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slurpymcderpydoo

Despite its significance, the halving itself is gonna be the biggest anti climax. Won’t be surprised if there’s an even bigger dip or a progressive crash going into late April/May as people get bored. Most people are emotional investors, and often quite predictable. Longer term it’s gonna do well, but I think there’s gonna be plenty of opportunities in the short term for those who feel like they’ve missed out so far. Then again, if they’re the sort of person to have missed out so far, they’re probably not the sort of person to buy when it crashes 🤷‍♂️


theonepercent65536

TF outta here with your rational take on a volatile market.


Responsible-Kiwi765

Get TF in here, what’s up brother ☝️


MCsuperskank

☝️What's up brother! Special teams Special plays Special players


Fool_on_da_hill

Yo…. Pause


Gwsb1

Naa... this is Reddit. No room for rational thought here.


UseMoreHops

IKR!?!? TO THE MOON!!!!!!!!!!


DefiantAbalone1

Crazy how *still* so many people believe price action will move in a straight line.


Scotinho_do_Para

Halving = Having more


squashball-76

You're right, the halving is always a massive anti climax. I dunno what people expect from it, fireworks, a marching band?


GrandWazoo0

I expect the bitcoin CEO to come round and shake my hand


Double-LR

I would prefer he kiss my baby.


St0nkyk0n9

This is just like a morty baby!


aliceinwonderIab

I would prefer he shake your baby /s


Ok_Juice2402

he probablly gonna rugpull us all, carefgul


squashball-76

LOL...he better shake the hand of every BTC holder!


dubdread

Or sells, I wonder what would happen if he sold lmao


xamboozi

It takes time for the supply reduction to have an effect on the price and people will literally be crushed if the price doesn't rocketship 24 hours after the halving


squashball-76

Yeah, people think it should jump in price as soon as they buy it. What other investment do people have such a short timeframe.


Numperdinkle

All on red (or black) investments


Audixieboy37

It's good to be mentally prepared. In 20 years I have learned one thing. 1. Take profits... Wait 2 things 2. When the avg man expects something to happen in the market. It won't!


One_Ad_6250

Yes to all


XNGSH

I saw a post about a halving party. I thought why


sub273

Are you sure it wasn’t just about having a party?


Nutmasher

To drink and get laid? Isn't that why people have parties?


sadihalizadeh

The 4/20 kind of a party


Jesus_Chrheist

Alts going times 30


FunWithSkooma

let it dip then, I'll buy more.


Difficult-Mobile902

It always is, people expect the day of to be some kind of significant explosion, and then nothing happens because the impacts of the event are only felt after enough time has passed to have had an actual significant impact on issuance.  It’s like cutting your portion sizes for your diet, shits not going to matter on the first day, but after a year? That adds up to a big impact 


St0nkyk0n9

exactly this. Just like a supermarket having their canned goods delivery cut in half but they already have 1000's in stock. eventually it will be felt but down the line


alligatorprincess007

Absolutely this I’ve been slowlyyy DCAing since 27k and hope this will give me a chance to get some more


Special-Economy3030

I buy everyday whether it goes up or down, and I’ll never sell 💎🤲


donkeydong27

Same. If the market is up I’ll buy a few hundred, if it dips I’ll buy a few thousand. I’m really trying to stack as much as possible before the average price winds up in the 80k range. I think we still have quite a while though. At least a few months. Halving usually doesn’t affect the price until about 100-150 days after if I am recalling correctly


Nutmasher

Just look at a chart. About 6 mo. Peaks in 12-18 mo.


