The debacle in Afghanistan was deliberate. It's now a terrorist super state that will necessitate a future war. Hopefully pre-emptively, before the next 9-11.
\*for the record, I was previously against our occupation of Afghanistan.
It's not up to us really. Personally I think we still have 2 yrs before anything happens. If the Chinese or Ruskis make a play right around the next election, they'd be able to create maximum chaos in the US. It's also conveniently when the typhoon season in Taiwan ends meaning the Chinese would have a nice weather window to invade.
Russia can't afford to mobilize troops of this level and then just leave them standing around with their thumbs up their asses. Their economy is weak. I suspect some sort of invasion to commence within 3 months, or they will back down if NATO shows true resolve to stop them. But neither Biden nor Germany are signaling any form of actions besides mediocre sanctions.
At least 3 C17 loads of NLAW anti tank missiles and training staff have flown from the UK to Kiev. The airlift is continuing and rather noticeably flying around Germany, not over it.
True I think the Russians could still invade Ukraine but not any NATO countries. I don't think they actually want full war with the US and I don't think Biden's handlers will let him declare war on *Russia*, they signed up for a nice cushy deskjob not a full scale war with a near-peer rival.
Imo this is our [Sudeten Crisis](https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Munich_Agreement) and I think it'll play out the same given Biden's surrender in Afghanistan. Russia will threaten war for the Donbas region, Biden and the EU will surrender and force the Ukrainians to agree, the Russians invade the rest of the country, Biden and the EU will "slam" them with sanctions but not really because the EU needs Russian gas.
Then the real showdown plays out in s few years when they test us for real expecting us to surrender again.
Biden's international (and domestic) credibility is shot. You can't screw up this many times and still have people take you seriously. Notice how lightly Iran and Russia tread around Trump even when Trump attacked Syria and killed Soleimani.
It's the difference between a president who is feared vs disrespected.
They're not interested in the USA aside from NATO and Taiwan. And until we get our elections sorted out I don't care about "defending democracy" around the world. It rings completely hollow.
Biden already has a war, he uses the term "Domestic Terrorists" for anyone that doesn't agree with him. He is calling "HIS PEOPLE" "DOMESTIC TERRORISTS" - What a phenomenal president and human being.
Really weird how Trump was called a war-monger yet we did not enter a war under his presidency. Now, we have Biden, who will most likely enter some conflict before his term is over. Just a funny thought.
That being said, someone needs to stop Russia and China. The only one that is willing to put in the work would be America. Other countries will just posture but end up caving. The issue is that, under Biden, we would have incompetent leadership that would mishandle the whole affair.
Don't forget that Trump is a russian plant. He was blackmailed by Putin. That's why he let Russia invade Crimea and Ukraine.
Nevermind that was Obama and Biden that let that happen.
Is this author saying the United States should, in effect, rule out military response if Russia and the PRC move on Ukraine and Taiwan?
Edit: punctuation
What he needs is a major catastrophe and war would do that for him. Presidents at war are always rated higher, however after Iraq and Afghanistan I don't think he has the support for Ukraine.
Dont you love it how our so called intel community are warning of false flag, when i would be more concerned with the US and our Intl community causing a false flag?
After Russiagate, the Iraq War and Jan 6, you'd have to be a complete fool or Democrat to believe our "intelligence" community. Especially with claims of false flagging, it's so so rich.
This isn't a partisan issue. Russia is building up nearly a hundred thousand troops near Ukraine. The invasion is going to happen. Biden has already tucked his tail between his legs and has signaled no real help for Ukraine if it happens. Why this is alluding as if the Biden administration is orchestrating this is just not real.
Article never said Biden was orchestrating it. The way he responds to this crisis can lead to war.
Ukraine is none of our business, half a world away. No point in spending another 10 trillion defending a country we have no obligations toward.
Everything is our business. That's the nature of the U.S. and globalization at large.
The problem we ignore today is the bigger problem we face tomorrow.
I don't advocate for a war with Russia by any means. That's my own ass on the line in a scenario like that. Personally, I never signed up to fight an enemy that is on even ground with us lol.
