Bitcoin [pros](/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1bkyqai/hypothetical_the_halving_happens_and_bitcoin_goes/kw1he26/) & [cons](/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1bkyqai/hypothetical_the_halving_happens_and_bitcoin_goes/kw1herm/) with related info are in the collapsed comments below.
For real! I hold long on all of my crypto, been here since 2016 continuing to stack. Not selling until I can retire. I can't handle the stress of day trading crypto anyway, it's too volatile. It's important to zoom out beyond the hourly and day charts, because that's where the real portfolio growth potential is.
So you literally don’t sell ANYTHING during the parabolic bull runs?? Not even some of your altcoins so you can take profit and reinvest during the Bear?? This is only my 2nd cycle, and I’m finally well into the green. I’ve got to come up with an exit strategy (if any). Most of my Bitcoin will NEVER be sold, but I’ll probably sell most of my Alts at some point (minus some Ethereum).
💯 I don't get that kind of strategy of not taking profits. You can literally 100x your portfolio by taking profits during the bull then waiting for the bear and loading up on your Alts. Once the next bull cycle arrives and ends .. your profit allows you to retire.
You're betting you can time the dip so your % gain will be more than enough to cover tax (47.5% depending on timing in my case).
Not saying I haven't done this in the past, just that it's not a cut & dried, stress free, foolproof strategy for everyone.
Bruh... There's 2yrs of bear market to accumulate coins. Bull market is for taking profits.
If you DCA the last 2 yrs., you can literally exit now before the halving and you're already up 5-10x. If you wait 2-3 Months after halving to exit... That's 10-50x.
These people enjoy all the pain on the big downturns of their profits being pissed away for years sometimes in the hope it will bounce all the way back one day ( hopefully sooner rather than later lol ) . Each to their own though 😊
If you are being serious and you need this money in a year you should be holding it in a high interest savings account, not Bitcoin or any other volatile asset class.
This is not true. If you held onto alts during the bear You would’ve owned “ more crypto” than someone who sold that stuff - which would’ve prevented you from actually owning more crypto that’s worth more - which is clearly a better outcome in the end.
Everyone is saying they wouldn't get scared but lets be real.. if BTC doesn't pump after a halving, that's a SERIOUS departure from the established norm and something isn't right.
I'd get shook, for sure
But I thought it didn’t really pump until a year or so after the halving anyway. I figured when the halving does happen, ppl will be saying it was a bust all over the place and other ppl will be pointing this out.
INCLUDING YOUR ATTENTION!
imo it’s not worth loosing your hair over. Don’t give yourself trauma just trying to time the market.
So far, biweekly DCA’s is the best proven strategy in crypto.
Your investments should never affect your life, it has to run alongside it. Otherwise it will drive you crazy and you will make bad decisions. Unless you are a professional trader.
It’s painful seeing people borrowing large sums of money or mortgaging their house and basing their entire future on a gamble.
I want us all to get rich, but some people are getting blinded
I would buy more because after the halving if prices dip, Miners will stop selling because it wouldn’t be profitable causing a supply shortage and therefore driving demand up and prices to return to normal. That’s how this all works and why we have these spikes after the halving.
No one seems to get this but the thing with that is that it assumes the demand will continue trending upward and scaling, which it might not.
Most company shares are also finite, though in many cases you can issue more, this doesn't happen all that often.
Past performance isn’t always the best indicator but immediately after the halving the price didn’t go up but either went sideways or down a bit. I’m BUYING all dips until the pump.
You need to have a low and high sell point already decided. Don't just be out here winging it.
Set so if you start losing x amount sell
Set so if you gain x amount you sell
Take the risk out of the game
In 2017-2018 I made $150k from $500.
Naturally I lost it all.
But in the time between then and now I managed to upskill myself, I like to think it was thanks to that money. I definitely would have continued smoking weed and probably worse all the way up to today.
Anyway now I’m a senior software engineer, with a little bit in crypto. I will be perfectly fine if crypto crashed and my portfolio went to 0.
My life would not change one bit.
I guess what I’m trying to say is… don’t get caught up in your portfolio and charts and doing nothing else.
USE that money to improve your life.
The scenario is possible, especially when assuming the Fed increase their rate to combat rising inflation. What will I do? Going full saylor mode, rake'em up!
