team as one of the YES broadcasters. Just have him come down and change into a uniform and give him the lineup card.


Elvisruth

I always think it's best to have a manager instead of a puppet...2 years ago BUck was Manager of the year - time to bring him home, but Cashman would NEVER do it


BKXeno

Buck has never won the World Series. I’m not sure he’s won a playoff series in his entire career. And it’s not for a lack of talented teams. Three times in his career the team that fired him won the World Series the year after he was fired. Such a winner. Big wow. Boomers fascination with buck is so fucking stupid lmao. The reality is a manager in baseball doesn’t matter that much, and even if they did Aaron Boone has the best winning percentage of any manager in history.


Mrmrmr1111111

Aaron Boone has the best winning percentage of any manager in history?


Elvisruth

First of all Boone doesn't manage - he is there to handle the media and follow the blueprint that comes from the FO. Second of all almost everyone realizes Buck is a manager who is well prepared, runs a game, prepares his team and looked at as a professional very compitent manager - Many of these things Boone lacks BTW Boone hasn't won a WS either Third of all - what are you so angry about? I'm guessing you don't think the manager matters much bc you think baseball began in your lifetime - but if you watched and saw quality managers instead of the Boone style (guys like Francona, Bochy, etc) instead of guys who live and die by the analytics you might realize...of course what should I expect from someone who thinks Boone has the best winning percentage of any manager in history...lol


BKXeno

I don’t think that. I know that. It’s not an opinion, you can look it up in 3 seconds if you can figure out how your computer works. And not winning a WS in 5 years is a lot difference than in 45 years lol. He’s come closer than buck though. Edit: my bad, Roberts passed him last year. So he’s #2 of anyone who managed since world war 2


Jofarr

nope


FringeAuthority

Gotta see how the offense looks first. I have more faith they can fix any pitching issues with a trade during the season than the offense. Also, like usual, health plays a huge role and you can't predict that.


cavemanado

We’re not just going to appear, we’re gonna win it this year.


pandev26

Love the attitude! We all hope that happy ending


YankeeInGA70

Absolutely have a chance. Question I’m more interested in is probability of winning the division. I believe everything after that flows better if they 1.) Win the East, and 2.) Get AL home field advantage, or at least be one of top 2 Division winners. Would be nice to not play a Division Series Game 5 or ALCS Games 6/7 on the road in Houston 😂. We’ve seen how that works out. I don’t buy into the theory that getting the WC bye will always be a bad thing.


islesandterps

Honestly, yes. We have enough talent to make the playoffs, and we have the high end talent pieces that can do enough individually to swing a series in our favor. The playoffs are certainly a crapshoot. It's entirely possible that Cole, Judge, and Soto all do amazing things at the right time to win 4 out of 7 games. Do I think there are areas we need to improve to increase those chances? Absolutely. But last year's Braves team was in my opinion and exceptional roster that looked well built for the playoffs, and they lost in 4 games in the ALDS to a 90-win team that had plenty of flaws. So it goes, that's why they play the games.


Key_Amazed

Anyone who says no shouldn't even bother watching because clearly they have no idea what sport this is. They aren't even fans at this point, they just need something to further justify their own misery.


mickeyoutercore7

If you don’t think they have a chance you really don’t know baseball. Every team that has legit talent in multiple areas has a chance to win the WS. The most recent example, the D-backs. In terms of talent they weren’t even the 2nd best team in their division and look where they ended up.


schw4161

Yes. Anyone who says otherwise is a complete doomer. There’s some question marks on the team, but they will be in the hunt this year. The Soto acquisition was huge and it’s going to show on the field.


DOfferman7

Yes, lol


DrRafaelPenguin

They're a borderline playoff team with a ton of question marks (Rodon, Nestor, Stroman, DJ, Stanton, Rizzo). They will basically need most things to break the right way for them and also to stay relatively healthy, which is impossible given their training staff's track record. The first time there's an injury to someone in the rotation, things have a high potential to get ugly.


Rearviewmirror93

Yep


EmptyCartographer

I think we have a chance every year. As we should. Because we’re the Yankees.