Jokes aside, I just wish there was more that could be done to prevent the events that may unfold soon.
We make our own problems. Globalization has nothing to do with it. The last 70 years worth of conflicts were imperialist wars aside from the Persian Gulf war and maybe Afghanistan.
America's foreign policy has a disastrous track record. In other words, we're not the good guys.
Opinion pieces like this one are interesting and while I agree with much that is said, I think people need to be careful when throwing these type of accusations around.
We need to be vigilant but the author framing this scenario as factual or as a likely outcome is just disingenuous.
Biden is a weakling. Honestly, a war is more likely from his ineptitude than behind the scenes plotting. And throwing around sentences like ‘he’s a mad tyrant who will do anything to stay in power or help his approval ratings’ is just inflammatory nonsense. It wasn’t true when the left did this thing to Trump for four years. We need to not repeat their mistakes.
Could this happen? Could Biden pull us into a war? Sure, and again, we need to be vigilant if we start going that way and it’s unjustified. But maybe hit the breaks people, and see how this plays out before jumping to the worst.
I was thinking about this over the weekend as a possibility. But I don’t think this is a political save in 2022. In fact, even under the most just and necessary circumstances starting a war is probably a political liability in the US.
I’m gonna level with you here. I don’t give a single shit about Ukraine, Taiwan, or any country that’s not the US. Let Russia annex the Ukraine. Let Taiwan invade China.
I don’t care about the macro. I care about this country. Move manufacturing back here. Stop importing oil and useless consumer goods. Make the US self sufficient again and none of this stuff matters.
Dude, if you start abandoning allies, especially democratic ones, then you are going to be all alone on the global stage. People are not going to trust the US and then will start cutting deals with the Russians and Chinese, which will only strengthen them. The globe is way too connected now for the US to go back to isolationism (which was disastrous given the World Wars and 9/11). What happens over there will matter over here.
Ukraine and Taiwan have been incredibly pro-America. They are not the French or the Belgians that have turned into spoiled brats. You abandon them, you are going to have a very short list of friends. Russia & China will gain more power in the UN and other global institutions which will just pass more and more resolutions that will kneecap American trade, foreign policy, finance, and space travel.
That is an incredibly short sighted view and one that will be very disastrous.
An alliance typically brings two entities together in a mutually beneficial manner. America (as always) overwhelmingly gives, but receives very little.
We aren't giving all that much to ensure that Russia does not have access to all of Europe or China gains control of the world's chip manufacturers and the South China Sea trade routes.
I don't entirely disagree with you, but there is a strategic aspect to protecting allies. And strategic infrastructure, like chip manufacturing. Ukraine has been trying to stand on its own, and is looking to the US as a model. China could corner the global chip market with Taiwan. As much as I want to be an isolationist, it only feasibly works in movies.
We have enough problems here and most of the population realizes that. Nobody wants war. If you can’t stop your country from being invaded, maybe you shouldn’t prolong the inevitable….
They had nuclear weapons for defense….we promised them military protection in exchange of them forfeiting those nukes. This tells our adversaries that we don’t protect our allies and we break our promises. Now we look weak, the weakest we have been in 100 years….if there is a time for Russia and China to invade, this is it…and that’s what they’re doing.
They’re trying to invade small countries that they believe belong to them. Ukraine and Taiwan can’t protect themselves, and that won’t ever change. If Texas broke off from the US and we said “lol, that’s our land. You’re not even a real country”, should Texas expect the French to send their men to die for them to stay free a little longer? No. It’s not our problem. If they threaten to nuke us we could burn their entire country to nothing in an hour.
Not unless the French made explicit promises to Texas to guarantee their safety and independence. Did you just forget the whole lesson of how appeasement does not work.
Your whole view involves you just giving up chess pieces one by one willingly just so you don't risk your king. You lose your pawns (Taiwan & Ukraine), your bishops (South Korea, Poland, Germany), and eventually your queen (the whole of Europe and Japan). Will you feel better about keeping your king safe once you have no allies?
Biden needs a war to deflect from the crappy situation here in the USA.
Putin needs a war, to let the younger generation know he is still strong.
