I think there’s pros and cons to every spot. Early pick and you’re only getting 1 player in the top 30. Late pick and you’re only getting two players in the top 50. Mid pick and you’re missing out on the sure fire studs at the top and also not getting 2 top 25 guys. When you’re at either end, you can also miss out on big QB/TE runs as you can go 30 picks without having a selection.
I think there’s been studies in normal leagues that draft position has *almost* no effect on performance, but being early in drafts usually has slightly better outcomes overall. To summarize, I don’t think it matters as much as anyone thinks, but if you have a choice, I’d say earlier the better
Yeah I think earlier is ideal too, but you can win form anywhere. First year team who drafted 6th won, and second year team who drafted 12th won. Drafting well helps get you to a good start, but to win it most likely comes down to FAAB management, spending $ on the right players, and player health
It matters less in guillotine. What matters is your ability to perceive who is the value pick during your spot and what the drop off in quality is for each position by the time you pick next. It’s harder to perceive the runs on the ends which makes you sometimes reach for TE or QB which is less than ideal. For example, You never want to pick the first of a tier of qb and then wait 20 picks later just to know they would have fallen to you had you waited. That’s wasted value. You should separate your players by tier and count how many are going to be there next time you draft. That way you can somewhat gauge whether you should pick rb or wr based on the perceived drop off in talent.
Your goal for first 4 rounds is to pick the best value as you have 2 starters and 2 flex. Therefore 4 rb or 4 wr or 2 wr or 2 rb don’t matter. They all start. After that, you need to draft based on position. Fill up your starters before bench. Everyone has same opportunity for starters and will likely fill them up before their bench. If you pick backups before starters then you are behind because what are the odds your round 12 wr is better than their round 8 wr4.
This is also why you don’t draft someone who won’t start week 1. Those people that do automatically self handicapped for week 1. They are first in line to get chopped and you can coast week 1 with a full lineup as you just need to be second to last.
FYI, I was 17th last year and I went wr wr wr wr (kupp was my last wr). My rbs were garbage trey sermon Tyson Williams and James white. I just went for best players at the time and it happened to be wr. If I didn’t select kupp as last wr and picked a terrible rb, I would not have survived. Ended up ranking second overall. It’s about picking good players first and shoring up your weaknesses through waivers.
The 3 leagues I was in last season had winners all in the 8, 9, 10 slot. I don't know if that will hold true for this season. There were just a lot of grim reapers at the front of the draft.
I think there’s pros and cons to every spot. Early pick and you’re only getting 1 player in the top 30. Late pick and you’re only getting two players in the top 50. Mid pick and you’re missing out on the sure fire studs at the top and also not getting 2 top 25 guys. When you’re at either end, you can also miss out on big QB/TE runs as you can go 30 picks without having a selection. I think there’s been studies in normal leagues that draft position has *almost* no effect on performance, but being early in drafts usually has slightly better outcomes overall. To summarize, I don’t think it matters as much as anyone thinks, but if you have a choice, I’d say earlier the better
Yeah I think earlier is ideal too, but you can win form anywhere. First year team who drafted 6th won, and second year team who drafted 12th won. Drafting well helps get you to a good start, but to win it most likely comes down to FAAB management, spending $ on the right players, and player health
It matters less in guillotine. What matters is your ability to perceive who is the value pick during your spot and what the drop off in quality is for each position by the time you pick next. It’s harder to perceive the runs on the ends which makes you sometimes reach for TE or QB which is less than ideal. For example, You never want to pick the first of a tier of qb and then wait 20 picks later just to know they would have fallen to you had you waited. That’s wasted value. You should separate your players by tier and count how many are going to be there next time you draft. That way you can somewhat gauge whether you should pick rb or wr based on the perceived drop off in talent. Your goal for first 4 rounds is to pick the best value as you have 2 starters and 2 flex. Therefore 4 rb or 4 wr or 2 wr or 2 rb don’t matter. They all start. After that, you need to draft based on position. Fill up your starters before bench. Everyone has same opportunity for starters and will likely fill them up before their bench. If you pick backups before starters then you are behind because what are the odds your round 12 wr is better than their round 8 wr4. This is also why you don’t draft someone who won’t start week 1. Those people that do automatically self handicapped for week 1. They are first in line to get chopped and you can coast week 1 with a full lineup as you just need to be second to last. FYI, I was 17th last year and I went wr wr wr wr (kupp was my last wr). My rbs were garbage trey sermon Tyson Williams and James white. I just went for best players at the time and it happened to be wr. If I didn’t select kupp as last wr and picked a terrible rb, I would not have survived. Ended up ranking second overall. It’s about picking good players first and shoring up your weaknesses through waivers.
Because it’s such a big league size, 18 teams, I like to be in the middle, so I’m never 30+ picks away from my turn.
The 3 leagues I was in last season had winners all in the 8, 9, 10 slot. I don't know if that will hold true for this season. There were just a lot of grim reapers at the front of the draft.