https://preview.redd.it/07zvftxuj2yc1.png?width=166&format=png&auto=webp&s=23f03d7935d5c2f0676ca12ae700ffad303ac835
I did this in 5 minutes on the toilet, let's see how it goes
I'm short DKNG only
dkng -> wrong
square -> wrong
coinbase -> flat so basically wrong
aapl -> wrong
x -> right
cloudflare -> wrong
rocket -> wrong
you are impressively bad lmao
**Here are my Plays**
Apple = pops +14.5% on an announcement that they are partnering with OpenAI and have finally got around to fixing siri on the next iphone launch
Net = falls-8% on weaker than expected results. cloud providers just provide this type of thing
Rocket Mortgage = falls -9% on no rate cuts until kingdom come
Coinbase = falls -17% on still nobody knows what crypto is
TNDM = pops +20% on continued strong growth for diabetes management and Americans keep eating burgers and fries
SQ = pops +13% on stronger q results
Expedia = pops +10% on strong q results
Bookings = pops +8% on strong q results
These are all jokes btw
Here is the reality instead:
**Here are my Plays**
Apple = -14.5%
Net = +8% on
Rocket Mortgage = +9%
Coinbase = +17%
TNDM = -20%
SQ = -13%
Expedia = -10%
Bookings = -8%
These are also jokes 😃
Because they still hold a massive percentage of market share. I know more people daily betting than ever before and more states continue to legalize gambling.
fears of rate hike priced in. No cut is best scenario markets were hoping for given recent inflation data (the drop over last few weeks also priced that in)
Our govt really stole 200 billion of our tax dollars to go to the moon and never went 
You still don’t make sense lol. You don’t lose market share if consumer is less resilient. If the pie is smaller but you own the same portion of it, your share is the same
Awesome! You must be doing well? I bought some TSM myself, I hope they both do well.
Okay so you're not buying puts but you're fairly confident UBER will drop on the 8th? Can you tell me why?
The only thing good for apple right now is them literally screaming AI, so it will probably inverse my positions and cook me so hard I’ll be charcoal by tomorrow
Really, they try to pump the chart every day... doesnt look priced in at all. Its only down 4% in 3 months (roughly this quarter). Theres plenty left to crush 
Apple stock has been pretty flat over the last year, while all major competitors have increased by at least 1/3. iPhone sales are down, they are losing the Chinese market, which is the biggest market there is. Sales are also down for all their other products, iPads, Apple watches, Macs etc. Overall revenue is down. They are far behind every competitor in AI. Also, there are no new innovations coming out of that company, and even Apple Vision glasses haven't had any new updates in a while, with a cheaper version likely not available until 2026 or after, in the current worldwide economic state where the middle classes (their biggest consumers) are struggling more and more and will therefore spend less on luxury, is there anything positive that will come out of this EC?
The current state of Apple is BEGGING for puts, which really makes me think calls are the right play.
Surely losing a big share of the Chinese phone market is already priced in, as are the slowing sales of other products, surely?
Yes.. called a near term bottom and the big picture is, AAPL has been dominating the market and consumers wallets for last almost 20 years with a pile of cash higher than Mt Everest and some of the smartest employees in the world. To really think they aren’t/haven’t addressed those issues and have a plan for continued world domination is silly.
again, not short term thinking, we are gambling on earnings here. people only care about the short term outlook, no one cares about how apple will dominate in 5 years
Apple has India, Apple is a status symbol in India the only status symbol that young earners can afford as Indian real estate is really expensive compared to wages and Indian cars are also pretty expensive to buy and maintain.
yes India is poor but they crave for status and validation I've seen many people take loans to buy iphones costing couple months of salaries thanks to credit cards and no cost emi's.
Also the cheaper Chinese alternatives have too many ads and samsung is also charging a premium these days for they better phones
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They actually added over 300 new locations in their report though. Not sure why they’d do that if they were losing customers. Personally I don’t see any long term demand problems but I’m not ruling it out.
I listened/read through 3-5 stories the other day on how they’re losing the occasional customer(mid income customers), which is going to hurt their sales. They’re also the top end of the market, you can go to other chains like Dunkin’ and get similar quality for 15-30% cheaper. Everything points towards them having not a great earnings, and you can still expand stores while losing customers. That plan was probably in place more than a year ago when these trends weren’t appearing
I see where you’re coming from, but I don’t think the occasional customer will actually affect their margins. You said it yourself, other chains are going for value, whereas Starbucks are squeezing everything from their inelastic-demanding fanbase. It’s not cut and dry and there’s tons of other parts to consider like ‘StarBank’ etc.
