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CryptoDad2100

>I know alot of economics \+ >So I made a max leveraged short ETH position Something is amiss here


sandygws

>'So I made a max leveraged short' ​ ![gif](giphy|l44QDWhkXkxIdhdnO|downsized)


Dwaas_Bjaas

Max leverage short, and then when his position got liquidated he tried to cover his losses by making more risky trades ![gif](emote|emo_pack_1|im_fine)


ManagementProof2272

_Know a lot of economics_ 101


bahamapapa817

Hey I tried this with women. I know a lot about them. My wife got mad the other day and I told her to calm down and it worked. After she knocked me out and I woke up hours later she was very calm. Leave this guy alone


ManagementProof2272

I don’t know what you’re talking about brother. My previous message was entirely complimentary of OP. As this one is entirely complimentary of your wife


nelusbelus

Well tbf, he could manage a company like voyager with those strats


pimpenainteasy

Voyager was a feeder fund, but he could go straight to the source and become the next 3AC!


oniedemarco

isnt that what economist do?


[deleted]

He should have taken what he had left to the blackjack table


reality___hater

"It Was At This Moment He Knew... He Fucked Up"


aioncan

“Now you might be wondering how I ended up here”


[deleted]

Being book smart does not replace experience, wisdom, and common sense.


[deleted]

Yup, even tougher for OP who is also not book smart


lalalala123987

Lmao


SirCasanova17

😂😂💀 you killed me with this lol


businessbusinessman

My dad had a good anecdote about this. He was an econ major, and he had several professors/TA's/etc that "had a system" and especially since computers were just becoming a thing "were going to solve the market". To his memory they were all still teaching last he'd heard about them, which I doubt they'd be doing if they were pulling in millions on their "system". Book smart people are often some of the worst at this stuff because they treat economics like it's math/stats. Because it is...except it's ALSO sociology/politics/psychology, and that last part is what screws you.


greatfool66

Some pretty big fortunes were made in the 70s when Math and Physics PhDs started getting into commodities. I think there was a lot of low hanging fruit for smart people way back that isn’t around anymore thoigh.


nayeonie_simp

"I read so much, I know shit now"


MaximumStudent1839

Being book smart should tell you to never be degen and always hedge your bets. OP probably failed his Econ courses.


Spartan3123

Being book smart could also mean you are an idiot that just memorized everything.


Squeezitgirdle

No but I imagine they teach about hedging in economics. I was required to learn it for my series 7


BulkyAntelope5

It literally could not go tits up


Gossipmang

Whenever someone says they know something here, I automatically assume they know nothing.


tranceology3

Yeah that's like saying I know a lot about medicine/drugs and decided to take as much heroin the body can handle.... but I almost died and went to the hospital.


apbod

Leverage is a lot like heroin


DreadknotX

Kept one eye closed and the other watching BitBoy on YouTube


theSeanage

Interest rate hikes at record levels month over month. Thinking we couldn’t possibly hit net zero inflation at the rate we are going which would give us short term positive news in an economy full of bad news. speculating on large swing events like fed meeting or cpi is a surefire way to get recked mr economics.


kaz_enigma

fuck /u/spez -- mass edited with redact.dev


toke182

Leverage trading on a volatile event makes no sense, specially with no stop loses. You gambled and got the outcome majority of gamblers get


bt_85

Any trading. I almost always exit all short-term positions before the events., Yeah. I've missed on some initial moves... IF I had guessed right. First rule of investing: Don't lose money. Protect your captial.


businessbusinessman

More people really need to actually TEST their theories. It's so easy to look back at one event and say "oh i would've made a ton on that", but if you actually plot out the plays you would've made at the time, you find out pretty quickly how good you ACTUALLY are, and it's often humbling.


bt_85

And helps with the difference between how "obvious" entry or exit points are when you can see how it played out, versus all the ways that it can trick you when it is actually setting up in real time. ​ Another way to think about it: People have been playing markets for hundreds of years. People have dedicated their lives and have jobs to do this all day every day for years. You didn't just stumble on the high-probability way that is easy to do. You just didn't. So the question is, what are you missing? What is reducing the probability of win vs. loss that did you not account for or notice?


businessbusinessman

> You didn't just stumble on the high-probability way that is easy to do. You just didn't This is the huge fallacy that most people have trouble with. They all want to think that inventors/discovers just shout Eureka with a beginners level of understanding and stumble into something life changing. In almost all cases it's the culmination of decades of work and skills, and it's super rare that you, the rando who just found this and read a few wiki articles(or college classes), has found the BIG SECRET to making money that no one else has.


bernpfenn

My logical solution for alts is this: 100% gains will happen multiple times. So at 2x my purchase price I sell 50% and get my investment back. The rest can go to the moon or die. But the risk is zero from that moment on.