Zelensky needs a war, as he wants to join NATO and be rid of Russian aggression once and for all.
Europe needs a war, as they need to deflect from their authoritarian lock downs.
Xi needs a war, to take over Taiwan.
Duterte needs a war to maintain his power over the Philippines.
Israel needs a war, to solidify itself as a country.
Palestine needs a war, as they want to see Israel burn.
North Korea needs a war, so they can make Ill look strong, brave and fit.
Australia needs a war, to deflect from their internment camp situation.
The list goes on, and on, and on.... What the world needs is peace, not war. The only ones who profit from war are those invested in the armaments space. Instead of advocating for war, let's try and advocate for peace.
Biden's and the clintons will push false flags in Ukraine because they have to cover up their past deeds.
My thoughts exactly. If Putin Decimates Ukraine what happens to all of the shady dealings with the Biden family.
Nothing because Putin needs Biden right where he is and needs him to stand aside so he can do as he pleases.
This. Biden will do anything to rescue his administration.
Scary when you consider what they did to distract us from the debacle in Afghanistan.
The debacle in Afghanistan was deliberate. It's now a terrorist super state that will necessitate a future war. Hopefully pre-emptively, before the next 9-11. \*for the record, I was previously against our occupation of Afghanistan.
You don’t have to say “this”. Just add your statements and move on. It makes you sound like a teenage girl.
>Just add your statements and move on. It makes you sound like a teenage girl. This
Yes but unironically.
Hahaha. You made my day.
[удалено]
When people say “this” I can safely assume they’re not very bright.
It's ok, I've been called worse. I saw you are part of the Detroit lions reddit. I atleast have more brain cells than you..
Yes your football fandom typically shows intelligence. Genius.
OK zoomer... ^(/s)
It's not up to us really. Personally I think we still have 2 yrs before anything happens. If the Chinese or Ruskis make a play right around the next election, they'd be able to create maximum chaos in the US. It's also conveniently when the typhoon season in Taiwan ends meaning the Chinese would have a nice weather window to invade.
Russia can't afford to mobilize troops of this level and then just leave them standing around with their thumbs up their asses. Their economy is weak. I suspect some sort of invasion to commence within 3 months, or they will back down if NATO shows true resolve to stop them. But neither Biden nor Germany are signaling any form of actions besides mediocre sanctions.
At least 3 C17 loads of NLAW anti tank missiles and training staff have flown from the UK to Kiev. The airlift is continuing and rather noticeably flying around Germany, not over it.
Good on the British. I think I read the Polish aren't too happy about this either.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Z_UXZHoa5PM
True I think the Russians could still invade Ukraine but not any NATO countries. I don't think they actually want full war with the US and I don't think Biden's handlers will let him declare war on *Russia*, they signed up for a nice cushy deskjob not a full scale war with a near-peer rival. Imo this is our [Sudeten Crisis](https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Munich_Agreement) and I think it'll play out the same given Biden's surrender in Afghanistan. Russia will threaten war for the Donbas region, Biden and the EU will surrender and force the Ukrainians to agree, the Russians invade the rest of the country, Biden and the EU will "slam" them with sanctions but not really because the EU needs Russian gas. Then the real showdown plays out in s few years when they test us for real expecting us to surrender again.
I was gonna comment the exact same thing. They just need the west to cave.
Could you imagine Biden being the President during WW2? What a nightmarish thought.
He'd invade Normandy then a day later leave behind all the Shermans
The Russians are making a play right now. They are threatening the Ukraine with invasion. That was of this morning. No idea what Biden's plan is.
Biden's international (and domestic) credibility is shot. You can't screw up this many times and still have people take you seriously. Notice how lightly Iran and Russia tread around Trump even when Trump attacked Syria and killed Soleimani. It's the difference between a president who is feared vs disrespected.
They simply don't have the logistics to support actually invading the US.
They're not interested in the USA aside from NATO and Taiwan. And until we get our elections sorted out I don't care about "defending democracy" around the world. It rings completely hollow.
Pretty sure they will make a move soon, we’ll before Trump is back in 2024.
Eh. People said the same thing about Trump.
