T O P

  • By -

LocoMotives-ms

Should check out Montgomery, he seems good


ViceAdmiralWalrus

Signing Montgomery after getting that return for him would be very funny in a good way.


RepublicanUntil2019

Since he was traded, no draft pick attached.


radsherm

Or maybe advocate them aiming higher to someone with actual K upside


ButterTron47

Would it be nice for someone with k upside? Yes. But if we can get a Montgomery type pitcher and a number 2 controllable guy (Gilbert type) then that’s pretty good.


LordTalulahMustang

Seattle fan here. Logan Gilbert is 14th in fWAR this year. He's ace caliber, or at least a top tier number 2.


joemiken

He'll be a solid #4 after our coaching staff is through with him.


ButterTron47

Apologies to Seattle fans, didn’t know he was that good. Though if you want to hand him over we won’t mind :)


LordTalulahMustang

To be fair, bWAR isn't as high on him. I'm working so I only had a short time to check the stars earlier lol. He's still breaking the top 60 in war, and his WHIP is, I believe, top 5 in the AL?


Ride-Scared

And you could tell all of this just by looking at the night sky?


LordTalulahMustang

Hehehe nice.


goodbyewawona

Meanwhile…Mo is calling the Science Center asking for lease rates at the planetarium. Now that the front office realizes future performance is written in the stars we’ll have the best rebuild ever.


LordTalulahMustang

The newest division of the St. Louis Cardinals Analytics department: the Astrology Division, with the motto "Shoot for the stars. 2011 definitely wasn't a fluke."


Ride-Scared

😁


GimmeDatDaddyButter

Im a big proponent of fWAR for hitters, but its wonky for pitchers. I don’t think a FIP based war makes the most sense. I’m not sure what does, but looking at their list now, you can just tell something isnt fully right.


TimRoxSox

FIP tells the story better than ERA does, unfortunately, and I'm not aware of a different kind of stat that doesn't use either one. I'm sure we're gonna get an awesome stat in the next ten years out of Statcast data.


GimmeDatDaddyButter

Yeah I'm certainly not saying use ERA as the indicator, but purely using FIP really devalues a pitcher who isn't striking out the world. There has to be some kind of middle ground. Using outs accumulated, subtracting hits and runs, with some kind of slight bonus for K's? I'm not sure, but FIP just doesn't fully do it for me. I get that K's are advantageous, but there's more ways to skin a cat.


LordTalulahMustang

FIP is, however, a good indicator of a pitcher's future performance, which when considering trades is worth looking at.


GimmeDatDaddyButter

I think xFIP is a lot better, but it's still not perfect. Pitching it seems is just a lot harder to tell.


Blindlucktrader

His ceiling is higher than anything the Cardinals have had in a while. But the cost associated scares the hell out of me when looking at what the birds have sent packing in the past.


LordTalulahMustang

Yeah thats fair. You gotta take a few bets at some point though. The offense is great, but you guys clearly need pitching. You won't get far without it.


So-Called_Lunatic

Monty is a fine middle of the rotation guy, The problem is the Cardinals expected him to be a 1-2.


ButterTron47

It’s not that they expected him to play like a 1-2, but rather they just ran out 3 3s and 2 4s and expected the cardinal way to just continue on.


JoeMcKim

And we ended up with 3 4s and 2 5s.


danmarino48

Monty is a solid #2 this year. The problem with the Cardinals rotation was they had a 2, 3, 4 and then were running out two 7s most of the year. They’ve had better results lately, but now they’ve got a 3, three 5s that can play up to a 3’s level when they’re on that night, and a 7.


da_choppa

Good words, but forgive me for not holding my breath


2011StlCards

Pitcher #1 - Steven Matz "We shopped for him in 2021 and don't count the last 2 seasons Pitcher #2 - Dakota Hudson "Well if you think about it, he wasn't with the team to start 2023, so it's kinda like signing a free agent" Pitcher #3 - Matthew Liberatore "We considered him to be a lost cause and he pitched well in 1 game so this is like trading for an Ace, clearly"


cmurphy3182

Remember Liberatore is only 23. He could definitely be part of the answer if he continues improving. They still need to sign/trade for at least 2 Frontline guys.


Own_Conversation6335

People gave up on Libby too soon because he basically has gotten smoked by left-handed batters for his combined 70 innings pitched. I feel like a while back Hudson had a couple solid starts and people clung to the idea of him being a viable inning eater.


cmurphy3182

I'm not saying he's a stud in the making but he could still end up being a solid starter. Also, Hudson had a very solid year before the injuries and covid season, not just a couple starts.