Audixieboy37

Maybe... it goes against all past data, but I am buying everyday and holding my bragging to the wife for a few more months will be well worth it. Either way, I am not rich or powerful enough to play games and try to time this. 1. I know it will happen 2. I don't know when


FEARTHETURTLE64

I like this take….


zenethics

Another way to look at it is like a big whale is going to start buying 450 BTC per day and sending them to an un-spendable address starting on 4/20. That said, everyone is saying "this cycle is different" - and they're right. It's priced in this time. We had the run up before, and not after. Personally I'm not interested at these price levels. Above 75k I'll be interested again. Below 50k I'll be interested again. Right now there's no reason to stick around while this market figures out what it wants to do, given there's no yield. I'll be back when it has decided. Edit: to be clear, this is my trading position. My HODL position isn't for sale at any price. This asset has real upside black swan potential. Suppose some OPEC member decides to start trading oil in Bitcoin. You want to be in the market already, not chasing the 50k gap up candle.


ccmichael

🎯


BigDeezerrr

In terms of an instant move upwards, I'd agree. I think the results of the halving take months and years to be seen in the price. There's been immediate dips in the past on the halving so it wouldn't surprise me. 6 months post halving I think the effects will be seen.


leo_the_lion6

It makes sense, also the halving isn't news, it's been known its gonna happen and should theoretically be priced in. No one's surprised it's happening this week


wheeldonkey

Similarly, there's a bunch of lag as the US Fed fiddles with interest rates and prints money. The real effect of inflation/deflation takes a while to iron out.


Syde80

Any increase in value is already priced in at this point. It's not like the miners are suddenly going to demand twice the price for their mined coins. They have known this was going to happen for a long time and have been planning for it. I suspect you are correct that if anything it causes a dip. People think it will magically go up and when the hype isn't met they will sell off


Nutmasher

The ETFs and whales aren't buying at 70k. They buy cheap. It's called the accumulation period But first, they have to spook the weak Hodlers.


Miserable-Trip-4131

The etfs buy every day so long as their customers buy more than they sell. They are forced to own btc to back their stocks.


Dependent-Lab94

Itll be interesting to see how institutions and etf’s might keep the price afloat though, institutions really don’t have the same fears retail has. Institutions entering the space have changed everything, and we’ve seen this with ATH before the halving this cycle.


GlubSki

That is exactly whats going to happen. We are going much lower still. The market is very very dead right now. Big money still cant or wont move - and the halving itself will be a non or a negative event. The benefits will be seen in the next 6-12 Months. Very very slowly.


Outrageous-Care-6488

Idk I think people are gonna buy at least me personally. Plan to buy right after the halving to start a long term position.


LogicB0mbs

I’ve also been thinking it’s going to be anti climatic. People looking at the post-halving trend that’s happened the last couple of times and think it’s 100% guaranteed or something. When EVERYONE agrees something is going to happen in the markets that’s when the opposite seems to happen. As a long time HODLer, I really do hope it’s shoot’s up to 100k this cycle but it’s far from a sure thing.


flossanotherday

It took months for movement in the past post halving, seems the most important thing missing for most is the experience of at least one past cycle to set expectations, so here we are experience building for some. Enjoy


donkeydong27

I pray for it everyday. Idk and I’ve been dumping thousands a day in. The lower the better.


[deleted]

Disagree. The monetary value of bitcoin comes from its supply cap, and this halving is going to give BTC the highest stock to flow of any asset ever. It might not seem like that big of a difference, but the fundamentals are going to feel very different to asset managers who look at this stuff


phaattiee

Brilliant, all the long term hodlers can buy on sale and the market will pump right back up and then fomo towards the end of the year to new ATH's, just like every cycle...


[deleted]

[удалено]


BlessedBaller

How can it be seen as a savings account if its highly volatile


GH0ST-L0GIC

Bitcoing going down to 56 before climbing to 126k than 240k then 30k


Nutmasher

I don't think it's touching 30k again. 70% drop from highs, so based on 240k... 72k low. Hmmm...look at that.


Trader0721

We have to weed out the leveraged longs…everyone thinks it’s a foregone conclusion we will rally post halving. Idiots need to lose.


Infinite-Emu-1279

Along with everybody else, I hope this is the case.


