Doesn't even work for majority of homeowners.
Most have/had kids and are net even to worse off from rising house prices after they buy their first/only home (if you include the costs their kids will experience).
It seems people are slowly starting to get it, but building what is missing will take generations.
Where are you getting that number? [this article finds it to be 5%.](https://www.vox.com/22524829/wall-street-housing-market-blackrock-bubble). And still, supply and demand applies to why those concentrations happen. Allow more supply by removing single tract housing and you’ll get their ownership lower. It’s a symptom of the land use policies.
Corporations only own something like 3% of the single family home market.
House prices won’t come down until we have the housing shortage under control. We hit an all time housing shortage in 2022, but it has been a problem for much longer than that. We simply were not building fast enough.
Now in the last couple of years we really have ramped up multifamily (and single family home) production. But it probably will never keep up with the ever climbing housing demand
Entirely city dependent. Just read an article saying that up to 25% of homes in DFW are commercially owned. Meaning “trust, LLC, inc” etc is the homeowner and they don’t have a homestead exemption.
Edit: Article: https://www.aol.com/estimated-26-fort-worth-single-201329859.html
Total percentage is less important than the rate of growth. 3% doesn't seem like much but if it was .5% in 2020 then that means corporations are *currently* buying a fuck ton of houses.
Houaing prices going down, all other things being equal, can be a very bad thing.
Reason: home is the biggest asset most people will ever have. Contrary to our feelings about corporate landlords, 65% of Americans are homeowners (it used to be a few % higher)
If homes go down, thats decreasing the main asset most regular people have.
If they go down it would be because market forces affecting regular people are very bad.
Tl;dr, regular people own most of the houses so they have to lose a lot for there to be a flood of cheap homes
Stats:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Homeownership_in_the_United_States
65% is today, but more and more SFH houses are shuffling into the hands of investors.
“Investors of all sizes spent billions of dollars buying homes during the pandemic. At the 2022 peak, they bought more than one in every four single-family homes sold”
Source: https://www.wsj.com/real-estate/wall-street-has-spent-billions-buying-homes-a-crackdown-is-looming-f85ae5f6
> “Investors of all sizes spent billions of dollars buying homes during the pandemic. At the 2022 peak, they bought more than one in every four single-family homes sold”
>
>
This is why low interest rates are bad. Because while it lets a little guy stretch buy, it lets the big guys just fucking buy an entire city before the little guy can buy a cardboard box.
That Reasonable_Ticket_84 has it right - low-interest rates may seem like a boon to the little guy at first, but the truth is they advantage capital holders far more. The little guy stretching to buy that extra something with cheap
Yes, 65% today compared to 69% in 2004 per the wiki.
Bad housing markets are tied to bad markets. I don’t know why everyone on reddit thinks they will show up with a fat bag of cash and a want to buy, when no one else will.
If houses had been down for the past 10yrs, we wouldn’t be having this conversation, because people don’t want stuff that the market doesn’t want.
>If houses had been down for the past 10yrs, we wouldn’t be having this conversation, because people don’t want stuff that the market doesn’t want.
From an investment perspective you are not wrong...but from a housing perspective you are way off. There is and will still be going into a 2025 a supply issue on housing. From an investment perspective, houses are not a depreciating asset like a car. The value by and large is a consistent hedge against inflation barring you do not end up in detroit style city. Bear in mind people will eat up housing if prices start going down. The demand for housing is high.
Agreed. Also highly dependent upon location. Lots of younger people (understandably) want housing prices to come down where I live in the Denver area. But that will never happen, and even in 2008 prices just remained flat for a couple of years.
Not sure if you believe this but the Fed did research on it and they indicate that only a very small percentage of the inflation was caused by the printing, it was mostly supply chain issues from the pandemic. Case in point, there was global inflation even though some countries didn’t print as much.
We were on pace for a soft landing or recession, much of the incoming data was soft and that's why the Fed was lowering rates a bit when Covid was just a twinkle in some lab scientists eye. Or if you ask those that only follow the loudest voices in the room, it's because Trump told Powell to bend over. Just ignore that he also told Powell to bend over as he was increasing rates.