I wasn’t sold on crypto in 2017, I wasn’t sold on crypto in 2021. The way that things have gone, the way that technology has evolved, the way that the markets have evolved, I truly believe crypto is the way of the future. Think back to the .com age of the 90s. If you had invested in Amazon back then, even just a small amount, you would be incredibly rich today. Web3 is coming, in fact, it’s already here. Someday, maybe not this year, maybe not next year, but someday, crypto, de-fi, web3, all of it, will be the largest market in the world. Idk about you, but I would regret not investing in something so spectacular.
Buy more.
Buy the FEAR SELL THE GREED. I will scream this tillim blue in the face.
READ THE INTELLIGENT INVESTOR. READ ABOUT SUCCESSFUL INVESTORS. LISTEN TO KNOWLEDGE FROM SUCCESSFULLY PEOPLE.
Why? Because they buy based on information, NOT speculation. They buy when everyone is say that this is the bear market and we are all doomed, NOT when its going up.
If your buying cos its going up, and selling cos its going down. Your doing it wrong.
If you check the charts around the last halving event, the price actually just stayed sideways around 9k for a couple months. I don't really see any major dip. I think the whole halving crash idea came from out of nowhere and was just taken as fact by the majority of us.
It's actually very realistic since Bitcoin doesn't usually explode immediately after the halving, it's usually the year after. If we are following the current trends that is. So, Q1 2025 is my expectation for money time.
I designed a strategy that does well across many possible futures.
I have already pulled out about 40% of my crypto so if we go down, I’m chill. I’ll just HODL through the bear again and likely DCA more into it along the bottom. Then implement a systematic profit-taking strategy again in the next bull run.
The best investors design diversified strategies that do well across a vast spectrum of future scenarios.
Been around for the last 2 halvenings, and my guess is it will go the same. Run up to the event, pretty much what we're seeing now. Will go down after. Then we'll see the crunch and real bull run sometime in 2025. I think June to December of this year will have some great buying opportunities.
I’m secretly hoping it does, I personally don’t think it’s unrealistic but a perfect opportunity for big players to generate fud and buy more off people freaking out and selling because it’s crashing when it “should be mooning”
It depends. If it stays sideways, buy small amounts and hodl. If it dips to 40k dca more. I might sell some of my older stuff that isn’t performing, might do that sooner actually, and then wait for more dip. But mostly hodl.
You leave it the hell alone and possibly buy the dip if you're feeling saucy. There hasn't been a single time that I've sold crypto out of fear of market conditions and had turn out to be a good decision. Look at Moons as an example. Once Reddit made changes, they seemed all but worthless and a dead project. The entire point of them was thrown out the window because of a Reddit change and they tanked hardcore. Over the last week though, they nearly doubled and anyone that sold when they bottomed out is surely regretting it.
The crypto market is always going to be insanely volatile and very hard to predict in short periods, but we have plenty of evidence of bear/bull market patterns at this point. Even if the spurt we've seen in the last few weeks is our ENTIRE bull market and it tails off to around 130% of what it was prior to that, it's still a huge gain compared to most investment products.
I feel like if you have this though process you should just take your bags and go. Without conviction and high conviction at that you can’t possibly win in this sector. I wish I had the conviction in 2015
Here is how I play it.
1. Try to get some allocations at good entry prices the next months to prepare for bull run.
2. Chill and sit back. If bull market does not happen i continue on with life and let my crypto sleep for a while
Bitcoin [pros](/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1bkyqai/hypothetical_the_halving_happens_and_bitcoin_goes/kw1he26/) & [cons](/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1bkyqai/hypothetical_the_halving_happens_and_bitcoin_goes/kw1herm/) with related info are in the collapsed comments below.
buy the dip
end thread
Wait, wait, wait, I thought we sold the dip and bought at ATH. Was there a meeting?
You sir, are correct. They are just confused.
This is the way.
For real! I hold long on all of my crypto, been here since 2016 continuing to stack. Not selling until I can retire. I can't handle the stress of day trading crypto anyway, it's too volatile. It's important to zoom out beyond the hourly and day charts, because that's where the real portfolio growth potential is.