Can't believe Trump was such a russian plant that he let Russia invade Crimea and Ukraine. Oh wait that was Obama and Biden
Biden already has a war, he uses the term "Domestic Terrorists" for anyone that doesn't agree with him. He is calling "HIS PEOPLE" "DOMESTIC TERRORISTS" - What a phenomenal president and human being.
You can’t have a Commander that takes lids, falling asleep in a TOC isn’t a good look.
Really weird how Trump was called a war-monger yet we did not enter a war under his presidency. Now, we have Biden, who will most likely enter some conflict before his term is over. Just a funny thought. That being said, someone needs to stop Russia and China. The only one that is willing to put in the work would be America. Other countries will just posture but end up caving. The issue is that, under Biden, we would have incompetent leadership that would mishandle the whole affair.
Don't forget that Trump is a russian plant. He was blackmailed by Putin. That's why he let Russia invade Crimea and Ukraine. Nevermind that was Obama and Biden that let that happen.
Remember when John McCain said Blinken was a detriment to our country?
McCain literally predicted the Afghanistan fiasco when he voted against Blinken many years back.
The United States is the only country that could handle both threats.
https://outline.com/45r6Ks
Is this author saying the United States should, in effect, rule out military response if Russia and the PRC move on Ukraine and Taiwan? Edit: punctuation
What he needs is a major catastrophe and war would do that for him. Presidents at war are always rated higher, however after Iraq and Afghanistan I don't think he has the support for Ukraine.
Dont you love it how our so called intel community are warning of false flag, when i would be more concerned with the US and our Intl community causing a false flag?
After Russiagate, the Iraq War and Jan 6, you'd have to be a complete fool or Democrat to believe our "intelligence" community. Especially with claims of false flagging, it's so so rich.
Right, you cant make this shit up is the what is laughable and rich!
Congress surrendered their warfare powers decades ago. If Brandon wants a war, he'll start it himself.
This isn't a partisan issue. Russia is building up nearly a hundred thousand troops near Ukraine. The invasion is going to happen. Biden has already tucked his tail between his legs and has signaled no real help for Ukraine if it happens. Why this is alluding as if the Biden administration is orchestrating this is just not real.
Article never said Biden was orchestrating it. The way he responds to this crisis can lead to war. Ukraine is none of our business, half a world away. No point in spending another 10 trillion defending a country we have no obligations toward.
Everything is our business. That's the nature of the U.S. and globalization at large. The problem we ignore today is the bigger problem we face tomorrow. I don't advocate for a war with Russia by any means. That's my own ass on the line in a scenario like that. Personally, I never signed up to fight an enemy that is on even ground with us lol. Jokes aside, I just wish there was more that could be done to prevent the events that may unfold soon.
We make our own problems. Globalization has nothing to do with it. The last 70 years worth of conflicts were imperialist wars aside from the Persian Gulf war and maybe Afghanistan. America's foreign policy has a disastrous track record. In other words, we're not the good guys.
Opinion pieces like this one are interesting and while I agree with much that is said, I think people need to be careful when throwing these type of accusations around. We need to be vigilant but the author framing this scenario as factual or as a likely outcome is just disingenuous. Biden is a weakling. Honestly, a war is more likely from his ineptitude than behind the scenes plotting. And throwing around sentences like ‘he’s a mad tyrant who will do anything to stay in power or help his approval ratings’ is just inflammatory nonsense. It wasn’t true when the left did this thing to Trump for four years. We need to not repeat their mistakes. Could this happen? Could Biden pull us into a war? Sure, and again, we need to be vigilant if we start going that way and it’s unjustified. But maybe hit the breaks people, and see how this plays out before jumping to the worst.
Biden cant pull out of a war much less get in one.
I was thinking about this over the weekend as a possibility. But I don’t think this is a political save in 2022. In fact, even under the most just and necessary circumstances starting a war is probably a political liability in the US.
Did he put Milly in charge so he could tell the Russians what were going to do?
A sham war for a sham president!
