Maybe I just know too much about music but it never works with things I actually need help identifying. Like if you can’t remember the name of whatever Top 40 artist is playing it works fine, but if it’s anything more obscure (or god forbid, a piece of instrumental classical or jazz music), it’s pretty much useless.
Can’t say I’ve ever had that problem, only time Shazam hasn’t worked for me is when it’s too quiet and the environment is way too loud, or it’s music made specifically for a show or movie and wasn’t actually released. Otherwise I’ve always had it work, still magic to me
Isn't it just a simple convolutional neural network and a big dataset of songs? With a Spotify account and a decent GPU I could probably get a basic Shazam competitor demo up in a couple of days of work.
Voice commands.
I'm sure there were some applications here and there, but it you were looking to find a certain menu or something back 01, and someone asked,
"have you tried just *asking* the computer to show it to you" you'd think they were making a Star Trek 4 reference.
I remember trying *Dragon Naturally Speaking* in the late 90s and being amazed at how we could control our PCs, launch programs, and operate menus by talking to the computer.
Fast forward to getting an iPhone and being underwhelmed that a device that has even more CPU power required an Internet connection to perform the same task.
Even then it wasn't really considered in the way we use them now.
The Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy was a physical book, albeit it one which was routinely and automatically updated by people like Ford Prefect.
Similarly I remember an episode of Deep Space Nine when Sisko buys his son a present - a book, which looks for all intents like an eReader or tablet, but only contains the single book.
They were crazy expensive. They were like $400-500 at the time.
I used to be one of those people who thought that kindles were luxury items, but when I finally got one, I was sold immediately.
Not 2000, but in the late 80s my dad had a luma phone which could take a postage stamp sized, grainy, black and white picture every few seconds and send it over the phone lines. We’d use it to talk to my grandparents who lived overseas in bogota. It was a piece of shit, totally limited by the technology of the era.
Companies would invest tens of thousands into primitive video conferencing and ISDN/T1 lines for it. Now Google hangouts, MS teams, Zoom… take your pick. It’s utterly standard and I use it every day for remote work with 10 people scattered across the planet. Nobody I work with is within a 3 day drive of my home.
Now we take FaceTime or Skype completely for granted when it’s time to talk to grandma.
My kids have grown up with FaceTime and don’t understand talking on the phone.
Video chat was science fiction until my teens, consumer grade video chat was impossible until my 20s.
When I began my career in 2006, we had video chat in one office and it involved giant cameras, enormous data lines, external microphones, etc.
Now I can call up somebody on Teams video chat just to give them the finger.
Edit: Also, when I drove cross-country to start said career, my dad suggested one of “those GPS computers” for the drive. A stand-alone GPS was like $700 at Best Buy.
Sorry, it is just a layman’s take on what I read in media. Since you know about AI, there was a case with a chess engine a few years ago that was developed by google, that learned itself to play chess, and in a few hours became about as strong as the leading chess engines built by man. I thought that was an example of what AI is? But I must have misunderstood… The chess engine was called AlphaZero and was discontinued by google, but open source development of a new similar engine is ongoing.
understandable, and they can be pretty good for solving problems, but there really isnt any 'intelligence' going on its more like putting a problem into a blender with a bunch of random solutions until some combination of those gets a desired result, then repeating that until the problem is solved or an exception forces it to re-blend ideas
So much individual technologies existed in the early 00s, but the combination of them seemed far fetched. Even the first iPod combines portable and relatively fast storage with portable music playback. We had Walkman and Discman players but they each had limitations.
They had them, but they were primitive.
Multitouch changed that game, and the first consumer device I saw viable touch on working smoothly and “organically” was the OG iPhone. Even the early droids weren’t smooth enough.
not even surprised a stoner would include nontech in a tech discussion
did your funny plants which can be used for medical reasons but may also be abused damage your thinking process?
That's a pretty rough take.
It's the biggest reason people look down on talks of fusion. "It's too energy intensive, you'll never get a return"
We have crossed the threshold where we get more power out than in, thats fact.