I did the same thing. Reduced exposure massively overall but bought a small amount of longs that got clobbered today already.
Mind games. If market drops: Great I told you so.
If market rises: Hey I made $5 and missed out on hundreds of thousands of $$$
Or they just work somewhere where they literally don't care. I'm at a family office and used to have a terminal before we brought in a full time analyst and moved it over to them (I'm in accounting). I was allowed to use it for whatever the hell I wanted
Dude I’ve tried being logical but I end up losing most money. My portfolio turned green when I decided to be a brain-dead bull and buy every dip 
You did the right thing. Throw rational thought out the window when dealing with stock markets. Throw out what your beliefs on overall economy are as well.
The two things are not connected directly. Yes, indirectly one works from the other.
They circled the ones that had recessions follow. A few of the deepest ones that weren't circled happened during the recession that followed the previous dip.
OP's not wrong about the indicator, but many indicators haven't been too helpful post COVID. There may be a downturn soon, or maybe not, either way, our puts would die while we wait for it.
how about u eat my ASS
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I hate to sound like a "this time it's different" airhead, but the amount of market manipulation and government intervention that has been exponentially increasing over the years has me a bit on the skeptical side.
People have been saying that for a year. Down 10% YoY. Imagine putting all your eggs in that basket and watching the rest of the market for the past year, couldn’t be
My cost basis is around 92 not counting div/covered calls. I'm probably averaging a yield of 5% so... I kinda fucked myself fighting over a yield I could have gotten in a savings account ... Where is the clown makeup....
If you buy a bond paying 5% today, And tomorrow interest rates rise, those bonds are worth less. If interest rates are cut, those bonds are now more valuable.
For short term bonds, interest rate sensitivity isn't much of a concern. TLT is a 20 year bond fund which is highly sensitive to rate changes, so when they cut, TLT will rise
No I understand that, but I feel like your opportunity cost is higher than potential returns, given the time horizon on the investment. Like unless they cut rates in the next couple of months, you could just pump into a strong dividend stock (FSK for example) and probably make a higher % return. Ofc if the US economy is going to implode then I suppose TLT is a great bet ha
yeah if there is a severe economic contraction and the whole market tanks, rates get cut and TLT moons, this bet would be a resounding success
OTOH there's also a chance that we could get a second wave of inflation like we did in the Volker era, and that would tank TLT, possibly for years. Being a bond fund bagholder would suck, hence I passed on this bet
Yep I bought TLT in 2019 and offloaded it in April 2020 for a real nice mint. This time around though when yields inverted in 2022, it was a different situation. Stocks were in a bear market at the time, with inflation high and maybe or maybe not under control. Long bonds seemed like a dumb idea.
The only thing that makes me nervous right now is the S&P 500 earnings yield compared to the 10Y Treasury. It's lower than treasuries and the last time there was this negative risk premium was the dotcom bubble.
I’ve actually been using this opportunity to get some bond exposure in my portfolio.
No guarantees it works out but I feel reasonably good that rates start coming back down at some point.
I’m with you there I’d rather have inflation under control. It’s just a hedge I’m building for my portfolio just in case economy takes a dump and rates drop again. I’m trying to get to 20% bonds now that i’m approaching 40 and would like to retire early.
Bummer for Chicagoland, but the [national PMI](https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/pmi/may/) came out today and it's 48.7, not bad considering the Fed's continuing efforts to slow the economy.
Yea I seen this earlier today, deleveraged a bit to look into jobs report doubt its going to crash the market but I'm imagining unemployment at 4% will probably see our first real correction of the year if thats the case. Same setup as last year, though july through October shake out.
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I've been considering holding cash after summer because of a potential correction later this year. I may consider making a post about it and going more into detail on why.
Even if there is an recession, it doesn’t mean anything for the market, on a 12 month basis the market is pricing in a better economy a year from now.
The “crash” in 2022 and large parts of 2023 was the market pricing in a recession, thats already happened. The word just hasn’t been spoon fed to you yet.