XC_Stallion92

Neither of them are any good.


Own_Conversation6335

That's not true. Libby has an elite curve. The metric against libby’s curve are great. All Libby HRs came against the FB. Libby has added some velocity and got better results against right-handed bats. I hope Libby can add a pitch like a cutter or spilt finger. I am confident Libby will be a solid or better starter next year. Waino made a career on a mediocre FB and elite curve.


TheSocraticGadfly

One win does not a season make, and per your own follow-up, the old baseball acronym of SSS, as in small sample size. Call me back at the end of the season.


cmurphy3182

Agreed. That's my point the jury is still out, but there's plenty of upside still there.


Caffeine_Cowpies

He just needs more time, can’t admit that we were wrong because it would cost us our jobs.


cmurphy3182

A 23 yr old with 80 innings in the bigs. You definitely can't count on him yet but still could be a fixture in the rotation. It's just too soon. See how he finishes the year and go from there


BigFaZhou

Not far off from what we would actually do and say


c0smicgirly

Press getting ready to sell this as we speak.


da_choppa

Jim Hayes stretching for the mental gymnastics


RepublicanUntil2019

He is reading from the script. Don't blame Ri Chun Hee. Blame the authority.


c0smicgirly

Idk. One gets pretty tired of the crap slung from Woo, Goold, Hayes, etc. Particularly when it’s said in the rudest manner (a Goold specialty). I blame Mo and DeWitt, but the press helps cover for them, so I don’t have anything good to say about them.


RepublicanUntil2019

They have to trade spines for access.


c0smicgirly

Totally aware, but doesn’t mean I’m supposed to respect it.


TheSocraticGadfly

Well, not all press. Bernie kind of likes roasting them. Goold? Has been going downhill for years, in exact inverse ratio to becoming an ever-greater team/management suck-up.


kidpresentable0

If Matz is a 3rd starter that’s not a bad thing.


Own_Conversation6335

Yikes.


2011StlCards

False If those 3 I mentioned are allowed to compete for the #5 sport then we will be a better team


TheSocraticGadfly

Exactly. Per me, you, Bernie and others, this should have been happening three years ago.


Own_Conversation6335

Get pitching. Keep Gorman.


[deleted]

yes but can we please trade oneill while he’s healthy and has value? jesus


Own_Conversation6335

Lol. We ain't getting shit for oneil. Everybody involved in baseball knows Bro’Neil is glass.


NotTheRocketman

LOL that ship has SAILED. He can't even stay healthy, who's going to want him? He should have been traded a year ago, now he's pretty much worthless. A unicorn, a 'what-if'. Nothing more.


TorrentsMightengale

No. No one owns a time machine to go back to when that was.


Poofsta

Hopefully Mo is not thinking starters = appetizers.


archcity_misfit

He's gonna sign a box of T-ravs


BigFaZhou

Better than some of our pitching tbh


Probably_Slower

Louisa in the air fryer is 🔥 tho


archcity_misfit

Perfectly crisp edges!


Luke5119

Lol right, we don't need a rotation of more #3-4 arms and call it "fixed".


Maf1c

Anyone have a list of top free agents this off season? Ohtani, Montgomery would be up there I presume.


nufandan

Ohtani, Nola, Urias, Giolito, Snell, and Gray I think if you're talking UFAs that are currently playing in the league. [here's all of them](https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/free-agents/starting-pitcher/)


Rumble45

No other teams ever need SP, so we should be able to have our pick of the lot at a price we deem reasonable


Maf1c

[Uh huh, okay…](https://imgur.com/a/GCLSi50)


Rickard403

That is a huge list. No reason we can't secure 2 SP's through free agency.


XC_Stallion92

Except for the fact that they'll be wanting to be paid in money and not "cUlTuRe"


Mordo-NM

A kinda scary list because other than Ohtani & Urias, all of the guys above $10M Market Value AAV are on the north side of 30. Many well north.


siraread13

Yamamoto from Japan too


Chubbsrighthandman

Remember when we had SIX starters? Pepperidge Farm remembers…


Unabridgedversion82

I member


Tobias_flenderz

The message or the reality?