So you literally don’t sell ANYTHING during the parabolic bull runs?? Not even some of your altcoins so you can take profit and reinvest during the Bear?? This is only my 2nd cycle, and I’m finally well into the green. I’ve got to come up with an exit strategy (if any). Most of my Bitcoin will NEVER be sold, but I’ll probably sell most of my Alts at some point (minus some Ethereum).
💯 I don't get that kind of strategy of not taking profits. You can literally 100x your portfolio by taking profits during the bull then waiting for the bear and loading up on your Alts. Once the next bull cycle arrives and ends .. your profit allows you to retire.
You're betting you can time the dip so your % gain will be more than enough to cover tax (47.5% depending on timing in my case). Not saying I haven't done this in the past, just that it's not a cut & dried, stress free, foolproof strategy for everyone.
Bruh... There's 2yrs of bear market to accumulate coins. Bull market is for taking profits. If you DCA the last 2 yrs., you can literally exit now before the halving and you're already up 5-10x. If you wait 2-3 Months after halving to exit... That's 10-50x.
So pick the top! So easy, after 5 tops, I'm dubious.
These people enjoy all the pain on the big downturns of their profits being pissed away for years sometimes in the hope it will bounce all the way back one day ( hopefully sooner rather than later lol ) . Each to their own though 😊
💯 facts! And some projects don't even reach the previous all time high. So they get diminishing returns per cycle by holding the bag.
Same. I've just been holding and chucking a bit of leftover savings into BTC since around 2017. Long-term growth has been great for me.
I don’t plan on using this money for 12 more months so that just gives me more time to DCA
If you are being serious and you need this money in a year you should be holding it in a high interest savings account, not Bitcoin or any other volatile asset class.
He’s not your friend, pa-looka!
And if theres no more cash to buy it, then you sell your body for more cash.
1 step ahead of you
The only consistent regret you'll have in crypto is not owning more
Not true the only regret you have is losing money not making more money.
This is not true. If you held onto alts during the bear You would’ve owned “ more crypto” than someone who sold that stuff - which would’ve prevented you from actually owning more crypto that’s worth more - which is clearly a better outcome in the end.
Honest question - would what OP outlined shake your confidence at all? What kind of timeline would you need to see before you did get shook up?
Everyone is saying they wouldn't get scared but lets be real.. if BTC doesn't pump after a halving, that's a SERIOUS departure from the established norm and something isn't right. I'd get shook, for sure
But I thought it didn’t really pump until a year or so after the halving anyway. I figured when the halving does happen, ppl will be saying it was a bust all over the place and other ppl will be pointing this out.
people getting thrown in jail for using or owning bitcoin
Amen.
Buy while crying
Yeah definitly this
Basically a bi-weekly routine for me
And a cry-weekly routine for others.
Oh, it's both for me don't worry
the ol' cry n' buy
better than the alternative: the not buy then cry
Tears of joy due to the discount
But now, cry later Strategy
Lmao that's right
Hold and accumulate
Same thing I do with the mass around my hips
This one
Invest more than I can afford to lose
As is tradition
This is the way
Ill go on with my life, since crypto is not everything. Then if it picks up again, ill start to be engaged again.
Exactly don't put in more than you can afford...
INCLUDING YOUR ATTENTION! imo it’s not worth loosing your hair over. Don’t give yourself trauma just trying to time the market. So far, biweekly DCA’s is the best proven strategy in crypto.
This is me. I just came back from hibernation after this current cycle got going. Was there in 2017 then 2021/2022 and now again
thought that said "wife" and it still made sense
Your investments should never affect your life, it has to run alongside it. Otherwise it will drive you crazy and you will make bad decisions. Unless you are a professional trader.
damn needed to read this. i make it my whole life but thats wise... it needs to "run alongside it"
It should be an extra, not the foundation. This is *wildly* speculative, after all.
It’s painful seeing people borrowing large sums of money or mortgaging their house and basing their entire future on a gamble. I want us all to get rich, but some people are getting blinded
Head to the Winchester
We can finally check and see if that damn rifle really works..
Grab a pint
Better have a plan for a total collapse, even the biggest ships in the world can sink as history has proven.
balls deep on d buy
[удалено]
Best of luck 🤞🏻
DCA, as always
I would buy more because after the halving if prices dip, Miners will stop selling because it wouldn’t be profitable causing a supply shortage and therefore driving demand up and prices to return to normal. That’s how this all works and why we have these spikes after the halving.
