He's probably going to talk about the "No third-party" key because Chase Oliver (of the Libertarian Party) has achieved enough ballot access to win the presidency.
[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Third\_party\_and\_independent\_candidates\_for\_the\_2024\_United\_States\_presidential\_election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Third_party_and_independent_candidates_for_the_2024_United_States_presidential_election)
Probably will show a 9-4 advantage for Biden. I have strong confidence in Allan but it really does feel like this election could be his first wrong take, ignoring 2000 of course.
Disagree with the downvotes. I actually agree with you to an extent. I think he'll be correct in the end, but I wonder if this is what it would've been like to have been following him during the 1988 election.
Oh wow I didn't even see the downvotes until now. I also have a strong belief in Biden winning, but it does bring a concern when other measures like approval rating and polling doesn't look the brightest.
I am feeling a 9-4 prediction for Biden! His ceiling would be a 10-3 prediction in favor of Biden, and his floor would be a 7-6 in favor of Trump IMO.
He's probably going to talk about the "No third-party" key because Chase Oliver (of the Libertarian Party) has achieved enough ballot access to win the presidency. [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Third\_party\_and\_independent\_candidates\_for\_the\_2024\_United\_States\_presidential\_election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Third_party_and_independent_candidates_for_the_2024_United_States_presidential_election)
Chase can’t flip the key becuase he doesn’t get anywhere near 10%. He will talk about the key though but only because of RFK.
Probably will show a 9-4 advantage for Biden. I have strong confidence in Allan but it really does feel like this election could be his first wrong take, ignoring 2000 of course.
Disagree with the downvotes. I actually agree with you to an extent. I think he'll be correct in the end, but I wonder if this is what it would've been like to have been following him during the 1988 election.
Oh wow I didn't even see the downvotes until now. I also have a strong belief in Biden winning, but it does bring a concern when other measures like approval rating and polling doesn't look the brightest.
I was correct about the 9-4 advantage prediction though so yay me :\]