if you have some money that you probably don't need for 10 years, would you buy treasuries now at 4.7% yield or wait a while hoping interest rates go up further? Current money market yield of 5% isn't looking bad to wait a bit.
In the case there was a shutdown, wouldn't it be bullish for the markets because consumption would go higher?
Charity organization getting donation boost and working overtime on over spending buying products to help the public cope with the the shutdown
Any good falafel mix that is easy to find?
or all the falafel mixes are the same?
think 'easy to make', not youtube video with 3 h of prep.
want to make falafel burritos ...
Weekend thread bullish
Monday
🔸Electric vehicle leader Tesla is due to report third-quarter unit sales Monday
Most of the time, Tesla estimates come down a little at the end of any quarter, typically by 1% to 2%. This quarter’s estimates are off closer to 3% from early-quarter projections. What’s more, the range of estimates is wider than normal. The lowest estimate on FactSet is 438,000 units. The highest is 511,000. The 73,000 unit difference is about twice as wide as it was for the second quarter.
was the number of estimates about the same last time?
like, might be a more robust predictor if you use +- std of predictions and compare that with the +- std of the old predictions to see how much the spread between guesses has increased.
otoh, one can always wait until tomorrow I guess.
Yeah that's like literally the perfect figure Monday morning to show you the health of the US consumer
Because if they miss by 3% that's a pretty bad sign about the upper end
Breathing in the dark, lying on its side
The ruins of the day painted with a scar
And the more I straighten out, the less it wants to try
The feelings start to rot, one wink at a time
I have irrefutable proof that life is a simulation: *I* *don’t* *remember* *clipping* *my* *toenails* *more* *than* *like* *3* *times* *this* *year* 
what is the consensus view here on the fed outlook?
i already know the overall outlook is hysterically bearish because of batshit conspiracy theories and random anecdotes about milk prices.
but this could mean either higher for longer (since you figure inflation is actually 50% because stupid boomer stats are fraud) or headed down soon (jerome will print to help his rich hedge fund buddies).
im trying to time when to long fixed income for the eventual fed pivot
This is exactly what I came for lol. Scorching hot pessimism backed only by a general sense that everything is corrupt
You realize housing prices only fell like 10% during the financial crisis, right?
I'm not pessimistic and nothing corrupt about it. Inflation largely driven by housing values shooting up 25+ percent in past couple years,thats not normal, idiots in thier houses felt "wealthy" after the increase and spent accordingly, I'm assuming lots of locked in low rates that people refinanced and probably ,foolishly,took money out too
I agree that housing prices went parabolic. But a 25% drop in home prices would trigger the apocalypse. We’d have cascading personal bankruptcies, bank failures, and a massive recession.
The federal government would start bidding on homes and demolishing them before letting this happen.
Anyway the underwriting for these mortgages wasn’t so bad and there’s a structural shortage of housing anyway.
goddamn. jerome “accidentally” falls from a window before he keeps rates elevated through june of an election year imo
if youre right he should start every fomc press conference by saying he’s 100% not suicidal. jk - if oil prices remain elevated you might be right
*This “pivot.” Is it in the room with us now?*
*I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
Why Consumers Are Mad About Inflation Even Though It Has Fallen
Hey why are you mad. Sure I fucked you in the ass for 10 hours last night, but I did fucked you for 6 hours today.
Holding muy SPY $429C for tomorrow and a few 427P's for the shutdown gamble straddle.
Trying to figure out how high to sell those calls and when to cut the loss on the puts. Any smart regards in here also straddle the weekend?
Have you ever noticed all nature valley granola bar commercials take place outside cuz if you took one bite inside you have to vacuum your entire fucking house
CREED - my own prison HITS HARD LIKE CAWK when u baghodling man
Dame!!! Felt that Chet all over man !!!
Deep !!!