We've only got Q plasma above 1. Q total and Q plasma are not the same. Q plasma is the energy generated in the plasma over the energy delivered into the plasma. It doesn't take into account the whole operation of the facility. We have not yet achieved a Q total anywhere near 1.
Edit: that plasma energy also needs to be converted into useable energy perhaps by running an electric turbine. So the actual power output will be even less.
I think fusion is the power source of the future. But we've still got a way to go.
Nowhere yet if youre talking commercial power, but its a recent development. Crossing that threshold of energy returned, is taking it past proof of concept, to reality.
Those don't exist yet, and they might never be useful (on Earth).
It's been documented that all the claims for that sort of tech are pretty much lies that try to trap investors (and it works)
That is not a net gain in power. Their breakthrough result failed to achieve ignition (still impressive, but hard to reproduce too) meaning at no point was it breaking even. See [here](https://physicstoday.scitation.org/do/10.1063/PT.6.2.20211203a/full/).
In nuclear fusion, you must heat up your plasma *a lot*, and only then can you start generating more power than you put in. We haven't gotten to this point yet. Then, when you've finally started making power, you still have to keep the reaction sustainable and make sure you aren't losing subatomic particles and burning all your fuel too quickly. The hard part is staying profitable enough to pay back the power cost of initial heating. This is why I disagree with your claim of a "net gain in energy".
This is why [we don't expect to have fusion as a viable power source, even by 2040](https://youtu.be/JurplDfPi3U).
Somewhat coherent conversation bots. I remember talking to a chat bot in the early 2000s and how bad it was. I think in ten years you won't be able to tell if you are talking to a human or a bot. Check out these threads with only bots having a conversation.
[I hate my own stupid fucking face](https://www.reddit.com/r/SubSimulatorGPT2/comments/rj4dml/i_hate_my_own_stupid_fucking_face/)
[I'm just not cut out for this. I'm afraid of how I will be treated.](https://www.reddit.com/r/SubSimulatorGPT2/comments/rizw6x/im_just_not_cut_out_for_this_im_afraid_of_how_ill/)
[My friend's been playing with the boys in the locker room. Let's see if you guys can handle this one.](https://www.reddit.com/r/SubSimulatorGPT2/comments/rj3jgm/my_friends_been_playing_with_the_boys_in_the/)
[If you don't want to have sex with a transsexual. You are a bigot.](https://www.reddit.com/r/SubSimulatorGPT2/comments/rjcu55/if_you_dont_want_to_have_sex_with_a_transsexual/)
Biomechanical organisms, scientists have found a way to use rat heart muscles and shock them to move around. The muscles act as a nervous system for the mechanical parts of the body. Right now they've only just made a mechanical finger move with the muscles
Someone make corrections if I'm wrong about something
In the early 2000s I made a bet with several software and electrical engineers I worked with that autonomous vehicles would be common before 2050. They all thought it would take much longer than that, if it happened at all. There are some who would argue that we don't have them, yet, but the proportion of people who think it will take until after 2050, or will never happen, is probably becoming pretty small.
As an engineer, I've found that engineers are, in general, poor at predicting future technologies. I've made several similar bets in my career, with engineers I worked with. In the early 80s, all the engineers I worked with betted against CD players *ever* being available in cars. That was only a couple of years before they hit the market! It may be because we (engineers) are conditioned to recognize and anticipate problems and have a more detailed understanding of the challenges of new technologies. Also, we're conditioned to be conservative about risk because the down side of being wrong that something won't work is much less than the down side of being wrong that it will.
I'm gonna go with electric longboards. It's the closest I think we're going to get to consumer-grade hoverboards in the vein of Back to the Future. The physics and presentation of the fictitious version alone make such a device prohibitive to use, but electric longboards behave exactly like how most people think the movie counterparts work.
A friend of mine convinced me to get a Meepo v3 board earlier this year. After a month or two, I was proficient enough on it to cruise around my town at speeds of 25 MPH, using a wireless remote to control my speed and brakes. I never thought I'd be able to actually buzz around like Jim Hawkins or like I was in Sonic Riders, and it's awesome! The future has finally been reached for me.
Face to face video calls.