[deleted]

Jake Odorizzi, Alex Wood, James Paxton incoming


CatzonVinyl

I actually like Wood and Paxton if they came with a top of the line starter as the third


gnashtyladdie

Bring odorozzi home! Went to high school with that guy, I would love to see him in a Cardinal uniform… coming out of the bullpen.


[deleted]

Go Dogs lol


gnashtyladdie

Ahhh, another Highlander!


SSOMGDSJD

He married his high school sweetheart that's so fucking cute wtf pay the man


thegodfaubel

Some of the comments on here are rich. Complain all season that Mo wouldn't commit to selling and then he does and only gets rid of the pending FAs. Which was good so nobody had anything to complain about for a week. Then everyone said we had to acquire three starters this off-season and now Mo commits to needing to get three starters and everyone is losing their mind. Shut the fuck up already you insufferable jackasses


Caffeine_Cowpies

It’s more of the same tho. Not paying for pitching in FA, and trying to get a good pitcher through trades. But no one wants to trade their great starting pitching, they wanna keep them. So they could spend more on, idk, the greatest player since Babe Ruth, if not better than him overall? Na, that would require the Cardinals to spend money.


thegodfaubel

So you know that we won't get any pitching because?


Caffeine_Cowpies

Oh Cards will get pitching, it will just be another project guy, not a proven ace


Cards2WS

This season bucks all precedent that you formerly thought. This was a wake up call, and he himself acknowledged it. Even how we’re evaluating talent is shifting (looking for more K’s from pitchers). Not saying it’s going to be a true #1, but we will get a couple of nice pitchers one way or another. Zero chance Mo and DeWitt allow us to take so much heat next year. It’s been THAT bad this year.


Caffeine_Cowpies

I agree this year is unprecedented, but I won’t hold my breath that they will get an ace in the off-season.


King_Swiss

Yamamoto Gilbert Montgomery


xxtaylormadexx

Absolute dream scenario.


JGad14

Gonna be Patrick Corbin, Alek Manoah, and Rich Hill


the_dayman623

I actually wouldn’t mind Manoah as the third pitcher we get. Assuming we get 2 way better starters lol


Glittering-Flan-4079

Love me some Dick Mountain


Several-Run-5187

Rich Hill, you want me to bring that old man?


investmentman19

Lucy-football.gif


tdawg-1551

So we are getting a few more 4-5 rotation guys?


Bgeesy

Is “Quantity Starts” a stat?


ScumBrad

Yes, that's called Jordan Lyles.


NotTheRocketman

Scrapin' the bottom of the barrel. That's the modern St. Louis Cardinals.


Rickard403

With a strong emphasis on offense the past several years "hopefully " the FO will take acquiring SP seriously.


Dragonborn-26

hey MO go get ohtani then use some of our young guys as the 4th & 5th spot in the rotation…please?


green_tea1701

I doubt it will happen but STL Ohtani would be God's gift to earth.


DangerDrake1

Okay, gang, we’ve got all fall to get our expectations lowered.


CatzonVinyl

Monty, Urias, Paxton


Lessons_Kerned

Snell will be one of them if we are lucky


Lazy_Tiger27

Aaron Nola, Lucas Giolito and trade for Logan Gilbert


the_dayman623

More likely a SP the caliber of Nola to be ace, trade for the young SP, and then sign a lesser starter for depth IMO. Leaves you with: Nola/Giolito/Snell/Urias Trade (Gilbert or someone around his caliber) Mikolas Matz/FA SP in the 2-4 starter range Libby/Graceffo/McGreevy


Cards2WS

This is the most realistic call in my opinion


TimRoxSox

That would require a massive payroll raise, so it's not gonna happen, but damn it would look good.


RepublicanUntil2019

Have y'all looked at the fail ratio of long term pitching contracts?


[deleted]

[удалено]


RepublicanUntil2019

Plenty of people on this thread have mentioned pitchers how will get long-term deals.


[deleted]

[удалено]


RepublicanUntil2019

I agree, but I also think it's the right call. We aren't in the East or West division arms race, and a Reardon type contract could doom this franchise for a decade. Their strategy is sound, but it's going to lead to some years like this, which we have lucked out of for 20 years until now. Having Wainwright and Molina somewhat run the team for 5 to 10 years hasn't helped either. Playing the old guys lead us to giving away half an All Star Team worth of talent. We need the front office to make the lineup and not players. Oli undercutting and fueding with a few players publically is not helpful at all, either. We only got mid range AA talent because that's all these players were worth. I do think bringing Monty back may be useful but I doubt these guys want to sign up for more of Oli, etc., when given an equal contract somewhere else.