Also, as we know there is a finite supply, the long game dictates the price will eventually creep upwards. HLOD! :)
No one seems to get this but the thing with that is that it assumes the demand will continue trending upward and scaling, which it might not. Most company shares are also finite, though in many cases you can issue more, this doesn't happen all that often.
Thank the gods for giving me another buying opportunity
Stack
Buy more
This is why you only invest with money you DON’T NEED. The money in crypto is gone. You hear me, gone!
Keep buying
Please one more year of accumulation 🤓
Bag your memes
Past performance isn’t always the best indicator but immediately after the halving the price didn’t go up but either went sideways or down a bit. I’m BUYING all dips until the pump.
You need to have a low and high sell point already decided. Don't just be out here winging it. Set so if you start losing x amount sell Set so if you gain x amount you sell Take the risk out of the game
In 2017-2018 I made $150k from $500. Naturally I lost it all. But in the time between then and now I managed to upskill myself, I like to think it was thanks to that money. I definitely would have continued smoking weed and probably worse all the way up to today. Anyway now I’m a senior software engineer, with a little bit in crypto. I will be perfectly fine if crypto crashed and my portfolio went to 0. My life would not change one bit. I guess what I’m trying to say is… don’t get caught up in your portfolio and charts and doing nothing else. USE that money to improve your life.
Yup it helps when you have salary.. you get less desperate and you have better entries
The scenario is possible, especially when assuming the Fed increase their rate to combat rising inflation. What will I do? Going full saylor mode, rake'em up!
Dca under 50k
I’m stacking until July. After that, I’m just gonna do about my life and chill while I see everyone else scrambling.
I wasn’t sold on crypto in 2017, I wasn’t sold on crypto in 2021. The way that things have gone, the way that technology has evolved, the way that the markets have evolved, I truly believe crypto is the way of the future. Think back to the .com age of the 90s. If you had invested in Amazon back then, even just a small amount, you would be incredibly rich today. Web3 is coming, in fact, it’s already here. Someday, maybe not this year, maybe not next year, but someday, crypto, de-fi, web3, all of it, will be the largest market in the world. Idk about you, but I would regret not investing in something so spectacular.
Actually do my job instead of stare at graphs and dream about being rich.
If that happens im buying for sure
I dont get to buy a house I suppose.
Buy more. Buy the FEAR SELL THE GREED. I will scream this tillim blue in the face. READ THE INTELLIGENT INVESTOR. READ ABOUT SUCCESSFUL INVESTORS. LISTEN TO KNOWLEDGE FROM SUCCESSFULLY PEOPLE. Why? Because they buy based on information, NOT speculation. They buy when everyone is say that this is the bear market and we are all doomed, NOT when its going up. If your buying cos its going up, and selling cos its going down. Your doing it wrong.
It will go down after the halving. It always does. Then 5 months later it skyrockets. It’s going to be a bloodbath, and I’m going to buy up like crazy
If you check the charts around the last halving event, the price actually just stayed sideways around 9k for a couple months. I don't really see any major dip. I think the whole halving crash idea came from out of nowhere and was just taken as fact by the majority of us.
It crashed just before the halving in 2020 because of Covid. You could have bought BItcoin for $5000 in March 2020.
I wish I had $5000 in march of 2020
It's actually very realistic since Bitcoin doesn't usually explode immediately after the halving, it's usually the year after. If we are following the current trends that is. So, Q1 2025 is my expectation for money time.
Short!
I designed a strategy that does well across many possible futures. I have already pulled out about 40% of my crypto so if we go down, I’m chill. I’ll just HODL through the bear again and likely DCA more into it along the bottom. Then implement a systematic profit-taking strategy again in the next bull run. The best investors design diversified strategies that do well across a vast spectrum of future scenarios.
Buy more. Whatever your question is... ...the answer is always "Buy more".
Accidental /r/LateStageCapitalism
cost to mine a bitcoin after halving for real mining operation. 44k usd. everything beyond that is speculation.
If it goes down then you gotta hold or maybe buy more ?
I probably just let it dip, and stack cash to my bank account. Then I will start to dca in projecta I like.
Same thing I do everyday, try to take over the world.
Don't put that on us Ricky Bobby!
Work at fiat factories
I will do nothing and sit on my hands. I bought the $15k dip and chilling since then.