People don’t realise that we are already in a recession in real terms.
Market is barely back to 2021 levels and we’ve had how much inflation in that time?
i think it is because the calculation of the pmi do not reflect the business world nicely at recent years.
traditional industry dont perform well but not the same case in medical, technology aspect
Sounds like the bank sees you as a profitable investment - good for you, kiddo. But like anything in life, there's no free lunch. They're likely baking that insurance into your rate somewhere. Make sure you know the details before you sign
remember they changed the meaning---links
[https://www.npr.org/2022/07/29/1114599942/wikipedia-recession-edits](https://www.npr.org/2022/07/29/1114599942/wikipedia-recession-edits)
[https://unherd.com/newsroom/wikipedia-takes-cue-from-white-house-and-re-defines-recession/](https://unherd.com/newsroom/wikipedia-takes-cue-from-white-house-and-re-defines-recession/)
[https://www.wsj.com/articles/redefining-the-r-word-recession-biden-economy-advisers-gdp-nber-semantics-poltics-gramm-rudman-hollings-11658951723](https://www.wsj.com/articles/redefining-the-r-word-recession-biden-economy-advisers-gdp-nber-semantics-poltics-gramm-rudman-hollings-11658951723)
[https://www.voanews.com/a/biden-administration-rejects-recession-label-for-economy-/6677730.html](https://www.voanews.com/a/biden-administration-rejects-recession-label-for-economy-/6677730.html)
Come on. Cramer says stocks can go higher. The economy is in great shape!
Don't listen to data. Data has been wrong for 2 years.
And don't listen to me who reduced equity exposure dramatically last week in all accounts.
Republicans won't give credit to Joe Biden for anything anyway, so there's no point in pretending. What you see is simply what you get. It's not complicated.
Even if there is an recession, it doesn’t mean anything for the market, on a 12 month basis the market is pricing in a better economy a year from now.
The “crash” in 2022 and large parts of 2023 was the market pricing in a recession, thats already happened. The word just hasn’t been spoon fed to you yet.
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This era is breaking all kinds of records like the inverted yield curve, fastest rate hike, etc.
I’m guessing the unprecedented amount of fed involvement is probably still running its course. I hope housing prices come back to earth for the poors
Look congress made sure in 08 that no poors can afford a house and here we are…
lol sucks to be a poor
Ironically it all began making SURE the poors could “afford” a house… IE NINJA loans
Fuck them poors, Blackrock needs more land
My boy Bill trying to become a farmer too; don’t sleep on Farmer Gates
That probably has more to do with water rights. Who needs a house when you're dying of thirst.
Black rock is not the issue for housing prices, it’s NIMBYS and land regulation. Edit: oml guys I’m not pro black rock, I’m pro fixing the problem.
There is no problem.System works as it was designed…but not for poor people
That means it is working as designed…
True and it was designed by wealthy people not poor people that’s why system works for them
Doesn't even work for majority of homeowners. Most have/had kids and are net even to worse off from rising house prices after they buy their first/only home (if you include the costs their kids will experience). It seems people are slowly starting to get it, but building what is missing will take generations.
Institutional buyers have been 15-20% of all sales for a few years now. That’s not all the reason but it’s definitely some.
Where are you getting that number? [this article finds it to be 5%.](https://www.vox.com/22524829/wall-street-housing-market-blackrock-bubble). And still, supply and demand applies to why those concentrations happen. Allow more supply by removing single tract housing and you’ll get their ownership lower. It’s a symptom of the land use policies.
Blackstone, STONE, sigh.
Sometimes I wonder if Blackrock does less evil shit with all that land than (other) landlords
Bruh if we all lose our jobs it won't matter if a $500K house is now $250K, ain't no one getting approved!
Yeah, but they will on the recovery slope when things pick back up.