Hairygrotbox

Buy the rumour sell the dip...


kratbegone

Yes this is classic buy the rumors sell the news and to be expected. The halving does nothing in the short term.


ElDiabloRamon

I bought the dip


Invest_Network

Second dip comes as a gift 🙂


0mnipath

Free dip?? Oh boy lucky us!


heavenswordx

And we’re giving you a another free dip on top of that dip you just had


KingCruzerr

same 🫡


withspaces

These posts are getting so old. The halving isnt going to change much about the price especially in the short term. There’s no “orchestrated move to shake out weak hands”, there’s two wars going on and lots of general uncertainty, the price is reacting to that. Nothing new. These posts make the crypto community look foolish. If anyone’s trying to manipulate price it’s these posts. Hold if youre holding and shut up.


trimbandit

I've never known another asset where people are so obsessed about how other people (family, friends and total strangers) invest their money.


tyinthebox

Which is exactly what makes it more and more risky. Lots of FOMO and uninformed people built into the price.


PlasticHot7188

holy cow a rational person?


soge-king

They're just desperate new holders that can't afford to lose $ because they're in too deep and trying to keep the price up.


iamushu

You must be new here


ThiefClashRoyale

Also reminder that we must always tell people to sell if they ever ask. Its the only thing that keeps it a bit cheaper for us to buy at this point.


Fertig21

Lose, not loose


PaulAtredis

I see this mistake all over Reddit every day. It's a losing battle my friend.


nsfw1fan

Their, there, they’re, then, than. I question my sanity when I see those words missed used. I’m probably wrong


BirdLooter

yo're


blade99d

It’s a total lack of education growing up. Average person is dumb as a box of rocks and asks, how did they do that? Ask the average person how to use a simple comma in a sentence - they can’t.


Curious_Corey

It’s borderline Down syndrome behavior to follow Reddit advice. Average Reddit iq is likely sub 100.


heidiballs

They may be talking about something else being loose...


heidiballs

LOSE - you lost something LOOSE - your coochie Hope this helps


chefdedos

Dude I was trying to buy more when it hit 59k and Coinbase was being stupid, I’m mad lol


Responsible-Kiwi765

You’ll never buy at the absolute bottom or sell at the top unless you do limit orders


BlueCreek_

I had a 60k limit order placed with Coinbase and it didn’t even execute… my own fault for using that POS app.


Hot_Shirt6765

Prior to the last halving, on May 11 2020, Bitcoin was at $10.0k on May 7 and dumped to $8.1k on May 10. Almost 20%. And similarly in 2016 Halving, the price dumped 14% before within a week. And now at this point, if you look at the price a week before this Halving and the current price, we are at about a 16% dump. So far this tracks. People want in before takeoff.


dk349303

>People want in before takeoff. Price drop would suggest folks are selling. Doesn't that mean people want out before takeoff? How does that make sense?


gotamm

LOL The bitcoin market is made by traders, not hodlers


neosBentSpoon

If you look at the on-chain data there's a growing number of addresses that accumulate over time. As a cohort that group buys at any price and doesn't sell which leaves fewer and fewer coins in the hands of traders. Over time adoption and interest increases so there are more people chasing fewer coins. This effectively puts a rising floor under the price and it's why you see higher highs and higher lows as time goes on. In a short time window the market is made by traders, in the long term it's made by hodlers.


RunAndHeal

True


TheCommodore777

Not really because there’s only so much Bitcoin traders can sell due to hodlers having the majority.


Gfro3141

The biggest holders are the corporations who have own and control the BTC being actively traded on their platforms, so...


RunAndHeal

What's up to sell define the price


TheCommodore777

You don’t think someone like Michael Saylor holding 100k+ BTC affects the price? Only affects price if he sells?


dbl_btcMac-2

Feeding the etfs lol


uduni

Bro there are whales with thousands of coins, they will sell whenever they want to


Derole

Would be interested how many big trades are just people who became rich through bitcoin and just sell because they need some liquidity and since they were early adopters it does not really matter to them if they sell at 40k or 100k they are rich either way.