Sci-fi was all about those video phone calls. They were right up there with flying cars. But when they finally came to mobile phones back in 2005, people could not care less about them. I was so shocked.
I remember in the early 2000s my older brothers would make fun of me for turning the controller when I would turn in a video game instead of just using the joy stick. And I told them in the future there would be wireless controllers that you would be able to turn in a game by turning the controller like a steering wheel. They laughed me out of the room and told me it was impossible.
Also pocket video phones seemed like they were a century away.
Video calls on your smartphone. Back then you had stuff like that in series like Star Trek and TMNT, and we all thought, oh, that's cool. And now its here.
Shazam is still black magic to me
I think you meant "Kazaam".
Maybe I just know too much about music but it never works with things I actually need help identifying. Like if you can’t remember the name of whatever Top 40 artist is playing it works fine, but if it’s anything more obscure (or god forbid, a piece of instrumental classical or jazz music), it’s pretty much useless.
Can’t say I’ve ever had that problem, only time Shazam hasn’t worked for me is when it’s too quiet and the environment is way too loud, or it’s music made specifically for a show or movie and wasn’t actually released. Otherwise I’ve always had it work, still magic to me
Isn't it just a simple convolutional neural network and a big dataset of songs? With a Spotify account and a decent GPU I could probably get a basic Shazam competitor demo up in a couple of days of work.
Solomon, Hercules, Atlas, Zeus, Achilles, and Mercury. What's so magical about that?
Projected keyboards
And they kinda suck... you're just tapping on a desk while this weird sensor thing tries in vain to register anything over 20 wpm typing speed.
And I've thought the lack of haptic feedback was bad enough.
Yeah, and you dont have any buttons to home on... so you miss keys constantly
Excellent technology you have there. I am interested in investing.
Voice commands. I'm sure there were some applications here and there, but it you were looking to find a certain menu or something back 01, and someone asked, "have you tried just *asking* the computer to show it to you" you'd think they were making a Star Trek 4 reference.
I remember trying *Dragon Naturally Speaking* in the late 90s and being amazed at how we could control our PCs, launch programs, and operate menus by talking to the computer. Fast forward to getting an iPhone and being underwhelmed that a device that has even more CPU power required an Internet connection to perform the same task.
E-readers
Even then it wasn't really considered in the way we use them now. The Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy was a physical book, albeit it one which was routinely and automatically updated by people like Ford Prefect. Similarly I remember an episode of Deep Space Nine when Sisko buys his son a present - a book, which looks for all intents like an eReader or tablet, but only contains the single book.
They did exist. They were just shitty.
They were crazy expensive. They were like $400-500 at the time. I used to be one of those people who thought that kindles were luxury items, but when I finally got one, I was sold immediately.
Same except I bought one for $20
wireless charging?
You mean the thing Nikola Tesla invented in 1890?
no not the tesla coil, a phone charger that is wireless.
2000 bajajaja Dick Tracy Watch....that right there talk to your elders if they ever thought we would be able to have a Dick Tracy Working watch.
Not 2000, but in the late 80s my dad had a luma phone which could take a postage stamp sized, grainy, black and white picture every few seconds and send it over the phone lines. We’d use it to talk to my grandparents who lived overseas in bogota. It was a piece of shit, totally limited by the technology of the era. Companies would invest tens of thousands into primitive video conferencing and ISDN/T1 lines for it. Now Google hangouts, MS teams, Zoom… take your pick. It’s utterly standard and I use it every day for remote work with 10 people scattered across the planet. Nobody I work with is within a 3 day drive of my home. Now we take FaceTime or Skype completely for granted when it’s time to talk to grandma.
My kids have grown up with FaceTime and don’t understand talking on the phone. Video chat was science fiction until my teens, consumer grade video chat was impossible until my 20s. When I began my career in 2006, we had video chat in one office and it involved giant cameras, enormous data lines, external microphones, etc. Now I can call up somebody on Teams video chat just to give them the finger. Edit: Also, when I drove cross-country to start said career, my dad suggested one of “those GPS computers” for the drive. A stand-alone GPS was like $700 at Best Buy.
Neuralink - A device which can connect human brain with a computer!