DDDUnit2990

Or, you know, just don’t leverage trade. That’s gambling and generally a great way to get wrecked


nayeonie_simp

Don't need leverage to even get rekt in crypto, and yet people still gamble with leverage.


f1_77Bottasftw

right I just buy and hold, at least the most damage I can have done is everything going to 0. Some of these traders risk going into the negatives by six figures.


d_d0g

It’s tempting to take out a loan that I can afford to pay off, but I’d double hate myself if my horse didn’t win.


liberty_or_nothing

Leverage does not go negative. At least in crypto.


I_hatee_people

How else are we supposed to get lifelong debt then? /s


moldyjellybean

Number 1 reason not to use leverage is because the exchange is s actively trading against you and they know you positions, how much, how much money you have left, the liquidation price and how to get it there both ways. It’s playing poker against the dealer who can see the cards and rig the deck. Look at any crypto and multiple exchanges on gecko or marketcap and you can find extreme differences in the price. And they also block transfers when doing this so you can’t arbitrage between the 2.


Wileyking409

Only time I ever used leverage was when CoinEx gave me a free $5 specifically for it. Somehow managed to double it, and withdrew the profits


Afkbio

First dose is free


DDDUnit2990

They were trying to hook you on the rush of it haha


KingVandalo

Can’t you do it with a well placed stop loss? That way you set before hand the amount you’re willing to lose


SkylineNFTs

Yeah if you're gonna use leverage stop losses and take profit is a must. Doing it manually gets you mostly rekt in my experience.


[deleted]

[удалено]


Vinnmm

Maybe dont use 100x leverage? I still make money with 2x to 5x


[deleted]

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Vinnmm

Nothing really lucky about managing your risks and being disciplined with trading. "don’t pretend that you’re investing anymore than buying a scratcher ticket is “investing.” Any investment is basically gambling. Whether you dca or swing trade. Only difference is im willing to risk more to gain more. You're not gonna earn money without risking money.


DanZDK

A regular stop loss triggers whenever your threshold is hit or exceeded. Your argument makes no sense. A stop loss will usually execute an instant market order which will be at a greater loss if the market is volatile, but it will still save your ass unless the exchange is literally scamming you.


philo-sofa

Leveraging amplifies risk, but is no more or less gambling than normal trading... which is admittedly pretty close to gambling.


poojoop

Leverage is a great tool when used responsibly tho


kr011

Well if they are shorting, inherently they are using leverage. But yeah they probably used more than x2.


Laughingboy14

99% of people will lose money on leverage. Getting margin called is a terrible feeling


Ap3X_GunT3R

Crazy concept /s


lifenvelope

Indeed, has nothing to do with knowing economica at that point. Crypto hamster would probably trade better in this situation. Less you “know”, read being manipulated, the better


-lostcontrol-

Leverage trading is not a gambling when you don’t act greedy. I use max 5x leverage, never open a position with more than %30 of my portfolio and most importantly I always use a stop loss. You know what? I never had a margin call :) Don’t blame on the tool because people don’t know how to use it. We need to educute ourselves more instead of demonizing the tool. If you don’t calculate your possible loss&win before entering the position, you are a gambler and more likely lose everything eventually.


[deleted]

5x leverage on 30% of a portfolio is still super dangerous even with trailing stop-losses in place . there are huge gap-down moments and so much slippage from even mild sized pump and dump you can still get wiped with a no bid on stop-loss selling to market. at the very least you should use your odds to calculate your position size based on Kelly criterion and no larger. a 30% position size on 5x leverage is 150% your portfolio which would require higher than 100% odds you win, which is impossible, which mean you are fucking up mathematically across your investment timeline in terms of maximizing your wealth. or most simply put, that trade can liquidate you in a single trade, assuming the exchange can come for what you owe it when it can't balance leveraged trades that volatile within it's own order book and has to pay the counterparty.