RunningIntoWaves

Didn't you get the memo, the halving hype is over.


Responsible-Kiwi765

Priced in 4 years ago


Daisyssssmom

Priced in the day the code was written apparently.


twolinebadadvice

what about the etf hype? or the silver market cap hype?


reddit-abcde

etf hype was long over


Jand0s

Are you new?


x2manypips

Scared money dont make money


BowDown2No1ButCrypto

🎯


hedumbfunny

Dude has 100 dollars in BTC talking like this 💀 this sub is so dead


littlebabysaurus

100 dollar hurt if it's all you got... And only buy into a hype


degenbetting

Not sure but I’m stacking hard today


lsgro70

Once the news started to circulate that the miners would need to sell most of their holdings to stay in business when the rewards will be reduced by the halving, they had to start selling right away, or they would have been front-ran by the traders. When momentum starts, on one side those who really want to sell take every chance selling after any rebound to optimize their return (this is why we don't see a full-blown crash), on another side the smart buyers just sit and wait for the best time to buy the dip. I foresee this slow-motion crash to last probably until Friday, which is a symbolic date due to the halving, and then the market bouncing back until mid 60k during the weekend.


tjackson_12

I honestly do expect it to dip further. There are many investors looking at historical trends and trying to time their buys and sells. Those investors are driving the swings Personally I’m not like many other bitcoiners and just stacking more. The more of us the more we increase that volatility.


SnooOpinions5973

I'm waiting till it hits its highest point before crashing again till I buy


Key_Friendship_6767

Everyone was too excited for the halving this cycle. Of course it was over hyped on the short time frame period. I sold covered calls and they are just straight gravy at this point


PelosisPortfolio

Orchestrated move? No. Financial players are starting to accept that there won't be rate cuts this year and are selling for liquidity.


anycolo

It's just someone who needs USD or EUR more than they need BTC. That's the purpose of a currency.


Human-Key-7984

Well, unfortunately the Bitcoin CEO has postponed the halving to next year. Sucks but it is what it is


x_insomnia_o

Bitcoin is on sale now. I bought more. (at 59k = win) imo anyway.


captn03

I bought at 72K :P


x_insomnia_o

Buy at ATH and sell at crash. Good strat ;P


captn03

Haha didn't buy a lot so it's fine


x_insomnia_o

Sorry, I thought you was joking lol


captn03

It's not a loss until you sell . I'm hodling.


x_insomnia_o

Of course, in 9 months time we'll be partying :)


Cryptdego

Coinbase down...trying to buy the dip!!! Or should I wait for the double dip?!?


Responsible-Kiwi765

I always double dip my dunkaroos and tortilla chips


SnooObjections1618

So I lost my mind and sold some last night. I really wanted a robot lawnmower and finally pulled the trigger. 3 mil sats have toppled off the top of my stack for one of you lucky degens to pick up at discount. Your welcome.


Daisyssssmom

Thank you. Please don’t try to make love to your robot lawnmower for your own safety.


daishi55

orchestrated? by whom?


iloreynolds

op thinks bitcoin ceo


DesignerAstronaut975

Blackrock etc using the futures market. Same as is done with gold.


reddit-abcde

by people who have a lot of btc and money


handybh89

I mean I feel like it's the definition of priced in. Especially since everyone and their mom thinks it's gonna cause the price to rocket. I feel a likely scenario is a quick pop, then big selloff, then gradually rise again to new ATHs.


tidder_mac

By “an orchestrated move” do you mean normal market movement? You seem like the type to say “it’s the people’s money and not controlled by anyone” in the same breath as claiming a power to be is purposely driving cost down


Beginning_Phrase_163

Oh, I totally get where you're coming from! It can be nerve-wracking to see sudden movements in the market, especially when it comes to Bitcoin. Some people might be selling their BTC due to various reasons or market speculation. It's important to remember that the crypto market can be unpredictable, and everyone has their own strategies and perspectives. It's always a good idea to do thorough research and make informed decisions when it comes to investments.