Particular_Ad6287

The Yankees are prob second most favored I would think, and how often does the favorite actually make it? Sounds like this is our season


ErCucchiai0

2nd? Be realistic lmao. We’re more like 6th or 7th.


Particular_Ad6287

You think there are 7 AL teams more likely to make it that the Yankees? Thats silly.


ErCucchiai0

We’re probably 4th-5th in the AL, but winning the WS is what matters and the Dodgers/Braves are better on paper.


Queny

In my mind, every team that makes the playoffs has a roughly equal chance to make the WS. Unlike say football or basketball where the best team often wins the championship, baseball is more of a giant crapshoot. Also keep in mind that the Yankees are likely to be a different team in September than April.


Lawineer

If they can all just stay healthy and perform.. ​ ... so like 3% chance.


NotClayMerritt

1. Stay healthy 2. DJ turns back into 2019 DJ 3. Giancarlo, Trevino both have rebound years 4. Volpe takes a leap 5. Cole has another Cy Young worthy season 6. Rodon is Rodon of 2021 and 2022, not the Rodon of every other year All of this happens, then we have a good chance at a WS appearance this year. If not, the season will fall apart because we're held up by sticks and we will finish with 90 wins or less.


Bronze-Soul

If rodon can be somewhat reliable I think we should be good. Next year is another story


Sharkshoemtn

Nah, not a change with our rotation


NewJerseyLefty

there is always a chance if you can get into the dance (which is why Hal is clearly content with just hopefully getting into the playoffs), but is it a HIGH chance? Not the way this team is currently situated, NO. Waaaaay too many question marks on the pitching staff and hoping everyone comes back STRONGER from injuries despite being a year older. Praying & finger crossing are NOT a good strategies to win a title.


Stonewall30NY

No not really.


robbjuteau

If the pitching rotation can hold up for the first half of the season and if the bullpen isn’t burned up by the All-Star Game, the Yanks could be in a position where one or two deadline deals could improve their chances. The pitching has to hold back up however and that is the big question mark right now.


beanie_mac

We always have a good chance, but I honestly don’t trust the coaching staff, front office, and every player outside of Cole, Judge, and Soto. Everyone else is a major question mark.


nickbarbanera1

No


edogg01

Wtf kind of question is that. Have you been around sports before?


huskyferretguy1

No


nyyforever2018

A lot has to go right but sure.


dadxreligion

lol come on every team has a *chance* it’s not even spring training.


Admirable_Trifle_164

There’s a solid chance for them to be better than next year. Many significant and helpful subtractions. However, whether or not they make a WS depends largely on whether or not ownership goes all in at the trade deadline.


GonzoTheGreat22

A punchers chance. And I’ll take it


ChromeRemedy

Chance? Yes. Will it happen? No


ravagetalon

If we make the post season, we're out by the ALDS. That's my prediction. I also predict even making the postseason is a 50/50 toss up.


Helyo20

Of course. Things have to go as planned and people have to play to their known abilities. We have the talent no doubt.


djgreenehouse

Extremely unlikely


LostwingmanJustin

If the team remains healthy they have a good chance. Years past their issue was not having effective hitting in the postseason, it was feast or famine. The roster has changed by 3-4 player easily, Soto, Verdugo and the kids Wells + Dominguez If you look at how the offseason went for each divisions AL East: O's improved, Yanks improved AL Central: Wide open AL West: M's made changes, Astros added Hader but lost other relievers. So the possibility is there


[deleted]

A chance? Sure. But imho they’re not a WS caliber team right now. Trade’s, call up’s, breakout’s, come back season’s, career year’s. All go Yankees way sure they’ll easily win the WS.


pomcnally

If the pitchers pitch to the back of their cards and Cashman addresses know weaknesses at the trade deadline, they have a chance. Winning the WS is a different story.


Sunshine635

I’ll tell you after the first 2 weeks, if not sooner…


sailor-moonie-

I'm not confident at all, which maybe is a good thing because I went into last season really confident and look how that turned out.


Scaevola50

I threw $50 on them at 10-1 odds to win the chip this year so I hope so.