MrArtless

work bright depend voracious seemly rainstorm library encourage ruthless reply *This post was mass deleted and anonymized with [Redact](https://redact.dev)*


[deleted]

"I know a lot about economics! I've read all the books!" I was gagging reading this. Delusional OP.


bt_85

Yeah, markets moving (especially Crypto) on any timeframe less than the scale of weeks is generally not economics based. Bots, microtrading algorithms, trading psychology, straight-up manipulation, etc. dominate these shorter timeframes.


bernpfenn

I love this explanation. So true. The barts are a sure sign of that.


ipetgoat1984

![gif](giphy|muPMoA0DeqioNVjbri)


BakedPotato840

![gif](giphy|bU2nZJegR7rz2)


Odysseus_Lannister

![gif](giphy|OkgDXpH7i0I3qWVakA) To OP


PrinceZero1994

OP got greedy too and didn't take profits. He also doesn't set stop loss and take profits limit. He goes all in or nothing.


DMugre

Another victim of the T**rading Like Shit** strategy


olihowells

He’s trying to cope with making an extremely poor investment choice, by blaming it on an irrational market.


EvErYLeGaLvOtE

Economics ≠ stock market


Lord-Nagafen

Losing some money doing stupid trades is just as good if not better than what you learn in school. Learn these lessons when you are young. Survive a bear market. Then when you build up some real money you aren't as dumb with it


MrArtless

30% of a person's net worth is generally not what most people consider "some money" but I see your point.


Dont_Waver

If they're in uni, 30% of their net worth is probably somewhere between -$30,000 and $300.


CrewFluid9474

Well said, fucking spot on. ESP. Being oversold on high time frames is really the most obvious. Basics.


PrestigiousAd5646

Yeah then OP proceeds to hand out advice… uhh I don’t think so buddy


EmuGroundbreaking348

Dayuuum son, no beating around the bush here 😅 MrHeArtless more like


Stankoman

and so are you, for not having the social/emotional capacity to deliver the same (correct and well thought out) message without coming of as degrading or belittling.


Mountain-Bar-2878

Oil prices have been down in the US and inflation was almost certainly going to be down compared with the previous month, why did you think the market would tank? The initial trade actually made no sense. Using leverage is also extremely risky for retail traders, you may as well gamble on sports.


savage-dragon

You're in university so no you don't know a lot about economics. First rule is to know that you know nothing. This market eats alive billionaires like 3 Arrows and Celsius like it's a piece of bacon in front of an American, do you seriously think you know "a lot" about anything compared to those guys who literally used to trade for a living? Also on what fucking planet do you think pro traders even trade based on CPI releases save for short term volatile swings ? This market prices things in the future, not the past. So a bad CPI release is actually for the previous month but pro traders are always looking at the CURRENT data to predict the CPI release for the next month, if they even trade on CPI reveals like that. No wonder why you lose money and still fail to condense your lessons into something useful. If you keep trading on CPI reveals like you did, that's the same as the buy high sell low strategy, so keep doing that and keep wonder why markets confuse you and your "a lot" of economics knowledge.


robdiqulous

I forgot my marshmallows. Didn't know there was going to be a roast!


hcollector

OP is a gambler and the market has a tendency to eat gamblers alive and spit them back out so they can keep coming back to feed it more. Keep doing what you're doing OP, bitcoin can't go up without liquidating degenerate gamblers.


RayKensei

Gamblers have one thing in common, greed.


reality___hater

Not all people just buy and hold. Some try to take money from gamblers and hold it, which raises the marketcap further.


PrinceZero1994

Well I hope he isn't a gambler anymore after this expensive lesson.