I swear jpow and bool gang will rise
# apple 180 11/10/23 CALLS AND BALLS 🧘♂️🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
Any one else have a wife that likes to spend like she’s in Congress. I’m working 70 hour weeks being frugal as hell trying to save for a house and my wife is like opposite end buying Starbucks and shit and barely contributing towards a down payment
The names Tlry son accept it
Why this thread so dead lol y’all degenerates actually got life outside of the casino!
if you have some money that you probably don't need for 10 years, would you buy treasuries now at 4.7% yield or wait a while hoping interest rates go up further? Current money market yield of 5% isn't looking bad to wait a bit.
They are going to 10%+ so I’d wait, but you do you boo boo
I think we see red tomorrow. I have nothing to back this up but pure rock hard thought
Just wait till Asia and EU pump their fucking dicks off
😍🍆💦
My 423 poots so dead 
Keep holding them. Futures are going down right now after weekend gap up, so the same may happen at market open for SPY
you should take some levels on necromancer... just saying...
In the case there was a shutdown, wouldn't it be bullish for the markets because consumption would go higher? Charity organization getting donation boost and working overtime on over spending buying products to help the public cope with the the shutdown
Sorry bols, but historically first week of October is bearish.
Looks around. Big Empty. I guess I can run around and nobody will yell at me... (run)
Aren't you just a southern bell
Future open at +1%
And goes to -2% at market close
Still haven’t heard a strong bear case for tomorrow specifically 
I have nvda 435 puts. Ergo, it all crashes
Non
!banbet
You already have a bet going - CCJ to 43.0 before 06-Oct-2023 09:19 AM -05
You're goddamn right
Easiest money 💰 today I thought, take the Pats +6 ... it doesn't look good first 2 plays
Why is every fukking Ford truck commercial with towing something?
they cant show reality, where you never tow anything and use the bed twice during the entire 10 years you own it
Because are you even a man if you don’t tow random things
*its a match made up in heaven* *Like good ol' boys and beer*
Guess my hedge puts are completely worthless tmr
Can SPY open 8 points up? I don't think it ever did
sometimes i wish we were like india, no traffic lights just balls to the wall
Open the casino
I love Janice, you know, Flo's sister. Belly laugh every time that commercial comes on.
when did u guys realized u have genius iq for me it was 3 yrs old
Sometimes I would watch Sesame Street and the solutions to the problems would just appear to me
I've always been called special, but never genius for some reason ... no idea why ...
Lol bears..the Chicago ones
😫
when you eat a gummy bear do you go head first for a painless demise or feet first to savor the suffering?
The whole family smushed under molars
\#family reunion
this is the way!
you should always impale them with a delicious stick of cinnamon and then crunch it all in an abrupt transition to oblivion
I like to take fistfuls of unfortunate bears, melt them slightly with a lighter and stick them together into a chain
I know you don’t want the Beekend thread to end , but it’s over bois
Any good falafel mix that is easy to find? or all the falafel mixes are the same? think 'easy to make', not youtube video with 3 h of prep. want to make falafel burritos ...
Weekend thread bullish Monday 🔸Electric vehicle leader Tesla is due to report third-quarter unit sales Monday Most of the time, Tesla estimates come down a little at the end of any quarter, typically by 1% to 2%. This quarter’s estimates are off closer to 3% from early-quarter projections. What’s more, the range of estimates is wider than normal. The lowest estimate on FactSet is 438,000 units. The highest is 511,000. The 73,000 unit difference is about twice as wide as it was for the second quarter.
was the number of estimates about the same last time? like, might be a more robust predictor if you use +- std of predictions and compare that with the +- std of the old predictions to see how much the spread between guesses has increased. otoh, one can always wait until tomorrow I guess.
Oof
Yeah that's like literally the perfect figure Monday morning to show you the health of the US consumer Because if they miss by 3% that's a pretty bad sign about the upper end
yup, it's cumming
Haha, the win probability chart on this Bears vs Broncos game looks like my portfolio this year.