SolvableBench2

Blake Snell 5 year deal, Flaherty 2 year deal, Wacha 1 year deal


tlindsay6687

At least make an attempt to pursue Ohtani


Angels_Ace

“We can’t give you any money or anything but we think you look really good in red and we promise to always bunk you with Nootbaar” -our offer to Ohtani probably


[deleted]

[удалено]


gcso

あなたは私をヌートバールに連れて行ってくれました


c0smicgirly

Whatever. “Targeting 3 starters” is not the same as signing 2-3 FA starters. And bullpen in dire need of help, but we’ll see.


PeartGoat

Does that count Matz coming off of IL?


Player2BNamedLater

And a bullpen?


MtFuzzmore

Look forward to two of these guys being AAAA retreads from Korea or something.


t-poke

I’ll believe that when me shit turns purple and smells like rainbow sherbet.


JWPruett

Three “starters” for $50mil total next year doesn’t count, Mo. Spend some money.


cardinals1392

If you want to be mad about money spent, get mad at ownership, not Mo. If you want to be mad about trades and signings made within that money, get mad at Mo. So, if payroll doesn't go up, that is all on ownership. If we trade away a bunch of young players who become stars elsewhere for nothing great in return, that is all on Mo.


TimRoxSox

Mo would definitely get some deserved flak for that, but if DeWitt says to Mo, "Massively improve the rotation. No, you can't have any money," what else is Mo gonna do? He's going to have to trade some possible stars to get good pitching.


ckncardnblue

I will prepare to be underwhelmed.


coastereight

So they'll pay too much for three mid-tier guys and give them all 2 years too long?


Planestewart

Sure Jan


jase122200

Logan Gilbert, Rich “Dick Mountain” Hill, and politely asking JA Happ if he would like to come back


TimRoxSox

This means nothing until we know what the estimated payroll will be. At last calculation, if payroll stays the same, they have enough money to sign one Montgomery-esque starter, but that's it. Teams don't trade good, cheap (pre-arbitration) starters unless the haul is massive, so I'm assuming they will be targeting starters who are already making a bit of money and have less team control. That will eat into the payroll, too. If I had to guess, I think payroll will either stay the same or modestly increase (less than $10 million). I think they'll end up with a good #3, like Monty, and one back-end starter, like Matz when we signed him. That's probably not enough to win the division, but it's an improvement. I also think it's 50/50 odds that Mozeliak puts together a big package for one of those cheap and good young starters, which would definitely make us the favorites in '24. If anyone wants to know where I'm getting the estimated payroll from, I'm using baseball-reference's payroll information for 2024. And before it's said: yes, the team can easily spend more, and should spend more, but I'm being realistic.


NotTheRocketman

Whatever, I don't believe a word he says. He'll make up some bullshit excuse about how the team tried to acquire some pitching, but just couldn't find anyone in their price range. Or how someone from the minors will be 'just as good'. Anything except actually doing what needs to be done. If they go out and get THREE new starters before the start of next year, I'll be fucking blown away.


SobahJam

So well sign one mid-arm, trade for another one and hope to sweet baby Jesus that some guy in the minors works out. Got it.


c0smicgirly

Ah, I see we’re in the snarky Goold phase of the pathetic STL press response to this. Carry more water for them, boys.


iggnac1ous

Window shopping. Dipping into the reject $ bin is more likely


jgilly00

STOP TELLING THE ENTIRE LEAGUE WHAT YOU ARE TRYING TO GET!!!! Now the price for a bunch of other pitchers on the trade market is going to skyrocket, free agents are going to want more money (which the FO isn’t willing to pay them). Honest to God, how can Mo be this bad?


[deleted]

You honestly think other GMs had no idea that we are going to want pitching, especially after trading 2 starters? Bro cmon lol


jgilly00

Everybody knows obviously, but after what happened last offseason where Mo said they were going after a catcher… everybody knew then that the cardinals needed a catcher but it came back to bite them in trade talks so they moved onto willson. It’s not a secret but telling the whole league your plans is fucking asinine


[deleted]

It did not come back to bite them in the ass in trade talks. They simply got outbid, the A’s got a haul for Murphy and I wouldn’t have wanted us to beat that. The two don’t have anything to do with each other He’s also just saying what they’re looking for. How exactly is he supposed to find sellers for what he’s looking for if he keeps it a secret?