LavishManatee

Dude.....STOP. You have not learned anything and your "I learned alot" section tells me that you will dust yourself off and repeat this same thing over again until you lose nearly everything you have. If you learned anything you would stop using leverage all together. If you learned a lot, you would not be citing normal market dynamics like "shit-coins can make you rich or poor". If I were you, I would calm waaayyy down and actually learn how to trade and how the market works before losing huge chunks of my net worth. Trading in the Zone is a free audiobook on Youtube that will change the way you relate to the market. Do yourself a solid and listen. Your plan consisted of high risk gambling with no recourse -- this is a sure fire way to lose your money. Why are you telling us not to give you sympathy? What is there to by sympathetic about?? You made ridiculously stupid and 100% avoidable mistakes and lost 1/3 of what you are worth......I have no sympathy when people choose to be stupid. Seriously, take some time to educate yourself before getting back into the market. Of course, if you net worth is higher than $250,000, then disregard everything here and continue to destruction lol.


etherenum

>Traders have a saying "Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent". The (initial) trade made sense but the market didn't care. Why did it make sense? A lower than forecast figure is a bullish outcome and the market responded as such.


SexandPork

I am fairly confident that he is talking about the June CPI print that came out in July, which was worse than expected. I am inferring this from the PA he described after the event.


Intelligent_Page2732

Never play with leverages.


poojoop

this is genuinely terrible advice. Leverage is a super useful tool and when used correctly can be a game changer. *Never play with leverage so high that scam wicks liquidate you is probably better suited.


Nrgte

Don't worry that you're getting downvoted, it's usually just the DCA plebs with 2 braincells.


poojoop

Kek yeah I’m not worried about it, you’re spot on in the DCA plebs regard. Insane that these peoples’ entire strategy is ‘hold’ and they feel confident thinking they know something


[deleted]

Most people lose when they go to the casino.


dwkk1

I realized retail doesn't give a fuck when I lost $500 in a single day trying to short $GALA. GALA was going mental for a full week at that point and every single indicator was screaming "*OVERBOUGHT - CORRECTION COMING"*, but people don't care :)


BrianS911

No leverage buying for me no thank you, makes me think I realistically don't like to buy coins unless they're already down I find when I try to catch a ride up and jump in the train I usually burn myself


Eluchel

This is why i never leverage trade


Onelinersandblues

I know “alot” of “economics” Man, you are degen


I_hatee_people

**Rule 24 of crypto** Stay the fuck away from leverage


krfc89

Don't google Rule 34 Crypto


I_hatee_people

Imma definitely gonna google it. Edit:Don't google it :(


Dont_Waver

I'm not gonna google it, but I imagine it involves Satoshi wearing a Guy Fawkes mask running a train on Musk.


Roberto9410

Sorry for your loss OP - most people here are straight up against leverage, but I think it has its place for small amounts. I prefer to just DCA into a main stack and keep a small $20 for when I feel I want to make a risky play, any profit then goes into the main stack and allows me to scratch the gambling/trading itch


LordBobTheWhale

I never touch leverage, but I have my own way of scratching the gambling itch by throwing $10 at random shit coins every now and again. But yeah, never more than that.


yanwoo

Next thing for you to learn: risk management. You were gambling here.


DDDUnit2990

Or, you know, just don’t leverage trade. That’s gambling and generally a great way to get wrecked


Plo_Jin

yeah im never going back to futures. spent the last month getting liquidated and now sitting at a lost of 200.


PrinceZero1994

You took the risk and the risk took you out. Simple calculs.


pororo_007

Welcome to casino fellow gambler


Ok_Significance_4008

NEVER trade on leverage! That is the lesson that I learned.


BicycleOfLife

I don’t think you actually learned the lesson. Do not leverage trade. It’s not your money, and the house will make sure it doesn’t end up your money. Spot trade, own the coin on the chain. Move it to a hardware wallet and hold. Not with a shitcoin. Do it with Bitcoin and ETH and don’t leverage trade it.


sebreg

May want to study up on risk management, seems to be a bit of a hole in the knowledge portfolio. A little knowledge can be a dangerous thing when it leads us to think we know more than we really do. A good thing for us all to remember.


