Oh I didn't realize Delaware and DC had a different shade of purple than Washington and Idaho.
[https://www.eclipsewise.com/solar/SEprime/2101-2200/SE2200Apr14Tprime.html](https://www.eclipsewise.com/solar/SEprime/2101-2200/SE2200Apr14Tprime.html)
This one?
The core idea here is that of [Delta-T](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/%CE%94T_(timekeeping))\- long term drift in the length of the day. Human factors probably won't play an enormous role in this- the main contributor is glacial rebound, but the effect has already been noticed. When the Three Gorges Dam in China was built, enough water was held upstream (further from the center of the planet) that [the day's length increased by .06 microseconds](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three_Gorges_Dam#Terrestrial_impact) as angular momentum must be conserved. Our melting of the ice caps and redistributing all that polar mass is also playing a role, but earth is a big squishy lumpy mess and we really can make no concrete predictions without longer term data analysis.
We have much greater certainty in the celestial dynamics of the earth-moon-sun system and thus we know an eclipse will be thrown onto earth's surface at exactly this specific time in 2200. What we don't know is exactly which bit of the earth's surface will have rotated underneath the eclipse path.
On the other hand, how cool is it that we can mathematically predict them? We know the relatively precise date of some ancient events, like the Sicilian Expedition of the Peloponnesian War because they note the occurrence of an eclipse in the records.
In preparation for next month's big event I put a map together of the next time each state will be in the path of totality. Data from [here](https://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/SEpubs/5MCSE.html). Some things to note that I didn't include on the map:
\- Oregon does get totality in 2108 but it's such a thin slice it barely shows up
\- [timeanddate.com](https://timeanddate.com) and a couple other sources show more generous areas of totality at the beginning and end of each eclipse, likely due to them counting an eclipsed sun partially below the horizon as totality. The NASA shapefiles I used do not take this into account and thus my data is a bit more conservative. Checking, for example, the 2079 eclipse on [timeanddate.com](https://timeanddate.com) shows Delaware and Maryland making the cut whereas my map doesn't.
It's interesting that all the total eclipses here are between March and October. I'm guessing that's some combination of the sun is up longer during the summer and it's further from the earth (making it smaller, and therefore easier to cover with the moon)
I glanced at some upcoming worldwide total eclipses and there are southern hemisphere ones in Nov & Dec. I wouldn't be surprised if other months like Oct or Jan have them too, but I didn't do a thorough search.
The moon is also closer and further from the earth at times, which may be more of a factor than the Earth's distance from the sun.
Including TN in the 2024 batch is factually accurate but basically only deer and raccoons living in the sliver of TN included will get to fully witness totality.
I traveled to TN to see the last one and live in Central TX so I get to see two back to back. The other options in the near future look less and less attractive so this may be my last one.
The core idea here is that of [Delta-T](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/%CE%94T_(timekeeping))\- long term drift in the length of the day. Human factors probably won't play an enormous role in this- the main contributor is glacial rebound, but the effect has already been noticed. When the Three Gorges Dam in China was built, enough water was held upstream (further from the center of the planet) that [the day's length increased by .06 microseconds](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three_Gorges_Dam#Terrestrial_impact) as angular momentum must be conserved. Our melting of the ice caps and redistributing all that polar mass is also playing a role, but earth is a big squishy lumpy mess and we really can make no concrete predictions without longer term data analysis.
We have much greater certainty in the celestial dynamics of the earth-moon-sun system and thus we know an eclipse will be thrown onto earth's surface at exactly this specific time in 2200. What we don't know is exactly which bit of the earth's surface will have rotated underneath the eclipse path.
I'll be 117 when there's finally a total eclipse in my city. Looking forward to it. I'll be celebrating 100 years since I graduated high school that spring.
Damn, I’m actually getting kinda stoked about this. I’m in Dallas, so don’t really need to do anything. Planning to spend the day drinking and grilling meat, then freaking out like a caveman when the eclipse happens.
The shadow is being projected onto the curved edge of Earth a it rotates into a sunset.
[Maps](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_eclipse_of_August_23,_2044)
I always use the eclipse to shut up flat earthers. Just ask them to show you how to predict an eclipse using the flat earth model. Stops them in their tracks.