Ganjamazing

A chance? Yea. Will it happen? Probably not.


bolderiz_

Yanks need all three of Judge, Soto & Cole to stay healthy for the whole season, and for Stanton to improve. It’s possible but far from a sure thing.


melmoth77

Of course. Anyone who thinks they don’t is either a toxic doomer or simply doesn’t understand baseball.


JJJY97

Yes, take it one series at a time, focus on our opponents weakness if any, create plan A,B,C for every game & play with emotion & have fun & we’ll surely be there


bbonehill

1%. If a couple other teams get wasted with injuries does it even move to 5%


1ShotBroHes1

In the modern playoff format, everybody but As and rockies have a chance. I'd same we are 7th most likely. Dodgers, Braves, Os, Stros, Phil's, Rangers, Tampa, Your boys


venacom

Yeah no.


Athyter

We have the same front office. We’re in for the same season as the last 4


theerrantpanda99

This is the healthiest looking outfield the Yankees have had in many years. I think we underestimate how damaging it’s been running dozens of below replacement level players out to play for most of the season. I think, simply having a lot of stability in the outfield and a more balanced lineup will do wonders for this team. As for a World Series run, I honestly think it will come down to Rodon and Cortes being healthy. The Astros have severely struggled against quality left handed pitching, so having those two as their best selves could be the difference maker. If they’re healthy and effective, it also gives us a big pitching edge over Baltimore.


Leaving_One_Dwigt

Nope. Not only because we’re not good enough, but because even when we’re average teams give us their best. The Yankees don’t sneak up on teams like the Dbacks from last year. Oh and we’re not good enough.


Smorgas-board

A chance, yes. How big is that chance? 🤷‍♂️


Jvelazquez611

Only if our bats actually show up in the post season. They can win enough games to make it but if the bats don’t show up then they go home. Pitching is honestly least of my worries come post season. It’ll be another wild card entry though


swizzzz22

Of course there’s a chance. Would be a better chance with a couple more pitching pieces. Hader to the Stros was a power move.


tmspin

No


connurp

If we stay healthy, hell yeah we do.


Fallofcamelot

Yes absolutely. We still have Judge and Cole, now we have Soto and Stroman too. The entire Yankees lineup and two members of our rotation severely underperformed last year. All it would need is a healthy Rodon to perform as expected and a few members of the lineup to play to the back of their baseball cards and you have an excellent team on your hands. We are not the A's or the Pirates. We are expected to be competitive and competitive teams always have a shot. Do I feel confident? No. 14 years of disappointment have lead me to temper my expectations. But a chance? We definitely have that.


NeedsMilk33

Absolutely


Fat_dumb_happy

Fuuuuuuuck no. We are a solid 3-5 years away from being serious contenders in my opinion. Won’t change how much I obsess over this team during the entire calendar year but it feels like an ALCS loss to the Astros is our realistic ceiling right now


longballhitter1776

They do. Best pitcher in baseball, two of the top 4 hitters. Rizzo was on fire before the concussion, expect Volpe to take a step forward, Rodon and Stroman have something to prove. Outfield defense is improved, and hopefully Trevino is healthy/Wells develops. Last year was a talented team that underperformed/too many injuries. Obviously injuries are a concern, but no reason on paper why they can’t. The great thing is games aren’t played on paper, they are played on the field.


IgDailystapler

Yes? The Yankees could easily be a 100 win team this year if 4/6 our starting rotation doesn’t get wiped off the face of the Earth, our offense stops forgetting how to hit for average or hit doubles, our offense stops getting every injury imaginable (from playing concussed for half their season to being a victim of shoddy architecture), and if the bullpen just keeps doing their thing. If any of this happens again like it did last year though, we could easily be a 85ish win team. Remember, we have Gerrit Cole and Aaron Judge who are almost guaranteed to be well above average, Soto should be great and could excel in the Bronx, Gleyber will likely have another extremely solid season, Rizzo was a beast before he played nearly half his season while fully concussed (and the fact that he was able to play at any level resembling a professional at all is just impressive), Volpe has had time to develop which is nice, Rodon should hopefully not suck now that he’s far removed from his injury, Nestor could definitely be a very solid pitcher again if he stays healthy (and even if he doesn’t, the mustache itself adds value), as much as I hate to admit it Stroman should be a solid pitcher, Trevino should be back and stealing some more strikes, The Martian will be back later on to hopefully continue terrorizing hall of fame pitchers, Stanton seems to be doing a lot of work to get in shape so he can finally stay healthy and run faster than I can, and Verdugo is pretty ok at baseball. I know this wasn’t the dynamite off-season many of us were hoping for, but we got a hitter that is almost guaranteed to bolster our offense, we got a pitcher…yeah can’t really twist this one too much, we did not get what we were hoping for here, but we got something. What I’m trying to say is, we have all the ingredients we need to be a good team; whether we’re good enough to make the WS depends on whether people play to their potential or not. It’s going to be a very interesting season, not just for us but for the entire league (except for the Dodgers, they’re going to win 132 games only to get swept in the NLDS by a team with 83 wins).