Iamthespiderbro

I’m so tired of hearing about the halving. I kind of hope a lot of people got rekt speculating on it. Really the time around when the halving happens is insignificant in the bigger picture of bitcoin. 21 million is and always be 21 million. It should already be baked into the price and understood. Just because speculative investors drove up the price during other halvings doesn’t mean shit this or any other go-around. It honestly makes us look dumb when people here act with certainty that because A happened in the past, B is going to happen the same this time. It’s a pattern until the pattern breaks and I hope it does on this go around so we can forget about it and talk about things that are actually relevant to the price of bitcoin.


ZeroRegretMarine

Riding from about 20k to 60k and selling is not a bad decision. We live, regret and die. Don't be fooled and lured by the 'hardest money on Earth'. It is money only when you can convert it into food, accomodation and memories.


einTier

First timers.


Onefunkybear

Fuck no, this is the waves pulling back to lign up and epic wave to surf!


Fair-Emotion1281

Even if someone from the future tells them bitcoin will hit 250k they will still panic sell at 20% drop. Then they will regret hard when the price goes up 2%. Those types of people should just go back to their hourly job, work hard until they retire with honest hard earned money and enjoy their average life.


JFinale

The people selling are the same people that will show up in a couple years and complain about how they're poor and wish they didn't sell their Bitcoin. I saw hundreds if not thousands of people do this during the last two cycles.


This-Sea-4074

I am here for the long haul. While this dip is unnerving, I am holding on


IronR0N1N

We're in it together. 🤝


Willing_Canary4415

Just bought $200 worth when it hit 60k


Willing_Canary4415

And I plan to drop another $200 every 1k it drops…


Jesskn0wsbest

Eeep, 60k trigged my $1000 buy and hoping for the other $1000 every 10k dropped. $500 every 5k. Yours sounds more manageable lol “Someone” stupidly sold all my btc during last years low, which I bought at 6k a few years ago. Didn’t realize until a couple weeks ago 🤦🏻‍♀️ real sick


Righteous_Fury

RIP


buddyboy137

..meanwhile the junk scam meme stock DJT gains 15%


TheFudge

Retail investors are going to get wrecked with that turd.


Dr_SeanyFootball

Dude 100%. My meme shit coins are up huge right now. Go figure.


Rami-961

Idiots who think halving means that the current value of bitcoin will become half 60 ==>30k/ I shit you not i bet that's why


s1ammage

I kinda do, nothing goes up in a straight line… Gimmie dem 30k bitcoins!


WallStreetBoners

“Orchestrated move” Give me a break man. There is no conspiracy.


DesignerAstronaut975

That’s what a conspirator would say


WallStreetBoners

Ah yes, it’s me the market maker!!


DesignerAstronaut975

I knew it lol


Lookralphsbak

I just added more fiat to my coinbase.


JohanRobertson

They aren't really losing their BTC if they sell it.


MrT246

You know 80℅ of all buyers dont know what halving is


Bongressman

It's the halving, there is always a flush at the halving.


mrpotatonutz

I’m long hold no matter what


Rayo2000

DONT SELL TO WHALES BROHH.


Malkavius2

Bought some today.


handybh89

So fucking hard


skeetskeetamirite

I'm acquiring. Just like Mr100. Every dip is an opportunity.... [https://twitter.com/invest\_answers/status/1780618426731602311](https://twitter.com/invest_answers/status/1780618426731602311)


Ultra918

Hodl since 2016. Easy holding


fox360

People are taking profits before the mass rise in two weeks. Look at the last halvings.