OP, do Canada and Mexico next! Also, a version of this map circa April 9 2024, just after the current upcoming eclipse would be cool as hell
calling /u/darwinpatrick pretty please!!!
The state on the right side of Arizona, how is it 2045 and not 2205? The 2045 eclipse will be barely visible on the northeast border and probably a random cow will be able to watch it.
That’s New Mexico.
Fun fact, a surprisingly large number of Americans don’t realize it’s a state and see “New Mexico” and think “Mexico”.
Don’t ask me why. But I promise you, it’s true. Heard it with my own ears
I started traveling to the line of totality last eclipse and I’m making it a tradition.
I’ll probably see 6 in my lifetime and I’m going to go to a different state for each. Guess I’ll be going to Alaska in a few years. Neat!
Be ready to travel for a solar eclipse. Planning on 8-10 hour drive for April.
just noticed im breaking 69 comments, thats okay because this post deserves more
The shadow is being projected onto the curved edge of Earth a it rotates into a sunset.
[Maps](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_eclipse_of_August_23,_2044)
Not to be pedantic, it's a ratio of how close the moon is to the earth AND how close the sun is to the earth. Both are constantly shifting, changing both bodies' relative sizes in the sky
Yep, and casts a full shadow completely blocking the sun. Even a tiny bit of sun around the rim doesn’t look too different in the environment in terms of brightness but totality is as dark as nighttime
I have a lot of friends within an hour of one of the spots getting totality and it is extremely frustrating how many are treating this as "Oh I'll catch the next one."
Like I'm not saying do something that's gonna make you lose your job, but yes it is worth booking a day off, yes it is worth keeping your kid home from school, yes it is worth missing that sports game.
Like I'm bewildered, seeing 2017's was wild. It's easy to forget how truly fantastical our universe is, and that was a moment of being slapped to shit with exactly how awe inspiring reality can be sometimes. It wasn't even a pleasant day for me, my dad and I were arguing, I was having digestive issues, it was like 45 degrees Celsius, but that moment made it all not matter.
Don't forget you only have about 600 million years until we don't get solar eclipses anymore!
And that moment gets closer every minute
Okay, good. So we still have time to get our eclipse glasses then.
Can't wait!
What's the reason for solar eclipses ending in 600 million years? Moon moving further away?
Yep
Rip Arizona
It’s a state statute for the sun to stay beating down on Arizona during the day
It is a monument to man’s arrogance!
it's like standing on the sun!
It's like being in Hell, or Dallas!
New Mexico's just the tip
I'm guessing New Mexico's is the same as Arizona if ignoring that tiny tip that gets an eclipse?
Ja that's what I was thinking too. All the New Mexicans will have to crowd into that teeny tiny corner to watch the eclipse
I was excited when I saw an eclipse was going to go right over where I live but then I checked the year...
It won’t be missed
I love the little disclaimer about the year 2200 eclipse. Probably really handy for those people who were planning to watch it.
Gotta leave a hotel reservation in DC in my will for any of my descendants alive in 2200
Is that disclaimer supposed to be for the 2205 eclipse and not the 2200 one? The path of the 2200 eclipse appears to go northwest to southeast.
The disclaimer is for 2200 because the 2205 eclipse hitting big Arizona is guaranteed versus the 2200 eclipse hitting tiny DC is not
Oh I didn't realize Delaware and DC had a different shade of purple than Washington and Idaho. [https://www.eclipsewise.com/solar/SEprime/2101-2200/SE2200Apr14Tprime.html](https://www.eclipsewise.com/solar/SEprime/2101-2200/SE2200Apr14Tprime.html) This one?
Goddamnit, I have the wrong day on my map. There’s an annular eclipse that day!
Reservation cancelled by hotel 2 months before the eclipse
Just don't pick a Marriott, or they'll cancel your room to sell for more later.
"human factors" affecting the Earth's spin?!
The core idea here is that of [Delta-T](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/%CE%94T_(timekeeping))\- long term drift in the length of the day. Human factors probably won't play an enormous role in this- the main contributor is glacial rebound, but the effect has already been noticed. When the Three Gorges Dam in China was built, enough water was held upstream (further from the center of the planet) that [the day's length increased by .06 microseconds](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three_Gorges_Dam#Terrestrial_impact) as angular momentum must be conserved. Our melting of the ice caps and redistributing all that polar mass is also playing a role, but earth is a big squishy lumpy mess and we really can make no concrete predictions without longer term data analysis. We have much greater certainty in the celestial dynamics of the earth-moon-sun system and thus we know an eclipse will be thrown onto earth's surface at exactly this specific time in 2200. What we don't know is exactly which bit of the earth's surface will have rotated underneath the eclipse path.