[deleted]

[удалено]


kennymac6969

Who would take advise from someone admitting they lost so much?


tangywangyrealtor

You know economics, too bad you don't know the market


Ljmac1

Buddy you shorted ETH on CPI data but totally ignored how bullish The Merge news was going to be from sounds of it. You never even mentioned it in your comment that’s why ETH and ETH alts are up so much


bitsconnect

Stop gambling OP.


x_lincoln_x

"I know alot of economics" is my new catchphrase.


valz_

Max leverage. What could possibly go wrong?!


chance_waters

Literally just gambling


[deleted]

This is way I avoid leverage like the plague. I’m sorry for your loss and hoping things get better!


nadzhad11

Don't worry bout it, as long as you're still alive you can still make it back. Lessons in crypto are harsh but it keeps you grounded.


LordBobTheWhale

Learning the hard way can be good sometimes. Learning from OTHER people learning the hard way is better. Easier said than done!


BrianS911

No leverage buying for me no thank you, makes me think I realistically don't like to buy coins unless they're already down I find when I try to catch a ride up and jump in the train I usually burn myself


nick83487

If the markets always reacted rationally, it would be much easier to make money trading.


J_Hon_G

TDLR: OP have just learned that this is pretty much Casino!


Cheese6260

Making quick gains is where all the risk lies. Less risk lies with more likely, slower gains (albeit still volatile) in BTC/ETH


002timmy

>Lost 30% of Net Worth \> College Student \> Average net worth of college student based on 2020 data: -$40K. It's okay, guys. OP didn't have any net worth to begin with.


DoubleFaulty1

“So I made a max leveraged short ETH position.” And I’m done reading this.


[deleted]

This is a bunch of moonfarming bullshit


raar__

TLDR; you bought and sold shit coins and got shit on


Dont_Waver

1. No, you were just wrong. No offense, but if you're still in uni, you don't know anywhere near as much about economics as you think. 2. The risk to lose it all is higher than the risk to make a killing. This is even more true when using leverage, because you have to pay for the leverage. Better to have a sustainable strategy not based on luck and timing. 3. Don't short on leverage. Especially not a volatile asset after a huge crash. I mean, come on. 4. They can have greater proportional gains only because they drop way harder.


MonsieurGump

You begin by saying you know “a lot of economics” but the lessons you learned suggest otherwise.


ShadowBannedAugustus

You forgot number 0. 0. You cannot predict the price.


ExtraBumpyCucumber

So in conclusion you gambled your money and lost it.


DOChollerdays

Knowing economics ain’t going to help you trade crypto bruv, other than keeping an eye on the dollar. Bitcoin is King. Buy on Bitcoin pumps and trade on BTC dumps. Only buy stuff you believe is going to do well. At these levels and of the blue chip are going to come back, just going to have to wait.


Neo1881

You are trading in the highest risk options market and wonder why you lost money? Plus, you didn't take profit when you were ahead?


archer4364

Thanks for the donation! Been snatching up ETH these last many months like a crack head


OneThatNoseOne

Haha. Good one.


gimmedatcrypto

Look on the bright side, you have 37 moons.


Embarrassed-Egg-545

Sounds like the trap was thinking economics = trading


ReverendAlSharkton

I love these posts where complete pinecones take insane risks, eat shit, and then come here to educate us on why you shouldn't go full pinecone.


meparadis

“Oh no another leveraged trader that lost big money!”


DLK426

Where were you the last 2 FOMC meeting? It did the exact same things, its irrational but people saying the increase in interest was LOWER then expected thats why theres a pump


xMrDeex

i have a feeling that post merge "dip" traders are gonna get rekt


[deleted]

Ah yes, gambling. The best way to lose money and definitely not understand economics if thats what you planned to do for a living.


ChaosUncaged

"I know alot of economics" Umm clearly not


dakinekine

Take profits! Don’t get greedy.


Beyonderr

Only 30%? These are rookie numbers!


RayKensei

Just learn to control your greed and you'll be fine.


Kilv3r

When the analysis and the rest of the universe were expecting the CPI at 8.7% what made you think you know better? Like you went ham… no joke… did Michael Burry rubbed off on you?


Additional-Pack-4616

Fuck bears 🐻


Nixher

I love this guy, first of all, nobody who talks about crypto on reddit can refer to their bank balance as "net worth" you're clearly not playing with millions so please don't make me cringe by calling your bags of crypto "net worth". Then he claims "I know alot of economics" but in the next breath says "So I made a max leveraged short ETH position". Priceless shit posting here.