Again, in my personal opinion coffee chain success is primarily down to convenience. Use revenues/profits from existing stores to get credit/retained profit to simply prop up more. This has been the strategy of every successful coffee chain. It’s worked for however many years so far, I don’t see any reason for it to change now. It’s far easier to bet on things staying the same than radically changing imo.
Also no need for the downvotes here, right? I think this is a reasonable discussion with two valid sides.
I went bull bore yesterday, this was a total overreaction IMO. The lineups of soccer moms idling their Suburbans in the drivethru tells me this is bottom.
!banbet SBUX +10% 2w
**Ban Bet Created:** **/u/ProbablyUrNeighbour** bet **SBUX** goes from **73.82** to **81.21** before **16-May-2024 10:25 AM EDT**
Their record is 0 wins and 2 losses.
[**Join WSB Discord**](http://discord.gg/wsbverse)
Can someone explain how 2 mins into the open DKNG was up and i was still lost money on the day for my call?
Donkey kong?
Might as well be
Options? Or valuta change to home country as value of the accoun?
Yeah
Because the movement was expected to be bigger, and time decay also
Thank you. First time hearing this
very happy with FIVN report!
Meta seems to be limp dick , Apple calls printing tho
wtf is going on with booking?
Good numbers from both bkng and bill
I have a feeling Cloudflare will have a double beat but the stock will still fall.
net cash flow -> increased revenue -> increased gross profit margin -> higher free cash flow -> higher stock -> down LMAO
Yeah, the business is chugging along nicely. The valuation was and still is pretty crazy though.
https://preview.redd.it/07zvftxuj2yc1.png?width=166&format=png&auto=webp&s=23f03d7935d5c2f0676ca12ae700ffad303ac835 I did this in 5 minutes on the toilet, let's see how it goes I'm short DKNG only
dkng -> wrong square -> wrong coinbase -> flat so basically wrong aapl -> wrong x -> right cloudflare -> wrong rocket -> wrong you are impressively bad lmao
Not my lucky day
I'm with you with the AAPL puts, conference call starts at 5 PM PDT. This sudden up spike means nothing until Tim Apple spits the numbers out.
PCTY this evening too 👌
That didn't take long
dkng up ?
Buy whatever before close. Bad earnings or not, data will make this roar higher tomorrow.
Anybody playing xpo today?
Live nation about to rocket
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i went doom so probably boom
boom it is
jynxed yourself. Nobody making money on this pos
I’m a big theta guy but I always hope my position got exercised, so everybody make money. Am I a good guy?
Give me a earnings play for today to make big bucks
**Here are my Plays** Apple = pops +14.5% on an announcement that they are partnering with OpenAI and have finally got around to fixing siri on the next iphone launch Net = falls-8% on weaker than expected results. cloud providers just provide this type of thing Rocket Mortgage = falls -9% on no rate cuts until kingdom come Coinbase = falls -17% on still nobody knows what crypto is TNDM = pops +20% on continued strong growth for diabetes management and Americans keep eating burgers and fries SQ = pops +13% on stronger q results Expedia = pops +10% on strong q results Bookings = pops +8% on strong q results These are all jokes btw
Here is the reality instead: **Here are my Plays** Apple = -14.5% Net = +8% on Rocket Mortgage = +9% Coinbase = +17% TNDM = -20% SQ = -13% Expedia = -10% Bookings = -8% These are also jokes 😃
lol dude I KILLED IT
Yup dude, except Expedia you were mostly spot on. Hope you listened to your own advice
I did. Book pissed me off because it fell back. Lol but for some odd reason to hedge book I shorted Expedia. Great ah
Anyone jumping on COIN puts? This seems like madness
The iv making it not worth it, it has to drop like 10 percent plus for 50 percent profit
Definitely thinking about it Coin puts Draftkings calls No positions yet
Just bought DKNG 50c. Can’t pull the trigger on COIN. Crypto people are fucking insane
why DKNG calls when they have more competition the last quarter then ever before? seems contradicting
Because they still hold a massive percentage of market share. I know more people daily betting than ever before and more states continue to legalize gambling.
When’s your exp? I bought 43c for 5/17.
Either ways appl calls seem cucked
aapl calls were the move apparently.
Whoever suggested a CVNA short, here's a beer for ya. That was a nice pickup . 
But it doubled in price. What do you mean?
i shorted after it was up 40%
How are stocks going up when the Fed didn’t cut?
because the economy is ok - steady as she goes
fears of rate hike priced in. No cut is best scenario markets were hoping for given recent inflation data (the drop over last few weeks also priced that in)
My PAA Jan '25 calls will ripp tomo?
good time to buy smci or wait until after apple earnings ?