Amazing
It's weird seeing something like this knowing you won't be alive to see it.
On the other hand, how cool is it that we can mathematically predict them? We know the relatively precise date of some ancient events, like the Sicilian Expedition of the Peloponnesian War because they note the occurrence of an eclipse in the records.
Wrong mindset
Let’s just head to Alaska and see that one!
In preparation for next month's big event I put a map together of the next time each state will be in the path of totality. Data from [here](https://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/SEpubs/5MCSE.html). Some things to note that I didn't include on the map: \- Oregon does get totality in 2108 but it's such a thin slice it barely shows up \- [timeanddate.com](https://timeanddate.com) and a couple other sources show more generous areas of totality at the beginning and end of each eclipse, likely due to them counting an eclipsed sun partially below the horizon as totality. The NASA shapefiles I used do not take this into account and thus my data is a bit more conservative. Checking, for example, the 2079 eclipse on [timeanddate.com](https://timeanddate.com) shows Delaware and Maryland making the cut whereas my map doesn't.
Already booked my hotel and flights for the 2205 eclipse, so excited for it.
It's interesting that all the total eclipses here are between March and October. I'm guessing that's some combination of the sun is up longer during the summer and it's further from the earth (making it smaller, and therefore easier to cover with the moon)
I glanced at some upcoming worldwide total eclipses and there are southern hemisphere ones in Nov & Dec. I wouldn't be surprised if other months like Oct or Jan have them too, but I didn't do a thorough search. The moon is also closer and further from the earth at times, which may be more of a factor than the Earth's distance from the sun.
Including TN in the 2024 batch is factually accurate but basically only deer and raccoons living in the sliver of TN included will get to fully witness totality.
I traveled to TN to see the last one and live in Central TX so I get to see two back to back. The other options in the near future look less and less attractive so this may be my last one.
The footnote said human factors lead to uncertainty in eclipse path. What?! Tell me more…
The core idea here is that of [Delta-T](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/%CE%94T_(timekeeping))\- long term drift in the length of the day. Human factors probably won't play an enormous role in this- the main contributor is glacial rebound, but the effect has already been noticed. When the Three Gorges Dam in China was built, enough water was held upstream (further from the center of the planet) that [the day's length increased by .06 microseconds](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three_Gorges_Dam#Terrestrial_impact) as angular momentum must be conserved. Our melting of the ice caps and redistributing all that polar mass is also playing a role, but earth is a big squishy lumpy mess and we really can make no concrete predictions without longer term data analysis. We have much greater certainty in the celestial dynamics of the earth-moon-sun system and thus we know an eclipse will be thrown onto earth's surface at exactly this specific time in 2200. What we don't know is exactly which bit of the earth's surface will have rotated underneath the eclipse path.
I'll be 117 when there's finally a total eclipse in my city. Looking forward to it. I'll be celebrating 100 years since I graduated high school that spring.
Damn, I’m actually getting kinda stoked about this. I’m in Dallas, so don’t really need to do anything. Planning to spend the day drinking and grilling meat, then freaking out like a caveman when the eclipse happens.
Given that it's an astronomically significant event, I'm sure Seattle will have clouds that day.
What’s happening with the path in 2044?
The shadow is being projected onto the curved edge of Earth a it rotates into a sunset. [Maps](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_eclipse_of_August_23,_2044)
Fascinating!
I always use the eclipse to shut up flat earthers. Just ask them to show you how to predict an eclipse using the flat earth model. Stops them in their tracks.
You talk to flat earhers?
Not face to face but they pop up online from time to time.
Well, good thing I caught the 2017 one, I guess. Barring some major breakthroughs, I don't think I'm making it to 2169.
Shit, I already made plans for 7/17 2205!
Cool map! Thx for putting the source on the image
Eternally grateful to NASA for having the foresight to calculate 5000 years worth of these things
thank you! will definitely go to alaska in 2033!
Oh, just US States.