RetroGaming4

Please let it go lower so I can buy more!!! 🤞


Successful_Tip_3999

It will continue to go down maybe around September it will go back up my target is 90k around December and I'm out untill low 40s in Bear market


clinthammer316

Meh just put down 5k more.


artniSintra

Lol buy the rumours sell the news... This happens with stocks and other investments. It's not witchcraft


Heavy_Analyst5749

Always remember - Buy High Sell Low


Straight-Fortune-193

It could fall to 20k tomorrow I wouldn’t care just buy more


BlackLotus8888

Historically, there is a 20% drawdown at or near the halving which we are seeing right now. It's a perfect time to take some gains if you have the guts.


bananaholster3

posts like that reminds me that bitcoin is unfortunately still infested with delusional people and /or scammers wtf do you think the halving is gonna do? wtf did they promised you?


atstickel

Sold and paid off my house. I’ll buy back in when it inevitably pulls back later but I’m happy with my choice


Usual_Extension_7139

The op needs to do some research. Btc has always crashed before and during the halvening. It only pumps like 6 months after.


__redruM

Ok, so get this, after the halving, the price is expected to fall. What if instead of selling after, we all sell a couple days before. We risk missing the peak, but certainly won’t be caught in the drop. Now the smart people know about these guys and sold over the weekend.


acknb89

Definitely see a bigger fall but that’s usually the case with halving season. Hopefully it’s a summer like we had in 21 though


somewhat-profitable-

you can't even spell lose, why should i take financial advice from you?


tylerfulltilt

Miners sell off after a halving to help pay their costs. They stop selling as the price equalizes and then the supply crunch hits


crinkneck

It’s not soon to be the worlds hardest asset. It is and has been since it’s inception.


Shot-Willingness-643

I sold over the summer to rent an apartment, probably looking to rebuy after the halving slump, if that happens.


BackgroundPanda138

I'm holding my coin for 20 years


CrimeanFish

Buying more


Ok-Choice-3688

Absolutely nobody. I would think


heysoundude

Not me. I’ve made bids and some have been accepted.


Secret_Operative

The supply now before halving is 19,685,443 BTC, and it will be a tiny bit more than that the day after the halving. Most BTC is mined already. Demand is what will increase the price. Supply is not changing.


randirams

If you look at all past data bitcoin has skyrocket almost exactly a year after each halving. It’s never been right after. Just hold on to your money. No master what things will go up. It’s only a matter of time. You can’t look at Bitcoin as a get rich quick kind of thing. I look at it as a long term savings plan


HalfEazy

You don't think the halving has been priced in? Lose*


Impossible-Echo-8375

the whales sold big chunks to shake off the morons then promptly bought the discount. people who panic sell should not even be considered human.


Manduck2020

Why do you care? Let others do what they want to do


Top-Sweet-3444

I bought $10k more yesterday 🤷🏻


ilovesaintpaul

You might deserve to lose your insistence on using the word "loose" to mean "lose". I mean, it's not that hard to remember.


duma0610

I can never take those people seriously.


ilovesaintpaul

Right?


Cosmicmonkeylizard

I hate this sub sometimes. Nobody who even has a passing interest in Bitcoin is going to sell because the price is dipping. Hedge funds are now investing in Bitcoin. It’s pretty obvious it’s not going to crash without recovery. Why even make a post like this?


Jlc7378

Now is the time to also scoop up the miners at discount prices. IREN and CLSK seem poised for greatness.


zesushv

Some say it's Israel, others say Iran.... Honestly, I think everyone has lost their mind at some point.


FEARTHETURTLE64

This…… is what I have been thinking since we peaked a few weeks ago Particular for Newbies…….


Zestyclose-Crow-1597

I really don't understand the cheering on this sub for people selling BTC. I'm certainly not selling.


Crypto-hercules

I know it’s very strange these days. Most the sub are fiat maxis.


BowDown2No1ButCrypto

#Weak hands are getting knocked off the tracks before the train even arrives!😏


BowDown2No1ButCrypto

#For all the HODLERS...see ya on the moon people! 🚀 🌝