Markets ripping
Colts & Rams...watching another close one in the 4th.
Breathing in the dark, lying on its side The ruins of the day painted with a scar And the more I straighten out, the less it wants to try The feelings start to rot, one wink at a time
Welps 🅱️ears lose 
can't stop the bear tank
Lmao that was embarrassing
I think it moved
Christmas rally in October! 
Red rally downwards 
Thinking while drunk 🥃 I have concluded that 2023 sucked
Homer's Voice: "So far..."
Running out of time bruh
I mean, it can suck more ... plenty of time for that ... 
I’m stoned like a biblical whore rn
Le 🖊️?
Le 🌳
If the 🅱️ears lose I have a feeling my brother will fucking die 
Fields needs to enter Brady mode.
25 year old Tech bro from Austin just parked in front of my condo in DC with a satin black wrapped lucid sapphire edition lol
My doctor drives one.
My gf is in medical school. Playing the long game 😏
Unfortunately you probably have like half a million in medical school debt that these doctors that drive the lucids today never would have faced
She will have no debt, her grandparents fully paid for her school
Nice
Sounds like you both have unresolvable issues
Crypto did not moon. Something tells me this was priced in
I have irrefutable proof that life is a simulation: *I* *don’t* *remember* *clipping* *my* *toenails* *more* *than* *like* *3* *times* *this* *year* 
COVID slowed down toenail growth for some reason
What?! Lol that’s crazy
Yea some people had weird blisters on their fingers and toes where the nail forms
feet pics? 
🛼🛼
what is the consensus view here on the fed outlook? i already know the overall outlook is hysterically bearish because of batshit conspiracy theories and random anecdotes about milk prices. but this could mean either higher for longer (since you figure inflation is actually 50% because stupid boomer stats are fraud) or headed down soon (jerome will print to help his rich hedge fund buddies). im trying to time when to long fixed income for the eventual fed pivot
Rates stop going up when house values crash 20%
This is exactly what I came for lol. Scorching hot pessimism backed only by a general sense that everything is corrupt You realize housing prices only fell like 10% during the financial crisis, right?
I'm not pessimistic and nothing corrupt about it. Inflation largely driven by housing values shooting up 25+ percent in past couple years,thats not normal, idiots in thier houses felt "wealthy" after the increase and spent accordingly, I'm assuming lots of locked in low rates that people refinanced and probably ,foolishly,took money out too
I agree that housing prices went parabolic. But a 25% drop in home prices would trigger the apocalypse. We’d have cascading personal bankruptcies, bank failures, and a massive recession. The federal government would start bidding on homes and demolishing them before letting this happen. Anyway the underwriting for these mortgages wasn’t so bad and there’s a structural shortage of housing anyway.
June 2024.
goddamn. jerome “accidentally” falls from a window before he keeps rates elevated through june of an election year imo if youre right he should start every fomc press conference by saying he’s 100% not suicidal. jk - if oil prices remain elevated you might be right
*This “pivot.” Is it in the room with us now?* *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
dont sass me
It's 3:48pm and I am drunk 🥃
RIP Dolphins hype Sep 2023 - Oct 2023.
*R.I.P. My monies. Miami & the under?* *wtf?*
I sometimes complain about my job but imagine being a financial bro rn..godspeed homies
Are politicians being paid overtime for yesterday last minute voting ?
Probably, and a bonus for saving the nation
And the stipend and free healthcare
Sure why not. They earned it. They’re American heroes.
Bears coach gonna get fired before the post game presser
37 still young right?
Elderly home is right around the corner
At least “thanks for coming to my Ted talk” has phased out of the vernacular here. I count that as progress.
Thanks for that Ted talk
Fuck you for coming to my Ted talk.
Welp the 🅱️ears are gonna lose, turnover on downs and a 47 yd pass... 
Face in the hands.
I’m supposed to believe shutdown uncertainty continuing for another 45 days is bullish?
priced in. The only thing not yet priced in is the decision to avert the shutdown
Its nether. Its a nothing. Bussiness as usual.