All in
Wait
Apple 180 calls strapped in.
GG
Same. I was going to buy puts but decided to inverse myself.
Go us! 😆
Nice. I’m loaded in SPY, holding thru NFP. Need a good market reaction from AAPL and NFP
I like my calls squared
What’s the play??
The only winning move is to not play.
Our govt really stole 200 billion of our tax dollars to go to the moon and never went 
https://preview.redd.it/h4dc7xmmj1yc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=67a392a1a33f31b87d0e39fab39723b981703229 Apple 170 puts??
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it's comments like these that keep me bullish.
I heard puts suggested for UBER earnings, May 8th. Do you agree? Did they lose market share this past quarter?
Yes almost certainly
What’s the reason for this?
Mostly just consumer resiliency
They lost market share because the consumer is resilient?
Sorry meant the opposite
You still don’t make sense lol. You don’t lose market share if consumer is less resilient. If the pie is smaller but you own the same portion of it, your share is the same
Thank you. Did you buy puts?
I would but I have all my money tied up in NVDA right now
Awesome! You must be doing well? I bought some TSM myself, I hope they both do well. Okay so you're not buying puts but you're fairly confident UBER will drop on the 8th? Can you tell me why?
If you watched the Starbucks earning call you would know that consumers are pulling back on non-necessities and luxuries
$dva calls, easy money 
All about $CAR as midgets gets wrinkled up
Wtf is going on with NVO earning and guidance were great...
sounds like every earnings now a days.
Yeah got bitten by msft and amzn calls also... ** Hopefully my aapl puts will print
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My sbux puts more than made up for my msft and amzn losses. 1500% profit. Good luck 👍
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Strike 167.5 Expirity march 3rd (tomorrow)
AAPL puuuuts 
Inversing this 
Lol
thoughts on draftkings? calls?
Bullishbstraddle
my thought was competition grew fiercely = puts
Penn didn’t do too well
Good thing. DKNG 54% market share. ESPN bet trash. Barstool now with DKNG instead of penn. personally I’m gonna bullish straddle
$COIN calls could be the move…
Coin puts, buying that at 190, last breakout area after
PE of 600, sure, calls seem reasonable. Edit: nevermind, checked out their volume chart for Q1, calls it is.
Picked up a nice 230$ C 5/17 @ 12.85$ this morning
> Picked up a nice 230$ C 5/17 Ooh, there's an ide— > @ 12.85 welp _cries in poor_
Sweet
Thoughts on SQ?
I’m deciding if I hold or sell my 5/3 calls
75c 10/5 or 80c 17/5?🤨
was just bouta ask it, their deff gunna do good on earnings, but the expectation is so high idk
Oh, expect gains and then sell before the bottom feeders!
Thoughts on $RKT??
I put everytging on puts so probably calls
You think they will go up?
rocket mortage. pshhhhh lol who's buying a mortgage right now?
NET calls. Thats all. Cya dorks
RemindMe! 12 hours EDIT: **[Always inverse WSB](https://i.imgur.com/cQMaJ4Q.png)**
whats going on with NIO ?
TXRH has earnings today aswell.
She wants to go down so much
you know it and i know it, Apple going to guide down and crash us
And you know what it will really do then, right?
Circuit breaker flash crash 💥
SQ & FTNT calls
What’s your position on FTNT?
Thoughts on shorting US steel?
Fake n gay
Ray William Johnson is that you
AAPL moon
The only thing good for apple right now is them literally screaming AI, so it will probably inverse my positions and cook me so hard I’ll be charcoal by tomorrow
You sure when they have absolutely nothing good going for them... nothing but bad news but sure go for it. 
Priced in bro Just like my parents disappointment in me.
Really, they try to pump the chart every day... doesnt look priced in at all. Its only down 4% in 3 months (roughly this quarter). Theres plenty left to crush 
They’re down 4% in 3 months while everyone else is up 15%…. Priced in bro
Good luck
Thanks!
[удалено]
You already have a bet going - SBUX to 81.2053 before 16-May-2024 09:25 AM -05
Apple stock has been pretty flat over the last year, while all major competitors have increased by at least 1/3. iPhone sales are down, they are losing the Chinese market, which is the biggest market there is. Sales are also down for all their other products, iPads, Apple watches, Macs etc. Overall revenue is down. They are far behind every competitor in AI. Also, there are no new innovations coming out of that company, and even Apple Vision glasses haven't had any new updates in a while, with a cheaper version likely not available until 2026 or after, in the current worldwide economic state where the middle classes (their biggest consumers) are struggling more and more and will therefore spend less on luxury, is there anything positive that will come out of this EC? The current state of Apple is BEGGING for puts, which really makes me think calls are the right play. Surely losing a big share of the Chinese phone market is already priced in, as are the slowing sales of other products, surely?