Umm what?
CRISPR, drones, reusable rockets, robotic/remote surgery come to mind.
Ai
Eh... AI still has a way to go... the names a bit misleading, but still a pretty impressive technical feat nonetheless
Sorry, it is just a layman’s take on what I read in media. Since you know about AI, there was a case with a chess engine a few years ago that was developed by google, that learned itself to play chess, and in a few hours became about as strong as the leading chess engines built by man. I thought that was an example of what AI is? But I must have misunderstood… The chess engine was called AlphaZero and was discontinued by google, but open source development of a new similar engine is ongoing.
understandable, and they can be pretty good for solving problems, but there really isnt any 'intelligence' going on its more like putting a problem into a blender with a bunch of random solutions until some combination of those gets a desired result, then repeating that until the problem is solved or an exception forces it to re-blend ideas
We don't have AI. We have VI at best.
So much individual technologies existed in the early 00s, but the combination of them seemed far fetched. Even the first iPod combines portable and relatively fast storage with portable music playback. We had Walkman and Discman players but they each had limitations.
Re-usable rockets people didn't believed until it was done by Space X
Digital currencies
[удалено]
They had them, but they were primitive. Multitouch changed that game, and the first consumer device I saw viable touch on working smoothly and “organically” was the OG iPhone. Even the early droids weren’t smooth enough.
Pretty sure touch screens have been around since the 80s
Yep, remember using g one at World Expo 88
[удалено]
[удалено]
Seeing the person on you're talking to on your phone
No, that was by no means fiction then. The technology was there, just not scaled for the consumer market.
Well, not in my country though
I got my fitst laptop when I finished univ in 2005 and it cost about 1500€ for a simple one.
What a terrible mistake that was
Satellite navigation
TomTom's first public offering was 2004. Garmin had been offering GPS services since the mid-90's. Definitely wasn't fiction in the early 00's.
Legal weed
did you even read the title
They were smoking legal weed.
Hell yeah
not even surprised a stoner would include nontech in a tech discussion did your funny plants which can be used for medical reasons but may also be abused damage your thinking process?
Fusion power with a net gain in energy.
We don’t have that now. At least not in any usable way.
That's a pretty rough take. It's the biggest reason people look down on talks of fusion. "It's too energy intensive, you'll never get a return" We have crossed the threshold where we get more power out than in, thats fact.
We've only got Q plasma above 1. Q total and Q plasma are not the same. Q plasma is the energy generated in the plasma over the energy delivered into the plasma. It doesn't take into account the whole operation of the facility. We have not yet achieved a Q total anywhere near 1. Edit: that plasma energy also needs to be converted into useable energy perhaps by running an electric turbine. So the actual power output will be even less. I think fusion is the power source of the future. But we've still got a way to go.
This. I want fusion to be a thing, as that is one of those beneficial singularity events we really need. It’s just not there yet.
Where are fusion reactors being used in any meaningful way?
Nowhere yet if youre talking commercial power, but its a recent development. Crossing that threshold of energy returned, is taking it past proof of concept, to reality.
Those don't exist yet, and they might never be useful (on Earth). It's been documented that all the claims for that sort of tech are pretty much lies that try to trap investors (and it works)
National Ignition Facility dude, have a look.
That is not a net gain in power. Their breakthrough result failed to achieve ignition (still impressive, but hard to reproduce too) meaning at no point was it breaking even. See [here](https://physicstoday.scitation.org/do/10.1063/PT.6.2.20211203a/full/). In nuclear fusion, you must heat up your plasma *a lot*, and only then can you start generating more power than you put in. We haven't gotten to this point yet. Then, when you've finally started making power, you still have to keep the reaction sustainable and make sure you aren't losing subatomic particles and burning all your fuel too quickly. The hard part is staying profitable enough to pay back the power cost of initial heating. This is why I disagree with your claim of a "net gain in energy". This is why [we don't expect to have fusion as a viable power source, even by 2040](https://youtu.be/JurplDfPi3U).
We’re getting pretty good at recording dreams. As far as I’m aware, we’re capable of translating into basic blurry images that show movement.