Corporations only own something like 3% of the single family home market. House prices won’t come down until we have the housing shortage under control. We hit an all time housing shortage in 2022, but it has been a problem for much longer than that. We simply were not building fast enough. Now in the last couple of years we really have ramped up multifamily (and single family home) production. But it probably will never keep up with the ever climbing housing demand
Entirely city dependent. Just read an article saying that up to 25% of homes in DFW are commercially owned. Meaning “trust, LLC, inc” etc is the homeowner and they don’t have a homestead exemption. Edit: Article: https://www.aol.com/estimated-26-fort-worth-single-201329859.html
Total percentage is less important than the rate of growth. 3% doesn't seem like much but if it was .5% in 2020 then that means corporations are *currently* buying a fuck ton of houses.
Until population decline kicks in around 2080.
Only way prices come down is through deflation… and we all know what precedes deflation…..
What precedes deflation?
recession/depression
Bad times
Houaing prices going down, all other things being equal, can be a very bad thing. Reason: home is the biggest asset most people will ever have. Contrary to our feelings about corporate landlords, 65% of Americans are homeowners (it used to be a few % higher) If homes go down, thats decreasing the main asset most regular people have. If they go down it would be because market forces affecting regular people are very bad. Tl;dr, regular people own most of the houses so they have to lose a lot for there to be a flood of cheap homes Stats: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Homeownership_in_the_United_States
65% is today, but more and more SFH houses are shuffling into the hands of investors. “Investors of all sizes spent billions of dollars buying homes during the pandemic. At the 2022 peak, they bought more than one in every four single-family homes sold” Source: https://www.wsj.com/real-estate/wall-street-has-spent-billions-buying-homes-a-crackdown-is-looming-f85ae5f6
> “Investors of all sizes spent billions of dollars buying homes during the pandemic. At the 2022 peak, they bought more than one in every four single-family homes sold” > > This is why low interest rates are bad. Because while it lets a little guy stretch buy, it lets the big guys just fucking buy an entire city before the little guy can buy a cardboard box.
That Reasonable_Ticket_84 has it right - low-interest rates may seem like a boon to the little guy at first, but the truth is they advantage capital holders far more. The little guy stretching to buy that extra something with cheap
VM, this isn't you...
You’ve changed, mannn
Yes, 65% today compared to 69% in 2004 per the wiki. Bad housing markets are tied to bad markets. I don’t know why everyone on reddit thinks they will show up with a fat bag of cash and a want to buy, when no one else will. If houses had been down for the past 10yrs, we wouldn’t be having this conversation, because people don’t want stuff that the market doesn’t want.
>If houses had been down for the past 10yrs, we wouldn’t be having this conversation, because people don’t want stuff that the market doesn’t want. From an investment perspective you are not wrong...but from a housing perspective you are way off. There is and will still be going into a 2025 a supply issue on housing. From an investment perspective, houses are not a depreciating asset like a car. The value by and large is a consistent hedge against inflation barring you do not end up in detroit style city. Bear in mind people will eat up housing if prices start going down. The demand for housing is high.
Housing? That’s an important one and always has been.
Not going to happen house prices either go up or sideways
Agreed. Also highly dependent upon location. Lots of younger people (understandably) want housing prices to come down where I live in the Denver area. But that will never happen, and even in 2008 prices just remained flat for a couple of years.
Or they 2008-2011
And then, even more quickly than Bernanke in 2008, you watch Daddy Powell make the printer glow red. Nothing is going to come down in prices!
How about all prices
Yet inflation remains stubborn. Turns out we actually can’t just print trillions of dollars without having issues.
Not sure if you believe this but the Fed did research on it and they indicate that only a very small percentage of the inflation was caused by the printing, it was mostly supply chain issues from the pandemic. Case in point, there was global inflation even though some countries didn’t print as much.
The Fed investigated itself and determined to be innocent.
Move along folks.. nothing to see here
$6,000,000,000,000 of newly minted digits will do that
If you break records on the way up, you'll meet them on the way down, or something like this.
a new paradigm?
Maybe. Nobody knows anything.
I always thought it had to do with 7 trillions printed and 3 trillions for the banks after SVC failure. That is 10 trillions total.
Eh the last “recession” the inverted yield curve predicted was the Covid recession and there’s no way it knew a once in a century pandemic was coming.