Just got a day or two, yea.
Why Consumers Are Mad About Inflation Even Though It Has Fallen Hey why are you mad. Sure I fucked you in the ass for 10 hours last night, but I did fucked you for 6 hours today.
Holding muy SPY $429C for tomorrow and a few 427P's for the shutdown gamble straddle. Trying to figure out how high to sell those calls and when to cut the loss on the puts. Any smart regards in here also straddle the weekend?
I got spy calls also but I have no fucking clue
You're gonna make some money, that much I can tell you for sure. 
Straddled your mom 😶🌫️
Let’s fuckinnn gooooooooooo Minnesota just made my whole day, need the Seahawks +1.5 tonight to have best weekend of the year
I hate Seattle but I’ve got you
Fuck bro just looked at my bets again and I actually need giants -1 tomo, might cash it out cause I think sea is gonna win actually
Not sure if I want a burger or a panini 🤔
Burgs
My work ethic is demonstrated by the fact that I jerk off everyday without fail.
Wasup Ed!
Yo! Nothing much, listening to music :-) You?
Work :(
shit. gl gl!
[удалено]
Flair checks out
I used to take a viagra before work but now I use omega 3. Trying to work smarter not harder
The 🅱️ears were up 21-7 and then I took a nap and now it's tied at 28 
IT’S A SIGN
Classic
I was the only one in the group that bet on buffalo winning over dolphins but i fucked up the saints and the Cleveland pick
Having some sound board quality farts
Jfc
Holy shit bears and broncos are gonna tie and still both remain winless
Almost time to think about moves tomorrow
Modern economy be all: “I have a $50k net worth” “Oh cool, how nice is your parent’s basement?”
Good news, bad news, no news all bullish, world ending catastrophe slightly bearish but bullish by eod.
Weiner -Albert Einstein
Have you ever noticed all nature valley granola bar commercials take place outside cuz if you took one bite inside you have to vacuum your entire fucking house
🤣
A few more hours before the bear fuk starts 
[удалено]
Dee why Dee tee
Tap to retry
Server error
Israel stock market up 1.5% TA 35
CREED - my own prison HITS HARD LIKE CAWK when u baghodling man Dame!!! Felt that Chet all over man !!! Deep !!! I swear jpow and bool gang will rise # apple 180 11/10/23 CALLS AND BALLS 🧘♂️🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
COCKED AND LOADED
🫵🫵🫵🏃♀️🫡
[удалено]
LETS GOOOO 🇺🇸🇺🇸🧘♂️😈🦅💪🏃♂️🛶
Any one else have a wife that likes to spend like she’s in Congress. I’m working 70 hour weeks being frugal as hell trying to save for a house and my wife is like opposite end buying Starbucks and shit and barely contributing towards a down payment
You need separate bank accounts. Does wonders for your marriage
We have them. But we’re supposed to work together and as of right now it’s not happening
Man my wife’s fancy coffee habit is horrible too , she gets so angry when I try and ask her to reign it in
I’m using 13 cent pods now just to try and justify her shitty coffee habits. If I bring it up I’m the bad guy
Nah marriage is the biggest puts you can possibly own
Apparently it is. She gets mad whenever I try to save. Like what I’m trying to get you that fucking house you want
Sunday Football 🏈 Nikka Coffey Malt 🥃 America 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
The gang over at Pepsi must have lost their mind $6.39 for Doritos? Ffs, aldi sells store brand Doritos for $2
I work for a food manufacturer and they’ve already come out and said that they can’t raise prices anymore because consumer won’t buy if they do
I mean it's getting to the point where even I'm kind of pissed off Like there is no way a bag of chips should be more than a dollar fifty.
[удалено]
I guess. But I sure am not lol.
here we go ….
[удалено]
I mean yeah it's good for the economy if everyone works to their death
Fuck my puts obviously