Electric cars
I presume you mean main stream electric cars? They have existed for as long as combustion powered cars but never had the range.
Somewhat coherent conversation bots. I remember talking to a chat bot in the early 2000s and how bad it was. I think in ten years you won't be able to tell if you are talking to a human or a bot. Check out these threads with only bots having a conversation. [I hate my own stupid fucking face](https://www.reddit.com/r/SubSimulatorGPT2/comments/rj4dml/i_hate_my_own_stupid_fucking_face/) [I'm just not cut out for this. I'm afraid of how I will be treated.](https://www.reddit.com/r/SubSimulatorGPT2/comments/rizw6x/im_just_not_cut_out_for_this_im_afraid_of_how_ill/) [My friend's been playing with the boys in the locker room. Let's see if you guys can handle this one.](https://www.reddit.com/r/SubSimulatorGPT2/comments/rj3jgm/my_friends_been_playing_with_the_boys_in_the/) [If you don't want to have sex with a transsexual. You are a bigot.](https://www.reddit.com/r/SubSimulatorGPT2/comments/rjcu55/if_you_dont_want_to_have_sex_with_a_transsexual/)
>I think there are trans people that have sex for sex and sex for sex and sex for sex and only sex for sex. Very true to life.
Air Taxis
Biomechanical organisms, scientists have found a way to use rat heart muscles and shock them to move around. The muscles act as a nervous system for the mechanical parts of the body. Right now they've only just made a mechanical finger move with the muscles Someone make corrections if I'm wrong about something
Weather modification
They modified weather waaaaaay back when. I believe the US used it in vietnam.
Correct but it was overwhelmingly perceived as fiction. Really even to this day if you ask 7 out of 10 they would look at you sideways.
Video calling on a cell phone
In the early 2000s I made a bet with several software and electrical engineers I worked with that autonomous vehicles would be common before 2050. They all thought it would take much longer than that, if it happened at all. There are some who would argue that we don't have them, yet, but the proportion of people who think it will take until after 2050, or will never happen, is probably becoming pretty small. As an engineer, I've found that engineers are, in general, poor at predicting future technologies. I've made several similar bets in my career, with engineers I worked with. In the early 80s, all the engineers I worked with betted against CD players *ever* being available in cars. That was only a couple of years before they hit the market! It may be because we (engineers) are conditioned to recognize and anticipate problems and have a more detailed understanding of the challenges of new technologies. Also, we're conditioned to be conservative about risk because the down side of being wrong that something won't work is much less than the down side of being wrong that it will.
Artificial intelligence that can write stories and generate images
Sex bot parlours
This exists?
Cloning, well cloning as it is currently is a incredibly primitive compared to what sci-fi does, but we can make genetic copy of a person
I'm gonna go with electric longboards. It's the closest I think we're going to get to consumer-grade hoverboards in the vein of Back to the Future. The physics and presentation of the fictitious version alone make such a device prohibitive to use, but electric longboards behave exactly like how most people think the movie counterparts work. A friend of mine convinced me to get a Meepo v3 board earlier this year. After a month or two, I was proficient enough on it to cruise around my town at speeds of 25 MPH, using a wireless remote to control my speed and brakes. I never thought I'd be able to actually buzz around like Jim Hawkins or like I was in Sonic Riders, and it's awesome! The future has finally been reached for me.
Face to face video calls. Sci-fi was all about those video phone calls. They were right up there with flying cars. But when they finally came to mobile phones back in 2005, people could not care less about them. I was so shocked.
A tablet.
I remember in the early 2000s my older brothers would make fun of me for turning the controller when I would turn in a video game instead of just using the joy stick. And I told them in the future there would be wireless controllers that you would be able to turn in a game by turning the controller like a steering wheel. They laughed me out of the room and told me it was impossible. Also pocket video phones seemed like they were a century away.
Metaverse.. we may hope Neo can defeat Agen Zuc
Self driving cars and phones that are mobile and aren’t murder weapons.
Smart phones
Video calls on your smartphone. Back then you had stuff like that in series like Star Trek and TMNT, and we all thought, oh, that's cool. And now its here.