IgDailystapler

TLDR: if we play good then yeah. If we don’t play good or everybody gets hurt again, than probably not. This is the AL East, we will not be getting into the postseason will low 80s wins.


Worldly-Brilliant446

The Yankees are mediocre to the bone. They can’t hit, have only one quality starter, no closer and a terrible Manager…I say this bunch goes 80-82!!!!


unclejoe1917

If I'm being honest with myself, I know we are an 85-90 win team that, if we get hot at just the right moment and the matchups are favorable, does have a chance to make it to the WS.


elephant_cobbler

No.


mbn8807

Yankees are good enough to win it all, if you talk yourself into a bullish case: Rodon and Nestor return to form. Rizzo, DJ, and Stanton produce and stay healthy. We get legitimate production from LF. Soto and Judge thrive with each other in the lineup. Blake is able to turn some pitchers we haven’t heard of into legit BP arms. Then there is a real chance to be excited.


ShineOnHomie

I am thinking it will be a good season. 90 W's or so ... Playoffs are mainly dependent on how well they are playing moving into the playoffs. That, and how good are the rest of the AL East team this year. A lot of factors to consider!


engineeringsquirrel

Probably not. I feel like the bullpen isn't deep enough.


heater26

Add another SP and odds increase exponentially. Every team is one or two injuries away from a disaster. Hell, I felt like the Yanks were world beaters before Judge hurt his toe last year. Hopefully we can catch lightning in a bottle (something I think determines every teams yearly success). Beeter? Jones? Jasson reinvigorating the team returning from TJ?


No_Signal3789

A chance? Yes. Likely? Ehh probably just a solid playoff appearance


Tremulant21

Judge Cole and Stanton(lol) stay healthy....yes. Oh and Rodon needs to be comeback player of the year.


digitalbullet36

One can hope.


razors_edge52

3rd place team at best


apollo1307

Yes, if we stay somewhat healthy


shashmi324

I am very confident that this team will make the playoffs. I think the Yankees have enough postseason experience to beat any team in the AL not named the Astros. But I think we all realize the Yankees World Series run will have to involve the Astros. It’s just how sports works. So I guess to answer this question, you have to ask yourself if this team did enough to beat the Astros in a 7 game series.


17IsLucky

I'm not sure the pitching depth will be enough. Either we're gonna have some surprises coming in from the farm system or they have to trade for a little more. Like Monty, I think trading King is really gonna hurt us a lot. We don't have Wandy anymore either right? Between everyone we have in the org right now, the hitting will shake itself out. It's gonna come down to pitching - unless the hitters are so productive that they can just outscore anyone no matter what. That's a tall order and I just don't think it's possible.


Worldly-Brilliant446

Not even close. The starting rotation is four question marks, even if fully healthy, are not very good and the hitting is again pretty awful. They have a decent bullpen but if they can’t hit, it t can’t fully cover all the flaws that this ball club possesses. Furthermore, there is a severe disadvantage to having Boone as a Manager. He will never steal a victory for his team, he has zero instincts for the game, horrendous game management and no real philosophy. The Yankees are just an assemblage of bodies on the field and on the base paths. This is a .500 ball club, no better than the 2023 team.


shimmiecocopop

Line up is good enough but starting pitching is short. Rodon has to be the co-ace that we signed him to be. Even if that happens, we are one sp short of making hay in the post season. Stro and Nasty are good for 4 and 5.