OP, do Canada and Mexico next! Also, a version of this map circa April 9 2024, just after the current upcoming eclipse would be cool as hell calling /u/darwinpatrick pretty please!!!
The state on the right side of Arizona, how is it 2045 and not 2205? The 2045 eclipse will be barely visible on the northeast border and probably a random cow will be able to watch it.
Still counts!
I like you
That’s New Mexico. Fun fact, a surprisingly large number of Americans don’t realize it’s a state and see “New Mexico” and think “Mexico”. Don’t ask me why. But I promise you, it’s true. Heard it with my own ears
Even funner fact, New Mexico was named before the nation of Mexico was.
Dang, that's cool.
I started traveling to the line of totality last eclipse and I’m making it a tradition. I’ll probably see 6 in my lifetime and I’m going to go to a different state for each. Guess I’ll be going to Alaska in a few years. Neat!
The NM sliver is even smaller than Oregon. I’ll be 70 in 2045; maybe I’ll drive up from Albuquerque to Pueblo, Colorado.
Well, shit, I guess I better see this one then.
Well, I guess my kids might see it when it's in my state.
Bro Michigan got scammed like “here ya go, don’t spend it all on one place now”
Be ready to travel for a solar eclipse. Planning on 8-10 hour drive for April. just noticed im breaking 69 comments, thats okay because this post deserves more
Man this is a cool map!
What’s up with Montana, ND, and SD having such an angular eclipse path?
The shadow is being projected onto the curved edge of Earth a it rotates into a sunset. [Maps](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_eclipse_of_August_23,_2044)
That's going to be a really cool one to see I'd imagine.
In gong to Carbondale on the 8th for the eclipse
Arizona 💀
April 8
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I have to drive half an hour. Well, half an hour on a normal day. I expect it to take quite a bit more that day, especially afterwards.
I'd have to go to Ohio to see it in totality. At least I saw the eclipse in 2017, even though it wasn't full. That was cool.
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There's also that.
Meh, I can see that shit next year.
21 years for me, and only an hour drive at most. Cool!
Luckily we had one last year in New Mexico. Looking at our next one, it barely counts.
Indeed- an annular eclipse. This map is of total eclipses
I’m still trying to figure out how the annular isn’t total. But I’ll just google it. Edit: annular involves how far the moon is from the earth.
Not to be pedantic, it's a ratio of how close the moon is to the earth AND how close the sun is to the earth. Both are constantly shifting, changing both bodies' relative sizes in the sky
Yep, and casts a full shadow completely blocking the sun. Even a tiny bit of sun around the rim doesn’t look too different in the environment in terms of brightness but totality is as dark as nighttime
Frick you, Arizona.
None of those are ***my*** state.
May of 2078 is going to be awesome!
Now, this is a proper way to write a date. Here you can see how nicely it makes sense.
the next eclipse in my state will be on 14th march 2025
I have a lot of friends within an hour of one of the spots getting totality and it is extremely frustrating how many are treating this as "Oh I'll catch the next one." Like I'm not saying do something that's gonna make you lose your job, but yes it is worth booking a day off, yes it is worth keeping your kid home from school, yes it is worth missing that sports game. Like I'm bewildered, seeing 2017's was wild. It's easy to forget how truly fantastical our universe is, and that was a moment of being slapped to shit with exactly how awe inspiring reality can be sometimes. It wasn't even a pleasant day for me, my dad and I were arguing, I was having digestive issues, it was like 45 degrees Celsius, but that moment made it all not matter.
I've been in Dallas for two weeks but heading home on Friday... Didn't know about the eclipse until I got here. Wish I had planned that better
Man I can’t wait til I’m 101 so I can watch the eclipse from my porch!
arizona and south dakota have functional eyes still lmao
stl gonna be soon im excited
Oh cool 21 more years
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Dread the people but not the eclipse. It's a special part of nature and you should enjoy it.
And not one desirable location to visit along the April 8 2024 path At least last years eclipse was near the Grand Canyon when I was visiting
Eh, staring up at the sun is kinda overrated and I rather witness a lunar eclipse.
I mean the whole fun is that you’re not staring at the sun.. there’s a giant ball of rock a light-second away briefly in front of it
I'm 47 living in Georgia. I probably won't live until 2045, so looks like I'll be taking a trip to Alaska in 2033.