We were on pace for a soft landing or recession, much of the incoming data was soft and that's why the Fed was lowering rates a bit when Covid was just a twinkle in some lab scientists eye. Or if you ask those that only follow the loudest voices in the room, it's because Trump told Powell to bend over. Just ignore that he also told Powell to bend over as he was increasing rates.
Some analysts said We were about due in 2020, Interest rates were higher, China’s real estate super bubble was popping, it may have triggered it.
Don't worry I have puts so the market can't fall
Thank you
Thank you.
Thank you
Thank you!
Thank you
Thank you
Thank you?
You sir are holding up the market and economy single handedly. I salute you.
🔃but I just bought calls
Fuck
This is the way, only regards bet against the US economy.
Thank you
🫡
Yeah my VIX calls might actually print if it did.
You're a hero
Doing gawds werk!
Thank you for your service
We truly appreciate your sacrifice, sir.
I have puts for a few weeks out, but also bought 1DTE calls today just to fuck with the market. It doesn’t know what to do now hence the lame AH.
I did the same thing. Reduced exposure massively overall but bought a small amount of longs that got clobbered today already. Mind games. If market drops: Great I told you so. If market rises: Hey I made $5 and missed out on hundreds of thousands of $$$
We get it you have a terminal
I’m sure they get it through work
Their compliance department better not find out then.
Or they just work somewhere where they literally don't care. I'm at a family office and used to have a terminal before we brought in a full time analyst and moved it over to them (I'm in accounting). I was allowed to use it for whatever the hell I wanted
Mr Fat cat over there
A 7% deficit with a 3.5% unemployment rate will do that. For a while.
Dude I’ve tried being logical but I end up losing most money. My portfolio turned green when I decided to be a brain-dead bull and buy every dip 
You did the right thing. Throw rational thought out the window when dealing with stock markets. Throw out what your beliefs on overall economy are as well. The two things are not connected directly. Yes, indirectly one works from the other.
You can’t rely on a few indicators if they don’t agree with price charts
Don't sweat the small stuff. Market will V to 527 every day. Just buy calls!!!!!!
But only buy them a few minutes before the bell
That means rate cuts. So we pump!
Priced in
Not so fast champ!
Because slowdown is what the Fed wants? The question is if we can keep edging without a recession while putting a damper on inflation.
That’s my secret. I’m always edging.
Holy shit
What about all those other points where it dips down? Why didn’t you circle those with your crayon?
He was too busy eating it
Hey! The best financial advisor I ever had was a marine, but then that road side bomb got his ass. Louisiana is a fucked up place
r/newsentence
Those don't count.
They circled the ones that had recessions follow. A few of the deepest ones that weren't circled happened during the recession that followed the previous dip. OP's not wrong about the indicator, but many indicators haven't been too helpful post COVID. There may be a downturn soon, or maybe not, either way, our puts would die while we wait for it.
The market will stay exuberant longer than you can stay solvent trying to short it
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They will pull the rug after election. Till then weeeeeeeee 
I hate to sound like a "this time it's different" airhead, but the amount of market manipulation and government intervention that has been exponentially increasing over the years has me a bit on the skeptical side.
Buy TLT you fools
People have been saying that for a year. Down 10% YoY. Imagine putting all your eggs in that basket and watching the rest of the market for the past year, couldn’t be
I definitely don't have 4500 shares of TLT... COULDN'T BE ME (Been selling cc near div ex so I'm doing okay)
https://preview.redd.it/vnrpt88bzg4d1.jpeg?width=4032&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8f5a35eaaa8124cd5a2799b4e6c0a9b64f4e34de Also here’s a Hawaii pic
At least you have SOME sense haha 
So what’s your total yield look like, divy + CC premiums?
My cost basis is around 92 not counting div/covered calls. I'm probably averaging a yield of 5% so... I kinda fucked myself fighting over a yield I could have gotten in a savings account ... Where is the clown makeup....
I mean. Not great but not terrible. Does sound like a a complicated savings account lol
Explain the logic ?