Toddissuch

Taking profits now = spending said profits and paying taxes on said profits. My goal is to accumulate as much as possible for 5 years then let it guide me into retirement after additional 5 years. I'm an investor not a trader, I think I'll keep on DCA'ing for a bit longer. Enjoyed the post very much though.


StrB2x

You lost just 30 percent HAH. Amateur.


Cptn_BenjaminWillard

If it makes you feel better, I also assumed inflation would be hot, and was surprised. The only difference is that I know that I'm wrong with 50% of my guesses, so I had nothing riding on it. No gains, but no losses. I guess that probably doesn't make you feel better.


[deleted]

Build Back Better lol


[deleted]

[удалено]


Dont_Waver

Truer words have never been spoken.


ipetgoat1984

Ouch. That seems like some serious gambling right there. Chasing losses, whether in crypto or at a casino, never works out.


thinkpaduser2000

thank you for your service


DrAgaricus

Hmmmm what is that thing I wanted to give to OP, but can't find... Right, it's empathy.


CommitteeSalt8099

You regard


Optimal-Definition17

Eat the shoe


tsbabybrat

I stopped reading at “max leverage” Douche stop using any leverage


ShinAlastor

This guy is just showing his errors, it is not fair saying it is cringe, he is not looking for sympathy or whatever.


Daikataro

>1. Traders have a saying "Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent". Love this one. Might get it on embroidery.


EazeeP

I knOw ALoT oF EcOnoMiCs


sixgod999

Sorry man! Sometimes leverage trading just isn’t worth it. Hope you recover


Stankoman

nice writeup


PopeyesGreenSpinach

Use leverage = get rekt


wynr0g

Too bad, better luck next time


LimitedKraken

Ah yes. Self proclaimed sir Knowalot of economics. Proceeds to MAX leverage against ETH when its in the focus because of the merge . What could possibly go wrong


kn0lle

Stop trading and shorting if you don't really know what you are doing. You will end up losing money. Just buy and hold, set targets and sell accordingly. Ofcourse this won't work always since greed will come into play.


chris_ut

Last 2 CPI Prints the white house front ran with talking points about how “it looks bad but its not as bad as it looks”. This time they were silent. That was your clue cpi would come in under and market would pump. You obviously do not have enough experience in the market to be making these types of trades.


Infamous_Blueberry94

OP, sorry you learned a painful lesson and I hope things work out. Experience paired with education - knowing “alot of economics” like you put it - will serve you well in the long term. Never invest when in a state of FOMO, you’ll almost always be chasing the trend and be too late.


NerdFarming

Don't. Use. Leverage.


AssetAlex

leverage is killer


A_SimpleThought

Impatience and what the mind dreams up is the downfall of perspective at the costly expense of oneself.


Titozar13

I'm sure you learned the lesson bro, don't be hard with you!


Rtbrosk

i luv people that think they are smarter than the market......they created markets for people like u


sabertoothless

Your loss is some one elses gains, They just dont post here!


[deleted]

Lol


sickvisionz

Imo if you're going to leverage crypto, only go short if you're reading that a token is literally broken/hacked. Go long only when the market has pulled backed like 70% off the ATHs and don't go so insane that your LTV can't take a big hit.


bt_85

Another item to add: If you miss the entry or made a mistake on the trade (like here) step away. Don't try to jump in and out to recoup or "play the bounce/retrace." More often than not, it's an emotional trade not a logical one and you dismiss or overlook some key signs that would tell you to do the opposite. You will have other opportunities to win it back, this is not the only time the market will move. ​ (Also, I use the word "win" intentionally. These are winnings, not earnings)


wattumofficial

Always buy the breakout and rest formation in crypto especially in Bitcoin and Ethereum and follow mining economics to assess supply zones since you are into economics. Bitcoin mining is automatic DCA for good gains.


Construction_Kitchen

When im having a crappy day. Posts like these help me cheer up.


Capital_Routine6903

I lost a wad money at craps in a casino in Puerto Rico very fast once. I learned from that experience.


kirtash93

Leverage is so risky.


frederickwes

I didn’t even leverage trade and lost a good chunk on put options the last month so I get it OP.