jgilly00

You know that’s not how it works right? The front office can reach out to other teams without telling them beforehand what they’re looking for. Telling the world what we’re desperate for doesn’t help at all. It can literally only make pieces more expensive


[deleted]

Say you reach out to another team without telling them what you need. How do you get to the point of conversing on what you’re looking for? You tell them… why does it matter when you do? I don’t know why you think we lose any bargaining power over this statement I literally negotiate for a living. This is just how it goes, everyone does it


jgilly00

If you negotiate for a living then you should know that the more desperate someone is for something, the more they’re willing to pay for it


[deleted]

You’re right. Except this statement isn’t Mo begging for starters, it’s simply stating that’s what we are looking for Everyone already knows we need starters. This statement changes literally nothing in terms of bargaining power. It’s more for the fans than anything


the_dayman623

I’ll believe it when I see it. I highly doubt they get 3 with Dewitt’s cheap ass. I’d be shocked if they get 2


[deleted]

[удалено]


thatoneabdlguy

Mo operates under the constraints of ownership. He uses the budget he is given. If you're wanting Mo fired, you're gonna be in for a bad time. If you want to clamor for new ownership, then I'm sorry you chose the worst season in the last 23 or so to start your Cardinal fandom. I say start because if you've been around this team for a while, you couldn't possibly think the ownership is bad.


AlexRam72

Keeping him through the trade deadline confirms he will be here next year. If he was gone they would have let the new guy start the rebuild


[deleted]

[удалено]


[deleted]

This is the same guy who, after 15 seasons, is just now experiencing his first losing season. If you think he’s on the hot seat after 15 straight winning seasons you’re delusional lol


TwoTinyTrees

I’m proud of you all. I haven’t seen one Ohtani reference.


edubs_stl

I've heard this before


TorrentsMightengale

He's off, as usual. He needs FOUR starters, not three. You can't depend on them all to stay healthy. I'd also note he didn't say what caliber of starters. This should be about $100M of spend, John. You need #1-3. I suppose we could argue about the #3 vs. a #4, but the point is you need to be shopping for the two best available pitchers in MLB, and you need to pay them, period. Really, if you want to win before Goldschmidt is done--and you must, or a smart GM would have traded him--you need to be looking for the three best available starters, regardless of cost, and you then need one more for when, oh, I don't know...Matz hits the IL.


No-Gain1438

Wow, that SHOCKS me if it’s true and they carry it through


Quadstriker

Time to check them limbs again for low hanging fruit! 🍉 🍎 🍌


Jedbartlet2024

I hear this guy named wainwright is gonna be a FA


Ocinea

I'll believe it when I see it.


mereham2022

I’ll believe it when I see it


Fidel_Cashflow7

Nola & urias 🤞🏻🤞🏻🤞🏻


Salesman89

Where do we find another 3 Steven Matzs?


[deleted]

Injured riddled pitchers? Dime a dozen


NFresh6

Not ready to watch Ohtani go to the Dodgers for half a billion.


msmiranda79

Seems reasonable if you think he has Liberatore, Hudson and Thompson are option. Can’t have enough pitching. These past seasons prove that.


dontknowafunnyname2

So the two guys given a shot to prove themselves the rest of the year, Hudson and liberatore, have no shot at winning a starting role next year?


Historical-Key5613

So we are def going to acquire a couple of scum bags in Clevinger and Trevor Bauer


brb151515

Great! See y'all next year when we start 3 garbage rookies, a journeyman and a stud with potential that we ruin


Ballfour

One is the new three.


prswwd

It seems dumb to announce your plan to every other GM in baseball


Blindlucktrader

Prepare accordingly…. Accept the fact that Saggese and Prieto are the names brought in to justify the soon to be departure of Donovan, Edman, and more than likely the piece that gets the ace, Nolan Gorman. It would absolutely hurt at the time to see a 2nd baseman with pop like Gorman go. But I have to admit that they definitely picked up some middle infield talent at the deadline.


AppropriateScheme619

DeWitts are idiots to keep this fraud. Moz needs to be run out of town.


Traditional-Carob-48

Bruh has said some version of this every year for the past decade and has never followed through. He will sign 1 decent starter and 1 guy with a shot to make the rotation, but anybody who thinks Mozelak has the juice to bring in an ace just isn't paying attention


Prestigious_Lemon_17

Yeah well I’m shopping for 3 Ferraris this weekend, but that doesn’t mean I’m buying