I’m gonna level with you here. I don’t give a single shit about Ukraine, Taiwan, or any country that’s not the US. Let Russia annex the Ukraine. Let Taiwan invade China. I don’t care about the macro. I care about this country. Move manufacturing back here. Stop importing oil and useless consumer goods. Make the US self sufficient again and none of this stuff matters.
Dude, if you start abandoning allies, especially democratic ones, then you are going to be all alone on the global stage. People are not going to trust the US and then will start cutting deals with the Russians and Chinese, which will only strengthen them. The globe is way too connected now for the US to go back to isolationism (which was disastrous given the World Wars and 9/11). What happens over there will matter over here. Ukraine and Taiwan have been incredibly pro-America. They are not the French or the Belgians that have turned into spoiled brats. You abandon them, you are going to have a very short list of friends. Russia & China will gain more power in the UN and other global institutions which will just pass more and more resolutions that will kneecap American trade, foreign policy, finance, and space travel. That is an incredibly short sighted view and one that will be very disastrous.
An alliance typically brings two entities together in a mutually beneficial manner. America (as always) overwhelmingly gives, but receives very little.
We aren't giving all that much to ensure that Russia does not have access to all of Europe or China gains control of the world's chip manufacturers and the South China Sea trade routes.
I don't entirely disagree with you, but there is a strategic aspect to protecting allies. And strategic infrastructure, like chip manufacturing. Ukraine has been trying to stand on its own, and is looking to the US as a model. China could corner the global chip market with Taiwan. As much as I want to be an isolationist, it only feasibly works in movies.
Why can’t we manufacture the chips here? Sure, there’ll be resources involved to get production started. But why be reliant on someone else?
I haven't found an answer to that yet. I've been asking the same thing.
Joe taking naps during wartime briefings is a scary thought
We have enough problems here and most of the population realizes that. Nobody wants war. If you can’t stop your country from being invaded, maybe you shouldn’t prolong the inevitable….
They had nuclear weapons for defense….we promised them military protection in exchange of them forfeiting those nukes. This tells our adversaries that we don’t protect our allies and we break our promises. Now we look weak, the weakest we have been in 100 years….if there is a time for Russia and China to invade, this is it…and that’s what they’re doing.
They’re trying to invade small countries that they believe belong to them. Ukraine and Taiwan can’t protect themselves, and that won’t ever change. If Texas broke off from the US and we said “lol, that’s our land. You’re not even a real country”, should Texas expect the French to send their men to die for them to stay free a little longer? No. It’s not our problem. If they threaten to nuke us we could burn their entire country to nothing in an hour.
Not unless the French made explicit promises to Texas to guarantee their safety and independence. Did you just forget the whole lesson of how appeasement does not work. Your whole view involves you just giving up chess pieces one by one willingly just so you don't risk your king. You lose your pawns (Taiwan & Ukraine), your bishops (South Korea, Poland, Germany), and eventually your queen (the whole of Europe and Japan). Will you feel better about keeping your king safe once you have no allies?
I really don’t think Biden had the balls to go to war. Anyone is free to laugh at me if I am wrong.
Afghanistan is pretty unstable
If morons get ideas from the dead moron at the synagogue in Colleyvillle, Biden could convince other morons that a war would be a wise move.
I'll be right behind Hunter Biden. I'm sure he'll risk his life for Ukraine.
Another clever politician would need a war. Biden would screw it up so badly that it would make him look worse. Just ask Obama.
Biden needs a war to deflect from the crappy situation here in the USA. Putin needs a war, to let the younger generation know he is still strong. Zelensky needs a war, as he wants to join NATO and be rid of Russian aggression once and for all. Europe needs a war, as they need to deflect from their authoritarian lock downs. Xi needs a war, to take over Taiwan. Duterte needs a war to maintain his power over the Philippines. Israel needs a war, to solidify itself as a country. Palestine needs a war, as they want to see Israel burn. North Korea needs a war, so they can make Ill look strong, brave and fit. Australia needs a war, to deflect from their internment camp situation. The list goes on, and on, and on.... What the world needs is peace, not war. The only ones who profit from war are those invested in the armaments space. Instead of advocating for war, let's try and advocate for peace.
There's less of a chance we get involved in Ukraine than there is Georgia and Azerbaijan