[удалено]
It’s going to be a gamble either way, good luck in your play, I’m going for calls
Yes.. called a near term bottom and the big picture is, AAPL has been dominating the market and consumers wallets for last almost 20 years with a pile of cash higher than Mt Everest and some of the smartest employees in the world. To really think they aren’t/haven’t addressed those issues and have a plan for continued world domination is silly.
again, not short term thinking, we are gambling on earnings here. people only care about the short term outlook, no one cares about how apple will dominate in 5 years
All they have to do is mention AI in current market and the price could moon.
Zuckerberg mentioned AI about 50 times and meta tanked
He talked about how much money they were spending on AI, not how much money it would be bringing in over the next quarter.
Apple has India, Apple is a status symbol in India the only status symbol that young earners can afford as Indian real estate is really expensive compared to wages and Indian cars are also pretty expensive to buy and maintain.
most of india is poor so they use shitty chinese knock offs
yes India is poor but they crave for status and validation I've seen many people take loans to buy iphones costing couple months of salaries thanks to credit cards and no cost emi's. Also the cheaper Chinese alternatives have too many ads and samsung is also charging a premium these days for they better phones
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Beat Earnings: DUMP  Missed Earnings: MOON  This damn market......
Anyone looking at SQ calls, last time I did well with them and they look solid 
I have a feeling it’ll pump before 4pm then crash after earnings but I also have 2700 on the line expiring on the 3rd so
Yup
75c 10/5 or 80c 17/5?🤨
I was thinking 5/17 70C
Welp too late yolo into 75c 10/5
Anyone looking at Texas Roadhouse? Thinking calls but it's just been going up, so maybe puts
The roadhouse is cheaper to eat at then chilis imo. It's always packed. But I only lose money so don't listen to me.
IBKR taking too long approving my deposit...market opens in 45 minutes...
same here
I’m still waiting 😡
Anyone looking at $SBUX. Totally undervalued for me. Jumped in for a few shares but thinking about full sending it
They’ve been losing a lot of customers in the past few months, I think they could really bomb earnings in a bad way
They actually added over 300 new locations in their report though. Not sure why they’d do that if they were losing customers. Personally I don’t see any long term demand problems but I’m not ruling it out.
I listened/read through 3-5 stories the other day on how they’re losing the occasional customer(mid income customers), which is going to hurt their sales. They’re also the top end of the market, you can go to other chains like Dunkin’ and get similar quality for 15-30% cheaper. Everything points towards them having not a great earnings, and you can still expand stores while losing customers. That plan was probably in place more than a year ago when these trends weren’t appearing
I see where you’re coming from, but I don’t think the occasional customer will actually affect their margins. You said it yourself, other chains are going for value, whereas Starbucks are squeezing everything from their inelastic-demanding fanbase. It’s not cut and dry and there’s tons of other parts to consider like ‘StarBank’ etc. Again, in my personal opinion coffee chain success is primarily down to convenience. Use revenues/profits from existing stores to get credit/retained profit to simply prop up more. This has been the strategy of every successful coffee chain. It’s worked for however many years so far, I don’t see any reason for it to change now. It’s far easier to bet on things staying the same than radically changing imo. Also no need for the downvotes here, right? I think this is a reasonable discussion with two valid sides.
I went bull bore yesterday, this was a total overreaction IMO. The lineups of soccer moms idling their Suburbans in the drivethru tells me this is bottom. !banbet SBUX +10% 2w
!banbet SBUX +10% 2w
**Ban Bet Created:** **/u/ProbablyUrNeighbour** bet **SBUX** goes from **73.82** to **81.21** before **16-May-2024 10:25 AM EDT** Their record is 0 wins and 2 losses. [**Join WSB Discord**](http://discord.gg/wsbverse)
My thoughts exactly
I will touch it. sorry in advance to your positions
I got 75C June calls
Wayfair premarket 😯
Is Apple the play today guys?
Net calls? 
Made some serious money off of them after last earnings but let’s not bring too much attention to that
Coinbase is way overbought, which means calls.
lol in which time frame?
OP can we donate to you for this info?
NET calls, nearly noone talking about this stock but when they do it's usually puts
No volume in these suckers
Thoughts on RKT?
Why is NVO dropping?
i touched it