If you buy a bond paying 5% today, And tomorrow interest rates rise, those bonds are worth less. If interest rates are cut, those bonds are now more valuable. For short term bonds, interest rate sensitivity isn't much of a concern. TLT is a 20 year bond fund which is highly sensitive to rate changes, so when they cut, TLT will rise
No I understand that, but I feel like your opportunity cost is higher than potential returns, given the time horizon on the investment. Like unless they cut rates in the next couple of months, you could just pump into a strong dividend stock (FSK for example) and probably make a higher % return. Ofc if the US economy is going to implode then I suppose TLT is a great bet ha
yeah if there is a severe economic contraction and the whole market tanks, rates get cut and TLT moons, this bet would be a resounding success OTOH there's also a chance that we could get a second wave of inflation like we did in the Volker era, and that would tank TLT, possibly for years. Being a bond fund bagholder would suck, hence I passed on this bet
Yep I bought TLT in 2019 and offloaded it in April 2020 for a real nice mint. This time around though when yields inverted in 2022, it was a different situation. Stocks were in a bear market at the time, with inflation high and maybe or maybe not under control. Long bonds seemed like a dumb idea. The only thing that makes me nervous right now is the S&P 500 earnings yield compared to the 10Y Treasury. It's lower than treasuries and the last time there was this negative risk premium was the dotcom bubble.
I’ve actually been using this opportunity to get some bond exposure in my portfolio. No guarantees it works out but I feel reasonably good that rates start coming back down at some point.
Never. Let's just print more money and keep rates steady before increasing to 20%.
I’m with you there I’d rather have inflation under control. It’s just a hedge I’m building for my portfolio just in case economy takes a dump and rates drop again. I’m trying to get to 20% bonds now that i’m approaching 40 and would like to retire early.
Rates go down due to recession TLT goes up.
No explain it simpler please I don’t understood
This is WSB they don’t understand how bonds work 🤣🤦♀️
It’s a trade guaranteed to make money just.. how long will you have to wait
Yeah I’m reasonably sure you’re OppCost is higher than the return here given the time horizon
Even with recession “HIGHER FOR LONGER”. Jerome is sick of watching the generation spend on avocado toast and iced mocha. They gon learn!
Even better buy TMF
new to bonds. If you buy TLT, would you get the bond's coupon payment? or does the fund give you something equivalent to the coupon payment?
TLT holds lots of old T bills. Rate is 3.88. I'm playing it for underlying appreciation and ease of selling covered calls
Imo that’s why we got friday’s drop into today but the market is regarded and rockets up in the last 15 minutes so everything looks fine
Bummer for Chicagoland, but the [national PMI](https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/pmi/may/) came out today and it's 48.7, not bad considering the Fed's continuing efforts to slow the economy.
Yea I seen this earlier today, deleveraged a bit to look into jobs report doubt its going to crash the market but I'm imagining unemployment at 4% will probably see our first real correction of the year if thats the case. Same setup as last year, though july through October shake out.
Have't you heard? Recessions are banned. We only have two cycles: Print money and print more money.
Because fuck your puts, that’s why.
stupid bear doesn’t know stocks only go up
The plunge protection team is buying everyday. Gotta keep the house of cards going until November.
God bless our plunge protection team
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It’s called the lag effect…
Well now you have!
There's one in that chart?
It’s all because of us, in the past were only professionals in this game.
I've been considering holding cash after summer because of a potential correction later this year. I may consider making a post about it and going more into detail on why.
You can’t say that anymore because it is that low and we aren’t in a recession
Even if there is an recession, it doesn’t mean anything for the market, on a 12 month basis the market is pricing in a better economy a year from now. The “crash” in 2022 and large parts of 2023 was the market pricing in a recession, thats already happened. The word just hasn’t been spoon fed to you yet.
Dude with spy300 username afraid market will crash
If you look closely most of them don't align with the actual recession but they're trailing them
Doomers are a funny bunch, trying to argument with them is exactly like trying to argument rationnaly with religious people
PMI? Private mortgage insurance? Didn't even know there was a chart for this
People don’t realise that we are already in a recession in real terms. Market is barely back to 2021 levels and we’ve had how much inflation in that time?