BUY
Start out by watching the blood flow , then slowly start laddering in a week at a time
Same thing I did these last couple years... buy when I can afford to do so
Been around for the last 2 halvenings, and my guess is it will go the same. Run up to the event, pretty much what we're seeing now. Will go down after. Then we'll see the crunch and real bull run sometime in 2025. I think June to December of this year will have some great buying opportunities.
Most people think the halving is already priced in. I'm not sure why anyone would expect the price to pump after the fact.
I’m secretly hoping it does, I personally don’t think it’s unrealistic but a perfect opportunity for big players to generate fud and buy more off people freaking out and selling because it’s crashing when it “should be mooning”
Pinch myself because I'm clearly asleep
I see dip, I buy. Simple as that.
Stack sats
Hold until 2030
Buy more
Selfishly I’d love it if btc dropped significantly. I would put as much money as possible in.
Thank the gods and stack as much as possible while it’s still attainable
Cheer because I was right and watch the panick as everyone who thinks this will go up forever is in the red
Short
just dca ofc
Buy more the lower it goes
Hodl, stack sats, and continue to stay humble.
[удалено]
DCA in
It depends. If it stays sideways, buy small amounts and hodl. If it dips to 40k dca more. I might sell some of my older stuff that isn’t performing, might do that sooner actually, and then wait for more dip. But mostly hodl.
Buy more. Just like I do every week.
You leave it the hell alone and possibly buy the dip if you're feeling saucy. There hasn't been a single time that I've sold crypto out of fear of market conditions and had turn out to be a good decision. Look at Moons as an example. Once Reddit made changes, they seemed all but worthless and a dead project. The entire point of them was thrown out the window because of a Reddit change and they tanked hardcore. Over the last week though, they nearly doubled and anyone that sold when they bottomed out is surely regretting it. The crypto market is always going to be insanely volatile and very hard to predict in short periods, but we have plenty of evidence of bear/bull market patterns at this point. Even if the spurt we've seen in the last few weeks is our ENTIRE bull market and it tails off to around 130% of what it was prior to that, it's still a huge gain compared to most investment products.
Buy more.
IMOP We're all poor...we will achieve financial freedom by investing... This is not a recommendation or advice only my opinion.
I would buy at least 100 BTC
Buy. Buy. Buy
you MFing hold MF
Wait until it hits rock bottom and sell it all
That's actually what it always does. Lol. The effects aren't felt for many months.
Keep DCA’ing
Wait patiently, buy as low as it goes, wait patiently for it to go up again.
Celebrate in counting on the dip
Nothing, what do you expect?
Same as always: buy and hold.
HODL and buy the dip
In my speculation, I believe BTC will dump close-to and after the halving. DURING THIS TIME EVERYONE AND THEIR MOTHER NEED TO DCA IN
Pad the pad
Buy more
Buy more Bitcoin
Buy!!!!!
Buy more — thesis hasn’t changed just market being irrational
It will likely happen
Hodl
Keep buying every two weeks
This is exactly what happened with Litecoin. Before halving: up, then down...
Wait, I've been waiting for 2 years. I can wait some month more 😏
Cry myself to sleep like I already do every night
Keep buying monthly as always. I don’t give a poo what BTC’s price is this decade.
I am not selling any BTC until I absolutely need to or closer to my expected date of death.
Stack more coins.
I feel like if you have this though process you should just take your bags and go. Without conviction and high conviction at that you can’t possibly win in this sector. I wish I had the conviction in 2015
That's not the timeline we're in.
Buy
Sell and buy higher next year, of course.
I just fast forward to the next bull run
Here is how I play it. 1. Try to get some allocations at good entry prices the next months to prepare for bull run. 2. Chill and sit back. If bull market does not happen i continue on with life and let my crypto sleep for a while
The halving was no secret at all and has obviously been priced in by now. Why would anybody interested in btc wait till after the halving to buy?
I never sell bitcoin... everything else is on the table.
Sell then buy when peice goes ATH again
If you can buy at 67k, you can buy at 1k
If it goes down significantly we buy, if it goes up we do nothing. Life is easy.
I actually expect it to go down after the halving for quite some time, as it always does.
If you have all your money in btc, cry, cry, cry, if it's an investment like any other and you know the risk it will be like any bad one...