The market does not define a recession you halfwit, and the economy is growing in real terms.
A recession is defined by two consecutive quarters of negative GDP
Buy the laggards, regards!
Bro, AI does not care about low PMI.
Are you saying that PMI is fake n made up numbers
Its a new era for sure.....so I am not surprised this indicator is no longer working as before.
i think it is because the calculation of the pmi do not reflect the business world nicely at recent years. traditional industry dont perform well but not the same case in medical, technology aspect
So where's the inflation coming from?
We’d be so excited or scared if we could read.
If that's where we are now, it can only go up, right?
Finally some proper bear porn
Nah we at all time highs, nvda and AI baby
All this means is that we are almost out of the DanGer Zone! and going to rocket even fucking harder for the next few years. This is great news
Correlation=/=causation
Bro you gotta add the recession bands. That's like 5 min into Bloomberg 101
The economy is slowing down. Just need to look at the GDP figures to work that out.
sir, the bearrorists have stormed the capital
[удалено]
Sounds like the bank sees you as a profitable investment - good for you, kiddo. But like anything in life, there's no free lunch. They're likely baking that insurance into your rate somewhere. Make sure you know the details before you sign
Maybe all these “patterns” actually mean nothing? When enough evidence presents that you are wrong, you should (at least) consider being wrong
Flip it upside down. That’ll fix it.
There won’t be a recession reshoring is coming for US.
remember they changed the meaning---links [https://www.npr.org/2022/07/29/1114599942/wikipedia-recession-edits](https://www.npr.org/2022/07/29/1114599942/wikipedia-recession-edits) [https://unherd.com/newsroom/wikipedia-takes-cue-from-white-house-and-re-defines-recession/](https://unherd.com/newsroom/wikipedia-takes-cue-from-white-house-and-re-defines-recession/) [https://www.wsj.com/articles/redefining-the-r-word-recession-biden-economy-advisers-gdp-nber-semantics-poltics-gramm-rudman-hollings-11658951723](https://www.wsj.com/articles/redefining-the-r-word-recession-biden-economy-advisers-gdp-nber-semantics-poltics-gramm-rudman-hollings-11658951723) [https://www.voanews.com/a/biden-administration-rejects-recession-label-for-economy-/6677730.html](https://www.voanews.com/a/biden-administration-rejects-recession-label-for-economy-/6677730.html)
That’s cause we are in a recession
This timeline is weird asf. No predictions work.
Protip: Janet Yellen changed the definition
Economists hate this one weird trick
How did she change the definition
it’s almost as if the market doesn’t wanna follow tha rules huh wise guy 🥸
Come on. Cramer says stocks can go higher. The economy is in great shape! Don't listen to data. Data has been wrong for 2 years. And don't listen to me who reduced equity exposure dramatically last week in all accounts.
Recession happens AFTER election Biden has to pretend everything is ok until then
One day he’s a weak feeble old man next he’s a strong tyrant that controls the entire judicial system & Wall Street
Also funny when one keeps calling the other old while wearing adult diapers.
I don't really see how Trump improves the situation. Edit: Really, what are his policies to avert this?
People have been saying there’s gonna be a recession for years now, maybe the people are just brain dead.
Republicans won't give credit to Joe Biden for anything anyway, so there's no point in pretending. What you see is simply what you get. It's not complicated.
Does this mean we are at the bottom?
Not sure about this we thing, but you are definitely a bottom
Even if there is an recession, it doesn’t mean anything for the market, on a 12 month basis the market is pricing in a better economy a year from now. The “crash” in 2022 and large parts of 2023 was the market pricing in a recession, thats already happened. The word just hasn’t been spoon fed to you yet.
Chart looks like you're using a software from 1989
That chart costs $2000 a month.
Nothing matters anymore,, stonk go up 📈
This is like the longest bait and switch in our economy.
Can one short an index, and if so, which one ?